Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34228075/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits......................! real 15.68 user 14.20 sys 0.62 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34228075/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34228075/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34228075/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34228075/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34228075/Model_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2311.0+0205' 4FGL J2311.0+0205 Spectrum: PowerLaw 368 Prefactor: 6.504e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 369 Index: 2.186e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 370 Scale: 1.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34228075/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34228075/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34228075/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34228075/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34228075/Model_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 3457.45828296 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 3457.29052879 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 8.9121 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 2 'norm ' 75.738 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 19.486 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .35062E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .93530E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .17487E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .10387E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .40753E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .26867E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 25.497 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 10.512 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .20869E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .15633E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .16792E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 24.030 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .17420E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 43.323 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' .98665 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .74334 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 3457.285 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 183 CALLS 1509 TOTAL EDM= .53E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.1820 12.394 -.10304E-05 -.77925E-04 2 norm 78.887 40.328 -.45861E-07 -.12085 3 Prefactor 19.387 4.0016 .88056E-08 .63670E-01 4 Prefactor .14377E-07 177.08 -.40720E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .58871E-04 71.487 -.10219E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .44409E-09 12.513 -.27668E-06** at limit ** 7 norm .21649E-08 25.371 .51549E-06** at limit ** 8 norm .13323E-08 9.3473 .10633E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .27756E-09 4.6654 .81156E-07** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 23.237 43.420 -.13266E-06 .72083E-01 11 norm 10.736 9.2629 -.16657E-07 .20616E-03 12 Prefactor .19367E-04 9.5093 .69250E-08** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .14988E-08 18.735 -.22260E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .77105E-07 33.046 .32255E-07** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 23.867 10.183 -.77256E-08 -.64876E-03 16 Prefactor .13944E-06 27.250 -.37600E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 44.035 6.6737 -.11353E-07 .27646E-01 18 Normalizat .98096 .34550 .68470E-06 .33874E-04 19 Prefactor .74446 .19037 .50244E-06 .57265E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.18204 norm = 78.887 Prefactor = 19.3871 Prefactor = 1.43774e-08 Prefactor = 5.88707e-05 Prefactor = 4.44089e-10 norm = 2.16493e-09 norm = 1.33227e-09 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 23.2372 norm = 10.7358 Prefactor = 1.93667e-05 Prefactor = 1.4988e-09 norm = 7.7105e-08 Prefactor = 23.867 Prefactor = 1.39444e-07 Prefactor = 44.0352 Normalizat = 0.980959 Prefactor = 0.744455 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 3457.285 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 318 CALLS 1827 TOTAL EDM= .19E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.1820 12.396 .33565E-02 -1.5102 2 norm 78.887 46.021 .11491E-03 -1.5530 3 Prefactor 19.387 31.716 .22661E-03 -1.5620 4 Prefactor .14377E-07 25.239 .16194E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .58871E-04 114.96 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .44409E-09 12.404 .17208E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .21649E-08 2.0278 .25798E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .13323E-08 9.4243 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .27756E-09 4.6706 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 23.237 57.906 .19808E-03 -1.5612 11 norm 10.736 9.6775 .30878E-03 -1.5642 12 Prefactor .19367E-04 7.1696 .52586E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .14988E-08 18.743 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .77105E-07 33.350 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 23.867 10.241 .20404E-03 -1.5610 16 Prefactor .13944E-06 27.480 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 44.035 34.501 .15194E-03 -1.5575 18 Normalizat .98096 .30917 .71148E-01 -.93671 19 Prefactor .74446 .16524 .42975E-01 -1.0181 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.86746e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 12.3997 2 46.0209 3 31.7161 4 0.00120527 5 0.164534 6 0.000150583 7 0.000133297 8 0.000225426 9 7.54711e-05 10 57.9072 11 9.67754 12 0.023567 13 0.000334948 14 0.00320744 15 10.2414 16 0.00391492 17 34.5011 18 0.309734 19 0.165353 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 3457.28539183 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2311.0+0205 Spectrum: PowerLaw 368 Prefactor: 1.438e-08 1.205e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 369 Index: 2.186e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 370 Scale: 1.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 531 Prefactor: 7.445e-01 1.654e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 532 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 533 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 530 Normalization: 9.810e-01 3.097e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 347.766 2.099 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.61878718552e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0123208462633 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34228075/likelihoodResults_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 3457.28838751 delta logL = -0.00299568241371 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 3455.70901406 delta logL = 1.57637776968 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .50251E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 5.8872 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .77923 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .82129 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 3455.709 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 51 CALLS 267 TOTAL EDM= .14E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .50090E-01 .68218 .15530E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 5.8890 2.8120 .77163E-01 .16900E-03 3 Normalizat .77933 .97336E-01 .78603E-01 -.66164E-05 4 Prefactor .82119 .57848E-01 .43994E-01 -.76821E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.0500897 Index = 5.88898 Normalizat = 0.779326 Prefactor = 0.821193 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 3455.709 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 298 TOTAL EDM= .22E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .50090E-01 1.1672 .86064E-06 -1.5703 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 5.8890 3.7561 .31673E-02 .17875 3 Normalizat .77933 .29395 .34798E-03 -1.0084 4 Prefactor .82119 .17290 .20311E-03 -.98952 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 2.2469e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.483581 2 4.27347 3 0.294545 4 0.173019 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 3455.70901298 delta logL = 1.57637885337 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2311.0+0205 Spectrum: PowerLaw 368 Prefactor: 5.009e-02 4.836e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 369 Index: 5.889e+00 4.273e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 370 Scale: 1.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 531 Prefactor: 8.212e-01 1.730e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 532 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 533 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 530 Normalization: 7.793e-01 2.945e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.66 Ra Dec: 347.766 2.099 Photon Index (Free Index): 5.89 +/- 4.27 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.18e-07 +/- 1.49e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.73e-05 +/- 1.91e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34228075/cmap_HighResolution_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.23e-02', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.73e-05', dlogl='1.58e+00', photon_flux2='2.18e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-08-05 01:11:32.522143', photon_index_error2='4.27', photon_index2='5.89', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.74', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.62e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.91e-05', EG='0.98', time_epoch_completed='1785917492.52', return_code='0', job_id='34228075', GAL2='0.82', EG2='0.78', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='1.49e-07', ts2='3.66', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='2191' AND source_name='4FGL J2311.0+0205' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Aug 5 01:11:33 PDT 2026 WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 7628 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191 RA = 347.766, Dec = 2.0995 tmin = 807235201, tmax = 807494401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='34228669', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-05 01:11:38.068380', time_epoch_executed='1785917498.07' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2311.0+0205' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2191' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34228669 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34228669/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=807235201.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=807235201.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ft1_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=807235201.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ft1_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits ra=347.766 dec=2.0995 rad=12.0 tmin=807235201.0 tmax=807494401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.51 user 1.43 sys 0.15 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.22 user 0.19 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 297 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits .....................! real 8.34 user 7.17 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits .....................! real 59.88 user 55.28 sys 3.66 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 163 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2311.0+0205 @ 347.766 2.0995 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/cmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=347.766 yref=2.0995 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.11 user 0.20 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/cmap_HighResolution_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=347.766 yref=2.0995 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.01 user 0.19 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/Model_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits......................! real 16.05 user 14.42 sys 0.86 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34228669/Model_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2311.0+0205' 4FGL J2311.0+0205 Spectrum: PowerLaw 368 Prefactor: 6.504e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 369 Index: 2.186e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 370 Scale: 1.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ft2_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34228669/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34228669/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34228669/Model_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 3457.45828296 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 3457.29052879 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 8.9121 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 2 'norm ' 75.738 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 19.486 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .35062E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .93530E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .17487E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .10387E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .40753E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .26867E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 25.497 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 10.512 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .20869E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .15633E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .16792E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 24.030 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .17420E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 43.323 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' .98665 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .74334 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 3457.285 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 183 CALLS 1509 TOTAL EDM= .53E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.1820 12.394 -.10304E-05 -.77925E-04 2 norm 78.887 40.328 -.45861E-07 -.12085 3 Prefactor 19.387 4.0016 .88056E-08 .63670E-01 4 Prefactor .14377E-07 177.08 -.40720E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .58871E-04 71.487 -.10219E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .44409E-09 12.513 -.27668E-06** at limit ** 7 norm .21649E-08 25.371 .51549E-06** at limit ** 8 norm .13323E-08 9.3473 .10633E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .27756E-09 4.6654 .81156E-07** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 23.237 43.420 -.13266E-06 .72083E-01 11 norm 10.736 9.2629 -.16657E-07 .20616E-03 12 Prefactor .19367E-04 9.5093 .69250E-08** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .14988E-08 18.735 -.22260E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .77105E-07 33.046 .32255E-07** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 23.867 10.183 -.77256E-08 -.64876E-03 16 Prefactor .13944E-06 27.250 -.37600E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 44.035 6.6737 -.11353E-07 .27646E-01 18 Normalizat .98096 .34550 .68470E-06 .33874E-04 19 Prefactor .74446 .19037 .50244E-06 .57265E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.18204 norm = 78.887 Prefactor = 19.3871 Prefactor = 1.43774e-08 Prefactor = 5.88707e-05 Prefactor = 4.44089e-10 norm = 2.16493e-09 norm = 1.33227e-09 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 23.2372 norm = 10.7358 Prefactor = 1.93667e-05 Prefactor = 1.4988e-09 norm = 7.7105e-08 Prefactor = 23.867 Prefactor = 1.39444e-07 Prefactor = 44.0352 Normalizat = 0.980959 Prefactor = 0.744455 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 3457.285 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 318 CALLS 1827 TOTAL EDM= .19E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.1820 12.396 .33565E-02 -1.5102 2 norm 78.887 46.021 .11491E-03 -1.5530 3 Prefactor 19.387 31.716 .22661E-03 -1.5620 4 Prefactor .14377E-07 25.239 .16194E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .58871E-04 114.96 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .44409E-09 12.404 .17208E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .21649E-08 2.0278 .25798E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .13323E-08 9.4243 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .27756E-09 4.6706 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 23.237 57.906 .19808E-03 -1.5612 11 norm 10.736 9.6775 .30878E-03 -1.5642 12 Prefactor .19367E-04 7.1696 .52586E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .14988E-08 18.743 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .77105E-07 33.350 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 23.867 10.241 .20404E-03 -1.5610 16 Prefactor .13944E-06 27.480 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 44.035 34.501 .15194E-03 -1.5575 18 Normalizat .98096 .30917 .71148E-01 -.93671 19 Prefactor .74446 .16524 .42975E-01 -1.0181 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.86746e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 12.3997 2 46.0209 3 31.7161 4 0.00120527 5 0.164534 6 0.000150583 7 0.000133297 8 0.000225426 9 7.54711e-05 10 57.9072 11 9.67754 12 0.023567 13 0.000334948 14 0.00320744 15 10.2414 16 0.00391492 17 34.5011 18 0.309734 19 0.165353 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 3457.28539183 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2311.0+0205 Spectrum: PowerLaw 368 Prefactor: 1.438e-08 1.205e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 369 Index: 2.186e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 370 Scale: 1.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 531 Prefactor: 7.445e-01 1.654e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 532 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 533 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 530 Normalization: 9.810e-01 3.097e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 347.766 2.099 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.61878718552e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0123208462633 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34228669/likelihoodResults_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 3457.28838751 delta logL = -0.00299568241371 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 3455.70901406 delta logL = 1.57637776968 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .50251E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 5.8872 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .77923 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .82129 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 3455.709 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 51 CALLS 267 TOTAL EDM= .14E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .50090E-01 .68218 .15530E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 5.8890 2.8120 .77163E-01 .16900E-03 3 Normalizat .77933 .97336E-01 .78603E-01 -.66164E-05 4 Prefactor .82119 .57848E-01 .43994E-01 -.76821E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.0500897 Index = 5.88898 Normalizat = 0.779326 Prefactor = 0.821193 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 3455.709 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 298 TOTAL EDM= .22E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .50090E-01 1.1672 .86064E-06 -1.5703 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 5.8890 3.7561 .31673E-02 .17875 3 Normalizat .77933 .29395 .34798E-03 -1.0084 4 Prefactor .82119 .17290 .20311E-03 -.98952 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 2.2469e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.483581 2 4.27347 3 0.294545 4 0.173019 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 3455.70901298 delta logL = 1.57637885337 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2311.0+0205 Spectrum: PowerLaw 368 Prefactor: 5.009e-02 4.836e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 369 Index: 5.889e+00 4.273e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 370 Scale: 1.185e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 531 Prefactor: 8.212e-01 1.730e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 532 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 533 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 530 Normalization: 7.793e-01 2.945e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.66 Ra Dec: 347.766 2.099 Photon Index (Free Index): 5.89 +/- 4.27 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.18e-07 +/- 1.49e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.73e-05 +/- 1.91e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34228669/cmap_HighResolution_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2311.0+0205_daily_bin2191.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.23e-02', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.73e-05', dlogl='1.58e+00', photon_flux2='2.18e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-08-05 01:19:15.133428', photon_index_error2='4.27', photon_index2='5.89', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.74', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.62e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.91e-05', EG='0.98', time_epoch_completed='1785917955.13', return_code='0', job_id='34228669', GAL2='0.82', EG2='0.78', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='1.49e-07', ts2='3.66', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='2191' AND source_name='4FGL J2311.0+0205' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Aug 5 01:19:15 PDT 2026