********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5206.594 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 453 CALLS 3394 TOTAL EDM= .27E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49960E-09 41.020 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 15.113 177.30 .27714E-03 -1.5630 3 norm 1.4910 .58872 .75098E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor .63949E-07 14.078 .88284E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 13.679 13.289 .27092E-03 -1.5634 6 Prefactor 5.4846 19.494 .43194E-03 -1.5661 7 Prefactor .51070E-08 96.596 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .69206E-06 32.076 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 9.3538 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 1.8402 .90479 .76868E-03 -1.5681 11 norm 5.5902 3.0520 .42472E-03 -1.5661 12 Prefactor .13394E-04 42.619 .16291E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .75390E-06 33.956 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 2.2783 23.552 .68778E-03 -1.5678 15 norm .0000 1.0989 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .0000 1.6738 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 4.4487 61.007 .47533E-03 -1.5666 18 Prefactor .0000 7.8936 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .27756E-09 14.328 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 norm 1.6034 .77527 .83688E-03 -1.5683 21 Prefactor .0000 3.5484 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor .0000 5.1588 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Normalizat 1.4755 .23044 .55810E-01 -.78469 24 Prefactor .76971 .18831 .43322E-01 -1.0085 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.71933e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000293234 2 103.534 3 0.588724 4 0.00189794 5 13.2893 6 19.4942 7 0.00140649 8 0.00942292 9 5.0958e-05 10 0.904794 11 3.05203 12 0.0477855 13 0.0101193 14 14.6504 15 7.20187e-07 16 2.35622e-08 17 32.9492 18 2.22896e-05 19 0.000123735 20 0.775274 21 9.83115e-07 22 9.8414e-06 23 0.230606 24 0.188467 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5206.5936006 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2236.4-2309 Spectrum: PowerLaw 247 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 5.096e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 248 Index: 2.743e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 249 Scale: 4.484e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 509 Prefactor: 7.697e-01 1.885e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 510 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 511 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 508 Normalization: 1.475e+00 2.306e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 339.125 -23.155 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.96954038133e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00786743704646 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31965928/likelihoodResults_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5206.59374338 delta logL = -0.000142777694236 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5206.59360066 delta logL = -5.766924005e-08 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .82656E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8633 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4754 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .76975 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5120E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 5206.594 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 40 CALLS 247 TOTAL EDM= .15E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 17.872 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.1950 1.0897 .62933E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.4755 1.0524 -.79372E-06 .11263E-04 4 Prefactor .76971 1.1190 .35458E-05 .12179E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.195 Normalizat = 1.47549 Prefactor = 0.76971 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 5206.594 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 256 TOTAL EDM= .15E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 17.872 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .53134 1.7626 .62933E-04 -.59559 3 Normalizat 1.4755 1.0524 -.79372E-06 -.78469 4 Prefactor .76971 1.1190 .35458E-05 -1.0085 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.49168e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.15533e-06 2 1.10267 3 1.06857 4 1.15474 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 5206.5936006 delta logL = 3.63797880709e-12 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2236.4-2309 Spectrum: PowerLaw 247 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 4.155e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 248 Index: 2.195e+00 1.103e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 249 Scale: 4.484e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 509 Prefactor: 7.697e-01 1.155e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 510 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 511 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 508 Normalization: 1.475e+00 1.069e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 339.125 -23.155 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31965928/cmap_HighResolution_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.87e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.97e-08', time_completed='2026-07-16 18:32:35.410814', job_id='31965928', GAL2='0.77', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.48', EG='1.48', time_epoch_completed='1784251955.41', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.77', dlogl='3.64e-12', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.74' WHERE bin_id='2180' AND source_name='4FGL J2236.4-2309' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 16 18:32:35 PDT 2026 number of points = 7669 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180 RA = 339.125, Dec = -23.1552 tmin = 804384001, tmax = 804643201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31966241', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-16 18:32:21.850171', time_epoch_executed='1784251941.85' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2236.4-2309' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2180' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31966241 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31966241/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804384001.0 && nMetStart<804643201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804384001.0 && nMetStart<804643201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ft1_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804384001.0 && nMetStart<804643201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ft2_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ft1_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits ra=339.125 dec=-23.1552 rad=12.0 tmin=804384001.0 tmax=804643201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 1.85 user 1.49 sys 0.15 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ft2_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ft2_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.49 user 0.18 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 465 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ft2_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ft2_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits .....................! real 7.93 user 7.50 sys 0.19 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ft2_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/expmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits .....................! real 59.40 user 55.36 sys 3.42 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 159 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2236.4-2309 @ 339.125 -23.1552 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ft2_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/cmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=339.125 yref=-23.1552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.54 user 0.18 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ft2_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/cmap_HighResolution_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=339.125 yref=-23.1552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.61 user 0.20 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ft2_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/Model_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits.....................! real 16.43 user 15.32 sys 0.76 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ft2_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/expmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31966241/Model_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2236.4-2309' 4FGL J2236.4-2309 Spectrum: PowerLaw 247 Prefactor: 4.382e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 248 Index: 2.743e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 249 Scale: 4.484e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ft2_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31966241/expmap_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31966241/ltcube_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31966241/Model_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5206.59822819 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5206.59467436 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .12683E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 13.039 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.4933 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .14740 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 13.643 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 5.4065 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .16716E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .62707E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .69394E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 1.8401 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 5.5886 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .33093E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .81510E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 2.2322 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .52180E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .64726E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 4.4825 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .79854E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .96034E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 1.6029 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .40332E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .69738E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Normalizat' 1.4758 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 24 'Prefactor ' .76975 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5120E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5206.594 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 197 CALLS 2941 TOTAL EDM= .14E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .49960E-09 41.565 .84651E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 15.113 175.24 -.70139E-05 -.34557E-03 3 norm 1.4910 .58891 .67972E-07 -.25019E-03 4 Prefactor .63949E-07 130.49 .11317E-05** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 13.679 13.273 -.60337E-06 .11004E-02 6 Prefactor 5.4846 3.6148 .68518E-06 .20979E-01 7 Prefactor .51070E-08 96.801 .27483E-05** at limit ** 8 norm .69206E-06 23.506 -.12957E-05** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 9.3426 .31249E-06** at limit ** 10 norm 1.8402 .90284 .12911E-06 .66170E-03 11 norm 5.5902 2.8950 .29864E-06 .19200E-02 12 Prefactor .13394E-04 210.93 -.12837E-04** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .75390E-06 23.328 .35053E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 2.2783 11.507 -.21197E-05 -.17440E-02 15 norm .0000 1.0969 -.35366E-06** at limit ** 16 norm .0000 1.6756 -.34161E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 4.4487 6.3698 -.15906E-05 .11263E-01 18 Prefactor .0000 7.8913 .54521E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .27756E-09 14.339 -.88604E-06** at limit ** 20 norm 1.6034 .77190 -.31338E-06 .95536E-03 21 Prefactor .0000 3.5538 .22051E-07** at limit ** 22 Prefactor .0000 5.1566 .79720E-07** at limit ** 23 Normalizat 1.4755 .27139 -.20540E-05 -.10640E-05 24 Prefactor .76971 .22420 .22831E-04 -.15025E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.996e-10 Prefactor = 15.1132 norm = 1.491 Prefactor = 6.39488e-08 Prefactor = 13.6793 Prefactor = 5.48456 Prefactor = 5.10703e-09 norm = 6.92058e-07 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 1.84021 norm = 5.59022 Prefactor = 1.33944e-05 Prefactor = 7.53897e-07 Prefactor = 2.2783 norm = 0 norm = 0 Prefactor = 4.44873 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 norm = 1.60339 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.47549 Prefactor = 0.76971 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5206.594 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 453 CALLS 3394 TOTAL EDM= .27E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .49960E-09 41.020 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 15.113 177.30 .27714E-03 -1.5630 3 norm 1.4910 .58872 .75098E-03 -1.5684 4 Prefactor .63949E-07 14.078 .88284E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 13.679 13.289 .27092E-03 -1.5634 6 Prefactor 5.4846 19.494 .43194E-03 -1.5661 7 Prefactor .51070E-08 96.596 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .69206E-06 32.076 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 9.3538 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 1.8402 .90479 .76868E-03 -1.5681 11 norm 5.5902 3.0520 .42472E-03 -1.5661 12 Prefactor .13394E-04 42.619 .16291E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .75390E-06 33.956 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 2.2783 23.552 .68778E-03 -1.5678 15 norm .0000 1.0989 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .0000 1.6738 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 4.4487 61.007 .47533E-03 -1.5666 18 Prefactor .0000 7.8936 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .27756E-09 14.328 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 norm 1.6034 .77527 .83688E-03 -1.5683 21 Prefactor .0000 3.5484 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor .0000 5.1588 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Normalizat 1.4755 .23044 .55810E-01 -.78469 24 Prefactor .76971 .18831 .43322E-01 -1.0085 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.71933e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000293234 2 103.534 3 0.588724 4 0.00189794 5 13.2893 6 19.4942 7 0.00140649 8 0.00942292 9 5.0958e-05 10 0.904794 11 3.05203 12 0.0477855 13 0.0101193 14 14.6504 15 7.20187e-07 16 2.35622e-08 17 32.9492 18 2.22896e-05 19 0.000123735 20 0.775274 21 9.83115e-07 22 9.8414e-06 23 0.230606 24 0.188467 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5206.5936006 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2236.4-2309 Spectrum: PowerLaw 247 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 5.096e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 248 Index: 2.743e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 249 Scale: 4.484e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 509 Prefactor: 7.697e-01 1.885e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 510 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 511 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 508 Normalization: 1.475e+00 2.306e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 339.125 -23.155 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 9.96954038133e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00786743704646 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31966241/likelihoodResults_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5206.59374338 delta logL = -0.000142777694236 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5206.59360066 delta logL = -5.766924005e-08 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .82656E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8633 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4754 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .76975 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5120E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 5206.594 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 40 CALLS 247 TOTAL EDM= .15E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 17.872 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.1950 1.0897 .62933E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.4755 1.0524 -.79372E-06 .11263E-04 4 Prefactor .76971 1.1190 .35458E-05 .12179E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.195 Normalizat = 1.47549 Prefactor = 0.76971 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 5206.594 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 256 TOTAL EDM= .15E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 17.872 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .53134 1.7626 .62933E-04 -.59559 3 Normalizat 1.4755 1.0524 -.79372E-06 -.78469 4 Prefactor .76971 1.1190 .35458E-05 -1.0085 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.49168e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.15533e-06 2 1.10267 3 1.06857 4 1.15474 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 5206.5936006 delta logL = 3.63797880709e-12 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2236.4-2309 Spectrum: PowerLaw 247 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 4.155e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 248 Index: 2.195e+00 1.103e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 249 Scale: 4.484e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 509 Prefactor: 7.697e-01 1.155e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 510 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 511 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 508 Normalization: 1.475e+00 1.069e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 339.125 -23.155 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31966241/cmap_HighResolution_804384001_804643201_4FGL_J2236.4-2309_daily_bin2180.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='7.87e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='9.97e-08', time_completed='2026-07-16 18:36:11.744097', job_id='31966241', GAL2='0.77', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.48', EG='1.48', time_epoch_completed='1784252171.74', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.77', dlogl='3.64e-12', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.74' WHERE bin_id='2180' AND source_name='4FGL J2236.4-2309' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 16 18:36:11 PDT 2026