********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 9121.850 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 269 CALLS 1613 TOTAL EDM= .59E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .10097E-06 12.147 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 12.437 8.6297 .28377E-03 -1.5637 3 Prefactor .27397E-03 2.6314 .55384E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 2.7701 3.0147 .61120E-03 -1.5675 5 Prefactor .14155E-07 3.3802 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .10031E-06 17.015 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .49905E-07 5.8638 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 24.009 6.6262 .20396E-03 -1.5610 9 Prefactor .29587E-07 5.6154 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 3.2176 4.5029 .56958E-03 -1.5672 11 Prefactor 23.271 13.056 .20679E-03 -1.5611 12 Prefactor .45419E-05 42.356 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 67.908 56.654 .12354E-03 -1.5543 14 norm 8.5859 4.0244 .34218E-03 -1.5649 15 norm .23747E-01 .36572 .21337E-02 -1.5711 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Normalizat .67635 .17874 .76799E-01 -1.0483 17 Prefactor 1.1719 .11786 .35334E-01 -.87201 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.94334e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00221495 2 8.62974 3 0.0537006 4 3.01466 5 0.0004377 6 0.00261316 7 0.00108202 8 6.62617 9 0.00081539 10 4.50293 11 13.0564 12 0.02774 13 56.6548 14 4.02436 15 0.186382 16 0.178899 17 0.117882 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9121.84962205 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2158.1-1501 Spectrum: PowerLaw 269 Prefactor: 2.959e-08 8.154e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 270 Index: 2.181e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 271 Scale: 1.246e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 491 Prefactor: 1.172e+00 1.179e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 492 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 493 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 490 Normalization: 6.763e-01 1.789e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 329.527 -15.024 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.75202835853e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00361554107955 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39306037/likelihoodResults_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 9121.8508928 delta logL = -0.00127075569981 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 9120.14946269 delta logL = 1.70015935929 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .83666E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 10.0000 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .56375 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2241 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .4940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 9121.850 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 106 CALLS 887 TOTAL EDM= .38E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 5.5529 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.1539 1.2962 -.11453E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .67634 .98076 -.32844E-04 .29131E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1719 1.0752 -.56432E-08 .16299E-06 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.15387 Normalizat = 0.676344 Prefactor = 1.17187 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 9121.850 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 896 TOTAL EDM= .38E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 5.5529 .42118E-03 -259.18 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .50921 1.7898 -.11453E-04 50340. 3 Normalizat .67634 .98076 -.32844E-04 86.916 4 Prefactor 1.1719 1.0752 -.56432E-08 98.261 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 3.83326e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.09001e-05 2 1.31868 3 1.00801 4 1.0963 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 9121.84962204 delta logL = 2.68119038083e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2158.1-1501 Spectrum: PowerLaw 269 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 1.090e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 270 Index: 2.154e+00 1.319e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 271 Scale: 1.246e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 491 Prefactor: 1.172e+00 1.096e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 492 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 493 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 490 Normalization: 6.763e-01 1.008e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 329.527 -15.024 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39306037/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.62e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.75e-08', time_completed='2026-09-27 18:37:55.864174', job_id='39306037', GAL2='1.17', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.68', EG='0.68', time_epoch_completed='1790559475.86', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.17', dlogl='2.68e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.18' WHERE bin_id='2209' AND source_name='4FGL J2158.1-1501' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 27 18:37:56 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39306078/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits.....................! real 33.49 user 31.73 sys 1.20 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39306078/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39306078/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39306078/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39306078/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39306078/Model_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2158.1-1501' 4FGL J2158.1-1501 Spectrum: PowerLaw 269 Prefactor: 6.798e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 270 Index: 2.181e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 271 Scale: 1.246e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39306078/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39306078/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39306078/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39306078/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39306078/Model_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9121.92360848 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9121.8507718 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .38972E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 12.439 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .55992E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 2.7703 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .14056E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .48586E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .60982E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 24.050 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .20191E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 3.1635 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 23.395 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .51225E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 65.535 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 8.5701 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .25056E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' .67712 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' 1.1718 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .4940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 9121.850 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 170 CALLS 1344 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.6% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .10097E-06 12.058 .27499E-05** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 12.437 8.6251 .73308E-07 -.42122E-02 3 Prefactor .27397E-03 9.0875 .27221E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 2.7701 3.0071 -.16726E-06 .45501E-02 5 Prefactor .14155E-07 3.3740 .50487E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .10031E-06 17.095 .29593E-06** at limit ** 7 norm .49905E-07 5.8976 -.20233E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 24.009 6.6067 .37384E-06 .57894E-02 9 Prefactor .29587E-07 5.5923 .21132E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 3.2176 4.4856 -.29674E-06 -.34992E-02 11 Prefactor 23.271 12.893 -.22554E-05 -.13190 12 Prefactor .45419E-05 41.731 -.30481E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 67.908 55.840 .60933E-06 -.56428E-01 14 norm 8.5859 4.0163 .27811E-06 .88649E-02 15 norm .23747E-01 2.5247 .54651E-06** at limit ** 16 Normalizat .67635 .20329 .24825E-04 .24838E-04 17 Prefactor 1.1719 .13491 -.12080E-04 -.20237E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.00975e-07 Prefactor = 12.4367 Prefactor = 0.000273972 Prefactor = 2.77011 Prefactor = 1.41553e-08 Prefactor = 1.00309e-07 norm = 4.99045e-08 Prefactor = 24.0093 Prefactor = 2.95874e-08 Prefactor = 3.21761 Prefactor = 23.2708 Prefactor = 4.54192e-06 Prefactor = 67.9081 norm = 8.58589 norm = 0.0237468 Normalizat = 0.676345 Prefactor = 1.17187 utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306231/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/39306231/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits .....................! real 7.93 user 7.38 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306231/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306231/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/39306231/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306231/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/39306231/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits .....................! real 59.66 user 55.57 sys 3.51 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 153 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2158.1-1501 @ 329.527 -15.0237 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306231/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306231/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306231/cmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.527 yref=-15.0237 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.59 user 0.19 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306231/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306231/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306231/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.527 yref=-15.0237 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.58 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306231/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306231/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39306231/Model_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 9121.850 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 269 CALLS 1613 TOTAL EDM= .59E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .10097E-06 12.147 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 12.437 8.6297 .28377E-03 -1.5637 3 Prefactor .27397E-03 2.6314 .55384E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 2.7701 3.0147 .61120E-03 -1.5675 5 Prefactor .14155E-07 3.3802 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .10031E-06 17.015 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .49905E-07 5.8638 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 24.009 6.6262 .20396E-03 -1.5610 9 Prefactor .29587E-07 5.6154 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 3.2176 4.5029 .56958E-03 -1.5672 11 Prefactor 23.271 13.056 .20679E-03 -1.5611 12 Prefactor .45419E-05 42.356 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 67.908 56.654 .12354E-03 -1.5543 14 norm 8.5859 4.0244 .34218E-03 -1.5649 15 norm .23747E-01 .36572 .21337E-02 -1.5711 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Normalizat .67635 .17874 .76799E-01 -1.0483 17 Prefactor 1.1719 .11786 .35334E-01 -.87201 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.94334e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00221495 2 8.62974 3 0.0537006 4 3.01466 5 0.0004377 6 0.00261316 7 0.00108202 8 6.62617 9 0.00081539 10 4.50293 11 13.0564 12 0.02774 13 56.6548 14 4.02436 15 0.186382 16 0.178899 17 0.117882 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306217/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/39306217/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits .....................! real 8.35 user 7.79 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306217/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306217/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/39306217/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306217/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/39306217/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits .....................! real 68.57 user 63.88 sys 4.11 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 153 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2158.1-1501 @ 329.527 -15.0237 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306217/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306217/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306217/cmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.527 yref=-15.0237 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.60 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306217/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306217/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306217/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.527 yref=-15.0237 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.59 user 0.22 sys 0.15 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306217/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306217/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39306217/Model_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcnumber of points = 7660 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209 RA = 329.527, Dec = -15.0237 tmin = 811900801, tmax = 812160001 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='39306365', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-27 18:37:21.807583', time_epoch_executed='1790559441.81' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2158.1-1501' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2209' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39306365 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39306365/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=811900801.0 && nMetStart<812160001.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=811900801.0 && nMetStart<812160001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ft1_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=811900801.0 && nMetStart<812160001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ft1_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits ra=329.527 dec=-15.0237 rad=12.0 tmin=811900801.0 tmax=812160001.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.23 user 2.80 sys 0.21 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.57 user 0.20 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 856 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9121.84962205 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2158.1-1501 Spectrum: PowerLaw 269 Prefactor: 2.959e-08 8.154e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 270 Index: 2.181e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 271 Scale: 1.246e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 491 Prefactor: 1.172e+00 1.179e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 492 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 493 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 490 Normalization: 6.763e-01 1.789e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 329.527 -15.024 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.75202835853e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00361554107955 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39306078/likelihoodResults_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 9121.8508928 delta logL = -0.00127075569981 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 9120.14946269 delta logL = 1.70015935929 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .83666E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 10.0000 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .56375 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2241 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .4940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 9121.850 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 106 CALLS 887 TOTAL EDM= .38E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 5.5529 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.1539 1.2962 -.11453E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .67634 .98076 -.32844E-04 .29131E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1719 1.0752 -.56432E-08 .16299E-06 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.15387 Normalizat = 0.676344 Prefactor = 1.17187 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 9121.850 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 896 TOTAL EDM= .38E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 5.5529 .42118E-03 -259.18 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .50921 1.7898 -.11453E-04 50340. 3 Normalizat .67634 .98076 -.32844E-04 86.916 4 Prefactor 1.1719 1.0752 -.56432E-08 98.261 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 3.83326e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.09001e-05 2 1.31868 3 1.00801 4 1.0963 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 9121.84962204 delta logL = 2.68119038083e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2158.1-1501 Spectrum: PowerLaw 269 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 1.090e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 270 Index: 2.154e+00 1.319e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 271 Scale: 1.246e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 491 Prefactor: 1.172e+00 1.096e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 492 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 493 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 490 Normalization: 6.763e-01 1.008e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 329.527 -15.024 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39306078/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.62e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.75e-08', time_completed='2026-09-27 18:39:06.481369', job_id='39306078', GAL2='1.17', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.68', EG='0.68', time_epoch_completed='1790559546.48', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.17', dlogl='2.68e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.18' WHERE bin_id='2209' AND source_name='4FGL J2158.1-1501' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 27 18:39:06 PDT 2026 GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39306231/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits.....................! real 28.49 user 26.73 sys 1.28 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39306231/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39306231/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39306231/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39306231/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39306231/Model_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2158.1-1501' 4FGL J2158.1-1501 Spectrum: PowerLaw 269 Prefactor: 6.798e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 270 Index: 2.181e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 271 Scale: 1.246e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39306231/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39306231/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39306231/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39306231/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39306231/Model_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9121.92360848 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9121.8507718 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .38972E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 12.439 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .55992E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 2.7703 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .14056E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .48586E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .60982E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 24.050 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .20191E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 3.1635 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 23.395 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .51225E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 65.535 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 8.5701 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .25056E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' .67712 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' 1.1718 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .4940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 9121.850 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 170 CALLS 1344 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.6% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .10097E-06 12.058 .27499E-05** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 12.437 8.6251 .73308E-07 -.42122E-02 3 Prefactor .27397E-03 9.0875 .27221E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 2.7701 3.0071 -.16726E-06 .45501E-02 5 Prefactor .14155E-07 3.3740 .50487E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .10031E-06 17.095 .29593E-06** at limit ** 7 norm .49905E-07 5.8976 -.20233E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 24.009 6.6067 .37384E-06 .57894E-02 9 Prefactor .29587E-07 5.5923 .21132E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 3.2176 4.4856 -.29674E-06 -.34992E-02 11 Prefactor 23.271 12.893 -.22554E-05 -.13190 12 Prefactor .45419E-05 41.731 -.30481E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 67.908 55.840 .60933E-06 -.56428E-01 14 norm 8.5859 4.0163 .27811E-06 .88649E-02 15 norm .23747E-01 2.5247 .54651E-06** at limit ** 16 Normalizat .67635 .20329 .24825E-04 .24838E-04 17 Prefactor 1.1719 .13491 -.12080E-04 -.20237E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.00975e-07 Prefactor = 12.4367 Prefactor = 0.000273972 Prefactor = 2.77011 Prefactor = 1.41553e-08 Prefactor = 1.00309e-07 norm = 4.99045e-08 Prefactor = 24.0093 Prefactor = 2.95874e-08 Prefactor = 3.21761 Prefactor = 23.2708 Prefactor = 4.54192e-06 Prefactor = 67.9081 norm = 8.58589 norm = 0.0237468 Normalizat = 0.676345 Prefactor = 1.17187 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 9121.850 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 269 CALLS 1613 TOTAL EDM= .59E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .10097E-06 12.147 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 12.437 8.6297 .28377E-03 -1.5637 3 Prefactor .27397E-03 2.6314 .55384E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 2.7701 3.0147 .61120E-03 -1.5675 5 Prefactor .14155E-07 3.3802 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .10031E-06 17.015 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .49905E-07 5.8638 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 24.009 6.6262 .20396E-03 -1.5610 9 Prefactor .29587E-07 5.6154 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 3.2176 4.5029 .56958E-03 -1.5672 11 Prefactor 23.271 13.056 .20679E-03 -1.5611 12 Prefactor .45419E-05 42.356 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 67.908 56.654 .12354E-03 -1.5543 14 norm 8.5859 4.0244 .34218E-03 -1.5649 15 norm .23747E-01 .36572 .21337E-02 -1.5711 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Normalizat .67635 .17874 .76799E-01 -1.0483 17 Prefactor 1.1719 .11786 .35334E-01 -.87201 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.94334e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00221495 2 8.62974 3 0.0537006 4 3.01466 5 0.0004377 6 0.00261316 7 0.00108202 8 6.62617 9 0.00081539 10 4.50293 11 13.0564 12 0.02774 13 56.6548 14 4.02436 15 0.186382 16 0.178899 17 0.117882 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39306217/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits.....................! real 32.03 user 30.45 sys 1.03 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39306217/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39306217/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39306217/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39306217/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39306217/Model_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2158.1-1501' 4FGL J2158.1-1501 Spectrum: PowerLaw 269 Prefactor: 6.798e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 270 Index: 2.181e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 271 Scale: 1.246e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39306217/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39306217/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39306217/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39306217/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39306217/Model_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9121.92360848 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9121.8507718 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .38972E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 12.439 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .55992E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 2.7703 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .14056E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .48586E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .60982E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 24.050 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .20191E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 3.1635 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 23.395 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .51225E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 65.535 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 8.5701 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .25056E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' .67712 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' 1.1718 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .4940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 9121.850 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 170 CALLS 1344 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.6% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .10097E-06 12.058 .27499E-05** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 12.437 8.6251 .73308E-07 -.42122E-02 3 Prefactor .27397E-03 9.0875 .27221E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 2.7701 3.0071 -.16726E-06 .45501E-02 5 Prefactor .14155E-07 3.3740 .50487E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .10031E-06 17.095 .29593E-06** at limit ** 7 norm .49905E-07 5.8976 -.20233E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 24.009 6.6067 .37384E-06 .57894E-02 9 Prefactor .29587E-07 5.5923 .21132E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 3.2176 4.4856 -.29674E-06 -.34992E-02 11 Prefactor 23.271 12.893 -.22554E-05 -.13190 12 Prefactor .45419E-05 41.731 -.30481E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 67.908 55.840 .60933E-06 -.56428E-01 14 norm 8.5859 4.0163 .27811E-06 .88649E-02 15 norm .23747E-01 2.5247 .54651E-06** at limit ** 16 Normalizat .67635 .20329 .24825E-04 .24838E-04 17 Prefactor 1.1719 .13491 -.12080E-04 -.20237E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.00975e-07 Prefactor = 12.4367 Prefactor = 0.000273972 Prefactor = 2.77011 Prefactor = 1.41553e-08 Prefactor = 1.00309e-07 norm = 4.99045e-08 Prefactor = 24.0093 Prefactor = 2.95874e-08 Prefactor = 3.21761 Prefactor = 23.2708 Prefactor = 4.54192e-06 Prefactor = 67.9081 norm = 8.58589 norm = 0.0237468 Normalizat = 0.676345 Prefactor = 1.17187 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 9121.850 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 269 CALLS 1613 TOTAL EDM= .59E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .10097E-06 12.147 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 12.437 8.6297 .28377E-03 -1.5637 3 Prefactor .27397E-03 2.6314 .55384E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 2.7701 3.0147 .61120E-03 -1.5675 5 Prefactor .14155E-07 3.3802 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .10031E-06 17.015 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .49905E-07 5.8638 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 24.009 6.6262 .20396E-03 -1.5610 9 Prefactor .29587E-07 5.6154 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 3.2176 4.5029 .56958E-03 -1.5672 11 Prefactor 23.271 13.056 .20679E-03 -1.5611 12 Prefactor .45419E-05 42.356 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 67.908 56.654 .12354E-03 -1.5543 14 norm 8.5859 4.0244 .34218E-03 -1.5649 15 norm .23747E-01 .36572 .21337E-02 -1.5711 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Normalizat .67635 .17874 .76799E-01 -1.0483 17 Prefactor 1.1719 .11786 .35334E-01 -.87201 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.94334e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00221495 2 8.62974 3 0.0537006 4 3.01466 5 0.0004377 6 0.00261316 7 0.00108202 8 6.62617 9 0.00081539 10 4.50293 11 13.0564 12 0.02774 13 56.6548 14 4.02436 15 0.186382 16 0.178899 17 0.117882 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9121.84962205 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2158.1-1501 Spectrum: PowerLaw 269 Prefactor: 2.959e-08 8.154e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 270 Index: 2.181e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 271 Scale: 1.246e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 491 Prefactor: 1.172e+00 1.179e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 492 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 493 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 490 Normalization: 6.763e-01 1.789e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 329.527 -15.024 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.75202835853e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00361554107955 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39306231/likelihoodResults_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 9121.8508928 delta logL = -0.00127075569981 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 9120.14946269 delta logL = 1.70015935929 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .83666E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 10.0000 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .56375 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2241 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .4940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 9121.850 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 106 CALLS 887 TOTAL EDM= .38E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 5.5529 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.1539 1.2962 -.11453E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .67634 .98076 -.32844E-04 .29131E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1719 1.0752 -.56432E-08 .16299E-06 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.15387 Normalizat = 0.676344 Prefactor = 1.17187 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 9121.850 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 896 TOTAL EDM= .38E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 5.5529 .42118E-03 -259.18 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .50921 1.7898 -.11453E-04 50340. 3 Normalizat .67634 .98076 -.32844E-04 86.916 4 Prefactor 1.1719 1.0752 -.56432E-08 98.261 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 3.83326e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.09001e-05 2 1.31868 3 1.00801 4 1.0963 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 9121.84962204 delta logL = 2.68119038083e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2158.1-1501 Spectrum: PowerLaw 269 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 1.090e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 270 Index: 2.154e+00 1.319e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 271 Scale: 1.246e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 491 Prefactor: 1.172e+00 1.096e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 492 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 493 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 490 Normalization: 6.763e-01 1.008e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 329.527 -15.024 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39306231/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.62e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.75e-08', time_completed='2026-09-27 18:40:09.053579', job_id='39306231', GAL2='1.17', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.68', EG='0.68', time_epoch_completed='1790559609.05', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.17', dlogl='2.68e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.18' WHERE bin_id='2209' AND source_name='4FGL J2158.1-1501' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 27 18:40:09 PDT 2026 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits .....................! real 8.09 user 7.61 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits .....................! real 66.40 user 61.92 sys 3.91 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 153 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2158.1-1501 @ 329.527 -15.0237 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/cmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.527 yref=-15.0237 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.51 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.527 yref=-15.0237 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.45 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/Model_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9121.84962205 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2158.1-1501 Spectrum: PowerLaw 269 Prefactor: 2.959e-08 8.154e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 270 Index: 2.181e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 271 Scale: 1.246e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 491 Prefactor: 1.172e+00 1.179e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 492 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 493 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 490 Normalization: 6.763e-01 1.789e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 329.527 -15.024 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.75202835853e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00361554107955 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39306217/likelihoodResults_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 9121.8508928 delta logL = -0.00127075569981 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 9120.14946269 delta logL = 1.70015935929 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .83666E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 10.0000 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .56375 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2241 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .4940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 9121.850 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 106 CALLS 887 TOTAL EDM= .38E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 5.5529 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.1539 1.2962 -.11453E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .67634 .98076 -.32844E-04 .29131E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1719 1.0752 -.56432E-08 .16299E-06 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.15387 Normalizat = 0.676344 Prefactor = 1.17187 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 9121.850 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 896 TOTAL EDM= .38E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 5.5529 .42118E-03 -259.18 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .50921 1.7898 -.11453E-04 50340. 3 Normalizat .67634 .98076 -.32844E-04 86.916 4 Prefactor 1.1719 1.0752 -.56432E-08 98.261 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 3.83326e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.09001e-05 2 1.31868 3 1.00801 4 1.0963 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 9121.84962204 delta logL = 2.68119038083e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2158.1-1501 Spectrum: PowerLaw 269 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 1.090e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 270 Index: 2.154e+00 1.319e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 271 Scale: 1.246e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 491 Prefactor: 1.172e+00 1.096e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 492 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 493 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 490 Normalization: 6.763e-01 1.008e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 329.527 -15.024 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39306217/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.62e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.75e-08', time_completed='2026-09-27 18:40:36.376489', job_id='39306217', GAL2='1.17', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.68', EG='0.68', time_epoch_completed='1790559636.38', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.17', dlogl='2.68e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.18' WHERE bin_id='2209' AND source_name='4FGL J2158.1-1501' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 27 18:40:36 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits.....................! real 29.24 user 27.94 sys 0.94 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39306365/Model_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2158.1-1501' 4FGL J2158.1-1501 Spectrum: PowerLaw 269 Prefactor: 6.798e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 270 Index: 2.181e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 271 Scale: 1.246e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ft2_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39306365/expmap_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39306365/ltcube_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39306365/Model_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9121.92360848 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9121.8507718 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .38972E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 12.439 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .55992E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 2.7703 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .14056E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .48586E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .60982E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 24.050 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .20191E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 3.1635 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 23.395 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .51225E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 65.535 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 8.5701 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .25056E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Normalizat' .67712 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 17 'Prefactor ' 1.1718 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .4940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 9121.850 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 170 CALLS 1344 TOTAL EDM= .19E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.6% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .10097E-06 12.058 .27499E-05** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 12.437 8.6251 .73308E-07 -.42122E-02 3 Prefactor .27397E-03 9.0875 .27221E-05** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 2.7701 3.0071 -.16726E-06 .45501E-02 5 Prefactor .14155E-07 3.3740 .50487E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .10031E-06 17.095 .29593E-06** at limit ** 7 norm .49905E-07 5.8976 -.20233E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 24.009 6.6067 .37384E-06 .57894E-02 9 Prefactor .29587E-07 5.5923 .21132E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor 3.2176 4.4856 -.29674E-06 -.34992E-02 11 Prefactor 23.271 12.893 -.22554E-05 -.13190 12 Prefactor .45419E-05 41.731 -.30481E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 67.908 55.840 .60933E-06 -.56428E-01 14 norm 8.5859 4.0163 .27811E-06 .88649E-02 15 norm .23747E-01 2.5247 .54651E-06** at limit ** 16 Normalizat .67635 .20329 .24825E-04 .24838E-04 17 Prefactor 1.1719 .13491 -.12080E-04 -.20237E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.00975e-07 Prefactor = 12.4367 Prefactor = 0.000273972 Prefactor = 2.77011 Prefactor = 1.41553e-08 Prefactor = 1.00309e-07 norm = 4.99045e-08 Prefactor = 24.0093 Prefactor = 2.95874e-08 Prefactor = 3.21761 Prefactor = 23.2708 Prefactor = 4.54192e-06 Prefactor = 67.9081 norm = 8.58589 norm = 0.0237468 Normalizat = 0.676345 Prefactor = 1.17187 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 9121.850 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 269 CALLS 1613 TOTAL EDM= .59E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .10097E-06 12.147 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 12.437 8.6297 .28377E-03 -1.5637 3 Prefactor .27397E-03 2.6314 .55384E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 2.7701 3.0147 .61120E-03 -1.5675 5 Prefactor .14155E-07 3.3802 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .10031E-06 17.015 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .49905E-07 5.8638 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 24.009 6.6262 .20396E-03 -1.5610 9 Prefactor .29587E-07 5.6154 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor 3.2176 4.5029 .56958E-03 -1.5672 11 Prefactor 23.271 13.056 .20679E-03 -1.5611 12 Prefactor .45419E-05 42.356 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 67.908 56.654 .12354E-03 -1.5543 14 norm 8.5859 4.0244 .34218E-03 -1.5649 15 norm .23747E-01 .36572 .21337E-02 -1.5711 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Normalizat .67635 .17874 .76799E-01 -1.0483 17 Prefactor 1.1719 .11786 .35334E-01 -.87201 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.94334e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00221495 2 8.62974 3 0.0537006 4 3.01466 5 0.0004377 6 0.00261316 7 0.00108202 8 6.62617 9 0.00081539 10 4.50293 11 13.0564 12 0.02774 13 56.6548 14 4.02436 15 0.186382 16 0.178899 17 0.117882 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9121.84962205 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2158.1-1501 Spectrum: PowerLaw 269 Prefactor: 2.959e-08 8.154e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 270 Index: 2.181e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 271 Scale: 1.246e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 491 Prefactor: 1.172e+00 1.179e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 492 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 493 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 490 Normalization: 6.763e-01 1.789e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 329.527 -15.024 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.75202835853e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00361554107955 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39306365/likelihoodResults_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 9121.8508928 delta logL = -0.00127075569981 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 9120.14946269 delta logL = 1.70015935929 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .83666E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 10.0000 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .56375 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.2241 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .4940E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 9121.850 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 106 CALLS 887 TOTAL EDM= .38E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 5.5529 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.1539 1.2962 -.11453E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .67634 .98076 -.32844E-04 .29131E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1719 1.0752 -.56432E-08 .16299E-06 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.15387 Normalizat = 0.676344 Prefactor = 1.17187 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 9121.850 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 896 TOTAL EDM= .38E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 5.5529 .42118E-03 -259.18 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .50921 1.7898 -.11453E-04 50340. 3 Normalizat .67634 .98076 -.32844E-04 86.916 4 Prefactor 1.1719 1.0752 -.56432E-08 98.261 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 3.83326e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.09001e-05 2 1.31868 3 1.00801 4 1.0963 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 9121.84962204 delta logL = 2.68119038083e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2158.1-1501 Spectrum: PowerLaw 269 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 1.090e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 270 Index: 2.154e+00 1.319e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 271 Scale: 1.246e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 491 Prefactor: 1.172e+00 1.096e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 492 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 493 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 490 Normalization: 6.763e-01 1.008e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 329.527 -15.024 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39306365/cmap_HighResolution_811900801_812160001_4FGL_J2158.1-1501_daily_bin2209.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.62e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.75e-08', time_completed='2026-09-27 18:42:16.791663', job_id='39306365', GAL2='1.17', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.68', EG='0.68', time_epoch_completed='1790559736.79', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.17', dlogl='2.68e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.18' WHERE bin_id='2209' AND source_name='4FGL J2158.1-1501' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Sep 27 18:42:17 PDT 2026