********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25184.53 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 243 CALLS 1145 TOTAL EDM= .10E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 50.572 25.049 .13928E-03 -1.5566 2 Prefactor 1.1581 3.4845 .10393E-02 -1.5686 3 norm .0000 1.8872 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 1.2019 .97585 .10357E-02 -1.5686 5 norm .0000 5.1463 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 21.145 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 1.6408 4.0735 .82075E-03 -1.5682 8 norm .0000 .27622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .0000 15.967 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 2.8417 .60386 .60321E-03 -1.5674 11 Prefactor 46.414 21.943 .14610E-03 -1.5572 12 Prefactor .0000 4.6115 .12260E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 8.2980 11.721 .34050E-03 -1.5650 14 norm 3.0071 .95942 .58493E-03 -1.5673 15 Normalizat 1.2003 .15382 .10087 -.86593 16 Prefactor .91962 .46572E-01 .45253E-01 -.95459 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.00139e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 25.0493 2 3.4845 3 2.01944e-06 4 0.975849 5 5.95645e-06 6 4.25356e-05 7 4.07351 8 5.67751e-07 9 1.33721e-05 10 0.603864 11 21.9432 12 1.21862e-05 13 11.7207 14 0.959419 15 0.153882 16 0.0465744 165/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495165/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39495165/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39495165/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits.....................! real 159.56 user 157.09 sys 1.09 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39495165/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39495165/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39495165/expmap_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39495165/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39495165/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2157.5+3127' 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.006e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39495165/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39495165/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39495165/expmap_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39495165/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39495165/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.7363016 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.5355712 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 51.556 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 1.1958 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .14011E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.2004 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .17046E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .16191E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 1.6529 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .62894E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .83715E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 2.8392 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 46.855 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .21894E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 8.6542 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 3.0083 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.1993 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .91948 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25184.53 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 243 CALLS 1145 TOTAL EDM= .10E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 50.572 25.049 .13928E-03 -1.5566 2 Prefactor 1.1581 3.4845 .10393E-02 -1.5686 3 norm .0000 1.8872 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 1.2019 .97585 .10357E-02 -1.5686 5 norm .0000 5.1463 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 21.145 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 1.6408 4.0735 .82075E-03 -1.5682 8 norm .0000 .27622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .0000 15.967 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 2.8417 .60386 .60321E-03 -1.5674 11 Prefactor 46.414 21.943 .14610E-03 -1.5572 12 Prefactor .0000 4.6115 .12260E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 8.2980 11.721 .34050E-03 -1.5650 14 norm 3.0071 .95942 .58493E-03 -1.5673 15 Normalizat 1.2003 .15382 .10087 -.86593 16 Prefactor .91962 .46572E-01 .45253E-01 -.95459 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.00139e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 25.0493 2 3.4845 3 2.01944e-06 4 0.975849 5 5.95645e-06 6 4.25356e-05 7 4.07351 8 5.67751e-07 9 1.33721e-05 10 0.603864 11 21.9432 12 1.21862e-05 13 11.7207 14 0.959419 15 0.153882 16 0.0465744 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 25184.53 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 117 CALLS 902 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 50.572 25.015 -.49694E-06 .39415E-03 2 Prefactor 1.1581 3.4899 .17712E-06 -.32883E-03 3 norm .0000 1.8871 -.56054E-06** at limit ** 4 norm 1.2019 .95359 .26351E-06 .54365E-03 5 norm .0000 5.1330 .30204E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .0000 20.983 -.17893E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 1.6408 4.0479 -.76781E-06 .64939E-04 8 norm .0000 .28345 .11819E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .0000 15.963 -.10667E-05** at limit ** 10 norm 2.8417 .57996 -.11270E-06 -.19179E-02 11 Prefactor 46.414 2.7561 -.40216E-07 -.55731E-02 12 Prefactor .0000 25.681 -.15257E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 8.2980 11.642 -.21166E-07 -.92830E-04 14 norm 3.0071 .95978 -.86975E-07 -.12525E-02 15 Normalizat 1.2003 .17253 .42635E-05 -.44200E-04 16 Prefactor .91962 .53257E-01 .84220E-06 -.34872E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 50.5716 Prefactor = 1.15805 norm = 0 norm = 1.20193 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.64083 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.84166 Prefactor = 46.4135 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.29797 norm = 3.00714 Normalizat = 1.20033 Prefactor = 0.919618 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25184.53 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 243 CALLS 1145 TOTAL EDM= .10E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 50.572 25.049 .13928E-03 -1.5566 2 Prefactor 1.1581 3.4845 .10393E-02 -1.5686 3 norm .0000 1.8872 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 1.2019 .97585 .10357E-02 -1.5686 5 norm .0000 5.1463 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 21.145 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 1.6408 4.0735 .82075E-03 -1.5682 8 norm .0000 .27622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .0000 15.967 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 2.8417 .60386 .60321E-03 -1.5674 11 Prefactor 46.414 21.943 .14610E-03 -1.5572 12 Prefactor .0000 4.6115 .12260E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 8.2980 11.721 .34050E-03 -1.5650 14 norm 3.0071 .95942 .58493E-03 -1.5673 15 Normalizat 1.2003 .15382 .10087 -.86593 16 Prefactor .91962 .46572E-01 .45253E-01 -.95459 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.00139e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 25.0493 2 3.4845 3 2.01944e-06 4 0.975849 5 5.95645e-06 6 4.25356e-05 7 4.07351 8 5.67751e-07 9 1.33721e-05 10 0.603864 11 21.9432 12 1.21862e-05 13 11.7207 14 0.959419 15 0.153882 16 0.0465744 number of points = 17526 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947 RA = 329.386, Dec = 31.4552 tmin = 811728001, tmax = 812332801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='39495615', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-29 22:51:45.334530', time_epoch_executed='1790747505.33' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='947' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39495615 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39495615/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=811728001.0 && nMetStart<812332801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=811728001.0 && nMetStart<812332801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 109 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ft1_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=811728001.0 && nMetStart<812332801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 109 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ft1_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits ra=329.386 dec=31.4552 rad=12.0 tmin=811728001.0 tmax=812332801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 6.16 user 5.60 sys 0.26 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.65 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 2290 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits sctable="SC_DATA"Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.5334176 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 0.000e+00 5.678e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.196e-01 4.657e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.200e+00 1.539e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.04997715803e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: None Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39495127/likelihoodResults_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.9233134 delta logL = 0.610104210667 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.8829286 delta logL = 0.650488995343 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .22245E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 5.0000 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1377 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93006 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 25183.88 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 117 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .39E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .22249E-01 .22814E-01 .21132E-05** at limit ** 2 alpha 5.0000 1.0189 .50000 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat 1.1377 .17695 .45780E-03 .11821E-04 4 Prefactor .93005 .52939E-01 .15477E-03 .79278E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.0222487 alpha = 5 Normalizat = 1.13771 Prefactor = 0.930053 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25183.88 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 374 TOTAL EDM= .43E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .22249E-01 .22725E-01 .84528E-07 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 5.0000 1.0120 .50000 1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat 1.1377 .17707 .18312E-04 -.88550 4 Prefactor .93005 .52970E-01 .30954E-04 -.95099 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.29432e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0227249 2 1.51735e-06 3 0.177164 4 0.052973 number of points = 17526 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.5334176 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 0.000e+00 5.678e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.196e-01 4.657e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.200e+00 1.539e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.04997715803e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: None Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39495122/likelihoodResults_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.9233134 delta logL = 0.610104210667 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.8829286 delta logL = 0.650488995343 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .22245E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 5.0000 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1377 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93006 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 25183.88 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 117 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .39E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .22249E-01 .22814E-01 .21132E-05** at limit ** 2 alpha 5.0000 1.0189 .50000 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat 1.1377 .17695 .45780E-03 .11821E-04 4 Prefactor .93005 .52939E-01 .15477E-03 .79278E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.0222487 alpha = 5 Normalizat = 1.13771 Prefactor = 0.930053 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.8829275 delta logL = 0.650490101652 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 2.225e-02 2.272e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 5.000e+00 1.517e-06 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.301e-01 5.297e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.138e+00 1.772e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.43 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Index (Free Index): 5.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 5.61e-08 +/- 5.70e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.71e-06 +/- 7.85e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39495127/cmap_HighResolution_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='7.71e-06', dlogl='6.50e-01', photon_flux2='5.61e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-29 22:55:06.883323', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='5.00', ts='0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.92', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.05e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.85e-06', EG='1.20', time_epoch_completed='1790747706.88', return_code='0', job_id='39495127', GAL2='0.93', EG2='1.14', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='5.70e-08', ts2='1.43', photon_index='2.17' WHERE bin_id='947' AND source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 29 22:55:07 PDT 2026 Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947 RA = 329.386, Dec = 31.4552 tmin = 811728001, tmax = 812332801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='39495609', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-29 22:51:38.117149', time_epoch_executed='1790747498.12' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='947' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39495609 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39495609/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=811728001.0 && nMetStart<812332801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=811728001.0 && nMetStart<812332801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 109 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ft1_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=811728001.0 && nMetStart<812332801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 109 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ft1_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits ra=329.386 dec=31.4552 rad=12.0 tmin=811728001.0 tmax=812332801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 6.47 user 5.79 sys 0.29 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.66 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 2290 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25183.88 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 374 TOTAL EDM= .43E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .22249E-01 .22725E-01 .84528E-07 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 5.0000 1.0120 .50000 1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat 1.1377 .17707 .18312E-04 -.88550 4 Prefactor .93005 .52970E-01 .30954E-04 -.95099 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.29432e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0227249 2 1.51735e-06 3 0.177164 4 0.052973 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.8829275 delta logL = 0.650490101652 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 2.225e-02 2.272e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 5.000e+00 1.517e-06 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.301e-01 5.297e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.138e+00 1.772e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.43 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Index (Free Index): 5.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 5.61e-08 +/- 5.70e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.71e-06 +/- 7.85e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39495122/cmap_HighResolution_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='7.71e-06', dlogl='6.50e-01', photon_flux2='5.61e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-29 22:55:13.890704', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='5.00', ts='0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.92', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.05e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.85e-06', EG='1.20', time_epoch_completed='1790747713.89', return_code='0', job_id='39495122', GAL2='0.93', EG2='1.14', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='5.70e-08', ts2='1.43', photon_index='2.17' WHERE bin_id='947' AND source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 29 22:55:14 PDT 2026 27/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495427/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39495427/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39495427/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits.....................! real 135.43 user 133.44 sys 0.97 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39495427/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39495427/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39495427/expmap_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39495427/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39495427/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2157.5+3127' 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.006e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39495427/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39495427/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39495427/expmap_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39495427/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39495427/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.7363016 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.5355712 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 51.556 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 1.1958 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .14011E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.2004 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .17046E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .16191E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 1.6529 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .62894E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .83715E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 2.8392 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 46.855 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .21894E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 8.6542 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 3.0083 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.1993 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .91948 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 25184.53 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 117 CALLS 902 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 50.572 25.015 -.49694E-06 .39415E-03 2 Prefactor 1.1581 3.4899 .17712E-06 -.32883E-03 3 norm .0000 1.8871 -.56054E-06** at limit ** 4 norm 1.2019 .95359 .26351E-06 .54365E-03 5 norm .0000 5.1330 .30204E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .0000 20.983 -.17893E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 1.6408 4.0479 -.76781E-06 .64939E-04 8 norm .0000 .28345 .11819E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .0000 15.963 -.10667E-05** at limit ** 10 norm 2.8417 .57996 -.11270E-06 -.19179E-02 11 Prefactor 46.414 2.7561 -.40216E-07 -.55731E-02 12 Prefactor .0000 25.681 -.15257E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 8.2980 11.642 -.21166E-07 -.92830E-04 14 norm 3.0071 .95978 -.86975E-07 -.12525E-02 15 Normalizat 1.2003 .17253 .42635E-05 -.44200E-04 16 Prefactor .91962 .53257E-01 .84220E-06 -.34872E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 50.5716 Prefactor = 1.15805 norm = 0 norm = 1.20193 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.64083 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.84166 Prefactor = 46.4135 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.29797 norm = 3.00714 Normalizat = 1.20033 Prefactor = 0.919618 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.5334176 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 0.000e+00 5.678e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.196e-01 4.657e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.200e+00 1.539e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.04997715803e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: None Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39495165/likelihoodResults_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.9233134 delta logL = 0.610104210667 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.8829286 delta logL = 0.650488995343 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .22245E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 5.0000 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1377 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93006 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 25183.88 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 117 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .39E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .22249E-01 .22814E-01 .21132E-05** at limit ** 2 alpha 5.0000 1.0189 .50000 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat 1.1377 .17695 .45780E-03 .11821E-04 4 Prefactor .93005 .52939E-01 .15477E-03 .79278E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.0222487 alpha = 5 Normalizat = 1.13771 Prefactor = 0.930053 45/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495445/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39495445/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39495445/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits.....................! real 134.88 user 132.95 sys 0.89 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39495445/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39495445/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39495445/expmap_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39495445/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39495445/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2157.5+3127' 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.006e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39495445/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39495445/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39495445/expmap_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39495445/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39495445/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.7363016 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.5355712 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 51.556 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 1.1958 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .14011E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.2004 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .17046E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .16191E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 1.6529 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .62894E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .83715E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 2.8392 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 46.855 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .21894E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 8.6542 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 3.0083 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.1993 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .91948 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE . ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25183.88 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 374 TOTAL EDM= .43E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .22249E-01 .22725E-01 .84528E-07 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 5.0000 1.0120 .50000 1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat 1.1377 .17707 .18312E-04 -.88550 4 Prefactor .93005 .52970E-01 .30954E-04 -.95099 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.29432e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0227249 2 1.51735e-06 3 0.177164 4 0.052973 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.8829275 delta logL = 0.650490101652 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 2.225e-02 2.272e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 5.000e+00 1.517e-06 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.301e-01 5.297e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.138e+00 1.772e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.43 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Index (Free Index): 5.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 5.61e-08 +/- 5.70e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.71e-06 +/- 7.85e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39495165/cmap_HighResolution_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='7.71e-06', dlogl='6.50e-01', photon_flux2='5.61e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-29 22:56:04.348128', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='5.00', ts='0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.92', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.05e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.85e-06', EG='1.20', time_epoch_completed='1790747764.35', return_code='0', job_id='39495165', GAL2='0.93', EG2='1.14', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='5.70e-08', ts2='1.43', photon_index='2.17' WHERE bin_id='947' AND source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 29 22:56:04 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25184.53 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 243 CALLS 1145 TOTAL EDM= .10E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 50.572 25.049 .13928E-03 -1.5566 2 Prefactor 1.1581 3.4845 .10393E-02 -1.5686 3 norm .0000 1.8872 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 1.2019 .97585 .10357E-02 -1.5686 5 norm .0000 5.1463 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 21.145 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 1.6408 4.0735 .82075E-03 -1.5682 8 norm .0000 .27622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .0000 15.967 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 2.8417 .60386 .60321E-03 -1.5674 11 Prefactor 46.414 21.943 .14610E-03 -1.5572 12 Prefactor .0000 4.6115 .12260E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 8.2980 11.721 .34050E-03 -1.5650 14 norm 3.0071 .95942 .58493E-03 -1.5673 15 Normalizat 1.2003 .15382 .10087 -.86593 16 Prefactor .91962 .46572E-01 .45253E-01 -.95459 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.00139e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 25.0493 2 3.4845 3 2.01944e-06 4 0.975849 5 5.95645e-06 6 4.25356e-05 7 4.07351 8 5.67751e-07 9 1.33721e-05 10 0.603864 11 21.9432 12 1.21862e-05 13 11.7207 14 0.959419 15 0.153882 16 0.0465744 6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 25184.53 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 117 CALLS 902 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 50.572 25.015 -.49694E-06 .39415E-03 2 Prefactor 1.1581 3.4899 .17712E-06 -.32883E-03 3 norm .0000 1.8871 -.56054E-06** at limit ** 4 norm 1.2019 .95359 .26351E-06 .54365E-03 5 norm .0000 5.1330 .30204E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .0000 20.983 -.17893E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 1.6408 4.0479 -.76781E-06 .64939E-04 8 norm .0000 .28345 .11819E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .0000 15.963 -.10667E-05** at limit ** 10 norm 2.8417 .57996 -.11270E-06 -.19179E-02 11 Prefactor 46.414 2.7561 -.40216E-07 -.55731E-02 12 Prefactor .0000 25.681 -.15257E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 8.2980 11.642 -.21166E-07 -.92830E-04 14 norm 3.0071 .95978 -.86975E-07 -.12525E-02 15 Normalizat 1.2003 .17253 .42635E-05 -.44200E-04 16 Prefactor .91962 .53257E-01 .84220E-06 -.34872E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 50.5716 Prefactor = 1.15805 norm = 0 norm = 1.20193 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.64083 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.84166 Prefactor = 46.4135 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.29797 norm = 3.00714 Normalizat = 1.20033 Prefactor = 0.919618 number of points = 17526 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947 RA = 329.386, Dec = 31.4552 tmin = 811728001, tmax = 812332801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='39495704', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-29 22:53:12.500598', time_epoch_executed='1790747592.5' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='947' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39495704 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39495704/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=811728001.0 && nMetStart<812332801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=811728001.0 && nMetStart<812332801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 109 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ft1_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=811728001.0 && nMetStart<812332801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 109 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ft1_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits ra=329.386 dec=31.4552 rad=12.0 tmin=811728001.0 tmax=812332801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 6.37 user 5.77 sys 0.26 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.62 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 2290 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits .....................! real 18.24 user 17.60 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/expmap_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits .....................! real 70.49 user 65.87 sys 3.91 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source Cygnus Loop in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CygnusLoop.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source gamma Cygni in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Cocoon in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Added 186 point sources and 3 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2157.5+3127 @ 329.386 31.4552 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/cmap_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.386 yref=31.4552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.60 user 0.24 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/cmap_HighResolution_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.386 yref=31.4552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.62 user 0.25 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits .....................! real 18.55 user 17.80 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/expmap_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits .....................! real 71.86 user 66.72 sys 4.36 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source Cygnus Loop in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CygnusLoop.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source gamma Cygni in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Cocoon in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Added 186 point sources and 3 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2157.5+3127 @ 329.386 31.4552 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/cmap_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.386 yref=31.4552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.75 user 0.25 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/cmap_HighResolution_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.386 yref=31.4552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.76 user 0.24 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25184.53 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 243 CALLS 1145 TOTAL EDM= .10E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 50.572 25.049 .13928E-03 -1.5566 2 Prefactor 1.1581 3.4845 .10393E-02 -1.5686 3 norm .0000 1.8872 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 1.2019 .97585 .10357E-02 -1.5686 5 norm .0000 5.1463 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 21.145 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 1.6408 4.0735 .82075E-03 -1.5682 8 norm .0000 .27622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .0000 15.967 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 2.8417 .60386 .60321E-03 -1.5674 11 Prefactor 46.414 21.943 .14610E-03 -1.5572 12 Prefactor .0000 4.6115 .12260E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 8.2980 11.721 .34050E-03 -1.5650 14 norm 3.0071 .95942 .58493E-03 -1.5673 15 Normalizat 1.2003 .15382 .10087 -.86593 16 Prefactor .91962 .46572E-01 .45253E-01 -.95459 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.00139e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 25.0493 2 3.4845 3 2.01944e-06 4 0.975849 5 5.95645e-06 6 4.25356e-05 7 4.07351 8 5.67751e-07 9 1.33721e-05 10 0.603864 11 21.9432 12 1.21862e-05 13 11.7207 14 0.959419 15 0.153882 16 0.0465744 number of points = 17526 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947 RA = 329.386, Dec = 31.4552 tmin = 811728001, tmax = 812332801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='39495765', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-29 22:53:47.659790', time_epoch_executed='1790747627.66' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='947' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39495765 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39495765/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=811728001.0 && nMetStart<812332801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=811728001.0 && nMetStart<812332801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 109 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ft1_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=811728001.0 && nMetStart<812332801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 109 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ft1_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits ra=329.386 dec=31.4552 rad=12.0 tmin=811728001.0 tmax=812332801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 5.59 user 5.07 sys 0.25 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.58 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 2290 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits sctable="SC_DATA"Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.5334176 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 0.000e+00 5.678e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.196e-01 4.657e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.200e+00 1.539e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.04997715803e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: None Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39495427/likelihoodResults_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.9233134 delta logL = 0.610104210667 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.8829286 delta logL = 0.650488995343 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .22245E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 5.0000 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1377 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93006 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 25183.88 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 117 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .39E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .22249E-01 .22814E-01 .21132E-05** at limit ** 2 alpha 5.0000 1.0189 .50000 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat 1.1377 .17695 .45780E-03 .11821E-04 4 Prefactor .93005 .52939E-01 .15477E-03 .79278E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.0222487 alpha = 5 Normalizat = 1.13771 Prefactor = 0.930053 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25183.88 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 374 TOTAL EDM= .43E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .22249E-01 .22725E-01 .84528E-07 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 5.0000 1.0120 .50000 1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat 1.1377 .17707 .18312E-04 -.88550 4 Prefactor .93005 .52970E-01 .30954E-04 -.95099 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.29432e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0227249 2 1.51735e-06 3 0.177164 4 0.052973 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.8829275 delta logL = 0.650490101652 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 2.225e-02 2.272e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 5.000e+00 1.517e-06 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.301e-01 5.297e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.138e+00 1.772e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.43 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Index (Free Index): 5.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 5.61e-08 +/- 5.70e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.71e-06 +/- 7.85e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39495427/cmap_HighResolution_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='7.71e-06', dlogl='6.50e-01', photon_flux2='5.61e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-29 22:57:39.080565', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='5.00', ts='0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.92', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.05e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.85e-06', EG='1.20', time_epoch_completed='1790747859.08', return_code='0', job_id='39495427', GAL2='0.93', EG2='1.14', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='5.70e-08', ts2='1.43', photon_index='2.17' WHERE bin_id='947' AND source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 29 22:57:39 PDT 2026 76/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495476/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39495476/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39495476/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits.....................! real 158.59 user 156.15 sys 1.33 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39495476/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39495476/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39495476/expmap_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39495476/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39495476/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2157.5+3127' 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.006e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39495476/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39495476/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39495476/expmap_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39495476/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39495476/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.7363016 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.5355712 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 51.556 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 1.1958 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .14011E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.2004 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .17046E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .16191E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 1.6529 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .62894E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .83715E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 2.8392 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 46.855 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .21894E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 8.6542 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 3.0083 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.1993 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .91948 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits .....................! real 18.72 user 18.16 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/expmap_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits .....................! real 70.91 user 66.35 sys 3.90 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source Cygnus Loop in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CygnusLoop.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source gamma Cygni in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Cocoon in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Added 186 point sources and 3 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2157.5+3127 @ 329.386 31.4552 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/cmap_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.386 yref=31.4552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.61 user 0.25 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/cmap_HighResolution_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.386 yref=31.4552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.70 user 0.25 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/394957Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.5334176 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 0.000e+00 5.678e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.196e-01 4.657e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.200e+00 1.539e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.04997715803e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: None Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39495445/likelihoodResults_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.9233134 delta logL = 0.610104210667 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.8829286 delta logL = 0.650488995343 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .22245E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 5.0000 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1377 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93006 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 25183.88 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 117 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .39E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .22249E-01 .22814E-01 .21132E-05** at limit ** 2 alpha 5.0000 1.0189 .50000 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat 1.1377 .17695 .45780E-03 .11821E-04 4 Prefactor .93005 .52939E-01 .15477E-03 .79278E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.0222487 alpha = 5 Normalizat = 1.13771 Prefactor = 0.930053 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25183.88 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 374 TOTAL EDM= .43E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .22249E-01 .22725E-01 .84528E-07 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 5.0000 1.0120 .50000 1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat 1.1377 .17707 .18312E-04 -.88550 4 Prefactor .93005 .52970E-01 .30954E-04 -.95099 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.29432e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0227249 2 1.51735e-06 3 0.177164 4 0.052973 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.8829275 delta logL = 0.650490101652 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 2.225e-02 2.272e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 5.000e+00 1.517e-06 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.301e-01 5.297e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.138e+00 1.772e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.43 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Index (Free Index): 5.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 5.61e-08 +/- 5.70e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.71e-06 +/- 7.85e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39495445/cmap_HighResolution_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='7.71e-06', dlogl='6.50e-01', photon_flux2='5.61e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-29 22:58:08.218741', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='5.00', ts='0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.92', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.05e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.85e-06', EG='1.20', time_epoch_completed='1790747888.22', return_code='0', job_id='39495445', GAL2='0.93', EG2='1.14', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='5.70e-08', ts2='1.43', photon_index='2.17' WHERE bin_id='947' AND source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 29 22:58:08 PDT 2026 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits .....................! real 16.16 user 15.59 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/expmap_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits .....................! real 62.07 user 57.93 sys 3.58 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source Cygnus Loop in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CygnusLoop.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source gamma Cygni in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Cocoon in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Added 186 point sources and 3 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2157.5+3127 @ 329.386 31.4552 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/cmap_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.386 yref=31.4552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.62 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/cmap_HighResolution_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.386 yref=31.4552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.61 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/394956630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 25184.53 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 117 CALLS 902 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 50.572 25.015 -.49694E-06 .39415E-03 2 Prefactor 1.1581 3.4899 .17712E-06 -.32883E-03 3 norm .0000 1.8871 -.56054E-06** at limit ** 4 norm 1.2019 .95359 .26351E-06 .54365E-03 5 norm .0000 5.1330 .30204E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .0000 20.983 -.17893E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 1.6408 4.0479 -.76781E-06 .64939E-04 8 norm .0000 .28345 .11819E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .0000 15.963 -.10667E-05** at limit ** 10 norm 2.8417 .57996 -.11270E-06 -.19179E-02 11 Prefactor 46.414 2.7561 -.40216E-07 -.55731E-02 12 Prefactor .0000 25.681 -.15257E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 8.2980 11.642 -.21166E-07 -.92830E-04 14 norm 3.0071 .95978 -.86975E-07 -.12525E-02 15 Normalizat 1.2003 .17253 .42635E-05 -.44200E-04 16 Prefactor .91962 .53257E-01 .84220E-06 -.34872E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 50.5716 Prefactor = 1.15805 norm = 0 norm = 1.20193 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.64083 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.84166 Prefactor = 46.4135 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.29797 norm = 3.00714 Normalizat = 1.20033 Prefactor = 0.919618 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25184.53 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 243 CALLS 1145 TOTAL EDM= .10E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 50.572 25.049 .13928E-03 -1.5566 2 Prefactor 1.1581 3.4845 .10393E-02 -1.5686 3 norm .0000 1.8872 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 1.2019 .97585 .10357E-02 -1.5686 5 norm .0000 5.1463 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 21.145 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 1.6408 4.0735 .82075E-03 -1.5682 8 norm .0000 .27622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .0000 15.967 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 2.8417 .60386 .60321E-03 -1.5674 11 Prefactor 46.414 21.943 .14610E-03 -1.5572 12 Prefactor .0000 4.6115 .12260E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 8.2980 11.721 .34050E-03 -1.5650 14 norm 3.0071 .95942 .58493E-03 -1.5673 15 Normalizat 1.2003 .15382 .10087 -.86593 16 Prefactor .91962 .46572E-01 .45253E-01 -.95459 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.00139e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 25.0493 2 3.4845 3 2.01944e-06 4 0.975849 5 5.95645e-06 6 4.25356e-05 7 4.07351 8 5.67751e-07 9 1.33721e-05 10 0.603864 11 21.9432 12 1.21862e-05 13 11.7207 14 0.959419 15 0.153882 16 0.0465744 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.5334176 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 0.000e+00 5.678e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.196e-01 4.657e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.200e+00 1.539e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.04997715803e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: None Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39495476/likelihoodResults_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.9233134 delta logL = 0.610104210667 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.8829286 delta logL = 0.650488995343 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .22245E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 5.0000 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1377 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93006 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 25183.88 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 117 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .39E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .22249E-01 .22814E-01 .21132E-05** at limit ** 2 alpha 5.0000 1.0189 .50000 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat 1.1377 .17695 .45780E-03 .11821E-04 4 Prefactor .93005 .52939E-01 .15477E-03 .79278E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.0222487 alpha = 5 Normalizat = 1.13771 Prefactor = 0.930053 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25183.88 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 374 TOTAL EDM= .43E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .22249E-01 .22725E-01 .84528E-07 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 5.0000 1.0120 .50000 1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat 1.1377 .17707 .18312E-04 -.88550 4 Prefactor .93005 .52970E-01 .30954E-04 -.95099 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.29432e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0227249 2 1.51735e-06 3 0.177164 4 0.052973 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.8829275 delta logL = 0.650490101652 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 2.225e-02 2.272e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 5.000e+00 1.517e-06 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.301e-01 5.297e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.138e+00 1.772e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.43 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Index (Free Index): 5.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 5.61e-08 +/- 5.70e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.71e-06 +/- 7.85e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39495476/cmap_HighResolution_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='7.71e-06', dlogl='6.50e-01', photon_flux2='5.61e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-29 23:00:14.194037', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='5.00', ts='0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.92', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.05e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.85e-06', EG='1.20', time_epoch_completed='1790748014.19', return_code='0', job_id='39495476', GAL2='0.93', EG2='1.14', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='5.70e-08', ts2='1.43', photon_index='2.17' WHERE bin_id='947' AND source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 29 23:00:14 PDT 2026 615/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits.....................! real 157.28 user 155.08 sys 0.93 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/expmap_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39495615/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2157.5+3127' 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.006e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39495615/expmap_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39495615/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39495615/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.7363016 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.5355712 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 51.556 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 1.1958 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .14011E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.2004 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .17046E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .16191E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 1.6529 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .62894E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .83715E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 2.8392 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 46.855 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .21894E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 8.6542 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 3.0083 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.1993 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .91948 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE 609/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits.....................! real 155.17 user 152.84 sys 0.86 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/expmap_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39495609/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2157.5+3127' 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.006e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39495609/expmap_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39495609/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39495609/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.7363016 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.5355712 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 51.556 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 1.1958 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .14011E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.2004 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .17046E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .16191E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 1.6529 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .62894E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .83715E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 2.8392 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 46.855 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .21894E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 8.6542 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 3.0083 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.1993 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .91948 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 25184.53 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 117 CALLS 902 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 50.572 25.015 -.49694E-06 .39415E-03 2 Prefactor 1.1581 3.4899 .17712E-06 -.32883E-03 3 norm .0000 1.8871 -.56054E-06** at limit ** 4 norm 1.2019 .95359 .26351E-06 .54365E-03 5 norm .0000 5.1330 .30204E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .0000 20.983 -.17893E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 1.6408 4.0479 -.76781E-06 .64939E-04 8 norm .0000 .28345 .11819E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .0000 15.963 -.10667E-05** at limit ** 10 norm 2.8417 .57996 -.11270E-06 -.19179E-02 11 Prefactor 46.414 2.7561 -.40216E-07 -.55731E-02 12 Prefactor .0000 25.681 -.15257E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 8.2980 11.642 -.21166E-07 -.92830E-04 14 norm 3.0071 .95978 -.86975E-07 -.12525E-02 15 Normalizat 1.2003 .17253 .42635E-05 -.44200E-04 16 Prefactor .91962 .53257E-01 .84220E-06 -.34872E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 50.5716 Prefactor = 1.15805 norm = 0 norm = 1.20193 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.64083 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.84166 Prefactor = 46.4135 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.29797 norm = 3.00714 Normalizat = 1.20033 Prefactor = 0.919618 .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 25184.53 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 117 CALLS 902 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 50.572 25.015 -.49694E-06 .39415E-03 2 Prefactor 1.1581 3.4899 .17712E-06 -.32883E-03 3 norm .0000 1.8871 -.56054E-06** at limit ** 4 norm 1.2019 .95359 .26351E-06 .54365E-03 5 norm .0000 5.1330 .30204E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .0000 20.983 -.17893E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 1.6408 4.0479 -.76781E-06 .64939E-04 8 norm .0000 .28345 .11819E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .0000 15.963 -.10667E-05** at limit ** 10 norm 2.8417 .57996 -.11270E-06 -.19179E-02 11 Prefactor 46.414 2.7561 -.40216E-07 -.55731E-02 12 Prefactor .0000 25.681 -.15257E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 8.2980 11.642 -.21166E-07 -.92830E-04 14 norm 3.0071 .95978 -.86975E-07 -.12525E-02 15 Normalizat 1.2003 .17253 .42635E-05 -.44200E-04 16 Prefactor .91962 .53257E-01 .84220E-06 -.34872E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 50.5716 Prefactor = 1.15805 norm = 0 norm = 1.20193 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.64083 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.84166 Prefactor = 46.4135 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.29797 norm = 3.00714 Normalizat = 1.20033 Prefactor = 0.919618 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25184.53 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 243 CALLS 1145 TOTAL EDM= .10E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 50.572 25.049 .13928E-03 -1.5566 2 Prefactor 1.1581 3.4845 .10393E-02 -1.5686 3 norm .0000 1.8872 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 1.2019 .97585 .10357E-02 -1.5686 5 norm .0000 5.1463 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 21.145 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 1.6408 4.0735 .82075E-03 -1.5682 8 norm .0000 .27622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .0000 15.967 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 2.8417 .60386 .60321E-03 -1.5674 11 Prefactor 46.414 21.943 .14610E-03 -1.5572 12 Prefactor .0000 4.6115 .12260E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 8.2980 11.721 .34050E-03 -1.5650 14 norm 3.0071 .95942 .58493E-03 -1.5673 15 Normalizat 1.2003 .15382 .10087 -.86593 16 Prefactor .91962 .46572E-01 .45253E-01 -.95459 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.00139e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 25.0493 2 3.4845 3 2.01944e-06 4 0.975849 5 5.95645e-06 6 4.25356e-05 7 4.07351 8 5.67751e-07 9 1.33721e-05 10 0.603864 11 21.9432 12 1.21862e-05 13 11.7207 14 0.959419 15 0.153882 16 0.0465744 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25184.53 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 243 CALLS 1145 TOTAL EDM= .10E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 50.572 25.049 .13928E-03 -1.5566 2 Prefactor 1.1581 3.4845 .10393E-02 -1.5686 3 norm .0000 1.8872 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 1.2019 .97585 .10357E-02 -1.5686 5 norm .0000 5.1463 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 21.145 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 1.6408 4.0735 .82075E-03 -1.5682 8 norm .0000 .27622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .0000 15.967 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 2.8417 .60386 .60321E-03 -1.5674 11 Prefactor 46.414 21.943 .14610E-03 -1.5572 12 Prefactor .0000 4.6115 .12260E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 8.2980 11.721 .34050E-03 -1.5650 14 norm 3.0071 .95942 .58493E-03 -1.5673 15 Normalizat 1.2003 .15382 .10087 -.86593 16 Prefactor .91962 .46572E-01 .45253E-01 -.95459 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.00139e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 25.0493 2 3.4845 3 2.01944e-06 4 0.975849 5 5.95645e-06 6 4.25356e-05 7 4.07351 8 5.67751e-07 9 1.33721e-05 10 0.603864 11 21.9432 12 1.21862e-05 13 11.7207 14 0.959419 15 0.153882 16 0.0465744 765/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits.....................! real 135.44 user 133.28 sys 1.05 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/expmap_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39495765/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2157.5+3127' 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.006e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39495765/expmap_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39495765/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39495765/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.7363016 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.5355712 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 51.556 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 1.1958 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .14011E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.2004 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .17046E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .16191E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 1.6529 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .62894E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .83715E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 2.8392 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 46.855 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .21894E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 8.6542 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 3.0083 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.1993 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .91948 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 25184.53 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 117 CALLS 902 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 50.572 25.015 -.49694E-06 .39415E-03 2 Prefactor 1.1581 3.4899 .17712E-06 -.32883E-03 3 norm .0000 1.8871 -.56054E-06** at limit ** 4 norm 1.2019 .95359 .26351E-06 .54365E-03 5 norm .0000 5.1330 .30204E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .0000 20.983 -.17893E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 1.6408 4.0479 -.76781E-06 .64939E-04 8 norm .0000 .28345 .11819E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .0000 15.963 -.10667E-05** at limit ** 10 norm 2.8417 .57996 -.11270E-06 -.19179E-02 11 Prefactor 46.414 2.7561 -.40216E-07 -.55731E-02 12 Prefactor .0000 25.681 -.15257E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 8.2980 11.642 -.21166E-07 -.92830E-04 14 norm 3.0071 .95978 -.86975E-07 -.12525E-02 15 Normalizat 1.2003 .17253 .42635E-05 -.44200E-04 16 Prefactor .91962 .53257E-01 .84220E-06 -.34872E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 50.5716 Prefactor = 1.15805 norm = 0 norm = 1.20193 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.64083 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.84166 Prefactor = 46.4135 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.29797 norm = 3.00714 Normalizat = 1.20033 Prefactor = 0.919618 04/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits.....................! real 156.47 user 154.27 sys 0.94 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/expmap_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39495704/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2157.5+3127' 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.006e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39495704/expmap_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39495704/ltcube_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39495704/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.7363016 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.5355712 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 51.556 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 1.1958 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .14011E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.2004 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .17046E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .16191E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 1.6529 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .62894E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .83715E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 2.8392 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 46.855 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .21894E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 8.6542 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 3.0083 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.1993 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .91948 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 25184.53 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 117 CALLS 902 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 50.572 25.015 -.49694E-06 .39415E-03 2 Prefactor 1.1581 3.4899 .17712E-06 -.32883E-03 3 norm .0000 1.8871 -.56054E-06** at limit ** 4 norm 1.2019 .95359 .26351E-06 .54365E-03 5 norm .0000 5.1330 .30204E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .0000 20.983 -.17893E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 1.6408 4.0479 -.76781E-06 .64939E-04 8 norm .0000 .28345 .11819E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .0000 15.963 -.10667E-05** at limit ** 10 norm 2.8417 .57996 -.11270E-06 -.19179E-02 11 Prefactor 46.414 2.7561 -.40216E-07 -.55731E-02 12 Prefactor .0000 25.681 -.15257E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 8.2980 11.642 -.21166E-07 -.92830E-04 14 norm 3.0071 .95978 -.86975E-07 -.12525E-02 15 Normalizat 1.2003 .17253 .42635E-05 -.44200E-04 16 Prefactor .91962 .53257E-01 .84220E-06 -.34872E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 50.5716 Prefactor = 1.15805 norm = 0 norm = 1.20193 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.64083 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.84166 Prefactor = 46.4135 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.29797 norm = 3.00714 Normalizat = 1.20033 Prefactor = 0.919618 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25184.53 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 243 CALLS 1145 TOTAL EDM= .10E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 50.572 25.049 .13928E-03 -1.5566 2 Prefactor 1.1581 3.4845 .10393E-02 -1.5686 3 norm .0000 1.8872 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 1.2019 .97585 .10357E-02 -1.5686 5 norm .0000 5.1463 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 21.145 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 1.6408 4.0735 .82075E-03 -1.5682 8 norm .0000 .27622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .0000 15.967 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 2.8417 .60386 .60321E-03 -1.5674 11 Prefactor 46.414 21.943 .14610E-03 -1.5572 12 Prefactor .0000 4.6115 .12260E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 8.2980 11.721 .34050E-03 -1.5650 14 norm 3.0071 .95942 .58493E-03 -1.5673 15 Normalizat 1.2003 .15382 .10087 -.86593 16 Prefactor .91962 .46572E-01 .45253E-01 -.95459 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.00139e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 25.0493 2 3.4845 3 2.01944e-06 4 0.975849 5 5.95645e-06 6 4.25356e-05 7 4.07351 8 5.67751e-07 9 1.33721e-05 10 0.603864 11 21.9432 12 1.21862e-05 13 11.7207 14 0.959419 15 0.153882 16 0.0465744 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.5334176 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 0.000e+00 5.678e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.196e-01 4.657e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.200e+00 1.539e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.04997715803e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: None Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39495615/likelihoodResults_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.9233134 delta logL = 0.610104210667 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.8829286 delta logL = 0.650488995343 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .22245E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 5.0000 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1377 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93006 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 25183.88 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 117 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .39E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .22249E-01 .22814E-01 .21132E-05** at limit ** 2 alpha 5.0000 1.0189 .50000 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat 1.1377 .17695 .45780E-03 .11821E-04 4 Prefactor .93005 .52939E-01 .15477E-03 .79278E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.0222487 alpha = 5 Normalizat = 1.13771 Prefactor = 0.930053 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25183.88 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 374 TOTAL EDM= .43E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .22249E-01 .22725E-01 .84528E-07 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 5.0000 1.0120 .50000 1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat 1.1377 .17707 .18312E-04 -.88550 4 Prefactor .93005 .52970E-01 .30954E-04 -.95099 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.29432e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0227249 2 1.51735e-06 3 0.177164 4 0.052973 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25184.53 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 243 CALLS 1145 TOTAL EDM= .10E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 50.572 25.049 .13928E-03 -1.5566 2 Prefactor 1.1581 3.4845 .10393E-02 -1.5686 3 norm .0000 1.8872 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 1.2019 .97585 .10357E-02 -1.5686 5 norm .0000 5.1463 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .0000 21.145 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 1.6408 4.0735 .82075E-03 -1.5682 8 norm .0000 .27622 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .0000 15.967 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 2.8417 .60386 .60321E-03 -1.5674 11 Prefactor 46.414 21.943 .14610E-03 -1.5572 12 Prefactor .0000 4.6115 .12260E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 8.2980 11.721 .34050E-03 -1.5650 14 norm 3.0071 .95942 .58493E-03 -1.5673 15 Normalizat 1.2003 .15382 .10087 -.86593 16 Prefactor .91962 .46572E-01 .45253E-01 -.95459 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.00139e-05 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 25.0493 2 3.4845 3 2.01944e-06 4 0.975849 5 5.95645e-06 6 4.25356e-05 7 4.07351 8 5.67751e-07 9 1.33721e-05 10 0.603864 11 21.9432 12 1.21862e-05 13 11.7207 14 0.959419 15 0.153882 16 0.0465744 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.8829275 delta logL = 0.650490101652 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 2.225e-02 2.272e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 5.000e+00 1.517e-06 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.301e-01 5.297e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.138e+00 1.772e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.43 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Index (Free Index): 5.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 5.61e-08 +/- 5.70e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.71e-06 +/- 7.85e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39495615/cmap_HighResolution_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='7.71e-06', dlogl='6.50e-01', photon_flux2='5.61e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-29 23:03:43.125197', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='5.00', ts='0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.92', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.05e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.85e-06', EG='1.20', time_epoch_completed='1790748223.13', return_code='0', job_id='39495615', GAL2='0.93', EG2='1.14', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='5.70e-08', ts2='1.43', photon_index='2.17' WHERE bin_id='947' AND source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 29 23:03:43 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.5334176 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 0.000e+00 5.678e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.196e-01 4.657e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.200e+00 1.539e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.04997715803e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: None Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39495609/likelihoodResults_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.9233134 delta logL = 0.610104210667 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.8829286 delta logL = 0.650488995343 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .22245E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 5.0000 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1377 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93006 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 25183.88 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 117 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .39E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .22249E-01 .22814E-01 .21132E-05** at limit ** 2 alpha 5.0000 1.0189 .50000 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat 1.1377 .17695 .45780E-03 .11821E-04 4 Prefactor .93005 .52939E-01 .15477E-03 .79278E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.0222487 alpha = 5 Normalizat = 1.13771 Prefactor = 0.930053 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25183.88 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 374 TOTAL EDM= .43E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .22249E-01 .22725E-01 .84528E-07 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 5.0000 1.0120 .50000 1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat 1.1377 .17707 .18312E-04 -.88550 4 Prefactor .93005 .52970E-01 .30954E-04 -.95099 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.29432e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0227249 2 1.51735e-06 3 0.177164 4 0.052973 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.8829275 delta logL = 0.650490101652 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 2.225e-02 2.272e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 5.000e+00 1.517e-06 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.301e-01 5.297e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.138e+00 1.772e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.43 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Index (Free Index): 5.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 5.61e-08 +/- 5.70e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.71e-06 +/- 7.85e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39495609/cmap_HighResolution_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='7.71e-06', dlogl='6.50e-01', photon_flux2='5.61e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-29 23:03:55.990716', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='5.00', ts='0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.92', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.05e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.85e-06', EG='1.20', time_epoch_completed='1790748235.99', return_code='0', job_id='39495609', GAL2='0.93', EG2='1.14', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='5.70e-08', ts2='1.43', photon_index='2.17' WHERE bin_id='947' AND source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 29 23:03:56 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.5334176 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 0.000e+00 5.678e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.196e-01 4.657e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.200e+00 1.539e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.04997715803e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: None Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39495765/likelihoodResults_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.9233134 delta logL = 0.610104210667 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.8829286 delta logL = 0.650488995343 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .22245E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 5.0000 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1377 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93006 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 25183.88 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 117 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .39E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .22249E-01 .22814E-01 .21132E-05** at limit ** 2 alpha 5.0000 1.0189 .50000 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat 1.1377 .17695 .45780E-03 .11821E-04 4 Prefactor .93005 .52939E-01 .15477E-03 .79278E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.0222487 alpha = 5 Normalizat = 1.13771 Prefactor = 0.930053 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25183.88 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 374 TOTAL EDM= .43E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .22249E-01 .22725E-01 .84528E-07 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 5.0000 1.0120 .50000 1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat 1.1377 .17707 .18312E-04 -.88550 4 Prefactor .93005 .52970E-01 .30954E-04 -.95099 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.29432e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0227249 2 1.51735e-06 3 0.177164 4 0.052973 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.8829275 delta logL = 0.650490101652 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 2.225e-02 2.272e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 5.000e+00 1.517e-06 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.301e-01 5.297e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.138e+00 1.772e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.43 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Index (Free Index): 5.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 5.61e-08 +/- 5.70e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.71e-06 +/- 7.85e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39495765/cmap_HighResolution_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='7.71e-06', dlogl='6.50e-01', photon_flux2='5.61e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-29 23:04:33.656467', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='5.00', ts='0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.92', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.05e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.85e-06', EG='1.20', time_epoch_completed='1790748273.66', return_code='0', job_id='39495765', GAL2='0.93', EG2='1.14', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='5.70e-08', ts2='1.43', photon_index='2.17' WHERE bin_id='947' AND source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 29 23:04:33 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 25184.5334176 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 0.000e+00 5.678e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.196e-01 4.657e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.200e+00 1.539e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 4.04997715803e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: None Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39495704/likelihoodResults_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.9233134 delta logL = 0.610104210667 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.8829286 delta logL = 0.650488995343 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .22245E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 5.0000 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1377 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93006 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 25183.88 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 117 CALLS 343 TOTAL EDM= .39E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .22249E-01 .22814E-01 .21132E-05** at limit ** 2 alpha 5.0000 1.0189 .50000 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat 1.1377 .17695 .45780E-03 .11821E-04 4 Prefactor .93005 .52939E-01 .15477E-03 .79278E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.0222487 alpha = 5 Normalizat = 1.13771 Prefactor = 0.930053 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 25183.88 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 374 TOTAL EDM= .43E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .22249E-01 .22725E-01 .84528E-07 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 5.0000 1.0120 .50000 1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat 1.1377 .17707 .18312E-04 -.88550 4 Prefactor .93005 .52970E-01 .30954E-04 -.95099 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.29432e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.0227249 2 1.51735e-06 3 0.177164 4 0.052973 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 25183.8829275 delta logL = 0.650490101652 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 2.225e-02 2.272e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 5.000e+00 1.517e-06 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.301e-01 5.297e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.138e+00 1.772e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.43 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Index (Free Index): 5.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 5.61e-08 +/- 5.70e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.71e-06 +/- 7.85e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39495704/cmap_HighResolution_811728001_812332801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_weekly_bin947.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='7.71e-06', dlogl='6.50e-01', photon_flux2='5.61e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-09-29 23:05:19.479384', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='5.00', ts='0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.92', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='4.05e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.85e-06', EG='1.20', time_epoch_completed='1790748319.48', return_code='0', job_id='39495704', GAL2='0.93', EG2='1.14', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='5.70e-08', ts2='1.43', photon_index='2.17' WHERE bin_id='947' AND source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 29 23:05:19 PDT 2026