/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .47169E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .19595E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' .84538 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.1292 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5880E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 16048.52 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 189 CALLS 2365 TOTAL EDM= .39E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 8.9999 5.2936 -.20489E-06 -.18077E-02 2 Prefactor .38025E-07 2.4963 .11407E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .16653E-09 5.1296 .11826E-05** at limit ** 4 norm 10.981 2.9130 -.45060E-07 .27019E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 1.1677 .58637E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .0000 1.5207 -.11621E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 32.706 11.210 -.49763E-06 .10248 8 Prefactor 7.8641 4.8837 .76670E-07 -.30127E-02 9 Prefactor 1.1534 2.0228 .24943E-06 .32150E-03 10 Prefactor .14155E-07 40.161 -.23482E-05** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 1.0785 .65972E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 2.3192 3.5742 -.23229E-06 .10452E-02 13 Prefactor .0000 .52596 .17394E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .94591E-07 5.9590 -.91597E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 9.4385 3.9311 .21962E-06 -.20000E-03 16 Prefactor 6.1748 8.3121 -.31542E-06 -.47434E-02 17 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.7632 -.14813E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 8.7354 2.8263 -.35435E-06 .30001E-02 19 Prefactor .0000 1.4420 -.28030E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .88929E-07 7.3213 -.97501E-06** at limit ** 21 Prefactor .42411E-07 1.9746 .95332E-06** at limit ** 22 norm .21285 6.8849 -.23419E-05** at limit ** 23 norm .0000 .87225 .13792E-06** at limit ** 24 norm 1.1507 2.4868 -.29936E-06 -.12060E-03 25 Prefactor 5.8013 3.5641 .61357E-07 -.14221E-03 26 Prefactor 19.732 20.463 .45831E-06 -.39365E-01 27 norm .16051 11.110 .58666E-06** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .41966E-07 2.0527 .10676E-05** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .22835 -.18656E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat .84609 .12853 .37787E-05 -.41155E-04 31 Prefactor 1.1290 .11912 -.20586E-05 -.49355E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 8.99993 Prefactor = 3.80251e-08 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 10.9807 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 32.706 Prefactor = 7.86406 Prefactor = 1.15336 Prefactor = 1.41553e-08 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.31923 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 9.4591e-08 Prefactor = 9.43847 Prefactor = 6.17477 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 8.73538 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.89289e-08 Prefactor = 4.24105e-08 norm = 0.212846 norm = 0 norm = 1.15072 Prefactor = 5.80134 Prefactor = 19.7316 norm = 0.160511 Prefactor = 4.19664e-08 norm = 0 Normalizat = 0.846086 Prefactor = 1.12899 Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 17454 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948 RA = 337.758, Dec = -44.2791 tmin = 812332801, tmax = 812937601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='40071676', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-10-06 19:07:39.788604', time_epoch_executed='1791338859.79' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2231.0-4416' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='948' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40071676 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40071676/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=812332801.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=812332801.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ft1_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=812332801.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ft1_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits ra=337.758 dec=-44.2791 rad=12.0 tmin=812332801.0 tmax=812937601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 6.65 user 5.87 sys 0.24 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.99 user 0.25 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1486 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16048.518233 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.677e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.427e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 585 Prefactor: 1.129e+00 1.036e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 586 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 587 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 584 Normalization: 8.461e-01 1.125e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 337.758 -44.279 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.28235179614e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0017667431926 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40071005/likelihoodResults_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16048.5188618 delta logL = -0.000628782459899 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16048.5182358 delta logL = -2.86563408736e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .26351E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8417 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .84637 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1288 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5880E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 16048.52 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 57 CALLS 250 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .33050E-02 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.3667 5.6605 .50000 .13642E-09 3 Normalizat .84609 .20158E-03 .44212E-01 -.45997E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1290 .19387E-03 .36584E-01 -.63459E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Index = 2.36671 Normalizat = 0.846086 Prefactor = 1.12899 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 16048.52 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .16E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .19797E-01 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.3667 8.1156 .50000 -.55466 3 Normalizat .84609 .49209E-03 .26011E-03 -.98381 4 Prefactor 1.1290 .47348E-03 .21868E-03 -.88545 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.59372e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.78435e-06 2 11284.3 3 0.000492086 4 0.000473479 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16048.518233 delta logL = -1.16415321827e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 1.784e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.367e+00 1.128e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 585 Prefactor: 1.129e+00 4.735e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 586 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 587 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 584 Normalization: 8.461e-01 4.921e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 337.758 -44.279 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40071005/cmap_HighResolution_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.77e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.28e-08', time_completed='2026-10-06 19:14:36.278167', job_id='40071005', GAL2='1.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.85', EG='0.85', time_epoch_completed='1791339276.28', return_code2='102', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.13', dlogl='-1.16e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.43' WHERE bin_id='948' AND source_name='4FGL J2231.0-4416' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Oct 6 19:14:36 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 16048.52 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 692 CALLS 3057 TOTAL EDM= .28E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 8.9999 5.3103 .33380E-03 -1.5648 2 Prefactor .38025E-07 7.4996 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .16653E-09 1.0548 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 10.981 2.9154 .30239E-03 -1.5642 5 Prefactor .0000 9.0274 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 1.5179 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 32.706 19.323 .17389E-03 -1.5594 8 Prefactor 7.8641 5.0043 .35772E-03 -1.5652 9 Prefactor 1.1534 2.0447 .10750E-02 -1.5686 10 Prefactor .14155E-07 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 1.0780 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 2.3192 3.5867 .67262E-03 -1.5678 13 Prefactor .0000 .52819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .94591E-07 6.7056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 9.4385 4.0293 .32584E-03 -1.5647 16 Prefactor 6.1748 8.3269 .40353E-03 -1.5658 17 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.7717 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 8.7354 14.820 .33923E-03 -1.5649 19 Prefactor .0000 1.4398 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .88929E-07 8.2914 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor .42411E-07 7.4115 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm .21285 3.8320 .10303E-01 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .0000 .87184 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 1.1507 2.4421 .10835E-02 -1.5687 25 Prefactor 5.8013 3.5830 .41602E-03 -1.5660 26 Prefactor 19.732 21.545 .22011E-03 -1.5619 27 norm .16051 1.1425 .66950E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .41966E-07 7.5558 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .22545 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat .84609 .11248 .44200E-01 -.98381 31 Prefactor 1.1290 .10357 .36571E-01 -.88545 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.78243e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.31033 2 0.00106765 3 2.61649e-05 4 2.91542 5 1.16215e-05 6 2.24851e-06 7 19.3227 8 5.00428 9 2.04474 10 0.00150938 11 2.5101e-07 12 3.58674 13 3.67699e-07 14 0.0015927 15 4.02931 16 8.32688 17 2.14755e-05 18 14.82 19 2.43954e-06 20 0.00171751 21 0.00112097 22 1.80624 23 2.71079e-06 24 2.44206 25 3.58304 26 21.5455 27 0.856476 28 0.00112603 29 6.68139e-07 30 0.112512 31 0.103585 source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40071155/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits.....................! real 43.47 user 41.46 sys 1.34 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40071155/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40071155/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40071155/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40071155/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40071155/Model_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2231.0-4416' 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 1.304e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.427e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40071155/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40071155/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40071155/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40071155/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40071155/Model_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16048.5687346 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16048.5194242 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.0028 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .51058E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .14848E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 10.959 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .45342E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10004E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 33.080 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 7.8468 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 1.1543 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .27066E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .20682E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 2.3234 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .0000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .53164E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 9.4451 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 6.1819 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .13581E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 8.7186 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .17533E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .55743E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .50577E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .29358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .11090E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 1.1453 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' 5.8212 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 20.652 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .95365E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .47169E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .19595E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' .84538 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.1292 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5880E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 16048.52 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 189 CALLS 2365 TOTAL EDM= .39E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 8.9999 5.2936 -.20489E-06 -.18077E-02 2 Prefactor .38025E-07 2.4963 .11407E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .16653E-09 5.1296 .11826E-05** at limit ** 4 norm 10.981 2.9130 -.45060E-07 .27019E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 1.1677 .58637E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .0000 1.5207 -.11621E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 32.706 11.210 -.49763E-06 .10248 8 Prefactor 7.8641 4.8837 .76670E-07 -.30127E-02 9 Prefactor 1.1534 2.0228 .24943E-06 .32150E-03 10 Prefactor .14155E-07 40.161 -.23482E-05** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 1.0785 .65972E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 2.3192 3.5742 -.23229E-06 .10452E-02 13 Prefactor .0000 .52596 .17394E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .94591E-07 5.9590 -.91597E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 9.4385 3.9311 .21962E-06 -.20000E-03 16 Prefactor 6.1748 8.3121 -.31542E-06 -.47434E-02 17 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.7632 -.14813E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 8.7354 2.8263 -.35435E-06 .30001E-02 19 Prefactor .0000 1.4420 -.28030E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .88929E-07 7.3213 -.97501E-06** at limit ** 21 Prefactor .42411E-07 1.9746 .95332E-06** at limit ** 22 norm .21285 6.8849 -.23419E-05** at limit ** 23 norm .0000 .87225 .13792E-06** at limit ** 24 norm 1.1507 2.4868 -.29936E-06 -.12060E-03 25 Prefactor 5.8013 3.5641 .61357E-07 -.14221E-03 26 Prefactor 19.732 20.463 .45831E-06 -.39365E-01 27 norm .16051 11.110 .58666E-06** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .41966E-07 2.0527 .10676E-05** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .22835 -.18656E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat .84609 .12853 .37787E-05 -.41155E-04 31 Prefactor 1.1290 .11912 -.20586E-05 -.49355E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 8.99993 Prefactor = 3.80251e-08 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 10.9807 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 32.706 Prefactor = 7.86406 Prefactor = 1.15336 Prefactor = 1.41553e-08 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.31923 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 9.4591e-08 Prefactor = 9.43847 Prefactor = 6.17477 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 8.73538 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.89289e-08 Prefactor = 4.24105e-08 norm = 0.212846 norm = 0 norm = 1.15072 Prefactor = 5.80134 Prefactor = 19.7316 norm = 0.160511 Prefactor = 4.19664e-08 norm = 0 Normalizat = 0.846086 Prefactor = 1.12899 ource GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40071186/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits.....................! real 45.60 user 43.80 sys 1.19 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40071186/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40071186/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40071186/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40071186/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40071186/Model_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2231.0-4416' 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 1.304e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.427e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40071186/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40071186/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40071186/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40071186/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40071186/Model_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16048.5687346 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16048.5194242 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.0028 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .51058E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .14848E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 10.959 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .45342E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10004E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 33.080 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 7.8468 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 1.1543 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .27066E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .20682E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 2.3234 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .0000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .53164E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 9.4451 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 6.1819 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .13581E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 8.7186 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .17533E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .55743E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .50577E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .29358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .11090E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 1.1453 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' 5.8212 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 20.652 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .95365E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .47169E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .19595E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' .84538 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.1292 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5880E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 16048.52 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 189 CALLS 2365 TOTAL EDM= .39E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 8.9999 5.2936 -.20489E-06 -.18077E-02 2 Prefactor .38025E-07 2.4963 .11407E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .16653E-09 5.1296 .11826E-05** at limit ** 4 norm 10.981 2.9130 -.45060E-07 .27019E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 1.1677 .58637E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .0000 1.5207 -.11621E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 32.706 11.210 -.49763E-06 .10248 8 Prefactor 7.8641 4.8837 .76670E-07 -.30127E-02 9 Prefactor 1.1534 2.0228 .24943E-06 .32150E-03 10 Prefactor .14155E-07 40.161 -.23482E-05** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 1.0785 .65972E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 2.3192 3.5742 -.23229E-06 .10452E-02 13 Prefactor .0000 .52596 .17394E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .94591E-07 5.9590 -.91597E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 9.4385 3.9311 .21962E-06 -.20000E-03 16 Prefactor 6.1748 8.3121 -.31542E-06 -.47434E-02 17 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.7632 -.14813E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 8.7354 2.8263 -.35435E-06 .30001E-02 19 Prefactor .0000 1.4420 -.28030E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .88929E-07 7.3213 -.97501E-06** at limit ** 21 Prefactor .42411E-07 1.9746 .95332E-06** at limit ** 22 norm .21285 6.8849 -.23419E-05** at limit ** 23 norm .0000 .87225 .13792E-06** at limit ** 24 norm 1.1507 2.4868 -.29936E-06 -.12060E-03 25 Prefactor 5.8013 3.5641 .61357E-07 -.14221E-03 26 Prefactor 19.732 20.463 .45831E-06 -.39365E-01 27 norm .16051 11.110 .58666E-06** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .41966E-07 2.0527 .10676E-05** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .22835 -.18656E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat .84609 .12853 .37787E-05 -.41155E-04 31 Prefactor 1.1290 .11912 -.20586E-05 -.49355E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 8.99993 Prefactor = 3.80251e-08 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 10.9807 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 32.706 Prefactor = 7.86406 Prefactor = 1.15336 Prefactor = 1.41553e-08 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.31923 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 9.4591e-08 Prefactor = 9.43847 Prefactor = 6.17477 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 8.73538 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.89289e-08 Prefactor = 4.24105e-08 norm = 0.212846 norm = 0 norm = 1.15072 Prefactor = 5.80134 Prefactor = 19.7316 norm = 0.160511 Prefactor = 4.19664e-08 norm = 0 Normalizat = 0.846086 Prefactor = 1.12899 source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40071158/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits.....................! real 44.91 user 43.11 sys 0.93 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40071158/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40071158/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40071158/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40071158/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40071158/Model_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2231.0-4416' 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 1.304e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.427e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40071158/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40071158/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40071158/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40071158/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40071158/Model_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16048.5687346 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16048.5194242 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.0028 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .51058E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .14848E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 10.959 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .45342E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10004E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 33.080 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 7.8468 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 1.1543 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .27066E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .20682E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 2.3234 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .0000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .53164E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 9.4451 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 6.1819 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .13581E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 8.7186 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .17533E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .55743E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .50577E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .29358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .11090E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 1.1453 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' 5.8212 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 20.652 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .95365E-01 1.0000 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16048.518233 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.677e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.427e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 585 Prefactor: 1.129e+00 1.036e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 586 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 587 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 584 Normalization: 8.461e-01 1.125e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 337.758 -44.279 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.28235179614e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0017667431926 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40071049/likelihoodResults_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16048.5188618 delta logL = -0.000628782459899 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16048.5182358 delta logL = -2.86563408736e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .26351E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8417 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .84637 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1288 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5880E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 16048.52 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 57 CALLS 250 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .33050E-02 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.3667 5.6605 .50000 .13642E-09 3 Normalizat .84609 .20158E-03 .44212E-01 -.45997E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1290 .19387E-03 .36584E-01 -.63459E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Index = 2.36671 Normalizat = 0.846086 Prefactor = 1.12899 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 16048.52 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .16E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .19797E-01 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.3667 8.1156 .50000 -.55466 3 Normalizat .84609 .49209E-03 .26011E-03 -.98381 4 Prefactor 1.1290 .47348E-03 .21868E-03 -.88545 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.59372e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.78435e-06 2 11284.3 3 0.000492086 4 0.000473479 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16048.518233 delta logL = -1.16415321827e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 1.784e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.367e+00 1.128e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 585 Prefactor: 1.129e+00 4.735e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 586 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 587 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 584 Normalization: 8.461e-01 4.921e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 337.758 -44.279 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40071049/cmap_HighResolution_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.77e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.28e-08', time_completed='2026-10-06 19:16:48.564740', job_id='40071049', GAL2='1.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.85', EG='0.85', time_epoch_completed='1791339408.56', return_code2='102', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.13', dlogl='-1.16e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.43' WHERE bin_id='948' AND source_name='4FGL J2231.0-4416' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Oct 6 19:16:49 PDT 2026 A" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits .....................! real 22.23 user 21.35 sys 0.31 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits .....................! real 81.51 user 75.84 sys 4.57 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 182 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2231.0-4416 @ 337.758 -44.2791 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/cmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=337.758 yref=-44.2791 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.75 user 0.29 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/cmap_HighResolution_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=337.758 yref=-44.2791 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.96 user 0.28 sys 0.15 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/Model_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .47169E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .19595E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' .84538 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.1292 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5880E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 16048.52 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 189 CALLS 2365 TOTAL EDM= .39E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 8.9999 5.2936 -.20489E-06 -.18077E-02 2 Prefactor .38025E-07 2.4963 .11407E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .16653E-09 5.1296 .11826E-05** at limit ** 4 norm 10.981 2.9130 -.45060E-07 .27019E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 1.1677 .58637E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .0000 1.5207 -.11621E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 32.706 11.210 -.49763E-06 .10248 8 Prefactor 7.8641 4.8837 .76670E-07 -.30127E-02 9 Prefactor 1.1534 2.0228 .24943E-06 .32150E-03 10 Prefactor .14155E-07 40.161 -.23482E-05** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 1.0785 .65972E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 2.3192 3.5742 -.23229E-06 .10452E-02 13 Prefactor .0000 .52596 .17394E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .94591E-07 5.9590 -.91597E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 9.4385 3.9311 .21962E-06 -.20000E-03 16 Prefactor 6.1748 8.3121 -.31542E-06 -.47434E-02 17 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.7632 -.14813E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 8.7354 2.8263 -.35435E-06 .30001E-02 19 Prefactor .0000 1.4420 -.28030E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .88929E-07 7.3213 -.97501E-06** at limit ** 21 Prefactor .42411E-07 1.9746 .95332E-06** at limit ** 22 norm .21285 6.8849 -.23419E-05** at limit ** 23 norm .0000 .87225 .13792E-06** at limit ** 24 norm 1.1507 2.4868 -.29936E-06 -.12060E-03 25 Prefactor 5.8013 3.5641 .61357E-07 -.14221E-03 26 Prefactor 19.732 20.463 .45831E-06 -.39365E-01 27 norm .16051 11.110 .58666E-06** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .41966E-07 2.0527 .10676E-05** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .22835 -.18656E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat .84609 .12853 .37787E-05 -.41155E-04 31 Prefactor 1.1290 .11912 -.20586E-05 -.49355E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 8.99993 Prefactor = 3.80251e-08 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 10.9807 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 32.706 Prefactor = 7.86406 Prefactor = 1.15336 Prefactor = 1.41553e-08 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.31923 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 9.4591e-08 Prefactor = 9.43847 Prefactor = 6.17477 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 8.73538 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.89289e-08 Prefactor = 4.24105e-08 norm = 0.212846 norm = 0 norm = 1.15072 Prefactor = 5.80134 Prefactor = 19.7316 norm = 0.160511 Prefactor = 4.19664e-08 norm = 0 Normalizat = 0.846086 Prefactor = 1.12899 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 16048.52 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 692 CALLS 3057 TOTAL EDM= .28E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 8.9999 5.3103 .33380E-03 -1.5648 2 Prefactor .38025E-07 7.4996 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .16653E-09 1.0548 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 10.981 2.9154 .30239E-03 -1.5642 5 Prefactor .0000 9.0274 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 1.5179 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 32.706 19.323 .17389E-03 -1.5594 8 Prefactor 7.8641 5.0043 .35772E-03 -1.5652 9 Prefactor 1.1534 2.0447 .10750E-02 -1.5686 10 Prefactor .14155E-07 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 1.0780 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 2.3192 3.5867 .67262E-03 -1.5678 13 Prefactor .0000 .52819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .94591E-07 6.7056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 9.4385 4.0293 .32584E-03 -1.5647 16 Prefactor 6.1748 8.3269 .40353E-03 -1.5658 17 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.7717 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 8.7354 14.820 .33923E-03 -1.5649 19 Prefactor .0000 1.4398 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .88929E-07 8.2914 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor .42411E-07 7.4115 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm .21285 3.8320 .10303E-01 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .0000 .87184 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 1.1507 2.4421 .10835E-02 -1.5687 25 Prefactor 5.8013 3.5830 .41602E-03 -1.5660 26 Prefactor 19.732 21.545 .22011E-03 -1.5619 27 norm .16051 1.1425 .66950E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .41966E-07 7.5558 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .22545 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat .84609 .11248 .44200E-01 -.98381 31 Prefactor 1.1290 .10357 .36571E-01 -.88545 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.78243e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.31033 2 0.00106765 3 2.61649e-05 4 2.91542 5 1.16215e-05 6 2.24851e-06 7 19.3227 8 5.00428 9 2.04474 10 0.00150938 11 2.5101e-07 12 3.58674 13 3.67699e-07 14 0.0015927 15 4.02931 16 8.32688 17 2.14755e-05 18 14.82 19 2.43954e-06 20 0.00171751 21 0.00112097 22 1.80624 23 2.71079e-06 24 2.44206 25 3.58304 26 21.5455 27 0.856476 28 0.00112603 29 6.68139e-07 30 0.112512 31 0.103585 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 16048.52 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 692 CALLS 3057 TOTAL EDM= .28E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 8.9999 5.3103 .33380E-03 -1.5648 2 Prefactor .38025E-07 7.4996 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .16653E-09 1.0548 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 10.981 2.9154 .30239E-03 -1.5642 5 Prefactor .0000 9.0274 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 1.5179 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 32.706 19.323 .17389E-03 -1.5594 8 Prefactor 7.8641 5.0043 .35772E-03 -1.5652 9 Prefactor 1.1534 2.0447 .10750E-02 -1.5686 10 Prefactor .14155E-07 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 1.0780 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 2.3192 3.5867 .67262E-03 -1.5678 13 Prefactor .0000 .52819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .94591E-07 6.7056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 9.4385 4.0293 .32584E-03 -1.5647 16 Prefactor 6.1748 8.3269 .40353E-03 -1.5658 17 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.7717 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 8.7354 14.820 .33923E-03 -1.5649 19 Prefactor .0000 1.4398 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .88929E-07 8.2914 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor .42411E-07 7.4115 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm .21285 3.8320 .10303E-01 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .0000 .87184 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 1.1507 2.4421 .10835E-02 -1.5687 25 Prefactor 5.8013 3.5830 .41602E-03 -1.5660 26 Prefactor 19.732 21.545 .22011E-03 -1.5619 27 norm .16051 1.1425 .66950E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .41966E-07 7.5558 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .22545 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat .84609 .11248 .44200E-01 -.98381 31 Prefactor 1.1290 .10357 .36571E-01 -.88545 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.78243e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.31033 2 0.00106765 3 2.61649e-05 4 2.91542 5 1.16215e-05 6 2.24851e-06 7 19.3227 8 5.00428 9 2.04474 10 0.00150938 11 2.5101e-07 12 3.58674 13 3.67699e-07 14 0.0015927 15 4.02931 16 8.32688 17 2.14755e-05 18 14.82 19 2.43954e-06 20 0.00171751 21 0.00112097 22 1.80624 23 2.71079e-06 24 2.44206 25 3.58304 26 21.5455 27 0.856476 28 0.00112603 29 6.68139e-07 30 0.112512 31 0.103585 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 16048.52 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 692 CALLS 3057 TOTAL EDM= .28E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 8.9999 5.3103 .33380E-03 -1.5648 2 Prefactor .38025E-07 7.4996 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .16653E-09 1.0548 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 10.981 2.9154 .30239E-03 -1.5642 5 Prefactor .0000 9.0274 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 1.5179 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 32.706 19.323 .17389E-03 -1.5594 8 Prefactor 7.8641 5.0043 .35772E-03 -1.5652 9 Prefactor 1.1534 2.0447 .10750E-02 -1.5686 10 Prefactor .14155E-07 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 1.0780 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 2.3192 3.5867 .67262E-03 -1.5678 13 Prefactor .0000 .52819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .94591E-07 6.7056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 9.4385 4.0293 .32584E-03 -1.5647 16 Prefactor 6.1748 8.3269 .40353E-03 -1.5658 17 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.7717 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 8.7354 14.820 .33923E-03 -1.5649 19 Prefactor .0000 1.4398 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .88929E-07 8.2914 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor .42411E-07 7.4115 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm .21285 3.8320 .10303E-01 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .0000 .87184 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 1.1507 2.4421 .10835E-02 -1.5687 25 Prefactor 5.8013 3.5830 .41602E-03 -1.5660 26 Prefactor 19.732 21.545 .22011E-03 -1.5619 27 norm .16051 1.1425 .66950E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .41966E-07 7.5558 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .22545 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat .84609 .11248 .44200E-01 -.98381 31 Prefactor 1.1290 .10357 .36571E-01 -.88545 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.78243e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.31033 2 0.00106765 3 2.61649e-05 4 2.91542 5 1.16215e-05 6 2.24851e-06 7 19.3227 8 5.00428 9 2.04474 10 0.00150938 11 2.5101e-07 12 3.58674 13 3.67699e-07 14 0.0015927 15 4.02931 16 8.32688 17 2.14755e-05 18 14.82 19 2.43954e-06 20 0.00171751 21 0.00112097 22 1.80624 23 2.71079e-06 24 2.44206 25 3.58304 26 21.5455 27 0.856476 28 0.00112603 29 6.68139e-07 30 0.112512 31 0.103585 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16048.518233 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.677e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.427e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 585 Prefactor: 1.129e+00 1.036e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 586 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 587 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 584 Normalization: 8.461e-01 1.125e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 337.758 -44.279 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.28235179614e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0017667431926 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40071155/likelihoodResults_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16048.5188618 delta logL = -0.000628782459899 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16048.5182358 delta logL = -2.86563408736e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .26351E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8417 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .84637 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1288 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5880E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 16048.52 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 57 CALLS 250 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .33050E-02 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.3667 5.6605 .50000 .13642E-09 3 Normalizat .84609 .20158E-03 .44212E-01 -.45997E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1290 .19387E-03 .36584E-01 -.63459E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Index = 2.36671 Normalizat = 0.846086 Prefactor = 1.12899 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 16048.52 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .16E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .19797E-01 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.3667 8.1156 .50000 -.55466 3 Normalizat .84609 .49209E-03 .26011E-03 -.98381 4 Prefactor 1.1290 .47348E-03 .21868E-03 -.88545 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.59372e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.78435e-06 2 11284.3 3 0.000492086 4 0.000473479 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16048.518233 delta logL = -1.16415321827e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 1.784e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.367e+00 1.128e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 585 Prefactor: 1.129e+00 4.735e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 586 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 587 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 584 Normalization: 8.461e-01 4.921e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 337.758 -44.279 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40071155/cmap_HighResolution_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.77e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.28e-08', time_completed='2026-10-06 19:18:49.034698', job_id='40071155', GAL2='1.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.85', EG='0.85', time_epoch_completed='1791339529.03', return_code2='102', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.13', dlogl='-1.16e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.43' WHERE bin_id='948' AND source_name='4FGL J2231.0-4416' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Oct 6 19:18:49 PDT 2026 number of points = 17454 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948 RA = 337.758, Dec = -44.2791 tmin = 812332801, tmax = 812937601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='40072145', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-10-06 19:13:40.627138', time_epoch_executed='1791339220.63' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2231.0-4416' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='948' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40072145 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40072145/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=812332801.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=812332801.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ft1_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=812332801.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ft1_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits ra=337.758 dec=-44.2791 rad=12.0 tmin=812332801.0 tmax=812937601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 5.72 user 5.00 sys 0.23 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.87 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1486 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16048.518233 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.677e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.427e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 585 Prefactor: 1.129e+00 1.036e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 586 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 587 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 584 Normalization: 8.461e-01 1.125e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 337.758 -44.279 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.28235179614e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0017667431926 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40071186/likelihoodResults_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16048.5188618 delta logL = -0.000628782459899 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16048.5182358 delta logL = -2.86563408736e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .26351E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8417 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .84637 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1288 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5880E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 16048.52 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 57 CALLS 250 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .33050E-02 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.3667 5.6605 .50000 .13642E-09 3 Normalizat .84609 .20158E-03 .44212E-01 -.45997E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1290 .19387E-03 .36584E-01 -.63459E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Index = 2.36671 Normalizat = 0.846086 Prefactor = 1.12899 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 16048.52 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .16E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .19797E-01 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.3667 8.1156 .50000 -.55466 3 Normalizat .84609 .49209E-03 .26011E-03 -.98381 4 Prefactor 1.1290 .47348E-03 .21868E-03 -.88545 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.59372e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.78435e-06 2 11284.3 3 0.000492086 4 0.000473479 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16048.518233 delta logL = -1.16415321827e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 1.784e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.367e+00 1.128e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 585 Prefactor: 1.129e+00 4.735e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 586 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 587 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 584 Normalization: 8.461e-01 4.921e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 337.758 -44.279 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40071186/cmap_HighResolution_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.77e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.28e-08', time_completed='2026-10-06 19:19:36.928728', job_id='40071186', GAL2='1.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.85', EG='0.85', time_epoch_completed='1791339576.93', return_code2='102', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.13', dlogl='-1.16e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.43' WHERE bin_id='948' AND source_name='4FGL J2231.0-4416' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Oct 6 19:19:37 PDT 2026 number of points = 17454 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948 RA = 337.758, Dec = -44.2791 tmin = 812332801, tmax = 812937601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='40072159', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-10-06 19:13:39.829200', time_epoch_executed='1791339219.83' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2231.0-4416' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='948' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40072159 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40072159/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=812332801.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=812332801.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ft1_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=812332801.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ft1_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits ra=337.758 dec=-44.2791 rad=12.0 tmin=812332801.0 tmax=812937601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 5.20 user 4.43 sys 0.25 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.71 user 0.21 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1486 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16048.518233 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.677e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.427e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 585 Prefactor: 1.129e+00 1.036e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 586 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 587 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 584 Normalization: 8.461e-01 1.125e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 337.758 -44.279 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.28235179614e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0017667431926 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40071158/likelihoodResults_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16048.5188618 delta logL = -0.000628782459899 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16048.5182358 delta logL = -2.86563408736e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .26351E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8417 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .84637 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1288 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5880E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 16048.52 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 57 CALLS 250 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .33050E-02 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.3667 5.6605 .50000 .13642E-09 3 Normalizat .84609 .20158E-03 .44212E-01 -.45997E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1290 .19387E-03 .36584E-01 -.63459E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Index = 2.36671 Normalizat = 0.846086 Prefactor = 1.12899 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 16048.52 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .16E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .19797E-01 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.3667 8.1156 .50000 -.55466 3 Normalizat .84609 .49209E-03 .26011E-03 -.98381 4 Prefactor 1.1290 .47348E-03 .21868E-03 -.88545 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.59372e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.78435e-06 2 11284.3 3 0.000492086 4 0.000473479 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16048.518233 delta logL = -1.16415321827e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 1.784e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.367e+00 1.128e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 585 Prefactor: 1.129e+00 4.735e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 586 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 587 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 584 Normalization: 8.461e-01 4.921e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 337.758 -44.279 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40071158/cmap_HighResolution_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.77e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.28e-08', time_completed='2026-10-06 19:19:57.539825', job_id='40071158', GAL2='1.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.85', EG='0.85', time_epoch_completed='1791339597.54', return_code2='102', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.13', dlogl='-1.16e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.43' WHERE bin_id='948' AND source_name='4FGL J2231.0-4416' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Oct 6 19:19:58 PDT 2026 A" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits .....................! real 18.11 user 17.29 sys 0.27 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits .....................! real 66.89 user 62.45 sys 3.73 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 182 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2231.0-4416 @ 337.758 -44.2791 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/cmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=337.758 yref=-44.2791 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.74 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/cmap_HighResolution_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=337.758 yref=-44.2791 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.75 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/Model_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding A" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits .....................! real 16.98 user 16.26 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits .....................! real 59.51 user 55.69 sys 3.19 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 182 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2231.0-4416 @ 337.758 -44.2791 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/cmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=337.758 yref=-44.2791 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.81 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/cmap_HighResolution_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=337.758 yref=-44.2791 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.91 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/Model_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits.....................! real 51.40 user 49.10 sys 1.53 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40071676/Model_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2231.0-4416' 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 1.304e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.427e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40071676/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40071676/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40071676/Model_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16048.5687346 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16048.5194242 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.0028 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .51058E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .14848E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 10.959 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .45342E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10004E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 33.080 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 7.8468 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 1.1543 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .27066E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .20682E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 2.3234 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .0000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .53164E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 9.4451 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 6.1819 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .13581E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 8.7186 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .17533E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .55743E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .50577E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .29358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .11090E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 1.1453 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' 5.8212 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 20.652 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .95365E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .47169E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .19595E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' .84538 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.1292 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5880E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 16048.52 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 189 CALLS 2365 TOTAL EDM= .39E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 8.9999 5.2936 -.20489E-06 -.18077E-02 2 Prefactor .38025E-07 2.4963 .11407E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .16653E-09 5.1296 .11826E-05** at limit ** 4 norm 10.981 2.9130 -.45060E-07 .27019E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 1.1677 .58637E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .0000 1.5207 -.11621E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 32.706 11.210 -.49763E-06 .10248 8 Prefactor 7.8641 4.8837 .76670E-07 -.30127E-02 9 Prefactor 1.1534 2.0228 .24943E-06 .32150E-03 10 Prefactor .14155E-07 40.161 -.23482E-05** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 1.0785 .65972E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 2.3192 3.5742 -.23229E-06 .10452E-02 13 Prefactor .0000 .52596 .17394E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .94591E-07 5.9590 -.91597E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 9.4385 3.9311 .21962E-06 -.20000E-03 16 Prefactor 6.1748 8.3121 -.31542E-06 -.47434E-02 17 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.7632 -.14813E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 8.7354 2.8263 -.35435E-06 .30001E-02 19 Prefactor .0000 1.4420 -.28030E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .88929E-07 7.3213 -.97501E-06** at limit ** 21 Prefactor .42411E-07 1.9746 .95332E-06** at limit ** 22 norm .21285 6.8849 -.23419E-05** at limit ** 23 norm .0000 .87225 .13792E-06** at limit ** 24 norm 1.1507 2.4868 -.29936E-06 -.12060E-03 25 Prefactor 5.8013 3.5641 .61357E-07 -.14221E-03 26 Prefactor 19.732 20.463 .45831E-06 -.39365E-01 27 norm .16051 11.110 .58666E-06** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .41966E-07 2.0527 .10676E-05** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .22835 -.18656E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat .84609 .12853 .37787E-05 -.41155E-04 31 Prefactor 1.1290 .11912 -.20586E-05 -.49355E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 8.99993 Prefactor = 3.80251e-08 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 10.9807 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 32.706 Prefactor = 7.86406 Prefactor = 1.15336 Prefactor = 1.41553e-08 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.31923 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 9.4591e-08 Prefactor = 9.43847 Prefactor = 6.17477 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 8.73538 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.89289e-08 Prefactor = 4.24105e-08 norm = 0.212846 norm = 0 norm = 1.15072 Prefactor = 5.80134 Prefactor = 19.7316 norm = 0.160511 Prefactor = 4.19664e-08 norm = 0 Normalizat = 0.846086 Prefactor = 1.12899 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 16048.52 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 692 CALLS 3057 TOTAL EDM= .28E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 8.9999 5.3103 .33380E-03 -1.5648 2 Prefactor .38025E-07 7.4996 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .16653E-09 1.0548 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 10.981 2.9154 .30239E-03 -1.5642 5 Prefactor .0000 9.0274 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 1.5179 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 32.706 19.323 .17389E-03 -1.5594 8 Prefactor 7.8641 5.0043 .35772E-03 -1.5652 9 Prefactor 1.1534 2.0447 .10750E-02 -1.5686 10 Prefactor .14155E-07 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 1.0780 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 2.3192 3.5867 .67262E-03 -1.5678 13 Prefactor .0000 .52819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .94591E-07 6.7056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 9.4385 4.0293 .32584E-03 -1.5647 16 Prefactor 6.1748 8.3269 .40353E-03 -1.5658 17 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.7717 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 8.7354 14.820 .33923E-03 -1.5649 19 Prefactor .0000 1.4398 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .88929E-07 8.2914 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor .42411E-07 7.4115 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm .21285 3.8320 .10303E-01 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .0000 .87184 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 1.1507 2.4421 .10835E-02 -1.5687 25 Prefactor 5.8013 3.5830 .41602E-03 -1.5660 26 Prefactor 19.732 21.545 .22011E-03 -1.5619 27 norm .16051 1.1425 .66950E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .41966E-07 7.5558 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .22545 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat .84609 .11248 .44200E-01 -.98381 31 Prefactor 1.1290 .10357 .36571E-01 -.88545 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.78243e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.31033 2 0.00106765 3 2.61649e-05 4 2.91542 5 1.16215e-05 6 2.24851e-06 7 19.3227 8 5.00428 9 2.04474 10 0.00150938 11 2.5101e-07 12 3.58674 13 3.67699e-07 14 0.0015927 15 4.02931 16 8.32688 17 2.14755e-05 18 14.82 19 2.43954e-06 20 0.00171751 21 0.00112097 22 1.80624 23 2.71079e-06 24 2.44206 25 3.58304 26 21.5455 27 0.856476 28 0.00112603 29 6.68139e-07 30 0.112512 31 0.103585 source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits.....................! real 35.80 user 34.34 sys 0.83 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40072159/Model_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2231.0-4416' 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 1.304e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.427e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40072159/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40072159/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40072159/Model_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16048.5687346 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16048.5194242 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.0028 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .51058E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .14848E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 10.959 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .45342E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10004E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 33.080 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 7.8468 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 1.1543 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .27066E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .20682E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 2.3234 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .0000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .53164E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 9.4451 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 6.1819 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .13581E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 8.7186 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .17533E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .55743E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .50577E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .29358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .11090E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 1.1453 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' 5.8212 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 20.652 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .95365E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .47169E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .19595E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' .84538 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.1292 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5880E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 16048.52 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 189 CALLS 2365 TOTAL EDM= .39E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 8.9999 5.2936 -.20489E-06 -.18077E-02 2 Prefactor .38025E-07 2.4963 .11407E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .16653E-09 5.1296 .11826E-05** at limit ** 4 norm 10.981 2.9130 -.45060E-07 .27019E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 1.1677 .58637E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .0000 1.5207 -.11621E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 32.706 11.210 -.49763E-06 .10248 8 Prefactor 7.8641 4.8837 .76670E-07 -.30127E-02 9 Prefactor 1.1534 2.0228 .24943E-06 .32150E-03 10 Prefactor .14155E-07 40.161 -.23482E-05** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 1.0785 .65972E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 2.3192 3.5742 -.23229E-06 .10452E-02 13 Prefactor .0000 .52596 .17394E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .94591E-07 5.9590 -.91597E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 9.4385 3.9311 .21962E-06 -.20000E-03 16 Prefactor 6.1748 8.3121 -.31542E-06 -.47434E-02 17 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.7632 -.14813E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 8.7354 2.8263 -.35435E-06 .30001E-02 19 Prefactor .0000 1.4420 -.28030E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .88929E-07 7.3213 -.97501E-06** at limit ** 21 Prefactor .42411E-07 1.9746 .95332E-06** at limit ** 22 norm .21285 6.8849 -.23419E-05** at limit ** 23 norm .0000 .87225 .13792E-06** at limit ** 24 norm 1.1507 2.4868 -.29936E-06 -.12060E-03 25 Prefactor 5.8013 3.5641 .61357E-07 -.14221E-03 26 Prefactor 19.732 20.463 .45831E-06 -.39365E-01 27 norm .16051 11.110 .58666E-06** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .41966E-07 2.0527 .10676E-05** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .22835 -.18656E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat .84609 .12853 .37787E-05 -.41155E-04 31 Prefactor 1.1290 .11912 -.20586E-05 -.49355E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 8.99993 Prefactor = 3.80251e-08 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 10.9807 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 32.706 Prefactor = 7.86406 Prefactor = 1.15336 Prefactor = 1.41553e-08 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.31923 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 9.4591e-08 Prefactor = 9.43847 Prefactor = 6.17477 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 8.73538 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.89289e-08 Prefactor = 4.24105e-08 norm = 0.212846 norm = 0 norm = 1.15072 Prefactor = 5.80134 Prefactor = 19.7316 norm = 0.160511 Prefactor = 4.19664e-08 norm = 0 Normalizat = 0.846086 Prefactor = 1.12899 source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits.....................! real 39.42 user 37.84 sys 0.93 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40072145/Model_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2231.0-4416' 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 1.304e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.427e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40072145/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40072145/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40072145/Model_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16048.5687346 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16048.5194242 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.0028 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .51058E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .14848E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 10.959 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .45342E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10004E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 33.080 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 7.8468 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 1.1543 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .27066E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .20682E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 2.3234 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .0000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .53164E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 9.4451 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 6.1819 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .13581E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 8.7186 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .17533E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .55743E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .50577E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .29358 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .11090E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 1.1453 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' 5.8212 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 20.652 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .95365E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .47169E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .19595E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' .84538 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.1292 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5880E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 16048.52 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 189 CALLS 2365 TOTAL EDM= .39E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 8.9999 5.2936 -.20489E-06 -.18077E-02 2 Prefactor .38025E-07 2.4963 .11407E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .16653E-09 5.1296 .11826E-05** at limit ** 4 norm 10.981 2.9130 -.45060E-07 .27019E-03 5 Prefactor .0000 1.1677 .58637E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .0000 1.5207 -.11621E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 32.706 11.210 -.49763E-06 .10248 8 Prefactor 7.8641 4.8837 .76670E-07 -.30127E-02 9 Prefactor 1.1534 2.0228 .24943E-06 .32150E-03 10 Prefactor .14155E-07 40.161 -.23482E-05** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 1.0785 .65972E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 2.3192 3.5742 -.23229E-06 .10452E-02 13 Prefactor .0000 .52596 .17394E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .94591E-07 5.9590 -.91597E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 9.4385 3.9311 .21962E-06 -.20000E-03 16 Prefactor 6.1748 8.3121 -.31542E-06 -.47434E-02 17 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.7632 -.14813E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 8.7354 2.8263 -.35435E-06 .30001E-02 19 Prefactor .0000 1.4420 -.28030E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .88929E-07 7.3213 -.97501E-06** at limit ** 21 Prefactor .42411E-07 1.9746 .95332E-06** at limit ** 22 norm .21285 6.8849 -.23419E-05** at limit ** 23 norm .0000 .87225 .13792E-06** at limit ** 24 norm 1.1507 2.4868 -.29936E-06 -.12060E-03 25 Prefactor 5.8013 3.5641 .61357E-07 -.14221E-03 26 Prefactor 19.732 20.463 .45831E-06 -.39365E-01 27 norm .16051 11.110 .58666E-06** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .41966E-07 2.0527 .10676E-05** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .22835 -.18656E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat .84609 .12853 .37787E-05 -.41155E-04 31 Prefactor 1.1290 .11912 -.20586E-05 -.49355E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 8.99993 Prefactor = 3.80251e-08 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 10.9807 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 32.706 Prefactor = 7.86406 Prefactor = 1.15336 Prefactor = 1.41553e-08 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.31923 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 9.4591e-08 Prefactor = 9.43847 Prefactor = 6.17477 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 8.73538 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.89289e-08 Prefactor = 4.24105e-08 norm = 0.212846 norm = 0 norm = 1.15072 Prefactor = 5.80134 Prefactor = 19.7316 norm = 0.160511 Prefactor = 4.19664e-08 norm = 0 Normalizat = 0.846086 Prefactor = 1.12899 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16048.518233 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.677e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.427e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 585 Prefactor: 1.129e+00 1.036e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 586 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 587 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 584 Normalization: 8.461e-01 1.125e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 337.758 -44.279 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.28235179614e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0017667431926 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40071676/likelihoodResults_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16048.5188618 delta logL = -0.000628782459899 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16048.5182358 delta logL = -2.86563408736e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .26351E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8417 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .84637 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1288 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5880E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 16048.52 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 57 CALLS 250 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .33050E-02 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.3667 5.6605 .50000 .13642E-09 3 Normalizat .84609 .20158E-03 .44212E-01 -.45997E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1290 .19387E-03 .36584E-01 -.63459E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Index = 2.36671 Normalizat = 0.846086 Prefactor = 1.12899 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 16048.52 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .16E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .19797E-01 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.3667 8.1156 .50000 -.55466 3 Normalizat .84609 .49209E-03 .26011E-03 -.98381 4 Prefactor 1.1290 .47348E-03 .21868E-03 -.88545 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.59372e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.78435e-06 2 11284.3 3 0.000492086 4 0.000473479 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16048.518233 delta logL = -1.16415321827e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 1.784e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.367e+00 1.128e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 585 Prefactor: 1.129e+00 4.735e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 586 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 587 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 584 Normalization: 8.461e-01 4.921e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 337.758 -44.279 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40071676/cmap_HighResolution_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.77e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.28e-08', time_completed='2026-10-06 19:26:05.166822', job_id='40071676', GAL2='1.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.85', EG='0.85', time_epoch_completed='1791339965.17', return_code2='102', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.13', dlogl='-1.16e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.43' WHERE bin_id='948' AND source_name='4FGL J2231.0-4416' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Oct 6 19:26:05 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 16048.52 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 692 CALLS 3057 TOTAL EDM= .28E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 8.9999 5.3103 .33380E-03 -1.5648 2 Prefactor .38025E-07 7.4996 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .16653E-09 1.0548 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 10.981 2.9154 .30239E-03 -1.5642 5 Prefactor .0000 9.0274 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 1.5179 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 32.706 19.323 .17389E-03 -1.5594 8 Prefactor 7.8641 5.0043 .35772E-03 -1.5652 9 Prefactor 1.1534 2.0447 .10750E-02 -1.5686 10 Prefactor .14155E-07 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 1.0780 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 2.3192 3.5867 .67262E-03 -1.5678 13 Prefactor .0000 .52819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .94591E-07 6.7056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 9.4385 4.0293 .32584E-03 -1.5647 16 Prefactor 6.1748 8.3269 .40353E-03 -1.5658 17 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.7717 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 8.7354 14.820 .33923E-03 -1.5649 19 Prefactor .0000 1.4398 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .88929E-07 8.2914 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor .42411E-07 7.4115 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm .21285 3.8320 .10303E-01 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .0000 .87184 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 1.1507 2.4421 .10835E-02 -1.5687 25 Prefactor 5.8013 3.5830 .41602E-03 -1.5660 26 Prefactor 19.732 21.545 .22011E-03 -1.5619 27 norm .16051 1.1425 .66950E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .41966E-07 7.5558 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .22545 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat .84609 .11248 .44200E-01 -.98381 31 Prefactor 1.1290 .10357 .36571E-01 -.88545 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.78243e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.31033 2 0.00106765 3 2.61649e-05 4 2.91542 5 1.16215e-05 6 2.24851e-06 7 19.3227 8 5.00428 9 2.04474 10 0.00150938 11 2.5101e-07 12 3.58674 13 3.67699e-07 14 0.0015927 15 4.02931 16 8.32688 17 2.14755e-05 18 14.82 19 2.43954e-06 20 0.00171751 21 0.00112097 22 1.80624 23 2.71079e-06 24 2.44206 25 3.58304 26 21.5455 27 0.856476 28 0.00112603 29 6.68139e-07 30 0.112512 31 0.103585 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 16048.52 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 692 CALLS 3057 TOTAL EDM= .28E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 8.9999 5.3103 .33380E-03 -1.5648 2 Prefactor .38025E-07 7.4996 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .16653E-09 1.0548 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 10.981 2.9154 .30239E-03 -1.5642 5 Prefactor .0000 9.0274 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 1.5179 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 32.706 19.323 .17389E-03 -1.5594 8 Prefactor 7.8641 5.0043 .35772E-03 -1.5652 9 Prefactor 1.1534 2.0447 .10750E-02 -1.5686 10 Prefactor .14155E-07 40.257 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 1.0780 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 2.3192 3.5867 .67262E-03 -1.5678 13 Prefactor .0000 .52819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .94591E-07 6.7056 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 9.4385 4.0293 .32584E-03 -1.5647 16 Prefactor 6.1748 8.3269 .40353E-03 -1.5658 17 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.7717 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 8.7354 14.820 .33923E-03 -1.5649 19 Prefactor .0000 1.4398 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .88929E-07 8.2914 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor .42411E-07 7.4115 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm .21285 3.8320 .10303E-01 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .0000 .87184 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 1.1507 2.4421 .10835E-02 -1.5687 25 Prefactor 5.8013 3.5830 .41602E-03 -1.5660 26 Prefactor 19.732 21.545 .22011E-03 -1.5619 27 norm .16051 1.1425 .66950E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .41966E-07 7.5558 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .22545 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat .84609 .11248 .44200E-01 -.98381 31 Prefactor 1.1290 .10357 .36571E-01 -.88545 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.78243e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.31033 2 0.00106765 3 2.61649e-05 4 2.91542 5 1.16215e-05 6 2.24851e-06 7 19.3227 8 5.00428 9 2.04474 10 0.00150938 11 2.5101e-07 12 3.58674 13 3.67699e-07 14 0.0015927 15 4.02931 16 8.32688 17 2.14755e-05 18 14.82 19 2.43954e-06 20 0.00171751 21 0.00112097 22 1.80624 23 2.71079e-06 24 2.44206 25 3.58304 26 21.5455 27 0.856476 28 0.00112603 29 6.68139e-07 30 0.112512 31 0.103585 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16048.518233 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.677e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.427e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 585 Prefactor: 1.129e+00 1.036e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 586 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 587 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 584 Normalization: 8.461e-01 1.125e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 337.758 -44.279 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.28235179614e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0017667431926 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40072159/likelihoodResults_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16048.5188618 delta logL = -0.000628782459899 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16048.5182358 delta logL = -2.86563408736e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .26351E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8417 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .84637 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1288 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5880E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 16048.52 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 57 CALLS 250 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .33050E-02 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.3667 5.6605 .50000 .13642E-09 3 Normalizat .84609 .20158E-03 .44212E-01 -.45997E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1290 .19387E-03 .36584E-01 -.63459E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Index = 2.36671 Normalizat = 0.846086 Prefactor = 1.12899 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 16048.52 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .16E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .19797E-01 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.3667 8.1156 .50000 -.55466 3 Normalizat .84609 .49209E-03 .26011E-03 -.98381 4 Prefactor 1.1290 .47348E-03 .21868E-03 -.88545 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.59372e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.78435e-06 2 11284.3 3 0.000492086 4 0.000473479 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16048.518233 delta logL = -1.16415321827e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 1.784e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.367e+00 1.128e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 585 Prefactor: 1.129e+00 4.735e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 586 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 587 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 584 Normalization: 8.461e-01 4.921e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 337.758 -44.279 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40072159/cmap_HighResolution_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.77e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.28e-08', time_completed='2026-10-06 19:27:42.032636', job_id='40072159', GAL2='1.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.85', EG='0.85', time_epoch_completed='1791340062.03', return_code2='102', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.13', dlogl='-1.16e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.43' WHERE bin_id='948' AND source_name='4FGL J2231.0-4416' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Oct 6 19:27:42 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 16048.518233 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.677e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.427e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 585 Prefactor: 1.129e+00 1.036e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 586 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 587 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 584 Normalization: 8.461e-01 1.125e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 337.758 -44.279 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.28235179614e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0017667431926 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40072145/likelihoodResults_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16048.5188618 delta logL = -0.000628782459899 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16048.5182358 delta logL = -2.86563408736e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .26351E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.8417 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .84637 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1288 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5880E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 16048.52 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 57 CALLS 250 TOTAL EDM= .27E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .33050E-02 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.3667 5.6605 .50000 .13642E-09 3 Normalizat .84609 .20158E-03 .44212E-01 -.45997E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1290 .19387E-03 .36584E-01 -.63459E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Index = 2.36671 Normalizat = 0.846086 Prefactor = 1.12899 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 16048.52 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .16E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .19797E-01 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.3667 8.1156 .50000 -.55466 3 Normalizat .84609 .49209E-03 .26011E-03 -.98381 4 Prefactor 1.1290 .47348E-03 .21868E-03 -.88545 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 1.59372e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.78435e-06 2 11284.3 3 0.000492086 4 0.000473479 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 16048.518233 delta logL = -1.16415321827e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 1.784e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.367e+00 1.128e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 585 Prefactor: 1.129e+00 4.735e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 586 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 587 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 584 Normalization: 8.461e-01 4.921e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 337.758 -44.279 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40072145/cmap_HighResolution_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin948.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.77e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.28e-08', time_completed='2026-10-06 19:28:26.338925', job_id='40072145', GAL2='1.13', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.85', EG='0.85', time_epoch_completed='1791340106.34', return_code2='102', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.13', dlogl='-1.16e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.43' WHERE bin_id='948' AND source_name='4FGL J2231.0-4416' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Oct 6 19:28:26 PDT 2026