********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8338.073 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 544 CALLS 2936 TOTAL EDM= .34E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 15.310 5.2568 .25632E-03 -1.5630 2 Prefactor 3.6928 6.9701 .52653E-03 -1.5670 3 Prefactor 12.989 9.0703 .27785E-03 -1.5636 4 norm .97028 9.2837 .42621E-03 -1.5688 5 Prefactor .74885E-07 13.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .99920E-08 38.672 .16853E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 9.4277 4.3821 .32595E-03 -1.5647 8 norm 1.5472 .38190 .59356E-03 -1.5683 9 Prefactor .53291E-08 8.5671 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 42.638 20.428 .15298E-03 -1.5577 11 Prefactor .23370E-06 3.0960 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 1.6821 2.3864 .81338E-03 -1.5682 13 norm .11985E-06 4.7319 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .65503E-08 7.2089 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 6.7134 20.118 .39406E-03 -1.5656 16 Prefactor .14266E-07 15.900 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm 2.1198 2.0679 .70311E-03 -1.5679 18 Prefactor 141.57 72.320 .84692E-04 -1.5470 19 Prefactor .25108E-06 3.0905 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .44964E-08 3.9700 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm .0000 1.7259 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor .63949E-07 14.167 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 3.6859 7.5311 .52813E-03 -1.5670 24 norm .10890 .31819 .22249E-02 -1.5715 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .13017E-06 4.9266 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Normalizat 1.1865 .16331 .56143E-01 -.87023 27 Prefactor .83452 .14122 .44161E-01 -.98468 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.35773e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.25676 2 6.97007 3 9.0703 4 6.00261 5 0.00204366 6 0.00124288 7 4.38211 8 0.381902 9 0.000427326 10 20.4284 11 0.00170125 12 2.38642 13 0.00150619 14 0.00043391 15 20.1182 16 0.000952587 17 2.0679 18 72.3203 19 0.0017617 20 0.000267255 21 1.15175e-05 22 0.00190351 23 7.53112 24 0.318187 25 0.00160153 26 0.163376 27 0.141286 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40383120/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 28.39 user 26.87 sys 1.23 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40383120/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40383120/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40383120/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40383120/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40383120/Model_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2221.9-3504' 4FGL J2221.9-3504 Spectrum: PowerLaw 253 Prefactor: 1.240e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 254 Index: 2.677e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 255 Scale: 5.158e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40383120/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40383120/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40383120/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40383120/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40383120/Model_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8338.26778817 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8338.07425205 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 15.238 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 3.6764 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 12.973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .96777 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .24956E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .22891E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 9.4390 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 1.5464 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .25756E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 42.738 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .18825E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 1.6769 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .14932E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .64809E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 6.4787 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .15209E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 2.1464 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 139.44 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .18093E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .83369E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' .11651E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .50926E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 3.6549 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .11006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .18037E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Normalizat' 1.1877 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 27 'Prefactor ' .83423 1.0000 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40383122/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 28.54 user 26.93 sys 1.20 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40383122/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40383122/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40383122/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40383122/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40383122/Model_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2221.9-3504' 4FGL J2221.9-3504 Spectrum: PowerLaw 253 Prefactor: 1.240e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 254 Index: 2.677e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 255 Scale: 5.158e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40383122/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40383122/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40383122/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40383122/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40383122/Model_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8338.26778817 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8338.07425205 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 15.238 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 3.6764 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 12.973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .96777 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .24956E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .22891E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 9.4390 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 1.5464 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .25756E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 42.738 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .18825E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 1.6769 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .14932E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .64809E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 6.4787 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .15209E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 2.1464 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 139.44 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .18093E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .83369E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' .11651E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .50926E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 3.6549 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .11006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .18037E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Normalizat' 1.1877 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 27 'Prefactor ' .83423 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8338.073 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 179 CALLS 2392 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 15.310 5.1986 -.13813E-06 -.11670E-02 2 Prefactor 3.6928 5.8712 .34203E-06 .23264E-02 3 Prefactor 12.989 2.6408 .43249E-07 -.49595E-02 4 norm .97028 .55609 .30840E-07 -.66877E-02 5 Prefactor .74885E-07 7.8176 .11669E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .99920E-08 39.298 .73901E-06** at limit ** 7 norm 9.4277 4.3693 .11480E-06 .14790E-02 8 norm 1.5472 .38363 -.69963E-08 -.12847E-03 9 Prefactor .53291E-08 8.5092 .11078E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 42.638 1.3191 -.10315E-07 .53255E-01 11 Prefactor .23370E-06 2.0625 -.21450E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 1.6821 2.3640 .29494E-07 -.13601E-03 13 norm .11985E-06 4.1022 -.34996E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .65503E-08 7.1431 .55117E-07** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 6.7134 4.7573 -.48703E-07 .35195E-01 16 Prefactor .14266E-07 15.250 .90892E-07** at limit ** 17 norm 2.1198 2.0641 .24879E-06 .21249E-02 18 Prefactor 141.57 72.563 .54096E-07 -.33705E-02 19 Prefactor .25108E-06 1.9657 -.26454E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .44964E-08 3.9578 -.43188E-06** at limit ** 21 norm .0000 1.7294 .12175E-06** at limit ** 22 Prefactor .63949E-07 6.1592 .10173E-06** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 3.6859 8.0118 .10062E-05 .26896E-02 24 norm .10890 .41597 .19209E-07** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .13017E-06 4.2554 .18696E-06** at limit ** 26 Normalizat 1.1865 .18921 -.10373E-04 -.11547E-03 27 Prefactor .83452 .16339 .49104E-05 -.81133E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 15.3098 Prefactor = 3.69276 Prefactor = 12.9888 norm = 0.970278 Prefactor = 7.48845e-08 Prefactor = 9.99201e-09 norm = 9.42773 norm = 1.54716 Prefactor = 5.32907e-09 Prefactor = 42.6382 Prefactor = 2.33702e-07 Prefactor = 1.68212 norm = 1.19849e-07 Prefactor = 6.55032e-09 Prefactor = 6.71341 Prefactor = 1.42664e-08 norm = 2.11978 Prefactor = 141.573 Prefactor = 2.51077e-07 Prefactor = 4.4964e-09 norm = 0 Prefactor = 6.39488e-08 Prefactor = 3.68593 norm = 0.108904 Prefactor = 1.30174e-07 Normalizat = 1.18645 Prefactor = 0.834517 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8338.073 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 179 CALLS 2392 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 15.310 5.1986 -.13813E-06 -.11670E-02 2 Prefactor 3.6928 5.8712 .34203E-06 .23264E-02 3 Prefactor 12.989 2.6408 .43249E-07 -.49595E-02 4 norm .97028 .55609 .30840E-07 -.66877E-02 5 Prefactor .74885E-07 7.8176 .11669E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .99920E-08 39.298 .73901E-06** at limit ** 7 norm 9.4277 4.3693 .11480E-06 .14790E-02 8 norm 1.5472 .38363 -.69963E-08 -.12847E-03 9 Prefactor .53291E-08 8.5092 .11078E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 42.638 1.3191 -.10315E-07 .53255E-01 11 Prefactor .23370E-06 2.0625 -.21450E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 1.6821 2.3640 .29494E-07 -.13601E-03 13 norm .11985E-06 4.1022 -.34996E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .65503E-08 7.1431 .55117E-07** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 6.7134 4.7573 -.48703E-07 .35195E-01 16 Prefactor .14266E-07 15.250 .90892E-07** at limit ** 17 norm 2.1198 2.0641 .24879E-06 .21249E-02 18 Prefactor 141.57 72.563 .54096E-07 -.33705E-02 19 Prefactor .25108E-06 1.9657 -.26454E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .44964E-08 3.9578 -.43188E-06** at limit ** 21 norm .0000 1.7294 .12175E-06** at limit ** 22 Prefactor .63949E-07 6.1592 .10173E-06** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 3.6859 8.0118 .10062E-05 .26896E-02 24 norm .10890 .41597 .19209E-07** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .13017E-06 4.2554 .18696E-06** at limit ** 26 Normalizat 1.1865 .18921 -.10373E-04 -.11547E-03 27 Prefactor .83452 .16339 .49104E-05 -.81133E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 15.3098 Prefactor = 3.69276 Prefactor = 12.9888 norm = 0.970278 Prefactor = 7.48845e-08 Prefactor = 9.99201e-09 norm = 9.42773 norm = 1.54716 Prefactor = 5.32907e-09 Prefactor = 42.6382 Prefactor = 2.33702e-07 Prefactor = 1.68212 norm = 1.19849e-07 Prefactor = 6.55032e-09 Prefactor = 6.71341 Prefactor = 1.42664e-08 norm = 2.11978 Prefactor = 141.573 Prefactor = 2.51077e-07 Prefactor = 4.4964e-09 norm = 0 Prefactor = 6.39488e-08 Prefactor = 3.68593 norm = 0.108904 Prefactor = 1.30174e-07 Normalizat = 1.18645 Prefactor = 0.834517 number of points = 7568 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213 RA = 335.497, Dec = -35.0712 tmin = 812937601, tmax = 813196801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='40383282', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-10-09 19:33:47.927511', time_epoch_executed='1791599627.93' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2221.9-3504' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2213' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40383282 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40383282/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=812937601.0 && nMetStart<813196801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=812937601.0 && nMetStart<813196801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ft1_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=812937601.0 && nMetStart<813196801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ft1_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits ra=335.497 dec=-35.0712 rad=12.0 tmin=812937601.0 tmax=813196801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.82 user 2.47 sys 0.20 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.43 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 774 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8338.0728761 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2221.9-3504 Spectrum: PowerLaw 253 Prefactor: 2.337e-07 1.701e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 254 Index: 2.677e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 255 Scale: 5.158e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 8.345e-01 1.413e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.186e+00 1.634e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 335.497 -35.071 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.87314737667e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.004617340001 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40383070/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 8338.07331423 delta logL = -0.000438135934019 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 8338.07287625 delta logL = -1.53058863361e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .78659E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.5325 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1865 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .83446 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 8338.073 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 42 CALLS 239 TOTAL EDM= .54E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.6387 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.7633 1.4062 .11332E-03 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.1865 1.1112 .17717E-04 -.21074E-03 4 Prefactor .83451 1.1821 .87668E-06 -.65246E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.76335 Normalizat = 1.18646 Prefactor = 0.834512 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 8338.073 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 248 TOTAL EDM= .54E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.6387 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.5557 2.2609 .11332E-03 -.24992 3 Normalizat 1.1865 1.1112 .17717E-04 -.87022 4 Prefactor .83451 1.1821 .87668E-06 -.98468 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 5.3884e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.2266e-05 2 1.42668 3 1.1345 4 1.22142 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 8338.07287606 delta logL = 3.73001967091e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2221.9-3504 Spectrum: PowerLaw 253 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 1.227e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 254 Index: 3.763e+00 1.427e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 255 Scale: 5.158e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 8.345e-01 1.221e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.186e+00 1.134e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 335.497 -35.071 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40383070/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.62e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.87e-08', time_completed='2026-10-09 19:34:23.630115', job_id='40383070', GAL2='0.83', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.19', EG='1.19', time_epoch_completed='1791599663.63', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.83', dlogl='3.73e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.68' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J2221.9-3504' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 19:34:23 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8338.073 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 544 CALLS 2936 TOTAL EDM= .34E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 15.310 5.2568 .25632E-03 -1.5630 2 Prefactor 3.6928 6.9701 .52653E-03 -1.5670 3 Prefactor 12.989 9.0703 .27785E-03 -1.5636 4 norm .97028 9.2837 .42621E-03 -1.5688 5 Prefactor .74885E-07 13.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .99920E-08 38.672 .16853E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 9.4277 4.3821 .32595E-03 -1.5647 8 norm 1.5472 .38190 .59356E-03 -1.5683 9 Prefactor .53291E-08 8.5671 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 42.638 20.428 .15298E-03 -1.5577 11 Prefactor .23370E-06 3.0960 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 1.6821 2.3864 .81338E-03 -1.5682 13 norm .11985E-06 4.7319 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .65503E-08 7.2089 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 6.7134 20.118 .39406E-03 -1.5656 16 Prefactor .14266E-07 15.900 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm 2.1198 2.0679 .70311E-03 -1.5679 18 Prefactor 141.57 72.320 .84692E-04 -1.5470 19 Prefactor .25108E-06 3.0905 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .44964E-08 3.9700 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm .0000 1.7259 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor .63949E-07 14.167 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 3.6859 7.5311 .52813E-03 -1.5670 24 norm .10890 .31819 .22249E-02 -1.5715 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .13017E-06 4.9266 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Normalizat 1.1865 .16331 .56143E-01 -.87023 27 Prefactor .83452 .14122 .44161E-01 -.98468 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.35773e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.25676 2 6.97007 3 9.0703 4 6.00261 5 0.00204366 6 0.00124288 7 4.38211 8 0.381902 9 0.000427326 10 20.4284 11 0.00170125 12 2.38642 13 0.00150619 14 0.00043391 15 20.1182 16 0.000952587 17 2.0679 18 72.3203 19 0.0017617 20 0.000267255 21 1.15175e-05 22 0.00190351 23 7.53112 24 0.318187 25 0.00160153 26 0.163376 27 0.141286 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8338.073 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 544 CALLS 2936 TOTAL EDM= .34E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 15.310 5.2568 .25632E-03 -1.5630 2 Prefactor 3.6928 6.9701 .52653E-03 -1.5670 3 Prefactor 12.989 9.0703 .27785E-03 -1.5636 4 norm .97028 9.2837 .42621E-03 -1.5688 5 Prefactor .74885E-07 13.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .99920E-08 38.672 .16853E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 9.4277 4.3821 .32595E-03 -1.5647 8 norm 1.5472 .38190 .59356E-03 -1.5683 9 Prefactor .53291E-08 8.5671 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 42.638 20.428 .15298E-03 -1.5577 11 Prefactor .23370E-06 3.0960 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 1.6821 2.3864 .81338E-03 -1.5682 13 norm .11985E-06 4.7319 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .65503E-08 7.2089 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 6.7134 20.118 .39406E-03 -1.5656 16 Prefactor .14266E-07 15.900 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm 2.1198 2.0679 .70311E-03 -1.5679 18 Prefactor 141.57 72.320 .84692E-04 -1.5470 19 Prefactor .25108E-06 3.0905 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .44964E-08 3.9700 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm .0000 1.7259 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor .63949E-07 14.167 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 3.6859 7.5311 .52813E-03 -1.5670 24 norm .10890 .31819 .22249E-02 -1.5715 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .13017E-06 4.9266 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Normalizat 1.1865 .16331 .56143E-01 -.87023 27 Prefactor .83452 .14122 .44161E-01 -.98468 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.35773e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.25676 2 6.97007 3 9.0703 4 6.00261 5 0.00204366 6 0.00124288 7 4.38211 8 0.381902 9 0.000427326 10 20.4284 11 0.00170125 12 2.38642 13 0.00150619 14 0.00043391 15 20.1182 16 0.000952587 17 2.0679 18 72.3203 19 0.0017617 20 0.000267255 21 1.15175e-05 22 0.00190351 23 7.53112 24 0.318187 25 0.00160153 26 0.163376 27 0.141286 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40383180/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 27.42 user 26.06 sys 1.06 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40383180/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40383180/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40383180/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40383180/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40383180/Model_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2221.9-3504' 4FGL J2221.9-3504 Spectrum: PowerLaw 253 Prefactor: 1.240e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 254 Index: 2.677e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 255 Scale: 5.158e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40383180/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40383180/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40383180/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40383180/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40383180/Model_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8338.26778817 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8338.07425205 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 15.238 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 3.6764 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 12.973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .96777 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .24956E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .22891E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 9.4390 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 1.5464 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .25756E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 42.738 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .18825E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 1.6769 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .14932E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .64809E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 6.4787 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .15209E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 2.1464 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 139.44 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .18093E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .83369E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' .11651E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .50926E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 3.6549 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .11006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .18037E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Normalizat' 1.1877 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 27 'Prefactor ' .83423 1.0000 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8338.0728761 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2221.9-3504 Spectrum: PowerLaw 253 Prefactor: 2.337e-07 1.701e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 254 Index: 2.677e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 255 Scale: 5.158e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 8.345e-01 1.413e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.186e+00 1.634e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 335.497 -35.071 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.87314737667e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.004617340001 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40383120/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 8338.07331423 delta logL = -0.000438135934019 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 8338.07287625 delta logL = -1.53058863361e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .78659E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.5325 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1865 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .83446 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 8338.073 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 42 CALLS 239 TOTAL EDM= .54E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.6387 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.7633 1.4062 .11332E-03 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.1865 1.1112 .17717E-04 -.21074E-03 4 Prefactor .83451 1.1821 .87668E-06 -.65246E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.76335 Normalizat = 1.18646 Prefactor = 0.834512 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 8338.073 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 248 TOTAL EDM= .54E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.6387 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.5557 2.2609 .11332E-03 -.24992 3 Normalizat 1.1865 1.1112 .17717E-04 -.87022 4 Prefactor .83451 1.1821 .87668E-06 -.98468 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 5.3884e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.2266e-05 2 1.42668 3 1.1345 4 1.22142 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8338.0728761 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2221.9-3504 Spectrum: PowerLaw 253 Prefactor: 2.337e-07 1.701e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 254 Index: 2.677e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 255 Scale: 5.158e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 8.345e-01 1.413e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.186e+00 1.634e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 335.497 -35.071 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.87314737667e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.004617340001 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40383122/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 8338.07331423 delta logL = -0.000438135934019 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 8338.07287625 delta logL = -1.53058863361e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .78659E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.5325 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1865 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .83446 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 8338.073 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 42 CALLS 239 TOTAL EDM= .54E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.6387 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.7633 1.4062 .11332E-03 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.1865 1.1112 .17717E-04 -.21074E-03 4 Prefactor .83451 1.1821 .87668E-06 -.65246E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.76335 Normalizat = 1.18646 Prefactor = 0.834512 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 8338.073 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 248 TOTAL EDM= .54E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.6387 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.5557 2.2609 .11332E-03 -.24992 3 Normalizat 1.1865 1.1112 .17717E-04 -.87022 4 Prefactor .83451 1.1821 .87668E-06 -.98468 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 5.3884e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.2266e-05 2 1.42668 3 1.1345 4 1.22142 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 8338.07287606 delta logL = 3.73001967091e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2221.9-3504 Spectrum: PowerLaw 253 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 1.227e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 254 Index: 3.763e+00 1.427e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 255 Scale: 5.158e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 8.345e-01 1.221e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.186e+00 1.134e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 335.497 -35.071 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40383120/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.62e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.87e-08', time_completed='2026-10-09 19:35:10.845960', job_id='40383120', GAL2='0.83', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.19', EG='1.19', time_epoch_completed='1791599710.85', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.83', dlogl='3.73e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.68' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J2221.9-3504' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 19:35:10 PDT 2026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 8338.07287606 delta logL = 3.73001967091e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2221.9-3504 Spectrum: PowerLaw 253 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 1.227e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 254 Index: 3.763e+00 1.427e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 255 Scale: 5.158e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 8.345e-01 1.221e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.186e+00 1.134e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 335.497 -35.071 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40383122/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.62e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.87e-08', time_completed='2026-10-09 19:35:11.218689', job_id='40383122', GAL2='0.83', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.19', EG='1.19', time_epoch_completed='1791599711.22', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.83', dlogl='3.73e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.68' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J2221.9-3504' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 19:35:11 PDT 2026 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8338.073 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 179 CALLS 2392 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 15.310 5.1986 -.13813E-06 -.11670E-02 2 Prefactor 3.6928 5.8712 .34203E-06 .23264E-02 3 Prefactor 12.989 2.6408 .43249E-07 -.49595E-02 4 norm .97028 .55609 .30840E-07 -.66877E-02 5 Prefactor .74885E-07 7.8176 .11669E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .99920E-08 39.298 .73901E-06** at limit ** 7 norm 9.4277 4.3693 .11480E-06 .14790E-02 8 norm 1.5472 .38363 -.69963E-08 -.12847E-03 9 Prefactor .53291E-08 8.5092 .11078E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 42.638 1.3191 -.10315E-07 .53255E-01 11 Prefactor .23370E-06 2.0625 -.21450E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 1.6821 2.3640 .29494E-07 -.13601E-03 13 norm .11985E-06 4.1022 -.34996E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .65503E-08 7.1431 .55117E-07** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 6.7134 4.7573 -.48703E-07 .35195E-01 16 Prefactor .14266E-07 15.250 .90892E-07** at limit ** 17 norm 2.1198 2.0641 .24879E-06 .21249E-02 18 Prefactor 141.57 72.563 .54096E-07 -.33705E-02 19 Prefactor .25108E-06 1.9657 -.26454E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .44964E-08 3.9578 -.43188E-06** at limit ** 21 norm .0000 1.7294 .12175E-06** at limit ** 22 Prefactor .63949E-07 6.1592 .10173E-06** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 3.6859 8.0118 .10062E-05 .26896E-02 24 norm .10890 .41597 .19209E-07** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .13017E-06 4.2554 .18696E-06** at limit ** 26 Normalizat 1.1865 .18921 -.10373E-04 -.11547E-03 27 Prefactor .83452 .16339 .49104E-05 -.81133E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 15.3098 Prefactor = 3.69276 Prefactor = 12.9888 norm = 0.970278 Prefactor = 7.48845e-08 Prefactor = 9.99201e-09 norm = 9.42773 norm = 1.54716 Prefactor = 5.32907e-09 Prefactor = 42.6382 Prefactor = 2.33702e-07 Prefactor = 1.68212 norm = 1.19849e-07 Prefactor = 6.55032e-09 Prefactor = 6.71341 Prefactor = 1.42664e-08 norm = 2.11978 Prefactor = 141.573 Prefactor = 2.51077e-07 Prefactor = 4.4964e-09 norm = 0 Prefactor = 6.39488e-08 Prefactor = 3.68593 norm = 0.108904 Prefactor = 1.30174e-07 Normalizat = 1.18645 Prefactor = 0.834517 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8338.073 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 544 CALLS 2936 TOTAL EDM= .34E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 15.310 5.2568 .25632E-03 -1.5630 2 Prefactor 3.6928 6.9701 .52653E-03 -1.5670 3 Prefactor 12.989 9.0703 .27785E-03 -1.5636 4 norm .97028 9.2837 .42621E-03 -1.5688 5 Prefactor .74885E-07 13.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .99920E-08 38.672 .16853E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 9.4277 4.3821 .32595E-03 -1.5647 8 norm 1.5472 .38190 .59356E-03 -1.5683 9 Prefactor .53291E-08 8.5671 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 42.638 20.428 .15298E-03 -1.5577 11 Prefactor .23370E-06 3.0960 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 1.6821 2.3864 .81338E-03 -1.5682 13 norm .11985E-06 4.7319 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .65503E-08 7.2089 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 6.7134 20.118 .39406E-03 -1.5656 16 Prefactor .14266E-07 15.900 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm 2.1198 2.0679 .70311E-03 -1.5679 18 Prefactor 141.57 72.320 .84692E-04 -1.5470 19 Prefactor .25108E-06 3.0905 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .44964E-08 3.9700 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm .0000 1.7259 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor .63949E-07 14.167 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 3.6859 7.5311 .52813E-03 -1.5670 24 norm .10890 .31819 .22249E-02 -1.5715 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .13017E-06 4.9266 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Normalizat 1.1865 .16331 .56143E-01 -.87023 27 Prefactor .83452 .14122 .44161E-01 -.98468 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.35773e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.25676 2 6.97007 3 9.0703 4 6.00261 5 0.00204366 6 0.00124288 7 4.38211 8 0.381902 9 0.000427326 10 20.4284 11 0.00170125 12 2.38642 13 0.00150619 14 0.00043391 15 20.1182 16 0.000952587 17 2.0679 18 72.3203 19 0.0017617 20 0.000267255 21 1.15175e-05 22 0.00190351 23 7.53112 24 0.318187 25 0.00160153 26 0.163376 27 0.141286 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 8.95 user 8.54 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits .....................! real 73.34 user 68.35 sys 4.32 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 175 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2221.9-3504 @ 335.497 -35.0712 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/cmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=335.497 yref=-35.0712 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.43 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=335.497 yref=-35.0712 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.45 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/Model_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8338.0728761 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2221.9-3504 Spectrum: PowerLaw 253 Prefactor: 2.337e-07 1.701e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 254 Index: 2.677e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 255 Scale: 5.158e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 8.345e-01 1.413e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.186e+00 1.634e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 335.497 -35.071 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.87314737667e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.004617340001 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40383180/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 8338.07331423 delta logL = -0.000438135934019 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 8338.07287625 delta logL = -1.53058863361e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .78659E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.5325 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1865 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .83446 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 8338.073 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 42 CALLS 239 TOTAL EDM= .54E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.6387 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.7633 1.4062 .11332E-03 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.1865 1.1112 .17717E-04 -.21074E-03 4 Prefactor .83451 1.1821 .87668E-06 -.65246E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.76335 Normalizat = 1.18646 Prefactor = 0.834512 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 8338.073 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 248 TOTAL EDM= .54E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.6387 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.5557 2.2609 .11332E-03 -.24992 3 Normalizat 1.1865 1.1112 .17717E-04 -.87022 4 Prefactor .83451 1.1821 .87668E-06 -.98468 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 5.3884e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.2266e-05 2 1.42668 3 1.1345 4 1.22142 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 8338.07287606 delta logL = 3.73001967091e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2221.9-3504 Spectrum: PowerLaw 253 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 1.227e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 254 Index: 3.763e+00 1.427e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 255 Scale: 5.158e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 8.345e-01 1.221e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.186e+00 1.134e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 335.497 -35.071 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40383180/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.62e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.87e-08', time_completed='2026-10-09 19:36:19.959349', job_id='40383180', GAL2='0.83', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.19', EG='1.19', time_epoch_completed='1791599779.96', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.83', dlogl='3.73e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.68' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J2221.9-3504' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 19:36:20 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits.....................! real 26.72 user 25.48 sys 0.89 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40383282/Model_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2221.9-3504' 4FGL J2221.9-3504 Spectrum: PowerLaw 253 Prefactor: 1.240e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 254 Index: 2.677e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 255 Scale: 5.158e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40383282/expmap_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40383282/ltcube_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40383282/Model_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8338.26778817 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8338.07425205 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 15.238 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 3.6764 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 12.973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .96777 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .24956E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .22891E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 9.4390 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 1.5464 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .25756E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 42.738 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .18825E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 1.6769 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .14932E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .64809E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 6.4787 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .15209E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 2.1464 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 139.44 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .18093E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' .83369E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' .11651E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .50926E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 3.6549 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .11006 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .18037E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Normalizat' 1.1877 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 27 'Prefactor ' .83423 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 8338.073 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 179 CALLS 2392 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 15.310 5.1986 -.13813E-06 -.11670E-02 2 Prefactor 3.6928 5.8712 .34203E-06 .23264E-02 3 Prefactor 12.989 2.6408 .43249E-07 -.49595E-02 4 norm .97028 .55609 .30840E-07 -.66877E-02 5 Prefactor .74885E-07 7.8176 .11669E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .99920E-08 39.298 .73901E-06** at limit ** 7 norm 9.4277 4.3693 .11480E-06 .14790E-02 8 norm 1.5472 .38363 -.69963E-08 -.12847E-03 9 Prefactor .53291E-08 8.5092 .11078E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 42.638 1.3191 -.10315E-07 .53255E-01 11 Prefactor .23370E-06 2.0625 -.21450E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 1.6821 2.3640 .29494E-07 -.13601E-03 13 norm .11985E-06 4.1022 -.34996E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .65503E-08 7.1431 .55117E-07** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 6.7134 4.7573 -.48703E-07 .35195E-01 16 Prefactor .14266E-07 15.250 .90892E-07** at limit ** 17 norm 2.1198 2.0641 .24879E-06 .21249E-02 18 Prefactor 141.57 72.563 .54096E-07 -.33705E-02 19 Prefactor .25108E-06 1.9657 -.26454E-07** at limit ** 20 Prefactor .44964E-08 3.9578 -.43188E-06** at limit ** 21 norm .0000 1.7294 .12175E-06** at limit ** 22 Prefactor .63949E-07 6.1592 .10173E-06** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 3.6859 8.0118 .10062E-05 .26896E-02 24 norm .10890 .41597 .19209E-07** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .13017E-06 4.2554 .18696E-06** at limit ** 26 Normalizat 1.1865 .18921 -.10373E-04 -.11547E-03 27 Prefactor .83452 .16339 .49104E-05 -.81133E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 15.3098 Prefactor = 3.69276 Prefactor = 12.9888 norm = 0.970278 Prefactor = 7.48845e-08 Prefactor = 9.99201e-09 norm = 9.42773 norm = 1.54716 Prefactor = 5.32907e-09 Prefactor = 42.6382 Prefactor = 2.33702e-07 Prefactor = 1.68212 norm = 1.19849e-07 Prefactor = 6.55032e-09 Prefactor = 6.71341 Prefactor = 1.42664e-08 norm = 2.11978 Prefactor = 141.573 Prefactor = 2.51077e-07 Prefactor = 4.4964e-09 norm = 0 Prefactor = 6.39488e-08 Prefactor = 3.68593 norm = 0.108904 Prefactor = 1.30174e-07 Normalizat = 1.18645 Prefactor = 0.834517 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 8338.073 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 544 CALLS 2936 TOTAL EDM= .34E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 15.310 5.2568 .25632E-03 -1.5630 2 Prefactor 3.6928 6.9701 .52653E-03 -1.5670 3 Prefactor 12.989 9.0703 .27785E-03 -1.5636 4 norm .97028 9.2837 .42621E-03 -1.5688 5 Prefactor .74885E-07 13.944 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .99920E-08 38.672 .16853E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 9.4277 4.3821 .32595E-03 -1.5647 8 norm 1.5472 .38190 .59356E-03 -1.5683 9 Prefactor .53291E-08 8.5671 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 42.638 20.428 .15298E-03 -1.5577 11 Prefactor .23370E-06 3.0960 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 1.6821 2.3864 .81338E-03 -1.5682 13 norm .11985E-06 4.7319 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .65503E-08 7.2089 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 6.7134 20.118 .39406E-03 -1.5656 16 Prefactor .14266E-07 15.900 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm 2.1198 2.0679 .70311E-03 -1.5679 18 Prefactor 141.57 72.320 .84692E-04 -1.5470 19 Prefactor .25108E-06 3.0905 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor .44964E-08 3.9700 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 norm .0000 1.7259 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor .63949E-07 14.167 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 3.6859 7.5311 .52813E-03 -1.5670 24 norm .10890 .31819 .22249E-02 -1.5715 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .13017E-06 4.9266 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Normalizat 1.1865 .16331 .56143E-01 -.87023 27 Prefactor .83452 .14122 .44161E-01 -.98468 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.35773e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.25676 2 6.97007 3 9.0703 4 6.00261 5 0.00204366 6 0.00124288 7 4.38211 8 0.381902 9 0.000427326 10 20.4284 11 0.00170125 12 2.38642 13 0.00150619 14 0.00043391 15 20.1182 16 0.000952587 17 2.0679 18 72.3203 19 0.0017617 20 0.000267255 21 1.15175e-05 22 0.00190351 23 7.53112 24 0.318187 25 0.00160153 26 0.163376 27 0.141286 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 8338.0728761 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2221.9-3504 Spectrum: PowerLaw 253 Prefactor: 2.337e-07 1.701e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 254 Index: 2.677e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 255 Scale: 5.158e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 8.345e-01 1.413e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.186e+00 1.634e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 335.497 -35.071 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.87314737667e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.004617340001 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40383282/likelihoodResults_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 8338.07331423 delta logL = -0.000438135934019 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 8338.07287625 delta logL = -1.53058863361e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .78659E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.5325 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1865 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .83446 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 8338.073 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 42 CALLS 239 TOTAL EDM= .54E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.6387 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 3.7633 1.4062 .11332E-03 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.1865 1.1112 .17717E-04 -.21074E-03 4 Prefactor .83451 1.1821 .87668E-06 -.65246E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.76335 Normalizat = 1.18646 Prefactor = 0.834512 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 8338.073 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 248 TOTAL EDM= .54E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.6387 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.5557 2.2609 .11332E-03 -.24992 3 Normalizat 1.1865 1.1112 .17717E-04 -.87022 4 Prefactor .83451 1.1821 .87668E-06 -.98468 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 5.3884e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.2266e-05 2 1.42668 3 1.1345 4 1.22142 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 8338.07287606 delta logL = 3.73001967091e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2221.9-3504 Spectrum: PowerLaw 253 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 1.227e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 254 Index: 3.763e+00 1.427e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 255 Scale: 5.158e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 8.345e-01 1.221e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.186e+00 1.134e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 335.497 -35.071 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40383282/cmap_HighResolution_812937601_813196801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2213.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.62e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.87e-08', time_completed='2026-10-09 19:39:33.015995', job_id='40383282', GAL2='0.83', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.19', EG='1.19', time_epoch_completed='1791599973.02', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.83', dlogl='3.73e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.68' WHERE bin_id='2213' AND source_name='4FGL J2221.9-3504' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Oct 9 19:39:33 PDT 2026