Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6270.48096917 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 6.267e-08 1.182e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 7.310e-01 1.639e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.062e+00 1.648e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.18120439698e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00400244703809 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27685105/likelihoodResults_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6270.48405123 delta logL = -0.00308206543741 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6270.48097004 delta logL = -8.69070390763e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .15510E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6222 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0617 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .73127 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6270.481 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 50 CALLS 225 TOTAL EDM= .12E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.1997 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .67984 .57699 -.15459E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.0619 1.1894 -.56704E-05 .98055E-04 4 Prefactor .73102 1.0808 .29115E-05 .38983E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.679839 Normalizat = 1.06188 Prefactor = 0.731022 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6270.481 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 234 TOTAL EDM= .12E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.1997 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .77189E-03 .79409 -.15459E-04 -1.0432 3 Normalizat 1.0619 1.1894 -.56704E-05 -.90985 4 Prefactor .73102 1.0808 .29115E-05 -1.0232 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.16583e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.42029e-06 2 0.582163 3 1.22142 4 1.11452 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). hell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6270.48096916 delta logL = 5.61431079404e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.420e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 6.798e-01 5.822e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 7.310e-01 1.115e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.062e+00 1.221e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27685105/cmap_HighResolution_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.00e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.18e-08', time_completed='2026-06-02 20:47:50.559573', job_id='27685105', GAL2='0.73', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.06', EG='1.06', time_epoch_completed='1780458470.56', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.73', dlogl='5.61e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2170' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jun 2 20:47:51 PDT 2026 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27685129/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits.....................! real 18.67 user 16.84 sys 0.92 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27685129/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27685129/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27685129/expmap_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27685129/ltcube_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27685129/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27685129/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27685129/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27685129/expmap_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27685129/ltcube_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27685129/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6270.51803505 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6270.48284423 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .12439E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .51797E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 5.8355 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .19146E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .36274E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .24835E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 3.8729 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 151.10 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .41007 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .96625E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .14848E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 14.077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .16410E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .50135E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 38.064 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .21730E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .65347E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .92079E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .19342E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .56437E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .48399E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .24090E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 4.0158 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .57351 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .36850E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 37.349 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' 1.4157 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 1.7601 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .16915E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' 5.2691 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' .46202 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0614 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' .73101 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6270.481 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 163 CALLS 4478 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.6% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .50404E-07 3.4068 .53944E-07** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .41911E-06 2.1942 -.16166E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 5.8316 3.9417 -.84500E-06 -.48002E-01 4 Prefactor .72164E-09 2.3802 .43001E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .26090E-07 1.8141 .86470E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .21982E-07 2.0479 -.24317E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 3.8625 4.2374 -.69112E-07 -.15896E-02 8 Prefactor 151.00 11.855 -.39444E-06 .29419 9 norm .41071 .72745 -.17428E-06 -.55389E-04 10 Prefactor .77634E-01 15.137 -.25067E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .24786E-06 5.8803 -.28747E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 14.040 6.3731 .96475E-07 .62531E-02 13 Prefactor .79103E-07 13.750 .13518E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .38858E-09 2.0424 .23135E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 37.619 31.546 -.76965E-06 -.32754E-01 16 Prefactor .62672E-07 5.0017 -.27512E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .44631E-07 2.6689 .26330E-06** at limit ** 18 norm .49960E-09 1.8034 -.26833E-06** at limit ** 19 norm .82712E-07 2.6074 -.10691E-05** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .90428E-07 3.1837 -.57155E-06** at limit ** 21 Prefactor .46002E-06 7.7873 -.15616E-05** at limit ** 22 norm .33862E-08 1.2256 .55254E-06** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 3.9859 3.0482 .64946E-06 .93920E-02 24 norm .57360 .62395 .62457E-07 .65670E-03 25 norm .0000 2.7810 -.19346E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 37.356 1.3565 -.35820E-07 -.28191E-02 27 Prefactor 1.4208 2.3238 .22670E-06 .15285E-02 28 Prefactor 1.6965 2.3288 .52830E-06 -.16764E-02 29 norm .53346E-07 3.4566 .61550E-06** at limit ** 30 Prefactor 5.2607 4.2216 -.16445E-06 .83825E-04 31 Prefactor .47520 6.1988 -.93180E-06 -.16526E-02 32 Normalizat 1.0619 .18805 .50451E-05 -.27069E-04 33 Prefactor .73102 .19066 -.16084E-05 .10132E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.04041e-08 Prefactor = 4.19109e-07 Prefactor = 5.83158 Prefactor = 7.21645e-10 Prefactor = 2.60902e-08 Prefactor = 2.19824e-08 Prefactor = 3.86255 Prefactor = 151.001 norm = 0.410709 Prefactor = 0.0776337 Prefactor = 2.47857e-07 Prefactor = 14.0404 Prefactor = 7.91034e-08 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 Prefactor = 37.6186 Prefactor = 6.26721e-08 norm = 4.4631e-08 norm = 4.996e-10 norm = 8.27116e-08 Prefactor = 9.04277e-08 Prefactor = 4.60021e-07 norm = 3.38618e-09 Prefactor = 3.98587 norm = 0.573602 norm = 0 Prefactor = 37.3555 Prefactor = 1.42084 Prefactor = 1.69648 norm = 5.33462e-08 Prefactor = 5.26067 Prefactor = 0.475199 Normalizat = 1.06188 Prefactor = 0.731023 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6270.481 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 769 CALLS 5247 TOTAL EDM= .57E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .50404E-07 8.1862 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .41911E-06 25.189 .15470E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 5.8316 7.9138 .41550E-03 -1.5660 4 Prefactor .72164E-09 2.5268 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .26090E-07 3.2534 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .21982E-07 3.7691 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 3.8625 4.3410 .51250E-03 -1.5669 8 Prefactor 151.00 96.397 .81359E-04 -1.5462 9 norm .41071 4.4601 .88329E-02 -1.5695 10 Prefactor .77634E-01 1.4231 .76908E-02 -1.5702 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .24786E-06 10.284 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 14.040 6.5216 .26670E-03 -1.5633 13 Prefactor .79103E-07 15.553 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .38858E-09 2.0830 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 37.619 32.226 .16210E-03 -1.5585 16 Prefactor .62672E-07 5.5744 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .44631E-07 4.1643 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .49960E-09 1.8432 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .82712E-07 4.6664 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .90428E-07 7.7368 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor .46002E-06 13.311 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm .33862E-08 6.3546 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 3.9859 11.080 .50300E-03 -1.5668 24 norm .57360 .64057 .71635E-03 -1.5693 25 norm .0000 3.4690 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 37.356 15.723 .16365E-03 -1.5586 27 Prefactor 1.4208 3.0509 .90949E-03 -1.5684 28 Prefactor 1.6965 70.696 .78952E-03 -1.5682 29 norm .53346E-07 9.0731 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Prefactor 5.2607 4.2483 .43764E-03 -1.5662 31 Prefactor .47520 1.9924 .57865E-02 -1.5694 32 Normalizat 1.0619 .16469 .39852E-01 -.90985 33 Prefactor .73102 .16380 .42812E-01 -1.0232 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.73798e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00128438 2 0.00649842 3 7.91378 4 8.52533e-05 5 0.000582487 6 0.000575441 7 4.34096 8 96.3976 9 2.7069 10 0.664778 11 0.00319295 12 6.52161 13 0.00221856 14 5.48664e-05 15 32.2263 16 0.00118198 17 0.000862252 18 6.15509e-05 19 0.00124268 20 0.0016729 21 0.00494914 22 0.000292764 23 11.0797 24 0.640568 25 1.12774e-05 26 15.723 27 3.05092 28 21.9032 29 0.00139121 30 4.24834 31 1.94606 32 0.164773 33 0.163907 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6270.48096917 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 6.267e-08 1.182e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 7.310e-01 1.639e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.062e+00 1.648e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.18120439698e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00400244703809 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27685129/likelihoodResults_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6270.48405123 delta logL = -0.00308206543741 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6270.48097004 delta logL = -8.69070390763e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .15510E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6222 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0617 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .73127 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6270.481 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 50 CALLS 225 TOTAL EDM= .12E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.1997 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .67984 .57699 -.15459E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.0619 1.1894 -.56704E-05 .98055E-04 4 Prefactor .73102 1.0808 .29115E-05 .38983E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.679839 Normalizat = 1.06188 Prefactor = 0.731022 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6270.481 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 234 TOTAL EDM= .12E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.1997 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .77189E-03 .79409 -.15459E-04 -1.0432 3 Normalizat 1.0619 1.1894 -.56704E-05 -.90985 4 Prefactor .73102 1.0808 .29115E-05 -1.0232 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.16583e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.42029e-06 2 0.582163 3 1.22142 4 1.11452 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6270.48096916 delta logL = 5.61431079404e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.420e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 6.798e-01 5.822e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 7.310e-01 1.115e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.062e+00 1.221e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27685129/cmap_HighResolution_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.00e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.18e-08', time_completed='2026-06-02 20:49:44.546457', job_id='27685129', GAL2='0.73', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.06', EG='1.06', time_epoch_completed='1780458584.55', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.73', dlogl='5.61e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2170' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jun 2 20:49:45 PDT 2026 number of points = 7412 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170 RA = 348.914, Dec = -50.3127 tmin = 801792001, tmax = 802051201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='27685442', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-06-02 20:47:00.952779', time_epoch_executed='1780458420.95' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2170' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27685442 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27685442/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=801792001.0 && nMetStart<802051201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=801792001.0 && nMetStart<802051201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ft1_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=801792001.0 && nMetStart<802051201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ft1_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits ra=348.914 dec=-50.3127 rad=12.0 tmin=801792001.0 tmax=802051201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.74 user 1.88 sys 0.20 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.92 user 0.19 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 583 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits sctable="SC_DATA" number of points = 7412 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170 RA = 348.914, Dec = -50.3127 tmin = 801792001, tmax = 802051201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='27685482', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-06-02 20:48:01.597890', time_epoch_executed='1780458481.6' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2170' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27685482 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27685482/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=801792001.0 && nMetStart<802051201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=801792001.0 && nMetStart<802051201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ft1_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=801792001.0 && nMetStart<802051201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ft1_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits ra=348.914 dec=-50.3127 rad=12.0 tmin=801792001.0 tmax=802051201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.71 user 1.80 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.91 user 0.18 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 583 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ooutfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ltcube_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits .....................! real 8.49 user 7.47 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ltcube_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/expmap_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ltcube_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits .....................! real 66.88 user 61.90 sys 3.88 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 186 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2315.6-5018 @ 348.914 -50.3127 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/cmap_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.07 user 0.19 sys 0.15 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/cmap_HighResolution_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.85 user 0.21 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcutfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ltcube_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits .....................! real 7.77 user 6.88 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ltcube_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/expmap_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ltcube_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits .....................! real 61.01 user 56.75 sys 3.31 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 186 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2315.6-5018 @ 348.914 -50.3127 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/cmap_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.01 user 0.18 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/cmap_HighResolution_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.90 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcee GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits.....................! real 18.80 user 17.25 sys 0.88 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/expmap_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ltcube_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27685442/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27685442/expmap_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27685442/ltcube_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27685442/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6270.51803505 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6270.48284423 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .12439E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .51797E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 5.8355 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .19146E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .36274E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .24835E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 3.8729 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 151.10 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .41007 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .96625E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .14848E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 14.077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .16410E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .50135E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 38.064 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .21730E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .65347E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .92079E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .19342E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .56437E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .48399E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .24090E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 4.0158 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .57351 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .36850E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 37.349 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' 1.4157 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 1.7601 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .16915E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' 5.2691 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' .46202 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0614 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' .73101 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6270.481 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 163 CALLS 4478 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.6% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .50404E-07 3.4068 .53944E-07** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .41911E-06 2.1942 -.16166E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 5.8316 3.9417 -.84500E-06 -.48002E-01 4 Prefactor .72164E-09 2.3802 .43001E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .26090E-07 1.8141 .86470E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .21982E-07 2.0479 -.24317E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 3.8625 4.2374 -.69112E-07 -.15896E-02 8 Prefactor 151.00 11.855 -.39444E-06 .29419 9 norm .41071 .72745 -.17428E-06 -.55389E-04 10 Prefactor .77634E-01 15.137 -.25067E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .24786E-06 5.8803 -.28747E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 14.040 6.3731 .96475E-07 .62531E-02 13 Prefactor .79103E-07 13.750 .13518E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .38858E-09 2.0424 .23135E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 37.619 31.546 -.76965E-06 -.32754E-01 16 Prefactor .62672E-07 5.0017 -.27512E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .44631E-07 2.6689 .26330E-06** at limit ** 18 norm .49960E-09 1.8034 -.26833E-06** at limit ** 19 norm .82712E-07 2.6074 -.10691E-05** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .90428E-07 3.1837 -.57155E-06** at limit ** 21 Prefactor .46002E-06 7.7873 -.15616E-05** at limit ** 22 norm .33862E-08 1.2256 .55254E-06** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 3.9859 3.0482 .64946E-06 .93920E-02 24 norm .57360 .62395 .62457E-07 .65670E-03 25 norm .0000 2.7810 -.19346E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 37.356 1.3565 -.35820E-07 -.28191E-02 27 Prefactor 1.4208 2.3238 .22670E-06 .15285E-02 28 Prefactor 1.6965 2.3288 .52830E-06 -.16764E-02 29 norm .53346E-07 3.4566 .61550E-06** at limit ** 30 Prefactor 5.2607 4.2216 -.16445E-06 .83825E-04 31 Prefactor .47520 6.1988 -.93180E-06 -.16526E-02 32 Normalizat 1.0619 .18805 .50451E-05 -.27069E-04 33 Prefactor .73102 .19066 -.16084E-05 .10132E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.04041e-08 Prefactor = 4.19109e-07 Prefactor = 5.83158 Prefactor = 7.21645e-10 Prefactor = 2.60902e-08 Prefactor = 2.19824e-08 Prefactor = 3.86255 Prefactor = 151.001 norm = 0.410709 Prefactor = 0.0776337 Prefactor = 2.47857e-07 Prefactor = 14.0404 Prefactor = 7.91034e-08 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 Prefactor = 37.6186 Prefactor = 6.26721e-08 norm = 4.4631e-08 norm = 4.996e-10 norm = 8.27116e-08 Prefactor = 9.04277e-08 Prefactor = 4.60021e-07 norm = 3.38618e-09 Prefactor = 3.98587 norm = 0.573602 norm = 0 Prefactor = 37.3555 Prefactor = 1.42084 Prefactor = 1.69648 norm = 5.33462e-08 Prefactor = 5.26067 Prefactor = 0.475199 Normalizat = 1.06188 Prefactor = 0.731023 GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits.....................! real 17.82 user 16.19 sys 0.95 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/expmap_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ltcube_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27685482/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27685482/expmap_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27685482/ltcube_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27685482/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6270.51803505 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6270.48284423 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .12439E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .51797E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 5.8355 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .19146E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .36274E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .24835E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 3.8729 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 151.10 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .41007 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .96625E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .14848E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 14.077 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .16410E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .50135E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 38.064 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .21730E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .65347E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .92079E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .19342E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .56437E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .48399E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .24090E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 4.0158 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .57351 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .36850E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 37.349 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' 1.4157 1.0000 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6270.481 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 769 CALLS 5247 TOTAL EDM= .57E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .50404E-07 8.1862 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .41911E-06 25.189 .15470E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 5.8316 7.9138 .41550E-03 -1.5660 4 Prefactor .72164E-09 2.5268 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .26090E-07 3.2534 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .21982E-07 3.7691 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 3.8625 4.3410 .51250E-03 -1.5669 8 Prefactor 151.00 96.397 .81359E-04 -1.5462 9 norm .41071 4.4601 .88329E-02 -1.5695 10 Prefactor .77634E-01 1.4231 .76908E-02 -1.5702 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .24786E-06 10.284 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 14.040 6.5216 .26670E-03 -1.5633 13 Prefactor .79103E-07 15.553 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .38858E-09 2.0830 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 37.619 32.226 .16210E-03 -1.5585 16 Prefactor .62672E-07 5.5744 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .44631E-07 4.1643 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .49960E-09 1.8432 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .82712E-07 4.6664 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .90428E-07 7.7368 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor .46002E-06 13.311 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm .33862E-08 6.3546 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 3.9859 11.080 .50300E-03 -1.5668 24 norm .57360 .64057 .71635E-03 -1.5693 25 norm .0000 3.4690 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 37.356 15.723 .16365E-03 -1.5586 27 Prefactor 1.4208 3.0509 .90949E-03 -1.5684 28 Prefactor 1.6965 70.696 .78952E-03 -1.5682 29 norm .53346E-07 9.0731 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Prefactor 5.2607 4.2483 .43764E-03 -1.5662 31 Prefactor .47520 1.9924 .57865E-02 -1.5694 32 Normalizat 1.0619 .16469 .39852E-01 -.90985 33 Prefactor .73102 .16380 .42812E-01 -1.0232 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.73798e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00128438 2 0.00649842 3 7.91378 4 8.52533e-05 5 0.000582487 6 0.000575441 7 4.34096 8 96.3976 9 2.7069 10 0.664778 11 0.00319295 12 6.52161 13 0.00221856 14 5.48664e-05 15 32.2263 16 0.00118198 17 0.000862252 18 6.15509e-05 19 0.00124268 20 0.0016729 21 0.00494914 22 0.000292764 23 11.0797 24 0.640568 25 1.12774e-05 26 15.723 27 3.05092 28 21.9032 29 0.00139121 30 4.24834 31 1.94606 32 0.164773 33 0.163907 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 1.7601 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .16915E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' 5.2691 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' .46202 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0614 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' .73101 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6270.481 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 163 CALLS 4478 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.6% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .50404E-07 3.4068 .53944E-07** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .41911E-06 2.1942 -.16166E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 5.8316 3.9417 -.84500E-06 -.48002E-01 4 Prefactor .72164E-09 2.3802 .43001E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .26090E-07 1.8141 .86470E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .21982E-07 2.0479 -.24317E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 3.8625 4.2374 -.69112E-07 -.15896E-02 8 Prefactor 151.00 11.855 -.39444E-06 .29419 9 norm .41071 .72745 -.17428E-06 -.55389E-04 10 Prefactor .77634E-01 15.137 -.25067E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .24786E-06 5.8803 -.28747E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 14.040 6.3731 .96475E-07 .62531E-02 13 Prefactor .79103E-07 13.750 .13518E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .38858E-09 2.0424 .23135E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 37.619 31.546 -.76965E-06 -.32754E-01 16 Prefactor .62672E-07 5.0017 -.27512E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .44631E-07 2.6689 .26330E-06** at limit ** 18 norm .49960E-09 1.8034 -.26833E-06** at limit ** 19 norm .82712E-07 2.6074 -.10691E-05** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .90428E-07 3.1837 -.57155E-06** at limit ** 21 Prefactor .46002E-06 7.7873 -.15616E-05** at limit ** 22 norm .33862E-08 1.2256 .55254E-06** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 3.9859 3.0482 .64946E-06 .93920E-02 24 norm .57360 .62395 .62457E-07 .65670E-03 25 norm .0000 2.7810 -.19346E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 37.356 1.3565 -.35820E-07 -.28191E-02 27 Prefactor 1.4208 2.3238 .22670E-06 .15285E-02 28 Prefactor 1.6965 2.3288 .52830E-06 -.16764E-02 29 norm .53346E-07 3.4566 .61550E-06** at limit ** 30 Prefactor 5.2607 4.2216 -.16445E-06 .83825E-04 31 Prefactor .47520 6.1988 -.93180E-06 -.16526E-02 32 Normalizat 1.0619 .18805 .50451E-05 -.27069E-04 33 Prefactor .73102 .19066 -.16084E-05 .10132E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.04041e-08 Prefactor = 4.19109e-07 Prefactor = 5.83158 Prefactor = 7.21645e-10 Prefactor = 2.60902e-08 Prefactor = 2.19824e-08 Prefactor = 3.86255 Prefactor = 151.001 norm = 0.410709 Prefactor = 0.0776337 Prefactor = 2.47857e-07 Prefactor = 14.0404 Prefactor = 7.91034e-08 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 Prefactor = 37.6186 Prefactor = 6.26721e-08 norm = 4.4631e-08 norm = 4.996e-10 norm = 8.27116e-08 Prefactor = 9.04277e-08 Prefactor = 4.60021e-07 norm = 3.38618e-09 Prefactor = 3.98587 norm = 0.573602 norm = 0 Prefactor = 37.3555 Prefactor = 1.42084 Prefactor = 1.69648 norm = 5.33462e-08 Prefactor = 5.26067 Prefactor = 0.475199 Normalizat = 1.06188 Prefactor = 0.731023 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6270.481 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 769 CALLS 5247 TOTAL EDM= .57E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .50404E-07 8.1862 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .41911E-06 25.189 .15470E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 5.8316 7.9138 .41550E-03 -1.5660 4 Prefactor .72164E-09 2.5268 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .26090E-07 3.2534 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .21982E-07 3.7691 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 3.8625 4.3410 .51250E-03 -1.5669 8 Prefactor 151.00 96.397 .81359E-04 -1.5462 9 norm .41071 4.4601 .88329E-02 -1.5695 10 Prefactor .77634E-01 1.4231 .76908E-02 -1.5702 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .24786E-06 10.284 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 14.040 6.5216 .26670E-03 -1.5633 13 Prefactor .79103E-07 15.553 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .38858E-09 2.0830 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 37.619 32.226 .16210E-03 -1.5585 16 Prefactor .62672E-07 5.5744 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .44631E-07 4.1643 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .49960E-09 1.8432 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .82712E-07 4.6664 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .90428E-07 7.7368 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor .46002E-06 13.311 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm .33862E-08 6.3546 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 3.9859 11.080 .50300E-03 -1.5668 24 norm .57360 .64057 .71635E-03 -1.5693 25 norm .0000 3.4690 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 37.356 15.723 .16365E-03 -1.5586 27 Prefactor 1.4208 3.0509 .90949E-03 -1.5684 28 Prefactor 1.6965 70.696 .78952E-03 -1.5682 29 norm .53346E-07 9.0731 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Prefactor 5.2607 4.2483 .43764E-03 -1.5662 31 Prefactor .47520 1.9924 .57865E-02 -1.5694 32 Normalizat 1.0619 .16469 .39852E-01 -.90985 33 Prefactor .73102 .16380 .42812E-01 -1.0232 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.73798e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00128438 2 0.00649842 3 7.91378 4 8.52533e-05 5 0.000582487 6 0.000575441 7 4.34096 8 96.3976 9 2.7069 10 0.664778 11 0.00319295 12 6.52161 13 0.00221856 14 5.48664e-05 15 32.2263 16 0.00118198 17 0.000862252 18 6.15509e-05 19 0.00124268 20 0.0016729 21 0.00494914 22 0.000292764 23 11.0797 24 0.640568 25 1.12774e-05 26 15.723 27 3.05092 28 21.9032 29 0.00139121 30 4.24834 31 1.94606 32 0.164773 33 0.163907 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6270.48096917 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 6.267e-08 1.182e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 7.310e-01 1.639e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.062e+00 1.648e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.18120439698e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00400244703809 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27685442/likelihoodResults_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6270.48405123 delta logL = -0.00308206543741 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6270.48097004 delta logL = -8.69070390763e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .15510E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6222 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0617 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .73127 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6270.481 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 50 CALLS 225 TOTAL EDM= .12E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.1997 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .67984 .57699 -.15459E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.0619 1.1894 -.56704E-05 .98055E-04 4 Prefactor .73102 1.0808 .29115E-05 .38983E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.679839 Normalizat = 1.06188 Prefactor = 0.731022 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6270.481 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 234 TOTAL EDM= .12E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.1997 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .77189E-03 .79409 -.15459E-04 -1.0432 3 Normalizat 1.0619 1.1894 -.56704E-05 -.90985 4 Prefactor .73102 1.0808 .29115E-05 -1.0232 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.16583e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.42029e-06 2 0.582163 3 1.22142 4 1.11452 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6270.48096916 delta logL = 5.61431079404e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.420e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 6.798e-01 5.822e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 7.310e-01 1.115e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.062e+00 1.221e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27685442/cmap_HighResolution_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.00e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.18e-08', time_completed='2026-06-02 20:55:48.124356', job_id='27685442', GAL2='0.73', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.06', EG='1.06', time_epoch_completed='1780458948.12', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.73', dlogl='5.61e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2170' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jun 2 20:55:48 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6270.48096917 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 6.267e-08 1.182e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 7.310e-01 1.639e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.062e+00 1.648e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.18120439698e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00400244703809 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27685482/likelihoodResults_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6270.48405123 delta logL = -0.00308206543741 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6270.48097004 delta logL = -8.69070390763e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .15510E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6222 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0617 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .73127 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6270.481 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 50 CALLS 225 TOTAL EDM= .12E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.1997 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .67984 .57699 -.15459E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.0619 1.1894 -.56704E-05 .98055E-04 4 Prefactor .73102 1.0808 .29115E-05 .38983E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.679839 Normalizat = 1.06188 Prefactor = 0.731022 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6270.481 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 234 TOTAL EDM= .12E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.1997 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .77189E-03 .79409 -.15459E-04 -1.0432 3 Normalizat 1.0619 1.1894 -.56704E-05 -.90985 4 Prefactor .73102 1.0808 .29115E-05 -1.0232 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.16583e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.42029e-06 2 0.582163 3 1.22142 4 1.11452 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6270.48096916 delta logL = 5.61431079404e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.420e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 6.798e-01 5.822e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 7.310e-01 1.115e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.062e+00 1.221e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27685482/cmap_HighResolution_801792001_802051201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2170.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.00e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.18e-08', time_completed='2026-06-02 20:56:18.135236', job_id='27685482', GAL2='0.73', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.06', EG='1.06', time_epoch_completed='1780458978.14', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.73', dlogl='5.61e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2170' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jun 2 20:56:18 PDT 2026