********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 20160.97 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 373 CALLS 1635 TOTAL EDM= .96E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.7253 8.4276 .36044E-03 -1.5652 2 Prefactor 12.677 12.944 .28155E-03 -1.5637 3 Prefactor 1.3271 .18590 .47955E-02 -1.5478 4 Prefactor 4.7903 5.1607 .45975E-02 -1.5270 5 norm 1.3381 .80850 .94774E-03 -1.5685 6 Prefactor .0000 4.2218 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 12.084 7.9567 .28772E-03 -1.5638 8 Prefactor 1.1438 .13503 .37971E-02 -1.5494 9 Prefactor 11.615 16.238 .28660E-03 -1.5640 10 Prefactor 2.1930 4.4385 .69703E-03 -1.5678 11 Prefactor 1.4712 26.618 .84533E-03 -1.5684 12 Prefactor 7.0119 4.3429 .37693E-03 -1.5655 13 Prefactor 6.4518 5.7809 .39484E-03 -1.5657 14 Prefactor .0000 2.8882 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 17.236 6.7456 .24101E-03 -1.5625 16 Prefactor .43043E-01 1.3363 .94459E-02 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .0000 6.9461 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .0000 1.4726 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .0000 1.2779 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Normalizat .93598 .13950 .81631E-01 -.95207 21 Prefactor .98309 .75530E-01 .46057E-01 -.93295 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.60234e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.42762 2 12.9436 3 0.185903 4 5.16122 5 0.808496 6 6.48232e-06 7 7.95674 8 0.135031 9 16.2381 10 4.43848 11 12.5158 12 4.3429 13 5.78087 14 7.07908e-07 15 6.74564 16 0.479666 17 9.52053e-06 18 3.57355e-07 19 7.85457e-07 20 0.13955 21 0.075538 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 20160.97 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 373 CALLS 1635 TOTAL EDM= .96E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.7253 8.4276 .36044E-03 -1.5652 2 Prefactor 12.677 12.944 .28155E-03 -1.5637 3 Prefactor 1.3271 .18590 .47955E-02 -1.5478 4 Prefactor 4.7903 5.1607 .45975E-02 -1.5270 5 norm 1.3381 .80850 .94774E-03 -1.5685 6 Prefactor .0000 4.2218 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 12.084 7.9567 .28772E-03 -1.5638 8 Prefactor 1.1438 .13503 .37971E-02 -1.5494 9 Prefactor 11.615 16.238 .28660E-03 -1.5640 10 Prefactor 2.1930 4.4385 .69703E-03 -1.5678 11 Prefactor 1.4712 26.618 .84533E-03 -1.5684 12 Prefactor 7.0119 4.3429 .37693E-03 -1.5655 13 Prefactor 6.4518 5.7809 .39484E-03 -1.5657 14 Prefactor .0000 2.8882 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 17.236 6.7456 .24101E-03 -1.5625 16 Prefactor .43043E-01 1.3363 .94459E-02 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .0000 6.9461 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .0000 1.4726 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .0000 1.2779 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Normalizat .93598 .13950 .81631E-01 -.95207 21 Prefactor .98309 .75530E-01 .46057E-01 -.93295 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.60234e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.42762 2 12.9436 3 0.185903 4 5.16122 5 0.808496 6 6.48232e-06 7 7.95674 8 0.135031 9 16.2381 10 4.43848 11 12.5158 12 4.3429 13 5.78087 14 7.07908e-07 15 6.74564 16 0.479666 17 9.52053e-06 18 3.57355e-07 19 7.85457e-07 20 0.13955 21 0.075538 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 20160.9733069 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 2.193e+00 4.438e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 9.831e-01 7.554e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 9.360e-01 1.395e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.28 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40532796212e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00487434099661 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33485870/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 20160.5383805 delta logL = 0.434926425405 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 1 logL (Free Index) = 20160.3462376 delta logL = 0.627069339906 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .14599E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 9.6900 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .88670 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0067 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 20161.11 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 128 CALLS 900 TOTAL EDM= .24E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .37480 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .59977 .85723 -.10079E-08 .0000 3 Normalizat .93678 1.2536 -.37128E-05 -.13849E-04 4 Prefactor .98747 1.2668 -.32428E-05 .12266E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.599772 Normalizat = 0.936785 Prefactor = 0.987468 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 20161.11 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 909 TOTAL EDM= .24E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .37480 .42118E-03 -19523. WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .57470E-03 .89596 -.10079E-08 -.71448E+08 3 Normalizat .93678 1.2536 -.37128E-05 -14.756 4 Prefactor .98747 1.2668 -.32428E-05 -120.31 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.38738e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.35068e-07 2 0.877037 3 1.29641 4 1.30839 Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 20161.1125125 delta logL = -0.139205629126 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.351e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 5.998e-01 8.770e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 9.875e-01 1.308e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 9.368e-01 1.296e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.28 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33485870/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.87e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.41e-08', time_completed='2026-07-28 20:42:29.548114', job_id='33485870', GAL2='0.99', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.94', EG='0.94', time_epoch_completed='1785296549.55', return_code2='101', ts='0.28', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.98', dlogl='-1.39e-01', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.18' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 20:42:30 PDT 2026 WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 20160.9733069 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 2.193e+00 4.438e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 9.831e-01 7.554e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 9.360e-01 1.395e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.28 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40532796212e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00487434099661 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33486124/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 20160.5383805 delta logL = 0.434926425405 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 1 logL (Free Index) = 20160.3462376 delta logL = 0.627069339906 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .14599E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 9.6900 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .88670 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0067 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 20161.11 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 128 CALLS 900 TOTAL EDM= .24E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .37480 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .59977 .85723 -.10079E-08 .0000 3 Normalizat .93678 1.2536 -.37128E-05 -.13849E-04 4 Prefactor .98747 1.2668 -.32428E-05 .12266E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.599772 Normalizat = 0.936785 Prefactor = 0.987468 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 20161.11 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 909 TOTAL EDM= .24E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .37480 .42118E-03 -19523. WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .57470E-03 .89596 -.10079E-08 -.71448E+08 3 Normalizat .93678 1.2536 -.37128E-05 -14.756 4 Prefactor .98747 1.2668 -.32428E-05 -120.31 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.38738e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.35068e-07 2 0.877037 3 1.29641 4 1.30839 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 20160.9733069 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 2.193e+00 4.438e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 9.831e-01 7.554e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 9.360e-01 1.395e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.28 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40532796212e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00487434099661 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33486091/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 20160.5383805 delta logL = 0.434926425405 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 1 logL (Free Index) = 20160.3462376 delta logL = 0.627069339906 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .14599E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 9.6900 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .88670 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0067 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 20161.11 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 128 CALLS 900 TOTAL EDM= .24E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .37480 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .59977 .85723 -.10079E-08 .0000 3 Normalizat .93678 1.2536 -.37128E-05 -.13849E-04 4 Prefactor .98747 1.2668 -.32428E-05 .12266E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.599772 Normalizat = 0.936785 Prefactor = 0.987468 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 20161.1125125 delta logL = -0.139205629126 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.351e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 5.998e-01 8.770e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 9.875e-01 1.308e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 9.368e-01 1.296e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.28 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33486124/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.87e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.41e-08', time_completed='2026-07-28 20:44:33.255105', job_id='33486124', GAL2='0.99', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.94', EG='0.94', time_epoch_completed='1785296673.26', return_code2='101', ts='0.28', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.98', dlogl='-1.39e-01', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.18' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 20:44:33 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 20161.11 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 909 TOTAL EDM= .24E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .37480 .42118E-03 -19523. WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .57470E-03 .89596 -.10079E-08 -.71448E+08 3 Normalizat .93678 1.2536 -.37128E-05 -14.756 4 Prefactor .98747 1.2668 -.32428E-05 -120.31 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.38738e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.35068e-07 2 0.877037 3 1.29641 4 1.30839 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 20161.1125125 delta logL = -0.139205629126 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.351e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 5.998e-01 8.770e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 9.875e-01 1.308e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 9.368e-01 1.296e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.28 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33486091/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.87e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.41e-08', time_completed='2026-07-28 20:44:37.187685', job_id='33486091', GAL2='0.99', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.94', EG='0.94', time_epoch_completed='1785296677.19', return_code2='101', ts='0.28', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.98', dlogl='-1.39e-01', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.18' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 20:44:38 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 20160.9733069 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 2.193e+00 4.438e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 9.831e-01 7.554e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 9.360e-01 1.395e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.28 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40532796212e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00487434099661 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33486115/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 20160.5383805 delta logL = 0.434926425405 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 1 logL (Free Index) = 20160.3462376 delta logL = 0.627069339906 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .14599E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 9.6900 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .88670 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0067 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 20161.11 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 128 CALLS 900 TOTAL EDM= .24E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .37480 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .59977 .85723 -.10079E-08 .0000 3 Normalizat .93678 1.2536 -.37128E-05 -.13849E-04 4 Prefactor .98747 1.2668 -.32428E-05 .12266E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.599772 Normalizat = 0.936785 Prefactor = 0.987468 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 20161.11 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 909 TOTAL EDM= .24E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .37480 .42118E-03 -19523. WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .57470E-03 .89596 -.10079E-08 -.71448E+08 3 Normalizat .93678 1.2536 -.37128E-05 -14.756 4 Prefactor .98747 1.2668 -.32428E-05 -120.31 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.38738e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.35068e-07 2 0.877037 3 1.29641 4 1.30839 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 20161.1125125 delta logL = -0.139205629126 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.351e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 5.998e-01 8.770e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 9.875e-01 1.308e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 9.368e-01 1.296e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.28 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33486115/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.87e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.41e-08', time_completed='2026-07-28 20:44:57.739003', job_id='33486115', GAL2='0.99', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.94', EG='0.94', time_epoch_completed='1785296697.74', return_code2='101', ts='0.28', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.98', dlogl='-1.39e-01', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.18' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 20:44:58 PDT 2026 number of points = 17264 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938 RA = 346.922, Dec = 14.8644 tmin = 806284801, tmax = 806889601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='33486981', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-28 20:38:37.169957', time_epoch_executed='1785296317.17' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='938' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33486981 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33486981/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=806284801.0 && nMetStart<806889601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=806284801.0 && nMetStart<806889601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ft1_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=806284801.0 && nMetStart<806889601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ft1_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits ra=346.922 dec=14.8644 rad=12.0 tmin=806284801.0 tmax=806889601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 5.70 user 4.60 sys 0.24 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.58 user 0.20 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1833 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA"number of points = 17264 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938 RA = 346.922, Dec = 14.8644 tmin = 806284801, tmax = 806889601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='33486995', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-28 20:39:13.573868', time_epoch_executed='1785296353.57' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='938' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33486995 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33486995/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=806284801.0 && nMetStart<806889601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=806284801.0 && nMetStart<806889601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ft1_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=806284801.0 && nMetStart<806889601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ft1_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits ra=346.922 dec=14.8644 rad=12.0 tmin=806284801.0 tmax=806889601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 5.53 user 4.30 sys 0.26 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.27 user 0.20 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1833 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits .....................! real 17.70 user 16.27 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits .....................! real 61.17 user 56.49 sys 3.68 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 160 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2307.6+1451 @ 346.922 14.8644 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/cmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=346.922 yref=14.8644 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.17 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=346.922 yref=14.8644 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.31 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourc outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits .....................! real 16.63 user 15.31 sys 0.26 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits .....................! real 60.51 user 55.82 sys 3.48 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 160 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2307.6+1451 @ 346.922 14.8644 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/cmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=346.922 yref=14.8644 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.07 user 0.20 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=346.922 yref=14.8644 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.59 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits.....................! real 68.45 user 65.93 sys 1.05 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33486981/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2307.6+1451' 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.115e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33486981/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33486981/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33486981/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 20161.0161473 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 20160.9741934 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.7296 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 12.635 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.3274 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 4 'Prefactor ' 4.7862 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 5 'norm ' 1.3379 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .73621E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 12.100 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 1.1441 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 9 'Prefactor ' 12.195 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 2.1797 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 1.5781 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 7.0740 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 6.4535 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .19126E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 17.230 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .53866E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .41957E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .23299E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .20782E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Normalizat' .93493 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 21 'Prefactor ' .98319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 20160.97 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 101 CALLS 1262 TOTAL EDM= .55E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.7253 1.1953 .82596E-07 -.59534E-02 2 Prefactor 12.677 2.0485 .76629E-07 -.14101E-01 3 Prefactor 1.3271 .18003 -.57046E-07 -.15812E-03 4 Prefactor 4.7903 2.8764 -.89515E-06 -.37572E-03 5 norm 1.3381 .80553 -.15525E-07 .11832E-03 6 Prefactor .0000 4.2201 -.10340E-07** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 12.084 3.2805 .33367E-06 -.25867E-01 8 Prefactor 1.1438 .13467 .55370E-07 .73228E-04 9 Prefactor 11.615 16.151 -.59092E-07 .21926E-02 10 Prefactor 2.1930 4.4071 .42970E-06 -.68495E-03 11 Prefactor 1.4712 1.4505 .26041E-07 .17910E-03 12 Prefactor 7.0119 4.3241 -.69354E-07 -.67715E-03 13 Prefactor 6.4518 5.2356 .50703E-06 .78103E-02 14 Prefactor .0000 2.8850 -.22896E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 17.236 4.8946 -.39974E-06 -.16090E-01 16 Prefactor .43043E-01 2.8459 -.10963E-05** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .0000 6.9361 .42185E-06** at limit ** 18 norm .0000 1.4723 .21504E-07** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .0000 1.2780 .32920E-08** at limit ** 20 Normalizat .93598 .15595 -.18700E-05 -.14400E-05 21 Prefactor .98309 .87417E-01 .80457E-06 .16242E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.7253 Prefactor = 12.6771 Prefactor = 1.32709 Prefactor = 4.79025 norm = 1.33805 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 12.0836 Prefactor = 1.14383 Prefactor = 11.6149 Prefactor = 2.19302 Prefactor = 1.4712 Prefactor = 7.01185 Prefactor = 6.45175 Prefactor = 0 norm = 17.2363 Prefactor = 0.043043 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 0.935975 Prefactor = 0.98309 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 20160.97 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 373 CALLS 1635 TOTAL EDM= .96E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.7253 8.4276 .36044E-03 -1.5652 2 Prefactor 12.677 12.944 .28155E-03 -1.5637 3 Prefactor 1.3271 .18590 .47955E-02 -1.5478 4 Prefactor 4.7903 5.1607 .45975E-02 -1.5270 5 norm 1.3381 .80850 .94774E-03 -1.5685 6 Prefactor .0000 4.2218 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 12.084 7.9567 .28772E-03 -1.5638 8 Prefactor 1.1438 .13503 .37971E-02 -1.5494 9 Prefactor 11.615 16.238 .28660E-03 -1.5640 10 Prefactor 2.1930 4.4385 .69703E-03 -1.5678 11 Prefactor 1.4712 26.618 .84533E-03 -1.5684 12 Prefactor 7.0119 4.3429 .37693E-03 -1.5655 13 Prefactor 6.4518 5.7809 .39484E-03 -1.5657 14 Prefactor .0000 2.8882 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 17.236 6.7456 .24101E-03 -1.5625 16 Prefactor .43043E-01 1.3363 .94459E-02 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .0000 6.9461 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .0000 1.4726 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .0000 1.2779 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Normalizat .93598 .13950 .81631E-01 -.95207 21 Prefactor .98309 .75530E-01 .46057E-01 -.93295 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.60234e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.42762 2 12.9436 3 0.185903 4 5.16122 5 0.808496 6 6.48232e-06 7 7.95674 8 0.135031 9 16.2381 10 4.43848 11 12.5158 12 4.3429 13 5.78087 14 7.07908e-07 15 6.74564 16 0.479666 17 9.52053e-06 18 3.57355e-07 19 7.85457e-07 20 0.13955 21 0.075538 number of points = 17264 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938 RA = 346.922, Dec = 14.8644 tmin = 806284801, tmax = 806889601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='33487134', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-28 20:41:16.074527', time_epoch_executed='1785296476.07' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='938' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33487134 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33487134/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=806284801.0 && nMetStart<806889601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=806284801.0 && nMetStart<806889601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ft1_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=806284801.0 && nMetStart<806889601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ft1_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits ra=346.922 dec=14.8644 rad=12.0 tmin=806284801.0 tmax=806889601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 5.55 user 4.36 sys 0.25 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.23 user 0.19 sys 0.15 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1833 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA"e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits.....................! real 66.82 user 64.33 sys 0.99 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33486995/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2307.6+1451' 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.115e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33486995/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33486995/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33486995/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 20161.0161473 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 20160.9741934 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.7296 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 12.635 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.3274 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 4 'Prefactor ' 4.7862 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 5 'norm ' 1.3379 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .73621E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 12.100 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 1.1441 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 9 'Prefactor ' 12.195 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 2.1797 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 1.5781 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 7.0740 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 6.4535 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .19126E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 17.230 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .53866E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .41957E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .23299E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .20782E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Normalizat' .93493 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 21 'Prefactor ' .98319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 20160.97 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 101 CALLS 1262 TOTAL EDM= .55E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.7253 1.1953 .82596E-07 -.59534E-02 2 Prefactor 12.677 2.0485 .76629E-07 -.14101E-01 3 Prefactor 1.3271 .18003 -.57046E-07 -.15812E-03 4 Prefactor 4.7903 2.8764 -.89515E-06 -.37572E-03 5 norm 1.3381 .80553 -.15525E-07 .11832E-03 6 Prefactor .0000 4.2201 -.10340E-07** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 12.084 3.2805 .33367E-06 -.25867E-01 8 Prefactor 1.1438 .13467 .55370E-07 .73228E-04 9 Prefactor 11.615 16.151 -.59092E-07 .21926E-02 10 Prefactor 2.1930 4.4071 .42970E-06 -.68495E-03 11 Prefactor 1.4712 1.4505 .26041E-07 .17910E-03 12 Prefactor 7.0119 4.3241 -.69354E-07 -.67715E-03 13 Prefactor 6.4518 5.2356 .50703E-06 .78103E-02 14 Prefactor .0000 2.8850 -.22896E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 17.236 4.8946 -.39974E-06 -.16090E-01 16 Prefactor .43043E-01 2.8459 -.10963E-05** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .0000 6.9361 .42185E-06** at limit ** 18 norm .0000 1.4723 .21504E-07** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .0000 1.2780 .32920E-08** at limit ** 20 Normalizat .93598 .15595 -.18700E-05 -.14400E-05 21 Prefactor .98309 .87417E-01 .80457E-06 .16242E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.7253 Prefactor = 12.6771 Prefactor = 1.32709 Prefactor = 4.79025 norm = 1.33805 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 12.0836 Prefactor = 1.14383 Prefactor = 11.6149 Prefactor = 2.19302 Prefactor = 1.4712 Prefactor = 7.01185 Prefactor = 6.45175 Prefactor = 0 norm = 17.2363 Prefactor = 0.043043 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 0.935975 Prefactor = 0.98309 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 20160.97 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 373 CALLS 1635 TOTAL EDM= .96E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.7253 8.4276 .36044E-03 -1.5652 2 Prefactor 12.677 12.944 .28155E-03 -1.5637 3 Prefactor 1.3271 .18590 .47955E-02 -1.5478 4 Prefactor 4.7903 5.1607 .45975E-02 -1.5270 5 norm 1.3381 .80850 .94774E-03 -1.5685 6 Prefactor .0000 4.2218 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 12.084 7.9567 .28772E-03 -1.5638 8 Prefactor 1.1438 .13503 .37971E-02 -1.5494 9 Prefactor 11.615 16.238 .28660E-03 -1.5640 10 Prefactor 2.1930 4.4385 .69703E-03 -1.5678 11 Prefactor 1.4712 26.618 .84533E-03 -1.5684 12 Prefactor 7.0119 4.3429 .37693E-03 -1.5655 13 Prefactor 6.4518 5.7809 .39484E-03 -1.5657 14 Prefactor .0000 2.8882 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 17.236 6.7456 .24101E-03 -1.5625 16 Prefactor .43043E-01 1.3363 .94459E-02 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .0000 6.9461 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .0000 1.4726 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .0000 1.2779 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Normalizat .93598 .13950 .81631E-01 -.95207 21 Prefactor .98309 .75530E-01 .46057E-01 -.93295 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.60234e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.42762 2 12.9436 3 0.185903 4 5.16122 5 0.808496 6 6.48232e-06 7 7.95674 8 0.135031 9 16.2381 10 4.43848 11 12.5158 12 4.3429 13 5.78087 14 7.07908e-07 15 6.74564 16 0.479666 17 9.52053e-06 18 3.57355e-07 19 7.85457e-07 20 0.13955 21 0.075538 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 20160.9733069 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 2.193e+00 4.438e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 9.831e-01 7.554e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 9.360e-01 1.395e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.28 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40532796212e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00487434099661 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33486981/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 20160.5383805 delta logL = 0.434926425405 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 1 logL (Free Index) = 20160.3462376 delta logL = 0.627069339906 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .14599E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 9.6900 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .88670 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0067 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 20161.11 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 128 CALLS 900 TOTAL EDM= .24E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .37480 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .59977 .85723 -.10079E-08 .0000 3 Normalizat .93678 1.2536 -.37128E-05 -.13849E-04 4 Prefactor .98747 1.2668 -.32428E-05 .12266E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.599772 Normalizat = 0.936785 Prefactor = 0.987468 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 20161.11 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 909 TOTAL EDM= .24E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .37480 .42118E-03 -19523. WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .57470E-03 .89596 -.10079E-08 -.71448E+08 3 Normalizat .93678 1.2536 -.37128E-05 -14.756 4 Prefactor .98747 1.2668 -.32428E-05 -120.31 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.38738e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.35068e-07 2 0.877037 3 1.29641 4 1.30839 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 20161.1125125 delta logL = -0.139205629126 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.351e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 5.998e-01 8.770e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 9.875e-01 1.308e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 9.368e-01 1.296e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.28 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33486981/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.87e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.41e-08', time_completed='2026-07-28 20:52:43.345138', job_id='33486981', GAL2='0.99', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.94', EG='0.94', time_epoch_completed='1785297163.35', return_code2='101', ts='0.28', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.98', dlogl='-1.39e-01', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.18' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 20:52:43 PDT 2026 number of points = 17264 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938 RA = 346.922, Dec = 14.8644 tmin = 806284801, tmax = 806889601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='33487408', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-28 20:42:38.882051', time_epoch_executed='1785296558.88' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='938' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33487408 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33487408/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=806284801.0 && nMetStart<806889601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=806284801.0 && nMetStart<806889601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ft1_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=806284801.0 && nMetStart<806889601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ft1_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits ra=346.922 dec=14.8644 rad=12.0 tmin=806284801.0 tmax=806889601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 5.91 user 4.81 sys 0.23 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.24 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1833 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits .....................! real 16.58 user 15.22 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits .....................! real 60.39 user 55.91 sys 3.33 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 160 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2307.6+1451 @ 346.922 14.8644 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/cmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=346.922 yref=14.8644 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.05 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=346.922 yref=14.8644 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.10 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 20160.9733069 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 2.193e+00 4.438e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 9.831e-01 7.554e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 9.360e-01 1.395e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.28 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40532796212e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00487434099661 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33486995/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 20160.5383805 delta logL = 0.434926425405 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 1 logL (Free Index) = 20160.3462376 delta logL = 0.627069339906 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .14599E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 9.6900 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .88670 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0067 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 20161.11 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 128 CALLS 900 TOTAL EDM= .24E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .37480 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .59977 .85723 -.10079E-08 .0000 3 Normalizat .93678 1.2536 -.37128E-05 -.13849E-04 4 Prefactor .98747 1.2668 -.32428E-05 .12266E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.599772 Normalizat = 0.936785 Prefactor = 0.987468 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 20161.11 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 909 TOTAL EDM= .24E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .37480 .42118E-03 -19523. WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .57470E-03 .89596 -.10079E-08 -.71448E+08 3 Normalizat .93678 1.2536 -.37128E-05 -14.756 4 Prefactor .98747 1.2668 -.32428E-05 -120.31 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.38738e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.35068e-07 2 0.877037 3 1.29641 4 1.30839 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 20161.1125125 delta logL = -0.139205629126 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.351e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 5.998e-01 8.770e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 9.875e-01 1.308e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 9.368e-01 1.296e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.28 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33486995/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.87e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.41e-08', time_completed='2026-07-28 20:54:51.638949', job_id='33486995', GAL2='0.99', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.94', EG='0.94', time_epoch_completed='1785297291.64', return_code2='101', ts='0.28', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.98', dlogl='-1.39e-01', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.18' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 20:54:52 PDT 2026 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits .....................! real 18.08 user 16.81 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits .....................! real 64.66 user 59.55 sys 3.84 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 160 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2307.6+1451 @ 346.922 14.8644 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/cmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=346.922 yref=14.8644 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.18 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=346.922 yref=14.8644 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.12 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits.....................! real 71.32 user 69.15 sys 1.04 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33487134/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2307.6+1451' 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.115e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33487134/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33487134/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33487134/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 20161.0161473 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 20160.9741934 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.7296 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 12.635 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.3274 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 4 'Prefactor ' 4.7862 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 5 'norm ' 1.3379 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .73621E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 12.100 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 1.1441 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 9 'Prefactor ' 12.195 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 2.1797 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 1.5781 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 7.0740 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 6.4535 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .19126E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 17.230 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .53866E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .41957E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .23299E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .20782E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Normalizat' .93493 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 21 'Prefactor ' .98319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 20160.97 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 101 CALLS 1262 TOTAL EDM= .55E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.7253 1.1953 .82596E-07 -.59534E-02 2 Prefactor 12.677 2.0485 .76629E-07 -.14101E-01 3 Prefactor 1.3271 .18003 -.57046E-07 -.15812E-03 4 Prefactor 4.7903 2.8764 -.89515E-06 -.37572E-03 5 norm 1.3381 .80553 -.15525E-07 .11832E-03 6 Prefactor .0000 4.2201 -.10340E-07** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 12.084 3.2805 .33367E-06 -.25867E-01 8 Prefactor 1.1438 .13467 .55370E-07 .73228E-04 9 Prefactor 11.615 16.151 -.59092E-07 .21926E-02 10 Prefactor 2.1930 4.4071 .42970E-06 -.68495E-03 11 Prefactor 1.4712 1.4505 .26041E-07 .17910E-03 12 Prefactor 7.0119 4.3241 -.69354E-07 -.67715E-03 13 Prefactor 6.4518 5.2356 .50703E-06 .78103E-02 14 Prefactor .0000 2.8850 -.22896E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 17.236 4.8946 -.39974E-06 -.16090E-01 16 Prefactor .43043E-01 2.8459 -.10963E-05** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .0000 6.9361 .42185E-06** at limit ** 18 norm .0000 1.4723 .21504E-07** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .0000 1.2780 .32920E-08** at limit ** 20 Normalizat .93598 .15595 -.18700E-05 -.14400E-05 21 Prefactor .98309 .87417E-01 .80457E-06 .16242E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.7253 Prefactor = 12.6771 Prefactor = 1.32709 Prefactor = 4.79025 norm = 1.33805 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 12.0836 Prefactor = 1.14383 Prefactor = 11.6149 Prefactor = 2.19302 Prefactor = 1.4712 Prefactor = 7.01185 Prefactor = 6.45175 Prefactor = 0 norm = 17.2363 Prefactor = 0.043043 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 0.935975 Prefactor = 0.98309 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 20160.97 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 373 CALLS 1635 TOTAL EDM= .96E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.7253 8.4276 .36044E-03 -1.5652 2 Prefactor 12.677 12.944 .28155E-03 -1.5637 3 Prefactor 1.3271 .18590 .47955E-02 -1.5478 4 Prefactor 4.7903 5.1607 .45975E-02 -1.5270 5 norm 1.3381 .80850 .94774E-03 -1.5685 6 Prefactor .0000 4.2218 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 12.084 7.9567 .28772E-03 -1.5638 8 Prefactor 1.1438 .13503 .37971E-02 -1.5494 9 Prefactor 11.615 16.238 .28660E-03 -1.5640 10 Prefactor 2.1930 4.4385 .69703E-03 -1.5678 11 Prefactor 1.4712 26.618 .84533E-03 -1.5684 12 Prefactor 7.0119 4.3429 .37693E-03 -1.5655 13 Prefactor 6.4518 5.7809 .39484E-03 -1.5657 14 Prefactor .0000 2.8882 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 17.236 6.7456 .24101E-03 -1.5625 16 Prefactor .43043E-01 1.3363 .94459E-02 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .0000 6.9461 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .0000 1.4726 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .0000 1.2779 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Normalizat .93598 .13950 .81631E-01 -.95207 21 Prefactor .98309 .75530E-01 .46057E-01 -.93295 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.60234e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.42762 2 12.9436 3 0.185903 4 5.16122 5 0.808496 6 6.48232e-06 7 7.95674 8 0.135031 9 16.2381 10 4.43848 11 12.5158 12 4.3429 13 5.78087 14 7.07908e-07 15 6.74564 16 0.479666 17 9.52053e-06 18 3.57355e-07 19 7.85457e-07 20 0.13955 21 0.075538 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits.....................! real 74.73 user 72.22 sys 1.34 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33487408/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2307.6+1451' 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 1.115e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ft2_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33487408/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33487408/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33487408/Model_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 20161.0161473 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 20160.9741934 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.7296 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 12.635 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.3274 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 4 'Prefactor ' 4.7862 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 5 'norm ' 1.3379 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .73621E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 12.100 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 1.1441 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 9 'Prefactor ' 12.195 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 2.1797 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 1.5781 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 7.0740 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 6.4535 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .19126E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 17.230 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .53866E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .41957E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .23299E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .20782E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Normalizat' .93493 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 21 'Prefactor ' .98319 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 20160.97 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 101 CALLS 1262 TOTAL EDM= .55E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.7253 1.1953 .82596E-07 -.59534E-02 2 Prefactor 12.677 2.0485 .76629E-07 -.14101E-01 3 Prefactor 1.3271 .18003 -.57046E-07 -.15812E-03 4 Prefactor 4.7903 2.8764 -.89515E-06 -.37572E-03 5 norm 1.3381 .80553 -.15525E-07 .11832E-03 6 Prefactor .0000 4.2201 -.10340E-07** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 12.084 3.2805 .33367E-06 -.25867E-01 8 Prefactor 1.1438 .13467 .55370E-07 .73228E-04 9 Prefactor 11.615 16.151 -.59092E-07 .21926E-02 10 Prefactor 2.1930 4.4071 .42970E-06 -.68495E-03 11 Prefactor 1.4712 1.4505 .26041E-07 .17910E-03 12 Prefactor 7.0119 4.3241 -.69354E-07 -.67715E-03 13 Prefactor 6.4518 5.2356 .50703E-06 .78103E-02 14 Prefactor .0000 2.8850 -.22896E-06** at limit ** 15 norm 17.236 4.8946 -.39974E-06 -.16090E-01 16 Prefactor .43043E-01 2.8459 -.10963E-05** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .0000 6.9361 .42185E-06** at limit ** 18 norm .0000 1.4723 .21504E-07** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .0000 1.2780 .32920E-08** at limit ** 20 Normalizat .93598 .15595 -.18700E-05 -.14400E-05 21 Prefactor .98309 .87417E-01 .80457E-06 .16242E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.7253 Prefactor = 12.6771 Prefactor = 1.32709 Prefactor = 4.79025 norm = 1.33805 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 12.0836 Prefactor = 1.14383 Prefactor = 11.6149 Prefactor = 2.19302 Prefactor = 1.4712 Prefactor = 7.01185 Prefactor = 6.45175 Prefactor = 0 norm = 17.2363 Prefactor = 0.043043 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 0.935975 Prefactor = 0.98309 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 20160.97 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 373 CALLS 1635 TOTAL EDM= .96E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.7253 8.4276 .36044E-03 -1.5652 2 Prefactor 12.677 12.944 .28155E-03 -1.5637 3 Prefactor 1.3271 .18590 .47955E-02 -1.5478 4 Prefactor 4.7903 5.1607 .45975E-02 -1.5270 5 norm 1.3381 .80850 .94774E-03 -1.5685 6 Prefactor .0000 4.2218 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 12.084 7.9567 .28772E-03 -1.5638 8 Prefactor 1.1438 .13503 .37971E-02 -1.5494 9 Prefactor 11.615 16.238 .28660E-03 -1.5640 10 Prefactor 2.1930 4.4385 .69703E-03 -1.5678 11 Prefactor 1.4712 26.618 .84533E-03 -1.5684 12 Prefactor 7.0119 4.3429 .37693E-03 -1.5655 13 Prefactor 6.4518 5.7809 .39484E-03 -1.5657 14 Prefactor .0000 2.8882 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm 17.236 6.7456 .24101E-03 -1.5625 16 Prefactor .43043E-01 1.3363 .94459E-02 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .0000 6.9461 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm .0000 1.4726 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .0000 1.2779 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Normalizat .93598 .13950 .81631E-01 -.95207 21 Prefactor .98309 .75530E-01 .46057E-01 -.93295 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.60234e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 8.42762 2 12.9436 3 0.185903 4 5.16122 5 0.808496 6 6.48232e-06 7 7.95674 8 0.135031 9 16.2381 10 4.43848 11 12.5158 12 4.3429 13 5.78087 14 7.07908e-07 15 6.74564 16 0.479666 17 9.52053e-06 18 3.57355e-07 19 7.85457e-07 20 0.13955 21 0.075538 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 20160.9733069 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 2.193e+00 4.438e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 9.831e-01 7.554e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 9.360e-01 1.395e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.28 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40532796212e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00487434099661 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33487134/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 20160.5383805 delta logL = 0.434926425405 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 1 logL (Free Index) = 20160.3462376 delta logL = 0.627069339906 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .14599E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 9.6900 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .88670 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0067 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 20161.11 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 128 CALLS 900 TOTAL EDM= .24E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .37480 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .59977 .85723 -.10079E-08 .0000 3 Normalizat .93678 1.2536 -.37128E-05 -.13849E-04 4 Prefactor .98747 1.2668 -.32428E-05 .12266E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.599772 Normalizat = 0.936785 Prefactor = 0.987468 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 20161.11 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 909 TOTAL EDM= .24E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .37480 .42118E-03 -19523. WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .57470E-03 .89596 -.10079E-08 -.71448E+08 3 Normalizat .93678 1.2536 -.37128E-05 -14.756 4 Prefactor .98747 1.2668 -.32428E-05 -120.31 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.38738e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.35068e-07 2 0.877037 3 1.29641 4 1.30839 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 20161.1125125 delta logL = -0.139205629126 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.351e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 5.998e-01 8.770e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 9.875e-01 1.308e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 9.368e-01 1.296e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.28 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33487134/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.87e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.41e-08', time_completed='2026-07-28 20:58:53.361707', job_id='33487134', GAL2='0.99', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.94', EG='0.94', time_epoch_completed='1785297533.36', return_code2='101', ts='0.28', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.98', dlogl='-1.39e-01', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.18' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 20:58:53 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 20160.9733069 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 2.193e+00 4.438e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 2.184e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 9.831e-01 7.554e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 9.360e-01 1.395e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.28 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40532796212e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00487434099661 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33487408/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 20160.5383805 delta logL = 0.434926425405 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 1 logL (Free Index) = 20160.3462376 delta logL = 0.627069339906 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .14599E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 9.6900 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .88670 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0067 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5260E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 20161.11 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 128 CALLS 900 TOTAL EDM= .24E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .37480 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .59977 .85723 -.10079E-08 .0000 3 Normalizat .93678 1.2536 -.37128E-05 -.13849E-04 4 Prefactor .98747 1.2668 -.32428E-05 .12266E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.599772 Normalizat = 0.936785 Prefactor = 0.987468 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 20161.11 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 909 TOTAL EDM= .24E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .37480 .42118E-03 -19523. WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .57470E-03 .89596 -.10079E-08 -.71448E+08 3 Normalizat .93678 1.2536 -.37128E-05 -14.756 4 Prefactor .98747 1.2668 -.32428E-05 -120.31 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.38738e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.35068e-07 2 0.877037 3 1.29641 4 1.30839 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 20161.1125125 delta logL = -0.139205629126 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2307.6+1451 Spectrum: PowerLaw 343 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.351e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 344 Index: 5.998e-01 8.770e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 345 Scale: 1.928e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 523 Prefactor: 9.875e-01 1.308e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 524 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 525 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 522 Normalization: 9.368e-01 1.296e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.28 Ra Dec: 346.922 14.864 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33487408/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2307.6+1451_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.87e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.41e-08', time_completed='2026-07-28 21:01:02.215982', job_id='33487408', GAL2='0.99', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.94', EG='0.94', time_epoch_completed='1785297662.22', return_code2='101', ts='0.28', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.98', dlogl='-1.39e-01', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.18' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J2307.6+1451' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 21:01:02 PDT 2026