********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 773 CALLS 5442 TOTAL EDM= .19E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 14.026 16.886 .26708E-03 -1.5633 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 12.819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.8593 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.4342 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3828 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 8.3045 15.623 .34773E-03 -1.5650 7 Prefactor 12.908 6.0732 .27910E-03 -1.5636 8 Prefactor 19.837 275.13 .22522E-03 -1.5619 9 norm .85376E-07 13.174 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 3.2622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 3.3203 108.13 .56703E-03 -1.5672 12 Prefactor 3.2443 6.0481 .56921E-03 -1.5672 13 Prefactor 45.198 36.003 .14866E-03 -1.5574 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 4.1841 .87609E-02 -1.5706 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 9.7313 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 7.2240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0877 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .43299E-08 3.1332 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8880 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 10.818 7.7473 .30430E-03 -1.5642 21 Prefactor 35.459 34.872 .16841E-03 -1.5589 22 norm .39413E-08 3.2307 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 11.390 17.475 .29622E-03 -1.5640 24 norm .28834 .78160 .22774E-02 -1.5697 25 norm .0000 1.4985 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 16.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Prefactor .34051 2.6156 .63171E-02 -1.5696 28 Prefactor 5.6970 20.709 .41987E-03 -1.5660 29 norm 7.2340 20.921 .38211E-03 -1.5654 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 15.418 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 2.9620 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .19640 .43207E-01 -.92331 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .19611 .57304E-01 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.89841e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.8862 2 0.00316835 3 0.000663239 4 0.00255346 5 0.000937313 6 15.6227 7 6.07316 8 147.761 9 0.00212105 10 8.50799e-05 11 37.8966 12 6.04807 13 36.0034 14 0.501638 15 0.00455493 16 0.00356964 17 0.000748261 18 0.000233508 19 1.96353e-05 20 7.7473 21 34.8725 22 0.000226037 23 17.4748 24 0.781604 25 1.16635e-05 26 0.00174155 27 1.88749 28 20.7096 29 20.9217 30 0.000479184 31 0.000591407 32 0.196542 33 0.196232 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) number of points = 7514 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167 RA = 348.914, Dec = -50.3127 tmin = 801014401, tmax = 801273601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='27168952', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-05-24 17:07:10.036361', time_epoch_executed='1779667630.04' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2167' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27168952 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27168952/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=801014401.0 && nMetStart<801273601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=801014401.0 && nMetStart<801273601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ft1_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=801014401.0 && nMetStart<801273601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ft1_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits ra=348.914 dec=-50.3127 rad=12.0 tmin=801014401.0 tmax=801273601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.45 user 1.80 sys 0.15 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.83 user 0.18 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 552 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27168117/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits.....................! real 18.65 user 17.05 sys 0.93 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27168117/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27168117/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27168117/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27168117/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27168117/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168117/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168117/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27168117/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27168117/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27168117/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73075753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73204014 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 14.037 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .67992E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .22362E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .35750E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .54166E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 8.3006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 12.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 19.727 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .28049E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .58265E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 3.1906 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 3.1674 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 45.255 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22338 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .22554E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .15374E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .61241E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .55033E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .42690E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 10.823 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 35.268 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .23886E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 11.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .28835 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .46343E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .54478E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .37647 1.0000 number of points = 7514 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73058458 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.410e-07 3.570e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 1.962e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 1.965e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40261253253e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00494597695892 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27168083/likelihoodResults_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.74923602 delta logL = -0.0186514458319 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058579 delta logL = -1.21568518807e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .87599E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6215 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0208 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1467 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 74 CALLS 266 TOTAL EDM= .56E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .19674 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .70574 5.0402 .50000 -.27285E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .16159E-02 .43239E-01 .24074E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .17036E-02 .57304E-01 .15215E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Index = 0.705743 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 25 CALLS 291 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .98217 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .70574 6.2966 .50000 -1.0330 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .36098E-02 .25417E-03 -.92331 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .38045E-02 .25340E-03 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 2.67428e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.05218e-05 2 60295 3 0.00360981 4 0.00380452 Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167 RA = 348.914, Dec = -50.3127 tmin = 801014401, tmax = 801273601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='27168961', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-05-24 17:07:18.812525', time_epoch_executed='1779667638.81' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2167' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27168961 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27168961/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=801014401.0 && nMetStart<801273601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=801014401.0 && nMetStart<801273601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ft1_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=801014401.0 && nMetStart<801273601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ft1_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits ra=348.914 dec=-50.3127 rad=12.0 tmin=801014401.0 tmax=801273601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.74 user 2.05 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.72 user 0.19 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 552 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058455 delta logL = 3.04626155412e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.052e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 7.057e-01 6.030e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 3.805e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 3.610e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27168083/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.95e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', time_completed='2026-05-24 17:10:26.038451', job_id='27168083', GAL2='1.15', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.02', EG='1.02', time_epoch_completed='1779667826.04', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.15', dlogl='3.05e-08', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2167' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun May 24 17:10:26 PDT 2026 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 5.7165 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' 6.8854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' .52494E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' .24624E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0210 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' 1.1463 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 172 CALLS 4669 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 14.026 1.0619 -.59089E-08 -.14021E-02 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 6.4306 .22016E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.5799 -.49451E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.1577 -.32502E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3058 -.49208E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 8.3045 1.7341 -.88698E-08 .51533E-02 7 Prefactor 12.908 5.8950 -.40309E-07 .16139E-03 8 Prefactor 19.837 18.414 -.56395E-07 -.12988 9 norm .85376E-07 3.7743 .19445E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 .76529 .29891E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 3.3203 10.379 -.28354E-06 -.16980E-02 12 Prefactor 3.2443 5.9004 -.95776E-07 .17453E-03 13 Prefactor 45.198 10.378 .10419E-06 -.35362E-01 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 36.205 .67883E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 8.6874 .31115E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 6.5733 -.12709E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0087 -.27336E-07** at limit ** 18 norm .43299E-08 2.5442 .37762E-07** at limit ** 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8867 .34891E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 10.818 6.7073 -.10065E-07 -.41144E-02 21 Prefactor 35.459 30.215 -.32587E-06 .68510E-01 22 norm .39413E-08 1.8954 .53092E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 11.390 2.1837 -.76610E-08 -.52073E-02 24 norm .28834 .66820 -.91827E-07 -.65574E-02 25 norm .0000 1.4992 .40546E-07** at limit ** 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 9.2406 .71264E-07** at limit ** 27 Prefactor .34051 9.6295 -.23384E-06 -.10694E-02 28 Prefactor 5.6970 4.6565 -.14708E-06 .76309E-02 29 norm 7.2340 17.655 -.27722E-06 -.81639E-02 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 2.7997 .84466E-07** at limit ** 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 1.5109 .15043E-07** at limit ** 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .22656 .20962E-05 .22502E-03 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .23384 .16629E-05 .23429E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 14.0263 Prefactor = 1.95788e-07 Prefactor = 3.84692e-08 Prefactor = 2.53353e-07 Prefactor = 5.01266e-08 Prefactor = 8.30447 Prefactor = 12.9084 Prefactor = 19.8367 norm = 8.53762e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 3.32028 Prefactor = 3.24433 Prefactor = 45.1977 Prefactor = 0.0150357 Prefactor = 5.33018e-07 Prefactor = 4.40981e-07 norm = 3.42504e-08 norm = 4.32987e-09 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 10.8184 Prefactor = 35.4595 norm = 3.94129e-09 Prefactor = 11.3896 norm = 0.288335 norm = 0 Prefactor = 4.4742e-08 Prefactor = 0.340514 Prefactor = 5.69695 norm = 7.23395 Prefactor = 3.71925e-09 Prefactor = 2.95319e-08 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168727/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27168727/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits .....................! real 8.24 user 7.36 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168727/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168727/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27168727/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168727/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27168727/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits .....................! real 64.92 user 60.31 sys 3.83 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 186 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2315.6-5018 @ 348.914 -50.3127 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168727/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168727/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168727/cmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.93 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168727/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168727/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168727/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.91 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168727/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168727/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27168727/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcoutfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168859/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27168859/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits .....................! real 8.24 user 7.44 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168859/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168859/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27168859/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168859/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27168859/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits .....................! real 65.12 user 60.47 sys 3.89 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 186 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2315.6-5018 @ 348.914 -50.3127 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168859/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168859/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168859/cmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.87 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168859/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168859/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168859/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.75 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168859/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168859/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27168859/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcoutfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168725/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27168725/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits .....................! real 8.21 user 7.42 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168725/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168725/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27168725/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168725/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27168725/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits .....................! real 65.07 user 60.30 sys 3.92 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 186 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2315.6-5018 @ 348.914 -50.3127 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168725/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168725/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168725/cmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.89 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168725/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168725/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168725/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.78 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168725/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168725/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27168725/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcoutfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168672/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27168672/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits .....................! real 8.30 user 7.53 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168672/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168672/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27168672/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168672/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27168672/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits .....................! real 67.77 user 62.76 sys 4.06 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 186 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2315.6-5018 @ 348.914 -50.3127 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168672/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168672/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168672/cmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.96 user 0.27 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168672/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168672/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168672/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.01 user 0.26 sys 0.15 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168672/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168672/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27168672/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27168138/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits.....................! real 17.94 user 16.48 sys 0.98 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27168138/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27168138/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27168138/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27168138/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27168138/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168138/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168138/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27168138/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27168138/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27168138/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73075753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73204014 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 14.037 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .67992E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .22362E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .35750E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .54166E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 8.3006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 12.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 19.727 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .28049E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .58265E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 3.1906 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 3.1674 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 45.255 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22338 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .22554E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .15374E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .61241E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .55033E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .42690E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 10.823 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 35.268 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .23886E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 11.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .28835 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .46343E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .54478E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .37647 1.0000 number of points = 7514 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. number of points = 7514 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167 RA = 348.914, Dec = -50.3127 tmin = 801014401, tmax = 801273601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='27168901', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-05-24 17:07:18.176613', time_epoch_executed='1779667638.18' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2167' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27168901 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27168901/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=801014401.0 && nMetStart<801273601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=801014401.0 && nMetStart<801273601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ft1_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=801014401.0 && nMetStart<801273601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ft1_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits ra=348.914 dec=-50.3127 rad=12.0 tmin=801014401.0 tmax=801273601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.06 user 2.01 sys 0.16 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.06 user 0.20 sys 0.18 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 552 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 5.7165 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' 6.8854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' .52494E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' .24624E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0210 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' 1.1463 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 172 CALLS 4669 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 14.026 1.0619 -.59089E-08 -.14021E-02 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 6.4306 .22016E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.5799 -.49451E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.1577 -.32502E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3058 -.49208E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 8.3045 1.7341 -.88698E-08 .51533E-02 7 Prefactor 12.908 5.8950 -.40309E-07 .16139E-03 8 Prefactor 19.837 18.414 -.56395E-07 -.12988 9 norm .85376E-07 3.7743 .19445E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 .76529 .29891E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 3.3203 10.379 -.28354E-06 -.16980E-02 12 Prefactor 3.2443 5.9004 -.95776E-07 .17453E-03 13 Prefactor 45.198 10.378 .10419E-06 -.35362E-01 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 36.205 .67883E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 8.6874 .31115E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 6.5733 -.12709E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0087 -.27336E-07** at limit ** 18 norm .43299E-08 2.5442 .37762E-07** at limit ** 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8867 .34891E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 10.818 6.7073 -.10065E-07 -.41144E-02 21 Prefactor 35.459 30.215 -.32587E-06 .68510E-01 22 norm .39413E-08 1.8954 .53092E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 11.390 2.1837 -.76610E-08 -.52073E-02 24 norm .28834 .66820 -.91827E-07 -.65574E-02 25 norm .0000 1.4992 .40546E-07** at limit ** 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 9.2406 .71264E-07** at limit ** 27 Prefactor .34051 9.6295 -.23384E-06 -.10694E-02 28 Prefactor 5.6970 4.6565 -.14708E-06 .76309E-02 29 norm 7.2340 17.655 -.27722E-06 -.81639E-02 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 2.7997 .84466E-07** at limit ** 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 1.5109 .15043E-07** at limit ** 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .22656 .20962E-05 .22502E-03 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .23384 .16629E-05 .23429E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 14.0263 Prefactor = 1.95788e-07 Prefactor = 3.84692e-08 Prefactor = 2.53353e-07 Prefactor = 5.01266e-08 Prefactor = 8.30447 Prefactor = 12.9084 Prefactor = 19.8367 norm = 8.53762e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 3.32028 Prefactor = 3.24433 Prefactor = 45.1977 Prefactor = 0.0150357 Prefactor = 5.33018e-07 Prefactor = 4.40981e-07 norm = 3.42504e-08 norm = 4.32987e-09 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 10.8184 Prefactor = 35.4595 norm = 3.94129e-09 Prefactor = 11.3896 norm = 0.288335 norm = 0 Prefactor = 4.4742e-08 Prefactor = 0.340514 Prefactor = 5.69695 norm = 7.23395 Prefactor = 3.71925e-09 Prefactor = 2.95319e-08 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167 RA = 348.914, Dec = -50.3127 tmin = 801014401, tmax = 801273601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='27168900', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-05-24 17:07:18.176633', time_epoch_executed='1779667638.18' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2167' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27168900 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27168900/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=801014401.0 && nMetStart<801273601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=801014401.0 && nMetStart<801273601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ft1_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=801014401.0 && nMetStart<801273601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ft1_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits ra=348.914 dec=-50.3127 rad=12.0 tmin=801014401.0 tmax=801273601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.31 user 2.08 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.25 user 0.22 sys 0.15 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 552 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 773 CALLS 5442 TOTAL EDM= .19E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 14.026 16.886 .26708E-03 -1.5633 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 12.819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.8593 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.4342 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3828 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 8.3045 15.623 .34773E-03 -1.5650 7 Prefactor 12.908 6.0732 .27910E-03 -1.5636 8 Prefactor 19.837 275.13 .22522E-03 -1.5619 9 norm .85376E-07 13.174 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 3.2622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 3.3203 108.13 .56703E-03 -1.5672 12 Prefactor 3.2443 6.0481 .56921E-03 -1.5672 13 Prefactor 45.198 36.003 .14866E-03 -1.5574 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 4.1841 .87609E-02 -1.5706 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 9.7313 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 7.2240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0877 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .43299E-08 3.1332 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8880 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 10.818 7.7473 .30430E-03 -1.5642 21 Prefactor 35.459 34.872 .16841E-03 -1.5589 22 norm .39413E-08 3.2307 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 11.390 17.475 .29622E-03 -1.5640 24 norm .28834 .78160 .22774E-02 -1.5697 25 norm .0000 1.4985 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 16.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Prefactor .34051 2.6156 .63171E-02 -1.5696 28 Prefactor 5.6970 20.709 .41987E-03 -1.5660 29 norm 7.2340 20.921 .38211E-03 -1.5654 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 15.418 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 2.9620 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .19640 .43207E-01 -.92331 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .19611 .57304E-01 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.89841e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.8862 2 0.00316835 3 0.000663239 4 0.00255346 5 0.000937313 6 15.6227 7 6.07316 8 147.761 9 0.00212105 10 8.50799e-05 11 37.8966 12 6.04807 13 36.0034 14 0.501638 15 0.00455493 16 0.00356964 17 0.000748261 18 0.000233508 19 1.96353e-05 20 7.7473 21 34.8725 22 0.000226037 23 17.4748 24 0.781604 25 1.16635e-05 26 0.00174155 27 1.88749 28 20.7096 29 20.9217 30 0.000479184 31 0.000591407 32 0.196542 33 0.196232 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27168319/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits.....................! real 18.26 user 16.93 sys 0.78 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27168319/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27168319/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27168319/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27168319/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27168319/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168319/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168319/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27168319/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27168319/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27168319/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73075753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73204014 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 14.037 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .67992E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .22362E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .35750E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .54166E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 8.3006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 12.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 19.727 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .28049E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .58265E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 3.1906 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 3.1674 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 45.255 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22338 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .22554E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .15374E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .61241E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .55033E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .42690E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 10.823 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 35.268 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .23886E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 11.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .28835 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .46343E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .54478E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .37647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 5.7165 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' 6.8854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' .52494E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' .24624E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0210 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' 1.1463 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 172 CALLS 4669 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 14.026 1.0619 -.59089E-08 -.14021E-02 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 6.4306 .22016E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.5799 -.49451E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.1577 -.32502E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3058 -.49208E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 8.3045 1.7341 -.88698E-08 .51533E-02 7 Prefactor 12.908 5.8950 -.40309E-07 .16139E-03 8 Prefactor 19.837 18.414 -.56395E-07 -.12988 9 norm .85376E-07 3.7743 .19445E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 .76529 .29891E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 3.3203 10.379 -.28354E-06 -.16980E-02 12 Prefactor 3.2443 5.9004 -.95776E-07 .17453E-03 13 Prefactor 45.198 10.378 .10419E-06 -.35362E-01 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 36.205 .67883E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 8.6874 .31115E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 6.5733 -.12709E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0087 -.27336E-07** at limit ** 18 norm .43299E-08 2.5442 .37762E-07** at limit ** 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8867 .34891E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 10.818 6.7073 -.10065E-07 -.41144E-02 21 Prefactor 35.459 30.215 -.32587E-06 .68510E-01 22 norm .39413E-08 1.8954 .53092E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 11.390 2.1837 -.76610E-08 -.52073E-02 24 norm .28834 .66820 -.91827E-07 -.65574E-02 25 norm .0000 1.4992 .40546E-07** at limit ** 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 9.2406 .71264E-07** at limit ** 27 Prefactor .34051 9.6295 -.23384E-06 -.10694E-02 28 Prefactor 5.6970 4.6565 -.14708E-06 .76309E-02 29 norm 7.2340 17.655 -.27722E-06 -.81639E-02 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 2.7997 .84466E-07** at limit ** 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 1.5109 .15043E-07** at limit ** 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .22656 .20962E-05 .22502E-03 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .23384 .16629E-05 .23429E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 14.0263 Prefactor = 1.95788e-07 Prefactor = 3.84692e-08 Prefactor = 2.53353e-07 Prefactor = 5.01266e-08 Prefactor = 8.30447 Prefactor = 12.9084 Prefactor = 19.8367 norm = 8.53762e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 3.32028 Prefactor = 3.24433 Prefactor = 45.1977 Prefactor = 0.0150357 Prefactor = 5.33018e-07 Prefactor = 4.40981e-07 norm = 3.42504e-08 norm = 4.32987e-09 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 10.8184 Prefactor = 35.4595 norm = 3.94129e-09 Prefactor = 11.3896 norm = 0.288335 norm = 0 Prefactor = 4.4742e-08 Prefactor = 0.340514 Prefactor = 5.69695 norm = 7.23395 Prefactor = 3.71925e-09 Prefactor = 2.95319e-08 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 773 CALLS 5442 TOTAL EDM= .19E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 14.026 16.886 .26708E-03 -1.5633 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 12.819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.8593 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.4342 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3828 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 8.3045 15.623 .34773E-03 -1.5650 7 Prefactor 12.908 6.0732 .27910E-03 -1.5636 8 Prefactor 19.837 275.13 .22522E-03 -1.5619 9 norm .85376E-07 13.174 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 3.2622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 3.3203 108.13 .56703E-03 -1.5672 12 Prefactor 3.2443 6.0481 .56921E-03 -1.5672 13 Prefactor 45.198 36.003 .14866E-03 -1.5574 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 4.1841 .87609E-02 -1.5706 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 9.7313 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 7.2240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0877 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .43299E-08 3.1332 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8880 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 10.818 7.7473 .30430E-03 -1.5642 21 Prefactor 35.459 34.872 .16841E-03 -1.5589 22 norm .39413E-08 3.2307 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 11.390 17.475 .29622E-03 -1.5640 24 norm .28834 .78160 .22774E-02 -1.5697 25 norm .0000 1.4985 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 16.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Prefactor .34051 2.6156 .63171E-02 -1.5696 28 Prefactor 5.6970 20.709 .41987E-03 -1.5660 29 norm 7.2340 20.921 .38211E-03 -1.5654 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 15.418 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 2.9620 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .19640 .43207E-01 -.92331 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .19611 .57304E-01 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.89841e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.8862 2 0.00316835 3 0.000663239 4 0.00255346 5 0.000937313 6 15.6227 7 6.07316 8 147.761 9 0.00212105 10 8.50799e-05 11 37.8966 12 6.04807 13 36.0034 14 0.501638 15 0.00455493 16 0.00356964 17 0.000748261 18 0.000233508 19 1.96353e-05 20 7.7473 21 34.8725 22 0.000226037 23 17.4748 24 0.781604 25 1.16635e-05 26 0.00174155 27 1.88749 28 20.7096 29 20.9217 30 0.000479184 31 0.000591407 32 0.196542 33 0.196232 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73058458 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.410e-07 3.570e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 1.962e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 1.965e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40261253253e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00494597695892 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27168117/likelihoodResults_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.74923602 delta logL = -0.0186514458319 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058579 delta logL = -1.21568518807e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .87599E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6215 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0208 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1467 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 74 CALLS 266 TOTAL EDM= .56E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .19674 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .70574 5.0402 .50000 -.27285E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .16159E-02 .43239E-01 .24074E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .17036E-02 .57304E-01 .15215E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Index = 0.705743 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 25 CALLS 291 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .98217 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .70574 6.2966 .50000 -1.0330 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .36098E-02 .25417E-03 -.92331 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .38045E-02 .25340E-03 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 2.67428e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.05218e-05 2 60295 3 0.00360981 4 0.00380452 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058455 delta logL = 3.04626155412e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.052e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 7.057e-01 6.030e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 3.805e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 3.610e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27168117/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.95e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', time_completed='2026-05-24 17:11:33.827053', job_id='27168117', GAL2='1.15', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.02', EG='1.02', time_epoch_completed='1779667893.83', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.15', dlogl='3.05e-08', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2167' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun May 24 17:11:34 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 773 CALLS 5442 TOTAL EDM= .19E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 14.026 16.886 .26708E-03 -1.5633 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 12.819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.8593 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.4342 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3828 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 8.3045 15.623 .34773E-03 -1.5650 7 Prefactor 12.908 6.0732 .27910E-03 -1.5636 8 Prefactor 19.837 275.13 .22522E-03 -1.5619 9 norm .85376E-07 13.174 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 3.2622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 3.3203 108.13 .56703E-03 -1.5672 12 Prefactor 3.2443 6.0481 .56921E-03 -1.5672 13 Prefactor 45.198 36.003 .14866E-03 -1.5574 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 4.1841 .87609E-02 -1.5706 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 9.7313 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 7.2240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0877 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .43299E-08 3.1332 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8880 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 10.818 7.7473 .30430E-03 -1.5642 21 Prefactor 35.459 34.872 .16841E-03 -1.5589 22 norm .39413E-08 3.2307 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 11.390 17.475 .29622E-03 -1.5640 24 norm .28834 .78160 .22774E-02 -1.5697 25 norm .0000 1.4985 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 16.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Prefactor .34051 2.6156 .63171E-02 -1.5696 28 Prefactor 5.6970 20.709 .41987E-03 -1.5660 29 norm 7.2340 20.921 .38211E-03 -1.5654 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 15.418 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 2.9620 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .19640 .43207E-01 -.92331 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .19611 .57304E-01 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.89841e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.8862 2 0.00316835 3 0.000663239 4 0.00255346 5 0.000937313 6 15.6227 7 6.07316 8 147.761 9 0.00212105 10 8.50799e-05 11 37.8966 12 6.04807 13 36.0034 14 0.501638 15 0.00455493 16 0.00356964 17 0.000748261 18 0.000233508 19 1.96353e-05 20 7.7473 21 34.8725 22 0.000226037 23 17.4748 24 0.781604 25 1.16635e-05 26 0.00174155 27 1.88749 28 20.7096 29 20.9217 30 0.000479184 31 0.000591407 32 0.196542 33 0.196232 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits .....................! real 7.65 user 6.90 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits .....................! real 61.52 user 57.11 sys 3.68 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 186 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2315.6-5018 @ 348.914 -50.3127 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/cmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.69 user 0.22 sys 0.10 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.83 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73058458 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.410e-07 3.570e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 1.962e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 1.965e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40261253253e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00494597695892 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27168138/likelihoodResults_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.74923602 delta logL = -0.0186514458319 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058579 delta logL = -1.21568518807e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .87599E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6215 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0208 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1467 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 74 CALLS 266 TOTAL EDM= .56E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .19674 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .70574 5.0402 .50000 -.27285E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .16159E-02 .43239E-01 .24074E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .17036E-02 .57304E-01 .15215E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Index = 0.705743 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 25 CALLS 291 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .98217 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .70574 6.2966 .50000 -1.0330 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .36098E-02 .25417E-03 -.92331 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .38045E-02 .25340E-03 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 2.67428e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.05218e-05 2 60295 3 0.00360981 4 0.00380452 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058455 delta logL = 3.04626155412e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.052e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 7.057e-01 6.030e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 3.805e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 3.610e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27168138/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.95e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', time_completed='2026-05-24 17:12:00.618791', job_id='27168138', GAL2='1.15', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.02', EG='1.02', time_epoch_completed='1779667920.62', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.15', dlogl='3.05e-08', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2167' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun May 24 17:12:01 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27168350/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits.....................! real 17.84 user 16.59 sys 0.69 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27168350/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27168350/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27168350/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27168350/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27168350/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168350/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168350/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27168350/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27168350/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27168350/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73075753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73204014 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 14.037 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .67992E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .22362E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .35750E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .54166E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 8.3006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 12.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 19.727 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .28049E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .58265E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 3.1906 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 3.1674 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 45.255 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22338 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .22554E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .15374E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .61241E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .55033E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .42690E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 10.823 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 35.268 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .23886E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 11.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .28835 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .46343E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .54478E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .37647 1.0000 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits .....................! real 8.82 user 8.05 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits .....................! real 68.85 user 64.35 sys 3.71 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 186 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2315.6-5018 @ 348.914 -50.3127 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/cmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.85 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.82 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourc .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 5.7165 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' 6.8854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' .52494E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' .24624E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0210 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' 1.1463 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 172 CALLS 4669 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 14.026 1.0619 -.59089E-08 -.14021E-02 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 6.4306 .22016E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.5799 -.49451E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.1577 -.32502E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3058 -.49208E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 8.3045 1.7341 -.88698E-08 .51533E-02 7 Prefactor 12.908 5.8950 -.40309E-07 .16139E-03 8 Prefactor 19.837 18.414 -.56395E-07 -.12988 9 norm .85376E-07 3.7743 .19445E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 .76529 .29891E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 3.3203 10.379 -.28354E-06 -.16980E-02 12 Prefactor 3.2443 5.9004 -.95776E-07 .17453E-03 13 Prefactor 45.198 10.378 .10419E-06 -.35362E-01 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 36.205 .67883E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 8.6874 .31115E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 6.5733 -.12709E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0087 -.27336E-07** at limit ** 18 norm .43299E-08 2.5442 .37762E-07** at limit ** 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8867 .34891E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 10.818 6.7073 -.10065E-07 -.41144E-02 21 Prefactor 35.459 30.215 -.32587E-06 .68510E-01 22 norm .39413E-08 1.8954 .53092E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 11.390 2.1837 -.76610E-08 -.52073E-02 24 norm .28834 .66820 -.91827E-07 -.65574E-02 25 norm .0000 1.4992 .40546E-07** at limit ** 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 9.2406 .71264E-07** at limit ** 27 Prefactor .34051 9.6295 -.23384E-06 -.10694E-02 28 Prefactor 5.6970 4.6565 -.14708E-06 .76309E-02 29 norm 7.2340 17.655 -.27722E-06 -.81639E-02 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 2.7997 .84466E-07** at limit ** 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 1.5109 .15043E-07** at limit ** 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .22656 .20962E-05 .22502E-03 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .23384 .16629E-05 .23429E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 14.0263 Prefactor = 1.95788e-07 Prefactor = 3.84692e-08 Prefactor = 2.53353e-07 Prefactor = 5.01266e-08 Prefactor = 8.30447 Prefactor = 12.9084 Prefactor = 19.8367 norm = 8.53762e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 3.32028 Prefactor = 3.24433 Prefactor = 45.1977 Prefactor = 0.0150357 Prefactor = 5.33018e-07 Prefactor = 4.40981e-07 norm = 3.42504e-08 norm = 4.32987e-09 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 10.8184 Prefactor = 35.4595 norm = 3.94129e-09 Prefactor = 11.3896 norm = 0.288335 norm = 0 Prefactor = 4.4742e-08 Prefactor = 0.340514 Prefactor = 5.69695 norm = 7.23395 Prefactor = 3.71925e-09 Prefactor = 2.95319e-08 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73058458 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.410e-07 3.570e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 1.962e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 1.965e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40261253253e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00494597695892 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27168319/likelihoodResults_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.74923602 delta logL = -0.0186514458319 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058579 delta logL = -1.21568518807e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .87599E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6215 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0208 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1467 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 74 CALLS 266 TOTAL EDM= .56E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .19674 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .70574 5.0402 .50000 -.27285E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .16159E-02 .43239E-01 .24074E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .17036E-02 .57304E-01 .15215E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Index = 0.705743 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 25 CALLS 291 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .98217 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .70574 6.2966 .50000 -1.0330 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .36098E-02 .25417E-03 -.92331 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .38045E-02 .25340E-03 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 2.67428e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.05218e-05 2 60295 3 0.00360981 4 0.00380452 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27168570/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits.....................! real 18.11 user 16.55 sys 0.98 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27168570/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27168570/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27168570/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27168570/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27168570/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168570/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168570/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27168570/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27168570/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27168570/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73075753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73204014 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 14.037 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .67992E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .22362E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .35750E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .54166E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 8.3006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 12.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 19.727 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .28049E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .58265E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 3.1906 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 3.1674 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 45.255 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22338 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .22554E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .15374E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .61241E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .55033E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .42690E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 10.823 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 35.268 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .23886E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 11.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .28835 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .46343E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .54478E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .37647 1.0000 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058455 delta logL = 3.04626155412e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.052e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 7.057e-01 6.030e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 3.805e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 3.610e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27168319/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.95e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', time_completed='2026-05-24 17:12:16.778953', job_id='27168319', GAL2='1.15', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.02', EG='1.02', time_epoch_completed='1779667936.78', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.15', dlogl='3.05e-08', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2167' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun May 24 17:12:17 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27168569/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits.....................! real 18.58 user 16.61 sys 1.37 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27168569/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27168569/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27168569/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27168569/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27168569/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168569/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168569/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27168569/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27168569/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27168569/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73075753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73204014 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 14.037 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .67992E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .22362E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .35750E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .54166E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 8.3006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 12.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 19.727 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .28049E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .58265E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 3.1906 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 3.1674 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 45.255 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22338 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .22554E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .15374E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .61241E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .55033E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .42690E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 10.823 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 35.268 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .23886E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 11.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .28835 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .46343E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .54478E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .37647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 5.7165 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' 6.8854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' .52494E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' .24624E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0210 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' 1.1463 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 172 CALLS 4669 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 14.026 1.0619 -.59089E-08 -.14021E-02 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 6.4306 .22016E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.5799 -.49451E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.1577 -.32502E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3058 -.49208E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 8.3045 1.7341 -.88698E-08 .51533E-02 7 Prefactor 12.908 5.8950 -.40309E-07 .16139E-03 8 Prefactor 19.837 18.414 -.56395E-07 -.12988 9 norm .85376E-07 3.7743 .19445E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 .76529 .29891E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 3.3203 10.379 -.28354E-06 -.16980E-02 12 Prefactor 3.2443 5.9004 -.95776E-07 .17453E-03 13 Prefactor 45.198 10.378 .10419E-06 -.35362E-01 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 36.205 .67883E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 8.6874 .31115E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 6.5733 -.12709E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0087 -.27336E-07** at limit ** 18 norm .43299E-08 2.5442 .37762E-07** at limit ** 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8867 .34891E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 10.818 6.7073 -.10065E-07 -.41144E-02 21 Prefactor 35.459 30.215 -.32587E-06 .68510E-01 22 norm .39413E-08 1.8954 .53092E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 11.390 2.1837 -.76610E-08 -.52073E-02 24 norm .28834 .66820 -.91827E-07 -.65574E-02 25 norm .0000 1.4992 .40546E-07** at limit ** 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 9.2406 .71264E-07** at limit ** 27 Prefactor .34051 9.6295 -.23384E-06 -.10694E-02 28 Prefactor 5.6970 4.6565 -.14708E-06 .76309E-02 29 norm 7.2340 17.655 -.27722E-06 -.81639E-02 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 2.7997 .84466E-07** at limit ** 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 1.5109 .15043E-07** at limit ** 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .22656 .20962E-05 .22502E-03 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .23384 .16629E-05 .23429E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 14.0263 Prefactor = 1.95788e-07 Prefactor = 3.84692e-08 Prefactor = 2.53353e-07 Prefactor = 5.01266e-08 Prefactor = 8.30447 Prefactor = 12.9084 Prefactor = 19.8367 norm = 8.53762e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 3.32028 Prefactor = 3.24433 Prefactor = 45.1977 Prefactor = 0.0150357 Prefactor = 5.33018e-07 Prefactor = 4.40981e-07 norm = 3.42504e-08 norm = 4.32987e-09 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 10.8184 Prefactor = 35.4595 norm = 3.94129e-09 Prefactor = 11.3896 norm = 0.288335 norm = 0 Prefactor = 4.4742e-08 Prefactor = 0.340514 Prefactor = 5.69695 norm = 7.23395 Prefactor = 3.71925e-09 Prefactor = 2.95319e-08 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 5.7165 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' 6.8854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' .52494E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' .24624E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0210 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' 1.1463 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 172 CALLS 4669 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 14.026 1.0619 -.59089E-08 -.14021E-02 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 6.4306 .22016E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.5799 -.49451E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.1577 -.32502E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3058 -.49208E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 8.3045 1.7341 -.88698E-08 .51533E-02 7 Prefactor 12.908 5.8950 -.40309E-07 .16139E-03 8 Prefactor 19.837 18.414 -.56395E-07 -.12988 9 norm .85376E-07 3.7743 .19445E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 .76529 .29891E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 3.3203 10.379 -.28354E-06 -.16980E-02 12 Prefactor 3.2443 5.9004 -.95776E-07 .17453E-03 13 Prefactor 45.198 10.378 .10419E-06 -.35362E-01 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 36.205 .67883E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 8.6874 .31115E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 6.5733 -.12709E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0087 -.27336E-07** at limit ** 18 norm .43299E-08 2.5442 .37762E-07** at limit ** 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8867 .34891E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 10.818 6.7073 -.10065E-07 -.41144E-02 21 Prefactor 35.459 30.215 -.32587E-06 .68510E-01 22 norm .39413E-08 1.8954 .53092E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 11.390 2.1837 -.76610E-08 -.52073E-02 24 norm .28834 .66820 -.91827E-07 -.65574E-02 25 norm .0000 1.4992 .40546E-07** at limit ** 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 9.2406 .71264E-07** at limit ** 27 Prefactor .34051 9.6295 -.23384E-06 -.10694E-02 28 Prefactor 5.6970 4.6565 -.14708E-06 .76309E-02 29 norm 7.2340 17.655 -.27722E-06 -.81639E-02 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 2.7997 .84466E-07** at limit ** 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 1.5109 .15043E-07** at limit ** 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .22656 .20962E-05 .22502E-03 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .23384 .16629E-05 .23429E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 14.0263 Prefactor = 1.95788e-07 Prefactor = 3.84692e-08 Prefactor = 2.53353e-07 Prefactor = 5.01266e-08 Prefactor = 8.30447 Prefactor = 12.9084 Prefactor = 19.8367 norm = 8.53762e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 3.32028 Prefactor = 3.24433 Prefactor = 45.1977 Prefactor = 0.0150357 Prefactor = 5.33018e-07 Prefactor = 4.40981e-07 norm = 3.42504e-08 norm = 4.32987e-09 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 10.8184 Prefactor = 35.4595 norm = 3.94129e-09 Prefactor = 11.3896 norm = 0.288335 norm = 0 Prefactor = 4.4742e-08 Prefactor = 0.340514 Prefactor = 5.69695 norm = 7.23395 Prefactor = 3.71925e-09 Prefactor = 2.95319e-08 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 773 CALLS 5442 TOTAL EDM= .19E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 14.026 16.886 .26708E-03 -1.5633 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 12.819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.8593 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.4342 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3828 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 8.3045 15.623 .34773E-03 -1.5650 7 Prefactor 12.908 6.0732 .27910E-03 -1.5636 8 Prefactor 19.837 275.13 .22522E-03 -1.5619 9 norm .85376E-07 13.174 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 3.2622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 3.3203 108.13 .56703E-03 -1.5672 12 Prefactor 3.2443 6.0481 .56921E-03 -1.5672 13 Prefactor 45.198 36.003 .14866E-03 -1.5574 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 4.1841 .87609E-02 -1.5706 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 9.7313 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 7.2240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0877 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .43299E-08 3.1332 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8880 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 10.818 7.7473 .30430E-03 -1.5642 21 Prefactor 35.459 34.872 .16841E-03 -1.5589 22 norm .39413E-08 3.2307 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 11.390 17.475 .29622E-03 -1.5640 24 norm .28834 .78160 .22774E-02 -1.5697 25 norm .0000 1.4985 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 16.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Prefactor .34051 2.6156 .63171E-02 -1.5696 28 Prefactor 5.6970 20.709 .41987E-03 -1.5660 29 norm 7.2340 20.921 .38211E-03 -1.5654 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 15.418 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 2.9620 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .19640 .43207E-01 -.92331 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .19611 .57304E-01 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.89841e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.8862 2 0.00316835 3 0.000663239 4 0.00255346 5 0.000937313 6 15.6227 7 6.07316 8 147.761 9 0.00212105 10 8.50799e-05 11 37.8966 12 6.04807 13 36.0034 14 0.501638 15 0.00455493 16 0.00356964 17 0.000748261 18 0.000233508 19 1.96353e-05 20 7.7473 21 34.8725 22 0.000226037 23 17.4748 24 0.781604 25 1.16635e-05 26 0.00174155 27 1.88749 28 20.7096 29 20.9217 30 0.000479184 31 0.000591407 32 0.196542 33 0.196232 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27168658/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits.....................! real 18.58 user 17.00 sys 0.99 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27168658/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27168658/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27168658/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27168658/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27168658/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168658/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168658/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27168658/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27168658/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27168658/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73075753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73204014 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 14.037 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .67992E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .22362E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .35750E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .54166E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 8.3006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 12.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 19.727 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .28049E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .58265E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 3.1906 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 3.1674 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 45.255 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22338 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .22554E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .15374E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .61241E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .55033E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .42690E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 10.823 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 35.268 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .23886E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 11.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .28835 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .46343E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .54478E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .37647 1.0000 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits .....................! real 9.80 user 8.82 sys 0.27 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits .....................! real 77.65 user 71.91 sys 4.54 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 186 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2315.6-5018 @ 348.914 -50.3127 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/cmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.01 user 0.28 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.00 user 0.28 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourc ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 773 CALLS 5442 TOTAL EDM= .19E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 14.026 16.886 .26708E-03 -1.5633 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 12.819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.8593 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.4342 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3828 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 8.3045 15.623 .34773E-03 -1.5650 7 Prefactor 12.908 6.0732 .27910E-03 -1.5636 8 Prefactor 19.837 275.13 .22522E-03 -1.5619 9 norm .85376E-07 13.174 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 3.2622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 3.3203 108.13 .56703E-03 -1.5672 12 Prefactor 3.2443 6.0481 .56921E-03 -1.5672 13 Prefactor 45.198 36.003 .14866E-03 -1.5574 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 4.1841 .87609E-02 -1.5706 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 9.7313 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 7.2240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0877 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .43299E-08 3.1332 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8880 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 10.818 7.7473 .30430E-03 -1.5642 21 Prefactor 35.459 34.872 .16841E-03 -1.5589 22 norm .39413E-08 3.2307 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 11.390 17.475 .29622E-03 -1.5640 24 norm .28834 .78160 .22774E-02 -1.5697 25 norm .0000 1.4985 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 16.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Prefactor .34051 2.6156 .63171E-02 -1.5696 28 Prefactor 5.6970 20.709 .41987E-03 -1.5660 29 norm 7.2340 20.921 .38211E-03 -1.5654 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 15.418 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 2.9620 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .19640 .43207E-01 -.92331 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .19611 .57304E-01 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.89841e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.8862 2 0.00316835 3 0.000663239 4 0.00255346 5 0.000937313 6 15.6227 7 6.07316 8 147.761 9 0.00212105 10 8.50799e-05 11 37.8966 12 6.04807 13 36.0034 14 0.501638 15 0.00455493 16 0.00356964 17 0.000748261 18 0.000233508 19 1.96353e-05 20 7.7473 21 34.8725 22 0.000226037 23 17.4748 24 0.781604 25 1.16635e-05 26 0.00174155 27 1.88749 28 20.7096 29 20.9217 30 0.000479184 31 0.000591407 32 0.196542 33 0.196232 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 5.7165 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' 6.8854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' .52494E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' .24624E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0210 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' 1.1463 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 172 CALLS 4669 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 14.026 1.0619 -.59089E-08 -.14021E-02 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 6.4306 .22016E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.5799 -.49451E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.1577 -.32502E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3058 -.49208E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 8.3045 1.7341 -.88698E-08 .51533E-02 7 Prefactor 12.908 5.8950 -.40309E-07 .16139E-03 8 Prefactor 19.837 18.414 -.56395E-07 -.12988 9 norm .85376E-07 3.7743 .19445E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 .76529 .29891E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 3.3203 10.379 -.28354E-06 -.16980E-02 12 Prefactor 3.2443 5.9004 -.95776E-07 .17453E-03 13 Prefactor 45.198 10.378 .10419E-06 -.35362E-01 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 36.205 .67883E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 8.6874 .31115E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 6.5733 -.12709E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0087 -.27336E-07** at limit ** 18 norm .43299E-08 2.5442 .37762E-07** at limit ** 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8867 .34891E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 10.818 6.7073 -.10065E-07 -.41144E-02 21 Prefactor 35.459 30.215 -.32587E-06 .68510E-01 22 norm .39413E-08 1.8954 .53092E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 11.390 2.1837 -.76610E-08 -.52073E-02 24 norm .28834 .66820 -.91827E-07 -.65574E-02 25 norm .0000 1.4992 .40546E-07** at limit ** 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 9.2406 .71264E-07** at limit ** 27 Prefactor .34051 9.6295 -.23384E-06 -.10694E-02 28 Prefactor 5.6970 4.6565 -.14708E-06 .76309E-02 29 norm 7.2340 17.655 -.27722E-06 -.81639E-02 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 2.7997 .84466E-07** at limit ** 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 1.5109 .15043E-07** at limit ** 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .22656 .20962E-05 .22502E-03 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .23384 .16629E-05 .23429E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 14.0263 Prefactor = 1.95788e-07 Prefactor = 3.84692e-08 Prefactor = 2.53353e-07 Prefactor = 5.01266e-08 Prefactor = 8.30447 Prefactor = 12.9084 Prefactor = 19.8367 norm = 8.53762e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 3.32028 Prefactor = 3.24433 Prefactor = 45.1977 Prefactor = 0.0150357 Prefactor = 5.33018e-07 Prefactor = 4.40981e-07 norm = 3.42504e-08 norm = 4.32987e-09 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 10.8184 Prefactor = 35.4595 norm = 3.94129e-09 Prefactor = 11.3896 norm = 0.288335 norm = 0 Prefactor = 4.4742e-08 Prefactor = 0.340514 Prefactor = 5.69695 norm = 7.23395 Prefactor = 3.71925e-09 Prefactor = 2.95319e-08 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 773 CALLS 5442 TOTAL EDM= .19E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 14.026 16.886 .26708E-03 -1.5633 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 12.819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.8593 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.4342 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3828 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 8.3045 15.623 .34773E-03 -1.5650 7 Prefactor 12.908 6.0732 .27910E-03 -1.5636 8 Prefactor 19.837 275.13 .22522E-03 -1.5619 9 norm .85376E-07 13.174 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 3.2622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 3.3203 108.13 .56703E-03 -1.5672 12 Prefactor 3.2443 6.0481 .56921E-03 -1.5672 13 Prefactor 45.198 36.003 .14866E-03 -1.5574 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 4.1841 .87609E-02 -1.5706 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 9.7313 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 7.2240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0877 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .43299E-08 3.1332 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8880 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 10.818 7.7473 .30430E-03 -1.5642 21 Prefactor 35.459 34.872 .16841E-03 -1.5589 22 norm .39413E-08 3.2307 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 11.390 17.475 .29622E-03 -1.5640 24 norm .28834 .78160 .22774E-02 -1.5697 25 norm .0000 1.4985 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 16.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Prefactor .34051 2.6156 .63171E-02 -1.5696 28 Prefactor 5.6970 20.709 .41987E-03 -1.5660 29 norm 7.2340 20.921 .38211E-03 -1.5654 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 15.418 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 2.9620 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .19640 .43207E-01 -.92331 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .19611 .57304E-01 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.89841e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.8862 2 0.00316835 3 0.000663239 4 0.00255346 5 0.000937313 6 15.6227 7 6.07316 8 147.761 9 0.00212105 10 8.50799e-05 11 37.8966 12 6.04807 13 36.0034 14 0.501638 15 0.00455493 16 0.00356964 17 0.000748261 18 0.000233508 19 1.96353e-05 20 7.7473 21 34.8725 22 0.000226037 23 17.4748 24 0.781604 25 1.16635e-05 26 0.00174155 27 1.88749 28 20.7096 29 20.9217 30 0.000479184 31 0.000591407 32 0.196542 33 0.196232 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits .....................! real 11.00 user 9.83 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits .....................! real 82.25 user 76.19 sys 4.75 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 186 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2315.6-5018 @ 348.914 -50.3127 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/cmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.28 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.88 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sournumber of points = 7514 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. number of points = 7514 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167 RA = 348.914, Dec = -50.3127 tmin = 801014401, tmax = 801273601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='27169034', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-05-24 17:10:13.563265', time_epoch_executed='1779667813.56' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2167' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27169034 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27169034/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=801014401.0 && nMetStart<801273601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=801014401.0 && nMetStart<801273601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ft1_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=801014401.0 && nMetStart<801273601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ft1_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits ra=348.914 dec=-50.3127 rad=12.0 tmin=801014401.0 tmax=801273601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.53 user 1.82 sys 0.15 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.77 user 0.18 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 552 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167 RA = 348.914, Dec = -50.3127 tmin = 801014401, tmax = 801273601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='27169026', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-05-24 17:10:14.200848', time_epoch_executed='1779667814.2' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2167' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27169026 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27169026/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=801014401.0 && nMetStart<801273601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=801014401.0 && nMetStart<801273601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ft1_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=801014401.0 && nMetStart<801273601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ft1_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits ra=348.914 dec=-50.3127 rad=12.0 tmin=801014401.0 tmax=801273601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.64 user 1.97 sys 0.16 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.71 user 0.19 sys 0.11 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 552 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" oDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73058458 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.410e-07 3.570e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 1.962e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 1.965e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40261253253e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00494597695892 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27168350/likelihoodResults_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.74923602 delta logL = -0.0186514458319 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058579 delta logL = -1.21568518807e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .87599E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6215 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0208 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1467 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 74 CALLS 266 TOTAL EDM= .56E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .19674 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .70574 5.0402 .50000 -.27285E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .16159E-02 .43239E-01 .24074E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .17036E-02 .57304E-01 .15215E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Index = 0.705743 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 25 CALLS 291 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .98217 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .70574 6.2966 .50000 -1.0330 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .36098E-02 .25417E-03 -.92331 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .38045E-02 .25340E-03 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 2.67428e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.05218e-05 2 60295 3 0.00360981 4 0.00380452 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058455 delta logL = 3.04626155412e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.052e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 7.057e-01 6.030e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 3.805e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 3.610e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27168350/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.95e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', time_completed='2026-05-24 17:13:13.926808', job_id='27168350', GAL2='1.15', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.02', EG='1.02', time_epoch_completed='1779667993.93', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.15', dlogl='3.05e-08', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2167' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun May 24 17:13:14 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 773 CALLS 5442 TOTAL EDM= .19E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 14.026 16.886 .26708E-03 -1.5633 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 12.819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.8593 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.4342 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3828 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 8.3045 15.623 .34773E-03 -1.5650 7 Prefactor 12.908 6.0732 .27910E-03 -1.5636 8 Prefactor 19.837 275.13 .22522E-03 -1.5619 9 norm .85376E-07 13.174 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 3.2622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 3.3203 108.13 .56703E-03 -1.5672 12 Prefactor 3.2443 6.0481 .56921E-03 -1.5672 13 Prefactor 45.198 36.003 .14866E-03 -1.5574 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 4.1841 .87609E-02 -1.5706 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 9.7313 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 7.2240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0877 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .43299E-08 3.1332 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8880 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 10.818 7.7473 .30430E-03 -1.5642 21 Prefactor 35.459 34.872 .16841E-03 -1.5589 22 norm .39413E-08 3.2307 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 11.390 17.475 .29622E-03 -1.5640 24 norm .28834 .78160 .22774E-02 -1.5697 25 norm .0000 1.4985 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 16.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Prefactor .34051 2.6156 .63171E-02 -1.5696 28 Prefactor 5.6970 20.709 .41987E-03 -1.5660 29 norm 7.2340 20.921 .38211E-03 -1.5654 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 15.418 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 2.9620 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .19640 .43207E-01 -.92331 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .19611 .57304E-01 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.89841e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.8862 2 0.00316835 3 0.000663239 4 0.00255346 5 0.000937313 6 15.6227 7 6.07316 8 147.761 9 0.00212105 10 8.50799e-05 11 37.8966 12 6.04807 13 36.0034 14 0.501638 15 0.00455493 16 0.00356964 17 0.000748261 18 0.000233508 19 1.96353e-05 20 7.7473 21 34.8725 22 0.000226037 23 17.4748 24 0.781604 25 1.16635e-05 26 0.00174155 27 1.88749 28 20.7096 29 20.9217 30 0.000479184 31 0.000591407 32 0.196542 33 0.196232 number of points = 7514 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167 RA = 348.914, Dec = -50.3127 tmin = 801014401, tmax = 801273601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='27169070', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-05-24 17:10:13.798688', time_epoch_executed='1779667813.8' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2167' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27169070 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27169070/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=801014401.0 && nMetStart<801273601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=801014401.0 && nMetStart<801273601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ft1_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=801014401.0 && nMetStart<801273601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ft1_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits ra=348.914 dec=-50.3127 rad=12.0 tmin=801014401.0 tmax=801273601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.46 user 1.78 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.79 user 0.18 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 552 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" oe GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27168725/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits.....................! real 18.55 user 16.81 sys 1.12 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27168725/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27168725/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27168725/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27168725/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27168725/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168725/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168725/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27168725/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27168725/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27168725/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73075753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73204014 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 14.037 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .67992E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .22362E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .35750E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .54166E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 8.3006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 12.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 19.727 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .28049E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .58265E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 3.1906 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 3.1674 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 45.255 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22338 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .22554E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .15374E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .61241E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .55033E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .42690E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 10.823 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 35.268 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .23886E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 11.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .28835 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .46343E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .54478E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .37647 1.0000 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73058458 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.410e-07 3.570e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 1.962e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 1.965e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40261253253e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00494597695892 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27168570/likelihoodResults_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.74923602 delta logL = -0.0186514458319 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058579 delta logL = -1.21568518807e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .87599E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6215 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0208 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1467 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 74 CALLS 266 TOTAL EDM= .56E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .19674 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .70574 5.0402 .50000 -.27285E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .16159E-02 .43239E-01 .24074E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .17036E-02 .57304E-01 .15215E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Index = 0.705743 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 25 CALLS 291 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .98217 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .70574 6.2966 .50000 -1.0330 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .36098E-02 .25417E-03 -.92331 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .38045E-02 .25340E-03 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 2.67428e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.05218e-05 2 60295 3 0.00360981 4 0.00380452 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27168859/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits.....................! real 18.45 user 16.78 sys 0.97 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27168859/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27168859/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27168859/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27168859/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27168859/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168859/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168859/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27168859/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27168859/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27168859/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73075753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73204014 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 14.037 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .67992E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .22362E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .35750E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .54166E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 8.3006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 12.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 19.727 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .28049E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .58265E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 3.1906 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 3.1674 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 45.255 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22338 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .22554E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .15374E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .61241E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .55033E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .42690E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 10.823 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 35.268 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .23886E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 11.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .28835 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .46343E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .54478E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .37647 1.0000 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27168727/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits.....................! real 18.54 user 16.89 sys 1.11 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27168727/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27168727/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27168727/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27168727/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27168727/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168727/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168727/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27168727/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27168727/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27168727/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73075753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73204014 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 14.037 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .67992E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .22362E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .35750E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .54166E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 8.3006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 12.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 19.727 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .28049E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .58265E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 3.1906 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 3.1674 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 45.255 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22338 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .22554E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .15374E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .61241E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .55033E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .42690E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 10.823 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 35.268 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .23886E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 11.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .28835 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .46343E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .54478E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .37647 1.0000 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058455 delta logL = 3.04626155412e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.052e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 7.057e-01 6.030e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 3.805e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 3.610e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27168570/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.95e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', time_completed='2026-05-24 17:13:27.112194', job_id='27168570', GAL2='1.15', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.02', EG='1.02', time_epoch_completed='1779668007.11', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.15', dlogl='3.05e-08', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2167' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun May 24 17:13:27 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73058458 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.410e-07 3.570e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 1.962e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 1.965e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40261253253e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00494597695892 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27168569/likelihoodResults_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.74923602 delta logL = -0.0186514458319 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058579 delta logL = -1.21568518807e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .87599E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6215 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0208 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1467 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 74 CALLS 266 TOTAL EDM= .56E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .19674 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .70574 5.0402 .50000 -.27285E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .16159E-02 .43239E-01 .24074E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .17036E-02 .57304E-01 .15215E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Index = 0.705743 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 25 CALLS 291 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .98217 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .70574 6.2966 .50000 -1.0330 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .36098E-02 .25417E-03 -.92331 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .38045E-02 .25340E-03 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 2.67428e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.05218e-05 2 60295 3 0.00360981 4 0.00380452 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 5.7165 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' 6.8854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' .52494E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' .24624E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0210 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' 1.1463 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 172 CALLS 4669 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 14.026 1.0619 -.59089E-08 -.14021E-02 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 6.4306 .22016E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.5799 -.49451E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.1577 -.32502E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3058 -.49208E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 8.3045 1.7341 -.88698E-08 .51533E-02 7 Prefactor 12.908 5.8950 -.40309E-07 .16139E-03 8 Prefactor 19.837 18.414 -.56395E-07 -.12988 9 norm .85376E-07 3.7743 .19445E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 .76529 .29891E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 3.3203 10.379 -.28354E-06 -.16980E-02 12 Prefactor 3.2443 5.9004 -.95776E-07 .17453E-03 13 Prefactor 45.198 10.378 .10419E-06 -.35362E-01 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 36.205 .67883E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 8.6874 .31115E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 6.5733 -.12709E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0087 -.27336E-07** at limit ** 18 norm .43299E-08 2.5442 .37762E-07** at limit ** 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8867 .34891E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 10.818 6.7073 -.10065E-07 -.41144E-02 21 Prefactor 35.459 30.215 -.32587E-06 .68510E-01 22 norm .39413E-08 1.8954 .53092E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 11.390 2.1837 -.76610E-08 -.52073E-02 24 norm .28834 .66820 -.91827E-07 -.65574E-02 25 norm .0000 1.4992 .40546E-07** at limit ** 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 9.2406 .71264E-07** at limit ** 27 Prefactor .34051 9.6295 -.23384E-06 -.10694E-02 28 Prefactor 5.6970 4.6565 -.14708E-06 .76309E-02 29 norm 7.2340 17.655 -.27722E-06 -.81639E-02 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 2.7997 .84466E-07** at limit ** 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 1.5109 .15043E-07** at limit ** 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .22656 .20962E-05 .22502E-03 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .23384 .16629E-05 .23429E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 14.0263 Prefactor = 1.95788e-07 Prefactor = 3.84692e-08 Prefactor = 2.53353e-07 Prefactor = 5.01266e-08 Prefactor = 8.30447 Prefactor = 12.9084 Prefactor = 19.8367 norm = 8.53762e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 3.32028 Prefactor = 3.24433 Prefactor = 45.1977 Prefactor = 0.0150357 Prefactor = 5.33018e-07 Prefactor = 4.40981e-07 norm = 3.42504e-08 norm = 4.32987e-09 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 10.8184 Prefactor = 35.4595 norm = 3.94129e-09 Prefactor = 11.3896 norm = 0.288335 norm = 0 Prefactor = 4.4742e-08 Prefactor = 0.340514 Prefactor = 5.69695 norm = 7.23395 Prefactor = 3.71925e-09 Prefactor = 2.95319e-08 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 5.7165 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' 6.8854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' .52494E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' .24624E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0210 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' 1.1463 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 172 CALLS 4669 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 14.026 1.0619 -.59089E-08 -.14021E-02 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 6.4306 .22016E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.5799 -.49451E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.1577 -.32502E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3058 -.49208E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 8.3045 1.7341 -.88698E-08 .51533E-02 7 Prefactor 12.908 5.8950 -.40309E-07 .16139E-03 8 Prefactor 19.837 18.414 -.56395E-07 -.12988 9 norm .85376E-07 3.7743 .19445E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 .76529 .29891E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 3.3203 10.379 -.28354E-06 -.16980E-02 12 Prefactor 3.2443 5.9004 -.95776E-07 .17453E-03 13 Prefactor 45.198 10.378 .10419E-06 -.35362E-01 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 36.205 .67883E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 8.6874 .31115E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 6.5733 -.12709E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0087 -.27336E-07** at limit ** 18 norm .43299E-08 2.5442 .37762E-07** at limit ** 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8867 .34891E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 10.818 6.7073 -.10065E-07 -.41144E-02 21 Prefactor 35.459 30.215 -.32587E-06 .68510E-01 22 norm .39413E-08 1.8954 .53092E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 11.390 2.1837 -.76610E-08 -.52073E-02 24 norm .28834 .66820 -.91827E-07 -.65574E-02 25 norm .0000 1.4992 .40546E-07** at limit ** 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 9.2406 .71264E-07** at limit ** 27 Prefactor .34051 9.6295 -.23384E-06 -.10694E-02 28 Prefactor 5.6970 4.6565 -.14708E-06 .76309E-02 29 norm 7.2340 17.655 -.27722E-06 -.81639E-02 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 2.7997 .84466E-07** at limit ** 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 1.5109 .15043E-07** at limit ** 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .22656 .20962E-05 .22502E-03 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .23384 .16629E-05 .23429E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 14.0263 Prefactor = 1.95788e-07 Prefactor = 3.84692e-08 Prefactor = 2.53353e-07 Prefactor = 5.01266e-08 Prefactor = 8.30447 Prefactor = 12.9084 Prefactor = 19.8367 norm = 8.53762e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 3.32028 Prefactor = 3.24433 Prefactor = 45.1977 Prefactor = 0.0150357 Prefactor = 5.33018e-07 Prefactor = 4.40981e-07 norm = 3.42504e-08 norm = 4.32987e-09 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 10.8184 Prefactor = 35.4595 norm = 3.94129e-09 Prefactor = 11.3896 norm = 0.288335 norm = 0 Prefactor = 4.4742e-08 Prefactor = 0.340514 Prefactor = 5.69695 norm = 7.23395 Prefactor = 3.71925e-09 Prefactor = 2.95319e-08 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058455 delta logL = 3.04626155412e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.052e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 7.057e-01 6.030e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 3.805e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 3.610e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27168569/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.95e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', time_completed='2026-05-24 17:13:32.944218', job_id='27168569', GAL2='1.15', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.02', EG='1.02', time_epoch_completed='1779668012.94', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.15', dlogl='3.05e-08', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2167' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun May 24 17:13:33 PDT 2026 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 5.7165 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' 6.8854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' .52494E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' .24624E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0210 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' 1.1463 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 172 CALLS 4669 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 14.026 1.0619 -.59089E-08 -.14021E-02 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 6.4306 .22016E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.5799 -.49451E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.1577 -.32502E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3058 -.49208E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 8.3045 1.7341 -.88698E-08 .51533E-02 7 Prefactor 12.908 5.8950 -.40309E-07 .16139E-03 8 Prefactor 19.837 18.414 -.56395E-07 -.12988 9 norm .85376E-07 3.7743 .19445E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 .76529 .29891E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 3.3203 10.379 -.28354E-06 -.16980E-02 12 Prefactor 3.2443 5.9004 -.95776E-07 .17453E-03 13 Prefactor 45.198 10.378 .10419E-06 -.35362E-01 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 36.205 .67883E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 8.6874 .31115E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 6.5733 -.12709E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0087 -.27336E-07** at limit ** 18 norm .43299E-08 2.5442 .37762E-07** at limit ** 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8867 .34891E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 10.818 6.7073 -.10065E-07 -.41144E-02 21 Prefactor 35.459 30.215 -.32587E-06 .68510E-01 22 norm .39413E-08 1.8954 .53092E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 11.390 2.1837 -.76610E-08 -.52073E-02 24 norm .28834 .66820 -.91827E-07 -.65574E-02 25 norm .0000 1.4992 .40546E-07** at limit ** 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 9.2406 .71264E-07** at limit ** 27 Prefactor .34051 9.6295 -.23384E-06 -.10694E-02 28 Prefactor 5.6970 4.6565 -.14708E-06 .76309E-02 29 norm 7.2340 17.655 -.27722E-06 -.81639E-02 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 2.7997 .84466E-07** at limit ** 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 1.5109 .15043E-07** at limit ** 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .22656 .20962E-05 .22502E-03 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .23384 .16629E-05 .23429E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 14.0263 Prefactor = 1.95788e-07 Prefactor = 3.84692e-08 Prefactor = 2.53353e-07 Prefactor = 5.01266e-08 Prefactor = 8.30447 Prefactor = 12.9084 Prefactor = 19.8367 norm = 8.53762e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 3.32028 Prefactor = 3.24433 Prefactor = 45.1977 Prefactor = 0.0150357 Prefactor = 5.33018e-07 Prefactor = 4.40981e-07 norm = 3.42504e-08 norm = 4.32987e-09 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 10.8184 Prefactor = 35.4595 norm = 3.94129e-09 Prefactor = 11.3896 norm = 0.288335 norm = 0 Prefactor = 4.4742e-08 Prefactor = 0.340514 Prefactor = 5.69695 norm = 7.23395 Prefactor = 3.71925e-09 Prefactor = 2.95319e-08 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27168672/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits.....................! real 19.36 user 17.46 sys 1.09 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27168672/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27168672/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27168672/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27168672/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27168672/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168672/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168672/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27168672/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27168672/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27168672/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73075753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73204014 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 14.037 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .67992E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .22362E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .35750E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .54166E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 8.3006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 12.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 19.727 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .28049E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .58265E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 3.1906 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 3.1674 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 45.255 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22338 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .22554E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .15374E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .61241E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .55033E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .42690E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 10.823 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 35.268 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .23886E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 11.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .28835 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .46343E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .54478E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .37647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 5.7165 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' 6.8854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' .52494E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' .24624E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0210 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' 1.1463 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 172 CALLS 4669 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 14.026 1.0619 -.59089E-08 -.14021E-02 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 6.4306 .22016E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.5799 -.49451E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.1577 -.32502E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3058 -.49208E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 8.3045 1.7341 -.88698E-08 .51533E-02 7 Prefactor 12.908 5.8950 -.40309E-07 .16139E-03 8 Prefactor 19.837 18.414 -.56395E-07 -.12988 9 norm .85376E-07 3.7743 .19445E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 .76529 .29891E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 3.3203 10.379 -.28354E-06 -.16980E-02 12 Prefactor 3.2443 5.9004 -.95776E-07 .17453E-03 13 Prefactor 45.198 10.378 .10419E-06 -.35362E-01 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 36.205 .67883E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 8.6874 .31115E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 6.5733 -.12709E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0087 -.27336E-07** at limit ** 18 norm .43299E-08 2.5442 .37762E-07** at limit ** 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8867 .34891E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 10.818 6.7073 -.10065E-07 -.41144E-02 21 Prefactor 35.459 30.215 -.32587E-06 .68510E-01 22 norm .39413E-08 1.8954 .53092E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 11.390 2.1837 -.76610E-08 -.52073E-02 24 norm .28834 .66820 -.91827E-07 -.65574E-02 25 norm .0000 1.4992 .40546E-07** at limit ** 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 9.2406 .71264E-07** at limit ** 27 Prefactor .34051 9.6295 -.23384E-06 -.10694E-02 28 Prefactor 5.6970 4.6565 -.14708E-06 .76309E-02 29 norm 7.2340 17.655 -.27722E-06 -.81639E-02 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 2.7997 .84466E-07** at limit ** 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 1.5109 .15043E-07** at limit ** 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .22656 .20962E-05 .22502E-03 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .23384 .16629E-05 .23429E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 14.0263 Prefactor = 1.95788e-07 Prefactor = 3.84692e-08 Prefactor = 2.53353e-07 Prefactor = 5.01266e-08 Prefactor = 8.30447 Prefactor = 12.9084 Prefactor = 19.8367 norm = 8.53762e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 3.32028 Prefactor = 3.24433 Prefactor = 45.1977 Prefactor = 0.0150357 Prefactor = 5.33018e-07 Prefactor = 4.40981e-07 norm = 3.42504e-08 norm = 4.32987e-09 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 10.8184 Prefactor = 35.4595 norm = 3.94129e-09 Prefactor = 11.3896 norm = 0.288335 norm = 0 Prefactor = 4.4742e-08 Prefactor = 0.340514 Prefactor = 5.69695 norm = 7.23395 Prefactor = 3.71925e-09 Prefactor = 2.95319e-08 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73058458 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.410e-07 3.570e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 1.962e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 1.965e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40261253253e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00494597695892 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27168658/likelihoodResults_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.74923602 delta logL = -0.0186514458319 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058579 delta logL = -1.21568518807e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .87599E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6215 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0208 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1467 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 74 CALLS 266 TOTAL EDM= .56E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .19674 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .70574 5.0402 .50000 -.27285E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .16159E-02 .43239E-01 .24074E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .17036E-02 .57304E-01 .15215E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Index = 0.705743 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 25 CALLS 291 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .98217 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .70574 6.2966 .50000 -1.0330 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .36098E-02 .25417E-03 -.92331 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .38045E-02 .25340E-03 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 2.67428e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.05218e-05 2 60295 3 0.00360981 4 0.00380452 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 773 CALLS 5442 TOTAL EDM= .19E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 14.026 16.886 .26708E-03 -1.5633 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 12.819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.8593 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.4342 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3828 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 8.3045 15.623 .34773E-03 -1.5650 7 Prefactor 12.908 6.0732 .27910E-03 -1.5636 8 Prefactor 19.837 275.13 .22522E-03 -1.5619 9 norm .85376E-07 13.174 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 3.2622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 3.3203 108.13 .56703E-03 -1.5672 12 Prefactor 3.2443 6.0481 .56921E-03 -1.5672 13 Prefactor 45.198 36.003 .14866E-03 -1.5574 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 4.1841 .87609E-02 -1.5706 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 9.7313 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 7.2240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0877 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .43299E-08 3.1332 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8880 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 10.818 7.7473 .30430E-03 -1.5642 21 Prefactor 35.459 34.872 .16841E-03 -1.5589 22 norm .39413E-08 3.2307 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 11.390 17.475 .29622E-03 -1.5640 24 norm .28834 .78160 .22774E-02 -1.5697 25 norm .0000 1.4985 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 16.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Prefactor .34051 2.6156 .63171E-02 -1.5696 28 Prefactor 5.6970 20.709 .41987E-03 -1.5660 29 norm 7.2340 20.921 .38211E-03 -1.5654 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 15.418 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 2.9620 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .19640 .43207E-01 -.92331 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .19611 .57304E-01 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.89841e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.8862 2 0.00316835 3 0.000663239 4 0.00255346 5 0.000937313 6 15.6227 7 6.07316 8 147.761 9 0.00212105 10 8.50799e-05 11 37.8966 12 6.04807 13 36.0034 14 0.501638 15 0.00455493 16 0.00356964 17 0.000748261 18 0.000233508 19 1.96353e-05 20 7.7473 21 34.8725 22 0.000226037 23 17.4748 24 0.781604 25 1.16635e-05 26 0.00174155 27 1.88749 28 20.7096 29 20.9217 30 0.000479184 31 0.000591407 32 0.196542 33 0.196232 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 773 CALLS 5442 TOTAL EDM= .19E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 14.026 16.886 .26708E-03 -1.5633 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 12.819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.8593 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.4342 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3828 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 8.3045 15.623 .34773E-03 -1.5650 7 Prefactor 12.908 6.0732 .27910E-03 -1.5636 8 Prefactor 19.837 275.13 .22522E-03 -1.5619 9 norm .85376E-07 13.174 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 3.2622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 3.3203 108.13 .56703E-03 -1.5672 12 Prefactor 3.2443 6.0481 .56921E-03 -1.5672 13 Prefactor 45.198 36.003 .14866E-03 -1.5574 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 4.1841 .87609E-02 -1.5706 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 9.7313 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 7.2240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0877 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .43299E-08 3.1332 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8880 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 10.818 7.7473 .30430E-03 -1.5642 21 Prefactor 35.459 34.872 .16841E-03 -1.5589 22 norm .39413E-08 3.2307 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 11.390 17.475 .29622E-03 -1.5640 24 norm .28834 .78160 .22774E-02 -1.5697 25 norm .0000 1.4985 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 16.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Prefactor .34051 2.6156 .63171E-02 -1.5696 28 Prefactor 5.6970 20.709 .41987E-03 -1.5660 29 norm 7.2340 20.921 .38211E-03 -1.5654 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 15.418 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 2.9620 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .19640 .43207E-01 -.92331 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .19611 .57304E-01 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.89841e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.8862 2 0.00316835 3 0.000663239 4 0.00255346 5 0.000937313 6 15.6227 7 6.07316 8 147.761 9 0.00212105 10 8.50799e-05 11 37.8966 12 6.04807 13 36.0034 14 0.501638 15 0.00455493 16 0.00356964 17 0.000748261 18 0.000233508 19 1.96353e-05 20 7.7473 21 34.8725 22 0.000226037 23 17.4748 24 0.781604 25 1.16635e-05 26 0.00174155 27 1.88749 28 20.7096 29 20.9217 30 0.000479184 31 0.000591407 32 0.196542 33 0.196232 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058455 delta logL = 3.04626155412e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.052e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 7.057e-01 6.030e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 3.805e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 3.610e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27168658/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.95e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', time_completed='2026-05-24 17:13:57.237506', job_id='27168658', GAL2='1.15', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.02', EG='1.02', time_epoch_completed='1779668037.24', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.15', dlogl='3.05e-08', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2167' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun May 24 17:13:57 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 773 CALLS 5442 TOTAL EDM= .19E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 14.026 16.886 .26708E-03 -1.5633 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 12.819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.8593 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.4342 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3828 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 8.3045 15.623 .34773E-03 -1.5650 7 Prefactor 12.908 6.0732 .27910E-03 -1.5636 8 Prefactor 19.837 275.13 .22522E-03 -1.5619 9 norm .85376E-07 13.174 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 3.2622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 3.3203 108.13 .56703E-03 -1.5672 12 Prefactor 3.2443 6.0481 .56921E-03 -1.5672 13 Prefactor 45.198 36.003 .14866E-03 -1.5574 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 4.1841 .87609E-02 -1.5706 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 9.7313 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 7.2240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0877 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .43299E-08 3.1332 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8880 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 10.818 7.7473 .30430E-03 -1.5642 21 Prefactor 35.459 34.872 .16841E-03 -1.5589 22 norm .39413E-08 3.2307 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 11.390 17.475 .29622E-03 -1.5640 24 norm .28834 .78160 .22774E-02 -1.5697 25 norm .0000 1.4985 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 16.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Prefactor .34051 2.6156 .63171E-02 -1.5696 28 Prefactor 5.6970 20.709 .41987E-03 -1.5660 29 norm 7.2340 20.921 .38211E-03 -1.5654 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 15.418 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 2.9620 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .19640 .43207E-01 -.92331 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .19611 .57304E-01 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.89841e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.8862 2 0.00316835 3 0.000663239 4 0.00255346 5 0.000937313 6 15.6227 7 6.07316 8 147.761 9 0.00212105 10 8.50799e-05 11 37.8966 12 6.04807 13 36.0034 14 0.501638 15 0.00455493 16 0.00356964 17 0.000748261 18 0.000233508 19 1.96353e-05 20 7.7473 21 34.8725 22 0.000226037 23 17.4748 24 0.781604 25 1.16635e-05 26 0.00174155 27 1.88749 28 20.7096 29 20.9217 30 0.000479184 31 0.000591407 32 0.196542 33 0.196232 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 773 CALLS 5442 TOTAL EDM= .19E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 14.026 16.886 .26708E-03 -1.5633 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 12.819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.8593 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.4342 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3828 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 8.3045 15.623 .34773E-03 -1.5650 7 Prefactor 12.908 6.0732 .27910E-03 -1.5636 8 Prefactor 19.837 275.13 .22522E-03 -1.5619 9 norm .85376E-07 13.174 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 3.2622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 3.3203 108.13 .56703E-03 -1.5672 12 Prefactor 3.2443 6.0481 .56921E-03 -1.5672 13 Prefactor 45.198 36.003 .14866E-03 -1.5574 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 4.1841 .87609E-02 -1.5706 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 9.7313 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 7.2240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0877 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .43299E-08 3.1332 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8880 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 10.818 7.7473 .30430E-03 -1.5642 21 Prefactor 35.459 34.872 .16841E-03 -1.5589 22 norm .39413E-08 3.2307 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 11.390 17.475 .29622E-03 -1.5640 24 norm .28834 .78160 .22774E-02 -1.5697 25 norm .0000 1.4985 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 16.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Prefactor .34051 2.6156 .63171E-02 -1.5696 28 Prefactor 5.6970 20.709 .41987E-03 -1.5660 29 norm 7.2340 20.921 .38211E-03 -1.5654 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 15.418 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 2.9620 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .19640 .43207E-01 -.92331 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .19611 .57304E-01 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.89841e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.8862 2 0.00316835 3 0.000663239 4 0.00255346 5 0.000937313 6 15.6227 7 6.07316 8 147.761 9 0.00212105 10 8.50799e-05 11 37.8966 12 6.04807 13 36.0034 14 0.501638 15 0.00455493 16 0.00356964 17 0.000748261 18 0.000233508 19 1.96353e-05 20 7.7473 21 34.8725 22 0.000226037 23 17.4748 24 0.781604 25 1.16635e-05 26 0.00174155 27 1.88749 28 20.7096 29 20.9217 30 0.000479184 31 0.000591407 32 0.196542 33 0.196232 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits.....................! real 17.30 user 15.92 sys 0.88 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27168952/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27168952/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27168952/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27168952/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73075753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73204014 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 14.037 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .67992E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .22362E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .35750E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .54166E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 8.3006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 12.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 19.727 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .28049E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .58265E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 3.1906 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 3.1674 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 45.255 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22338 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .22554E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .15374E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .61241E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .55033E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .42690E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 10.823 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 35.268 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .23886E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 11.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .28835 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .46343E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .54478E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .37647 1.0000 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73058458 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.410e-07 3.570e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 1.962e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 1.965e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40261253253e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00494597695892 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27168725/likelihoodResults_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.74923602 delta logL = -0.0186514458319 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058579 delta logL = -1.21568518807e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .87599E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6215 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0208 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1467 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 74 CALLS 266 TOTAL EDM= .56E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .19674 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .70574 5.0402 .50000 -.27285E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .16159E-02 .43239E-01 .24074E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .17036E-02 .57304E-01 .15215E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Index = 0.705743 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73058458 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.410e-07 3.570e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 1.962e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 1.965e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40261253253e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00494597695892 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27168859/likelihoodResults_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.74923602 delta logL = -0.0186514458319 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058579 delta logL = -1.21568518807e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .87599E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6215 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0208 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1467 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 74 CALLS 266 TOTAL EDM= .56E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .19674 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .70574 5.0402 .50000 -.27285E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .16159E-02 .43239E-01 .24074E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .17036E-02 .57304E-01 .15215E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Index = 0.705743 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 25 CALLS 291 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .98217 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .70574 6.2966 .50000 -1.0330 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .36098E-02 .25417E-03 -.92331 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .38045E-02 .25340E-03 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 2.67428e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.05218e-05 2 60295 3 0.00360981 4 0.00380452 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 25 CALLS 291 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .98217 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .70574 6.2966 .50000 -1.0330 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .36098E-02 .25417E-03 -.92331 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .38045E-02 .25340E-03 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 2.67428e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.05218e-05 2 60295 3 0.00360981 4 0.00380452 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73058458 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.410e-07 3.570e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 1.962e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 1.965e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40261253253e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00494597695892 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27168727/likelihoodResults_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.74923602 delta logL = -0.0186514458319 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058579 delta logL = -1.21568518807e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .87599E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6215 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0208 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1467 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 74 CALLS 266 TOTAL EDM= .56E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .19674 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .70574 5.0402 .50000 -.27285E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .16159E-02 .43239E-01 .24074E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .17036E-02 .57304E-01 .15215E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Index = 0.705743 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 25 CALLS 291 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .98217 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .70574 6.2966 .50000 -1.0330 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .36098E-02 .25417E-03 -.92331 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .38045E-02 .25340E-03 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 2.67428e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.05218e-05 2 60295 3 0.00360981 4 0.00380452 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058455 delta logL = 3.04626155412e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.052e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 7.057e-01 6.030e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 3.805e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 3.610e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27168725/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.95e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', time_completed='2026-05-24 17:14:33.407758', job_id='27168725', GAL2='1.15', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.02', EG='1.02', time_epoch_completed='1779668073.41', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.15', dlogl='3.05e-08', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2167' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun May 24 17:14:33 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058455 delta logL = 3.04626155412e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.052e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 7.057e-01 6.030e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 3.805e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 3.610e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27168859/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.95e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', time_completed='2026-05-24 17:14:33.486223', job_id='27168859', GAL2='1.15', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.02', EG='1.02', time_epoch_completed='1779668073.49', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.15', dlogl='3.05e-08', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2167' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun May 24 17:14:33 PDT 2026 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 5.7165 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' 6.8854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' .52494E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' .24624E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0210 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' 1.1463 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 172 CALLS 4669 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 14.026 1.0619 -.59089E-08 -.14021E-02 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 6.4306 .22016E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.5799 -.49451E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.1577 -.32502E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3058 -.49208E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 8.3045 1.7341 -.88698E-08 .51533E-02 7 Prefactor 12.908 5.8950 -.40309E-07 .16139E-03 8 Prefactor 19.837 18.414 -.56395E-07 -.12988 9 norm .85376E-07 3.7743 .19445E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 .76529 .29891E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 3.3203 10.379 -.28354E-06 -.16980E-02 12 Prefactor 3.2443 5.9004 -.95776E-07 .17453E-03 13 Prefactor 45.198 10.378 .10419E-06 -.35362E-01 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 36.205 .67883E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 8.6874 .31115E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 6.5733 -.12709E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0087 -.27336E-07** at limit ** 18 norm .43299E-08 2.5442 .37762E-07** at limit ** 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8867 .34891E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 10.818 6.7073 -.10065E-07 -.41144E-02 21 Prefactor 35.459 30.215 -.32587E-06 .68510E-01 22 norm .39413E-08 1.8954 .53092E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 11.390 2.1837 -.76610E-08 -.52073E-02 24 norm .28834 .66820 -.91827E-07 -.65574E-02 25 norm .0000 1.4992 .40546E-07** at limit ** 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 9.2406 .71264E-07** at limit ** 27 Prefactor .34051 9.6295 -.23384E-06 -.10694E-02 28 Prefactor 5.6970 4.6565 -.14708E-06 .76309E-02 29 norm 7.2340 17.655 -.27722E-06 -.81639E-02 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 2.7997 .84466E-07** at limit ** 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 1.5109 .15043E-07** at limit ** 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .22656 .20962E-05 .22502E-03 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .23384 .16629E-05 .23429E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 14.0263 Prefactor = 1.95788e-07 Prefactor = 3.84692e-08 Prefactor = 2.53353e-07 Prefactor = 5.01266e-08 Prefactor = 8.30447 Prefactor = 12.9084 Prefactor = 19.8367 norm = 8.53762e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 3.32028 Prefactor = 3.24433 Prefactor = 45.1977 Prefactor = 0.0150357 Prefactor = 5.33018e-07 Prefactor = 4.40981e-07 norm = 3.42504e-08 norm = 4.32987e-09 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 10.8184 Prefactor = 35.4595 norm = 3.94129e-09 Prefactor = 11.3896 norm = 0.288335 norm = 0 Prefactor = 4.4742e-08 Prefactor = 0.340514 Prefactor = 5.69695 norm = 7.23395 Prefactor = 3.71925e-09 Prefactor = 2.95319e-08 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058455 delta logL = 3.04626155412e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.052e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 7.057e-01 6.030e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 3.805e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 3.610e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27168727/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.95e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', time_completed='2026-05-24 17:14:35.538067', job_id='27168727', GAL2='1.15', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.02', EG='1.02', time_epoch_completed='1779668075.54', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.15', dlogl='3.05e-08', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2167' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun May 24 17:14:36 PDT 2026 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits .....................! real 7.60 user 6.97 sys 0.20 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits .....................! real 61.15 user 56.93 sys 3.53 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 186 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2315.6-5018 @ 348.914 -50.3127 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/cmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.90 user 0.19 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.79 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73058458 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.410e-07 3.570e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 1.962e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 1.965e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40261253253e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00494597695892 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27168672/likelihoodResults_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.74923602 delta logL = -0.0186514458319 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058579 delta logL = -1.21568518807e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .87599E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6215 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0208 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1467 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 74 CALLS 266 TOTAL EDM= .56E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .19674 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .70574 5.0402 .50000 -.27285E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .16159E-02 .43239E-01 .24074E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .17036E-02 .57304E-01 .15215E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Index = 0.705743 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 25 CALLS 291 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .98217 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .70574 6.2966 .50000 -1.0330 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .36098E-02 .25417E-03 -.92331 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .38045E-02 .25340E-03 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 2.67428e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.05218e-05 2 60295 3 0.00360981 4 0.00380452 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058455 delta logL = 3.04626155412e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.052e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 7.057e-01 6.030e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 3.805e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 3.610e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27168672/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.95e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', time_completed='2026-05-24 17:14:48.414414', job_id='27168672', GAL2='1.15', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.02', EG='1.02', time_epoch_completed='1779668088.41', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.15', dlogl='3.05e-08', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2167' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun May 24 17:14:48 PDT 2026 utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits .....................! real 8.80 user 7.81 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits .....................! real 68.71 user 63.50 sys 3.85 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 186 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2315.6-5018 @ 348.914 -50.3127 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/cmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.74 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.81 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourceutfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits .....................! real 7.46 user 6.78 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits .....................! real 59.96 user 55.63 sys 3.60 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 186 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2315.6-5018 @ 348.914 -50.3127 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/cmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.81 user 0.19 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.87 user 0.19 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 773 CALLS 5442 TOTAL EDM= .19E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 14.026 16.886 .26708E-03 -1.5633 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 12.819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.8593 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.4342 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3828 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 8.3045 15.623 .34773E-03 -1.5650 7 Prefactor 12.908 6.0732 .27910E-03 -1.5636 8 Prefactor 19.837 275.13 .22522E-03 -1.5619 9 norm .85376E-07 13.174 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 3.2622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 3.3203 108.13 .56703E-03 -1.5672 12 Prefactor 3.2443 6.0481 .56921E-03 -1.5672 13 Prefactor 45.198 36.003 .14866E-03 -1.5574 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 4.1841 .87609E-02 -1.5706 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 9.7313 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 7.2240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0877 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .43299E-08 3.1332 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8880 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 10.818 7.7473 .30430E-03 -1.5642 21 Prefactor 35.459 34.872 .16841E-03 -1.5589 22 norm .39413E-08 3.2307 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 11.390 17.475 .29622E-03 -1.5640 24 norm .28834 .78160 .22774E-02 -1.5697 25 norm .0000 1.4985 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 16.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Prefactor .34051 2.6156 .63171E-02 -1.5696 28 Prefactor 5.6970 20.709 .41987E-03 -1.5660 29 norm 7.2340 20.921 .38211E-03 -1.5654 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 15.418 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 2.9620 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .19640 .43207E-01 -.92331 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .19611 .57304E-01 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.89841e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.8862 2 0.00316835 3 0.000663239 4 0.00255346 5 0.000937313 6 15.6227 7 6.07316 8 147.761 9 0.00212105 10 8.50799e-05 11 37.8966 12 6.04807 13 36.0034 14 0.501638 15 0.00455493 16 0.00356964 17 0.000748261 18 0.000233508 19 1.96353e-05 20 7.7473 21 34.8725 22 0.000226037 23 17.4748 24 0.781604 25 1.16635e-05 26 0.00174155 27 1.88749 28 20.7096 29 20.9217 30 0.000479184 31 0.000591407 32 0.196542 33 0.196232 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits.....................! real 20.06 user 18.15 sys 1.22 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27168961/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27168961/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27168961/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27168961/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73075753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73204014 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 14.037 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .67992E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .22362E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .35750E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .54166E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 8.3006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 12.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 19.727 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .28049E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .58265E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 3.1906 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 3.1674 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 45.255 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22338 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .22554E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .15374E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .61241E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .55033E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .42690E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 10.823 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 35.268 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .23886E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 11.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .28835 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .46343E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .54478E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .37647 1.0000 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73058458 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.410e-07 3.570e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 1.962e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 1.965e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40261253253e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00494597695892 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27168952/likelihoodResults_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.74923602 delta logL = -0.0186514458319 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058579 delta logL = -1.21568518807e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .87599E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6215 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0208 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1467 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 74 CALLS 266 TOTAL EDM= .56E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .19674 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .70574 5.0402 .50000 -.27285E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .16159E-02 .43239E-01 .24074E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .17036E-02 .57304E-01 .15215E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Index = 0.705743 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 25 CALLS 291 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .98217 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .70574 6.2966 .50000 -1.0330 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .36098E-02 .25417E-03 -.92331 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .38045E-02 .25340E-03 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 2.67428e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.05218e-05 2 60295 3 0.00360981 4 0.00380452 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058455 delta logL = 3.04626155412e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.052e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 7.057e-01 6.030e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 3.805e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 3.610e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27168952/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.95e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', time_completed='2026-05-24 17:15:35.095783', job_id='27168952', GAL2='1.15', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.02', EG='1.02', time_epoch_completed='1779668135.1', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.15', dlogl='3.05e-08', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2167' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun May 24 17:15:35 PDT 2026 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 5.7165 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' 6.8854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' .52494E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' .24624E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0210 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' 1.1463 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 172 CALLS 4669 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 14.026 1.0619 -.59089E-08 -.14021E-02 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 6.4306 .22016E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.5799 -.49451E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.1577 -.32502E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3058 -.49208E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 8.3045 1.7341 -.88698E-08 .51533E-02 7 Prefactor 12.908 5.8950 -.40309E-07 .16139E-03 8 Prefactor 19.837 18.414 -.56395E-07 -.12988 9 norm .85376E-07 3.7743 .19445E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 .76529 .29891E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 3.3203 10.379 -.28354E-06 -.16980E-02 12 Prefactor 3.2443 5.9004 -.95776E-07 .17453E-03 13 Prefactor 45.198 10.378 .10419E-06 -.35362E-01 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 36.205 .67883E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 8.6874 .31115E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 6.5733 -.12709E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0087 -.27336E-07** at limit ** 18 norm .43299E-08 2.5442 .37762E-07** at limit ** 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8867 .34891E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 10.818 6.7073 -.10065E-07 -.41144E-02 21 Prefactor 35.459 30.215 -.32587E-06 .68510E-01 22 norm .39413E-08 1.8954 .53092E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 11.390 2.1837 -.76610E-08 -.52073E-02 24 norm .28834 .66820 -.91827E-07 -.65574E-02 25 norm .0000 1.4992 .40546E-07** at limit ** 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 9.2406 .71264E-07** at limit ** 27 Prefactor .34051 9.6295 -.23384E-06 -.10694E-02 28 Prefactor 5.6970 4.6565 -.14708E-06 .76309E-02 29 norm 7.2340 17.655 -.27722E-06 -.81639E-02 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 2.7997 .84466E-07** at limit ** 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 1.5109 .15043E-07** at limit ** 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .22656 .20962E-05 .22502E-03 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .23384 .16629E-05 .23429E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 14.0263 Prefactor = 1.95788e-07 Prefactor = 3.84692e-08 Prefactor = 2.53353e-07 Prefactor = 5.01266e-08 Prefactor = 8.30447 Prefactor = 12.9084 Prefactor = 19.8367 norm = 8.53762e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 3.32028 Prefactor = 3.24433 Prefactor = 45.1977 Prefactor = 0.0150357 Prefactor = 5.33018e-07 Prefactor = 4.40981e-07 norm = 3.42504e-08 norm = 4.32987e-09 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 10.8184 Prefactor = 35.4595 norm = 3.94129e-09 Prefactor = 11.3896 norm = 0.288335 norm = 0 Prefactor = 4.4742e-08 Prefactor = 0.340514 Prefactor = 5.69695 norm = 7.23395 Prefactor = 3.71925e-09 Prefactor = 2.95319e-08 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 773 CALLS 5442 TOTAL EDM= .19E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 14.026 16.886 .26708E-03 -1.5633 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 12.819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.8593 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.4342 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3828 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 8.3045 15.623 .34773E-03 -1.5650 7 Prefactor 12.908 6.0732 .27910E-03 -1.5636 8 Prefactor 19.837 275.13 .22522E-03 -1.5619 9 norm .85376E-07 13.174 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 3.2622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 3.3203 108.13 .56703E-03 -1.5672 12 Prefactor 3.2443 6.0481 .56921E-03 -1.5672 13 Prefactor 45.198 36.003 .14866E-03 -1.5574 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 4.1841 .87609E-02 -1.5706 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 9.7313 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 7.2240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0877 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .43299E-08 3.1332 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8880 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 10.818 7.7473 .30430E-03 -1.5642 21 Prefactor 35.459 34.872 .16841E-03 -1.5589 22 norm .39413E-08 3.2307 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 11.390 17.475 .29622E-03 -1.5640 24 norm .28834 .78160 .22774E-02 -1.5697 25 norm .0000 1.4985 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 16.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Prefactor .34051 2.6156 .63171E-02 -1.5696 28 Prefactor 5.6970 20.709 .41987E-03 -1.5660 29 norm 7.2340 20.921 .38211E-03 -1.5654 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 15.418 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 2.9620 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .19640 .43207E-01 -.92331 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .19611 .57304E-01 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.89841e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.8862 2 0.00316835 3 0.000663239 4 0.00255346 5 0.000937313 6 15.6227 7 6.07316 8 147.761 9 0.00212105 10 8.50799e-05 11 37.8966 12 6.04807 13 36.0034 14 0.501638 15 0.00455493 16 0.00356964 17 0.000748261 18 0.000233508 19 1.96353e-05 20 7.7473 21 34.8725 22 0.000226037 23 17.4748 24 0.781604 25 1.16635e-05 26 0.00174155 27 1.88749 28 20.7096 29 20.9217 30 0.000479184 31 0.000591407 32 0.196542 33 0.196232 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits.....................! real 20.58 user 18.58 sys 1.17 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27168901/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27168901/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27168901/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27168901/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73075753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73204014 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 14.037 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .67992E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .22362E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .35750E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .54166E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 8.3006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 12.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 19.727 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .28049E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .58265E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 3.1906 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 3.1674 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 45.255 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22338 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .22554E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .15374E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .61241E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .55033E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .42690E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 10.823 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 35.268 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .23886E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 11.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .28835 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .46343E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .54478E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .37647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 5.7165 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' 6.8854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' .52494E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' .24624E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0210 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' 1.1463 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 172 CALLS 4669 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 14.026 1.0619 -.59089E-08 -.14021E-02 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 6.4306 .22016E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.5799 -.49451E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.1577 -.32502E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3058 -.49208E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 8.3045 1.7341 -.88698E-08 .51533E-02 7 Prefactor 12.908 5.8950 -.40309E-07 .16139E-03 8 Prefactor 19.837 18.414 -.56395E-07 -.12988 9 norm .85376E-07 3.7743 .19445E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 .76529 .29891E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 3.3203 10.379 -.28354E-06 -.16980E-02 12 Prefactor 3.2443 5.9004 -.95776E-07 .17453E-03 13 Prefactor 45.198 10.378 .10419E-06 -.35362E-01 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 36.205 .67883E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 8.6874 .31115E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 6.5733 -.12709E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0087 -.27336E-07** at limit ** 18 norm .43299E-08 2.5442 .37762E-07** at limit ** 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8867 .34891E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 10.818 6.7073 -.10065E-07 -.41144E-02 21 Prefactor 35.459 30.215 -.32587E-06 .68510E-01 22 norm .39413E-08 1.8954 .53092E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 11.390 2.1837 -.76610E-08 -.52073E-02 24 norm .28834 .66820 -.91827E-07 -.65574E-02 25 norm .0000 1.4992 .40546E-07** at limit ** 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 9.2406 .71264E-07** at limit ** 27 Prefactor .34051 9.6295 -.23384E-06 -.10694E-02 28 Prefactor 5.6970 4.6565 -.14708E-06 .76309E-02 29 norm 7.2340 17.655 -.27722E-06 -.81639E-02 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 2.7997 .84466E-07** at limit ** 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 1.5109 .15043E-07** at limit ** 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .22656 .20962E-05 .22502E-03 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .23384 .16629E-05 .23429E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 14.0263 Prefactor = 1.95788e-07 Prefactor = 3.84692e-08 Prefactor = 2.53353e-07 Prefactor = 5.01266e-08 Prefactor = 8.30447 Prefactor = 12.9084 Prefactor = 19.8367 norm = 8.53762e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 3.32028 Prefactor = 3.24433 Prefactor = 45.1977 Prefactor = 0.0150357 Prefactor = 5.33018e-07 Prefactor = 4.40981e-07 norm = 3.42504e-08 norm = 4.32987e-09 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 10.8184 Prefactor = 35.4595 norm = 3.94129e-09 Prefactor = 11.3896 norm = 0.288335 norm = 0 Prefactor = 4.4742e-08 Prefactor = 0.340514 Prefactor = 5.69695 norm = 7.23395 Prefactor = 3.71925e-09 Prefactor = 2.95319e-08 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 ce GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits.....................! real 23.42 user 21.26 sys 1.12 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27168900/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27168900/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27168900/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27168900/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73075753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73204014 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 14.037 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .67992E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .22362E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .35750E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .54166E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 8.3006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 12.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 19.727 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .28049E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .58265E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 3.1906 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 3.1674 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 45.255 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22338 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .22554E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .15374E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .61241E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .55033E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .42690E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 10.823 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 35.268 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .23886E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 11.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .28835 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .46343E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .54478E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .37647 1.0000 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73058458 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.410e-07 3.570e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 1.962e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 1.965e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40261253253e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00494597695892 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27168961/likelihoodResults_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.74923602 delta logL = -0.0186514458319 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058579 delta logL = -1.21568518807e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .87599E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6215 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0208 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1467 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 74 CALLS 266 TOTAL EDM= .56E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .19674 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .70574 5.0402 .50000 -.27285E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .16159E-02 .43239E-01 .24074E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .17036E-02 .57304E-01 .15215E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Index = 0.705743 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 25 CALLS 291 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .98217 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .70574 6.2966 .50000 -1.0330 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .36098E-02 .25417E-03 -.92331 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .38045E-02 .25340E-03 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 2.67428e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.05218e-05 2 60295 3 0.00360981 4 0.00380452 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058455 delta logL = 3.04626155412e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.052e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 7.057e-01 6.030e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 3.805e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 3.610e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27168961/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.95e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', time_completed='2026-05-24 17:16:48.707251', job_id='27168961', GAL2='1.15', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.02', EG='1.02', time_epoch_completed='1779668208.71', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.15', dlogl='3.05e-08', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2167' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun May 24 17:16:49 PDT 2026 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 5.7165 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' 6.8854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' .52494E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' .24624E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0210 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' 1.1463 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 172 CALLS 4669 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 14.026 1.0619 -.59089E-08 -.14021E-02 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 6.4306 .22016E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.5799 -.49451E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.1577 -.32502E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3058 -.49208E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 8.3045 1.7341 -.88698E-08 .51533E-02 7 Prefactor 12.908 5.8950 -.40309E-07 .16139E-03 8 Prefactor 19.837 18.414 -.56395E-07 -.12988 9 norm .85376E-07 3.7743 .19445E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 .76529 .29891E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 3.3203 10.379 -.28354E-06 -.16980E-02 12 Prefactor 3.2443 5.9004 -.95776E-07 .17453E-03 13 Prefactor 45.198 10.378 .10419E-06 -.35362E-01 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 36.205 .67883E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 8.6874 .31115E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 6.5733 -.12709E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0087 -.27336E-07** at limit ** 18 norm .43299E-08 2.5442 .37762E-07** at limit ** 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8867 .34891E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 10.818 6.7073 -.10065E-07 -.41144E-02 21 Prefactor 35.459 30.215 -.32587E-06 .68510E-01 22 norm .39413E-08 1.8954 .53092E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 11.390 2.1837 -.76610E-08 -.52073E-02 24 norm .28834 .66820 -.91827E-07 -.65574E-02 25 norm .0000 1.4992 .40546E-07** at limit ** 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 9.2406 .71264E-07** at limit ** 27 Prefactor .34051 9.6295 -.23384E-06 -.10694E-02 28 Prefactor 5.6970 4.6565 -.14708E-06 .76309E-02 29 norm 7.2340 17.655 -.27722E-06 -.81639E-02 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 2.7997 .84466E-07** at limit ** 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 1.5109 .15043E-07** at limit ** 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .22656 .20962E-05 .22502E-03 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .23384 .16629E-05 .23429E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 14.0263 Prefactor = 1.95788e-07 Prefactor = 3.84692e-08 Prefactor = 2.53353e-07 Prefactor = 5.01266e-08 Prefactor = 8.30447 Prefactor = 12.9084 Prefactor = 19.8367 norm = 8.53762e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 3.32028 Prefactor = 3.24433 Prefactor = 45.1977 Prefactor = 0.0150357 Prefactor = 5.33018e-07 Prefactor = 4.40981e-07 norm = 3.42504e-08 norm = 4.32987e-09 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 10.8184 Prefactor = 35.4595 norm = 3.94129e-09 Prefactor = 11.3896 norm = 0.288335 norm = 0 Prefactor = 4.4742e-08 Prefactor = 0.340514 Prefactor = 5.69695 norm = 7.23395 Prefactor = 3.71925e-09 Prefactor = 2.95319e-08 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 773 CALLS 5442 TOTAL EDM= .19E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 14.026 16.886 .26708E-03 -1.5633 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 12.819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.8593 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.4342 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3828 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 8.3045 15.623 .34773E-03 -1.5650 7 Prefactor 12.908 6.0732 .27910E-03 -1.5636 8 Prefactor 19.837 275.13 .22522E-03 -1.5619 9 norm .85376E-07 13.174 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 3.2622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 3.3203 108.13 .56703E-03 -1.5672 12 Prefactor 3.2443 6.0481 .56921E-03 -1.5672 13 Prefactor 45.198 36.003 .14866E-03 -1.5574 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 4.1841 .87609E-02 -1.5706 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 9.7313 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 7.2240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0877 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .43299E-08 3.1332 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8880 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 10.818 7.7473 .30430E-03 -1.5642 21 Prefactor 35.459 34.872 .16841E-03 -1.5589 22 norm .39413E-08 3.2307 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 11.390 17.475 .29622E-03 -1.5640 24 norm .28834 .78160 .22774E-02 -1.5697 25 norm .0000 1.4985 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 16.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Prefactor .34051 2.6156 .63171E-02 -1.5696 28 Prefactor 5.6970 20.709 .41987E-03 -1.5660 29 norm 7.2340 20.921 .38211E-03 -1.5654 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 15.418 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 2.9620 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .19640 .43207E-01 -.92331 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .19611 .57304E-01 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.89841e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.8862 2 0.00316835 3 0.000663239 4 0.00255346 5 0.000937313 6 15.6227 7 6.07316 8 147.761 9 0.00212105 10 8.50799e-05 11 37.8966 12 6.04807 13 36.0034 14 0.501638 15 0.00455493 16 0.00356964 17 0.000748261 18 0.000233508 19 1.96353e-05 20 7.7473 21 34.8725 22 0.000226037 23 17.4748 24 0.781604 25 1.16635e-05 26 0.00174155 27 1.88749 28 20.7096 29 20.9217 30 0.000479184 31 0.000591407 32 0.196542 33 0.196232 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 773 CALLS 5442 TOTAL EDM= .19E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 14.026 16.886 .26708E-03 -1.5633 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 12.819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.8593 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.4342 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3828 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 8.3045 15.623 .34773E-03 -1.5650 7 Prefactor 12.908 6.0732 .27910E-03 -1.5636 8 Prefactor 19.837 275.13 .22522E-03 -1.5619 9 norm .85376E-07 13.174 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 3.2622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 3.3203 108.13 .56703E-03 -1.5672 12 Prefactor 3.2443 6.0481 .56921E-03 -1.5672 13 Prefactor 45.198 36.003 .14866E-03 -1.5574 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 4.1841 .87609E-02 -1.5706 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 9.7313 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 7.2240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0877 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .43299E-08 3.1332 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8880 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 10.818 7.7473 .30430E-03 -1.5642 21 Prefactor 35.459 34.872 .16841E-03 -1.5589 22 norm .39413E-08 3.2307 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 11.390 17.475 .29622E-03 -1.5640 24 norm .28834 .78160 .22774E-02 -1.5697 25 norm .0000 1.4985 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 16.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Prefactor .34051 2.6156 .63171E-02 -1.5696 28 Prefactor 5.6970 20.709 .41987E-03 -1.5660 29 norm 7.2340 20.921 .38211E-03 -1.5654 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 15.418 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 2.9620 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .19640 .43207E-01 -.92331 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .19611 .57304E-01 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.89841e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.8862 2 0.00316835 3 0.000663239 4 0.00255346 5 0.000937313 6 15.6227 7 6.07316 8 147.761 9 0.00212105 10 8.50799e-05 11 37.8966 12 6.04807 13 36.0034 14 0.501638 15 0.00455493 16 0.00356964 17 0.000748261 18 0.000233508 19 1.96353e-05 20 7.7473 21 34.8725 22 0.000226037 23 17.4748 24 0.781604 25 1.16635e-05 26 0.00174155 27 1.88749 28 20.7096 29 20.9217 30 0.000479184 31 0.000591407 32 0.196542 33 0.196232 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits.....................! real 17.06 user 15.53 sys 0.94 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27169034/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27169034/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27169034/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27169034/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73075753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73204014 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 14.037 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .67992E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .22362E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .35750E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .54166E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 8.3006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 12.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 19.727 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .28049E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .58265E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 3.1906 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 3.1674 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 45.255 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22338 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .22554E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .15374E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .61241E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .55033E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .42690E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 10.823 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 35.268 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .23886E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 11.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .28835 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .46343E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .54478E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .37647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 5.7165 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' 6.8854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' .52494E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' .24624E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0210 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' 1.1463 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 172 CALLS 4669 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 14.026 1.0619 -.59089E-08 -.14021E-02 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 6.4306 .22016E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.5799 -.49451E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.1577 -.32502E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3058 -.49208E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 8.3045 1.7341 -.88698E-08 .51533E-02 7 Prefactor 12.908 5.8950 -.40309E-07 .16139E-03 8 Prefactor 19.837 18.414 -.56395E-07 -.12988 9 norm .85376E-07 3.7743 .19445E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 .76529 .29891E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 3.3203 10.379 -.28354E-06 -.16980E-02 12 Prefactor 3.2443 5.9004 -.95776E-07 .17453E-03 13 Prefactor 45.198 10.378 .10419E-06 -.35362E-01 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 36.205 .67883E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 8.6874 .31115E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 6.5733 -.12709E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0087 -.27336E-07** at limit ** 18 norm .43299E-08 2.5442 .37762E-07** at limit ** 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8867 .34891E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 10.818 6.7073 -.10065E-07 -.41144E-02 21 Prefactor 35.459 30.215 -.32587E-06 .68510E-01 22 norm .39413E-08 1.8954 .53092E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 11.390 2.1837 -.76610E-08 -.52073E-02 24 norm .28834 .66820 -.91827E-07 -.65574E-02 25 norm .0000 1.4992 .40546E-07** at limit ** 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 9.2406 .71264E-07** at limit ** 27 Prefactor .34051 9.6295 -.23384E-06 -.10694E-02 28 Prefactor 5.6970 4.6565 -.14708E-06 .76309E-02 29 norm 7.2340 17.655 -.27722E-06 -.81639E-02 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 2.7997 .84466E-07** at limit ** 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 1.5109 .15043E-07** at limit ** 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .22656 .20962E-05 .22502E-03 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .23384 .16629E-05 .23429E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 14.0263 Prefactor = 1.95788e-07 Prefactor = 3.84692e-08 Prefactor = 2.53353e-07 Prefactor = 5.01266e-08 Prefactor = 8.30447 Prefactor = 12.9084 Prefactor = 19.8367 norm = 8.53762e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 3.32028 Prefactor = 3.24433 Prefactor = 45.1977 Prefactor = 0.0150357 Prefactor = 5.33018e-07 Prefactor = 4.40981e-07 norm = 3.42504e-08 norm = 4.32987e-09 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 10.8184 Prefactor = 35.4595 norm = 3.94129e-09 Prefactor = 11.3896 norm = 0.288335 norm = 0 Prefactor = 4.4742e-08 Prefactor = 0.340514 Prefactor = 5.69695 norm = 7.23395 Prefactor = 3.71925e-09 Prefactor = 2.95319e-08 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73058458 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.410e-07 3.570e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 1.962e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 1.965e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40261253253e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00494597695892 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27168901/likelihoodResults_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.74923602 delta logL = -0.0186514458319 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058579 delta logL = -1.21568518807e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .87599E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6215 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0208 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1467 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 74 CALLS 266 TOTAL EDM= .56E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .19674 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .70574 5.0402 .50000 -.27285E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .16159E-02 .43239E-01 .24074E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .17036E-02 .57304E-01 .15215E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Index = 0.705743 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 25 CALLS 291 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .98217 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .70574 6.2966 .50000 -1.0330 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .36098E-02 .25417E-03 -.92331 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .38045E-02 .25340E-03 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 2.67428e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.05218e-05 2 60295 3 0.00360981 4 0.00380452 GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits.....................! real 17.54 user 15.69 sys 1.21 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27169070/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27169070/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27169070/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27169070/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73075753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73204014 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 14.037 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .67992E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .22362E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .35750E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .54166E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 8.3006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 12.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 19.727 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .28049E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .58265E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 3.1906 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 3.1674 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 45.255 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22338 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .22554E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .15374E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .61241E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .55033E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .42690E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 10.823 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 35.268 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .23886E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 11.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .28835 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .46343E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .54478E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .37647 1.0000 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058455 delta logL = 3.04626155412e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.052e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 7.057e-01 6.030e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 3.805e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 3.610e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27168901/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.95e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', time_completed='2026-05-24 17:17:41.703139', job_id='27168901', GAL2='1.15', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.02', EG='1.02', time_epoch_completed='1779668261.7', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.15', dlogl='3.05e-08', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2167' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun May 24 17:17:42 PDT 2026 GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits.....................! real 18.79 user 17.24 sys 0.96 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27169026/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27169026/expmap_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27169026/ltcube_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27169026/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73075753 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73204014 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 14.037 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .67992E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .22362E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .35750E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .54166E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 8.3006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 12.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 19.727 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .28049E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .58265E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 3.1906 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 3.1674 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 45.255 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .22338 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .22554E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .15374E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .61241E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .55033E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .42690E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 10.823 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 35.268 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .23886E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 11.419 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .28835 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .46343E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .54478E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .37647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 5.7165 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' 6.8854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' .52494E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' .24624E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0210 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' 1.1463 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 172 CALLS 4669 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 14.026 1.0619 -.59089E-08 -.14021E-02 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 6.4306 .22016E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.5799 -.49451E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.1577 -.32502E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3058 -.49208E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 8.3045 1.7341 -.88698E-08 .51533E-02 7 Prefactor 12.908 5.8950 -.40309E-07 .16139E-03 8 Prefactor 19.837 18.414 -.56395E-07 -.12988 9 norm .85376E-07 3.7743 .19445E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 .76529 .29891E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 3.3203 10.379 -.28354E-06 -.16980E-02 12 Prefactor 3.2443 5.9004 -.95776E-07 .17453E-03 13 Prefactor 45.198 10.378 .10419E-06 -.35362E-01 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 36.205 .67883E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 8.6874 .31115E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 6.5733 -.12709E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0087 -.27336E-07** at limit ** 18 norm .43299E-08 2.5442 .37762E-07** at limit ** 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8867 .34891E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 10.818 6.7073 -.10065E-07 -.41144E-02 21 Prefactor 35.459 30.215 -.32587E-06 .68510E-01 22 norm .39413E-08 1.8954 .53092E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 11.390 2.1837 -.76610E-08 -.52073E-02 24 norm .28834 .66820 -.91827E-07 -.65574E-02 25 norm .0000 1.4992 .40546E-07** at limit ** 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 9.2406 .71264E-07** at limit ** 27 Prefactor .34051 9.6295 -.23384E-06 -.10694E-02 28 Prefactor 5.6970 4.6565 -.14708E-06 .76309E-02 29 norm 7.2340 17.655 -.27722E-06 -.81639E-02 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 2.7997 .84466E-07** at limit ** 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 1.5109 .15043E-07** at limit ** 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .22656 .20962E-05 .22502E-03 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .23384 .16629E-05 .23429E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 14.0263 Prefactor = 1.95788e-07 Prefactor = 3.84692e-08 Prefactor = 2.53353e-07 Prefactor = 5.01266e-08 Prefactor = 8.30447 Prefactor = 12.9084 Prefactor = 19.8367 norm = 8.53762e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 3.32028 Prefactor = 3.24433 Prefactor = 45.1977 Prefactor = 0.0150357 Prefactor = 5.33018e-07 Prefactor = 4.40981e-07 norm = 3.42504e-08 norm = 4.32987e-09 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 10.8184 Prefactor = 35.4595 norm = 3.94129e-09 Prefactor = 11.3896 norm = 0.288335 norm = 0 Prefactor = 4.4742e-08 Prefactor = 0.340514 Prefactor = 5.69695 norm = 7.23395 Prefactor = 3.71925e-09 Prefactor = 2.95319e-08 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 5.7165 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' 6.8854 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' .52494E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' .24624E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0210 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' 1.1463 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 172 CALLS 4669 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 14.026 1.0619 -.59089E-08 -.14021E-02 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 6.4306 .22016E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.5799 -.49451E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.1577 -.32502E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3058 -.49208E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 8.3045 1.7341 -.88698E-08 .51533E-02 7 Prefactor 12.908 5.8950 -.40309E-07 .16139E-03 8 Prefactor 19.837 18.414 -.56395E-07 -.12988 9 norm .85376E-07 3.7743 .19445E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 .76529 .29891E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 3.3203 10.379 -.28354E-06 -.16980E-02 12 Prefactor 3.2443 5.9004 -.95776E-07 .17453E-03 13 Prefactor 45.198 10.378 .10419E-06 -.35362E-01 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 36.205 .67883E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 8.6874 .31115E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 6.5733 -.12709E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0087 -.27336E-07** at limit ** 18 norm .43299E-08 2.5442 .37762E-07** at limit ** 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8867 .34891E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 10.818 6.7073 -.10065E-07 -.41144E-02 21 Prefactor 35.459 30.215 -.32587E-06 .68510E-01 22 norm .39413E-08 1.8954 .53092E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 11.390 2.1837 -.76610E-08 -.52073E-02 24 norm .28834 .66820 -.91827E-07 -.65574E-02 25 norm .0000 1.4992 .40546E-07** at limit ** 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 9.2406 .71264E-07** at limit ** 27 Prefactor .34051 9.6295 -.23384E-06 -.10694E-02 28 Prefactor 5.6970 4.6565 -.14708E-06 .76309E-02 29 norm 7.2340 17.655 -.27722E-06 -.81639E-02 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 2.7997 .84466E-07** at limit ** 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 1.5109 .15043E-07** at limit ** 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .22656 .20962E-05 .22502E-03 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .23384 .16629E-05 .23429E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 14.0263 Prefactor = 1.95788e-07 Prefactor = 3.84692e-08 Prefactor = 2.53353e-07 Prefactor = 5.01266e-08 Prefactor = 8.30447 Prefactor = 12.9084 Prefactor = 19.8367 norm = 8.53762e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 3.32028 Prefactor = 3.24433 Prefactor = 45.1977 Prefactor = 0.0150357 Prefactor = 5.33018e-07 Prefactor = 4.40981e-07 norm = 3.42504e-08 norm = 4.32987e-09 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 10.8184 Prefactor = 35.4595 norm = 3.94129e-09 Prefactor = 11.3896 norm = 0.288335 norm = 0 Prefactor = 4.4742e-08 Prefactor = 0.340514 Prefactor = 5.69695 norm = 7.23395 Prefactor = 3.71925e-09 Prefactor = 2.95319e-08 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 773 CALLS 5442 TOTAL EDM= .19E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 14.026 16.886 .26708E-03 -1.5633 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 12.819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.8593 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.4342 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3828 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 8.3045 15.623 .34773E-03 -1.5650 7 Prefactor 12.908 6.0732 .27910E-03 -1.5636 8 Prefactor 19.837 275.13 .22522E-03 -1.5619 9 norm .85376E-07 13.174 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 3.2622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 3.3203 108.13 .56703E-03 -1.5672 12 Prefactor 3.2443 6.0481 .56921E-03 -1.5672 13 Prefactor 45.198 36.003 .14866E-03 -1.5574 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 4.1841 .87609E-02 -1.5706 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 9.7313 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 7.2240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0877 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .43299E-08 3.1332 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8880 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 10.818 7.7473 .30430E-03 -1.5642 21 Prefactor 35.459 34.872 .16841E-03 -1.5589 22 norm .39413E-08 3.2307 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 11.390 17.475 .29622E-03 -1.5640 24 norm .28834 .78160 .22774E-02 -1.5697 25 norm .0000 1.4985 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 16.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Prefactor .34051 2.6156 .63171E-02 -1.5696 28 Prefactor 5.6970 20.709 .41987E-03 -1.5660 29 norm 7.2340 20.921 .38211E-03 -1.5654 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 15.418 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 2.9620 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .19640 .43207E-01 -.92331 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .19611 .57304E-01 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.89841e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.8862 2 0.00316835 3 0.000663239 4 0.00255346 5 0.000937313 6 15.6227 7 6.07316 8 147.761 9 0.00212105 10 8.50799e-05 11 37.8966 12 6.04807 13 36.0034 14 0.501638 15 0.00455493 16 0.00356964 17 0.000748261 18 0.000233508 19 1.96353e-05 20 7.7473 21 34.8725 22 0.000226037 23 17.4748 24 0.781604 25 1.16635e-05 26 0.00174155 27 1.88749 28 20.7096 29 20.9217 30 0.000479184 31 0.000591407 32 0.196542 33 0.196232 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73058458 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.410e-07 3.570e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 1.962e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 1.965e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40261253253e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00494597695892 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27168900/likelihoodResults_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.74923602 delta logL = -0.0186514458319 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058579 delta logL = -1.21568518807e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .87599E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6215 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0208 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1467 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 74 CALLS 266 TOTAL EDM= .56E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .19674 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .70574 5.0402 .50000 -.27285E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .16159E-02 .43239E-01 .24074E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .17036E-02 .57304E-01 .15215E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Index = 0.705743 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 25 CALLS 291 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .98217 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .70574 6.2966 .50000 -1.0330 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .36098E-02 .25417E-03 -.92331 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .38045E-02 .25340E-03 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 2.67428e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.05218e-05 2 60295 3 0.00360981 4 0.00380452 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 773 CALLS 5442 TOTAL EDM= .19E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 14.026 16.886 .26708E-03 -1.5633 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 12.819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.8593 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.4342 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3828 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 8.3045 15.623 .34773E-03 -1.5650 7 Prefactor 12.908 6.0732 .27910E-03 -1.5636 8 Prefactor 19.837 275.13 .22522E-03 -1.5619 9 norm .85376E-07 13.174 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 3.2622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 3.3203 108.13 .56703E-03 -1.5672 12 Prefactor 3.2443 6.0481 .56921E-03 -1.5672 13 Prefactor 45.198 36.003 .14866E-03 -1.5574 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 4.1841 .87609E-02 -1.5706 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 9.7313 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 7.2240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0877 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .43299E-08 3.1332 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8880 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 10.818 7.7473 .30430E-03 -1.5642 21 Prefactor 35.459 34.872 .16841E-03 -1.5589 22 norm .39413E-08 3.2307 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 11.390 17.475 .29622E-03 -1.5640 24 norm .28834 .78160 .22774E-02 -1.5697 25 norm .0000 1.4985 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 16.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Prefactor .34051 2.6156 .63171E-02 -1.5696 28 Prefactor 5.6970 20.709 .41987E-03 -1.5660 29 norm 7.2340 20.921 .38211E-03 -1.5654 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 15.418 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 2.9620 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .19640 .43207E-01 -.92331 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .19611 .57304E-01 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.89841e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.8862 2 0.00316835 3 0.000663239 4 0.00255346 5 0.000937313 6 15.6227 7 6.07316 8 147.761 9 0.00212105 10 8.50799e-05 11 37.8966 12 6.04807 13 36.0034 14 0.501638 15 0.00455493 16 0.00356964 17 0.000748261 18 0.000233508 19 1.96353e-05 20 7.7473 21 34.8725 22 0.000226037 23 17.4748 24 0.781604 25 1.16635e-05 26 0.00174155 27 1.88749 28 20.7096 29 20.9217 30 0.000479184 31 0.000591407 32 0.196542 33 0.196232 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058455 delta logL = 3.04626155412e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.052e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 7.057e-01 6.030e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 3.805e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 3.610e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27168900/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.95e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', time_completed='2026-05-24 17:18:13.499631', job_id='27168900', GAL2='1.15', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.02', EG='1.02', time_epoch_completed='1779668293.5', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.15', dlogl='3.05e-08', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2167' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun May 24 17:18:14 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 773 CALLS 5442 TOTAL EDM= .19E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 14.026 16.886 .26708E-03 -1.5633 2 Prefactor .19579E-06 12.819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .38469E-07 2.8593 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .25335E-06 6.4342 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .50127E-07 4.3828 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 8.3045 15.623 .34773E-03 -1.5650 7 Prefactor 12.908 6.0732 .27910E-03 -1.5636 8 Prefactor 19.837 275.13 .22522E-03 -1.5619 9 norm .85376E-07 13.174 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .55511E-09 3.2622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 3.3203 108.13 .56703E-03 -1.5672 12 Prefactor 3.2443 6.0481 .56921E-03 -1.5672 13 Prefactor 45.198 36.003 .14866E-03 -1.5574 14 Prefactor .15036E-01 4.1841 .87609E-02 -1.5706 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .53302E-06 9.7313 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .44098E-06 7.2240 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .34250E-07 4.0877 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .43299E-08 3.1332 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .55511E-10 1.8880 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 10.818 7.7473 .30430E-03 -1.5642 21 Prefactor 35.459 34.872 .16841E-03 -1.5589 22 norm .39413E-08 3.2307 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 11.390 17.475 .29622E-03 -1.5640 24 norm .28834 .78160 .22774E-02 -1.5697 25 norm .0000 1.4985 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor .44742E-07 16.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Prefactor .34051 2.6156 .63171E-02 -1.5696 28 Prefactor 5.6970 20.709 .41987E-03 -1.5660 29 norm 7.2340 20.921 .38211E-03 -1.5654 30 Prefactor .37192E-08 15.418 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor .29532E-07 2.9620 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 32 Normalizat 1.0210 .19640 .43207E-01 -.92331 33 Prefactor 1.1466 .19611 .57304E-01 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.89841e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 16.8862 2 0.00316835 3 0.000663239 4 0.00255346 5 0.000937313 6 15.6227 7 6.07316 8 147.761 9 0.00212105 10 8.50799e-05 11 37.8966 12 6.04807 13 36.0034 14 0.501638 15 0.00455493 16 0.00356964 17 0.000748261 18 0.000233508 19 1.96353e-05 20 7.7473 21 34.8725 22 0.000226037 23 17.4748 24 0.781604 25 1.16635e-05 26 0.00174155 27 1.88749 28 20.7096 29 20.9217 30 0.000479184 31 0.000591407 32 0.196542 33 0.196232 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73058458 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.410e-07 3.570e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 1.962e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 1.965e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40261253253e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00494597695892 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27169034/likelihoodResults_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.74923602 delta logL = -0.0186514458319 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058579 delta logL = -1.21568518807e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .87599E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6215 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0208 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1467 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 74 CALLS 266 TOTAL EDM= .56E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .19674 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .70574 5.0402 .50000 -.27285E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .16159E-02 .43239E-01 .24074E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .17036E-02 .57304E-01 .15215E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Index = 0.705743 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 25 CALLS 291 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .98217 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .70574 6.2966 .50000 -1.0330 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .36098E-02 .25417E-03 -.92331 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .38045E-02 .25340E-03 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 2.67428e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.05218e-05 2 60295 3 0.00360981 4 0.00380452 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058455 delta logL = 3.04626155412e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.052e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 7.057e-01 6.030e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 3.805e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 3.610e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27169034/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.95e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', time_completed='2026-05-24 17:18:34.627406', job_id='27169034', GAL2='1.15', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.02', EG='1.02', time_epoch_completed='1779668314.63', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.15', dlogl='3.05e-08', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2167' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun May 24 17:18:34 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73058458 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.410e-07 3.570e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 1.962e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 1.965e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40261253253e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00494597695892 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27169070/likelihoodResults_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.74923602 delta logL = -0.0186514458319 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058579 delta logL = -1.21568518807e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .87599E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6215 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0208 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1467 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 74 CALLS 266 TOTAL EDM= .56E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .19674 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .70574 5.0402 .50000 -.27285E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .16159E-02 .43239E-01 .24074E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .17036E-02 .57304E-01 .15215E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Index = 0.705743 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 25 CALLS 291 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .98217 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .70574 6.2966 .50000 -1.0330 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .36098E-02 .25417E-03 -.92331 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .38045E-02 .25340E-03 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 2.67428e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.05218e-05 2 60295 3 0.00360981 4 0.00380452 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058455 delta logL = 3.04626155412e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.052e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 7.057e-01 6.030e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 3.805e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 3.610e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27169070/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.95e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', time_completed='2026-05-24 17:18:49.088134', job_id='27169070', GAL2='1.15', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.02', EG='1.02', time_epoch_completed='1779668329.09', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.15', dlogl='3.05e-08', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2167' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun May 24 17:18:49 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6041.73058458 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 4.410e-07 3.570e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 1.962e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 1.965e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40261253253e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00494597695892 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27169026/likelihoodResults_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.74923602 delta logL = -0.0186514458319 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058579 delta logL = -1.21568518807e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .87599E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.6215 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0208 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1467 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6041.731 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 74 CALLS 266 TOTAL EDM= .56E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .19674 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .70574 5.0402 .50000 -.27285E-09 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .16159E-02 .43239E-01 .24074E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .17036E-02 .57304E-01 .15215E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Index = 0.705743 Normalizat = 1.02098 Prefactor = 1.14657 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6041.731 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 25 CALLS 291 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 .98217 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .70574 6.2966 .50000 -1.0330 3 Normalizat 1.0210 .36098E-02 .25417E-03 -.92331 4 Prefactor 1.1466 .38045E-02 .25340E-03 -.87992 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 2.67428e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.05218e-05 2 60295 3 0.00360981 4 0.00380452 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6041.73058455 delta logL = 3.04626155412e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 1.110e-10 2.052e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 7.057e-01 6.030e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 1.147e+00 3.805e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.021e+00 3.610e-03 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27169026/cmap_HighResolution_801014401_801273601_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2167.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.95e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', time_completed='2026-05-24 17:19:01.010891', job_id='27169026', GAL2='1.15', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.02', EG='1.02', time_epoch_completed='1779668341.01', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.15', dlogl='3.05e-08', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2167' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun May 24 17:19:01 PDT 2026