********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 9876.769 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 353 CALLS 1920 TOTAL EDM= .39E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 16.785 48.891 .27501E-03 -1.5626 2 norm .53198E-01 .49973 .24757E-02 -1.5703 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 8.6094 15.622 .33843E-03 -1.5649 4 norm 6.9618 4.5621 .37987E-03 -1.5655 5 Prefactor .0000 5.0683 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 1.2004 27.230 .10856E-02 -1.5686 7 Prefactor 1.0343 .23607 .49254E-02 -1.5505 8 Prefactor .10351E-03 6.9640 .91850E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm .69025 .90442 .61774E-03 -1.5691 10 norm 1.4208 1.1342 .90728E-03 -1.5684 11 Prefactor .92149E-08 11.128 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 4.9287 7.5633 .45472E-03 -1.5664 13 Prefactor .98581 .18440 .39214E-02 -1.5509 14 Prefactor 9.9902 8.1644 .31772E-03 -1.5645 15 Prefactor .30809E-06 12.634 .12604E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 21.309 26.881 .21944E-03 -1.5616 17 Prefactor .16653E-09 2.4727 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 8.2930 14.762 .34750E-03 -1.5650 19 Normalizat .72778 .22890 .95430E-01 -1.0281 20 Prefactor 1.2297 .12071 .33940E-01 -.85422 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.8623e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 48.8917 2 0.326097 3 15.6224 4 4.56213 5 1.60733e-05 6 11.4347 7 0.236072 8 0.00988915 9 0.90442 10 1.13423 11 0.000640342 12 7.56336 13 0.184403 14 8.16445 15 0.00394595 16 26.8807 17 3.89306e-05 18 14.7621 19 0.229203 20 0.120736 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 9876.769 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 353 CALLS 1920 TOTAL EDM= .39E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 16.785 48.891 .27501E-03 -1.5626 2 norm .53198E-01 .49973 .24757E-02 -1.5703 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 8.6094 15.622 .33843E-03 -1.5649 4 norm 6.9618 4.5621 .37987E-03 -1.5655 5 Prefactor .0000 5.0683 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 1.2004 27.230 .10856E-02 -1.5686 7 Prefactor 1.0343 .23607 .49254E-02 -1.5505 8 Prefactor .10351E-03 6.9640 .91850E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm .69025 .90442 .61774E-03 -1.5691 10 norm 1.4208 1.1342 .90728E-03 -1.5684 11 Prefactor .92149E-08 11.128 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 4.9287 7.5633 .45472E-03 -1.5664 13 Prefactor .98581 .18440 .39214E-02 -1.5509 14 Prefactor 9.9902 8.1644 .31772E-03 -1.5645 15 Prefactor .30809E-06 12.634 .12604E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 21.309 26.881 .21944E-03 -1.5616 17 Prefactor .16653E-09 2.4727 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 8.2930 14.762 .34750E-03 -1.5650 19 Normalizat .72778 .22890 .95430E-01 -1.0281 20 Prefactor 1.2297 .12071 .33940E-01 -.85422 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.8623e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 48.8917 2 0.326097 3 15.6224 4 4.56213 5 1.60733e-05 6 11.4347 7 0.236072 8 0.00988915 9 0.90442 10 1.13423 11 0.000640342 12 7.56336 13 0.184403 14 8.16445 15 0.00394595 16 26.8807 17 3.89306e-05 18 14.7621 19 0.229203 20 0.120736 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9876.76872138 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2248.9+2106 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 4.929e+00 7.563e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.298e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.432e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 518 Prefactor: 1.230e+00 1.207e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 519 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 520 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 517 Normalization: 7.278e-01 2.292e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.66 Ra Dec: 342.246 21.116 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.86358403349e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00680133582855 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27485854/likelihoodResults_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 9876.63316697 delta logL = 0.13555440135 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 9876.62171286 delta logL = 0.14700851212 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 2.5066 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.0032 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .70123 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2385 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5210E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 9876.622 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 61 CALLS 265 TOTAL EDM= .55E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 2.5000 70.685 .64516E-03 .85592E-02 2 Index 3.0046 3.4081 .15244 .17441E-03 3 Normalizat .70163 .57802E-01 .97058E-01 .72211E-04 4 Prefactor 1.2382 .29484E-01 .33779E-01 -.29710E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 2.50003 Index = 3.00461 Normalizat = 0.701632 Prefactor = 1.23817 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 9876.622 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 298 TOTAL EDM= .38E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 2.5000 23.639 .17872E-04 -1.5676 2 Index 3.0046 3.1204 .88902E-02 -.41051 3 Normalizat .70163 .26050 .43009E-03 -1.0383 4 Prefactor 1.2382 .14028 .18729E-03 -.85165 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.76704e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.3752 2 3.43207 3 0.260959 4 0.140323 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 9876.62170914 delta logL = 0.147012240657 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2248.9+2106 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 2.500e+00 1.538e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 3.005e+00 3.432e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.432e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 518 Prefactor: 1.238e+00 1.403e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 519 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 520 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 517 Normalization: 7.016e-01 2.610e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.66 Ra Dec: 342.246 21.116 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27485854/cmap_HighResolution_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.80e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.86e-08', time_completed='2026-05-30 18:37:37.169684', job_id='27485854', GAL2='1.24', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.70', EG='0.73', time_epoch_completed='1780191457.17', return_code2='0', ts='0.66', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.23', dlogl='1.47e-01', ts2='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.30' WHERE bin_id='2169' AND source_name='4FGL J2248.9+2106' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat May 30 18:37:37 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9876.76872138 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2248.9+2106 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 4.929e+00 7.563e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.298e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.432e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 518 Prefactor: 1.230e+00 1.207e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 519 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 520 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 517 Normalization: 7.278e-01 2.292e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.66 Ra Dec: 342.246 21.116 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.86358403349e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00680133582855 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27485849/likelihoodResults_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 9876.63316697 delta logL = 0.13555440135 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 9876.62171286 delta logL = 0.14700851212 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 2.5066 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.0032 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .70123 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2385 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5210E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 9876.622 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 61 CALLS 265 TOTAL EDM= .55E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 2.5000 70.685 .64516E-03 .85592E-02 2 Index 3.0046 3.4081 .15244 .17441E-03 3 Normalizat .70163 .57802E-01 .97058E-01 .72211E-04 4 Prefactor 1.2382 .29484E-01 .33779E-01 -.29710E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 2.50003 Index = 3.00461 Normalizat = 0.701632 Prefactor = 1.23817 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 9876.622 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 298 TOTAL EDM= .38E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 2.5000 23.639 .17872E-04 -1.5676 2 Index 3.0046 3.1204 .88902E-02 -.41051 3 Normalizat .70163 .26050 .43009E-03 -1.0383 4 Prefactor 1.2382 .14028 .18729E-03 -.85165 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.76704e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.3752 2 3.43207 3 0.260959 4 0.140323 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 9876.62170914 delta logL = 0.147012240657 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2248.9+2106 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 2.500e+00 1.538e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 3.005e+00 3.432e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.432e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 518 Prefactor: 1.238e+00 1.403e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 519 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 520 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 517 Normalization: 7.016e-01 2.610e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.66 Ra Dec: 342.246 21.116 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27485849/cmap_HighResolution_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.80e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.86e-08', time_completed='2026-05-30 18:37:42.786461', job_id='27485849', GAL2='1.24', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.70', EG='0.73', time_epoch_completed='1780191462.79', return_code2='0', ts='0.66', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.23', dlogl='1.47e-01', ts2='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.30' WHERE bin_id='2169' AND source_name='4FGL J2248.9+2106' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat May 30 18:37:42 PDT 2026 number of points = 7437 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169 RA = 342.246, Dec = 21.1159 tmin = 801532801, tmax = 801792001 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='27486214', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-05-30 18:37:12.721908', time_epoch_executed='1780191432.72' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2248.9+2106' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2169' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27486214 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27486214/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=801532801.0 && nMetStart<801792001.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=801532801.0 && nMetStart<801792001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ft1_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=801532801.0 && nMetStart<801792001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ft1_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits ra=342.246 dec=21.1159 rad=12.0 tmin=801532801.0 tmax=801792001.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.52 user 1.98 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.65 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 925 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ltcube_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits .....................! real 8.57 user 7.94 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ltcube_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/expmap_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ltcube_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits .....................! real 71.45 user 66.69 sys 3.90 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 160 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2248.9+2106 @ 342.246 21.1159 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/cmap_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=342.246 yref=21.1159 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.67 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/cmap_HighResolution_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=342.246 yref=21.1159 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.70 user 0.24 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/Model_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits.....................! real 43.01 user 41.17 sys 1.12 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/expmap_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ltcube_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27486214/Model_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2248.9+2106' 4FGL J2248.9+2106 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 1.757e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.298e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.432e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ft2_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27486214/expmap_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27486214/ltcube_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27486214/Model_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9876.90512146 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9876.77220422 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 13.242 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .55317E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 8.7595 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 6.9660 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .17429E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 1.1431 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 1.0333 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 8 'Prefactor ' .32638E-01 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 9 'norm ' .68695 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 1.4206 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .45397E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 4.8881 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .98559 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 14 'Prefactor ' 9.9318 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .24899E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 20.778 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .12698E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 8.3113 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Normalizat' .72790 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 20 'Prefactor ' 1.2308 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5210E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 9876.769 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 136 CALLS 1567 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 16.785 48.922 -.16988E-05 -.10268E-02 2 norm .53198E-01 1.8626 .44122E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 8.6094 1.6418 .11434E-06 .17958E-01 4 norm 6.9618 4.5421 -.32548E-06 -.26133E-02 5 Prefactor .0000 5.0695 .10763E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 1.2004 26.169 .22927E-05 .60868E-02 7 Prefactor 1.0343 .23251 .73089E-06 -.13514E-02 8 Prefactor .10351E-03 88.916 -.47654E-04** at limit ** 9 norm .69025 .89386 .24388E-06 .44745E-02 10 norm 1.4208 1.1340 .19241E-07 .47223E-02 11 Prefactor .92149E-08 11.099 .31591E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 4.9287 7.5382 -.25768E-06 -.88943E-03 13 Prefactor .98581 .18389 .75964E-07 .30694E-03 14 Prefactor 9.9902 8.1258 .51990E-06 .61663E-02 15 Prefactor .30809E-06 71.520 -.65903E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 21.309 25.323 -.22341E-06 .35745E-01 17 Prefactor .16653E-09 2.4496 .45513E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 8.2930 7.0400 -.29849E-06 -.11073 19 Normalizat .72778 .24517 -.77025E-05 -.70898E-04 20 Prefactor 1.2297 .13450 -.30299E-06 -.23811E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 16.7852 norm = 0.0531981 Prefactor = 8.60935 norm = 6.96176 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.20044 Prefactor = 1.03427 Prefactor = 0.00010351 norm = 0.690254 norm = 1.42076 Prefactor = 9.21485e-09 Prefactor = 4.92868 Prefactor = 0.985812 Prefactor = 9.99021 Prefactor = 3.08087e-07 Prefactor = 21.3091 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 8.29301 Normalizat = 0.727779 Prefactor = 1.2297 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 9876.769 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 353 CALLS 1920 TOTAL EDM= .39E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 16.785 48.891 .27501E-03 -1.5626 2 norm .53198E-01 .49973 .24757E-02 -1.5703 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 8.6094 15.622 .33843E-03 -1.5649 4 norm 6.9618 4.5621 .37987E-03 -1.5655 5 Prefactor .0000 5.0683 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 1.2004 27.230 .10856E-02 -1.5686 7 Prefactor 1.0343 .23607 .49254E-02 -1.5505 8 Prefactor .10351E-03 6.9640 .91850E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm .69025 .90442 .61774E-03 -1.5691 10 norm 1.4208 1.1342 .90728E-03 -1.5684 11 Prefactor .92149E-08 11.128 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 4.9287 7.5633 .45472E-03 -1.5664 13 Prefactor .98581 .18440 .39214E-02 -1.5509 14 Prefactor 9.9902 8.1644 .31772E-03 -1.5645 15 Prefactor .30809E-06 12.634 .12604E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 21.309 26.881 .21944E-03 -1.5616 17 Prefactor .16653E-09 2.4727 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 8.2930 14.762 .34750E-03 -1.5650 19 Normalizat .72778 .22890 .95430E-01 -1.0281 20 Prefactor 1.2297 .12071 .33940E-01 -.85422 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.8623e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 48.8917 2 0.326097 3 15.6224 4 4.56213 5 1.60733e-05 6 11.4347 7 0.236072 8 0.00988915 9 0.90442 10 1.13423 11 0.000640342 12 7.56336 13 0.184403 14 8.16445 15 0.00394595 16 26.8807 17 3.89306e-05 18 14.7621 19 0.229203 20 0.120736 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9876.76872138 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2248.9+2106 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 4.929e+00 7.563e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 2.298e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 309 Scale: 1.432e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 518 Prefactor: 1.230e+00 1.207e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 519 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 520 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 517 Normalization: 7.278e-01 2.292e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.66 Ra Dec: 342.246 21.116 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.86358403349e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00680133582855 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27486214/likelihoodResults_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 9876.63316697 delta logL = 0.13555440135 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 9876.62171286 delta logL = 0.14700851212 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 2.5066 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.0032 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .70123 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2385 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5210E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 9876.622 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 61 CALLS 265 TOTAL EDM= .55E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 2.5000 70.685 .64516E-03 .85592E-02 2 Index 3.0046 3.4081 .15244 .17441E-03 3 Normalizat .70163 .57802E-01 .97058E-01 .72211E-04 4 Prefactor 1.2382 .29484E-01 .33779E-01 -.29710E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 2.50003 Index = 3.00461 Normalizat = 0.701632 Prefactor = 1.23817 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 9876.622 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 298 TOTAL EDM= .38E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 2.5000 23.639 .17872E-04 -1.5676 2 Index 3.0046 3.1204 .88902E-02 -.41051 3 Normalizat .70163 .26050 .43009E-03 -1.0383 4 Prefactor 1.2382 .14028 .18729E-03 -.85165 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.76704e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.3752 2 3.43207 3 0.260959 4 0.140323 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 9876.62170914 delta logL = 0.147012240657 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2248.9+2106 Spectrum: PowerLaw 307 Prefactor: 2.500e+00 1.538e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 308 Index: 3.005e+00 3.432e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 309 Scale: 1.432e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 518 Prefactor: 1.238e+00 1.403e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 519 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 520 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 517 Normalization: 7.016e-01 2.610e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.66 Ra Dec: 342.246 21.116 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27486214/cmap_HighResolution_801532801_801792001_4FGL_J2248.9+2106_daily_bin2169.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.80e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.86e-08', time_completed='2026-05-30 18:43:29.302329', job_id='27486214', GAL2='1.24', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.70', EG='0.73', time_epoch_completed='1780191809.3', return_code2='0', ts='0.66', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.23', dlogl='1.47e-01', ts2='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.30' WHERE bin_id='2169' AND source_name='4FGL J2248.9+2106' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat May 30 18:43:29 PDT 2026