********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5910.934 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 775 CALLS 4162 TOTAL EDM= .15E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .31086E-08 29.334 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 61.326 38.863 .12779E-03 -1.5551 3 Prefactor .61062E-09 12.868 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .0000 2.1058 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .27756E-09 6.0048 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 2.4085 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 4.8367 2.8732 .45710E-03 -1.5664 8 Prefactor .11541E-06 44.134 .17131E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 4.4077 4.4318 .48146E-03 -1.5666 10 Prefactor .38858E-09 3.4683 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 39.974 41.341 .15902E-03 -1.5582 12 Prefactor 13.507 6.7040 .27224E-03 -1.5634 13 Prefactor 14.432 22.228 .26335E-03 -1.5632 14 Prefactor 12.184 8.0676 .28664E-03 -1.5638 15 Prefactor 16.954 25.563 .24364E-03 -1.5626 16 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.3327 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .0000 3.2460 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .55511E-10 1.8062 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .0000 3.6291 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 2.9185 4.1975 .59164E-03 -1.5674 21 Prefactor .94369E-09 14.207 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 3.8796 3.2667 .51180E-03 -1.5669 23 Prefactor .38858E-09 5.7462 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm .0000 .42074 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm .46097 1.7912 .82798E-03 -1.5694 26 Prefactor 38.401 15.644 .16137E-03 -1.5584 27 Prefactor .31690 1.7983 .57431E-02 -1.5697 28 Prefactor .11102E-08 34.640 .15168E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm 12.635 14.110 .28182E-03 -1.5637 30 Prefactor .0000 2.4672 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor 2.0932 3.0805 .71396E-03 -1.5679 32 Normalizat 1.0277 .16123 .42419E-01 -.92107 33 Prefactor .58311 .15806 .61212E-01 -1.0830 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.53313e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000603716 2 38.8632 3 0.000181197 4 4.38334e-06 5 8.37789e-05 6 8.74705e-07 7 2.87319 8 0.00451347 9 4.43179 10 7.19447e-05 11 41.3416 12 6.70403 13 22.2277 14 8.06762 15 25.5631 16 4.3337e-05 17 1.85198e-07 18 1.43779e-05 19 1.15751e-05 20 4.19748 21 0.000231028 22 3.26671 23 9.38866e-05 24 1.96526e-06 25 1.79117 26 15.6445 27 1.50979 28 0.00038975 29 14.1097 30 9.95623e-06 31 3.08047 32 0.161309 33 0.158181 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5910.934 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 775 CALLS 4162 TOTAL EDM= .15E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .31086E-08 29.334 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 61.326 38.863 .12779E-03 -1.5551 3 Prefactor .61062E-09 12.868 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .0000 2.1058 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .27756E-09 6.0048 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 2.4085 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 4.8367 2.8732 .45710E-03 -1.5664 8 Prefactor .11541E-06 44.134 .17131E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 4.4077 4.4318 .48146E-03 -1.5666 10 Prefactor .38858E-09 3.4683 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 39.974 41.341 .15902E-03 -1.5582 12 Prefactor 13.507 6.7040 .27224E-03 -1.5634 13 Prefactor 14.432 22.228 .26335E-03 -1.5632 14 Prefactor 12.184 8.0676 .28664E-03 -1.5638 15 Prefactor 16.954 25.563 .24364E-03 -1.5626 16 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.3327 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .0000 3.2460 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .55511E-10 1.8062 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .0000 3.6291 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 2.9185 4.1975 .59164E-03 -1.5674 21 Prefactor .94369E-09 14.207 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 3.8796 3.2667 .51180E-03 -1.5669 23 Prefactor .38858E-09 5.7462 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm .0000 .42074 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm .46097 1.7912 .82798E-03 -1.5694 26 Prefactor 38.401 15.644 .16137E-03 -1.5584 27 Prefactor .31690 1.7983 .57431E-02 -1.5697 28 Prefactor .11102E-08 34.640 .15168E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm 12.635 14.110 .28182E-03 -1.5637 30 Prefactor .0000 2.4672 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor 2.0932 3.0805 .71396E-03 -1.5679 32 Normalizat 1.0277 .16123 .42419E-01 -.92107 33 Prefactor .58311 .15806 .61212E-01 -1.0830 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.53313e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000603716 2 38.8632 3 0.000181197 4 4.38334e-06 5 8.37789e-05 6 8.74705e-07 7 2.87319 8 0.00451347 9 4.43179 10 7.19447e-05 11 41.3416 12 6.70403 13 22.2277 14 8.06762 15 25.5631 16 4.3337e-05 17 1.85198e-07 18 1.43779e-05 19 1.15751e-05 20 4.19748 21 0.000231028 22 3.26671 23 9.38866e-05 24 1.96526e-06 25 1.79117 26 15.6445 27 1.50979 28 0.00038975 29 14.1097 30 9.95623e-06 31 3.08047 32 0.161309 33 0.158181 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5910.93396936 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 4.334e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 5.831e-01 1.582e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.028e+00 1.613e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.35081278976e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0033609748679 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33251035/likelihoodResults_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5910.93497134 delta logL = -0.00100198372729 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5910.93397071 delta logL = -1.3568187569e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .22136E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.1260 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0279 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .58288 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 5910.934 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 43 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .22E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.7597 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.5772 1.5683 .95252E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.0277 1.2426 .11484E-04 .60249E-05 4 Prefactor .58311 .93020 -.35895E-05 -.20342E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.57717 Normalizat = 1.02774 Prefactor = 0.583113 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 5910.934 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 251 TOTAL EDM= .22E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.7597 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .75031 1.9880 .95252E-04 -.50587 3 Normalizat 1.0277 1.2426 .11484E-04 -.92107 4 Prefactor .58311 .93020 -.35895E-05 -1.0830 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.24896e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.14656e-06 2 1.60404 3 1.28063 4 0.95654 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 5910.93396936 delta logL = 1.27329258248e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.147e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.577e+00 1.604e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 5.831e-01 9.565e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.028e+00 1.281e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33251035/cmap_HighResolution_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.35e-08', time_completed='2026-07-27 00:04:01.408896', job_id='33251035', GAL2='0.58', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.03', EG='1.03', time_epoch_completed='1785135841.41', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.58', dlogl='1.27e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2188' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 27 00:04:01 PDT 2026 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5910.93396936 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 4.334e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 5.831e-01 1.582e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.028e+00 1.613e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.35081278976e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0033609748679 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33250875/likelihoodResults_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5910.93497134 delta logL = -0.00100198372729 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5910.93397071 delta logL = -1.3568187569e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .22136E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.1260 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0279 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .58288 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 5910.934 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 43 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .22E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.7597 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.5772 1.5683 .95252E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.0277 1.2426 .11484E-04 .60249E-05 4 Prefactor .58311 .93020 -.35895E-05 -.20342E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.57717 Normalizat = 1.02774 Prefactor = 0.583113 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 5910.934 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 251 TOTAL EDM= .22E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.7597 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .75031 1.9880 .95252E-04 -.50587 3 Normalizat 1.0277 1.2426 .11484E-04 -.92107 4 Prefactor .58311 .93020 -.35895E-05 -1.0830 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.24896e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.14656e-06 2 1.60404 3 1.28063 4 0.95654 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 5910.93396936 delta logL = 1.27329258248e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.147e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.577e+00 1.604e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 5.831e-01 9.565e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.028e+00 1.281e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33250875/cmap_HighResolution_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.35e-08', time_completed='2026-07-27 00:04:19.156906', job_id='33250875', GAL2='0.58', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.03', EG='1.03', time_epoch_completed='1785135859.16', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.58', dlogl='1.27e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2188' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 27 00:04:19 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33251270/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits.....................! real 17.66 user 16.55 sys 0.70 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33251270/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33251270/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33251270/expmap_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33251270/ltcube_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33251270/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33251270/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33251270/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33251270/expmap_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33251270/ltcube_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33251270/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5910.94843103 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5910.93559932 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .63616E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 61.239 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .89530E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .14902E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .13199E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .92211E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 4.8384 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .30896 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 4.3720 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .60815E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 39.555 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 13.511 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 14.437 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 12.192 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 16.861 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .49438E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .67531E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .15257E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .11522E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 2.9444 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .14002E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 3.8832 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .54622E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .19351E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .46040 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 38.409 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .33454 1.0000 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33251261/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits.....................! real 17.53 user 16.49 sys 0.66 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33251261/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33251261/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33251261/expmap_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33251261/ltcube_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33251261/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33251261/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33251261/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33251261/expmap_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33251261/ltcube_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33251261/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5910.94843103 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5910.93559932 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .63616E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 61.239 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .89530E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .14902E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .13199E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .92211E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 4.8384 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .30896 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 4.3720 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .60815E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 39.555 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 13.511 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 14.437 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 12.192 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 16.861 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .49438E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .67531E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .15257E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .11522E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 2.9444 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .14002E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 3.8832 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .54622E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .19351E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .46040 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 38.409 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .33454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .59840E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' 12.611 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' .10551E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' 2.0892 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0275 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' .58318 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5910.934 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 243 CALLS 3387 TOTAL EDM= .27E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.8% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .31086E-08 29.376 -.69276E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 61.326 19.631 -.60595E-06 -.17546E-01 3 Prefactor .61062E-09 12.887 -.10685E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .0000 2.1060 .11012E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .27756E-09 6.0270 -.12584E-05** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .0000 2.4083 -.16505E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 4.8367 2.8658 -.78050E-07 -.10032E-03 8 Prefactor .11541E-06 1157.0 -.23134E-06** at limit ** 9 norm 4.4077 4.4334 -.94771E-07 .60958E-03 10 Prefactor .38858E-09 3.5041 -.14110E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 39.974 35.712 -.14895E-05 .15459E-01 12 Prefactor 13.507 6.3764 -.44254E-07 .27647E-02 13 Prefactor 14.432 5.1076 .34554E-06 -.44552E-01 14 Prefactor 12.184 1.5297 -.30309E-08 -.84031E-02 15 Prefactor 16.954 1.0722 -.31079E-08 .25672E-02 16 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.3312 -.38602E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .0000 3.2395 .58728E-06** at limit ** 18 norm .55511E-10 1.8040 -.37165E-07** at limit ** 19 norm .0000 3.6380 .15457E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 2.9185 4.1716 -.27649E-06 -.18099E-02 21 Prefactor .94369E-09 14.136 .12372E-05** at limit ** 22 norm 3.8796 3.2480 -.13349E-07 -.20343E-03 23 Prefactor .38858E-09 5.7399 .10068E-05** at limit ** 24 norm .0000 .42491 .39935E-07** at limit ** 25 norm .46097 1.7495 -.14986E-06 .13262E-02 26 Prefactor 38.401 1.3400 -.85953E-07 .14292E-02 27 Prefactor .31690 7.8359 -.19863E-06 -.43131E-03 28 Prefactor .11102E-08 35.172 -.23885E-05** at limit ** 29 norm 12.635 13.963 -.21785E-05 -.76994E-02 30 Prefactor .0000 2.4714 .90898E-07** at limit ** 31 Prefactor 2.0932 3.0570 -.13442E-07 .87415E-03 32 Normalizat 1.0277 .19132 -.83474E-06 .22833E-04 33 Prefactor .58311 .18836 .99685E-05 .36592E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.10862e-09 Prefactor = 61.3259 Prefactor = 6.10623e-10 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 4.83669 Prefactor = 1.15408e-07 norm = 4.40775 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 Prefactor = 39.9743 Prefactor = 13.5069 Prefactor = 14.432 Prefactor = 12.1844 Prefactor = 16.9541 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 norm = 0 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.91849 Prefactor = 9.4369e-10 norm = 3.87958 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 0 norm = 0.460974 Prefactor = 38.401 Prefactor = 0.316897 Prefactor = 1.11022e-09 norm = 12.6354 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.09315 Normalizat = 1.02774 Prefactor = 0.583113 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .59840E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' 12.611 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' .10551E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' 2.0892 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0275 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' .58318 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5910.934 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 243 CALLS 3387 TOTAL EDM= .27E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.8% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .31086E-08 29.376 -.69276E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 61.326 19.631 -.60595E-06 -.17546E-01 3 Prefactor .61062E-09 12.887 -.10685E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .0000 2.1060 .11012E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .27756E-09 6.0270 -.12584E-05** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .0000 2.4083 -.16505E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 4.8367 2.8658 -.78050E-07 -.10032E-03 8 Prefactor .11541E-06 1157.0 -.23134E-06** at limit ** 9 norm 4.4077 4.4334 -.94771E-07 .60958E-03 10 Prefactor .38858E-09 3.5041 -.14110E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 39.974 35.712 -.14895E-05 .15459E-01 12 Prefactor 13.507 6.3764 -.44254E-07 .27647E-02 13 Prefactor 14.432 5.1076 .34554E-06 -.44552E-01 14 Prefactor 12.184 1.5297 -.30309E-08 -.84031E-02 15 Prefactor 16.954 1.0722 -.31079E-08 .25672E-02 16 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.3312 -.38602E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .0000 3.2395 .58728E-06** at limit ** 18 norm .55511E-10 1.8040 -.37165E-07** at limit ** 19 norm .0000 3.6380 .15457E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 2.9185 4.1716 -.27649E-06 -.18099E-02 21 Prefactor .94369E-09 14.136 .12372E-05** at limit ** 22 norm 3.8796 3.2480 -.13349E-07 -.20343E-03 23 Prefactor .38858E-09 5.7399 .10068E-05** at limit ** 24 norm .0000 .42491 .39935E-07** at limit ** 25 norm .46097 1.7495 -.14986E-06 .13262E-02 26 Prefactor 38.401 1.3400 -.85953E-07 .14292E-02 27 Prefactor .31690 7.8359 -.19863E-06 -.43131E-03 28 Prefactor .11102E-08 35.172 -.23885E-05** at limit ** 29 norm 12.635 13.963 -.21785E-05 -.76994E-02 30 Prefactor .0000 2.4714 .90898E-07** at limit ** 31 Prefactor 2.0932 3.0570 -.13442E-07 .87415E-03 32 Normalizat 1.0277 .19132 -.83474E-06 .22833E-04 33 Prefactor .58311 .18836 .99685E-05 .36592E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.10862e-09 Prefactor = 61.3259 Prefactor = 6.10623e-10 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 4.83669 Prefactor = 1.15408e-07 norm = 4.40775 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 Prefactor = 39.9743 Prefactor = 13.5069 Prefactor = 14.432 Prefactor = 12.1844 Prefactor = 16.9541 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 norm = 0 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.91849 Prefactor = 9.4369e-10 norm = 3.87958 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 0 norm = 0.460974 Prefactor = 38.401 Prefactor = 0.316897 Prefactor = 1.11022e-09 norm = 12.6354 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.09315 Normalizat = 1.02774 Prefactor = 0.583113 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5910.934 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 775 CALLS 4162 TOTAL EDM= .15E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .31086E-08 29.334 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 61.326 38.863 .12779E-03 -1.5551 3 Prefactor .61062E-09 12.868 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .0000 2.1058 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .27756E-09 6.0048 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 2.4085 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 4.8367 2.8732 .45710E-03 -1.5664 8 Prefactor .11541E-06 44.134 .17131E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 4.4077 4.4318 .48146E-03 -1.5666 10 Prefactor .38858E-09 3.4683 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 39.974 41.341 .15902E-03 -1.5582 12 Prefactor 13.507 6.7040 .27224E-03 -1.5634 13 Prefactor 14.432 22.228 .26335E-03 -1.5632 14 Prefactor 12.184 8.0676 .28664E-03 -1.5638 15 Prefactor 16.954 25.563 .24364E-03 -1.5626 16 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.3327 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .0000 3.2460 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .55511E-10 1.8062 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .0000 3.6291 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 2.9185 4.1975 .59164E-03 -1.5674 21 Prefactor .94369E-09 14.207 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 3.8796 3.2667 .51180E-03 -1.5669 23 Prefactor .38858E-09 5.7462 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm .0000 .42074 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm .46097 1.7912 .82798E-03 -1.5694 26 Prefactor 38.401 15.644 .16137E-03 -1.5584 27 Prefactor .31690 1.7983 .57431E-02 -1.5697 28 Prefactor .11102E-08 34.640 .15168E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm 12.635 14.110 .28182E-03 -1.5637 30 Prefactor .0000 2.4672 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor 2.0932 3.0805 .71396E-03 -1.5679 32 Normalizat 1.0277 .16123 .42419E-01 -.92107 33 Prefactor .58311 .15806 .61212E-01 -1.0830 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.53313e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000603716 2 38.8632 3 0.000181197 4 4.38334e-06 5 8.37789e-05 6 8.74705e-07 7 2.87319 8 0.00451347 9 4.43179 10 7.19447e-05 11 41.3416 12 6.70403 13 22.2277 14 8.06762 15 25.5631 16 4.3337e-05 17 1.85198e-07 18 1.43779e-05 19 1.15751e-05 20 4.19748 21 0.000231028 22 3.26671 23 9.38866e-05 24 1.96526e-06 25 1.79117 26 15.6445 27 1.50979 28 0.00038975 29 14.1097 30 9.95623e-06 31 3.08047 32 0.161309 33 0.158181 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5910.934 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 775 CALLS 4162 TOTAL EDM= .15E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .31086E-08 29.334 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 61.326 38.863 .12779E-03 -1.5551 3 Prefactor .61062E-09 12.868 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .0000 2.1058 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .27756E-09 6.0048 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 2.4085 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 4.8367 2.8732 .45710E-03 -1.5664 8 Prefactor .11541E-06 44.134 .17131E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 4.4077 4.4318 .48146E-03 -1.5666 10 Prefactor .38858E-09 3.4683 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 39.974 41.341 .15902E-03 -1.5582 12 Prefactor 13.507 6.7040 .27224E-03 -1.5634 13 Prefactor 14.432 22.228 .26335E-03 -1.5632 14 Prefactor 12.184 8.0676 .28664E-03 -1.5638 15 Prefactor 16.954 25.563 .24364E-03 -1.5626 16 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.3327 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .0000 3.2460 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .55511E-10 1.8062 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .0000 3.6291 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 2.9185 4.1975 .59164E-03 -1.5674 21 Prefactor .94369E-09 14.207 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 3.8796 3.2667 .51180E-03 -1.5669 23 Prefactor .38858E-09 5.7462 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm .0000 .42074 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm .46097 1.7912 .82798E-03 -1.5694 26 Prefactor 38.401 15.644 .16137E-03 -1.5584 27 Prefactor .31690 1.7983 .57431E-02 -1.5697 28 Prefactor .11102E-08 34.640 .15168E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm 12.635 14.110 .28182E-03 -1.5637 30 Prefactor .0000 2.4672 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor 2.0932 3.0805 .71396E-03 -1.5679 32 Normalizat 1.0277 .16123 .42419E-01 -.92107 33 Prefactor .58311 .15806 .61212E-01 -1.0830 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.53313e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000603716 2 38.8632 3 0.000181197 4 4.38334e-06 5 8.37789e-05 6 8.74705e-07 7 2.87319 8 0.00451347 9 4.43179 10 7.19447e-05 11 41.3416 12 6.70403 13 22.2277 14 8.06762 15 25.5631 16 4.3337e-05 17 1.85198e-07 18 1.43779e-05 19 1.15751e-05 20 4.19748 21 0.000231028 22 3.26671 23 9.38866e-05 24 1.96526e-06 25 1.79117 26 15.6445 27 1.50979 28 0.00038975 29 14.1097 30 9.95623e-06 31 3.08047 32 0.161309 33 0.158181 number of points = 7562 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188 RA = 348.914, Dec = -50.3127 tmin = 806457601, tmax = 806716801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='33251553', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-27 00:04:11.471606', time_epoch_executed='1785135851.47' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2188' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33251553 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33251553/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=806457601.0 && nMetStart<806716801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=806457601.0 && nMetStart<806716801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ft1_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=806457601.0 && nMetStart<806716801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ft1_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits ra=348.914 dec=-50.3127 rad=12.0 tmin=806457601.0 tmax=806716801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.03 user 2.52 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.67 user 0.21 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 545 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits sctable="SC_DATA" Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5910.93396936 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 4.334e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 5.831e-01 1.582e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.028e+00 1.613e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.35081278976e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0033609748679 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33251270/likelihoodResults_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5910.93497134 delta logL = -0.00100198372729 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5910.93397071 delta logL = -1.3568187569e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .22136E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.1260 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0279 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .58288 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 5910.934 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 43 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .22E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.7597 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.5772 1.5683 .95252E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.0277 1.2426 .11484E-04 .60249E-05 4 Prefactor .58311 .93020 -.35895E-05 -.20342E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.57717 Normalizat = 1.02774 Prefactor = 0.583113 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 5910.934 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 251 TOTAL EDM= .22E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.7597 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .75031 1.9880 .95252E-04 -.50587 3 Normalizat 1.0277 1.2426 .11484E-04 -.92107 4 Prefactor .58311 .93020 -.35895E-05 -1.0830 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.24896e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.14656e-06 2 1.60404 3 1.28063 4 0.95654 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 5910.93396936 delta logL = 1.27329258248e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.147e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.577e+00 1.604e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 5.831e-01 9.565e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.028e+00 1.281e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33251270/cmap_HighResolution_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.35e-08', time_completed='2026-07-27 00:06:21.965713', job_id='33251270', GAL2='0.58', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.03', EG='1.03', time_epoch_completed='1785135981.97', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.58', dlogl='1.27e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2188' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 27 00:06:22 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5910.93396936 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 4.334e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 5.831e-01 1.582e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.028e+00 1.613e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.35081278976e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0033609748679 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33251261/likelihoodResults_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5910.93497134 delta logL = -0.00100198372729 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5910.93397071 delta logL = -1.3568187569e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .22136E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.1260 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0279 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .58288 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 5910.934 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 43 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .22E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.7597 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.5772 1.5683 .95252E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.0277 1.2426 .11484E-04 .60249E-05 4 Prefactor .58311 .93020 -.35895E-05 -.20342E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.57717 Normalizat = 1.02774 Prefactor = 0.583113 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 5910.934 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 251 TOTAL EDM= .22E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.7597 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .75031 1.9880 .95252E-04 -.50587 3 Normalizat 1.0277 1.2426 .11484E-04 -.92107 4 Prefactor .58311 .93020 -.35895E-05 -1.0830 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.24896e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.14656e-06 2 1.60404 3 1.28063 4 0.95654 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 5910.93396936 delta logL = 1.27329258248e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.147e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.577e+00 1.604e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 5.831e-01 9.565e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.028e+00 1.281e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33251261/cmap_HighResolution_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.35e-08', time_completed='2026-07-27 00:06:25.982741', job_id='33251261', GAL2='0.58', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.03', EG='1.03', time_epoch_completed='1785135985.98', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.58', dlogl='1.27e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2188' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 27 00:06:26 PDT 2026 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ltcube_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits .....................! real 9.33 user 8.65 sys 0.33 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ltcube_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/expmap_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ltcube_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits .....................! real 66.80 user 61.93 sys 3.93 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 186 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2315.6-5018 @ 348.914 -50.3127 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/cmap_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.72 user 0.21 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/cmap_HighResolution_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.76 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits.....................! real 17.81 user 16.31 sys 0.96 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/expmap_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ltcube_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33251553/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33251553/expmap_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33251553/ltcube_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33251553/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5910.94843103 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5910.93559932 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .63616E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 61.239 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .89530E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .14902E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .13199E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .92211E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 4.8384 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .30896 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 4.3720 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .60815E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 39.555 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 13.511 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 14.437 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 12.192 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 16.861 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .49438E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .67531E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .15257E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .11522E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 2.9444 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .14002E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 3.8832 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .54622E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .19351E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .46040 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 38.409 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .33454 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .59840E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' 12.611 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' .10551E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' 2.0892 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0275 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' .58318 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5910.934 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 243 CALLS 3387 TOTAL EDM= .27E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.8% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .31086E-08 29.376 -.69276E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 61.326 19.631 -.60595E-06 -.17546E-01 3 Prefactor .61062E-09 12.887 -.10685E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .0000 2.1060 .11012E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .27756E-09 6.0270 -.12584E-05** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .0000 2.4083 -.16505E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 4.8367 2.8658 -.78050E-07 -.10032E-03 8 Prefactor .11541E-06 1157.0 -.23134E-06** at limit ** 9 norm 4.4077 4.4334 -.94771E-07 .60958E-03 10 Prefactor .38858E-09 3.5041 -.14110E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 39.974 35.712 -.14895E-05 .15459E-01 12 Prefactor 13.507 6.3764 -.44254E-07 .27647E-02 13 Prefactor 14.432 5.1076 .34554E-06 -.44552E-01 14 Prefactor 12.184 1.5297 -.30309E-08 -.84031E-02 15 Prefactor 16.954 1.0722 -.31079E-08 .25672E-02 16 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.3312 -.38602E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .0000 3.2395 .58728E-06** at limit ** 18 norm .55511E-10 1.8040 -.37165E-07** at limit ** 19 norm .0000 3.6380 .15457E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 2.9185 4.1716 -.27649E-06 -.18099E-02 21 Prefactor .94369E-09 14.136 .12372E-05** at limit ** 22 norm 3.8796 3.2480 -.13349E-07 -.20343E-03 23 Prefactor .38858E-09 5.7399 .10068E-05** at limit ** 24 norm .0000 .42491 .39935E-07** at limit ** 25 norm .46097 1.7495 -.14986E-06 .13262E-02 26 Prefactor 38.401 1.3400 -.85953E-07 .14292E-02 27 Prefactor .31690 7.8359 -.19863E-06 -.43131E-03 28 Prefactor .11102E-08 35.172 -.23885E-05** at limit ** 29 norm 12.635 13.963 -.21785E-05 -.76994E-02 30 Prefactor .0000 2.4714 .90898E-07** at limit ** 31 Prefactor 2.0932 3.0570 -.13442E-07 .87415E-03 32 Normalizat 1.0277 .19132 -.83474E-06 .22833E-04 33 Prefactor .58311 .18836 .99685E-05 .36592E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.10862e-09 Prefactor = 61.3259 Prefactor = 6.10623e-10 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 4.83669 Prefactor = 1.15408e-07 norm = 4.40775 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 Prefactor = 39.9743 Prefactor = 13.5069 Prefactor = 14.432 Prefactor = 12.1844 Prefactor = 16.9541 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 norm = 0 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.91849 Prefactor = 9.4369e-10 norm = 3.87958 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 0 norm = 0.460974 Prefactor = 38.401 Prefactor = 0.316897 Prefactor = 1.11022e-09 norm = 12.6354 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.09315 Normalizat = 1.02774 Prefactor = 0.583113 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5910.934 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 775 CALLS 4162 TOTAL EDM= .15E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .31086E-08 29.334 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 61.326 38.863 .12779E-03 -1.5551 3 Prefactor .61062E-09 12.868 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .0000 2.1058 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .27756E-09 6.0048 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 2.4085 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 4.8367 2.8732 .45710E-03 -1.5664 8 Prefactor .11541E-06 44.134 .17131E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 4.4077 4.4318 .48146E-03 -1.5666 10 Prefactor .38858E-09 3.4683 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 39.974 41.341 .15902E-03 -1.5582 12 Prefactor 13.507 6.7040 .27224E-03 -1.5634 13 Prefactor 14.432 22.228 .26335E-03 -1.5632 14 Prefactor 12.184 8.0676 .28664E-03 -1.5638 15 Prefactor 16.954 25.563 .24364E-03 -1.5626 16 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.3327 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .0000 3.2460 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .55511E-10 1.8062 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .0000 3.6291 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 2.9185 4.1975 .59164E-03 -1.5674 21 Prefactor .94369E-09 14.207 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 3.8796 3.2667 .51180E-03 -1.5669 23 Prefactor .38858E-09 5.7462 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm .0000 .42074 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm .46097 1.7912 .82798E-03 -1.5694 26 Prefactor 38.401 15.644 .16137E-03 -1.5584 27 Prefactor .31690 1.7983 .57431E-02 -1.5697 28 Prefactor .11102E-08 34.640 .15168E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm 12.635 14.110 .28182E-03 -1.5637 30 Prefactor .0000 2.4672 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor 2.0932 3.0805 .71396E-03 -1.5679 32 Normalizat 1.0277 .16123 .42419E-01 -.92107 33 Prefactor .58311 .15806 .61212E-01 -1.0830 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.53313e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000603716 2 38.8632 3 0.000181197 4 4.38334e-06 5 8.37789e-05 6 8.74705e-07 7 2.87319 8 0.00451347 9 4.43179 10 7.19447e-05 11 41.3416 12 6.70403 13 22.2277 14 8.06762 15 25.5631 16 4.3337e-05 17 1.85198e-07 18 1.43779e-05 19 1.15751e-05 20 4.19748 21 0.000231028 22 3.26671 23 9.38866e-05 24 1.96526e-06 25 1.79117 26 15.6445 27 1.50979 28 0.00038975 29 14.1097 30 9.95623e-06 31 3.08047 32 0.161309 33 0.158181 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5910.93396936 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 4.334e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 5.831e-01 1.582e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.028e+00 1.613e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.35081278976e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0033609748679 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33251553/likelihoodResults_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5910.93497134 delta logL = -0.00100198372729 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5910.93397071 delta logL = -1.3568187569e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .22136E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.1260 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0279 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .58288 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 5910.934 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 43 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .22E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.7597 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.5772 1.5683 .95252E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.0277 1.2426 .11484E-04 .60249E-05 4 Prefactor .58311 .93020 -.35895E-05 -.20342E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.57717 Normalizat = 1.02774 Prefactor = 0.583113 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 5910.934 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 251 TOTAL EDM= .22E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.7597 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .75031 1.9880 .95252E-04 -.50587 3 Normalizat 1.0277 1.2426 .11484E-04 -.92107 4 Prefactor .58311 .93020 -.35895E-05 -1.0830 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.24896e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.14656e-06 2 1.60404 3 1.28063 4 0.95654 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 5910.93396936 delta logL = 1.27329258248e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.147e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.577e+00 1.604e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 5.831e-01 9.565e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.028e+00 1.281e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33251553/cmap_HighResolution_806457601_806716801_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2188.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.36e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.35e-08', time_completed='2026-07-27 00:11:18.577539', job_id='33251553', GAL2='0.58', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.03', EG='1.03', time_epoch_completed='1785136278.58', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.58', dlogl='1.27e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2188' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 27 00:11:18 PDT 2026