Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14221.2076943 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.075e-08 2.014e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 7.566e-01 1.110e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.031e+00 1.119e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.25683575358e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00251588465089 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27692385/likelihoodResults_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14221.2399489 delta logL = -0.0322545876279 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14221.2075974 delta logL = 9.689325816e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .62033E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.8788 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0305 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .75654 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 14221.21 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 72 CALLS 256 TOTAL EDM= .10E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49299E-01 .75354 .86838E-02** at limit ** 2 Index 2.8466 1.3104 .50000 .36483E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0303 .20097E-02 .42109E-01 .85916E-03 4 Prefactor .75675 .20968E-02 .43149E-01 .73517E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.049299 Index = 2.84664 Normalizat = 1.03035 Prefactor = 0.756746 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14221.21 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 41 CALLS 297 TOTAL EDM= .11E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49299E-01 2.2007 .46760E-02 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.8466 1.5239 .50000 -.44524 3 Normalizat 1.0303 .23489E-02 .21624E-03 -.92021 4 Prefactor .75675 .24501E-02 .25807E-03 -1.0134 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.05054e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.658771 2 1.55446 3 0.00234885 4 0.00245014 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14221.2075721 delta logL = 0.00012221981342 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.930e-02 6.588e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.847e+00 1.554e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 7.567e-01 2.450e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.030e+00 2.349e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27692385/cmap_HighResolution_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.52e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.26e-08', time_completed='2026-06-02 22:33:02.107820', job_id='27692385', GAL2='0.76', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.03', EG='1.03', time_epoch_completed='1780464782.11', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.76', dlogl='1.22e-04', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='930' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jun 2 22:33:02 PDT 2026 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14221.2076943 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.075e-08 2.014e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 7.566e-01 1.110e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.031e+00 1.119e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.25683575358e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00251588465089 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27692481/likelihoodResults_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14221.2399489 delta logL = -0.0322545876279 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14221.2075974 delta logL = 9.689325816e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .62033E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.8788 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0305 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .75654 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 14221.21 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 72 CALLS 256 TOTAL EDM= .10E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49299E-01 .75354 .86838E-02** at limit ** 2 Index 2.8466 1.3104 .50000 .36483E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0303 .20097E-02 .42109E-01 .85916E-03 4 Prefactor .75675 .20968E-02 .43149E-01 .73517E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.049299 Index = 2.84664 Normalizat = 1.03035 Prefactor = 0.756746 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14221.21 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 41 CALLS 297 TOTAL EDM= .11E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49299E-01 2.2007 .46760E-02 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.8466 1.5239 .50000 -.44524 3 Normalizat 1.0303 .23489E-02 .21624E-03 -.92021 4 Prefactor .75675 .24501E-02 .25807E-03 -1.0134 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.05054e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.658771 2 1.55446 3 0.00234885 4 0.00245014 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14221.2075721 delta logL = 0.00012221981342 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.930e-02 6.588e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.847e+00 1.554e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 7.567e-01 2.450e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.030e+00 2.349e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27692481/cmap_HighResolution_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.52e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.26e-08', time_completed='2026-06-02 22:33:41.931143', job_id='27692481', GAL2='0.76', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.03', EG='1.03', time_epoch_completed='1780464821.93', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.76', dlogl='1.22e-04', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='930' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jun 2 22:33:42 PDT 2026 number of points = 17278 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. A" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692965/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27692965/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits .....................! real 18.86 user 18.19 sys 0.26 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692965/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692965/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27692965/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692965/expmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27692965/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits .....................! real 68.42 user 64.00 sys 3.76 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 186 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2315.6-5018 @ 348.914 -50.3127 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692965/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692965/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692965/cmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.59 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692965/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692965/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692965/cmap_HighResolution_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.56 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692965/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692965/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27692965/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930 RA = 348.914, Dec = -50.3127 tmin = 801446401, tmax = 802051201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='27693152', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-06-02 22:33:07.992075', time_epoch_executed='1780464787.99' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='930' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27693152 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27693152/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=801446401.0 && nMetStart<802051201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=801446401.0 && nMetStart<802051201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ft1_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=801446401.0 && nMetStart<802051201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ft1_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits ra=348.914 dec=-50.3127 rad=12.0 tmin=801446401.0 tmax=802051201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.50 user 3.96 sys 0.20 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.55 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1314 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits sctable="SC_DATsource GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27692735/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits.....................! real 35.42 user 33.77 sys 1.06 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27692735/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27692735/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27692735/expmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27692735/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27692735/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27692735/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27692735/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27692735/expmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27692735/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27692735/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14221.2679141 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14221.208679 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .14800E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .19236E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 11.074 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .34595E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 2.9961 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .25170E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 1.5928 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 197.87 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .98462 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .17036E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .63623E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 8.1543 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 9.5053 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .16128E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 24.171 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .21827E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .63896E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .39685E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .91766 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .21358E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .23931E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 1.8183 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 1.6906 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .79655 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 1.8760 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 28.750 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' 1.7704 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 2.6112 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .14558E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' 5.1619 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' 1.3052 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0306 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' .75703 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 14221.21 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 174 CALLS 3285 TOTAL EDM= .18E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .17797E-06 2.5951 -.31084E-05** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .72831E-07 3.6912 -.40423E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 11.081 5.9325 .33992E-06 -.76034E-03 4 Prefactor .0000 1.5054 -.56881E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 3.0207 3.0590 -.54589E-06 .19391E-02 6 Prefactor .30853E-06 2.1355 .30531E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 1.5812 2.3984 .15203E-06 -.16900E-02 8 Prefactor 200.22 69.646 .84614E-06 .44506E-02 9 norm .98388 .48197 -.21759E-06 -.93954E-02 10 Prefactor .16653E-09 3.2707 .12181E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .12212E-08 6.2914 -.44399E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 8.1405 4.0300 -.48905E-07 -.39452E-02 13 Prefactor 9.5474 3.3652 -.20132E-05 .10787 14 Prefactor .64393E-08 1.3229 -.15141E-05** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 24.486 2.3701 .19713E-06 -.50628E-01 16 Prefactor .40745E-07 25.514 .15579E-05** at limit ** 17 norm .32752E-07 1.2290 .12949E-05** at limit ** 18 norm .0000 .73344 -.36507E-06** at limit ** 19 norm .91707 1.6551 .94148E-07 -.75731E-03 20 Prefactor .11102E-09 2.3511 .49660E-06** at limit ** 21 Prefactor .52125E-07 3.4761 .30761E-05** at limit ** 22 norm 1.8191 1.7376 -.69208E-07 -.20362E-03 23 Prefactor 1.6341 6.4092 -.36824E-05 -.13788E-02 24 norm .79759 .50802 -.66651E-07 -.37111E-03 25 norm 1.8780 1.7323 -.10421E-06 .11970E-02 26 Prefactor 28.756 1.5095 -.13221E-06 .24334E-01 27 Prefactor 1.7733 1.7371 .33675E-06 -.11723E-02 28 Prefactor 2.6118 1.3515 -.23307E-07 -.13411E-02 29 norm .16653E-08 5.0748 .49602E-05** at limit ** 30 Prefactor 5.1525 2.9430 -.11704E-06 -.16426E-03 31 Prefactor 1.3091 2.1051 -.20348E-06 .12120E-02 32 Normalizat 1.0306 .12922 -.50707E-05 .55893E-05 33 Prefactor .75665 .12953 .10245E-04 -.43281E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.77969e-07 Prefactor = 7.28306e-08 Prefactor = 11.0808 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.0207 Prefactor = 3.08531e-07 Prefactor = 1.58118 Prefactor = 200.221 norm = 0.983883 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.22125e-09 Prefactor = 8.14053 Prefactor = 9.54743 Prefactor = 6.43929e-09 Prefactor = 24.4864 Prefactor = 4.07452e-08 norm = 3.27516e-08 norm = 0 norm = 0.917074 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 5.2125e-08 norm = 1.8191 Prefactor = 1.63414 norm = 0.79759 norm = 1.87801 Prefactor = 28.7556 Prefactor = 1.77333 Prefactor = 2.6118 norm = 1.66533e-09 Prefactor = 5.15248 Prefactor = 1.3091 Normalizat = 1.03061 Prefactor = 0.756648 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14221.21 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 765 CALLS 4050 TOTAL EDM= .19E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .17797E-06 3.5421 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .72831E-07 4.9685 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 11.081 5.9383 .30081E-03 -1.5641 4 Prefactor .0000 1.5057 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 3.0207 3.0612 .58619E-03 -1.5673 6 Prefactor .30853E-06 3.6553 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 1.5812 2.4375 .84030E-03 -1.5683 8 Prefactor 200.22 69.798 .71097E-04 -1.5425 9 norm .98388 3.6867 .43220E-03 -1.5688 10 Prefactor .16653E-09 3.2246 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .12212E-08 6.8008 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 8.1405 4.1883 .35086E-03 -1.5651 13 Prefactor 9.5474 17.234 .32481E-03 -1.5646 14 Prefactor .64393E-08 5.0840 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 24.486 21.651 .20345E-03 -1.5609 16 Prefactor .40745E-07 24.895 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .32752E-07 6.9578 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .0000 .73392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .91707 1.6669 .44547E-03 -1.5689 20 Prefactor .11102E-09 2.3604 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor .52125E-07 4.4527 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 1.8191 1.7568 .77419E-03 -1.5681 23 Prefactor 1.6341 6.5030 .80927E-03 -1.5682 24 norm .79759 .51485 .53193E-03 -1.5690 25 norm 1.8780 1.7489 .75993E-03 -1.5681 26 Prefactor 28.756 10.640 .18653E-03 -1.5601 27 Prefactor 1.7733 1.9906 .78672E-03 -1.5681 28 Prefactor 2.6118 13.956 .63098E-03 -1.5676 29 norm .16653E-08 6.3631 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Prefactor 5.1525 2.9639 .44225E-03 -1.5663 31 Prefactor 1.3091 2.1329 .96582E-03 -1.5685 32 Normalizat 1.0306 .11184 .42108E-01 -.92012 33 Prefactor .75665 .11092 .43155E-01 -1.0135 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.92492e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00158794 2 0.00120301 3 5.93835 4 2.86726e-06 5 3.0612 6 0.00212394 7 2.43751 8 69.7981 9 3.68673 10 4.28088e-05 11 0.000180559 12 4.18831 13 17.2339 14 0.000362063 15 21.6512 16 0.00201435 17 0.000954345 18 2.25694e-06 19 1.66688 20 3.00893e-05 21 0.000963504 22 1.75678 23 6.50307 24 0.514855 25 1.74893 26 10.6398 27 1.99055 28 12.0747 29 0.000205196 30 2.96392 31 2.13292 32 0.111861 33 0.110952 A" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits .....................! real 17.54 user 16.94 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/expmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits .....................! real 61.61 user 57.79 sys 3.27 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 186 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2315.6-5018 @ 348.914 -50.3127 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/cmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.54 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/cmap_HighResolution_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.56 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14221.2076943 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.075e-08 2.014e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 7.566e-01 1.110e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.031e+00 1.119e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.25683575358e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00251588465089 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27692735/likelihoodResults_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14221.2399489 delta logL = -0.0322545876279 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14221.2075974 delta logL = 9.689325816e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .62033E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.8788 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0305 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .75654 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 14221.21 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 72 CALLS 256 TOTAL EDM= .10E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49299E-01 .75354 .86838E-02** at limit ** 2 Index 2.8466 1.3104 .50000 .36483E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0303 .20097E-02 .42109E-01 .85916E-03 4 Prefactor .75675 .20968E-02 .43149E-01 .73517E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.049299 Index = 2.84664 Normalizat = 1.03035 Prefactor = 0.756746 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14221.21 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 41 CALLS 297 TOTAL EDM= .11E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49299E-01 2.2007 .46760E-02 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.8466 1.5239 .50000 -.44524 3 Normalizat 1.0303 .23489E-02 .21624E-03 -.92021 4 Prefactor .75675 .24501E-02 .25807E-03 -1.0134 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.05054e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.658771 2 1.55446 3 0.00234885 4 0.00245014 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14221.2075721 delta logL = 0.00012221981342 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.930e-02 6.588e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.847e+00 1.554e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 7.567e-01 2.450e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.030e+00 2.349e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27692735/cmap_HighResolution_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.52e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.26e-08', time_completed='2026-06-02 22:38:07.601623', job_id='27692735', GAL2='0.76', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.03', EG='1.03', time_epoch_completed='1780465087.6', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.76', dlogl='1.22e-04', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='930' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jun 2 22:38:07 PDT 2026 source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27692965/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits.....................! real 34.49 user 33.07 sys 0.96 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27692965/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27692965/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27692965/expmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27692965/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27692965/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27692965/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27692965/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27692965/expmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27692965/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27692965/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14221.2679141 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14221.208679 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .14800E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .19236E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 11.074 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .34595E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 2.9961 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .25170E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 1.5928 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 197.87 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .98462 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .17036E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .63623E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 8.1543 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 9.5053 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .16128E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 24.171 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .21827E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .63896E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .39685E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .91766 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .21358E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .23931E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 1.8183 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 1.6906 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .79655 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 1.8760 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 28.750 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' 1.7704 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 2.6112 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .14558E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' 5.1619 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' 1.3052 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0306 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' .75703 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 14221.21 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 174 CALLS 3285 TOTAL EDM= .18E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .17797E-06 2.5951 -.31084E-05** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .72831E-07 3.6912 -.40423E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 11.081 5.9325 .33992E-06 -.76034E-03 4 Prefactor .0000 1.5054 -.56881E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 3.0207 3.0590 -.54589E-06 .19391E-02 6 Prefactor .30853E-06 2.1355 .30531E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 1.5812 2.3984 .15203E-06 -.16900E-02 8 Prefactor 200.22 69.646 .84614E-06 .44506E-02 9 norm .98388 .48197 -.21759E-06 -.93954E-02 10 Prefactor .16653E-09 3.2707 .12181E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .12212E-08 6.2914 -.44399E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 8.1405 4.0300 -.48905E-07 -.39452E-02 13 Prefactor 9.5474 3.3652 -.20132E-05 .10787 14 Prefactor .64393E-08 1.3229 -.15141E-05** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 24.486 2.3701 .19713E-06 -.50628E-01 16 Prefactor .40745E-07 25.514 .15579E-05** at limit ** 17 norm .32752E-07 1.2290 .12949E-05** at limit ** 18 norm .0000 .73344 -.36507E-06** at limit ** 19 norm .91707 1.6551 .94148E-07 -.75731E-03 20 Prefactor .11102E-09 2.3511 .49660E-06** at limit ** 21 Prefactor .52125E-07 3.4761 .30761E-05** at limit ** 22 norm 1.8191 1.7376 -.69208E-07 -.20362E-03 23 Prefactor 1.6341 6.4092 -.36824E-05 -.13788E-02 24 norm .79759 .50802 -.66651E-07 -.37111E-03 25 norm 1.8780 1.7323 -.10421E-06 .11970E-02 26 Prefactor 28.756 1.5095 -.13221E-06 .24334E-01 27 Prefactor 1.7733 1.7371 .33675E-06 -.11723E-02 28 Prefactor 2.6118 1.3515 -.23307E-07 -.13411E-02 29 norm .16653E-08 5.0748 .49602E-05** at limit ** 30 Prefactor 5.1525 2.9430 -.11704E-06 -.16426E-03 31 Prefactor 1.3091 2.1051 -.20348E-06 .12120E-02 32 Normalizat 1.0306 .12922 -.50707E-05 .55893E-05 33 Prefactor .75665 .12953 .10245E-04 -.43281E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.77969e-07 Prefactor = 7.28306e-08 Prefactor = 11.0808 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.0207 Prefactor = 3.08531e-07 Prefactor = 1.58118 Prefactor = 200.221 norm = 0.983883 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.22125e-09 Prefactor = 8.14053 Prefactor = 9.54743 Prefactor = 6.43929e-09 Prefactor = 24.4864 Prefactor = 4.07452e-08 norm = 3.27516e-08 norm = 0 norm = 0.917074 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 5.2125e-08 norm = 1.8191 Prefactor = 1.63414 norm = 0.79759 norm = 1.87801 Prefactor = 28.7556 Prefactor = 1.77333 Prefactor = 2.6118 norm = 1.66533e-09 Prefactor = 5.15248 Prefactor = 1.3091 Normalizat = 1.03061 Prefactor = 0.756648 source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits.....................! real 32.27 user 30.72 sys 1.02 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/expmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27693152/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27693152/expmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27693152/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27693152/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14221.2679141 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14221.208679 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .14800E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .19236E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 11.074 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .34595E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 2.9961 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .25170E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 1.5928 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 197.87 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .98462 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .17036E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .63623E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 8.1543 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 9.5053 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .16128E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 24.171 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .21827E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .63896E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .39685E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .91766 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .21358E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .23931E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 1.8183 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 1.6906 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .79655 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 1.8760 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 28.750 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' 1.7704 1.0000 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14221.21 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 765 CALLS 4050 TOTAL EDM= .19E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .17797E-06 3.5421 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .72831E-07 4.9685 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 11.081 5.9383 .30081E-03 -1.5641 4 Prefactor .0000 1.5057 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 3.0207 3.0612 .58619E-03 -1.5673 6 Prefactor .30853E-06 3.6553 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 1.5812 2.4375 .84030E-03 -1.5683 8 Prefactor 200.22 69.798 .71097E-04 -1.5425 9 norm .98388 3.6867 .43220E-03 -1.5688 10 Prefactor .16653E-09 3.2246 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .12212E-08 6.8008 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 8.1405 4.1883 .35086E-03 -1.5651 13 Prefactor 9.5474 17.234 .32481E-03 -1.5646 14 Prefactor .64393E-08 5.0840 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 24.486 21.651 .20345E-03 -1.5609 16 Prefactor .40745E-07 24.895 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .32752E-07 6.9578 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .0000 .73392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .91707 1.6669 .44547E-03 -1.5689 20 Prefactor .11102E-09 2.3604 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor .52125E-07 4.4527 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 1.8191 1.7568 .77419E-03 -1.5681 23 Prefactor 1.6341 6.5030 .80927E-03 -1.5682 24 norm .79759 .51485 .53193E-03 -1.5690 25 norm 1.8780 1.7489 .75993E-03 -1.5681 26 Prefactor 28.756 10.640 .18653E-03 -1.5601 27 Prefactor 1.7733 1.9906 .78672E-03 -1.5681 28 Prefactor 2.6118 13.956 .63098E-03 -1.5676 29 norm .16653E-08 6.3631 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Prefactor 5.1525 2.9639 .44225E-03 -1.5663 31 Prefactor 1.3091 2.1329 .96582E-03 -1.5685 32 Normalizat 1.0306 .11184 .42108E-01 -.92012 33 Prefactor .75665 .11092 .43155E-01 -1.0135 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.92492e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00158794 2 0.00120301 3 5.93835 4 2.86726e-06 5 3.0612 6 0.00212394 7 2.43751 8 69.7981 9 3.68673 10 4.28088e-05 11 0.000180559 12 4.18831 13 17.2339 14 0.000362063 15 21.6512 16 0.00201435 17 0.000954345 18 2.25694e-06 19 1.66688 20 3.00893e-05 21 0.000963504 22 1.75678 23 6.50307 24 0.514855 25 1.74893 26 10.6398 27 1.99055 28 12.0747 29 0.000205196 30 2.96392 31 2.13292 32 0.111861 33 0.110952 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 2.6112 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .14558E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' 5.1619 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' 1.3052 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0306 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' .75703 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 14221.21 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 174 CALLS 3285 TOTAL EDM= .18E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .17797E-06 2.5951 -.31084E-05** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .72831E-07 3.6912 -.40423E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 11.081 5.9325 .33992E-06 -.76034E-03 4 Prefactor .0000 1.5054 -.56881E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 3.0207 3.0590 -.54589E-06 .19391E-02 6 Prefactor .30853E-06 2.1355 .30531E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 1.5812 2.3984 .15203E-06 -.16900E-02 8 Prefactor 200.22 69.646 .84614E-06 .44506E-02 9 norm .98388 .48197 -.21759E-06 -.93954E-02 10 Prefactor .16653E-09 3.2707 .12181E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .12212E-08 6.2914 -.44399E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 8.1405 4.0300 -.48905E-07 -.39452E-02 13 Prefactor 9.5474 3.3652 -.20132E-05 .10787 14 Prefactor .64393E-08 1.3229 -.15141E-05** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 24.486 2.3701 .19713E-06 -.50628E-01 16 Prefactor .40745E-07 25.514 .15579E-05** at limit ** 17 norm .32752E-07 1.2290 .12949E-05** at limit ** 18 norm .0000 .73344 -.36507E-06** at limit ** 19 norm .91707 1.6551 .94148E-07 -.75731E-03 20 Prefactor .11102E-09 2.3511 .49660E-06** at limit ** 21 Prefactor .52125E-07 3.4761 .30761E-05** at limit ** 22 norm 1.8191 1.7376 -.69208E-07 -.20362E-03 23 Prefactor 1.6341 6.4092 -.36824E-05 -.13788E-02 24 norm .79759 .50802 -.66651E-07 -.37111E-03 25 norm 1.8780 1.7323 -.10421E-06 .11970E-02 26 Prefactor 28.756 1.5095 -.13221E-06 .24334E-01 27 Prefactor 1.7733 1.7371 .33675E-06 -.11723E-02 28 Prefactor 2.6118 1.3515 -.23307E-07 -.13411E-02 29 norm .16653E-08 5.0748 .49602E-05** at limit ** 30 Prefactor 5.1525 2.9430 -.11704E-06 -.16426E-03 31 Prefactor 1.3091 2.1051 -.20348E-06 .12120E-02 32 Normalizat 1.0306 .12922 -.50707E-05 .55893E-05 33 Prefactor .75665 .12953 .10245E-04 -.43281E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.77969e-07 Prefactor = 7.28306e-08 Prefactor = 11.0808 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.0207 Prefactor = 3.08531e-07 Prefactor = 1.58118 Prefactor = 200.221 norm = 0.983883 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.22125e-09 Prefactor = 8.14053 Prefactor = 9.54743 Prefactor = 6.43929e-09 Prefactor = 24.4864 Prefactor = 4.07452e-08 norm = 3.27516e-08 norm = 0 norm = 0.917074 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 5.2125e-08 norm = 1.8191 Prefactor = 1.63414 norm = 0.79759 norm = 1.87801 Prefactor = 28.7556 Prefactor = 1.77333 Prefactor = 2.6118 norm = 1.66533e-09 Prefactor = 5.15248 Prefactor = 1.3091 Normalizat = 1.03061 Prefactor = 0.756648 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14221.21 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 765 CALLS 4050 TOTAL EDM= .19E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .17797E-06 3.5421 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .72831E-07 4.9685 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 11.081 5.9383 .30081E-03 -1.5641 4 Prefactor .0000 1.5057 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 3.0207 3.0612 .58619E-03 -1.5673 6 Prefactor .30853E-06 3.6553 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 1.5812 2.4375 .84030E-03 -1.5683 8 Prefactor 200.22 69.798 .71097E-04 -1.5425 9 norm .98388 3.6867 .43220E-03 -1.5688 10 Prefactor .16653E-09 3.2246 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .12212E-08 6.8008 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 8.1405 4.1883 .35086E-03 -1.5651 13 Prefactor 9.5474 17.234 .32481E-03 -1.5646 14 Prefactor .64393E-08 5.0840 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 24.486 21.651 .20345E-03 -1.5609 16 Prefactor .40745E-07 24.895 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .32752E-07 6.9578 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .0000 .73392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .91707 1.6669 .44547E-03 -1.5689 20 Prefactor .11102E-09 2.3604 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor .52125E-07 4.4527 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 1.8191 1.7568 .77419E-03 -1.5681 23 Prefactor 1.6341 6.5030 .80927E-03 -1.5682 24 norm .79759 .51485 .53193E-03 -1.5690 25 norm 1.8780 1.7489 .75993E-03 -1.5681 26 Prefactor 28.756 10.640 .18653E-03 -1.5601 27 Prefactor 1.7733 1.9906 .78672E-03 -1.5681 28 Prefactor 2.6118 13.956 .63098E-03 -1.5676 29 norm .16653E-08 6.3631 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Prefactor 5.1525 2.9639 .44225E-03 -1.5663 31 Prefactor 1.3091 2.1329 .96582E-03 -1.5685 32 Normalizat 1.0306 .11184 .42108E-01 -.92012 33 Prefactor .75665 .11092 .43155E-01 -1.0135 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.92492e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00158794 2 0.00120301 3 5.93835 4 2.86726e-06 5 3.0612 6 0.00212394 7 2.43751 8 69.7981 9 3.68673 10 4.28088e-05 11 0.000180559 12 4.18831 13 17.2339 14 0.000362063 15 21.6512 16 0.00201435 17 0.000954345 18 2.25694e-06 19 1.66688 20 3.00893e-05 21 0.000963504 22 1.75678 23 6.50307 24 0.514855 25 1.74893 26 10.6398 27 1.99055 28 12.0747 29 0.000205196 30 2.96392 31 2.13292 32 0.111861 33 0.110952 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14221.2076943 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.075e-08 2.014e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 7.566e-01 1.110e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.031e+00 1.119e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.25683575358e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00251588465089 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27692965/likelihoodResults_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14221.2399489 delta logL = -0.0322545876279 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14221.2075974 delta logL = 9.689325816e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .62033E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.8788 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0305 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .75654 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 14221.21 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 72 CALLS 256 TOTAL EDM= .10E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49299E-01 .75354 .86838E-02** at limit ** 2 Index 2.8466 1.3104 .50000 .36483E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0303 .20097E-02 .42109E-01 .85916E-03 4 Prefactor .75675 .20968E-02 .43149E-01 .73517E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.049299 Index = 2.84664 Normalizat = 1.03035 Prefactor = 0.756746 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14221.21 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 41 CALLS 297 TOTAL EDM= .11E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49299E-01 2.2007 .46760E-02 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.8466 1.5239 .50000 -.44524 3 Normalizat 1.0303 .23489E-02 .21624E-03 -.92021 4 Prefactor .75675 .24501E-02 .25807E-03 -1.0134 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.05054e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.658771 2 1.55446 3 0.00234885 4 0.00245014 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14221.2075721 delta logL = 0.00012221981342 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.930e-02 6.588e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.847e+00 1.554e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 7.567e-01 2.450e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.030e+00 2.349e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27692965/cmap_HighResolution_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.52e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.26e-08', time_completed='2026-06-02 22:42:57.617968', job_id='27692965', GAL2='0.76', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.03', EG='1.03', time_epoch_completed='1780465377.62', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.76', dlogl='1.22e-04', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='930' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jun 2 22:42:57 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14221.2076943 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.075e-08 2.014e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 7.566e-01 1.110e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.031e+00 1.119e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.25683575358e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00251588465089 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27693152/likelihoodResults_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14221.2399489 delta logL = -0.0322545876279 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14221.2075974 delta logL = 9.689325816e-05 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .62033E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.8788 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0305 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .75654 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 14221.21 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 72 CALLS 256 TOTAL EDM= .10E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49299E-01 .75354 .86838E-02** at limit ** 2 Index 2.8466 1.3104 .50000 .36483E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0303 .20097E-02 .42109E-01 .85916E-03 4 Prefactor .75675 .20968E-02 .43149E-01 .73517E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.049299 Index = 2.84664 Normalizat = 1.03035 Prefactor = 0.756746 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14221.21 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 41 CALLS 297 TOTAL EDM= .11E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49299E-01 2.2007 .46760E-02 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.8466 1.5239 .50000 -.44524 3 Normalizat 1.0303 .23489E-02 .21624E-03 -.92021 4 Prefactor .75675 .24501E-02 .25807E-03 -1.0134 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.05054e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.658771 2 1.55446 3 0.00234885 4 0.00245014 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14221.2075721 delta logL = 0.00012221981342 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.930e-02 6.588e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.847e+00 1.554e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 7.567e-01 2.450e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.030e+00 2.349e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27693152/cmap_HighResolution_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_weekly_bin930.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.52e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.26e-08', time_completed='2026-06-02 22:43:57.839904', job_id='27693152', GAL2='0.76', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.03', EG='1.03', time_epoch_completed='1780465437.84', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.76', dlogl='1.22e-04', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='930' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jun 2 22:43:58 PDT 2026