number of points = 7568 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213 RA = 343.01, Dec = 40.5232 tmin = 812937601, tmax = 813196801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='40386465', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-10-09 20:28:38.064888', time_epoch_executed='1791602918.06' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2252.0+4031' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2213' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40386465 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40386465/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=812937601.0 && nMetStart<813196801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=812937601.0 && nMetStart<813196801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ft1_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=812937601.0 && nMetStart<813196801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ft2_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ft1_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits ra=343.01 dec=40.5232 rad=12.0 tmin=812937601.0 tmax=813196801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.90 user 2.52 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ft2_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ft2_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.52 user 0.21 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 792 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ft2_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outf/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 7568 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213 RA = 343.01, Dec = 40.5232 tmin = 812937601, tmax = 813196801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='40386532', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-10-09 20:29:35.894100', time_epoch_executed='1791602975.89' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2252.0+4031' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2213' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40386532 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40386532/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=812937601.0 && nMetStart<813196801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=812937601.0 && nMetStart<813196801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ft1_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=812937601.0 && nMetStart<813196801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ft2_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ft1_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits ra=343.01 dec=40.5232 rad=12.0 tmin=812937601.0 tmax=813196801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.58 user 2.24 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ft2_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ft2_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.54 user 0.19 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 792 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ft2_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfel_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CTB 109 adding source EG_v02 adding source FHES J2304.0+5406 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40386362/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 42.68 user 41.13 sys 1.16 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40386362/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40386362/ft2_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40386362/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40386362/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40386362/Model_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2252.0+4031' 4FGL J2252.0+4031 Spectrum: PowerLaw 404 Prefactor: 2.093e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 405 Index: 2.052e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 406 Scale: 2.181e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40386362/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40386362/ft2_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40386362/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40386362/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40386362/Model_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8271.77715263 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8271.77579803 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.9840 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .95706E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.5298 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .52032E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .25019E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .11945 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .74335E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 5.6613 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .17556E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 13.656 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 16.417 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .10375E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 102.49 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' 1.0659 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' .90996 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5890E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8271.775 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 150 CALLS 1086 TOTAL EDM= .17E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.9861 .89017 .13710E-07 -.15462E-02 2 Prefactor .0000 25.405 .47849E-05** at limit ** 3 norm 1.5292 4.9426 -.43283E-06 .71956E-03 4 Prefactor .0000 6.1665 .89450E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .11657E-08 109.69 .89738E-05** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .27756E-09 57.936 -.36821E-06** at limit ** 7 norm .0000 .95417 .37458E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 5.7211 15.773 -.55441E-06 -.48023E-05 9 norm .0000 3.1747 -.36074E-06** at limit ** 10 norm 13.647 10.831 -.39077E-06 .54235E-04 11 Prefactor 16.368 29.569 .30270E-05 .12470E-04 12 norm .0000 2.7865 .99749E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 102.02 77.973 -.24646E-05 -.56208E-05 14 Normalizat 1.0650 .29009 -.88276E-05 -.13414E-04 15 Prefactor .91019 .84842E-01 .52816E-05 -.79524E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.98609 Prefactor = 0 norm = 1.52917 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.16573e-09 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 5.72111 norm = 0 norm = 13.6475 Prefactor = 16.3684 norm = 0 Prefactor = 102.024 Normalizat = 1.06497 Prefactor = 0.910191 ile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ft2_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 9.29 user 8.71 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ft2_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 73.36 user 68.49 sys 4.22 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source FHES J2304.0+5406 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source CTB 109 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Added 173 point sources and 2 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2252.0+4031 @ 343.01 40.5232 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ft2_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/cmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=343.01 yref=40.5232 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.49 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ft2_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=343.01 yref=40.5232 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.48 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ft2_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/Mod ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8271.775 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 220 CALLS 1306 TOTAL EDM= .15E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.9861 .89146 .58745E-03 -1.5673 2 Prefactor .0000 25.408 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm 1.5292 5.3992 .86266E-03 -1.5683 4 Prefactor .0000 6.1889 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .11657E-08 8.7122 .64240E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .27756E-09 56.567 .13434E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .0000 .94719 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 5.7211 15.679 .42195E-03 -1.5660 9 norm .0000 3.1880 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 13.647 10.831 .27079E-03 -1.5634 11 Prefactor 16.368 29.316 .24692E-03 -1.5627 12 norm .0000 2.7463 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 102.02 77.954 .98782E-04 -1.5506 14 Normalizat 1.0650 .26164 .99185E-01 -.90885 15 Prefactor .91019 .75879E-01 .32539E-01 -.95786 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.51662e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.89146 2 1.83743e-05 3 5.39917 4 1.5473e-05 5 0.000199813 6 0.000261753 7 5.62435e-07 8 15.6794 9 1.5599e-06 10 10.8315 11 29.3163 12 6.87483e-06 13 77.9544 14 0.261957 15 0.0758875 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8271.77451765 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2252.0+4031 Spectrum: PowerLaw 404 Prefactor: 1.166e-09 1.998e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 405 Index: 2.052e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 406 Scale: 2.181e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 586 Prefactor: 9.102e-01 7.589e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 587 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 588 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.065e+00 2.620e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 343.010 40.523 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.04259626471e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00785280721943 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40386362/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 8271.78604844 delta logL = -0.0115307911983 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 8270.27590859 delta logL = 1.49860905903 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .12386 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 4.1443 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .90859 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93273 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5890E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8270.276 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 56 CALLS 253 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .12212 .91602 .43709E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 4.1496 1.5323 .91337E-01 .36594E-03 3 Normalizat .90852 .64445E-01 .10625 .78055E-04 4 Prefactor .93276 .19620E-01 .32146E-01 .50941E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.122119 Index = 4.14963 Normalizat = 0.908519 Prefactor = 0.932757 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8270.276 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 35 CALLS 288 TOTAL EDM= .78E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .12212 2.3517 .19820E-04 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 4.1496 2.9907 .32731E-02 -.17090 3 Normalizat .90852 .23087 .47097E-03 -.96161 4 Prefactor .93276 .69007E-01 .14205E-03 -.95006 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 7.79814e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.07179 2 3.21377 3 0.231125 4 0.0690138 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 8270.27590193 delta logL = 1.49861571636 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2252.0+4031 Spectrum: PowerLaw 404 Prefactor: 1.221e-01 1.072e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 405 Index: 4.150e+00 3.214e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 406 Scale: 2.181e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 586 Prefactor: 9.328e-01 6.901e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 587 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 588 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 9.085e-01 2.311e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.28 Ra Dec: 343.010 40.523 Photon Index (Free Index): 4.15 +/- 3.21 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.40e-07 +/- 8.86e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.04e-05 +/- 1.45e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40386362/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.85e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.04e-05', dlogl='1.50e+00', photon_flux2='1.40e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-09 20:31:26.568667', photon_index_error2='3.21', photon_index2='4.15', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.91', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.04e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.45e-05', EG='1.06', time_epoch_completed='1791603086.57', return_code='0', job_id='40386362', GAL2='0.93', EG2='0.91', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='8.86e-08', ts2='3.28', photon_index='2.05' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J2252.0+4031' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 20:31:26 PDT 2026 ile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ft2_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 8.10 user 7.70 sys 0.20 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ft2_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 65.71 user 61.71 sys 3.55 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source FHES J2304.0+5406 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source CTB 109 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Added 173 point sources and 2 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2252.0+4031 @ 343.01 40.5232 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ft2_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/cmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=343.01 yref=40.5232 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.48 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ft2_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=343.01 yref=40.5232 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.50 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ft2_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/Model_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CTB 109 adding source EG_v02 adding source FHES J2304.0+5406 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 44.64 user 43.15 sys 0.98 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ft2_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40386465/Model_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2252.0+4031' 4FGL J2252.0+4031 Spectrum: PowerLaw 404 Prefactor: 2.093e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 405 Index: 2.052e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 406 Scale: 2.181e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ft2_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40386465/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40386465/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40386465/Model_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8271.77715263 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8271.77579803 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.9840 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .95706E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.5298 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .52032E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .25019E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .11945 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .74335E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 5.6613 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .17556E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 13.656 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 16.417 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .10375E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 102.49 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' 1.0659 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' .90996 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5890E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8271.775 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 150 CALLS 1086 TOTAL EDM= .17E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.9861 .89017 .13710E-07 -.15462E-02 2 Prefactor .0000 25.405 .47849E-05** at limit ** 3 norm 1.5292 4.9426 -.43283E-06 .71956E-03 4 Prefactor .0000 6.1665 .89450E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .11657E-08 109.69 .89738E-05** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .27756E-09 57.936 -.36821E-06** at limit ** 7 norm .0000 .95417 .37458E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 5.7211 15.773 -.55441E-06 -.48023E-05 9 norm .0000 3.1747 -.36074E-06** at limit ** 10 norm 13.647 10.831 -.39077E-06 .54235E-04 11 Prefactor 16.368 29.569 .30270E-05 .12470E-04 12 norm .0000 2.7865 .99749E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 102.02 77.973 -.24646E-05 -.56208E-05 14 Normalizat 1.0650 .29009 -.88276E-05 -.13414E-04 15 Prefactor .91019 .84842E-01 .52816E-05 -.79524E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.98609 Prefactor = 0 norm = 1.52917 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.16573e-09 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 5.72111 norm = 0 norm = 13.6475 Prefactor = 16.3684 norm = 0 Prefactor = 102.024 Normalizat = 1.06497 Prefactor = 0.910191 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8271.775 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 220 CALLS 1306 TOTAL EDM= .15E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.9861 .89146 .58745E-03 -1.5673 2 Prefactor .0000 25.408 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm 1.5292 5.3992 .86266E-03 -1.5683 4 Prefactor .0000 6.1889 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .11657E-08 8.7122 .64240E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .27756E-09 56.567 .13434E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .0000 .94719 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 5.7211 15.679 .42195E-03 -1.5660 9 norm .0000 3.1880 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 13.647 10.831 .27079E-03 -1.5634 11 Prefactor 16.368 29.316 .24692E-03 -1.5627 12 norm .0000 2.7463 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 102.02 77.954 .98782E-04 -1.5506 14 Normalizat 1.0650 .26164 .99185E-01 -.90885 15 Prefactor .91019 .75879E-01 .32539E-01 -.95786 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.51662e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.89146 2 1.83743e-05 3 5.39917 4 1.5473e-05 5 0.000199813 6 0.000261753 7 5.62435e-07 8 15.6794 9 1.5599e-06 10 10.8315 11 29.3163 12 6.87483e-06 13 77.9544 14 0.261957 15 0.0758875 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8271.77451765 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2252.0+4031 Spectrum: PowerLaw 404 Prefactor: 1.166e-09 1.998e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 405 Index: 2.052e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 406 Scale: 2.181e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 586 Prefactor: 9.102e-01 7.589e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 587 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 588 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.065e+00 2.620e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 343.010 40.523 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.04259626471e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00785280721943 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40386465/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 8271.78604844 delta logL = -0.0115307911983 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 8270.27590859 delta logL = 1.49860905903 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .12386 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 4.1443 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .90859 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93273 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5890E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8270.276 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 56 CALLS 253 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .12212 .91602 .43709E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 4.1496 1.5323 .91337E-01 .36594E-03 3 Normalizat .90852 .64445E-01 .10625 .78055E-04 4 Prefactor .93276 .19620E-01 .32146E-01 .50941E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.122119 Index = 4.14963 Normalizat = 0.908519 Prefactor = 0.932757 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8270.276 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 35 CALLS 288 TOTAL EDM= .78E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .12212 2.3517 .19820E-04 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 4.1496 2.9907 .32731E-02 -.17090 3 Normalizat .90852 .23087 .47097E-03 -.96161 4 Prefactor .93276 .69007E-01 .14205E-03 -.95006 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 7.79814e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.07179 2 3.21377 3 0.231125 4 0.0690138 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 8270.27590193 delta logL = 1.49861571636 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2252.0+4031 Spectrum: PowerLaw 404 Prefactor: 1.221e-01 1.072e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 405 Index: 4.150e+00 3.214e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 406 Scale: 2.181e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 586 Prefactor: 9.328e-01 6.901e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 587 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 588 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 9.085e-01 2.311e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.28 Ra Dec: 343.010 40.523 Photon Index (Free Index): 4.15 +/- 3.21 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.40e-07 +/- 8.86e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.04e-05 +/- 1.45e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40386465/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.85e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.04e-05', dlogl='1.50e+00', photon_flux2='1.40e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-09 20:33:31.944054', photon_index_error2='3.21', photon_index2='4.15', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.91', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.04e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.45e-05', EG='1.06', time_epoch_completed='1791603211.94', return_code='0', job_id='40386465', GAL2='0.93', EG2='0.91', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='8.86e-08', ts2='3.28', photon_index='2.05' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J2252.0+4031' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 20:33:32 PDT 2026 el_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CTB 109 adding source EG_v02 adding source FHES J2304.0+5406 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 39.66 user 38.36 sys 0.89 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ft2_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40386532/Model_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2252.0+4031' 4FGL J2252.0+4031 Spectrum: PowerLaw 404 Prefactor: 2.093e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 405 Index: 2.052e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 406 Scale: 2.181e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ft2_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40386532/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40386532/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40386532/Model_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8271.77715263 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8271.77579803 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.9840 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .95706E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.5298 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .52032E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .25019E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .11945 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .74335E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 5.6613 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .17556E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 13.656 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 16.417 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .10375E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 102.49 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' 1.0659 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' .90996 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5890E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8271.775 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 150 CALLS 1086 TOTAL EDM= .17E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.9861 .89017 .13710E-07 -.15462E-02 2 Prefactor .0000 25.405 .47849E-05** at limit ** 3 norm 1.5292 4.9426 -.43283E-06 .71956E-03 4 Prefactor .0000 6.1665 .89450E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .11657E-08 109.69 .89738E-05** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .27756E-09 57.936 -.36821E-06** at limit ** 7 norm .0000 .95417 .37458E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 5.7211 15.773 -.55441E-06 -.48023E-05 9 norm .0000 3.1747 -.36074E-06** at limit ** 10 norm 13.647 10.831 -.39077E-06 .54235E-04 11 Prefactor 16.368 29.569 .30270E-05 .12470E-04 12 norm .0000 2.7865 .99749E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 102.02 77.973 -.24646E-05 -.56208E-05 14 Normalizat 1.0650 .29009 -.88276E-05 -.13414E-04 15 Prefactor .91019 .84842E-01 .52816E-05 -.79524E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.98609 Prefactor = 0 norm = 1.52917 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.16573e-09 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 5.72111 norm = 0 norm = 13.6475 Prefactor = 16.3684 norm = 0 Prefactor = 102.024 Normalizat = 1.06497 Prefactor = 0.910191 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8271.775 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 220 CALLS 1306 TOTAL EDM= .15E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.9861 .89146 .58745E-03 -1.5673 2 Prefactor .0000 25.408 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm 1.5292 5.3992 .86266E-03 -1.5683 4 Prefactor .0000 6.1889 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .11657E-08 8.7122 .64240E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .27756E-09 56.567 .13434E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .0000 .94719 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 5.7211 15.679 .42195E-03 -1.5660 9 norm .0000 3.1880 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 13.647 10.831 .27079E-03 -1.5634 11 Prefactor 16.368 29.316 .24692E-03 -1.5627 12 norm .0000 2.7463 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 102.02 77.954 .98782E-04 -1.5506 14 Normalizat 1.0650 .26164 .99185E-01 -.90885 15 Prefactor .91019 .75879E-01 .32539E-01 -.95786 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.51662e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.89146 2 1.83743e-05 3 5.39917 4 1.5473e-05 5 0.000199813 6 0.000261753 7 5.62435e-07 8 15.6794 9 1.5599e-06 10 10.8315 11 29.3163 12 6.87483e-06 13 77.9544 14 0.261957 15 0.0758875 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8271.77451765 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2252.0+4031 Spectrum: PowerLaw 404 Prefactor: 1.166e-09 1.998e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 405 Index: 2.052e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 406 Scale: 2.181e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 586 Prefactor: 9.102e-01 7.589e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 587 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 588 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 1.065e+00 2.620e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 343.010 40.523 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.04259626471e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00785280721943 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40386532/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 8271.78604844 delta logL = -0.0115307911983 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 8270.27590859 delta logL = 1.49860905903 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .12386 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 4.1443 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .90859 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93273 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5890E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8270.276 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 56 CALLS 253 TOTAL EDM= .12E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .12212 .91602 .43709E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 4.1496 1.5323 .91337E-01 .36594E-03 3 Normalizat .90852 .64445E-01 .10625 .78055E-04 4 Prefactor .93276 .19620E-01 .32146E-01 .50941E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.122119 Index = 4.14963 Normalizat = 0.908519 Prefactor = 0.932757 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8270.276 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 35 CALLS 288 TOTAL EDM= .78E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .12212 2.3517 .19820E-04 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 4.1496 2.9907 .32731E-02 -.17090 3 Normalizat .90852 .23087 .47097E-03 -.96161 4 Prefactor .93276 .69007E-01 .14205E-03 -.95006 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 7.79814e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.07179 2 3.21377 3 0.231125 4 0.0690138 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 8270.27590193 delta logL = 1.49861571636 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2252.0+4031 Spectrum: PowerLaw 404 Prefactor: 1.221e-01 1.072e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 405 Index: 4.150e+00 3.214e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 406 Scale: 2.181e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 586 Prefactor: 9.328e-01 6.901e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 587 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 588 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 581 Normalization: 9.085e-01 2.311e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 3.28 Ra Dec: 343.010 40.523 Photon Index (Free Index): 4.15 +/- 3.21 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.40e-07 +/- 8.86e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.04e-05 +/- 1.45e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40386532/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2252.0+4031_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.85e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='2.04e-05', dlogl='1.50e+00', photon_flux2='1.40e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-09 20:34:10.405783', photon_index_error2='3.21', photon_index2='4.15', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.91', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.04e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.45e-05', EG='1.06', time_epoch_completed='1791603250.41', return_code='0', job_id='40386532', GAL2='0.93', EG2='0.91', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='8.86e-08', ts2='3.28', photon_index='2.05' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J2252.0+4031' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 20:34:10 PDT 2026