********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8439.223 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 341 CALLS 1512 TOTAL EDM= .15E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 6.3710 48.906 .37743E-03 -1.5657 2 norm .0000 .30950 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 8.1046 12.407 .34976E-03 -1.5651 4 norm 6.6949 5.6877 .38636E-03 -1.5656 5 Prefactor .23315E-08 5.2495 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .94369E-09 5.3592 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 3.1281 .46322 .52056E-02 -1.5354 8 Prefactor 33.202 20.873 .17405E-02 -1.4555 9 norm 1.7597 .99292 .78938E-03 -1.5681 10 norm .11102E-09 2.9676 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .14599E-07 18.434 .16933E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 38.350 17.930 .16157E-03 -1.5584 13 Prefactor .88132 .23992 .49246E-02 -1.5520 14 Prefactor 7.2234 9.9209 .37367E-03 -1.5654 15 Prefactor .23870E-08 38.792 .13786E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .33307E-09 8.8985 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .72164E-09 11.122 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .21195E-04 12.267 .11776E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Normalizat .88597 .22682 .87685E-01 -.96955 20 Prefactor .97208 .11626 .45916E-01 -.93666 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.45524e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 35.3036 2 3.05434e-06 3 12.4074 4 5.68775 5 0.000222199 6 0.000141675 7 0.463221 8 20.8777 9 0.992918 10 3.58566e-05 11 0.00103679 12 17.9303 13 0.239924 14 9.92096 15 0.000608494 16 0.000111895 17 0.000180044 18 0.0322486 19 0.227068 20 0.116288 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8437.68245268 delta logL = 1.54060242606 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2248.9+2106 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 1.323e+01 1.968e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 3.096e+00 7.492e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.432e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 518 Prefactor: 1.021e+00 1.441e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 519 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 520 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 517 Normalization: 7.526e-01 2.811e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 12.67 Ra Dec: 342.246 21.116 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.10 +/- 0.75 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.40e-07 +/- 1.02e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.57e-05 +/- 1.82e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38591908/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='1.34e-07', energy_flux2='4.57e-05', photon_flux_error='6.26e-08', dlogl='1.54e+00', energy_flux='5.09e-05', photon_flux2='2.40e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-18 19:36:26.268381', photon_index_error2='0.75', photon_index2='3.10', ts='9.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.97', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='1.82e-05', EG='0.89', time_epoch_completed='1789785386.27', return_code='0', job_id='38591908', GAL2='1.02', EG2='0.75', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.38e-05', photon_flux_error2='1.02e-07', ts2='12.67', photon_index='2.30' WHERE bin_id='2206' AND source_name='4FGL J2248.9+2106' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Sep 18 19:36:26 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8439.2230551 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2248.9+2106 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 3.835e+01 1.793e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.298e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.432e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 518 Prefactor: 9.721e-01 1.163e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 519 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 520 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 517 Normalization: 8.860e-01 2.271e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 9.13 Ra Dec: 342.246 21.116 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.30 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 1.34e-07 +/- 6.26e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 5.09e-05 +/- 2.38e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8437.70185576 delta logL = 1.52119934925 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8437.68245279 delta logL = 1.54060231936 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 13.234 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.0955 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .75262 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0207 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5210E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8437.682 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 257 TOTAL EDM= .65E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 13.228 62.803 .27508E-03 .46255E-02 2 Index 3.0957 1.9253 .76328E-01 .36221E-03 3 Normalizat .75259 .10929 .94176E-01 .78458E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0207 .50092E-01 .42073E-01 -.14218E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 13.2285 Index = 3.09571 Normalizat = 0.752595 Prefactor = 1.0207 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8437.682 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 288 TOTAL EDM= .89E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 13.228 19.682 .11003E-04 -1.5635 2 Index 3.0957 .74591 .31089E-02 -.39072 3 Normalizat .75259 .28059 .41728E-03 -1.0185 4 Prefactor 1.0207 .14406 .19107E-03 -.92043 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.90142e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 19.6824 2 0.74918 3 0.281124 4 0.144116 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8437.68245268 delta logL = 1.54060242606 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2248.9+2106 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 1.323e+01 1.968e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 3.096e+00 7.492e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.432e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 518 Prefactor: 1.021e+00 1.441e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 519 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 520 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 517 Normalization: 7.526e-01 2.811e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 12.67 Ra Dec: 342.246 21.116 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.10 +/- 0.75 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.40e-07 +/- 1.02e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.57e-05 +/- 1.82e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38591974/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='1.34e-07', energy_flux2='4.57e-05', photon_flux_error='6.26e-08', dlogl='1.54e+00', energy_flux='5.09e-05', photon_flux2='2.40e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-18 19:36:38.935950', photon_index_error2='0.75', photon_index2='3.10', ts='9.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.97', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='1.82e-05', EG='0.89', time_epoch_completed='1789785398.94', return_code='0', job_id='38591974', GAL2='1.02', EG2='0.75', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.38e-05', photon_flux_error2='1.02e-07', ts2='12.67', photon_index='2.30' WHERE bin_id='2206' AND source_name='4FGL J2248.9+2106' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Sep 18 19:36:39 PDT 2026 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/38591953/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits.....................! real 39.27 user 37.48 sys 0.98 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38591953/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38591953/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38591953/expmap_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38591953/ltcube_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38591953/Model_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2248.9+2106' 4FGL J2248.9+2106 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 1.757e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.298e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.432e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38591953/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38591953/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38591953/expmap_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38591953/ltcube_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38591953/Model_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8439.776785 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8439.22634178 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.0555 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .14949E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 8.2053 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 6.7365 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .63116E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .12470E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 3.1289 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 8 'Prefactor ' 33.129 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 9 'norm ' 1.7606 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' .13685E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .21618E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 38.317 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .88164 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 14 'Prefactor ' 7.1966 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .10540 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .27840E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .15688E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .38493 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Normalizat' .88499 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 20 'Prefactor ' .97198 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5210E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8439.223 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 125 CALLS 1171 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 6.3710 22.364 -.67220E-05 -.17653E-01 2 norm .0000 .31139 -.21241E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 8.1046 2.2154 .25935E-06 .39512E-01 4 norm 6.6949 5.6699 .20500E-06 .58864E-02 5 Prefactor .23315E-08 5.1048 .30484E-05** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .94369E-09 5.2214 -.25906E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 3.1281 .45777 -.17670E-06 .24761E-02 8 Prefactor 33.202 2.5640 -.56100E-05 .37844E-02 9 norm 1.7597 .98955 -.27202E-07 -.27667E-02 10 norm .11102E-09 3.0383 -.15741E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .14599E-07 18.385 .13011E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 38.350 17.652 -.36036E-05 .31492E-02 13 Prefactor .88132 .23459 .97966E-07 .20060E-02 14 Prefactor 7.2234 2.6484 -.14563E-05 -.48053E-01 15 Prefactor .23870E-08 39.407 -.17675E-05** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .33307E-09 8.7565 .10910E-05** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .72164E-09 11.024 -.44716E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .21195E-04 208.83 -.24984E-04** at limit ** 19 Normalizat .88597 .26595 .37819E-04 .50780E-03 20 Prefactor .97208 .13787 -.45376E-05 .73281E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 6.37097 norm = 0 Prefactor = 8.10461 norm = 6.69489 Prefactor = 2.33147e-09 Prefactor = 9.4369e-10 Prefactor = 3.12811 Prefactor = 33.2017 norm = 1.75971 norm = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 1.45994e-08 Prefactor = 38.3501 Prefactor = 0.881319 Prefactor = 7.22338 Prefactor = 2.38698e-09 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 7.21645e-10 Prefactor = 2.11951e-05 Normalizat = 0.88597 Prefactor = 0.972082 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8439.223 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 341 CALLS 1512 TOTAL EDM= .15E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 6.3710 48.906 .37743E-03 -1.5657 2 norm .0000 .30950 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 8.1046 12.407 .34976E-03 -1.5651 4 norm 6.6949 5.6877 .38636E-03 -1.5656 5 Prefactor .23315E-08 5.2495 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .94369E-09 5.3592 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 3.1281 .46322 .52056E-02 -1.5354 8 Prefactor 33.202 20.873 .17405E-02 -1.4555 9 norm 1.7597 .99292 .78938E-03 -1.5681 10 norm .11102E-09 2.9676 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .14599E-07 18.434 .16933E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 38.350 17.930 .16157E-03 -1.5584 13 Prefactor .88132 .23992 .49246E-02 -1.5520 14 Prefactor 7.2234 9.9209 .37367E-03 -1.5654 15 Prefactor .23870E-08 38.792 .13786E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .33307E-09 8.8985 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .72164E-09 11.122 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .21195E-04 12.267 .11776E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Normalizat .88597 .22682 .87685E-01 -.96955 20 Prefactor .97208 .11626 .45916E-01 -.93666 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.45524e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 35.3036 2 3.05434e-06 3 12.4074 4 5.68775 5 0.000222199 6 0.000141675 7 0.463221 8 20.8777 9 0.992918 10 3.58566e-05 11 0.00103679 12 17.9303 13 0.239924 14 9.92096 15 0.000608494 16 0.000111895 17 0.000180044 18 0.0322486 19 0.227068 20 0.116288 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8439.2230551 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2248.9+2106 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 3.835e+01 1.793e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.298e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.432e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 518 Prefactor: 9.721e-01 1.163e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 519 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 520 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 517 Normalization: 8.860e-01 2.271e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 9.13 Ra Dec: 342.246 21.116 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.30 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 1.34e-07 +/- 6.26e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 5.09e-05 +/- 2.38e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8437.70185576 delta logL = 1.52119934925 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8437.68245279 delta logL = 1.54060231936 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 13.234 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.0955 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .75262 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0207 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5210E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8437.682 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 257 TOTAL EDM= .65E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 13.228 62.803 .27508E-03 .46255E-02 2 Index 3.0957 1.9253 .76328E-01 .36221E-03 3 Normalizat .75259 .10929 .94176E-01 .78458E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0207 .50092E-01 .42073E-01 -.14218E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 13.2285 Index = 3.09571 Normalizat = 0.752595 Prefactor = 1.0207 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8437.682 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 288 TOTAL EDM= .89E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 13.228 19.682 .11003E-04 -1.5635 2 Index 3.0957 .74591 .31089E-02 -.39072 3 Normalizat .75259 .28059 .41728E-03 -1.0185 4 Prefactor 1.0207 .14406 .19107E-03 -.92043 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.90142e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 19.6824 2 0.74918 3 0.281124 4 0.144116 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8437.68245268 delta logL = 1.54060242606 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2248.9+2106 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 1.323e+01 1.968e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 3.096e+00 7.492e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.432e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 518 Prefactor: 1.021e+00 1.441e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 519 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 520 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 517 Normalization: 7.526e-01 2.811e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 12.67 Ra Dec: 342.246 21.116 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.10 +/- 0.75 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.40e-07 +/- 1.02e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.57e-05 +/- 1.82e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38591953/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='1.34e-07', energy_flux2='4.57e-05', photon_flux_error='6.26e-08', dlogl='1.54e+00', energy_flux='5.09e-05', photon_flux2='2.40e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-18 19:37:07.531712', photon_index_error2='0.75', photon_index2='3.10', ts='9.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.97', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='1.82e-05', EG='0.89', time_epoch_completed='1789785427.53', return_code='0', job_id='38591953', GAL2='1.02', EG2='0.75', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.38e-05', photon_flux_error2='1.02e-07', ts2='12.67', photon_index='2.30' WHERE bin_id='2206' AND source_name='4FGL J2248.9+2106' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Sep 18 19:37:08 PDT 2026 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592198/ltcube_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/38592198/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits .....................! real 9.05 user 8.23 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592198/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592198/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/38592198/ltcube_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592198/expmap_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/38592198/ltcube_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits .....................! real 70.88 user 66.04 sys 3.85 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 160 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2248.9+2106 @ 342.246 21.1159 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592198/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592198/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592198/cmap_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=342.246 yref=21.1159 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.16 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592198/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592198/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592198/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=342.246 yref=21.1159 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.19 user 0.24 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592198/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592198/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/38592198/Model_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/38592022/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits.....................! real 39.19 user 36.71 sys 1.46 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38592022/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38592022/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38592022/expmap_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38592022/ltcube_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38592022/Model_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2248.9+2106' 4FGL J2248.9+2106 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 1.757e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.298e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.432e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38592022/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38592022/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38592022/expmap_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38592022/ltcube_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38592022/Model_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8439.776785 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8439.22634178 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.0555 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .14949E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 8.2053 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 6.7365 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .63116E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .12470E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 3.1289 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 8 'Prefactor ' 33.129 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 9 'norm ' 1.7606 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' .13685E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .21618E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 38.317 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .88164 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 14 'Prefactor ' 7.1966 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .10540 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .27840E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .15688E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .38493 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Normalizat' .88499 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 20 'Prefactor ' .97198 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5210E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8439.223 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 125 CALLS 1171 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 6.3710 22.364 -.67220E-05 -.17653E-01 2 norm .0000 .31139 -.21241E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 8.1046 2.2154 .25935E-06 .39512E-01 4 norm 6.6949 5.6699 .20500E-06 .58864E-02 5 Prefactor .23315E-08 5.1048 .30484E-05** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .94369E-09 5.2214 -.25906E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 3.1281 .45777 -.17670E-06 .24761E-02 8 Prefactor 33.202 2.5640 -.56100E-05 .37844E-02 9 norm 1.7597 .98955 -.27202E-07 -.27667E-02 10 norm .11102E-09 3.0383 -.15741E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .14599E-07 18.385 .13011E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 38.350 17.652 -.36036E-05 .31492E-02 13 Prefactor .88132 .23459 .97966E-07 .20060E-02 14 Prefactor 7.2234 2.6484 -.14563E-05 -.48053E-01 15 Prefactor .23870E-08 39.407 -.17675E-05** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .33307E-09 8.7565 .10910E-05** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .72164E-09 11.024 -.44716E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .21195E-04 208.83 -.24984E-04** at limit ** 19 Normalizat .88597 .26595 .37819E-04 .50780E-03 20 Prefactor .97208 .13787 -.45376E-05 .73281E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 6.37097 norm = 0 Prefactor = 8.10461 norm = 6.69489 Prefactor = 2.33147e-09 Prefactor = 9.4369e-10 Prefactor = 3.12811 Prefactor = 33.2017 norm = 1.75971 norm = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 1.45994e-08 Prefactor = 38.3501 Prefactor = 0.881319 Prefactor = 7.22338 Prefactor = 2.38698e-09 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 7.21645e-10 Prefactor = 2.11951e-05 Normalizat = 0.88597 Prefactor = 0.972082 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8439.223 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 341 CALLS 1512 TOTAL EDM= .15E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 6.3710 48.906 .37743E-03 -1.5657 2 norm .0000 .30950 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 8.1046 12.407 .34976E-03 -1.5651 4 norm 6.6949 5.6877 .38636E-03 -1.5656 5 Prefactor .23315E-08 5.2495 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .94369E-09 5.3592 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 3.1281 .46322 .52056E-02 -1.5354 8 Prefactor 33.202 20.873 .17405E-02 -1.4555 9 norm 1.7597 .99292 .78938E-03 -1.5681 10 norm .11102E-09 2.9676 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .14599E-07 18.434 .16933E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 38.350 17.930 .16157E-03 -1.5584 13 Prefactor .88132 .23992 .49246E-02 -1.5520 14 Prefactor 7.2234 9.9209 .37367E-03 -1.5654 15 Prefactor .23870E-08 38.792 .13786E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .33307E-09 8.8985 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .72164E-09 11.122 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .21195E-04 12.267 .11776E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Normalizat .88597 .22682 .87685E-01 -.96955 20 Prefactor .97208 .11626 .45916E-01 -.93666 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.45524e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 35.3036 2 3.05434e-06 3 12.4074 4 5.68775 5 0.000222199 6 0.000141675 7 0.463221 8 20.8777 9 0.992918 10 3.58566e-05 11 0.00103679 12 17.9303 13 0.239924 14 9.92096 15 0.000608494 16 0.000111895 17 0.000180044 18 0.0322486 19 0.227068 20 0.116288 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8439.2230551 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2248.9+2106 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 3.835e+01 1.793e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.298e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.432e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 518 Prefactor: 9.721e-01 1.163e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 519 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 520 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 517 Normalization: 8.860e-01 2.271e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 9.13 Ra Dec: 342.246 21.116 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.30 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 1.34e-07 +/- 6.26e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 5.09e-05 +/- 2.38e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8437.70185576 delta logL = 1.52119934925 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8437.68245279 delta logL = 1.54060231936 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 13.234 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.0955 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .75262 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0207 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5210E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8437.682 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 257 TOTAL EDM= .65E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 13.228 62.803 .27508E-03 .46255E-02 2 Index 3.0957 1.9253 .76328E-01 .36221E-03 3 Normalizat .75259 .10929 .94176E-01 .78458E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0207 .50092E-01 .42073E-01 -.14218E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 13.2285 Index = 3.09571 Normalizat = 0.752595 Prefactor = 1.0207 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8437.682 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 288 TOTAL EDM= .89E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 13.228 19.682 .11003E-04 -1.5635 2 Index 3.0957 .74591 .31089E-02 -.39072 3 Normalizat .75259 .28059 .41728E-03 -1.0185 4 Prefactor 1.0207 .14406 .19107E-03 -.92043 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.90142e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 19.6824 2 0.74918 3 0.281124 4 0.144116 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8437.68245268 delta logL = 1.54060242606 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2248.9+2106 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 1.323e+01 1.968e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 3.096e+00 7.492e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.432e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 518 Prefactor: 1.021e+00 1.441e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 519 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 520 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 517 Normalization: 7.526e-01 2.811e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 12.67 Ra Dec: 342.246 21.116 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.10 +/- 0.75 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.40e-07 +/- 1.02e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.57e-05 +/- 1.82e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38592022/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='1.34e-07', energy_flux2='4.57e-05', photon_flux_error='6.26e-08', dlogl='1.54e+00', energy_flux='5.09e-05', photon_flux2='2.40e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-18 19:38:07.716556', photon_index_error2='0.75', photon_index2='3.10', ts='9.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.97', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='1.82e-05', EG='0.89', time_epoch_completed='1789785487.72', return_code='0', job_id='38592022', GAL2='1.02', EG2='0.75', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.38e-05', photon_flux_error2='1.02e-07', ts2='12.67', photon_index='2.30' WHERE bin_id='2206' AND source_name='4FGL J2248.9+2106' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Sep 18 19:38:08 PDT 2026 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/38592198/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits.....................! real 37.25 user 35.15 sys 1.04 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38592198/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38592198/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38592198/expmap_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38592198/ltcube_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38592198/Model_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2248.9+2106' 4FGL J2248.9+2106 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 1.757e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.298e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.432e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38592198/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38592198/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38592198/expmap_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38592198/ltcube_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38592198/Model_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8439.776785 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8439.22634178 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.0555 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .14949E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 8.2053 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 6.7365 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .63116E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .12470E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 3.1289 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 8 'Prefactor ' 33.129 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 9 'norm ' 1.7606 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' .13685E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .21618E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 38.317 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .88164 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 14 'Prefactor ' 7.1966 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .10540 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .27840E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .15688E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .38493 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Normalizat' .88499 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 20 'Prefactor ' .97198 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5210E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8439.223 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 125 CALLS 1171 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 6.3710 22.364 -.67220E-05 -.17653E-01 2 norm .0000 .31139 -.21241E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 8.1046 2.2154 .25935E-06 .39512E-01 4 norm 6.6949 5.6699 .20500E-06 .58864E-02 5 Prefactor .23315E-08 5.1048 .30484E-05** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .94369E-09 5.2214 -.25906E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 3.1281 .45777 -.17670E-06 .24761E-02 8 Prefactor 33.202 2.5640 -.56100E-05 .37844E-02 9 norm 1.7597 .98955 -.27202E-07 -.27667E-02 10 norm .11102E-09 3.0383 -.15741E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .14599E-07 18.385 .13011E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 38.350 17.652 -.36036E-05 .31492E-02 13 Prefactor .88132 .23459 .97966E-07 .20060E-02 14 Prefactor 7.2234 2.6484 -.14563E-05 -.48053E-01 15 Prefactor .23870E-08 39.407 -.17675E-05** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .33307E-09 8.7565 .10910E-05** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .72164E-09 11.024 -.44716E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .21195E-04 208.83 -.24984E-04** at limit ** 19 Normalizat .88597 .26595 .37819E-04 .50780E-03 20 Prefactor .97208 .13787 -.45376E-05 .73281E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 6.37097 norm = 0 Prefactor = 8.10461 norm = 6.69489 Prefactor = 2.33147e-09 Prefactor = 9.4369e-10 Prefactor = 3.12811 Prefactor = 33.2017 norm = 1.75971 norm = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 1.45994e-08 Prefactor = 38.3501 Prefactor = 0.881319 Prefactor = 7.22338 Prefactor = 2.38698e-09 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 7.21645e-10 Prefactor = 2.11951e-05 Normalizat = 0.88597 Prefactor = 0.972082 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8439.223 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 341 CALLS 1512 TOTAL EDM= .15E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 6.3710 48.906 .37743E-03 -1.5657 2 norm .0000 .30950 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 8.1046 12.407 .34976E-03 -1.5651 4 norm 6.6949 5.6877 .38636E-03 -1.5656 5 Prefactor .23315E-08 5.2495 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .94369E-09 5.3592 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 3.1281 .46322 .52056E-02 -1.5354 8 Prefactor 33.202 20.873 .17405E-02 -1.4555 9 norm 1.7597 .99292 .78938E-03 -1.5681 10 norm .11102E-09 2.9676 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .14599E-07 18.434 .16933E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 38.350 17.930 .16157E-03 -1.5584 13 Prefactor .88132 .23992 .49246E-02 -1.5520 14 Prefactor 7.2234 9.9209 .37367E-03 -1.5654 15 Prefactor .23870E-08 38.792 .13786E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .33307E-09 8.8985 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .72164E-09 11.122 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .21195E-04 12.267 .11776E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Normalizat .88597 .22682 .87685E-01 -.96955 20 Prefactor .97208 .11626 .45916E-01 -.93666 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.45524e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 35.3036 2 3.05434e-06 3 12.4074 4 5.68775 5 0.000222199 6 0.000141675 7 0.463221 8 20.8777 9 0.992918 10 3.58566e-05 11 0.00103679 12 17.9303 13 0.239924 14 9.92096 15 0.000608494 16 0.000111895 17 0.000180044 18 0.0322486 19 0.227068 20 0.116288 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8439.2230551 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2248.9+2106 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 3.835e+01 1.793e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.298e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.432e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 518 Prefactor: 9.721e-01 1.163e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 519 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 520 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 517 Normalization: 8.860e-01 2.271e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 9.13 Ra Dec: 342.246 21.116 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.30 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 1.34e-07 +/- 6.26e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 5.09e-05 +/- 2.38e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8437.70185576 delta logL = 1.52119934925 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8437.68245279 delta logL = 1.54060231936 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 13.234 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.0955 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .75262 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0207 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5210E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8437.682 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 257 TOTAL EDM= .65E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 13.228 62.803 .27508E-03 .46255E-02 2 Index 3.0957 1.9253 .76328E-01 .36221E-03 3 Normalizat .75259 .10929 .94176E-01 .78458E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0207 .50092E-01 .42073E-01 -.14218E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 13.2285 Index = 3.09571 Normalizat = 0.752595 Prefactor = 1.0207 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8437.682 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 288 TOTAL EDM= .89E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 13.228 19.682 .11003E-04 -1.5635 2 Index 3.0957 .74591 .31089E-02 -.39072 3 Normalizat .75259 .28059 .41728E-03 -1.0185 4 Prefactor 1.0207 .14406 .19107E-03 -.92043 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.90142e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 19.6824 2 0.74918 3 0.281124 4 0.144116 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8437.68245268 delta logL = 1.54060242606 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2248.9+2106 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 1.323e+01 1.968e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 3.096e+00 7.492e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.432e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 518 Prefactor: 1.021e+00 1.441e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 519 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 520 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 517 Normalization: 7.526e-01 2.811e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 12.67 Ra Dec: 342.246 21.116 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.10 +/- 0.75 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.40e-07 +/- 1.02e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.57e-05 +/- 1.82e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38592198/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='1.34e-07', energy_flux2='4.57e-05', photon_flux_error='6.26e-08', dlogl='1.54e+00', energy_flux='5.09e-05', photon_flux2='2.40e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-18 19:38:52.479781', photon_index_error2='0.75', photon_index2='3.10', ts='9.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.97', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='1.82e-05', EG='0.89', time_epoch_completed='1789785532.48', return_code='0', job_id='38592198', GAL2='1.02', EG2='0.75', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.38e-05', photon_flux_error2='1.02e-07', ts2='12.67', photon_index='2.30' WHERE bin_id='2206' AND source_name='4FGL J2248.9+2106' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Sep 18 19:38:53 PDT 2026 number of points = 7621 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206 RA = 342.246, Dec = 21.1159 tmin = 811123201, tmax = 811382401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='38592882', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-18 19:37:05.331039', time_epoch_executed='1789785425.33' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2248.9+2106' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2206' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/38592882 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/38592882/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811382401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811382401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ft1_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=811123201.0 && nMetStart<811382401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ft1_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits ra=342.246 dec=21.1159 rad=12.0 tmin=811123201.0 tmax=811382401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.83 user 2.12 sys 0.19 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.77 user 0.19 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 759 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ltcube_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits .....................! real 9.56 user 8.79 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ltcube_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/expmap_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ltcube_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits .....................! real 74.99 user 69.41 sys 4.43 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 160 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2248.9+2106 @ 342.246 21.1159 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/cmap_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=342.246 yref=21.1159 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.88 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=342.246 yref=21.1159 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.66 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/Model_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits.....................! real 39.50 user 37.53 sys 1.02 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/expmap_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ltcube_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38592882/Model_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2248.9+2106' 4FGL J2248.9+2106 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 1.757e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.298e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.432e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38592882/expmap_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38592882/ltcube_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38592882/Model_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8439.776785 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8439.22634178 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.0555 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .14949E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 8.2053 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 6.7365 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .63116E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .12470E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 3.1289 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 8 'Prefactor ' 33.129 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 9 'norm ' 1.7606 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' .13685E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .21618E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 38.317 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .88164 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 14 'Prefactor ' 7.1966 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .10540 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .27840E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .15688E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .38493 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Normalizat' .88499 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 20 'Prefactor ' .97198 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5210E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8439.223 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 125 CALLS 1171 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 6.3710 22.364 -.67220E-05 -.17653E-01 2 norm .0000 .31139 -.21241E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 8.1046 2.2154 .25935E-06 .39512E-01 4 norm 6.6949 5.6699 .20500E-06 .58864E-02 5 Prefactor .23315E-08 5.1048 .30484E-05** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .94369E-09 5.2214 -.25906E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 3.1281 .45777 -.17670E-06 .24761E-02 8 Prefactor 33.202 2.5640 -.56100E-05 .37844E-02 9 norm 1.7597 .98955 -.27202E-07 -.27667E-02 10 norm .11102E-09 3.0383 -.15741E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .14599E-07 18.385 .13011E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 38.350 17.652 -.36036E-05 .31492E-02 13 Prefactor .88132 .23459 .97966E-07 .20060E-02 14 Prefactor 7.2234 2.6484 -.14563E-05 -.48053E-01 15 Prefactor .23870E-08 39.407 -.17675E-05** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .33307E-09 8.7565 .10910E-05** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .72164E-09 11.024 -.44716E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .21195E-04 208.83 -.24984E-04** at limit ** 19 Normalizat .88597 .26595 .37819E-04 .50780E-03 20 Prefactor .97208 .13787 -.45376E-05 .73281E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 6.37097 norm = 0 Prefactor = 8.10461 norm = 6.69489 Prefactor = 2.33147e-09 Prefactor = 9.4369e-10 Prefactor = 3.12811 Prefactor = 33.2017 norm = 1.75971 norm = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 1.45994e-08 Prefactor = 38.3501 Prefactor = 0.881319 Prefactor = 7.22338 Prefactor = 2.38698e-09 Prefactor = 3.33067e-10 Prefactor = 7.21645e-10 Prefactor = 2.11951e-05 Normalizat = 0.88597 Prefactor = 0.972082 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8439.223 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 341 CALLS 1512 TOTAL EDM= .15E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 6.3710 48.906 .37743E-03 -1.5657 2 norm .0000 .30950 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 8.1046 12.407 .34976E-03 -1.5651 4 norm 6.6949 5.6877 .38636E-03 -1.5656 5 Prefactor .23315E-08 5.2495 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .94369E-09 5.3592 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 3.1281 .46322 .52056E-02 -1.5354 8 Prefactor 33.202 20.873 .17405E-02 -1.4555 9 norm 1.7597 .99292 .78938E-03 -1.5681 10 norm .11102E-09 2.9676 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .14599E-07 18.434 .16933E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 38.350 17.930 .16157E-03 -1.5584 13 Prefactor .88132 .23992 .49246E-02 -1.5520 14 Prefactor 7.2234 9.9209 .37367E-03 -1.5654 15 Prefactor .23870E-08 38.792 .13786E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .33307E-09 8.8985 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .72164E-09 11.122 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .21195E-04 12.267 .11776E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Normalizat .88597 .22682 .87685E-01 -.96955 20 Prefactor .97208 .11626 .45916E-01 -.93666 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.45524e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 35.3036 2 3.05434e-06 3 12.4074 4 5.68775 5 0.000222199 6 0.000141675 7 0.463221 8 20.8777 9 0.992918 10 3.58566e-05 11 0.00103679 12 17.9303 13 0.239924 14 9.92096 15 0.000608494 16 0.000111895 17 0.000180044 18 0.0322486 19 0.227068 20 0.116288 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8439.2230551 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2248.9+2106 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 3.835e+01 1.793e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.298e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.432e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 518 Prefactor: 9.721e-01 1.163e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 519 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 520 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 517 Normalization: 8.860e-01 2.271e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 9.13 Ra Dec: 342.246 21.116 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.30 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 1.34e-07 +/- 6.26e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 5.09e-05 +/- 2.38e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8437.70185576 delta logL = 1.52119934925 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8437.68245279 delta logL = 1.54060231936 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 13.234 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.0955 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .75262 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0207 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5210E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 8437.682 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 257 TOTAL EDM= .65E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 13.228 62.803 .27508E-03 .46255E-02 2 Index 3.0957 1.9253 .76328E-01 .36221E-03 3 Normalizat .75259 .10929 .94176E-01 .78458E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0207 .50092E-01 .42073E-01 -.14218E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 13.2285 Index = 3.09571 Normalizat = 0.752595 Prefactor = 1.0207 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8437.682 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 288 TOTAL EDM= .89E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 13.228 19.682 .11003E-04 -1.5635 2 Index 3.0957 .74591 .31089E-02 -.39072 3 Normalizat .75259 .28059 .41728E-03 -1.0185 4 Prefactor 1.0207 .14406 .19107E-03 -.92043 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.90142e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 19.6824 2 0.74918 3 0.281124 4 0.144116 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 8437.68245268 delta logL = 1.54060242606 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2248.9+2106 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 1.323e+01 1.968e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 3.096e+00 7.492e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.432e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 518 Prefactor: 1.021e+00 1.441e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 519 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 520 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 517 Normalization: 7.526e-01 2.811e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 12.67 Ra Dec: 342.246 21.116 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.10 +/- 0.75 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.40e-07 +/- 1.02e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.57e-05 +/- 1.82e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38592882/cmap_HighResolution_811123201_811382401_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2206.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='1.34e-07', energy_flux2='4.57e-05', photon_flux_error='6.26e-08', dlogl='1.54e+00', energy_flux='5.09e-05', photon_flux2='2.40e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-18 19:44:17.366065', photon_index_error2='0.75', photon_index2='3.10', ts='9.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.97', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='1.82e-05', EG='0.89', time_epoch_completed='1789785857.37', return_code='0', job_id='38592882', GAL2='1.02', EG2='0.75', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.38e-05', photon_flux_error2='1.02e-07', ts2='12.67', photon_index='2.30' WHERE bin_id='2206' AND source_name='4FGL J2248.9+2106' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Sep 18 19:44:17 PDT 2026