********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5986.613 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 554 CALLS 3081 TOTAL EDM= .17E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 5.9128 4.6507 .41362E-03 -1.5659 2 Prefactor .0000 2.6613 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 3.4189 9.0171 .54723E-03 -1.5671 4 norm .0000 4.2073 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .84127E-06 18.648 .14369E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 43.436 61.348 .15391E-03 -1.5576 7 norm 16.239 6.4038 .24795E-03 -1.5627 8 norm 1.1342 .41694 .64892E-03 -1.5687 9 Prefactor .17863E-06 8.0914 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .27080E-01 13.486 .10010E-01 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .0000 5.2873 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .0000 2.1939 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .15588E-06 7.9720 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 32.866 .13593E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 19.311 21.356 .22749E-03 -1.5620 16 Prefactor 12.130 22.082 .28774E-03 -1.5638 17 norm 4.7334 3.0709 .46244E-03 -1.5664 18 Prefactor .10598E-04 59.880 .16907E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .55511E-10 16.348 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 1.4173 3.9626 .90792E-03 -1.5684 21 norm .0000 1.3171 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor .44409E-09 9.5503 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 22.669 9.5210 .21019E-03 -1.5613 24 norm .0000 .30248 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .66613E-08 75.046 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Normalizat 1.2327 .19437 .55400E-01 -.85599 27 Prefactor .82221 .16795 .44005E-01 -.98915 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.66414e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.6507 2 2.84371e-06 3 9.01713 4 2.12274e-05 5 0.00792173 6 61.3491 7 6.40377 8 0.416945 9 0.00240444 10 1.20864 11 9.96985e-06 12 1.09795e-06 13 0.00222935 14 6.55188e-05 15 21.3565 16 22.0819 17 3.07095 18 0.0503829 19 4.50915e-05 20 3.96259 21 4.11884e-07 22 0.000127863 23 9.521 24 1.52344e-08 25 0.00141131 26 0.194484 27 0.168057 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5986.61343617 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2221.9-3504 Spectrum: PowerLaw 253 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 9.970e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 254 Index: 2.677e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 255 Scale: 5.158e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 8.222e-01 1.681e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.233e+00 1.945e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 335.497 -35.071 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.61785069702e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00598898758861 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27419140/likelihoodResults_801273601_801532801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5986.61367795 delta logL = -0.000241775403993 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5986.61343671 delta logL = -5.39686880074e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .15146E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.7212 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2328 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .82211 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5986.613 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 32 CALLS 232 TOTAL EDM= .12E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 4.0655 -.16675E-06** at limit ** 2 Index 3.3419 2.8574 .10771E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2327 .22172 .80869E-06 -.14728E-04 4 Prefactor .82221 .19582 .18875E-05 -.29634E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.34192 Normalizat = 1.23266 Prefactor = 0.822207 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 5986.613 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 11 CALLS 243 TOTAL EDM= .12E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 4.0175 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.2501 2.1549 .10771E-04 -.33802 3 Normalizat 1.2327 1.0959 .80869E-06 -.85599 4 Prefactor .82221 1.1702 .18875E-05 -.98915 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.23391e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.89123e-06 2 1.30614 3 1.11749 4 1.2088 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 5986.61343617 delta logL = -9.09494701773e-13 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2221.9-3504 Spectrum: PowerLaw 253 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 5.891e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 254 Index: 3.342e+00 1.306e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 255 Scale: 5.158e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 8.222e-01 1.209e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.233e+00 1.117e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 335.497 -35.071 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27419140/cmap_HighResolution_801273601_801532801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.99e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.62e-08', time_completed='2026-05-29 16:59:53.118446', job_id='27419140', GAL2='0.82', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.23', EG='1.23', time_epoch_completed='1780099193.12', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.82', dlogl='-9.09e-13', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.68' WHERE bin_id='2168' AND source_name='4FGL J2221.9-3504' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri May 29 16:59:53 PDT 2026 number of points = 7576 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168 RA = 335.497, Dec = -35.0712 tmin = 801273601, tmax = 801532801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='27419410', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-05-29 16:59:34.476829', time_epoch_executed='1780099174.48' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2221.9-3504' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2168' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27419410 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27419410/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=801273601.0 && nMetStart<801532801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=801273601.0 && nMetStart<801532801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ft1_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=801273601.0 && nMetStart<801532801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ft1_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits ra=335.497 dec=-35.0712 rad=12.0 tmin=801273601.0 tmax=801532801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.51 user 2.18 sys 0.19 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.44 user 0.19 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 548 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits sctable="SC_DATA" e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27419177/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits.....................! real 18.77 user 17.52 sys 0.96 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27419177/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27419177/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27419177/expmap_801273601_801532801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27419177/ltcube_801273601_801532801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27419177/Model_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2221.9-3504' 4FGL J2221.9-3504 Spectrum: PowerLaw 253 Prefactor: 1.240e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 254 Index: 2.677e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 255 Scale: 5.158e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27419177/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27419177/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27419177/expmap_801273601_801532801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27419177/ltcube_801273601_801532801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27419177/Model_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5986.61676207 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5986.61659824 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 5.8879 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .91619E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 3.4142 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .17131E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .84405E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 42.220 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 16.282 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 1.1341 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .19081E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .78437E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .79610E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .20318E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .19911E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .11300 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 19.336 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 12.099 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 4.7296 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .22026E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .13583E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 1.4192 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' .28827E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .29048E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 22.647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .48572E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .35201E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Normalizat' 1.2329 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 27 'Prefactor ' .82215 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5986.613 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 187 CALLS 2527 TOTAL EDM= .22E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.8% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 5.9128 4.6511 -.95164E-08 .23344E-03 2 Prefactor .0000 2.6553 .65199E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 3.4189 8.9814 -.41841E-07 -.20818E-02 4 norm .0000 4.2093 -.21835E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .84127E-06 123.02 .21611E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 43.436 52.477 .17134E-06 -.23815E-02 7 norm 16.239 6.3613 -.65584E-07 .42220E-03 8 norm 1.1342 .41880 -.19023E-07 .13317E-02 9 Prefactor .17863E-06 4.0969 .39217E-08** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .27080E-01 12.118 -.15432E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .0000 5.2935 -.33531E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .0000 2.1973 -.21800E-08** at limit ** 13 norm .15588E-06 4.5556 -.19233E-07** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 33.079 .23937E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 19.311 2.1201 -.55375E-08 -.18716E-01 16 Prefactor 12.130 4.9485 .20905E-07 .26626E-01 17 norm 4.7334 2.7233 .34017E-07 -.24504E-03 18 Prefactor .10598E-04 46.158 .14788E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .55511E-10 16.380 -.23351E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 1.4173 3.9068 .46653E-07 -.86031E-04 21 norm .0000 1.3181 -.46789E-07** at limit ** 22 Prefactor .44409E-09 9.5384 -.13083E-06** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 22.669 9.3952 .61610E-07 -.12732E-02 24 norm .0000 .30477 -.50777E-08** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .66613E-08 77.281 -.22041E-06** at limit ** 26 Normalizat 1.2327 .22629 -.31472E-05 .16826E-04 27 Prefactor .82221 .19838 .18163E-05 .10636E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 5.91277 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.41887 norm = 0 Prefactor = 8.41271e-07 Prefactor = 43.4356 norm = 16.2392 norm = 1.13417 Prefactor = 1.78635e-07 Prefactor = 0.0270796 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 1.55875e-07 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 19.3111 Prefactor = 12.1299 norm = 4.73337 Prefactor = 1.05977e-05 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.41727 norm = 0 Prefactor = 4.44089e-10 Prefactor = 22.6689 norm = 0 Prefactor = 6.66134e-09 Normalizat = 1.23266 Prefactor = 0.822207 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5986.613 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 554 CALLS 3081 TOTAL EDM= .17E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 5.9128 4.6507 .41362E-03 -1.5659 2 Prefactor .0000 2.6613 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 3.4189 9.0171 .54723E-03 -1.5671 4 norm .0000 4.2073 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .84127E-06 18.648 .14369E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 43.436 61.348 .15391E-03 -1.5576 7 norm 16.239 6.4038 .24795E-03 -1.5627 8 norm 1.1342 .41694 .64892E-03 -1.5687 9 Prefactor .17863E-06 8.0914 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .27080E-01 13.486 .10010E-01 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .0000 5.2873 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .0000 2.1939 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .15588E-06 7.9720 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 32.866 .13593E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 19.311 21.356 .22749E-03 -1.5620 16 Prefactor 12.130 22.082 .28774E-03 -1.5638 17 norm 4.7334 3.0709 .46244E-03 -1.5664 18 Prefactor .10598E-04 59.880 .16907E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .55511E-10 16.348 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 1.4173 3.9626 .90792E-03 -1.5684 21 norm .0000 1.3171 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor .44409E-09 9.5503 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 22.669 9.5210 .21019E-03 -1.5613 24 norm .0000 .30248 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .66613E-08 75.046 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Normalizat 1.2327 .19437 .55400E-01 -.85599 27 Prefactor .82221 .16795 .44005E-01 -.98915 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.66414e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.6507 2 2.84371e-06 3 9.01713 4 2.12274e-05 5 0.00792173 6 61.3491 7 6.40377 8 0.416945 9 0.00240444 10 1.20864 11 9.96985e-06 12 1.09795e-06 13 0.00222935 14 6.55188e-05 15 21.3565 16 22.0819 17 3.07095 18 0.0503829 19 4.50915e-05 20 3.96259 21 4.11884e-07 22 0.000127863 23 9.521 24 1.52344e-08 25 0.00141131 26 0.194484 27 0.168057 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5986.61343617 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2221.9-3504 Spectrum: PowerLaw 253 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 9.970e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 254 Index: 2.677e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 255 Scale: 5.158e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 8.222e-01 1.681e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.233e+00 1.945e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 335.497 -35.071 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.61785069702e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00598898758861 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27419177/likelihoodResults_801273601_801532801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5986.61367795 delta logL = -0.000241775403993 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5986.61343671 delta logL = -5.39686880074e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .15146E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.7212 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2328 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .82211 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5986.613 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 32 CALLS 232 TOTAL EDM= .12E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 4.0655 -.16675E-06** at limit ** 2 Index 3.3419 2.8574 .10771E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2327 .22172 .80869E-06 -.14728E-04 4 Prefactor .82221 .19582 .18875E-05 -.29634E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.34192 Normalizat = 1.23266 Prefactor = 0.822207 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 5986.613 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 11 CALLS 243 TOTAL EDM= .12E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 4.0175 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.2501 2.1549 .10771E-04 -.33802 3 Normalizat 1.2327 1.0959 .80869E-06 -.85599 4 Prefactor .82221 1.1702 .18875E-05 -.98915 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.23391e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.89123e-06 2 1.30614 3 1.11749 4 1.2088 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 5986.61343617 delta logL = -9.09494701773e-13 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2221.9-3504 Spectrum: PowerLaw 253 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 5.891e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 254 Index: 3.342e+00 1.306e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 255 Scale: 5.158e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 8.222e-01 1.209e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.233e+00 1.117e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 335.497 -35.071 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27419177/cmap_HighResolution_801273601_801532801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.99e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.62e-08', time_completed='2026-05-29 17:01:14.895888', job_id='27419177', GAL2='0.82', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.23', EG='1.23', time_epoch_completed='1780099274.9', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.82', dlogl='-9.09e-13', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.68' WHERE bin_id='2168' AND source_name='4FGL J2221.9-3504' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri May 29 17:01:14 PDT 2026 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ltcube_801273601_801532801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits .....................! real 8.82 user 8.34 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ltcube_801273601_801532801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/expmap_801273601_801532801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ltcube_801273601_801532801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits .....................! real 69.92 user 65.54 sys 3.88 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 175 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2221.9-3504 @ 335.497 -35.0712 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/cmap_801273601_801532801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=335.497 yref=-35.0712 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.46 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/cmap_HighResolution_801273601_801532801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=335.497 yref=-35.0712 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.45 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/Model_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits.....................! real 21.18 user 19.91 sys 0.90 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/expmap_801273601_801532801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ltcube_801273601_801532801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27419410/Model_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2221.9-3504' 4FGL J2221.9-3504 Spectrum: PowerLaw 253 Prefactor: 1.240e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 254 Index: 2.677e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 255 Scale: 5.158e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ft2_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27419410/expmap_801273601_801532801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27419410/ltcube_801273601_801532801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27419410/Model_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5986.61676207 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5986.61659824 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 5.8879 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .91619E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 3.4142 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .17131E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .84405E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 42.220 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 16.282 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 1.1341 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .19081E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .78437E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .79610E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .20318E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .19911E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .11300 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 19.336 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 12.099 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' 4.7296 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .22026E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .13583E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 1.4192 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' .28827E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .29048E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 22.647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .48572E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .35201E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Normalizat' 1.2329 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 27 'Prefactor ' .82215 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5986.613 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 187 CALLS 2527 TOTAL EDM= .22E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.8% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 5.9128 4.6511 -.95164E-08 .23344E-03 2 Prefactor .0000 2.6553 .65199E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 3.4189 8.9814 -.41841E-07 -.20818E-02 4 norm .0000 4.2093 -.21835E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .84127E-06 123.02 .21611E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 43.436 52.477 .17134E-06 -.23815E-02 7 norm 16.239 6.3613 -.65584E-07 .42220E-03 8 norm 1.1342 .41880 -.19023E-07 .13317E-02 9 Prefactor .17863E-06 4.0969 .39217E-08** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .27080E-01 12.118 -.15432E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .0000 5.2935 -.33531E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .0000 2.1973 -.21800E-08** at limit ** 13 norm .15588E-06 4.5556 -.19233E-07** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 33.079 .23937E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 19.311 2.1201 -.55375E-08 -.18716E-01 16 Prefactor 12.130 4.9485 .20905E-07 .26626E-01 17 norm 4.7334 2.7233 .34017E-07 -.24504E-03 18 Prefactor .10598E-04 46.158 .14788E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .55511E-10 16.380 -.23351E-06** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 1.4173 3.9068 .46653E-07 -.86031E-04 21 norm .0000 1.3181 -.46789E-07** at limit ** 22 Prefactor .44409E-09 9.5384 -.13083E-06** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 22.669 9.3952 .61610E-07 -.12732E-02 24 norm .0000 .30477 -.50777E-08** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .66613E-08 77.281 -.22041E-06** at limit ** 26 Normalizat 1.2327 .22629 -.31472E-05 .16826E-04 27 Prefactor .82221 .19838 .18163E-05 .10636E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 5.91277 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.41887 norm = 0 Prefactor = 8.41271e-07 Prefactor = 43.4356 norm = 16.2392 norm = 1.13417 Prefactor = 1.78635e-07 Prefactor = 0.0270796 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 1.55875e-07 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 19.3111 Prefactor = 12.1299 norm = 4.73337 Prefactor = 1.05977e-05 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.41727 norm = 0 Prefactor = 4.44089e-10 Prefactor = 22.6689 norm = 0 Prefactor = 6.66134e-09 Normalizat = 1.23266 Prefactor = 0.822207 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 5986.613 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 554 CALLS 3081 TOTAL EDM= .17E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 5.9128 4.6507 .41362E-03 -1.5659 2 Prefactor .0000 2.6613 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 3.4189 9.0171 .54723E-03 -1.5671 4 norm .0000 4.2073 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .84127E-06 18.648 .14369E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 43.436 61.348 .15391E-03 -1.5576 7 norm 16.239 6.4038 .24795E-03 -1.5627 8 norm 1.1342 .41694 .64892E-03 -1.5687 9 Prefactor .17863E-06 8.0914 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .27080E-01 13.486 .10010E-01 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .0000 5.2873 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .0000 2.1939 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .15588E-06 7.9720 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .55511E-10 32.866 .13593E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 19.311 21.356 .22749E-03 -1.5620 16 Prefactor 12.130 22.082 .28774E-03 -1.5638 17 norm 4.7334 3.0709 .46244E-03 -1.5664 18 Prefactor .10598E-04 59.880 .16907E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .55511E-10 16.348 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 1.4173 3.9626 .90792E-03 -1.5684 21 norm .0000 1.3171 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor .44409E-09 9.5503 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 22.669 9.5210 .21019E-03 -1.5613 24 norm .0000 .30248 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .66613E-08 75.046 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Normalizat 1.2327 .19437 .55400E-01 -.85599 27 Prefactor .82221 .16795 .44005E-01 -.98915 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.66414e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.6507 2 2.84371e-06 3 9.01713 4 2.12274e-05 5 0.00792173 6 61.3491 7 6.40377 8 0.416945 9 0.00240444 10 1.20864 11 9.96985e-06 12 1.09795e-06 13 0.00222935 14 6.55188e-05 15 21.3565 16 22.0819 17 3.07095 18 0.0503829 19 4.50915e-05 20 3.96259 21 4.11884e-07 22 0.000127863 23 9.521 24 1.52344e-08 25 0.00141131 26 0.194484 27 0.168057 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 5986.61343617 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2221.9-3504 Spectrum: PowerLaw 253 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 9.970e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 254 Index: 2.677e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 255 Scale: 5.158e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 8.222e-01 1.681e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.233e+00 1.945e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 335.497 -35.071 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.61785069702e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00598898758861 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/27419410/likelihoodResults_801273601_801532801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 5986.61367795 delta logL = -0.000241775403993 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 5986.61343671 delta logL = -5.39686880074e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .15146E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.7212 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2328 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .82211 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 5986.613 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 32 CALLS 232 TOTAL EDM= .12E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.7% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 4.0655 -.16675E-06** at limit ** 2 Index 3.3419 2.8574 .10771E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2327 .22172 .80869E-06 -.14728E-04 4 Prefactor .82221 .19582 .18875E-05 -.29634E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 3.34192 Normalizat = 1.23266 Prefactor = 0.822207 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 5986.613 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 11 CALLS 243 TOTAL EDM= .12E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 4.0175 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 1.2501 2.1549 .10771E-04 -.33802 3 Normalizat 1.2327 1.0959 .80869E-06 -.85599 4 Prefactor .82221 1.1702 .18875E-05 -.98915 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.23391e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.89123e-06 2 1.30614 3 1.11749 4 1.2088 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 5986.61343617 delta logL = -9.09494701773e-13 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2221.9-3504 Spectrum: PowerLaw 253 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 5.891e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 254 Index: 3.342e+00 1.306e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 255 Scale: 5.158e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 560 Prefactor: 8.222e-01 1.209e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 561 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 562 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 559 Normalization: 1.233e+00 1.117e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 335.497 -35.071 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27419410/cmap_HighResolution_801273601_801532801_4FGL_J2221.9-3504_daily_bin2168.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.99e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.62e-08', time_completed='2026-05-29 17:04:39.438203', job_id='27419410', GAL2='0.82', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.23', EG='1.23', time_epoch_completed='1780099479.44', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.82', dlogl='-9.09e-13', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.68' WHERE bin_id='2168' AND source_name='4FGL J2221.9-3504' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri May 29 17:04:39 PDT 2026