/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 7655 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135 RA = 337.758, Dec = -44.2791 tmin = 792720001, tmax = 792979201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='21228813', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-02-17 01:12:14.073029', time_epoch_executed='1771319534.07' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2231.0-4416' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2135' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/21228813 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/21228813/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=792720001.0 && nMetStart<792979201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=792720001.0 && nMetStart<792979201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ft1_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=792720001.0 && nMetStart<792979201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ft1_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits ra=337.758 dec=-44.2791 rad=12.0 tmin=792720001.0 tmax=792979201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.85 user 2.21 sys 0.15 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.81 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 523 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ltcube_792720001_792979201_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits .....................! real 8.76 user 7.99 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ltcube_792720001_792979201_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/expmap_792720001_792979201_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ltcube_792720001_792979201_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits .....................! real 67.24 user 62.37 sys 3.93 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 182 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2231.0-4416 @ 337.758 -44.2791 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/cmap_792720001_792979201_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=337.758 yref=-44.2791 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.72 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/cmap_HighResolution_792720001_792979201_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=337.758 yref=-44.2791 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.70 user 0.20 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/Model_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits.....................! real 17.12 user 15.85 sys 0.65 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/expmap_792720001_792979201_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ltcube_792720001_792979201_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/21228813/Model_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2231.0-4416' 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 1.304e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.427e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ft2_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/21228813/expmap_792720001_792979201_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/21228813/ltcube_792720001_792979201_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/21228813/Model_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5790.71528528 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5790.68435924 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.4825 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .52756E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .21567E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 10.672 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .54913E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 1.4649 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 9.3703 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .11131E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 3.8242 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .46827 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 5.5349 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 10.954 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .10024E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .25097E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .10772E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 3.1262 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 17.090 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 26.324 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .95151E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .33129E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 5.2572 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .51211E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' .16552E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .22243E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .28933 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .58022E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .82737E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .31429E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .10764E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' .51473 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.2207 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5880E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5790.681 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 182 CALLS 2968 TOTAL EDM= .58E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.4844 2.1741 -.51502E-07 -.42045E-02 2 Prefactor .0000 21.607 -.59431E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .54068E-07 1.5729 -.30591E-06** at limit ** 4 norm 10.704 4.8797 -.10317E-06 -.14578E-02 5 Prefactor .27589E-07 3.8336 .14995E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 1.4321 11.427 .54732E-06 .16100E-02 7 Prefactor 8.7143 7.0907 .16666E-07 -.18058E-01 8 Prefactor .75856E-06 10.187 .34236E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 3.8242 3.1911 .33162E-06 .20527E-02 10 Prefactor .18898E-05 186.18 -.71208E-06** at limit ** 11 norm 5.5246 3.4235 -.13267E-06 -.40367E-01 12 Prefactor 10.932 6.7086 -.22304E-06 -.31998E-02 13 Prefactor .0000 1.0712 -.24168E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .59730E-06 8.3539 .46256E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .21955E-06 8.0776 .31724E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 3.1260 2.2201 -.80886E-09 .75439E-02 17 Prefactor 17.078 1.8608 -.61339E-08 .11723E-01 18 Prefactor 26.550 4.6253 -.44544E-07 .41112E-01 19 Prefactor .0000 1.4891 -.12149E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .0000 23.667 .42572E-06** at limit ** 21 Prefactor 5.2183 10.579 -.52778E-06 -.67006E-02 22 norm .18319E-08 3.6822 -.16625E-06** at limit ** 23 norm .27756E-09 2.0261 -.59662E-07** at limit ** 24 norm .0000 1.4030 -.70644E-07** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .30545 12.631 -.73096E-06 -.18250E-02 26 Prefactor .14194E-06 4.7416 .25687E-06** at limit ** 27 norm .0000 1.0690 -.20806E-06** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .87708E-08 3.2244 -.34865E-06** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .77638 .90864E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat .51453 .19048 .35930E-05 .34983E-04 31 Prefactor 1.2214 .18994 -.21428E-05 .37123E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.48443 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 5.40679e-08 norm = 10.7042 Prefactor = 2.7589e-08 Prefactor = 1.4321 Prefactor = 8.7143 Prefactor = 7.5856e-07 Prefactor = 3.8242 Prefactor = 1.88977e-06 norm = 5.52456 Prefactor = 10.9325 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 5.973e-07 Prefactor = 2.19547e-07 Prefactor = 3.12596 Prefactor = 17.078 Prefactor = 26.5499 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 5.21832 norm = 1.83187e-09 norm = 2.77556e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0.305454 Prefactor = 1.41942e-07 norm = 0 Prefactor = 8.77076e-09 norm = 0 Normalizat = 0.514528 Prefactor = 1.22142 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5790.681 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 686 CALLS 3654 TOTAL EDM= .26E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.4844 7.3767 .36640E-03 -1.5653 2 Prefactor .0000 21.380 .15432E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .54068E-07 4.2460 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 10.704 4.8989 .30644E-03 -1.5643 5 Prefactor .27589E-07 8.4569 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 1.4321 11.630 .88815E-03 -1.5684 7 Prefactor 8.7143 31.008 .32715E-03 -1.5649 8 Prefactor .75856E-06 16.568 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 3.8242 3.1987 .51587E-03 -1.5669 10 Prefactor .18898E-05 198.02 .81968E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm 5.5246 6.9487 .42682E-03 -1.5661 12 Prefactor 10.932 7.9422 .30246E-03 -1.5642 13 Prefactor .0000 1.0692 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .59730E-06 12.727 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .21955E-06 10.969 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 3.1260 16.423 .57316E-03 -1.5673 17 Prefactor 17.078 18.745 .24200E-03 -1.5625 18 Prefactor 26.550 25.246 .19494E-03 -1.5605 19 Prefactor .0000 1.4884 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .0000 24.306 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor 5.2183 11.267 .43814E-03 -1.5662 22 norm .18319E-08 4.1347 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm .27756E-09 2.0367 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm .0000 1.4027 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .30545 2.5985 .67072E-02 -1.5697 26 Prefactor .14194E-06 8.1457 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 norm .0000 1.0648 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .87708E-08 3.7975 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .75779 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat .51453 .17300 .65558E-01 -1.1175 31 Prefactor 1.2214 .16592 .34160E-01 -.85675 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.57667e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 7.37673 2 1.99036e-05 3 0.000958332 4 4.89891 5 0.000966472 6 8.16222 7 31.0086 8 0.00709025 9 3.19873 10 0.0386899 11 6.94867 12 7.94221 13 9.65703e-07 14 0.00551442 15 0.0031038 16 14.3303 17 18.7455 18 25.2465 19 2.45076e-06 20 3.2444e-05 21 11.2675 22 0.000174556 23 4.61648e-05 24 1.23672e-06 25 1.78183 26 0.00215072 27 4.12608e-06 28 0.000364454 29 1.31005e-06 30 0.173184 31 0.165993 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5790.68069412 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 9.657e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 2.427e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 585 Prefactor: 1.221e+00 1.660e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 586 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 587 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 584 Normalization: 5.145e-01 1.732e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 337.758 -44.279 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.5036260624e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00348620694725 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/21228813/likelihoodResults_792720001_792979201_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5790.6812836 delta logL = -0.000589480810959 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5790.68069476 delta logL = -6.3945662987e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .20811E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.0749 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .51438 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2215 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5880E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 5790.681 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 47 CALLS 258 TOTAL EDM= .22E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .61317 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.0694 1.7376 -.78833E-06 .0000 3 Normalizat .51453 .84695 .50820E-05 .45176E-04 4 Prefactor 1.2214 1.0964 -.36484E-05 .48019E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.06942 Normalizat = 0.514528 Prefactor = 1.22142 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 5790.681 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 267 TOTAL EDM= .22E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .61317 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.0635 2.1482 -.78833E-06 -.39642 3 Normalizat .51453 .84695 .50820E-05 -1.1175 4 Prefactor 1.2214 1.0964 -.36484E-05 -.85675 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.23797e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.96505e-08 2 1.7816 3 0.869681 4 1.11794 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 5790.68069412 delta logL = 0.0 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2231.0-4416 Spectrum: PowerLaw 305 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.965e-08 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 306 Index: 3.069e+00 1.782e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 307 Scale: 7.453e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 585 Prefactor: 1.221e+00 1.118e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 586 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 587 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 584 Normalization: 5.145e-01 8.697e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 337.758 -44.279 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/21228813/cmap_HighResolution_792720001_792979201_4FGL_J2231.0-4416_daily_bin2135.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.49e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.50e-08', time_completed='2026-02-17 01:18:23.074190', job_id='21228813', GAL2='1.22', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.51', EG='0.51', time_epoch_completed='1771319903.07', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.22', dlogl='0.00e+00', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.43' WHERE bin_id='2135' AND source_name='4FGL J2231.0-4416' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Feb 17 01:18:23 PST 2026