********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17411.74 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 312 CALLS 1461 TOTAL EDM= .14E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .10000E-03 1.1194 .90712E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm 40.930 9.6579 .15638E-03 -1.5580 3 Prefactor 13.751 18.788 .26691E-03 -1.5634 4 Prefactor 3.4169 6.2721 .54621E-03 -1.5671 5 Prefactor 12.950 22.472 .27713E-03 -1.5636 6 Prefactor .0000 1.9800 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .0000 .15218 .19012E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .0000 .96804 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .95451 7.6998 .44637E-03 -1.5688 10 Prefactor 14.178 23.280 .26847E-03 -1.5633 11 norm 4.7486 5.0244 .45974E-03 -1.5664 12 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.3899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .34417E-08 16.496 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .10880E-07 27.251 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .0000 .63615 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 5.7357 19.466 .41536E-03 -1.5660 17 Prefactor 11.745 14.088 .29426E-03 -1.5639 18 Normalizat .85031 .11929 .69734E-01 -.98229 19 Prefactor .98283 .75333E-01 .46052E-01 -.93304 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.39668e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.01156e-06 2 9.65787 3 18.7879 4 6.27212 5 22.4717 6 9.52685e-06 7 3.93701e-07 8 5.03146e-06 9 5.42202 10 23.2804 11 5.02439 12 6.66437e-05 13 0.000475252 14 0.0010882 15 4.65941e-07 16 19.466 17 14.0879 18 0.119322 19 0.0753408 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692773/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27692773/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits .....................! real 16.78 user 16.03 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692773/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692773/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27692773/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692773/expmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27692773/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits .....................! real 59.87 user 55.87 sys 3.38 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 163 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2311.0+0205 @ 347.766 2.0995 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692773/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692773/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692773/cmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=347.766 yref=2.0995 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.53 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692773/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692773/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692773/cmap_HighResolution_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=347.766 yref=2.0995 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.73 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692773/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692773/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27692773/Model_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17411.7367404 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2311.0+0205 Spectrum: PowerLaw 368 Prefactor: 3.417e+00 6.272e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 369 Index: 2.186e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 370 Scale: 1.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 531 Prefactor: 9.828e-01 7.534e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 532 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 533 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 530 Normalization: 8.503e-01 1.193e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.42 Ra Dec: 347.766 2.099 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.91992582397e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00298351777631 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27692534/likelihoodResults_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17411.683613 delta logL = 0.0531273991364 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17411.6820015 delta logL = 0.0547389169151 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 3.7731 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8558 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .85263 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98208 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 17411.68 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 53 CALLS 226 TOTAL EDM= .36E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 3.7731 100.94 .51948E-03 -.28846E-02 2 Index 1.8558 1.7887 .50000 .52260E-05 3 Normalizat .85263 .19180E-01 .69647E-01 .56189E-04 4 Prefactor .98208 .12332E-01 .46043E-01 .63233E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.77305 Index = 1.85582 Normalizat = 0.852633 Prefactor = 0.982084 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17411.68 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 259 TOTAL EDM= .24E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 3.7731 6.5782 .20779E-04 -1.5669 2 Index 1.8558 .96144 .10254E-01 -.68006 3 Normalizat .85263 .13253 .30816E-03 -.98145 4 Prefactor .98208 .87782E-01 .19015E-03 -.93329 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.36203e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.5782 2 0.971517 3 0.132585 4 0.087795 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17411.6820015 delta logL = 0.0547389170897 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2311.0+0205 Spectrum: PowerLaw 368 Prefactor: 3.773e+00 6.578e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 369 Index: 1.856e+00 9.715e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 370 Scale: 1.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 531 Prefactor: 9.821e-01 8.780e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 532 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 533 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 530 Normalization: 8.526e-01 1.326e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.42 Ra Dec: 347.766 2.099 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27692534/cmap_HighResolution_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.98e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.92e-08', time_completed='2026-06-02 22:31:07.945223', job_id='27692534', GAL2='0.98', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.85', EG='0.85', time_epoch_completed='1780464667.95', return_code2='0', ts='0.42', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.98', dlogl='5.47e-02', ts2='0.53', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='930' AND source_name='4FGL J2311.0+0205' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jun 2 22:31:08 PDT 2026 number of points = 17278 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930 RA = 347.766, Dec = 2.0995 tmin = 801446401, tmax = 802051201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='27692919', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-06-02 22:30:01.982544', time_epoch_executed='1780464601.98' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2311.0+0205' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='930' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27692919 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27692919/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=801446401.0 && nMetStart<802051201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=801446401.0 && nMetStart<802051201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ft1_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=801446401.0 && nMetStart<802051201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ft1_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits ra=347.766 dec=2.0995 rad=12.0 tmin=801446401.0 tmax=802051201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.44 user 3.84 sys 0.22 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.61 user 0.19 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1572 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits sctable="SC_DATA" o_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27692773/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits.....................! real 52.93 user 51.47 sys 0.89 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27692773/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27692773/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27692773/expmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27692773/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27692773/Model_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2311.0+0205' 4FGL J2311.0+0205 Spectrum: PowerLaw 368 Prefactor: 6.504e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 369 Index: 2.186e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 370 Scale: 1.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27692773/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27692773/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27692773/expmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27692773/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27692773/Model_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17411.8634386 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17411.7373338 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .10009E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 2 'norm ' 40.900 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 14.054 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 3.4264 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 13.040 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .61710E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .10553E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .40556E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .91634 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 13.893 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 4.7840 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .32878E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .56776E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .26268E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .34972E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 5.8396 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 11.571 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' .85020 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .98283 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 17411.74 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 120 CALLS 1149 TOTAL EDM= .16E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .10000E-03 1.1207 -.43005E-06** at limit ** 2 norm 40.930 9.6391 -.18225E-07 .57436E-02 3 Prefactor 13.751 3.8705 -.78971E-08 -.42551E-01 4 Prefactor 3.4169 6.2657 .56373E-07 .13247E-03 5 Prefactor 12.950 1.6461 .12660E-08 .65206E-02 6 Prefactor .0000 1.9805 -.13276E-06** at limit ** 7 norm .0000 .29802 -.19177E-07** at limit ** 8 norm .0000 .96606 .11426E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .95451 2.4842 .95137E-07 .17970E-01 10 Prefactor 14.178 2.6905 -.54684E-08 .13398E-01 11 norm 4.7486 4.6973 .28532E-06 -.48929E-02 12 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.4941 .35695E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .34417E-08 16.511 -.63890E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .10880E-07 26.992 -.17337E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .0000 .63278 .17266E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 5.7357 1.6139 -.11497E-07 .34563E-02 17 Prefactor 11.745 12.108 .70932E-07 -.51357E-03 18 Normalizat .85031 .13484 -.49743E-06 .13253E-03 19 Prefactor .98283 .87846E-01 -.13760E-05 .24944E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.0001 norm = 40.9305 Prefactor = 13.751 Prefactor = 3.41693 Prefactor = 12.95 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0.954515 Prefactor = 14.1781 norm = 4.74857 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 3.44169e-09 norm = 1.08802e-08 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 5.73572 Prefactor = 11.7446 Normalizat = 0.850308 Prefactor = 0.982826 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17411.74 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 312 CALLS 1461 TOTAL EDM= .14E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .10000E-03 1.1194 .90712E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm 40.930 9.6579 .15638E-03 -1.5580 3 Prefactor 13.751 18.788 .26691E-03 -1.5634 4 Prefactor 3.4169 6.2721 .54621E-03 -1.5671 5 Prefactor 12.950 22.472 .27713E-03 -1.5636 6 Prefactor .0000 1.9800 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .0000 .15218 .19012E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .0000 .96804 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .95451 7.6998 .44637E-03 -1.5688 10 Prefactor 14.178 23.280 .26847E-03 -1.5633 11 norm 4.7486 5.0244 .45974E-03 -1.5664 12 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.3899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .34417E-08 16.496 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .10880E-07 27.251 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .0000 .63615 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 5.7357 19.466 .41536E-03 -1.5660 17 Prefactor 11.745 14.088 .29426E-03 -1.5639 18 Normalizat .85031 .11929 .69734E-01 -.98229 19 Prefactor .98283 .75333E-01 .46052E-01 -.93304 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.39668e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.01156e-06 2 9.65787 3 18.7879 4 6.27212 5 22.4717 6 9.52685e-06 7 3.93701e-07 8 5.03146e-06 9 5.42202 10 23.2804 11 5.02439 12 6.66437e-05 13 0.000475252 14 0.0010882 15 4.65941e-07 16 19.466 17 14.0879 18 0.119322 19 0.0753408 utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits .....................! real 16.16 user 15.54 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/expmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits .....................! real 59.64 user 55.63 sys 3.39 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 163 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2311.0+0205 @ 347.766 2.0995 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/cmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=347.766 yref=2.0995 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.53 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/cmap_HighResolution_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=347.766 yref=2.0995 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.68 user 0.23 sys 0.19 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/Model_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17411.7367404 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2311.0+0205 Spectrum: PowerLaw 368 Prefactor: 3.417e+00 6.272e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 369 Index: 2.186e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 370 Scale: 1.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 531 Prefactor: 9.828e-01 7.534e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 532 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 533 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 530 Normalization: 8.503e-01 1.193e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.42 Ra Dec: 347.766 2.099 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.91992582397e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00298351777631 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27692773/likelihoodResults_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17411.683613 delta logL = 0.0531273991364 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17411.6820015 delta logL = 0.0547389169151 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 3.7731 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8558 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .85263 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98208 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 17411.68 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 53 CALLS 226 TOTAL EDM= .36E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 3.7731 100.94 .51948E-03 -.28846E-02 2 Index 1.8558 1.7887 .50000 .52260E-05 3 Normalizat .85263 .19180E-01 .69647E-01 .56189E-04 4 Prefactor .98208 .12332E-01 .46043E-01 .63233E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.77305 Index = 1.85582 Normalizat = 0.852633 Prefactor = 0.982084 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17411.68 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 259 TOTAL EDM= .24E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 3.7731 6.5782 .20779E-04 -1.5669 2 Index 1.8558 .96144 .10254E-01 -.68006 3 Normalizat .85263 .13253 .30816E-03 -.98145 4 Prefactor .98208 .87782E-01 .19015E-03 -.93329 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.36203e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.5782 2 0.971517 3 0.132585 4 0.087795 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17411.6820015 delta logL = 0.0547389170897 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2311.0+0205 Spectrum: PowerLaw 368 Prefactor: 3.773e+00 6.578e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 369 Index: 1.856e+00 9.715e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 370 Scale: 1.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 531 Prefactor: 9.821e-01 8.780e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 532 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 533 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 530 Normalization: 8.526e-01 1.326e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.42 Ra Dec: 347.766 2.099 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27692773/cmap_HighResolution_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.98e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.92e-08', time_completed='2026-06-02 22:34:02.430655', job_id='27692773', GAL2='0.98', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.85', EG='0.85', time_epoch_completed='1780464842.43', return_code2='0', ts='0.42', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.98', dlogl='5.47e-02', ts2='0.53', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='930' AND source_name='4FGL J2311.0+0205' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jun 2 22:34:02 PDT 2026 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits.....................! real 51.79 user 50.28 sys 0.86 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/expmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27692919/Model_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2311.0+0205' 4FGL J2311.0+0205 Spectrum: PowerLaw 368 Prefactor: 6.504e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 369 Index: 2.186e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 370 Scale: 1.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27692919/expmap_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27692919/ltcube_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27692919/Model_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17411.8634386 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17411.7373338 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .10009E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 2 'norm ' 40.900 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 14.054 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 3.4264 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 13.040 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .61710E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .10553E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .40556E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .91634 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 13.893 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 4.7840 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .32878E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .56776E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .26268E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .34972E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 5.8396 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 11.571 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' .85020 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .98283 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 17411.74 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 120 CALLS 1149 TOTAL EDM= .16E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .10000E-03 1.1207 -.43005E-06** at limit ** 2 norm 40.930 9.6391 -.18225E-07 .57436E-02 3 Prefactor 13.751 3.8705 -.78971E-08 -.42551E-01 4 Prefactor 3.4169 6.2657 .56373E-07 .13247E-03 5 Prefactor 12.950 1.6461 .12660E-08 .65206E-02 6 Prefactor .0000 1.9805 -.13276E-06** at limit ** 7 norm .0000 .29802 -.19177E-07** at limit ** 8 norm .0000 .96606 .11426E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .95451 2.4842 .95137E-07 .17970E-01 10 Prefactor 14.178 2.6905 -.54684E-08 .13398E-01 11 norm 4.7486 4.6973 .28532E-06 -.48929E-02 12 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.4941 .35695E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .34417E-08 16.511 -.63890E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .10880E-07 26.992 -.17337E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .0000 .63278 .17266E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 5.7357 1.6139 -.11497E-07 .34563E-02 17 Prefactor 11.745 12.108 .70932E-07 -.51357E-03 18 Normalizat .85031 .13484 -.49743E-06 .13253E-03 19 Prefactor .98283 .87846E-01 -.13760E-05 .24944E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.0001 norm = 40.9305 Prefactor = 13.751 Prefactor = 3.41693 Prefactor = 12.95 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0.954515 Prefactor = 14.1781 norm = 4.74857 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 3.44169e-09 norm = 1.08802e-08 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 5.73572 Prefactor = 11.7446 Normalizat = 0.850308 Prefactor = 0.982826 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17411.74 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 312 CALLS 1461 TOTAL EDM= .14E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .10000E-03 1.1194 .90712E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm 40.930 9.6579 .15638E-03 -1.5580 3 Prefactor 13.751 18.788 .26691E-03 -1.5634 4 Prefactor 3.4169 6.2721 .54621E-03 -1.5671 5 Prefactor 12.950 22.472 .27713E-03 -1.5636 6 Prefactor .0000 1.9800 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .0000 .15218 .19012E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .0000 .96804 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .95451 7.6998 .44637E-03 -1.5688 10 Prefactor 14.178 23.280 .26847E-03 -1.5633 11 norm 4.7486 5.0244 .45974E-03 -1.5664 12 Prefactor .22204E-09 5.3899 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .34417E-08 16.496 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .10880E-07 27.251 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .0000 .63615 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 5.7357 19.466 .41536E-03 -1.5660 17 Prefactor 11.745 14.088 .29426E-03 -1.5639 18 Normalizat .85031 .11929 .69734E-01 -.98229 19 Prefactor .98283 .75333E-01 .46052E-01 -.93304 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.39668e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.01156e-06 2 9.65787 3 18.7879 4 6.27212 5 22.4717 6 9.52685e-06 7 3.93701e-07 8 5.03146e-06 9 5.42202 10 23.2804 11 5.02439 12 6.66437e-05 13 0.000475252 14 0.0010882 15 4.65941e-07 16 19.466 17 14.0879 18 0.119322 19 0.0753408 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17411.7367404 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2311.0+0205 Spectrum: PowerLaw 368 Prefactor: 3.417e+00 6.272e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 369 Index: 2.186e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 370 Scale: 1.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 531 Prefactor: 9.828e-01 7.534e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 532 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 533 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 530 Normalization: 8.503e-01 1.193e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.42 Ra Dec: 347.766 2.099 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.91992582397e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00298351777631 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27692919/likelihoodResults_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17411.683613 delta logL = 0.0531273991364 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17411.6820015 delta logL = 0.0547389169151 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 3.7731 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8558 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .85263 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98208 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 17411.68 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 53 CALLS 226 TOTAL EDM= .36E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 3.7731 100.94 .51948E-03 -.28846E-02 2 Index 1.8558 1.7887 .50000 .52260E-05 3 Normalizat .85263 .19180E-01 .69647E-01 .56189E-04 4 Prefactor .98208 .12332E-01 .46043E-01 .63233E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.77305 Index = 1.85582 Normalizat = 0.852633 Prefactor = 0.982084 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17411.68 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 259 TOTAL EDM= .24E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 3.7731 6.5782 .20779E-04 -1.5669 2 Index 1.8558 .96144 .10254E-01 -.68006 3 Normalizat .85263 .13253 .30816E-03 -.98145 4 Prefactor .98208 .87782E-01 .19015E-03 -.93329 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.36203e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.5782 2 0.971517 3 0.132585 4 0.087795 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17411.6820015 delta logL = 0.0547389170897 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2311.0+0205 Spectrum: PowerLaw 368 Prefactor: 3.773e+00 6.578e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 369 Index: 1.856e+00 9.715e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 370 Scale: 1.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 531 Prefactor: 9.821e-01 8.780e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 532 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 533 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 530 Normalization: 8.526e-01 1.326e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.42 Ra Dec: 347.766 2.099 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27692919/cmap_HighResolution_801446401_802051201_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_weekly_bin930.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.98e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.92e-08', time_completed='2026-06-02 22:37:06.366186', job_id='27692919', GAL2='0.98', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.85', EG='0.85', time_epoch_completed='1780465026.37', return_code2='0', ts='0.42', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.98', dlogl='5.47e-02', ts2='0.53', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='930' AND source_name='4FGL J2311.0+0205' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jun 2 22:37:06 PDT 2026