/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 7649 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150 RA = 348.914, Dec = -50.3127 tmin = 796608001, tmax = 796867201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='24757290', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-04-03 05:26:26.121448', time_epoch_executed='1775219186.12' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2150' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/24757290 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/24757290/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=796608001.0 && nMetStart<796867201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=796608001.0 && nMetStart<796867201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ft1_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=796608001.0 && nMetStart<796867201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ft1_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits ra=348.914 dec=-50.3127 rad=12.0 tmin=796608001.0 tmax=796867201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.38 user 2.26 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.31 user 0.20 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 514 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ltcube_796608001_796867201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits .....................! real 10.88 user 9.58 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ltcube_796608001_796867201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/expmap_796608001_796867201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ltcube_796608001_796867201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits .....................! real 76.28 user 70.74 sys 4.24 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 186 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2315.6-5018 @ 348.914 -50.3127 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/cmap_796608001_796867201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.92 user 0.22 sys 0.15 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/cmap_HighResolution_796608001_796867201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=348.914 yref=-50.3127 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.98 user 0.25 sys 0.16 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits.....................! real 22.97 user 18.67 sys 1.56 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/expmap_796608001_796867201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ltcube_796608001_796867201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/24757290/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2315.6-5018' 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 3.550e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ft2_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/24757290/expmap_796608001_796867201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/24757290/ltcube_796608001_796867201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/24757290/Model_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5637.27483645 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5637.19106726 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 20.164 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 32.754 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .74107E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .24958E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .95072E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 6.0798 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .54073E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .45587E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .14387E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .37897E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .75162E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 16.303 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .10802E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 14.528 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 12.954 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .69963 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 16.782 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .95585E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .10614E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 11.088 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .31960E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .64665E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .23259E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .96217 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .44312E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 10.033 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .14889E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .29654E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .52036E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' 4.7493 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' .12160E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Normalizat' 1.0481 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 33 'Prefactor ' .96895 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5637.190 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 213 CALLS 3270 TOTAL EDM= .15E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.6% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 19.761 1.8699 -.11175E-06 .93473E-01 2 Prefactor 31.358 37.459 .10080E-04 .71810E-01 3 Prefactor .55511E-09 1.8821 .68424E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .55234E-07 1.9153 .64467E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .16653E-08 8.9044 -.24933E-05** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 6.0578 10.180 -.20930E-05 -.66411E-02 7 Prefactor .57143E-06 2.5609 .20342E-05** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .41078E-08 43.340 -.14648E-04** at limit ** 9 norm .0000 3.2129 .63863E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .33307E-09 4.9450 .18828E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .49202E-03 120.82 .23190E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 16.278 7.9911 .53207E-06 -.49273E-02 13 Prefactor .40670E-03 103.38 .17104E-04** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 14.535 9.1963 -.63054E-06 -.11460E-02 15 Prefactor 13.028 1.2116 -.11780E-06 -.44618E-02 16 Prefactor .79125 1.7852 .35454E-05 .91722E-02 17 norm 16.776 1.1609 .12970E-06 .35093E-01 18 norm .55511E-10 2.2490 -.26086E-06** at limit ** 19 norm .0000 1.4766 .24589E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 11.081 6.6391 .40940E-06 -.26555E-02 21 Prefactor .13323E-08 6.8912 -.16085E-05** at limit ** 22 norm .55511E-10 .98185 .93180E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor .81213E-07 1.9733 .70499E-06** at limit ** 24 norm .96157 .76924 .79993E-07 -.85925E-02 25 norm .0000 .99317 -.29288E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 10.081 2.8222 .25781E-06 -.19291E-01 27 Prefactor .0000 1.6850 -.28771E-06** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .74940E-08 12.463 .12742E-06** at limit ** 29 norm .13600E-06 8.1002 .46168E-05** at limit ** 30 Prefactor 4.7686 4.4584 -.83082E-06 .29213E-02 31 Prefactor .69944E-08 26.272 -.89271E-05** at limit ** 32 Normalizat 1.0492 .22446 -.88401E-05 .84266E-04 33 Prefactor .96884 .22669 .21267E-04 .79962E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 19.7606 Prefactor = 31.3576 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 5.52336e-08 Prefactor = 1.66533e-09 Prefactor = 6.05782 Prefactor = 5.71432e-07 Prefactor = 4.10783e-09 norm = 0 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 0.000492022 Prefactor = 16.2784 Prefactor = 0.0004067 Prefactor = 14.5347 Prefactor = 13.0276 Prefactor = 0.791247 norm = 16.776 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 0 Prefactor = 11.0814 Prefactor = 1.33227e-09 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 8.12128e-08 norm = 0.961566 norm = 0 Prefactor = 10.0813 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 7.49401e-09 norm = 1.36002e-07 Prefactor = 4.76856 Prefactor = 6.99441e-09 Normalizat = 1.04916 Prefactor = 0.968838 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5637.190 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 761 CALLS 4031 TOTAL EDM= .48E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 19.761 23.645 .22277E-03 -1.5619 2 Prefactor 31.358 38.919 .17475E-03 -1.5596 3 Prefactor .55511E-09 5.6752 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .55234E-07 5.6862 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .16653E-08 8.9535 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 6.0578 10.246 .40695E-03 -1.5659 7 Prefactor .57143E-06 10.873 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .41078E-08 43.580 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm .0000 3.2157 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .33307E-09 4.9184 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .49202E-03 228.10 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 16.278 8.0190 .24779E-03 -1.5627 13 Prefactor .40670E-03 193.30 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 14.535 9.2264 .26252E-03 -1.5632 15 Prefactor 13.028 23.010 .27805E-03 -1.5636 16 Prefactor .79125 66.218 .60738E-03 -1.5690 17 norm 16.776 11.886 .24422E-03 -1.5626 18 norm .55511E-10 2.2502 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 norm .0000 1.4763 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 11.081 6.7215 .30062E-03 -1.5641 21 Prefactor .13323E-08 6.9438 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm .55511E-10 .98202 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .81213E-07 5.6524 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm .96157 .77646 .42421E-03 -1.5688 25 norm .0000 .99369 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 10.081 16.562 .31610E-03 -1.5644 27 Prefactor .0000 1.6782 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .74940E-08 12.761 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .13600E-06 10.166 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Prefactor 4.7686 4.4896 .46146E-03 -1.5664 31 Prefactor .69944E-08 3.4925 .49527E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 32 Normalizat 1.0492 .19565 .40687E-01 -.91401 33 Prefactor .96884 .19216 .45878E-01 -.93776 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.75582e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 23.6449 2 38.9195 3 0.000110001 4 0.00112074 5 0.000245292 6 10.2465 7 0.00498524 8 0.000846931 9 3.12142e-07 10 8.32041e-05 11 0.670039 12 8.019 13 0.560781 14 9.2264 15 23.0105 16 14.4771 17 11.8862 18 2.27263e-05 19 2.02559e-06 20 6.72153 21 0.000193058 22 1.12116e-05 23 0.00135519 24 0.776461 25 9.081e-06 26 16.562 27 2.68532e-06 28 0.000618033 29 0.00235156 30 4.4896 31 0.000312918 32 0.195784 33 0.192294 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5637.18992515 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 7.912e-01 1.448e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 2.395e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 9.688e-01 1.923e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.049e+00 1.958e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.37548828392e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00647001077474 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/24757290/likelihoodResults_796608001_796867201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5636.79480704 delta logL = 0.395118106849 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5636.21344978 delta logL = 0.976475366977 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .20971E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 9.9880 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .96882 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0276 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5960E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 5637.191 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 81 CALLS 504 TOTAL EDM= .18E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.5057 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .70631 .81267 -.16259E-06 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.0510 1.3489 -.11482E-04 .21003E-04 4 Prefactor .96817 1.1909 -.16281E-04 -.26439E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.706314 Normalizat = 1.05102 Prefactor = 0.968175 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 5637.191 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 513 TOTAL EDM= .18E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.5057 .42118E-03 2951.5 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .19593E-02 .92607 -.16259E-06 .13492E+07 3 Normalizat 1.0510 1.3489 -.11482E-04 545.72 4 Prefactor .96817 1.1909 -.16281E-04 305.67 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.82199e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.49222e-06 2 0.826955 3 1.39716 4 1.22575 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 5637.19148862 delta logL = -0.00156346508084 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2315.6-5018 Spectrum: PowerLaw 432 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.492e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 433 Index: 7.063e-01 8.270e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 434 Scale: 1.098e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 593 Prefactor: 9.682e-01 1.226e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 594 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 595 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 592 Normalization: 1.051e+00 1.397e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 348.914 -50.313 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/24757290/cmap_HighResolution_796608001_796867201_4FGL_J2315.6-5018_daily_bin2150.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.47e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.38e-08', time_completed='2026-04-03 05:35:04.282695', job_id='24757290', GAL2='0.97', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.05', EG='1.05', time_epoch_completed='1775219704.28', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.97', dlogl='-1.56e-03', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.40' WHERE bin_id='2150' AND source_name='4FGL J2315.6-5018' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Apr 3 05:35:04 PDT 2026