/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa number of points = 17371 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946 RA = 346.922, Dec = 14.8644 tmin = 811123201, tmax = 811728001 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='38840322', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-22 19:29:21.494737', time_epoch_executed='1790130561.49' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='946' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/38840322 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/38840322/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811728001.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811728001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ft1_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811728001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ft1_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits ra=346.922 dec=14.8644 rad=12.0 tmin=811123201.0 tmax=811728001.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.51 user 3.93 sys 0.20 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.67 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1154 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA"/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 17371 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946 RA = 346.922, Dec = 14.8644 tmin = 811123201, tmax = 811728001 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='38840358', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-22 19:29:58.414841', time_epoch_executed='1790130598.41' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='946' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/38840358 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/38840358/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811728001.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811728001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ft1_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811728001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ft1_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits ra=346.922 dec=14.8644 rad=12.0 tmin=811123201.0 tmax=811728001.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.57 user 3.95 sys 0.22 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.69 user 0.20 sys 0.15 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1154 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA"e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/38840123/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits.....................! real 59.42 user 57.38 sys 1.27 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38840123/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38840123/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38840123/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38840123/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38840123/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2307.6+1451' 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.115e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38840123/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38840123/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38840123/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38840123/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38840123/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8945027 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8090485 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .25955E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 18.863 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 2.6224 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 4 'Prefactor ' 10.198 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 5 'norm ' .96436 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 20.933 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 23.526 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .92419 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 9 'Prefactor ' 11.614 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 14.793 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 5.0901 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .42799E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .30432E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .86253E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 31.626 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 12.335 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .33334E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' 6.9375 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 4.9364 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Normalizat' 1.1723 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 21 'Prefactor ' .81512 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13136.81 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 122 CALLS 1288 TOTAL EDM= .14E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.8606 -.46353E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 18.775 1.4243 .18512E-06 -.29618E-01 3 Prefactor 2.6231 .30691 .16109E-06 -.65993E-02 4 Prefactor 10.144 7.5483 -.25384E-05 -.38243E-03 5 norm .96490 .89348 .14334E-06 .11785E-01 6 Prefactor 20.337 3.4008 -.68589E-06 .87954E-01 7 Prefactor 23.561 10.311 -.31045E-05 -.55949E-01 8 Prefactor .92533 .16452 .10733E-06 .18728E-02 9 Prefactor 13.662 37.768 .38353E-05 -.95017E-03 10 Prefactor 14.818 7.2792 -.47829E-07 -.24898E-02 11 Prefactor 5.1377 1.8736 -.11135E-06 .14496E-01 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.3989 .13642E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .12212E-08 8.4306 .13087E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .15599E-07 12.394 -.89803E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 32.077 5.5319 -.61530E-06 .13339 16 Prefactor 12.219 7.9578 .13224E-05 -.22520E-01 17 Prefactor .38247E-07 20.074 .51552E-06** at limit ** 18 norm 6.9483 2.1456 .29765E-06 .38468E-01 19 Prefactor 4.9225 5.5377 -.18357E-06 -.91953E-02 20 Normalizat 1.1716 .21493 .56523E-05 -.16412E-03 21 Prefactor .81486 .11359 .23518E-05 -.70376E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 18.7747 Prefactor = 2.62312 Prefactor = 10.1437 norm = 0.964898 Prefactor = 20.3366 Prefactor = 23.5606 Prefactor = 0.925326 Prefactor = 13.6622 Prefactor = 14.8179 Prefactor = 5.13768 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.22125e-09 Prefactor = 1.55986e-08 norm = 32.0773 Prefactor = 12.219 Prefactor = 3.82472e-08 norm = 6.94834 Prefactor = 4.92251 Normalizat = 1.17162 Prefactor = 0.814864 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/38840153/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits.....................! real 53.90 user 52.23 sys 1.14 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38840153/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38840153/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38840153/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38840153/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38840153/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2307.6+1451' 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.115e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38840153/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38840153/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38840153/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38840153/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38840153/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8945027 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8090485 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .25955E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 18.863 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 2.6224 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 4 'Prefactor ' 10.198 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 5 'norm ' .96436 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 20.933 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 23.526 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .92419 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 9 'Prefactor ' 11.614 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 14.793 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 5.0901 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .42799E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .30432E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .86253E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 31.626 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 12.335 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .33334E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' 6.9375 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 4.9364 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Normalizat' 1.1723 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 21 'Prefactor ' .81512 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13136.81 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 122 CALLS 1288 TOTAL EDM= .14E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.8606 -.46353E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 18.775 1.4243 .18512E-06 -.29618E-01 3 Prefactor 2.6231 .30691 .16109E-06 -.65993E-02 4 Prefactor 10.144 7.5483 -.25384E-05 -.38243E-03 5 norm .96490 .89348 .14334E-06 .11785E-01 6 Prefactor 20.337 3.4008 -.68589E-06 .87954E-01 7 Prefactor 23.561 10.311 -.31045E-05 -.55949E-01 8 Prefactor .92533 .16452 .10733E-06 .18728E-02 9 Prefactor 13.662 37.768 .38353E-05 -.95017E-03 10 Prefactor 14.818 7.2792 -.47829E-07 -.24898E-02 11 Prefactor 5.1377 1.8736 -.11135E-06 .14496E-01 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.3989 .13642E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .12212E-08 8.4306 .13087E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .15599E-07 12.394 -.89803E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 32.077 5.5319 -.61530E-06 .13339 16 Prefactor 12.219 7.9578 .13224E-05 -.22520E-01 17 Prefactor .38247E-07 20.074 .51552E-06** at limit ** 18 norm 6.9483 2.1456 .29765E-06 .38468E-01 19 Prefactor 4.9225 5.5377 -.18357E-06 -.91953E-02 20 Normalizat 1.1716 .21493 .56523E-05 -.16412E-03 21 Prefactor .81486 .11359 .23518E-05 -.70376E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 18.7747 Prefactor = 2.62312 Prefactor = 10.1437 norm = 0.964898 Prefactor = 20.3366 Prefactor = 23.5606 Prefactor = 0.925326 Prefactor = 13.6622 Prefactor = 14.8179 Prefactor = 5.13768 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.22125e-09 Prefactor = 1.55986e-08 norm = 32.0773 Prefactor = 12.219 Prefactor = 3.82472e-08 norm = 6.94834 Prefactor = 4.92251 Normalizat = 1.17162 Prefactor = 0.814864 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13136.81 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 367 CALLS 1655 TOTAL EDM= .32E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.8655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 18.775 13.161 .23033E-03 -1.5621 3 Prefactor 2.6231 .30678 .46746E-02 -1.5384 4 Prefactor 10.144 7.5315 .31368E-02 -1.5071 5 norm .96490 .89376 .42499E-03 -1.5688 6 Prefactor 20.337 18.531 .21863E-03 -1.5618 7 Prefactor 23.561 10.761 .20622E-03 -1.5611 8 Prefactor .92533 .16674 .41402E-02 -1.5516 9 Prefactor 13.662 37.730 .29371E-03 -1.5634 10 Prefactor 14.818 7.2972 .26015E-03 -1.5631 11 Prefactor 5.1377 17.434 .44541E-03 -1.5663 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.3705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .12212E-08 8.4545 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .15599E-07 12.920 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 32.077 14.267 .17784E-03 -1.5595 16 Prefactor 12.219 10.071 .28497E-03 -1.5638 17 Prefactor .38247E-07 20.228 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm 6.9483 8.3629 .38066E-03 -1.5655 19 Prefactor 4.9225 5.5540 .45244E-03 -1.5664 20 Normalizat 1.1716 .18844 .81314E-01 -.87485 21 Prefactor .81486 .97063E-01 .43914E-01 -.99183 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.20523e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.69041e-05 2 13.1606 3 0.306778 4 7.53217 5 0.893759 6 18.5307 7 10.7614 8 0.166738 9 37.7306 10 7.29725 11 17.4345 12 3.33561e-05 13 0.000203565 14 0.000897352 15 14.2667 16 10.0706 17 0.00175855 18 8.36293 19 5.55398 20 0.18855 21 0.0970829 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13136.81 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 367 CALLS 1655 TOTAL EDM= .32E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.8655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 18.775 13.161 .23033E-03 -1.5621 3 Prefactor 2.6231 .30678 .46746E-02 -1.5384 4 Prefactor 10.144 7.5315 .31368E-02 -1.5071 5 norm .96490 .89376 .42499E-03 -1.5688 6 Prefactor 20.337 18.531 .21863E-03 -1.5618 7 Prefactor 23.561 10.761 .20622E-03 -1.5611 8 Prefactor .92533 .16674 .41402E-02 -1.5516 9 Prefactor 13.662 37.730 .29371E-03 -1.5634 10 Prefactor 14.818 7.2972 .26015E-03 -1.5631 11 Prefactor 5.1377 17.434 .44541E-03 -1.5663 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.3705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .12212E-08 8.4545 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .15599E-07 12.920 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 32.077 14.267 .17784E-03 -1.5595 16 Prefactor 12.219 10.071 .28497E-03 -1.5638 17 Prefactor .38247E-07 20.228 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm 6.9483 8.3629 .38066E-03 -1.5655 19 Prefactor 4.9225 5.5540 .45244E-03 -1.5664 20 Normalizat 1.1716 .18844 .81314E-01 -.87485 21 Prefactor .81486 .97063E-01 .43914E-01 -.99183 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.20523e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.69041e-05 2 13.1606 3 0.306778 4 7.53217 5 0.893759 6 18.5307 7 10.7614 8 0.166738 9 37.7306 10 7.29725 11 17.4345 12 3.33561e-05 13 0.000203565 14 0.000897352 15 14.2667 16 10.0706 17 0.00175855 18 8.36293 19 5.55398 20 0.18855 21 0.0970829 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840230/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/38840230/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits .....................! real 25.19 user 24.29 sys 0.32 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840230/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840230/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/38840230/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840230/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/38840230/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits .....................! real 72.83 user 67.58 sys 4.38 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 160 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2307.6+1451 @ 346.922 14.8644 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840230/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840230/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840230/cmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=346.922 yref=14.8644 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.74 user 0.25 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840230/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840230/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840230/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=346.922 yref=14.8644 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.83 user 0.27 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840230/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840230/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/38840230/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/38840149/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits.....................! real 60.04 user 58.03 sys 1.20 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38840149/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38840149/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38840149/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38840149/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38840149/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2307.6+1451' 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.115e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38840149/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38840149/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38840149/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38840149/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38840149/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8945027 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8090485 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .25955E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 18.863 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 2.6224 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 4 'Prefactor ' 10.198 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 5 'norm ' .96436 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 20.933 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 23.526 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .92419 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 9 'Prefactor ' 11.614 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 14.793 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 5.0901 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .42799E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .30432E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .86253E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 31.626 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 12.335 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .33334E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' 6.9375 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 4.9364 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Normalizat' 1.1723 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 21 'Prefactor ' .81512 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13136.81 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 122 CALLS 1288 TOTAL EDM= .14E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.8606 -.46353E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 18.775 1.4243 .18512E-06 -.29618E-01 3 Prefactor 2.6231 .30691 .16109E-06 -.65993E-02 4 Prefactor 10.144 7.5483 -.25384E-05 -.38243E-03 5 norm .96490 .89348 .14334E-06 .11785E-01 6 Prefactor 20.337 3.4008 -.68589E-06 .87954E-01 7 Prefactor 23.561 10.311 -.31045E-05 -.55949E-01 8 Prefactor .92533 .16452 .10733E-06 .18728E-02 9 Prefactor 13.662 37.768 .38353E-05 -.95017E-03 10 Prefactor 14.818 7.2792 -.47829E-07 -.24898E-02 11 Prefactor 5.1377 1.8736 -.11135E-06 .14496E-01 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.3989 .13642E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .12212E-08 8.4306 .13087E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .15599E-07 12.394 -.89803E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 32.077 5.5319 -.61530E-06 .13339 16 Prefactor 12.219 7.9578 .13224E-05 -.22520E-01 17 Prefactor .38247E-07 20.074 .51552E-06** at limit ** 18 norm 6.9483 2.1456 .29765E-06 .38468E-01 19 Prefactor 4.9225 5.5377 -.18357E-06 -.91953E-02 20 Normalizat 1.1716 .21493 .56523E-05 -.16412E-03 21 Prefactor .81486 .11359 .23518E-05 -.70376E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 18.7747 Prefactor = 2.62312 Prefactor = 10.1437 norm = 0.964898 Prefactor = 20.3366 Prefactor = 23.5606 Prefactor = 0.925326 Prefactor = 13.6622 Prefactor = 14.8179 Prefactor = 5.13768 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.22125e-09 Prefactor = 1.55986e-08 norm = 32.0773 Prefactor = 12.219 Prefactor = 3.82472e-08 norm = 6.94834 Prefactor = 4.92251 Normalizat = 1.17162 Prefactor = 0.814864 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8060023 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.482e+01 7.297e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 8.149e-01 9.708e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 1.172e+00 1.886e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 7.90 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.18 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 8.02e-08 +/- 3.95e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 3.71e-05 +/- 1.83e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7640571 delta logL = 0.0419452239657 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7507379 delta logL = 0.0552644226536 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 16.583 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.0575 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1800 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .81270 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13136.75 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 92 CALLS 280 TOTAL EDM= .63E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 16.584 9.7716 .98271E-05 -.26608E-02 2 Index 2.0574 .39073 .73655E-02 .78235E-03 3 Normalizat 1.1800 .20980 .35898E-03 -.44591E-04 4 Prefactor .81270 .11291 .22742E-03 -.47291E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 16.5835 Index = 2.05744 Normalizat = 1.18001 Prefactor = 0.812703 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8060023 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.482e+01 7.297e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 8.149e-01 9.708e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 1.172e+00 1.886e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 7.90 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.18 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 8.02e-08 +/- 3.95e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 3.71e-05 +/- 1.83e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7640571 delta logL = 0.0419452239657 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7507379 delta logL = 0.0552644226536 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 16.583 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.0575 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1800 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .81270 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13136.75 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 92 CALLS 280 TOTAL EDM= .63E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 16.584 9.7716 .98271E-05 -.26608E-02 2 Index 2.0574 .39073 .73655E-02 .78235E-03 3 Normalizat 1.1800 .20980 .35898E-03 -.44591E-04 4 Prefactor .81270 .11291 .22742E-03 -.47291E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 16.5835 Index = 2.05744 Normalizat = 1.18001 Prefactor = 0.812703 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13136.75 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 305 TOTAL EDM= .34E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 16.584 9.5118 .39308E-06 -1.5627 2 Index 2.0574 .38016 .14731E-02 -.62922 3 Normalizat 1.1800 .20984 .14359E-04 -.87223 4 Prefactor .81270 .11300 .90967E-05 -.99262 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.35035e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.51178 2 0.380722 3 0.209987 4 0.113032 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13136.75 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 305 TOTAL EDM= .34E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 16.584 9.5118 .39308E-06 -1.5627 2 Index 2.0574 .38016 .14731E-02 -.62922 3 Normalizat 1.1800 .20984 .14359E-04 -.87223 4 Prefactor .81270 .11300 .90967E-05 -.99262 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.35035e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.51178 2 0.380722 3 0.209987 4 0.113032 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7507379 delta logL = 0.055264434679 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.658e+01 9.512e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.057e+00 3.807e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 8.127e-01 1.130e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 1.180e+00 2.100e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.00 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.06 +/- 0.38 Photon Flux (Free Index): 6.91e-08 +/- 4.79e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.17e-05 +/- 2.63e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38840123/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='8.02e-08', energy_flux2='4.17e-05', photon_flux_error='3.95e-08', dlogl='5.53e-02', energy_flux='3.71e-05', photon_flux2='6.91e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-22 19:34:30.845056', photon_index_error2='0.38', photon_index2='2.06', ts='7.90', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.81', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='2.63e-05', EG='1.17', time_epoch_completed='1790130870.85', return_code='0', job_id='38840123', GAL2='0.81', EG2='1.18', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.83e-05', photon_flux_error2='4.79e-08', ts2='8.00', photon_index='2.18' WHERE bin_id='946' AND source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 22 19:34:31 PDT 2026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7507379 delta logL = 0.055264434679 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.658e+01 9.512e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.057e+00 3.807e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 8.127e-01 1.130e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 1.180e+00 2.100e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.00 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.06 +/- 0.38 Photon Flux (Free Index): 6.91e-08 +/- 4.79e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.17e-05 +/- 2.63e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38840153/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='8.02e-08', energy_flux2='4.17e-05', photon_flux_error='3.95e-08', dlogl='5.53e-02', energy_flux='3.71e-05', photon_flux2='6.91e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-22 19:34:31.230267', photon_index_error2='0.38', photon_index2='2.06', ts='7.90', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.81', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='2.63e-05', EG='1.17', time_epoch_completed='1790130871.23', return_code='0', job_id='38840153', GAL2='0.81', EG2='1.18', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.83e-05', photon_flux_error2='4.79e-08', ts2='8.00', photon_index='2.18' WHERE bin_id='946' AND source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 22 19:34:31 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13136.81 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 367 CALLS 1655 TOTAL EDM= .32E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.8655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 18.775 13.161 .23033E-03 -1.5621 3 Prefactor 2.6231 .30678 .46746E-02 -1.5384 4 Prefactor 10.144 7.5315 .31368E-02 -1.5071 5 norm .96490 .89376 .42499E-03 -1.5688 6 Prefactor 20.337 18.531 .21863E-03 -1.5618 7 Prefactor 23.561 10.761 .20622E-03 -1.5611 8 Prefactor .92533 .16674 .41402E-02 -1.5516 9 Prefactor 13.662 37.730 .29371E-03 -1.5634 10 Prefactor 14.818 7.2972 .26015E-03 -1.5631 11 Prefactor 5.1377 17.434 .44541E-03 -1.5663 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.3705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .12212E-08 8.4545 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .15599E-07 12.920 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 32.077 14.267 .17784E-03 -1.5595 16 Prefactor 12.219 10.071 .28497E-03 -1.5638 17 Prefactor .38247E-07 20.228 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm 6.9483 8.3629 .38066E-03 -1.5655 19 Prefactor 4.9225 5.5540 .45244E-03 -1.5664 20 Normalizat 1.1716 .18844 .81314E-01 -.87485 21 Prefactor .81486 .97063E-01 .43914E-01 -.99183 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.20523e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.69041e-05 2 13.1606 3 0.306778 4 7.53217 5 0.893759 6 18.5307 7 10.7614 8 0.166738 9 37.7306 10 7.29725 11 17.4345 12 3.33561e-05 13 0.000203565 14 0.000897352 15 14.2667 16 10.0706 17 0.00175855 18 8.36293 19 5.55398 20 0.18855 21 0.0970829 number of points = 17371 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. number of points = 17371 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946 RA = 346.922, Dec = 14.8644 tmin = 811123201, tmax = 811728001 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='38840456', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-22 19:31:15.784857', time_epoch_executed='1790130675.78' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='946' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/38840456 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/38840456/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811728001.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811728001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ft1_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811728001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ft1_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits ra=346.922 dec=14.8644 rad=12.0 tmin=811123201.0 tmax=811728001.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.72 user 4.06 sys 0.22 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.75 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1154 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA"Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946 RA = 346.922, Dec = 14.8644 tmin = 811123201, tmax = 811728001 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='38840459', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-22 19:31:18.392473', time_epoch_executed='1790130678.39' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='946' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/38840459 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/38840459/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811728001.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811728001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ft1_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811728001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ft1_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits ra=346.922 dec=14.8644 rad=12.0 tmin=811123201.0 tmax=811728001.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.63 user 4.05 sys 0.22 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.68 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1154 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA"Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8060023 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.482e+01 7.297e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 8.149e-01 9.708e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 1.172e+00 1.886e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 7.90 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.18 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 8.02e-08 +/- 3.95e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 3.71e-05 +/- 1.83e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7640571 delta logL = 0.0419452239657 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7507379 delta logL = 0.0552644226536 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 16.583 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.0575 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1800 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .81270 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13136.75 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 92 CALLS 280 TOTAL EDM= .63E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 16.584 9.7716 .98271E-05 -.26608E-02 2 Index 2.0574 .39073 .73655E-02 .78235E-03 3 Normalizat 1.1800 .20980 .35898E-03 -.44591E-04 4 Prefactor .81270 .11291 .22742E-03 -.47291E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 16.5835 Index = 2.05744 Normalizat = 1.18001 Prefactor = 0.812703 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13136.75 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 305 TOTAL EDM= .34E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 16.584 9.5118 .39308E-06 -1.5627 2 Index 2.0574 .38016 .14731E-02 -.62922 3 Normalizat 1.1800 .20984 .14359E-04 -.87223 4 Prefactor .81270 .11300 .90967E-05 -.99262 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.35035e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.51178 2 0.380722 3 0.209987 4 0.113032 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7507379 delta logL = 0.055264434679 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.658e+01 9.512e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.057e+00 3.807e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 8.127e-01 1.130e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 1.180e+00 2.100e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.00 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.06 +/- 0.38 Photon Flux (Free Index): 6.91e-08 +/- 4.79e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.17e-05 +/- 2.63e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38840149/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='8.02e-08', energy_flux2='4.17e-05', photon_flux_error='3.95e-08', dlogl='5.53e-02', energy_flux='3.71e-05', photon_flux2='6.91e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-22 19:35:05.876745', photon_index_error2='0.38', photon_index2='2.06', ts='7.90', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.81', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='2.63e-05', EG='1.17', time_epoch_completed='1790130905.88', return_code='0', job_id='38840149', GAL2='0.81', EG2='1.18', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.83e-05', photon_flux_error2='4.79e-08', ts2='8.00', photon_index='2.18' WHERE bin_id='946' AND source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 22 19:35:06 PDT 2026 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits .....................! real 18.81 user 18.06 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits .....................! real 67.27 user 62.58 sys 3.95 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 160 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2307.6+1451 @ 346.922 14.8644 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/cmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=346.922 yref=14.8644 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.76 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=346.922 yref=14.8644 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.71 user 0.24 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcnumber of points = 17371 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946 RA = 346.922, Dec = 14.8644 tmin = 811123201, tmax = 811728001 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='38840419', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-22 19:30:43.710301', time_epoch_executed='1790130643.71' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='946' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/38840419 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/38840419/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811728001.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811728001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ft1_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811728001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ft1_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits ra=346.922 dec=14.8644 rad=12.0 tmin=811123201.0 tmax=811728001.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 5.65 user 4.74 sys 0.30 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.88 user 0.30 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1154 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits .....................! real 19.49 user 18.65 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits .....................! real 70.39 user 65.55 sys 4.10 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 160 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2307.6+1451 @ 346.922 14.8644 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/cmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=346.922 yref=14.8644 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.66 user 0.25 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=346.922 yref=14.8644 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.76 user 0.24 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/38840230/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits.....................! real 60.77 user 58.37 sys 1.61 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38840230/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38840230/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38840230/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38840230/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38840230/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2307.6+1451' 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.115e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38840230/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38840230/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38840230/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38840230/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38840230/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8945027 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8090485 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .25955E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 18.863 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 2.6224 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 4 'Prefactor ' 10.198 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 5 'norm ' .96436 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 20.933 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 23.526 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .92419 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 9 'Prefactor ' 11.614 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 14.793 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 5.0901 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .42799E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .30432E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .86253E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 31.626 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 12.335 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .33334E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' 6.9375 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 4.9364 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Normalizat' 1.1723 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 21 'Prefactor ' .81512 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13136.81 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 122 CALLS 1288 TOTAL EDM= .14E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.8606 -.46353E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 18.775 1.4243 .18512E-06 -.29618E-01 3 Prefactor 2.6231 .30691 .16109E-06 -.65993E-02 4 Prefactor 10.144 7.5483 -.25384E-05 -.38243E-03 5 norm .96490 .89348 .14334E-06 .11785E-01 6 Prefactor 20.337 3.4008 -.68589E-06 .87954E-01 7 Prefactor 23.561 10.311 -.31045E-05 -.55949E-01 8 Prefactor .92533 .16452 .10733E-06 .18728E-02 9 Prefactor 13.662 37.768 .38353E-05 -.95017E-03 10 Prefactor 14.818 7.2792 -.47829E-07 -.24898E-02 11 Prefactor 5.1377 1.8736 -.11135E-06 .14496E-01 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.3989 .13642E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .12212E-08 8.4306 .13087E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .15599E-07 12.394 -.89803E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 32.077 5.5319 -.61530E-06 .13339 16 Prefactor 12.219 7.9578 .13224E-05 -.22520E-01 17 Prefactor .38247E-07 20.074 .51552E-06** at limit ** 18 norm 6.9483 2.1456 .29765E-06 .38468E-01 19 Prefactor 4.9225 5.5377 -.18357E-06 -.91953E-02 20 Normalizat 1.1716 .21493 .56523E-05 -.16412E-03 21 Prefactor .81486 .11359 .23518E-05 -.70376E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 18.7747 Prefactor = 2.62312 Prefactor = 10.1437 norm = 0.964898 Prefactor = 20.3366 Prefactor = 23.5606 Prefactor = 0.925326 Prefactor = 13.6622 Prefactor = 14.8179 Prefactor = 5.13768 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.22125e-09 Prefactor = 1.55986e-08 norm = 32.0773 Prefactor = 12.219 Prefactor = 3.82472e-08 norm = 6.94834 Prefactor = 4.92251 Normalizat = 1.17162 Prefactor = 0.814864 number of points = 17371 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946 RA = 346.922, Dec = 14.8644 tmin = 811123201, tmax = 811728001 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='38840525', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-22 19:32:33.474230', time_epoch_executed='1790130753.47' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='946' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/38840525 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/38840525/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811728001.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811728001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ft1_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811728001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ft1_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits ra=346.922 dec=14.8644 rad=12.0 tmin=811123201.0 tmax=811728001.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.62 user 4.07 sys 0.20 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.74 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1154 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13136.81 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 367 CALLS 1655 TOTAL EDM= .32E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.8655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 18.775 13.161 .23033E-03 -1.5621 3 Prefactor 2.6231 .30678 .46746E-02 -1.5384 4 Prefactor 10.144 7.5315 .31368E-02 -1.5071 5 norm .96490 .89376 .42499E-03 -1.5688 6 Prefactor 20.337 18.531 .21863E-03 -1.5618 7 Prefactor 23.561 10.761 .20622E-03 -1.5611 8 Prefactor .92533 .16674 .41402E-02 -1.5516 9 Prefactor 13.662 37.730 .29371E-03 -1.5634 10 Prefactor 14.818 7.2972 .26015E-03 -1.5631 11 Prefactor 5.1377 17.434 .44541E-03 -1.5663 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.3705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .12212E-08 8.4545 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .15599E-07 12.920 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 32.077 14.267 .17784E-03 -1.5595 16 Prefactor 12.219 10.071 .28497E-03 -1.5638 17 Prefactor .38247E-07 20.228 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm 6.9483 8.3629 .38066E-03 -1.5655 19 Prefactor 4.9225 5.5540 .45244E-03 -1.5664 20 Normalizat 1.1716 .18844 .81314E-01 -.87485 21 Prefactor .81486 .97063E-01 .43914E-01 -.99183 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.20523e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.69041e-05 2 13.1606 3 0.306778 4 7.53217 5 0.893759 6 18.5307 7 10.7614 8 0.166738 9 37.7306 10 7.29725 11 17.4345 12 3.33561e-05 13 0.000203565 14 0.000897352 15 14.2667 16 10.0706 17 0.00175855 18 8.36293 19 5.55398 20 0.18855 21 0.0970829 number of points = 17371 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946 RA = 346.922, Dec = 14.8644 tmin = 811123201, tmax = 811728001 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='38840544', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-22 19:32:58.918934', time_epoch_executed='1790130778.92' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='946' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/38840544 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/38840544/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811728001.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811728001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ft1_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811728001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ft1_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits ra=346.922 dec=14.8644 rad=12.0 tmin=811123201.0 tmax=811728001.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.94 user 4.26 sys 0.20 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.70 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1154 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA"Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8060023 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.482e+01 7.297e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 8.149e-01 9.708e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 1.172e+00 1.886e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 7.90 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.18 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 8.02e-08 +/- 3.95e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 3.71e-05 +/- 1.83e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7640571 delta logL = 0.0419452239657 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7507379 delta logL = 0.0552644226536 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 16.583 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.0575 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1800 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .81270 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13136.75 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 92 CALLS 280 TOTAL EDM= .63E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 16.584 9.7716 .98271E-05 -.26608E-02 2 Index 2.0574 .39073 .73655E-02 .78235E-03 3 Normalizat 1.1800 .20980 .35898E-03 -.44591E-04 4 Prefactor .81270 .11291 .22742E-03 -.47291E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 16.5835 Index = 2.05744 Normalizat = 1.18001 Prefactor = 0.812703 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13136.75 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 305 TOTAL EDM= .34E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 16.584 9.5118 .39308E-06 -1.5627 2 Index 2.0574 .38016 .14731E-02 -.62922 3 Normalizat 1.1800 .20984 .14359E-04 -.87223 4 Prefactor .81270 .11300 .90967E-05 -.99262 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.35035e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.51178 2 0.380722 3 0.209987 4 0.113032 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits.....................! real 55.18 user 53.47 sys 1.04 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38840322/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2307.6+1451' 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.115e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38840322/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38840322/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38840322/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8945027 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8090485 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .25955E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 18.863 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 2.6224 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 4 'Prefactor ' 10.198 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 5 'norm ' .96436 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 20.933 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 23.526 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .92419 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 9 'Prefactor ' 11.614 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 14.793 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 5.0901 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .42799E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .30432E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .86253E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 31.626 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 12.335 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .33334E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' 6.9375 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 4.9364 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Normalizat' 1.1723 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 21 'Prefactor ' .81512 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13136.81 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 122 CALLS 1288 TOTAL EDM= .14E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.8606 -.46353E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 18.775 1.4243 .18512E-06 -.29618E-01 3 Prefactor 2.6231 .30691 .16109E-06 -.65993E-02 4 Prefactor 10.144 7.5483 -.25384E-05 -.38243E-03 5 norm .96490 .89348 .14334E-06 .11785E-01 6 Prefactor 20.337 3.4008 -.68589E-06 .87954E-01 7 Prefactor 23.561 10.311 -.31045E-05 -.55949E-01 8 Prefactor .92533 .16452 .10733E-06 .18728E-02 9 Prefactor 13.662 37.768 .38353E-05 -.95017E-03 10 Prefactor 14.818 7.2792 -.47829E-07 -.24898E-02 11 Prefactor 5.1377 1.8736 -.11135E-06 .14496E-01 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.3989 .13642E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .12212E-08 8.4306 .13087E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .15599E-07 12.394 -.89803E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 32.077 5.5319 -.61530E-06 .13339 16 Prefactor 12.219 7.9578 .13224E-05 -.22520E-01 17 Prefactor .38247E-07 20.074 .51552E-06** at limit ** 18 norm 6.9483 2.1456 .29765E-06 .38468E-01 19 Prefactor 4.9225 5.5377 -.18357E-06 -.91953E-02 20 Normalizat 1.1716 .21493 .56523E-05 -.16412E-03 21 Prefactor .81486 .11359 .23518E-05 -.70376E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 18.7747 Prefactor = 2.62312 Prefactor = 10.1437 norm = 0.964898 Prefactor = 20.3366 Prefactor = 23.5606 Prefactor = 0.925326 Prefactor = 13.6622 Prefactor = 14.8179 Prefactor = 5.13768 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.22125e-09 Prefactor = 1.55986e-08 norm = 32.0773 Prefactor = 12.219 Prefactor = 3.82472e-08 norm = 6.94834 Prefactor = 4.92251 Normalizat = 1.17162 Prefactor = 0.814864 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7507379 delta logL = 0.055264434679 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.658e+01 9.512e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.057e+00 3.807e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 8.127e-01 1.130e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 1.180e+00 2.100e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.00 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.06 +/- 0.38 Photon Flux (Free Index): 6.91e-08 +/- 4.79e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.17e-05 +/- 2.63e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38840230/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='8.02e-08', energy_flux2='4.17e-05', photon_flux_error='3.95e-08', dlogl='5.53e-02', energy_flux='3.71e-05', photon_flux2='6.91e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-22 19:36:56.427279', photon_index_error2='0.38', photon_index2='2.06', ts='7.90', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.81', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='2.63e-05', EG='1.17', time_epoch_completed='1790131016.43', return_code='0', job_id='38840230', GAL2='0.81', EG2='1.18', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.83e-05', photon_flux_error2='4.79e-08', ts2='8.00', photon_index='2.18' WHERE bin_id='946' AND source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 22 19:36:56 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13136.81 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 367 CALLS 1655 TOTAL EDM= .32E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.8655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 18.775 13.161 .23033E-03 -1.5621 3 Prefactor 2.6231 .30678 .46746E-02 -1.5384 4 Prefactor 10.144 7.5315 .31368E-02 -1.5071 5 norm .96490 .89376 .42499E-03 -1.5688 6 Prefactor 20.337 18.531 .21863E-03 -1.5618 7 Prefactor 23.561 10.761 .20622E-03 -1.5611 8 Prefactor .92533 .16674 .41402E-02 -1.5516 9 Prefactor 13.662 37.730 .29371E-03 -1.5634 10 Prefactor 14.818 7.2972 .26015E-03 -1.5631 11 Prefactor 5.1377 17.434 .44541E-03 -1.5663 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.3705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .12212E-08 8.4545 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .15599E-07 12.920 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 32.077 14.267 .17784E-03 -1.5595 16 Prefactor 12.219 10.071 .28497E-03 -1.5638 17 Prefactor .38247E-07 20.228 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm 6.9483 8.3629 .38066E-03 -1.5655 19 Prefactor 4.9225 5.5540 .45244E-03 -1.5664 20 Normalizat 1.1716 .18844 .81314E-01 -.87485 21 Prefactor .81486 .97063E-01 .43914E-01 -.99183 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.20523e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.69041e-05 2 13.1606 3 0.306778 4 7.53217 5 0.893759 6 18.5307 7 10.7614 8 0.166738 9 37.7306 10 7.29725 11 17.4345 12 3.33561e-05 13 0.000203565 14 0.000897352 15 14.2667 16 10.0706 17 0.00175855 18 8.36293 19 5.55398 20 0.18855 21 0.0970829 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits .....................! real 19.28 user 18.51 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits .....................! real 70.85 user 65.84 sys 4.20 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 160 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2307.6+1451 @ 346.922 14.8644 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/cmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=346.922 yref=14.8644 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.66 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=346.922 yref=14.8644 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.73 user 0.24 sys 0.15 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourc outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits .....................! real 19.49 user 18.60 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits .....................! real 70.49 user 65.58 sys 4.23 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 160 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2307.6+1451 @ 346.922 14.8644 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/cmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=346.922 yref=14.8644 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.83 user 0.27 sys 0.11 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=346.922 yref=14.8644 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.68 user 0.28 sys 0.11 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8060023 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.482e+01 7.297e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 8.149e-01 9.708e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 1.172e+00 1.886e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 7.90 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.18 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 8.02e-08 +/- 3.95e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 3.71e-05 +/- 1.83e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7640571 delta logL = 0.0419452239657 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7507379 delta logL = 0.0552644226536 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 16.583 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.0575 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1800 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .81270 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13136.75 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 92 CALLS 280 TOTAL EDM= .63E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 16.584 9.7716 .98271E-05 -.26608E-02 2 Index 2.0574 .39073 .73655E-02 .78235E-03 3 Normalizat 1.1800 .20980 .35898E-03 -.44591E-04 4 Prefactor .81270 .11291 .22742E-03 -.47291E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 16.5835 Index = 2.05744 Normalizat = 1.18001 Prefactor = 0.812703 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13136.75 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 305 TOTAL EDM= .34E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 16.584 9.5118 .39308E-06 -1.5627 2 Index 2.0574 .38016 .14731E-02 -.62922 3 Normalizat 1.1800 .20984 .14359E-04 -.87223 4 Prefactor .81270 .11300 .90967E-05 -.99262 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.35035e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.51178 2 0.380722 3 0.209987 4 0.113032 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7507379 delta logL = 0.055264434679 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.658e+01 9.512e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.057e+00 3.807e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 8.127e-01 1.130e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 1.180e+00 2.100e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.00 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.06 +/- 0.38 Photon Flux (Free Index): 6.91e-08 +/- 4.79e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.17e-05 +/- 2.63e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38840322/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='8.02e-08', energy_flux2='4.17e-05', photon_flux_error='3.95e-08', dlogl='5.53e-02', energy_flux='3.71e-05', photon_flux2='6.91e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-22 19:37:33.878407', photon_index_error2='0.38', photon_index2='2.06', ts='7.90', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.81', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='2.63e-05', EG='1.17', time_epoch_completed='1790131053.88', return_code='0', job_id='38840322', GAL2='0.81', EG2='1.18', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.83e-05', photon_flux_error2='4.79e-08', ts2='8.00', photon_index='2.18' WHERE bin_id='946' AND source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 22 19:37:34 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits.....................! real 56.33 user 54.38 sys 1.09 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38840358/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2307.6+1451' 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.115e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38840358/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38840358/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38840358/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8945027 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8090485 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .25955E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 18.863 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 2.6224 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 4 'Prefactor ' 10.198 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 5 'norm ' .96436 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 20.933 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 23.526 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .92419 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 9 'Prefactor ' 11.614 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 14.793 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 5.0901 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .42799E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .30432E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .86253E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 31.626 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 12.335 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .33334E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' 6.9375 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 4.9364 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Normalizat' 1.1723 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 21 'Prefactor ' .81512 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13136.81 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 122 CALLS 1288 TOTAL EDM= .14E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.8606 -.46353E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 18.775 1.4243 .18512E-06 -.29618E-01 3 Prefactor 2.6231 .30691 .16109E-06 -.65993E-02 4 Prefactor 10.144 7.5483 -.25384E-05 -.38243E-03 5 norm .96490 .89348 .14334E-06 .11785E-01 6 Prefactor 20.337 3.4008 -.68589E-06 .87954E-01 7 Prefactor 23.561 10.311 -.31045E-05 -.55949E-01 8 Prefactor .92533 .16452 .10733E-06 .18728E-02 9 Prefactor 13.662 37.768 .38353E-05 -.95017E-03 10 Prefactor 14.818 7.2792 -.47829E-07 -.24898E-02 11 Prefactor 5.1377 1.8736 -.11135E-06 .14496E-01 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.3989 .13642E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .12212E-08 8.4306 .13087E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .15599E-07 12.394 -.89803E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 32.077 5.5319 -.61530E-06 .13339 16 Prefactor 12.219 7.9578 .13224E-05 -.22520E-01 17 Prefactor .38247E-07 20.074 .51552E-06** at limit ** 18 norm 6.9483 2.1456 .29765E-06 .38468E-01 19 Prefactor 4.9225 5.5377 -.18357E-06 -.91953E-02 20 Normalizat 1.1716 .21493 .56523E-05 -.16412E-03 21 Prefactor .81486 .11359 .23518E-05 -.70376E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 18.7747 Prefactor = 2.62312 Prefactor = 10.1437 norm = 0.964898 Prefactor = 20.3366 Prefactor = 23.5606 Prefactor = 0.925326 Prefactor = 13.6622 Prefactor = 14.8179 Prefactor = 5.13768 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.22125e-09 Prefactor = 1.55986e-08 norm = 32.0773 Prefactor = 12.219 Prefactor = 3.82472e-08 norm = 6.94834 Prefactor = 4.92251 Normalizat = 1.17162 Prefactor = 0.814864 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13136.81 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 367 CALLS 1655 TOTAL EDM= .32E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.8655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 18.775 13.161 .23033E-03 -1.5621 3 Prefactor 2.6231 .30678 .46746E-02 -1.5384 4 Prefactor 10.144 7.5315 .31368E-02 -1.5071 5 norm .96490 .89376 .42499E-03 -1.5688 6 Prefactor 20.337 18.531 .21863E-03 -1.5618 7 Prefactor 23.561 10.761 .20622E-03 -1.5611 8 Prefactor .92533 .16674 .41402E-02 -1.5516 9 Prefactor 13.662 37.730 .29371E-03 -1.5634 10 Prefactor 14.818 7.2972 .26015E-03 -1.5631 11 Prefactor 5.1377 17.434 .44541E-03 -1.5663 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.3705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .12212E-08 8.4545 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .15599E-07 12.920 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 32.077 14.267 .17784E-03 -1.5595 16 Prefactor 12.219 10.071 .28497E-03 -1.5638 17 Prefactor .38247E-07 20.228 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm 6.9483 8.3629 .38066E-03 -1.5655 19 Prefactor 4.9225 5.5540 .45244E-03 -1.5664 20 Normalizat 1.1716 .18844 .81314E-01 -.87485 21 Prefactor .81486 .97063E-01 .43914E-01 -.99183 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.20523e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.69041e-05 2 13.1606 3 0.306778 4 7.53217 5 0.893759 6 18.5307 7 10.7614 8 0.166738 9 37.7306 10 7.29725 11 17.4345 12 3.33561e-05 13 0.000203565 14 0.000897352 15 14.2667 16 10.0706 17 0.00175855 18 8.36293 19 5.55398 20 0.18855 21 0.0970829 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits .....................! real 20.44 user 19.58 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits .....................! real 78.21 user 72.58 sys 4.65 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 160 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2307.6+1451 @ 346.922 14.8644 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/cmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=346.922 yref=14.8644 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.89 user 0.33 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=346.922 yref=14.8644 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.81 user 0.31 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8060023 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.482e+01 7.297e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 8.149e-01 9.708e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 1.172e+00 1.886e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 7.90 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.18 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 8.02e-08 +/- 3.95e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 3.71e-05 +/- 1.83e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7640571 delta logL = 0.0419452239657 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7507379 delta logL = 0.0552644226536 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 16.583 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.0575 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1800 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .81270 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13136.75 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 92 CALLS 280 TOTAL EDM= .63E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 16.584 9.7716 .98271E-05 -.26608E-02 2 Index 2.0574 .39073 .73655E-02 .78235E-03 3 Normalizat 1.1800 .20980 .35898E-03 -.44591E-04 4 Prefactor .81270 .11291 .22742E-03 -.47291E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 16.5835 Index = 2.05744 Normalizat = 1.18001 Prefactor = 0.812703 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13136.75 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 305 TOTAL EDM= .34E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 16.584 9.5118 .39308E-06 -1.5627 2 Index 2.0574 .38016 .14731E-02 -.62922 3 Normalizat 1.1800 .20984 .14359E-04 -.87223 4 Prefactor .81270 .11300 .90967E-05 -.99262 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.35035e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.51178 2 0.380722 3 0.209987 4 0.113032 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7507379 delta logL = 0.055264434679 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.658e+01 9.512e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.057e+00 3.807e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 8.127e-01 1.130e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 1.180e+00 2.100e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.00 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.06 +/- 0.38 Photon Flux (Free Index): 6.91e-08 +/- 4.79e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.17e-05 +/- 2.63e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38840358/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='8.02e-08', energy_flux2='4.17e-05', photon_flux_error='3.95e-08', dlogl='5.53e-02', energy_flux='3.71e-05', photon_flux2='6.91e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-22 19:38:22.322788', photon_index_error2='0.38', photon_index2='2.06', ts='7.90', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.81', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='2.63e-05', EG='1.17', time_epoch_completed='1790131102.32', return_code='0', job_id='38840358', GAL2='0.81', EG2='1.18', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.83e-05', photon_flux_error2='4.79e-08', ts2='8.00', photon_index='2.18' WHERE bin_id='946' AND source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 22 19:38:22 PDT 2026 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits .....................! real 19.42 user 18.62 sys 0.26 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits .....................! real 71.65 user 66.62 sys 4.19 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 160 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2307.6+1451 @ 346.922 14.8644 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/cmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=346.922 yref=14.8644 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.69 user 0.25 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=346.922 yref=14.8644 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.68 user 0.26 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits.....................! real 57.05 user 55.23 sys 1.08 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38840456/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2307.6+1451' 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.115e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38840456/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38840456/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38840456/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8945027 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8090485 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .25955E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 18.863 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 2.6224 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 4 'Prefactor ' 10.198 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 5 'norm ' .96436 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 20.933 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 23.526 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .92419 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 9 'Prefactor ' 11.614 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 14.793 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 5.0901 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .42799E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .30432E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .86253E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 31.626 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 12.335 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .33334E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' 6.9375 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 4.9364 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Normalizat' 1.1723 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 21 'Prefactor ' .81512 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13136.81 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 122 CALLS 1288 TOTAL EDM= .14E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.8606 -.46353E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 18.775 1.4243 .18512E-06 -.29618E-01 3 Prefactor 2.6231 .30691 .16109E-06 -.65993E-02 4 Prefactor 10.144 7.5483 -.25384E-05 -.38243E-03 5 norm .96490 .89348 .14334E-06 .11785E-01 6 Prefactor 20.337 3.4008 -.68589E-06 .87954E-01 7 Prefactor 23.561 10.311 -.31045E-05 -.55949E-01 8 Prefactor .92533 .16452 .10733E-06 .18728E-02 9 Prefactor 13.662 37.768 .38353E-05 -.95017E-03 10 Prefactor 14.818 7.2792 -.47829E-07 -.24898E-02 11 Prefactor 5.1377 1.8736 -.11135E-06 .14496E-01 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.3989 .13642E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .12212E-08 8.4306 .13087E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .15599E-07 12.394 -.89803E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 32.077 5.5319 -.61530E-06 .13339 16 Prefactor 12.219 7.9578 .13224E-05 -.22520E-01 17 Prefactor .38247E-07 20.074 .51552E-06** at limit ** 18 norm 6.9483 2.1456 .29765E-06 .38468E-01 19 Prefactor 4.9225 5.5377 -.18357E-06 -.91953E-02 20 Normalizat 1.1716 .21493 .56523E-05 -.16412E-03 21 Prefactor .81486 .11359 .23518E-05 -.70376E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 18.7747 Prefactor = 2.62312 Prefactor = 10.1437 norm = 0.964898 Prefactor = 20.3366 Prefactor = 23.5606 Prefactor = 0.925326 Prefactor = 13.6622 Prefactor = 14.8179 Prefactor = 5.13768 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.22125e-09 Prefactor = 1.55986e-08 norm = 32.0773 Prefactor = 12.219 Prefactor = 3.82472e-08 norm = 6.94834 Prefactor = 4.92251 Normalizat = 1.17162 Prefactor = 0.814864 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits.....................! real 57.09 user 55.28 sys 1.21 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38840459/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2307.6+1451' 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.115e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38840459/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38840459/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38840459/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8945027 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8090485 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .25955E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 18.863 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 2.6224 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 4 'Prefactor ' 10.198 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 5 'norm ' .96436 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 20.933 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 23.526 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .92419 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 9 'Prefactor ' 11.614 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 14.793 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 5.0901 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .42799E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .30432E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .86253E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 31.626 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 12.335 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .33334E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' 6.9375 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 4.9364 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Normalizat' 1.1723 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 21 'Prefactor ' .81512 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13136.81 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 122 CALLS 1288 TOTAL EDM= .14E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.8606 -.46353E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 18.775 1.4243 .18512E-06 -.29618E-01 3 Prefactor 2.6231 .30691 .16109E-06 -.65993E-02 4 Prefactor 10.144 7.5483 -.25384E-05 -.38243E-03 5 norm .96490 .89348 .14334E-06 .11785E-01 6 Prefactor 20.337 3.4008 -.68589E-06 .87954E-01 7 Prefactor 23.561 10.311 -.31045E-05 -.55949E-01 8 Prefactor .92533 .16452 .10733E-06 .18728E-02 9 Prefactor 13.662 37.768 .38353E-05 -.95017E-03 10 Prefactor 14.818 7.2792 -.47829E-07 -.24898E-02 11 Prefactor 5.1377 1.8736 -.11135E-06 .14496E-01 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.3989 .13642E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .12212E-08 8.4306 .13087E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .15599E-07 12.394 -.89803E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 32.077 5.5319 -.61530E-06 .13339 16 Prefactor 12.219 7.9578 .13224E-05 -.22520E-01 17 Prefactor .38247E-07 20.074 .51552E-06** at limit ** 18 norm 6.9483 2.1456 .29765E-06 .38468E-01 19 Prefactor 4.9225 5.5377 -.18357E-06 -.91953E-02 20 Normalizat 1.1716 .21493 .56523E-05 -.16412E-03 21 Prefactor .81486 .11359 .23518E-05 -.70376E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 18.7747 Prefactor = 2.62312 Prefactor = 10.1437 norm = 0.964898 Prefactor = 20.3366 Prefactor = 23.5606 Prefactor = 0.925326 Prefactor = 13.6622 Prefactor = 14.8179 Prefactor = 5.13768 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.22125e-09 Prefactor = 1.55986e-08 norm = 32.0773 Prefactor = 12.219 Prefactor = 3.82472e-08 norm = 6.94834 Prefactor = 4.92251 Normalizat = 1.17162 Prefactor = 0.814864 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits .....................! real 20.42 user 19.52 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits .....................! real 75.12 user 69.96 sys 4.39 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 160 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2307.6+1451 @ 346.922 14.8644 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/cmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=346.922 yref=14.8644 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.74 user 0.25 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=346.922 yref=14.8644 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.76 user 0.26 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourc ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13136.81 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 367 CALLS 1655 TOTAL EDM= .32E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.8655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 18.775 13.161 .23033E-03 -1.5621 3 Prefactor 2.6231 .30678 .46746E-02 -1.5384 4 Prefactor 10.144 7.5315 .31368E-02 -1.5071 5 norm .96490 .89376 .42499E-03 -1.5688 6 Prefactor 20.337 18.531 .21863E-03 -1.5618 7 Prefactor 23.561 10.761 .20622E-03 -1.5611 8 Prefactor .92533 .16674 .41402E-02 -1.5516 9 Prefactor 13.662 37.730 .29371E-03 -1.5634 10 Prefactor 14.818 7.2972 .26015E-03 -1.5631 11 Prefactor 5.1377 17.434 .44541E-03 -1.5663 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.3705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .12212E-08 8.4545 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .15599E-07 12.920 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 32.077 14.267 .17784E-03 -1.5595 16 Prefactor 12.219 10.071 .28497E-03 -1.5638 17 Prefactor .38247E-07 20.228 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm 6.9483 8.3629 .38066E-03 -1.5655 19 Prefactor 4.9225 5.5540 .45244E-03 -1.5664 20 Normalizat 1.1716 .18844 .81314E-01 -.87485 21 Prefactor .81486 .97063E-01 .43914E-01 -.99183 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.20523e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.69041e-05 2 13.1606 3 0.306778 4 7.53217 5 0.893759 6 18.5307 7 10.7614 8 0.166738 9 37.7306 10 7.29725 11 17.4345 12 3.33561e-05 13 0.000203565 14 0.000897352 15 14.2667 16 10.0706 17 0.00175855 18 8.36293 19 5.55398 20 0.18855 21 0.0970829 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13136.81 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 367 CALLS 1655 TOTAL EDM= .32E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.8655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 18.775 13.161 .23033E-03 -1.5621 3 Prefactor 2.6231 .30678 .46746E-02 -1.5384 4 Prefactor 10.144 7.5315 .31368E-02 -1.5071 5 norm .96490 .89376 .42499E-03 -1.5688 6 Prefactor 20.337 18.531 .21863E-03 -1.5618 7 Prefactor 23.561 10.761 .20622E-03 -1.5611 8 Prefactor .92533 .16674 .41402E-02 -1.5516 9 Prefactor 13.662 37.730 .29371E-03 -1.5634 10 Prefactor 14.818 7.2972 .26015E-03 -1.5631 11 Prefactor 5.1377 17.434 .44541E-03 -1.5663 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.3705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .12212E-08 8.4545 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .15599E-07 12.920 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 32.077 14.267 .17784E-03 -1.5595 16 Prefactor 12.219 10.071 .28497E-03 -1.5638 17 Prefactor .38247E-07 20.228 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm 6.9483 8.3629 .38066E-03 -1.5655 19 Prefactor 4.9225 5.5540 .45244E-03 -1.5664 20 Normalizat 1.1716 .18844 .81314E-01 -.87485 21 Prefactor .81486 .97063E-01 .43914E-01 -.99183 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.20523e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.69041e-05 2 13.1606 3 0.306778 4 7.53217 5 0.893759 6 18.5307 7 10.7614 8 0.166738 9 37.7306 10 7.29725 11 17.4345 12 3.33561e-05 13 0.000203565 14 0.000897352 15 14.2667 16 10.0706 17 0.00175855 18 8.36293 19 5.55398 20 0.18855 21 0.0970829 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8060023 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.482e+01 7.297e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 8.149e-01 9.708e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 1.172e+00 1.886e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 7.90 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.18 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 8.02e-08 +/- 3.95e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 3.71e-05 +/- 1.83e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7640571 delta logL = 0.0419452239657 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7507379 delta logL = 0.0552644226536 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 16.583 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.0575 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1800 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .81270 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13136.75 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 92 CALLS 280 TOTAL EDM= .63E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 16.584 9.7716 .98271E-05 -.26608E-02 2 Index 2.0574 .39073 .73655E-02 .78235E-03 3 Normalizat 1.1800 .20980 .35898E-03 -.44591E-04 4 Prefactor .81270 .11291 .22742E-03 -.47291E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 16.5835 Index = 2.05744 Normalizat = 1.18001 Prefactor = 0.812703 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8060023 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.482e+01 7.297e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 8.149e-01 9.708e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 1.172e+00 1.886e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 7.90 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.18 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 8.02e-08 +/- 3.95e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 3.71e-05 +/- 1.83e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7640571 delta logL = 0.0419452239657 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7507379 delta logL = 0.0552644226536 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 16.583 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.0575 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1800 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .81270 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13136.75 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 92 CALLS 280 TOTAL EDM= .63E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 16.584 9.7716 .98271E-05 -.26608E-02 2 Index 2.0574 .39073 .73655E-02 .78235E-03 3 Normalizat 1.1800 .20980 .35898E-03 -.44591E-04 4 Prefactor .81270 .11291 .22742E-03 -.47291E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 16.5835 Index = 2.05744 Normalizat = 1.18001 Prefactor = 0.812703 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13136.75 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 305 TOTAL EDM= .34E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 16.584 9.5118 .39308E-06 -1.5627 2 Index 2.0574 .38016 .14731E-02 -.62922 3 Normalizat 1.1800 .20984 .14359E-04 -.87223 4 Prefactor .81270 .11300 .90967E-05 -.99262 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.35035e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.51178 2 0.380722 3 0.209987 4 0.113032 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13136.75 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 305 TOTAL EDM= .34E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 16.584 9.5118 .39308E-06 -1.5627 2 Index 2.0574 .38016 .14731E-02 -.62922 3 Normalizat 1.1800 .20984 .14359E-04 -.87223 4 Prefactor .81270 .11300 .90967E-05 -.99262 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.35035e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.51178 2 0.380722 3 0.209987 4 0.113032 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7507379 delta logL = 0.055264434679 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.658e+01 9.512e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.057e+00 3.807e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 8.127e-01 1.130e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 1.180e+00 2.100e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.00 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.06 +/- 0.38 Photon Flux (Free Index): 6.91e-08 +/- 4.79e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.17e-05 +/- 2.63e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38840459/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='8.02e-08', energy_flux2='4.17e-05', photon_flux_error='3.95e-08', dlogl='5.53e-02', energy_flux='3.71e-05', photon_flux2='6.91e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-22 19:39:50.393220', photon_index_error2='0.38', photon_index2='2.06', ts='7.90', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.81', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='2.63e-05', EG='1.17', time_epoch_completed='1790131190.39', return_code='0', job_id='38840459', GAL2='0.81', EG2='1.18', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.83e-05', photon_flux_error2='4.79e-08', ts2='8.00', photon_index='2.18' WHERE bin_id='946' AND source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 22 19:39:50 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7507379 delta logL = 0.055264434679 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.658e+01 9.512e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.057e+00 3.807e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 8.127e-01 1.130e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 1.180e+00 2.100e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.00 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.06 +/- 0.38 Photon Flux (Free Index): 6.91e-08 +/- 4.79e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.17e-05 +/- 2.63e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38840456/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='8.02e-08', energy_flux2='4.17e-05', photon_flux_error='3.95e-08', dlogl='5.53e-02', energy_flux='3.71e-05', photon_flux2='6.91e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-22 19:39:50.651336', photon_index_error2='0.38', photon_index2='2.06', ts='7.90', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.81', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='2.63e-05', EG='1.17', time_epoch_completed='1790131190.65', return_code='0', job_id='38840456', GAL2='0.81', EG2='1.18', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.83e-05', photon_flux_error2='4.79e-08', ts2='8.00', photon_index='2.18' WHERE bin_id='946' AND source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 22 19:39:50 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits.....................! real 63.55 user 61.21 sys 1.23 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38840419/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2307.6+1451' 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.115e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38840419/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38840419/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38840419/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8945027 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8090485 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .25955E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 18.863 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 2.6224 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 4 'Prefactor ' 10.198 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 5 'norm ' .96436 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 20.933 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 23.526 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .92419 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 9 'Prefactor ' 11.614 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 14.793 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 5.0901 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .42799E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .30432E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .86253E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 31.626 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 12.335 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .33334E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' 6.9375 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 4.9364 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Normalizat' 1.1723 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 21 'Prefactor ' .81512 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13136.81 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 122 CALLS 1288 TOTAL EDM= .14E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.8606 -.46353E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 18.775 1.4243 .18512E-06 -.29618E-01 3 Prefactor 2.6231 .30691 .16109E-06 -.65993E-02 4 Prefactor 10.144 7.5483 -.25384E-05 -.38243E-03 5 norm .96490 .89348 .14334E-06 .11785E-01 6 Prefactor 20.337 3.4008 -.68589E-06 .87954E-01 7 Prefactor 23.561 10.311 -.31045E-05 -.55949E-01 8 Prefactor .92533 .16452 .10733E-06 .18728E-02 9 Prefactor 13.662 37.768 .38353E-05 -.95017E-03 10 Prefactor 14.818 7.2792 -.47829E-07 -.24898E-02 11 Prefactor 5.1377 1.8736 -.11135E-06 .14496E-01 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.3989 .13642E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .12212E-08 8.4306 .13087E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .15599E-07 12.394 -.89803E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 32.077 5.5319 -.61530E-06 .13339 16 Prefactor 12.219 7.9578 .13224E-05 -.22520E-01 17 Prefactor .38247E-07 20.074 .51552E-06** at limit ** 18 norm 6.9483 2.1456 .29765E-06 .38468E-01 19 Prefactor 4.9225 5.5377 -.18357E-06 -.91953E-02 20 Normalizat 1.1716 .21493 .56523E-05 -.16412E-03 21 Prefactor .81486 .11359 .23518E-05 -.70376E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 18.7747 Prefactor = 2.62312 Prefactor = 10.1437 norm = 0.964898 Prefactor = 20.3366 Prefactor = 23.5606 Prefactor = 0.925326 Prefactor = 13.6622 Prefactor = 14.8179 Prefactor = 5.13768 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.22125e-09 Prefactor = 1.55986e-08 norm = 32.0773 Prefactor = 12.219 Prefactor = 3.82472e-08 norm = 6.94834 Prefactor = 4.92251 Normalizat = 1.17162 Prefactor = 0.814864 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13136.81 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 367 CALLS 1655 TOTAL EDM= .32E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.8655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 18.775 13.161 .23033E-03 -1.5621 3 Prefactor 2.6231 .30678 .46746E-02 -1.5384 4 Prefactor 10.144 7.5315 .31368E-02 -1.5071 5 norm .96490 .89376 .42499E-03 -1.5688 6 Prefactor 20.337 18.531 .21863E-03 -1.5618 7 Prefactor 23.561 10.761 .20622E-03 -1.5611 8 Prefactor .92533 .16674 .41402E-02 -1.5516 9 Prefactor 13.662 37.730 .29371E-03 -1.5634 10 Prefactor 14.818 7.2972 .26015E-03 -1.5631 11 Prefactor 5.1377 17.434 .44541E-03 -1.5663 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.3705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .12212E-08 8.4545 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .15599E-07 12.920 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 32.077 14.267 .17784E-03 -1.5595 16 Prefactor 12.219 10.071 .28497E-03 -1.5638 17 Prefactor .38247E-07 20.228 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm 6.9483 8.3629 .38066E-03 -1.5655 19 Prefactor 4.9225 5.5540 .45244E-03 -1.5664 20 Normalizat 1.1716 .18844 .81314E-01 -.87485 21 Prefactor .81486 .97063E-01 .43914E-01 -.99183 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.20523e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.69041e-05 2 13.1606 3 0.306778 4 7.53217 5 0.893759 6 18.5307 7 10.7614 8 0.166738 9 37.7306 10 7.29725 11 17.4345 12 3.33561e-05 13 0.000203565 14 0.000897352 15 14.2667 16 10.0706 17 0.00175855 18 8.36293 19 5.55398 20 0.18855 21 0.0970829 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8060023 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.482e+01 7.297e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 8.149e-01 9.708e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 1.172e+00 1.886e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 7.90 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.18 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 8.02e-08 +/- 3.95e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 3.71e-05 +/- 1.83e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7640571 delta logL = 0.0419452239657 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7507379 delta logL = 0.0552644226536 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 16.583 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.0575 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1800 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .81270 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13136.75 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 92 CALLS 280 TOTAL EDM= .63E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 16.584 9.7716 .98271E-05 -.26608E-02 2 Index 2.0574 .39073 .73655E-02 .78235E-03 3 Normalizat 1.1800 .20980 .35898E-03 -.44591E-04 4 Prefactor .81270 .11291 .22742E-03 -.47291E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 16.5835 Index = 2.05744 Normalizat = 1.18001 Prefactor = 0.812703 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits.....................! real 57.20 user 55.35 sys 1.17 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38840525/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2307.6+1451' 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.115e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38840525/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38840525/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38840525/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8945027 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8090485 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .25955E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 18.863 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 2.6224 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 4 'Prefactor ' 10.198 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 5 'norm ' .96436 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 20.933 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 23.526 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .92419 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 9 'Prefactor ' 11.614 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 14.793 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 5.0901 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .42799E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .30432E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .86253E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 31.626 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 12.335 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .33334E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' 6.9375 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 4.9364 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Normalizat' 1.1723 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 21 'Prefactor ' .81512 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13136.81 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 122 CALLS 1288 TOTAL EDM= .14E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.8606 -.46353E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 18.775 1.4243 .18512E-06 -.29618E-01 3 Prefactor 2.6231 .30691 .16109E-06 -.65993E-02 4 Prefactor 10.144 7.5483 -.25384E-05 -.38243E-03 5 norm .96490 .89348 .14334E-06 .11785E-01 6 Prefactor 20.337 3.4008 -.68589E-06 .87954E-01 7 Prefactor 23.561 10.311 -.31045E-05 -.55949E-01 8 Prefactor .92533 .16452 .10733E-06 .18728E-02 9 Prefactor 13.662 37.768 .38353E-05 -.95017E-03 10 Prefactor 14.818 7.2792 -.47829E-07 -.24898E-02 11 Prefactor 5.1377 1.8736 -.11135E-06 .14496E-01 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.3989 .13642E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .12212E-08 8.4306 .13087E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .15599E-07 12.394 -.89803E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 32.077 5.5319 -.61530E-06 .13339 16 Prefactor 12.219 7.9578 .13224E-05 -.22520E-01 17 Prefactor .38247E-07 20.074 .51552E-06** at limit ** 18 norm 6.9483 2.1456 .29765E-06 .38468E-01 19 Prefactor 4.9225 5.5377 -.18357E-06 -.91953E-02 20 Normalizat 1.1716 .21493 .56523E-05 -.16412E-03 21 Prefactor .81486 .11359 .23518E-05 -.70376E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 18.7747 Prefactor = 2.62312 Prefactor = 10.1437 norm = 0.964898 Prefactor = 20.3366 Prefactor = 23.5606 Prefactor = 0.925326 Prefactor = 13.6622 Prefactor = 14.8179 Prefactor = 5.13768 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.22125e-09 Prefactor = 1.55986e-08 norm = 32.0773 Prefactor = 12.219 Prefactor = 3.82472e-08 norm = 6.94834 Prefactor = 4.92251 Normalizat = 1.17162 Prefactor = 0.814864 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13136.75 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 305 TOTAL EDM= .34E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 16.584 9.5118 .39308E-06 -1.5627 2 Index 2.0574 .38016 .14731E-02 -.62922 3 Normalizat 1.1800 .20984 .14359E-04 -.87223 4 Prefactor .81270 .11300 .90967E-05 -.99262 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.35035e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.51178 2 0.380722 3 0.209987 4 0.113032 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7507379 delta logL = 0.055264434679 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.658e+01 9.512e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.057e+00 3.807e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 8.127e-01 1.130e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 1.180e+00 2.100e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.00 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.06 +/- 0.38 Photon Flux (Free Index): 6.91e-08 +/- 4.79e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.17e-05 +/- 2.63e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38840419/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='8.02e-08', energy_flux2='4.17e-05', photon_flux_error='3.95e-08', dlogl='5.53e-02', energy_flux='3.71e-05', photon_flux2='6.91e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-22 19:40:40.853245', photon_index_error2='0.38', photon_index2='2.06', ts='7.90', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.81', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='2.63e-05', EG='1.17', time_epoch_completed='1790131240.85', return_code='0', job_id='38840419', GAL2='0.81', EG2='1.18', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.83e-05', photon_flux_error2='4.79e-08', ts2='8.00', photon_index='2.18' WHERE bin_id='946' AND source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 22 19:40:41 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13136.81 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 367 CALLS 1655 TOTAL EDM= .32E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.8655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 18.775 13.161 .23033E-03 -1.5621 3 Prefactor 2.6231 .30678 .46746E-02 -1.5384 4 Prefactor 10.144 7.5315 .31368E-02 -1.5071 5 norm .96490 .89376 .42499E-03 -1.5688 6 Prefactor 20.337 18.531 .21863E-03 -1.5618 7 Prefactor 23.561 10.761 .20622E-03 -1.5611 8 Prefactor .92533 .16674 .41402E-02 -1.5516 9 Prefactor 13.662 37.730 .29371E-03 -1.5634 10 Prefactor 14.818 7.2972 .26015E-03 -1.5631 11 Prefactor 5.1377 17.434 .44541E-03 -1.5663 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.3705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .12212E-08 8.4545 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .15599E-07 12.920 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 32.077 14.267 .17784E-03 -1.5595 16 Prefactor 12.219 10.071 .28497E-03 -1.5638 17 Prefactor .38247E-07 20.228 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm 6.9483 8.3629 .38066E-03 -1.5655 19 Prefactor 4.9225 5.5540 .45244E-03 -1.5664 20 Normalizat 1.1716 .18844 .81314E-01 -.87485 21 Prefactor .81486 .97063E-01 .43914E-01 -.99183 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.20523e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.69041e-05 2 13.1606 3 0.306778 4 7.53217 5 0.893759 6 18.5307 7 10.7614 8 0.166738 9 37.7306 10 7.29725 11 17.4345 12 3.33561e-05 13 0.000203565 14 0.000897352 15 14.2667 16 10.0706 17 0.00175855 18 8.36293 19 5.55398 20 0.18855 21 0.0970829 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8060023 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.482e+01 7.297e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 8.149e-01 9.708e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 1.172e+00 1.886e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 7.90 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.18 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 8.02e-08 +/- 3.95e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 3.71e-05 +/- 1.83e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7640571 delta logL = 0.0419452239657 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7507379 delta logL = 0.0552644226536 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 16.583 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.0575 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1800 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .81270 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13136.75 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 92 CALLS 280 TOTAL EDM= .63E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 16.584 9.7716 .98271E-05 -.26608E-02 2 Index 2.0574 .39073 .73655E-02 .78235E-03 3 Normalizat 1.1800 .20980 .35898E-03 -.44591E-04 4 Prefactor .81270 .11291 .22742E-03 -.47291E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 16.5835 Index = 2.05744 Normalizat = 1.18001 Prefactor = 0.812703 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13136.75 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 305 TOTAL EDM= .34E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 16.584 9.5118 .39308E-06 -1.5627 2 Index 2.0574 .38016 .14731E-02 -.62922 3 Normalizat 1.1800 .20984 .14359E-04 -.87223 4 Prefactor .81270 .11300 .90967E-05 -.99262 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.35035e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.51178 2 0.380722 3 0.209987 4 0.113032 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7507379 delta logL = 0.055264434679 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.658e+01 9.512e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.057e+00 3.807e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 8.127e-01 1.130e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 1.180e+00 2.100e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.00 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.06 +/- 0.38 Photon Flux (Free Index): 6.91e-08 +/- 4.79e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.17e-05 +/- 2.63e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38840525/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='8.02e-08', energy_flux2='4.17e-05', photon_flux_error='3.95e-08', dlogl='5.53e-02', energy_flux='3.71e-05', photon_flux2='6.91e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-22 19:41:15.612646', photon_index_error2='0.38', photon_index2='2.06', ts='7.90', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.81', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='2.63e-05', EG='1.17', time_epoch_completed='1790131275.61', return_code='0', job_id='38840525', GAL2='0.81', EG2='1.18', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.83e-05', photon_flux_error2='4.79e-08', ts2='8.00', photon_index='2.18' WHERE bin_id='946' AND source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 22 19:41:16 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits.....................! real 60.10 user 58.25 sys 1.09 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38840544/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2307.6+1451' 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.115e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38840544/expmap_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38840544/ltcube_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38840544/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8945027 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8090485 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .25955E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 18.863 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 2.6224 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 4 'Prefactor ' 10.198 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 5 'norm ' .96436 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 20.933 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 23.526 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .92419 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 9 'Prefactor ' 11.614 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 14.793 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 5.0901 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .42799E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .30432E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .86253E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 31.626 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 12.335 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .33334E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' 6.9375 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 4.9364 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Normalizat' 1.1723 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 21 'Prefactor ' .81512 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13136.81 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 122 CALLS 1288 TOTAL EDM= .14E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.8606 -.46353E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 18.775 1.4243 .18512E-06 -.29618E-01 3 Prefactor 2.6231 .30691 .16109E-06 -.65993E-02 4 Prefactor 10.144 7.5483 -.25384E-05 -.38243E-03 5 norm .96490 .89348 .14334E-06 .11785E-01 6 Prefactor 20.337 3.4008 -.68589E-06 .87954E-01 7 Prefactor 23.561 10.311 -.31045E-05 -.55949E-01 8 Prefactor .92533 .16452 .10733E-06 .18728E-02 9 Prefactor 13.662 37.768 .38353E-05 -.95017E-03 10 Prefactor 14.818 7.2792 -.47829E-07 -.24898E-02 11 Prefactor 5.1377 1.8736 -.11135E-06 .14496E-01 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.3989 .13642E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .12212E-08 8.4306 .13087E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .15599E-07 12.394 -.89803E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 32.077 5.5319 -.61530E-06 .13339 16 Prefactor 12.219 7.9578 .13224E-05 -.22520E-01 17 Prefactor .38247E-07 20.074 .51552E-06** at limit ** 18 norm 6.9483 2.1456 .29765E-06 .38468E-01 19 Prefactor 4.9225 5.5377 -.18357E-06 -.91953E-02 20 Normalizat 1.1716 .21493 .56523E-05 -.16412E-03 21 Prefactor .81486 .11359 .23518E-05 -.70376E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 18.7747 Prefactor = 2.62312 Prefactor = 10.1437 norm = 0.964898 Prefactor = 20.3366 Prefactor = 23.5606 Prefactor = 0.925326 Prefactor = 13.6622 Prefactor = 14.8179 Prefactor = 5.13768 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.22125e-09 Prefactor = 1.55986e-08 norm = 32.0773 Prefactor = 12.219 Prefactor = 3.82472e-08 norm = 6.94834 Prefactor = 4.92251 Normalizat = 1.17162 Prefactor = 0.814864 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13136.81 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 367 CALLS 1655 TOTAL EDM= .32E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.8655 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 18.775 13.161 .23033E-03 -1.5621 3 Prefactor 2.6231 .30678 .46746E-02 -1.5384 4 Prefactor 10.144 7.5315 .31368E-02 -1.5071 5 norm .96490 .89376 .42499E-03 -1.5688 6 Prefactor 20.337 18.531 .21863E-03 -1.5618 7 Prefactor 23.561 10.761 .20622E-03 -1.5611 8 Prefactor .92533 .16674 .41402E-02 -1.5516 9 Prefactor 13.662 37.730 .29371E-03 -1.5634 10 Prefactor 14.818 7.2972 .26015E-03 -1.5631 11 Prefactor 5.1377 17.434 .44541E-03 -1.5663 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.3705 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .12212E-08 8.4545 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .15599E-07 12.920 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 32.077 14.267 .17784E-03 -1.5595 16 Prefactor 12.219 10.071 .28497E-03 -1.5638 17 Prefactor .38247E-07 20.228 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm 6.9483 8.3629 .38066E-03 -1.5655 19 Prefactor 4.9225 5.5540 .45244E-03 -1.5664 20 Normalizat 1.1716 .18844 .81314E-01 -.87485 21 Prefactor .81486 .97063E-01 .43914E-01 -.99183 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.20523e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.69041e-05 2 13.1606 3 0.306778 4 7.53217 5 0.893759 6 18.5307 7 10.7614 8 0.166738 9 37.7306 10 7.29725 11 17.4345 12 3.33561e-05 13 0.000203565 14 0.000897352 15 14.2667 16 10.0706 17 0.00175855 18 8.36293 19 5.55398 20 0.18855 21 0.0970829 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13136.8060023 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.482e+01 7.297e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 8.149e-01 9.708e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 1.172e+00 1.886e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 7.90 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.18 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 8.02e-08 +/- 3.95e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 3.71e-05 +/- 1.83e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7640571 delta logL = 0.0419452239657 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7507379 delta logL = 0.0552644226536 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 16.583 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.0575 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1800 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .81270 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13136.75 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 92 CALLS 280 TOTAL EDM= .63E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 16.584 9.7716 .98271E-05 -.26608E-02 2 Index 2.0574 .39073 .73655E-02 .78235E-03 3 Normalizat 1.1800 .20980 .35898E-03 -.44591E-04 4 Prefactor .81270 .11291 .22742E-03 -.47291E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 16.5835 Index = 2.05744 Normalizat = 1.18001 Prefactor = 0.812703 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13136.75 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 305 TOTAL EDM= .34E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 16.584 9.5118 .39308E-06 -1.5627 2 Index 2.0574 .38016 .14731E-02 -.62922 3 Normalizat 1.1800 .20984 .14359E-04 -.87223 4 Prefactor .81270 .11300 .90967E-05 -.99262 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.35035e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.51178 2 0.380722 3 0.209987 4 0.113032 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13136.7507379 delta logL = 0.055264434679 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.658e+01 9.512e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.057e+00 3.807e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 8.127e-01 1.130e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 1.180e+00 2.100e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.00 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.06 +/- 0.38 Photon Flux (Free Index): 6.91e-08 +/- 4.79e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.17e-05 +/- 2.63e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38840544/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811728001_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin946.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='8.02e-08', energy_flux2='4.17e-05', photon_flux_error='3.95e-08', dlogl='5.53e-02', energy_flux='3.71e-05', photon_flux2='6.91e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-22 19:41:59.110593', photon_index_error2='0.38', photon_index2='2.06', ts='7.90', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.81', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='2.63e-05', EG='1.17', time_epoch_completed='1790131319.11', return_code='0', job_id='38840544', GAL2='0.81', EG2='1.18', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.83e-05', photon_flux_error2='4.79e-08', ts2='8.00', photon_index='2.18' WHERE bin_id='946' AND source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 22 19:41:59 PDT 2026