source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40073606/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits.....................! real 38.63 user 37.19 sys 0.84 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40073606/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40073606/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40073606/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40073606/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40073606/Model_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2251.5-4928' 4FGL J2251.5-4928 Spectrum: PowerLaw 403 Prefactor: 7.449e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 404 Index: 1.851e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 405 Scale: 2.716e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40073606/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40073606/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40073606/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40073606/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40073606/Model_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14670.9716837 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14670.8326186 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 33.392 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 7.4999 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.2281 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .15116E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .56780E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .61839E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .18244E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 9.2320 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .91105E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 8.0793 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .87038E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .50642E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .34264E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .71179 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .24090E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 1.2736 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 5.6267 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 18.319 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .40198 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .25586E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' .48306E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .36737E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 1.0632 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 1.4637 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .60052E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' .32061E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .37717E-04 1.0000 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14670.83 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 642 CALLS 2862 TOTAL EDM= .39E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 33.008 19.145 .17308E-03 -1.5593 2 Prefactor 7.5163 4.8953 .36597E-03 -1.5653 3 Prefactor 1.2269 2.0182 .10151E-02 -1.5686 4 Prefactor .60268E-06 42.089 .17382E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm .0000 1.1137 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 .52995 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .65614E-07 6.7638 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 9.2285 3.9860 .32960E-03 -1.5647 9 Prefactor .68834E-08 3.0936 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 8.3364 14.850 .35249E-03 -1.5650 11 Prefactor .0000 1.4384 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .73830E-08 8.1745 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .41078E-08 8.7995 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .68315 20.145 .59756E-03 -1.5691 15 norm .0000 .87409 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 1.2692 2.7930 .98480E-03 -1.5685 17 Prefactor 5.6350 3.4942 .42326E-03 -1.5660 18 Prefactor 18.414 26.305 .23373E-03 -1.5622 19 norm .39988 7.5012 .89257E-03 -1.5695 20 Prefactor .22371E-07 6.3720 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm .0000 .28025 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm .41633E-08 3.0177 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 1.0665 9.3732 .11849E-02 -1.5687 24 Prefactor 1.4660 1.5202 .88866E-03 -1.5684 25 Prefactor .23537E-07 21.968 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm .14044E-07 3.1728 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Prefactor .10436E-07 3.1178 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .0000 1.6252 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.0034 .10942 .46215E-01 -.92917 30 Prefactor .96138 .10460 .45779E-01 -.94028 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.88534e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 19.1445 2 4.89533 3 2.01817 4 0.0100732 5 1.90962e-06 6 1.41363e-06 7 0.00133224 8 3.98599 9 0.000292236 10 14.8501 11 9.84128e-06 12 0.000492233 13 0.000379946 14 7.41949 15 1.24743e-06 16 2.79305 17 3.49417 18 26.3054 19 3.46389 20 0.000754673 21 4.17575e-07 22 0.00022432 23 6.32349 24 1.52022 25 0.0014383 26 0.000422323 27 0.000360923 28 7.56824e-06 29 0.109441 30 0.104623 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .41329E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'Normalizat' 1.0038 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 30 'Prefactor ' .96108 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5920E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 14670.83 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 168 CALLS 2220 TOTAL EDM= .73E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 33.008 8.0412 .17408E-06 -.94879E-01 2 Prefactor 7.5163 4.7753 -.12894E-07 .38961E-02 3 Prefactor 1.2269 1.9895 .41264E-07 -.34748E-03 4 Prefactor .60268E-06 10.022 -.71747E-06** at limit ** 5 norm .0000 1.1131 .13408E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .0000 .53214 -.43267E-07** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .65614E-07 4.5412 -.18836E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 9.2285 3.8817 -.10875E-06 -.54361E-02 9 Prefactor .68834E-08 1.2947 .35635E-07** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 8.3364 1.3338 .35827E-07 -.15068E-02 11 Prefactor .0000 1.4400 -.48511E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .73830E-08 4.5165 -.53059E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .41078E-08 5.7713 -.11184E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .68315 .97715 .10436E-06 -.25165E-02 15 norm .0000 .87437 .63019E-07** at limit ** 16 norm 1.2692 2.5148 .24781E-06 .20312E-03 17 Prefactor 5.6350 3.4801 .37842E-07 -.11544E-02 18 Prefactor 18.414 2.5226 -.81818E-07 .24175E-01 19 norm .39988 3.2752 -.41749E-06 -.22481E-02 20 Prefactor .22371E-07 5.3643 .45309E-06** at limit ** 21 norm .0000 .28807 -.77043E-07** at limit ** 22 norm .41633E-08 2.3207 -.17118E-06** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 1.0665 7.6211 -.10256E-05 -.19336E-01 24 Prefactor 1.4660 1.5110 -.28413E-07 .26393E-03 25 Prefactor .23537E-07 21.926 -.96843E-07** at limit ** 26 norm .14044E-07 1.8836 .25046E-07** at limit ** 27 Prefactor .10436E-07 1.0715 -.50397E-07** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .0000 1.6299 .78661E-08** at limit ** 29 Normalizat 1.0034 .12775 .14611E-05 -.26859E-04 30 Prefactor .96138 .12403 -.61823E-06 -.16914E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 33.008 Prefactor = 7.5163 Prefactor = 1.22685 Prefactor = 6.02685e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 6.56142e-08 Prefactor = 9.2285 Prefactor = 6.88338e-09 Prefactor = 8.3364 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 7.38298e-09 Prefactor = 4.10783e-09 norm = 0.683151 norm = 0 norm = 1.26917 Prefactor = 5.63495 Prefactor = 18.4144 norm = 0.399885 Prefactor = 2.2371e-08 norm = 0 norm = 4.16334e-09 Prefactor = 1.06651 Prefactor = 1.46605 Prefactor = 2.35367e-08 norm = 1.40443e-08 Prefactor = 1.04361e-08 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.00339 Prefactor = 0.961376 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14670.83 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 642 CALLS 2862 TOTAL EDM= .39E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 33.008 19.145 .17308E-03 -1.5593 2 Prefactor 7.5163 4.8953 .36597E-03 -1.5653 3 Prefactor 1.2269 2.0182 .10151E-02 -1.5686 4 Prefactor .60268E-06 42.089 .17382E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm .0000 1.1137 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 .52995 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .65614E-07 6.7638 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 9.2285 3.9860 .32960E-03 -1.5647 9 Prefactor .68834E-08 3.0936 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 8.3364 14.850 .35249E-03 -1.5650 11 Prefactor .0000 1.4384 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .73830E-08 8.1745 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .41078E-08 8.7995 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .68315 20.145 .59756E-03 -1.5691 15 norm .0000 .87409 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 1.2692 2.7930 .98480E-03 -1.5685 17 Prefactor 5.6350 3.4942 .42326E-03 -1.5660 18 Prefactor 18.414 26.305 .23373E-03 -1.5622 19 norm .39988 7.5012 .89257E-03 -1.5695 20 Prefactor .22371E-07 6.3720 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm .0000 .28025 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm .41633E-08 3.0177 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 1.0665 9.3732 .11849E-02 -1.5687 24 Prefactor 1.4660 1.5202 .88866E-03 -1.5684 25 Prefactor .23537E-07 21.968 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm .14044E-07 3.1728 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Prefactor .10436E-07 3.1178 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .0000 1.6252 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.0034 .10942 .46215E-01 -.92917 30 Prefactor .96138 .10460 .45779E-01 -.94028 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.88534e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 19.1445 2 4.89533 3 2.01817 4 0.0100732 5 1.90962e-06 6 1.41363e-06 7 0.00133224 8 3.98599 9 0.000292236 10 14.8501 11 9.84128e-06 12 0.000492233 13 0.000379946 14 7.41949 15 1.24743e-06 16 2.79305 17 3.49417 18 26.3054 19 3.46389 20 0.000754673 21 4.17575e-07 22 0.00022432 23 6.32349 24 1.52022 25 0.0014383 26 0.000422323 27 0.000360923 28 7.56824e-06 29 0.109441 30 0.104623 number of points = 17454 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948 RA = 342.879, Dec = -49.4691 tmin = 812332801, tmax = 812937601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='40074067', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-10-06 19:30:28.137062', time_epoch_executed='1791340228.14' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2251.5-4928' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='948' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40074067 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40074067/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=812332801.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=812332801.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ft1_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=812332801.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ft1_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits ra=342.879 dec=-49.4691 rad=12.0 tmin=812332801.0 tmax=812937601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 5.71 user 5.16 sys 0.26 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.60 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1365 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14670.8318782 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2251.5-4928 Spectrum: PowerLaw 403 Prefactor: 7.383e-09 4.922e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 404 Index: 1.851e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 405 Scale: 2.716e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 589 Prefactor: 9.614e-01 1.046e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 590 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 591 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 588 Normalization: 1.003e+00 1.094e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 342.879 -49.469 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.91777887218e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00141979936053 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40073570/likelihoodResults_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14670.8906517 delta logL = -0.0587735082536 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14670.2603812 delta logL = 0.571496982677 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .31447 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.7711 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .96573 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98245 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5920E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 14670.26 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 59 CALLS 244 TOTAL EDM= .84E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .31500 3.4166 .10015E-02 .47680E-01 2 Index 3.7710 1.5643 .96575E-01 .45150E-03 3 Normalizat .96581 .18867E-01 .45736E-01 .24448E-04 4 Prefactor .98241 .18741E-01 .46047E-01 .20933E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.314996 Index = 3.77098 Normalizat = 0.965813 Prefactor = 0.982414 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14670.26 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 277 TOTAL EDM= .46E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .31500 14.451 .63586E-05 -1.5697 2 Index 3.7710 3.9521 .56524E-02 -.24835 3 Normalizat .96581 .99582E-01 .23362E-03 -.94185 4 Prefactor .98241 .96796E-01 .22927E-03 -.93318 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 4.62578e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.26704 2 4.62121 3 0.0996009 4 0.0968131 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14670.2603793 delta logL = 0.571498883617 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2251.5-4928 Spectrum: PowerLaw 403 Prefactor: 3.150e-01 4.267e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 404 Index: 3.771e+00 4.621e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 405 Scale: 2.716e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 589 Prefactor: 9.824e-01 9.681e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 590 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 591 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 588 Normalization: 9.658e-01 9.960e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.22 Ra Dec: 342.879 -49.469 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.77 +/- 4.62 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.91e-08 +/- 2.76e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.55e-06 +/- 5.83e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40073570/cmap_HighResolution_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.42e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='4.55e-06', dlogl='5.71e-01', photon_flux2='2.91e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-06 19:33:58.145327', photon_index_error2='4.62', photon_index2='3.77', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.96', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.92e-08', energy_flux_error2='5.83e-06', EG='1.00', time_epoch_completed='1791340438.15', return_code='0', job_id='40073570', GAL2='0.98', EG2='0.97', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='2.76e-08', ts2='1.22', photon_index='1.85' WHERE bin_id='948' AND source_name='4FGL J2251.5-4928' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Oct 6 19:33:58 PDT 2026 source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40073821/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits.....................! real 37.51 user 35.78 sys 1.24 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40073821/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40073821/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40073821/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40073821/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40073821/Model_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2251.5-4928' 4FGL J2251.5-4928 Spectrum: PowerLaw 403 Prefactor: 7.449e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 404 Index: 1.851e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 405 Scale: 2.716e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40073821/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40073821/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40073821/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40073821/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40073821/Model_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14670.9716837 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14670.8326186 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 33.392 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 7.4999 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.2281 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .15116E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .56780E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .61839E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .18244E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 9.2320 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .91105E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 8.0793 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .87038E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .50642E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .34264E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .71179 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .24090E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 1.2736 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 5.6267 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 18.319 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .40198 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .25586E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' .48306E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .36737E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 1.0632 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 1.4637 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .60052E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' .32061E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .37717E-04 1.0000 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14670.8318782 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2251.5-4928 Spectrum: PowerLaw 403 Prefactor: 7.383e-09 4.922e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 404 Index: 1.851e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 405 Scale: 2.716e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 589 Prefactor: 9.614e-01 1.046e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 590 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 591 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 588 Normalization: 1.003e+00 1.094e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 342.879 -49.469 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.91777887218e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00141979936053 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40073606/likelihoodResults_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14670.8906517 delta logL = -0.0587735082536 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14670.2603812 delta logL = 0.571496982677 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .31447 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.7711 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .96573 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98245 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5920E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 14670.26 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 59 CALLS 244 TOTAL EDM= .84E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .31500 3.4166 .10015E-02 .47680E-01 2 Index 3.7710 1.5643 .96575E-01 .45150E-03 3 Normalizat .96581 .18867E-01 .45736E-01 .24448E-04 4 Prefactor .98241 .18741E-01 .46047E-01 .20933E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.314996 Index = 3.77098 Normalizat = 0.965813 Prefactor = 0.982414 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14670.26 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 277 TOTAL EDM= .46E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .31500 14.451 .63586E-05 -1.5697 2 Index 3.7710 3.9521 .56524E-02 -.24835 3 Normalizat .96581 .99582E-01 .23362E-03 -.94185 4 Prefactor .98241 .96796E-01 .22927E-03 -.93318 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 4.62578e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.26704 2 4.62121 3 0.0996009 4 0.0968131 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14670.2603793 delta logL = 0.571498883617 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2251.5-4928 Spectrum: PowerLaw 403 Prefactor: 3.150e-01 4.267e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 404 Index: 3.771e+00 4.621e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 405 Scale: 2.716e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 589 Prefactor: 9.824e-01 9.681e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 590 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 591 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 588 Normalization: 9.658e-01 9.960e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.22 Ra Dec: 342.879 -49.469 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.77 +/- 4.62 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.91e-08 +/- 2.76e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.55e-06 +/- 5.83e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40073606/cmap_HighResolution_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.42e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='4.55e-06', dlogl='5.71e-01', photon_flux2='2.91e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-06 19:35:16.089618', photon_index_error2='4.62', photon_index2='3.77', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.96', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.92e-08', energy_flux_error2='5.83e-06', EG='1.00', time_epoch_completed='1791340516.09', return_code='0', job_id='40073606', GAL2='0.98', EG2='0.97', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='2.76e-08', ts2='1.22', photon_index='1.85' WHERE bin_id='948' AND source_name='4FGL J2251.5-4928' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Oct 6 19:35:16 PDT 2026 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .41329E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'Normalizat' 1.0038 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 30 'Prefactor ' .96108 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5920E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 14670.83 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 168 CALLS 2220 TOTAL EDM= .73E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 33.008 8.0412 .17408E-06 -.94879E-01 2 Prefactor 7.5163 4.7753 -.12894E-07 .38961E-02 3 Prefactor 1.2269 1.9895 .41264E-07 -.34748E-03 4 Prefactor .60268E-06 10.022 -.71747E-06** at limit ** 5 norm .0000 1.1131 .13408E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .0000 .53214 -.43267E-07** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .65614E-07 4.5412 -.18836E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 9.2285 3.8817 -.10875E-06 -.54361E-02 9 Prefactor .68834E-08 1.2947 .35635E-07** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 8.3364 1.3338 .35827E-07 -.15068E-02 11 Prefactor .0000 1.4400 -.48511E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .73830E-08 4.5165 -.53059E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .41078E-08 5.7713 -.11184E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .68315 .97715 .10436E-06 -.25165E-02 15 norm .0000 .87437 .63019E-07** at limit ** 16 norm 1.2692 2.5148 .24781E-06 .20312E-03 17 Prefactor 5.6350 3.4801 .37842E-07 -.11544E-02 18 Prefactor 18.414 2.5226 -.81818E-07 .24175E-01 19 norm .39988 3.2752 -.41749E-06 -.22481E-02 20 Prefactor .22371E-07 5.3643 .45309E-06** at limit ** 21 norm .0000 .28807 -.77043E-07** at limit ** 22 norm .41633E-08 2.3207 -.17118E-06** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 1.0665 7.6211 -.10256E-05 -.19336E-01 24 Prefactor 1.4660 1.5110 -.28413E-07 .26393E-03 25 Prefactor .23537E-07 21.926 -.96843E-07** at limit ** 26 norm .14044E-07 1.8836 .25046E-07** at limit ** 27 Prefactor .10436E-07 1.0715 -.50397E-07** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .0000 1.6299 .78661E-08** at limit ** 29 Normalizat 1.0034 .12775 .14611E-05 -.26859E-04 30 Prefactor .96138 .12403 -.61823E-06 -.16914E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 33.008 Prefactor = 7.5163 Prefactor = 1.22685 Prefactor = 6.02685e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 6.56142e-08 Prefactor = 9.2285 Prefactor = 6.88338e-09 Prefactor = 8.3364 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 7.38298e-09 Prefactor = 4.10783e-09 norm = 0.683151 norm = 0 norm = 1.26917 Prefactor = 5.63495 Prefactor = 18.4144 norm = 0.399885 Prefactor = 2.2371e-08 norm = 0 norm = 4.16334e-09 Prefactor = 1.06651 Prefactor = 1.46605 Prefactor = 2.35367e-08 norm = 1.40443e-08 Prefactor = 1.04361e-08 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.00339 Prefactor = 0.961376 number of points = 17454 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948 RA = 342.879, Dec = -49.4691 tmin = 812332801, tmax = 812937601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='40074177', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-10-06 19:32:28.544294', time_epoch_executed='1791340348.54' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2251.5-4928' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='948' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40074177 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40074177/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=812332801.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=812332801.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ft1_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=812332801.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ft1_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits ra=342.879 dec=-49.4691 rad=12.0 tmin=812332801.0 tmax=812937601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 5.80 user 5.23 sys 0.23 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.66 user 0.21 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1365 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits .....................! real 18.66 user 18.02 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits .....................! real 70.60 user 65.80 sys 4.19 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 183 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2251.5-4928 @ 342.879 -49.4691 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/cmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=342.879 yref=-49.4691 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.72 user 0.23 sys 0.15 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/cmap_HighResolution_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=342.879 yref=-49.4691 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.69 user 0.26 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/Model_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14670.83 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 642 CALLS 2862 TOTAL EDM= .39E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 33.008 19.145 .17308E-03 -1.5593 2 Prefactor 7.5163 4.8953 .36597E-03 -1.5653 3 Prefactor 1.2269 2.0182 .10151E-02 -1.5686 4 Prefactor .60268E-06 42.089 .17382E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm .0000 1.1137 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 .52995 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .65614E-07 6.7638 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 9.2285 3.9860 .32960E-03 -1.5647 9 Prefactor .68834E-08 3.0936 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 8.3364 14.850 .35249E-03 -1.5650 11 Prefactor .0000 1.4384 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .73830E-08 8.1745 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .41078E-08 8.7995 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .68315 20.145 .59756E-03 -1.5691 15 norm .0000 .87409 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 1.2692 2.7930 .98480E-03 -1.5685 17 Prefactor 5.6350 3.4942 .42326E-03 -1.5660 18 Prefactor 18.414 26.305 .23373E-03 -1.5622 19 norm .39988 7.5012 .89257E-03 -1.5695 20 Prefactor .22371E-07 6.3720 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm .0000 .28025 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm .41633E-08 3.0177 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 1.0665 9.3732 .11849E-02 -1.5687 24 Prefactor 1.4660 1.5202 .88866E-03 -1.5684 25 Prefactor .23537E-07 21.968 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm .14044E-07 3.1728 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Prefactor .10436E-07 3.1178 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .0000 1.6252 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.0034 .10942 .46215E-01 -.92917 30 Prefactor .96138 .10460 .45779E-01 -.94028 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.88534e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 19.1445 2 4.89533 3 2.01817 4 0.0100732 5 1.90962e-06 6 1.41363e-06 7 0.00133224 8 3.98599 9 0.000292236 10 14.8501 11 9.84128e-06 12 0.000492233 13 0.000379946 14 7.41949 15 1.24743e-06 16 2.79305 17 3.49417 18 26.3054 19 3.46389 20 0.000754673 21 4.17575e-07 22 0.00022432 23 6.32349 24 1.52022 25 0.0014383 26 0.000422323 27 0.000360923 28 7.56824e-06 29 0.109441 30 0.104623 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14670.8318782 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2251.5-4928 Spectrum: PowerLaw 403 Prefactor: 7.383e-09 4.922e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 404 Index: 1.851e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 405 Scale: 2.716e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 589 Prefactor: 9.614e-01 1.046e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 590 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 591 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 588 Normalization: 1.003e+00 1.094e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 342.879 -49.469 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.91777887218e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00141979936053 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40073821/likelihoodResults_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14670.8906517 delta logL = -0.0587735082536 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14670.2603812 delta logL = 0.571496982677 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .31447 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.7711 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .96573 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98245 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5920E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 14670.26 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 59 CALLS 244 TOTAL EDM= .84E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .31500 3.4166 .10015E-02 .47680E-01 2 Index 3.7710 1.5643 .96575E-01 .45150E-03 3 Normalizat .96581 .18867E-01 .45736E-01 .24448E-04 4 Prefactor .98241 .18741E-01 .46047E-01 .20933E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.314996 Index = 3.77098 Normalizat = 0.965813 Prefactor = 0.982414 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14670.26 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 277 TOTAL EDM= .46E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .31500 14.451 .63586E-05 -1.5697 2 Index 3.7710 3.9521 .56524E-02 -.24835 3 Normalizat .96581 .99582E-01 .23362E-03 -.94185 4 Prefactor .98241 .96796E-01 .22927E-03 -.93318 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 4.62578e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.26704 2 4.62121 3 0.0996009 4 0.0968131 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14670.2603793 delta logL = 0.571498883617 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2251.5-4928 Spectrum: PowerLaw 403 Prefactor: 3.150e-01 4.267e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 404 Index: 3.771e+00 4.621e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 405 Scale: 2.716e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 589 Prefactor: 9.824e-01 9.681e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 590 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 591 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 588 Normalization: 9.658e-01 9.960e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.22 Ra Dec: 342.879 -49.469 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.77 +/- 4.62 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.91e-08 +/- 2.76e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.55e-06 +/- 5.83e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40073821/cmap_HighResolution_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.42e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='4.55e-06', dlogl='5.71e-01', photon_flux2='2.91e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-06 19:37:38.527624', photon_index_error2='4.62', photon_index2='3.77', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.96', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.92e-08', energy_flux_error2='5.83e-06', EG='1.00', time_epoch_completed='1791340658.53', return_code='0', job_id='40073821', GAL2='0.98', EG2='0.97', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='2.76e-08', ts2='1.22', photon_index='1.85' WHERE bin_id='948' AND source_name='4FGL J2251.5-4928' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Oct 6 19:37:38 PDT 2026 A" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits .....................! real 18.29 user 17.60 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits .....................! real 69.22 user 64.68 sys 3.92 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 183 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2251.5-4928 @ 342.879 -49.4691 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/cmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=342.879 yref=-49.4691 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.60 user 0.24 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/cmap_HighResolution_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=342.879 yref=-49.4691 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.63 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/Model_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits.....................! real 37.72 user 36.03 sys 1.08 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40074067/Model_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2251.5-4928' 4FGL J2251.5-4928 Spectrum: PowerLaw 403 Prefactor: 7.449e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 404 Index: 1.851e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 405 Scale: 2.716e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40074067/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40074067/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40074067/Model_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14670.9716837 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14670.8326186 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 33.392 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 7.4999 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.2281 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .15116E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .56780E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .61839E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .18244E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 9.2320 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .91105E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 8.0793 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .87038E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .50642E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .34264E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .71179 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .24090E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 1.2736 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 5.6267 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 18.319 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .40198 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .25586E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' .48306E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .36737E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 1.0632 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 1.4637 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .60052E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' .32061E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .37717E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .41329E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'Normalizat' 1.0038 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 30 'Prefactor ' .96108 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5920E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 14670.83 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 168 CALLS 2220 TOTAL EDM= .73E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 33.008 8.0412 .17408E-06 -.94879E-01 2 Prefactor 7.5163 4.7753 -.12894E-07 .38961E-02 3 Prefactor 1.2269 1.9895 .41264E-07 -.34748E-03 4 Prefactor .60268E-06 10.022 -.71747E-06** at limit ** 5 norm .0000 1.1131 .13408E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .0000 .53214 -.43267E-07** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .65614E-07 4.5412 -.18836E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 9.2285 3.8817 -.10875E-06 -.54361E-02 9 Prefactor .68834E-08 1.2947 .35635E-07** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 8.3364 1.3338 .35827E-07 -.15068E-02 11 Prefactor .0000 1.4400 -.48511E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .73830E-08 4.5165 -.53059E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .41078E-08 5.7713 -.11184E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .68315 .97715 .10436E-06 -.25165E-02 15 norm .0000 .87437 .63019E-07** at limit ** 16 norm 1.2692 2.5148 .24781E-06 .20312E-03 17 Prefactor 5.6350 3.4801 .37842E-07 -.11544E-02 18 Prefactor 18.414 2.5226 -.81818E-07 .24175E-01 19 norm .39988 3.2752 -.41749E-06 -.22481E-02 20 Prefactor .22371E-07 5.3643 .45309E-06** at limit ** 21 norm .0000 .28807 -.77043E-07** at limit ** 22 norm .41633E-08 2.3207 -.17118E-06** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 1.0665 7.6211 -.10256E-05 -.19336E-01 24 Prefactor 1.4660 1.5110 -.28413E-07 .26393E-03 25 Prefactor .23537E-07 21.926 -.96843E-07** at limit ** 26 norm .14044E-07 1.8836 .25046E-07** at limit ** 27 Prefactor .10436E-07 1.0715 -.50397E-07** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .0000 1.6299 .78661E-08** at limit ** 29 Normalizat 1.0034 .12775 .14611E-05 -.26859E-04 30 Prefactor .96138 .12403 -.61823E-06 -.16914E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 33.008 Prefactor = 7.5163 Prefactor = 1.22685 Prefactor = 6.02685e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 6.56142e-08 Prefactor = 9.2285 Prefactor = 6.88338e-09 Prefactor = 8.3364 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 7.38298e-09 Prefactor = 4.10783e-09 norm = 0.683151 norm = 0 norm = 1.26917 Prefactor = 5.63495 Prefactor = 18.4144 norm = 0.399885 Prefactor = 2.2371e-08 norm = 0 norm = 4.16334e-09 Prefactor = 1.06651 Prefactor = 1.46605 Prefactor = 2.35367e-08 norm = 1.40443e-08 Prefactor = 1.04361e-08 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.00339 Prefactor = 0.961376 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14670.83 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 642 CALLS 2862 TOTAL EDM= .39E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 33.008 19.145 .17308E-03 -1.5593 2 Prefactor 7.5163 4.8953 .36597E-03 -1.5653 3 Prefactor 1.2269 2.0182 .10151E-02 -1.5686 4 Prefactor .60268E-06 42.089 .17382E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm .0000 1.1137 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 .52995 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .65614E-07 6.7638 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 9.2285 3.9860 .32960E-03 -1.5647 9 Prefactor .68834E-08 3.0936 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 8.3364 14.850 .35249E-03 -1.5650 11 Prefactor .0000 1.4384 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .73830E-08 8.1745 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .41078E-08 8.7995 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .68315 20.145 .59756E-03 -1.5691 15 norm .0000 .87409 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 1.2692 2.7930 .98480E-03 -1.5685 17 Prefactor 5.6350 3.4942 .42326E-03 -1.5660 18 Prefactor 18.414 26.305 .23373E-03 -1.5622 19 norm .39988 7.5012 .89257E-03 -1.5695 20 Prefactor .22371E-07 6.3720 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm .0000 .28025 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm .41633E-08 3.0177 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 1.0665 9.3732 .11849E-02 -1.5687 24 Prefactor 1.4660 1.5202 .88866E-03 -1.5684 25 Prefactor .23537E-07 21.968 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm .14044E-07 3.1728 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Prefactor .10436E-07 3.1178 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .0000 1.6252 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.0034 .10942 .46215E-01 -.92917 30 Prefactor .96138 .10460 .45779E-01 -.94028 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.88534e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 19.1445 2 4.89533 3 2.01817 4 0.0100732 5 1.90962e-06 6 1.41363e-06 7 0.00133224 8 3.98599 9 0.000292236 10 14.8501 11 9.84128e-06 12 0.000492233 13 0.000379946 14 7.41949 15 1.24743e-06 16 2.79305 17 3.49417 18 26.3054 19 3.46389 20 0.000754673 21 4.17575e-07 22 0.00022432 23 6.32349 24 1.52022 25 0.0014383 26 0.000422323 27 0.000360923 28 7.56824e-06 29 0.109441 30 0.104623 source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits.....................! real 36.61 user 35.44 sys 0.70 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40074177/Model_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2251.5-4928' 4FGL J2251.5-4928 Spectrum: PowerLaw 403 Prefactor: 7.449e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 404 Index: 1.851e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 405 Scale: 2.716e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ft2_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40074177/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40074177/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40074177/Model_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14670.9716837 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14670.8326186 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 33.392 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 7.4999 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 1.2281 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .15116E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .56780E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .61839E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .18244E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 9.2320 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .91105E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 8.0793 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .87038E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .50642E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .34264E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .71179 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .24090E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 1.2736 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 5.6267 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 18.319 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .40198 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .25586E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' .48306E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .36737E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 1.0632 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 1.4637 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .60052E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' .32061E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'Prefactor ' .37717E-04 1.0000 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14670.8318782 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2251.5-4928 Spectrum: PowerLaw 403 Prefactor: 7.383e-09 4.922e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 404 Index: 1.851e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 405 Scale: 2.716e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 589 Prefactor: 9.614e-01 1.046e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 590 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 591 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 588 Normalization: 1.003e+00 1.094e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 342.879 -49.469 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.91777887218e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00141979936053 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40074067/likelihoodResults_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14670.8906517 delta logL = -0.0587735082536 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14670.2603812 delta logL = 0.571496982677 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .31447 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.7711 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .96573 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98245 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5920E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 14670.26 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 59 CALLS 244 TOTAL EDM= .84E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .31500 3.4166 .10015E-02 .47680E-01 2 Index 3.7710 1.5643 .96575E-01 .45150E-03 3 Normalizat .96581 .18867E-01 .45736E-01 .24448E-04 4 Prefactor .98241 .18741E-01 .46047E-01 .20933E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.314996 Index = 3.77098 Normalizat = 0.965813 Prefactor = 0.982414 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .41329E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'Normalizat' 1.0038 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 30 'Prefactor ' .96108 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5920E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 14670.83 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 168 CALLS 2220 TOTAL EDM= .73E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 33.008 8.0412 .17408E-06 -.94879E-01 2 Prefactor 7.5163 4.7753 -.12894E-07 .38961E-02 3 Prefactor 1.2269 1.9895 .41264E-07 -.34748E-03 4 Prefactor .60268E-06 10.022 -.71747E-06** at limit ** 5 norm .0000 1.1131 .13408E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .0000 .53214 -.43267E-07** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .65614E-07 4.5412 -.18836E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 9.2285 3.8817 -.10875E-06 -.54361E-02 9 Prefactor .68834E-08 1.2947 .35635E-07** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 8.3364 1.3338 .35827E-07 -.15068E-02 11 Prefactor .0000 1.4400 -.48511E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .73830E-08 4.5165 -.53059E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .41078E-08 5.7713 -.11184E-06** at limit ** 14 norm .68315 .97715 .10436E-06 -.25165E-02 15 norm .0000 .87437 .63019E-07** at limit ** 16 norm 1.2692 2.5148 .24781E-06 .20312E-03 17 Prefactor 5.6350 3.4801 .37842E-07 -.11544E-02 18 Prefactor 18.414 2.5226 -.81818E-07 .24175E-01 19 norm .39988 3.2752 -.41749E-06 -.22481E-02 20 Prefactor .22371E-07 5.3643 .45309E-06** at limit ** 21 norm .0000 .28807 -.77043E-07** at limit ** 22 norm .41633E-08 2.3207 -.17118E-06** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 1.0665 7.6211 -.10256E-05 -.19336E-01 24 Prefactor 1.4660 1.5110 -.28413E-07 .26393E-03 25 Prefactor .23537E-07 21.926 -.96843E-07** at limit ** 26 norm .14044E-07 1.8836 .25046E-07** at limit ** 27 Prefactor .10436E-07 1.0715 -.50397E-07** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .0000 1.6299 .78661E-08** at limit ** 29 Normalizat 1.0034 .12775 .14611E-05 -.26859E-04 30 Prefactor .96138 .12403 -.61823E-06 -.16914E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 33.008 Prefactor = 7.5163 Prefactor = 1.22685 Prefactor = 6.02685e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 6.56142e-08 Prefactor = 9.2285 Prefactor = 6.88338e-09 Prefactor = 8.3364 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 7.38298e-09 Prefactor = 4.10783e-09 norm = 0.683151 norm = 0 norm = 1.26917 Prefactor = 5.63495 Prefactor = 18.4144 norm = 0.399885 Prefactor = 2.2371e-08 norm = 0 norm = 4.16334e-09 Prefactor = 1.06651 Prefactor = 1.46605 Prefactor = 2.35367e-08 norm = 1.40443e-08 Prefactor = 1.04361e-08 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.00339 Prefactor = 0.961376 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14670.26 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 277 TOTAL EDM= .46E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .31500 14.451 .63586E-05 -1.5697 2 Index 3.7710 3.9521 .56524E-02 -.24835 3 Normalizat .96581 .99582E-01 .23362E-03 -.94185 4 Prefactor .98241 .96796E-01 .22927E-03 -.93318 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 4.62578e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.26704 2 4.62121 3 0.0996009 4 0.0968131 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14670.2603793 delta logL = 0.571498883617 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2251.5-4928 Spectrum: PowerLaw 403 Prefactor: 3.150e-01 4.267e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 404 Index: 3.771e+00 4.621e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 405 Scale: 2.716e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 589 Prefactor: 9.824e-01 9.681e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 590 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 591 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 588 Normalization: 9.658e-01 9.960e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.22 Ra Dec: 342.879 -49.469 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.77 +/- 4.62 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.91e-08 +/- 2.76e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.55e-06 +/- 5.83e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40074067/cmap_HighResolution_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.42e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='4.55e-06', dlogl='5.71e-01', photon_flux2='2.91e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-06 19:41:51.182470', photon_index_error2='4.62', photon_index2='3.77', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.96', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.92e-08', energy_flux_error2='5.83e-06', EG='1.00', time_epoch_completed='1791340911.18', return_code='0', job_id='40074067', GAL2='0.98', EG2='0.97', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='2.76e-08', ts2='1.22', photon_index='1.85' WHERE bin_id='948' AND source_name='4FGL J2251.5-4928' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Oct 6 19:41:51 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14670.83 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 642 CALLS 2862 TOTAL EDM= .39E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 33.008 19.145 .17308E-03 -1.5593 2 Prefactor 7.5163 4.8953 .36597E-03 -1.5653 3 Prefactor 1.2269 2.0182 .10151E-02 -1.5686 4 Prefactor .60268E-06 42.089 .17382E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm .0000 1.1137 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 .52995 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .65614E-07 6.7638 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 9.2285 3.9860 .32960E-03 -1.5647 9 Prefactor .68834E-08 3.0936 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 8.3364 14.850 .35249E-03 -1.5650 11 Prefactor .0000 1.4384 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .73830E-08 8.1745 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .41078E-08 8.7995 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm .68315 20.145 .59756E-03 -1.5691 15 norm .0000 .87409 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 1.2692 2.7930 .98480E-03 -1.5685 17 Prefactor 5.6350 3.4942 .42326E-03 -1.5660 18 Prefactor 18.414 26.305 .23373E-03 -1.5622 19 norm .39988 7.5012 .89257E-03 -1.5695 20 Prefactor .22371E-07 6.3720 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm .0000 .28025 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm .41633E-08 3.0177 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 1.0665 9.3732 .11849E-02 -1.5687 24 Prefactor 1.4660 1.5202 .88866E-03 -1.5684 25 Prefactor .23537E-07 21.968 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm .14044E-07 3.1728 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 Prefactor .10436E-07 3.1178 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .0000 1.6252 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 Normalizat 1.0034 .10942 .46215E-01 -.92917 30 Prefactor .96138 .10460 .45779E-01 -.94028 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.88534e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 19.1445 2 4.89533 3 2.01817 4 0.0100732 5 1.90962e-06 6 1.41363e-06 7 0.00133224 8 3.98599 9 0.000292236 10 14.8501 11 9.84128e-06 12 0.000492233 13 0.000379946 14 7.41949 15 1.24743e-06 16 2.79305 17 3.49417 18 26.3054 19 3.46389 20 0.000754673 21 4.17575e-07 22 0.00022432 23 6.32349 24 1.52022 25 0.0014383 26 0.000422323 27 0.000360923 28 7.56824e-06 29 0.109441 30 0.104623 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 14670.8318782 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2251.5-4928 Spectrum: PowerLaw 403 Prefactor: 7.383e-09 4.922e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 404 Index: 1.851e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 405 Scale: 2.716e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 589 Prefactor: 9.614e-01 1.046e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 590 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 591 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 588 Normalization: 1.003e+00 1.094e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 342.879 -49.469 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.91777887218e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00141979936053 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40074177/likelihoodResults_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 14670.8906517 delta logL = -0.0587735082536 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14670.2603812 delta logL = 0.571496982677 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .31447 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.7711 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .96573 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98245 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5920E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 14670.26 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 59 CALLS 244 TOTAL EDM= .84E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .31500 3.4166 .10015E-02 .47680E-01 2 Index 3.7710 1.5643 .96575E-01 .45150E-03 3 Normalizat .96581 .18867E-01 .45736E-01 .24448E-04 4 Prefactor .98241 .18741E-01 .46047E-01 .20933E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.314996 Index = 3.77098 Normalizat = 0.965813 Prefactor = 0.982414 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 14670.26 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 33 CALLS 277 TOTAL EDM= .46E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .31500 14.451 .63586E-05 -1.5697 2 Index 3.7710 3.9521 .56524E-02 -.24835 3 Normalizat .96581 .99582E-01 .23362E-03 -.94185 4 Prefactor .98241 .96796E-01 .22927E-03 -.93318 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 4.62578e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.26704 2 4.62121 3 0.0996009 4 0.0968131 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 14670.2603793 delta logL = 0.571498883617 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2251.5-4928 Spectrum: PowerLaw 403 Prefactor: 3.150e-01 4.267e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 404 Index: 3.771e+00 4.621e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 405 Scale: 2.716e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 589 Prefactor: 9.824e-01 9.681e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 590 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 591 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 588 Normalization: 9.658e-01 9.960e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.22 Ra Dec: 342.879 -49.469 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.77 +/- 4.62 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.91e-08 +/- 2.76e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.55e-06 +/- 5.83e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40074177/cmap_HighResolution_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2251.5-4928_weekly_bin948.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.42e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='4.55e-06', dlogl='5.71e-01', photon_flux2='2.91e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-06 19:44:09.029437', photon_index_error2='4.62', photon_index2='3.77', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.96', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.92e-08', energy_flux_error2='5.83e-06', EG='1.00', time_epoch_completed='1791341049.03', return_code='0', job_id='40074177', GAL2='0.98', EG2='0.97', return_code2='102', photon_flux_error2='2.76e-08', ts2='1.22', photon_index='1.85' WHERE bin_id='948' AND source_name='4FGL J2251.5-4928' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Oct 6 19:44:09 PDT 2026