/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 17597 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940 RA = 337.758, Dec = -44.2791 tmin = 807494401, tmax = 808099201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='34696240', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-11 02:04:42.885610', time_epoch_executed='1786439082.89' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2231.0-4416' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='940' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34696240 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34696240/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=807494401.0 && nMetStart<808099201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=807494401.0 && nMetStart<808099201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ft1_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=807494401.0 && nMetStart<808099201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ft1_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits ra=337.758 dec=-44.2791 rad=12.0 tmin=807494401.0 tmax=808099201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.91 user 3.31 sys 0.21 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.77 user 0.20 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 232 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ltcube_807494401_808099201_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits .....................! real 21.03 user 20.24 sys 0.26 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ltcube_807494401_808099201_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/expmap_807494401_808099201_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ltcube_807494401_808099201_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits .....................! real 73.90 user 68.72 sys 4.28 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 182 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2231.0-4416 @ 337.758 -44.2791 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/cmap_807494401_808099201_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=337.758 yref=-44.2791 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.87 user 0.25 sys 0.11 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/cmap_HighResolution_807494401_808099201_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=337.758 yref=-44.2791 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.79 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/Model_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits......................! real 13.81 user 12.18 sys 1.00 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/expmap_807494401_808099201_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ltcube_807494401_808099201_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34696240/Model_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2231.0-4416' 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 1.304e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.427e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34696240/expmap_807494401_808099201_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34696240/ltcube_807494401_808099201_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34696240/Model_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2721.18677366 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2721.1534886 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 1329.5 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 2428.4 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .11997E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .61373E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .96683E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10457 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .10282 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 14.497 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 6.4220 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .56691E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .72668E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .65109E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 2.9612 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 132.63 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 14.035 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .17919E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 29.364 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 11.059 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .10655E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .55709E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 8.8909 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .73904E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .75384E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' 4.1392 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' 4.7403 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .11492E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' 3.7283 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 9.1364 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .17468E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' 1.1440 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' .95659 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5880E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 2721.149 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 353 CALLS 4111 TOTAL EDM= .14E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .8% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1329.5 1.0093 -.42751E-10 .11604E-01 2 Prefactor 2428.3 4.9740 -.97366E-09 .53673 3 Prefactor .44958E-06 24.483 -.19564E-06** at limit ** 4 norm .47684E-07 20.616 .16179E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .83084E-05 125.41 -.36622E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .13089E-05 49.047 .38183E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .14743E-05 48.574 .43685E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 14.234 1.8755 -.34408E-08 -.15319E-02 9 Prefactor 6.4521 9.4191 -.11383E-06 -.89748E-02 10 Prefactor .32468E-06 17.192 -.11252E-06** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 4.5684 -.25669E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .26645E-08 12.279 .33302E-07** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 2.9308 9.7153 -.69835E-07 -.72925E-02 14 Prefactor 132.50 6.3043 .16788E-08 -.16669 15 Prefactor 13.983 5.8940 -.18805E-07 .35832E-01 16 Prefactor .30104E-06 24.790 .76724E-08** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 26.721 27.391 -.83448E-07 -.36095E-01 18 Prefactor 11.702 12.348 .51838E-08 .66618E-01 19 Prefactor .26645E-08 15.133 .69162E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .87641E-06 13.668 .98891E-07** at limit ** 21 Prefactor 8.9844 17.504 -.42015E-07 -.43828E-01 22 norm .11102E-09 6.3404 -.11595E-07** at limit ** 23 norm .0000 2.0986 .84154E-08** at limit ** 24 norm 4.1099 4.8541 .14965E-08 .29696E-03 25 Prefactor 4.7455 6.3936 -.36960E-07 .27482E-02 26 Prefactor .66647E-06 25.006 .88485E-08** at limit ** 27 norm 3.8045 6.0559 -.14900E-08 .34028E-03 28 Prefactor 9.2045 2.7580 .44162E-08 .14361E-03 29 norm .12730E-01 28.165 -.54377E-06** at limit ** 30 Normalizat 1.1431 .38041 .10579E-05 .20452E-03 31 Prefactor .95811 .36432 .77820E-06 .18274E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1329.51 Prefactor = 2428.33 Prefactor = 4.49585e-07 norm = 4.76841e-08 Prefactor = 8.30835e-06 Prefactor = 1.3089e-06 Prefactor = 1.47427e-06 Prefactor = 14.2335 Prefactor = 6.4521 Prefactor = 3.24685e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.66454e-09 Prefactor = 2.93083 Prefactor = 132.498 Prefactor = 13.9831 Prefactor = 3.01037e-07 Prefactor = 26.7213 Prefactor = 11.7018 Prefactor = 2.66454e-09 Prefactor = 8.7641e-07 Prefactor = 8.98436 norm = 1.11022e-10 norm = 0 norm = 4.10992 Prefactor = 4.74548 Prefactor = 6.66467e-07 norm = 3.80454 Prefactor = 9.20452 norm = 0.0127302 Normalizat = 1.14307 Prefactor = 0.958112 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 2721.149 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 682 CALLS 4793 TOTAL EDM= .11E-02 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1329.5 1342.9 .27444E-04 -1.4979 2 Prefactor 2428.3 3070.3 .20317E-04 -1.4722 3 Prefactor .44958E-06 25.866 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm .47684E-07 33.442 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .83084E-05 162.60 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .13089E-05 52.359 .13808E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .14743E-05 52.263 .13854E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 14.234 30.025 .26280E-03 -1.5633 9 Prefactor 6.4521 9.8468 .39582E-03 -1.5657 10 Prefactor .32468E-06 232.65 .15283E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 4.5925 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .26645E-08 12.373 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 2.9308 10.620 .58985E-03 -1.5674 14 Prefactor 132.50 137.60 .86839E-04 -1.5478 15 Prefactor 13.983 14.080 .26710E-03 -1.5633 16 Prefactor .30104E-06 51.207 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 26.721 58.123 .18457E-03 -1.5605 18 Prefactor 11.702 45.434 .30101E-03 -1.5640 19 Prefactor .26645E-08 15.262 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .87641E-06 30.610 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor 8.9844 19.302 .33591E-03 -1.5648 22 norm .11102E-09 6.3607 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .0000 2.1040 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm 4.1099 4.8606 .49520E-03 -1.5667 25 Prefactor 4.7455 7.4818 .46191E-03 -1.5664 26 Prefactor .66647E-06 50.413 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 norm 3.8045 6.1189 .52271E-03 -1.5669 28 Prefactor 9.2045 16.923 .33134E-03 -1.5647 29 norm .12730E-01 1.5867 .20486E-02 -1.5710 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat 1.1431 .33230 .61707E-01 -.88381 31 Prefactor .95811 .30847 .45722E-01 -.94139 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 0.00111777 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1343.24 2 3072.31 3 0.00682021 4 0.00252564 5 0.0735127 6 0.016557 7 0.0175557 8 30.0255 9 9.84686 10 0.0173837 11 3.60489e-06 12 0.000361391 13 10.62 14 137.602 15 14.0805 16 0.00785243 17 58.1243 18 45.4353 19 0.000403121 20 0.010359 21 19.3023 22 5.52107e-05 23 7.16589e-06 24 4.86065 25 7.48186 26 0.0115931 27 6.11891 28 16.9227 29 0.284249 30 0.332908 31 0.309042 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2721.14852642 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 2.931e+00 1.062e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.427e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 585 Prefactor: 9.581e-01 3.090e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 586 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 587 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 584 Normalization: 1.143e+00 3.329e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.10 Ra Dec: 337.758 -44.279 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.5729638663e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0199170277048 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34696240/likelihoodResults_807494401_808099201_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2721.11283111 delta logL = 0.0356953043583 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2721.10940198 delta logL = 0.0391244378902 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 4.3754 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.0545 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1509 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .94848 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5880E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 2721.109 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 57 CALLS 242 TOTAL EDM= .64E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 4.3812 1209.7 .48126E-03 .12691E-02 2 Index 2.0565 7.5020 .25484 .28837E-05 3 Normalizat 1.1507 .14564 .61523E-01 .42698E-06 4 Prefactor .94865 .21577 .65522E-01 -.18791E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.38116 Index = 2.05645 Normalizat = 1.15068 Prefactor = 0.948645 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 2721.109 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 275 TOTAL EDM= .46E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 4.3812 11.215 .19251E-04 -1.5666 2 Index 2.0565 1.1273 .11297E-01 -.62946 3 Normalizat 1.1507 .36698 .27211E-03 -.88141 4 Prefactor .94865 .36221 .28980E-03 -.94461 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.62406e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 11.215 2 1.14249 3 0.367803 4 0.363134 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2721.10940029 delta logL = 0.0391261287245 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 4.381e+00 1.121e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.056e+00 1.142e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 585 Prefactor: 9.486e-01 3.631e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 586 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 587 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 584 Normalization: 1.151e+00 3.678e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.10 Ra Dec: 337.758 -44.279 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34696240/cmap_HighResolution_807494401_808099201_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_weekly_bin940.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.99e-02', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.57e-07', time_completed='2026-08-11 02:12:04.098498', job_id='34696240', GAL2='0.95', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.15', EG='1.14', time_epoch_completed='1786439524.1', return_code2='0', ts='0.10', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.96', dlogl='3.91e-02', ts2='0.18', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.43' WHERE bin_id='940' AND source_name='4FGL J2231.0-4416' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 11 02:12:04 PDT 2026