********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15697.64 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 249 CALLS 1962 TOTAL EDM= .15E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 27.307 27.296 .19162E-03 -1.5603 2 Prefactor 3.5417 4.6353 .53241E-03 -1.5670 3 norm 5.3341 4.3830 .43721E-03 -1.5662 4 norm 1.3147 .91322 .96033E-03 -1.5685 5 norm .94369E-09 13.724 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 89.129 285.82 .99715E-04 -1.5519 7 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.4202 .82286E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .14061 .43044 .12958E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 18.951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 2.5481 .72085 .63940E-03 -1.5676 11 Prefactor 15.007 23.448 .25749E-03 -1.5630 12 Prefactor 15.141 17.962 .25656E-03 -1.5630 13 Prefactor .55511E-09 7.9589 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 4.9789 1.3608 .45037E-03 -1.5663 15 Normalizat 1.0475 .20314 .10680 -.91454 16 Prefactor .93741 .59705E-01 .33896E-01 -.94846 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.53584e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 27.2965 2 4.63534 3 4.383 4 0.913216 5 0.000228118 6 285.868 7 3.8694e-05 8 0.430437 9 6.0893e-05 10 0.720851 11 23.4477 12 17.9618 13 0.000133254 14 1.36081 15 0.203292 16 0.0597092 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218470/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/34218470/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits .....................! real 7.76 user 7.00 sys 0.20 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218470/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218470/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/34218470/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218470/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/34218470/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits .....................! real 61.03 user 56.62 sys 3.48 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source Cygnus Loop in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CygnusLoop.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source gamma Cygni in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Cocoon in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Added 186 point sources and 3 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2157.5+3127 @ 329.386 31.4552 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218470/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218470/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218470/cmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.386 yref=31.4552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.82 user 0.19 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218470/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218470/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218470/cmap_HighResolution_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.386 yref=31.4552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.93 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218470/f/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 7628 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191 RA = 329.386, Dec = 31.4552 tmin = 807235201, tmax = 807494401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='34218648', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-04 22:36:27.392811', time_epoch_executed='1785908187.39' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2191' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34218648 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34218648/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=807235201.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=807235201.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ft1_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=807235201.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ft1_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits ra=329.386 dec=31.4552 rad=12.0 tmin=807235201.0 tmax=807494401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.39 user 1.60 sys 0.14 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.83 user 0.20 sys 0.11 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1478 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" oDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15697.6365854 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.406e-01 4.304e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.374e-01 5.971e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.048e+00 2.033e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.13 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.8426896606e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.3665004443e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34218117/likelihoodResults_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15697.6352743 delta logL = 0.00131113490534 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15697.6352314 delta logL = 0.00135398714156 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .14061 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 2.2525 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0470 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93747 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 15697.64 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 90 CALLS 245 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .14056 .43693 .13511E-04** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.2537 1.5251 .67962E-01 .15192E-04 3 Normalizat 1.0470 .21293 .47353E-03 -.21127E-05 4 Prefactor .93748 .64556E-01 .14977E-03 -.18701E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.140561 alpha = 2.25373 Normalizat = 1.04696 Prefactor = 0.937484 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15697.64 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 270 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .14056 .42134 .54043E-06 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 2.2537 1.4824 .27185E-02 -.98670E-01 3 Normalizat 1.0470 .21303 .18941E-04 -.91473 4 Prefactor .93748 .64569E-01 .29954E-04 -.94843 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.31805e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.421342 2 1.58812 3 0.213205 4 0.0645741 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15697.6352311 delta logL = 0.00135432761454 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.406e-01 4.213e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.254e+00 1.588e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.375e-01 6.457e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.047e+00 2.132e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.13 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34218117/cmap_HighResolution_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.37e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.84e-08', time_completed='2026-08-04 22:39:45.308728', job_id='34218117', GAL2='0.94', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.05', EG='1.05', time_epoch_completed='1785908385.31', return_code2='0', ts='0.13', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.94', dlogl='1.35e-03', ts2='0.13', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.17' WHERE bin_id='2191' AND source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 4 22:39:45 PDT 2026 number of points = 7628 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. number of points = 7628 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191 RA = 329.386, Dec = 31.4552 tmin = 807235201, tmax = 807494401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='34218672', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-04 22:37:01.695705', time_epoch_executed='1785908221.7' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2191' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34218672 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34218672/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=807235201.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=807235201.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ft1_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=807235201.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ft1_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits ra=329.386 dec=31.4552 rad=12.0 tmin=807235201.0 tmax=807494401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.36 user 1.61 sys 0.16 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.85 user 0.19 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1478 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ouDone. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191 RA = 329.386, Dec = 31.4552 tmin = 807235201, tmax = 807494401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='34218659', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-04 22:37:02.757808', time_epoch_executed='1785908222.76' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2191' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34218659 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34218659/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=807235201.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=807235201.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ft1_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=807235201.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ft1_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits ra=329.386 dec=31.4552 rad=12.0 tmin=807235201.0 tmax=807494401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.24 user 1.49 sys 0.16 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.06 user 0.16 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1478 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits .....................! real 8.47 user 7.62 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits .....................! real 64.35 user 59.59 sys 3.90 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source Cygnus Loop in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CygnusLoop.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source gamma Cygni in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Cocoon in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Added 186 point sources and 3 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2157.5+3127 @ 329.386 31.4552 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/cmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.386 yref=31.4552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.98 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/cmap_HighResolution_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.386 yref=31.4552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.91 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218371/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34218371/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34218371/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits.....................! real 84.81 user 82.81 sys 0.97 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34218371/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34218371/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34218371/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34218371/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34218371/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2157.5+3127' 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.006e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34218371/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34218371/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34218371/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34218371/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34218371/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15697.6411062 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15697.6406788 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 27.243 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 3.5987 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 5.2792 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.3149 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .11228E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 100.58 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .11469 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .14008 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .45991E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 2.5482 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 15.099 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 15.208 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .29873E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 4.9809 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.0465 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .93731 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15697.64 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 132 CALLS 1713 TOTAL EDM= .42E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.8% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 27.307 27.270 -.63207E-06 .80823E-03 2 Prefactor 3.5417 4.6057 .41192E-06 -.23999E-02 3 norm 5.3341 4.3549 -.52066E-08 -.16691E-02 4 norm 1.3147 .92461 .26915E-07 -.46720E-03 5 norm .94369E-09 14.185 .11649E-05** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 89.129 284.89 -.79081E-06 -.64046E-05 7 Prefactor .11102E-09 22.462 -.31132E-06** at limit ** 8 norm .14061 .42412 .22344E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 18.850 -.28993E-06** at limit ** 10 norm 2.5481 .72085 .15614E-06 -.50035E-01 11 Prefactor 15.007 23.453 .16425E-06 -.95710E-03 12 Prefactor 15.141 17.993 .32944E-06 -.86326E-03 13 Prefactor .55511E-09 7.9554 .86736E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 4.9789 1.3606 .34618E-07 -.50029E-02 15 Normalizat 1.0475 .22205 .13606E-04 -.16493E-03 16 Prefactor .93741 .66401E-01 -.42960E-05 -.13398E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 27.3071 Prefactor = 3.54173 norm = 5.3341 norm = 1.31474 norm = 9.4369e-10 Prefactor = 89.1287 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 norm = 0.140611 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 2.54813 Prefactor = 15.0066 Prefactor = 15.1406 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 norm = 4.97888 Normalizat = 1.04754 Prefactor = 0.937407 utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits .....................! real 8.15 user 7.33 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits .....................! real 61.76 user 57.16 sys 3.57 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source Cygnus Loop in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CygnusLoop.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source gamma Cygni in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Cocoon in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Added 186 point sources and 3 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2157.5+3127 @ 329.386 31.4552 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/cmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.386 yref=31.4552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.95 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/cmap_HighResolution_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.386 yref=31.4552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.98 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits .....................! real 8.49 user 7.66 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits .....................! real 66.00 user 61.25 sys 3.86 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source Cygnus Loop in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CygnusLoop.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source gamma Cygni in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Cocoon in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Added 186 point sources and 3 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2157.5+3127 @ 329.386 31.4552 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/cmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.386 yref=31.4552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.96 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/cmap_HighResolution_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.386 yref=31.4552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.98 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/f ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15697.64 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 249 CALLS 1962 TOTAL EDM= .15E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 27.307 27.296 .19162E-03 -1.5603 2 Prefactor 3.5417 4.6353 .53241E-03 -1.5670 3 norm 5.3341 4.3830 .43721E-03 -1.5662 4 norm 1.3147 .91322 .96033E-03 -1.5685 5 norm .94369E-09 13.724 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 89.129 285.82 .99715E-04 -1.5519 7 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.4202 .82286E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .14061 .43044 .12958E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 18.951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 2.5481 .72085 .63940E-03 -1.5676 11 Prefactor 15.007 23.448 .25749E-03 -1.5630 12 Prefactor 15.141 17.962 .25656E-03 -1.5630 13 Prefactor .55511E-09 7.9589 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 4.9789 1.3608 .45037E-03 -1.5663 15 Normalizat 1.0475 .20314 .10680 -.91454 16 Prefactor .93741 .59705E-01 .33896E-01 -.94846 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.53584e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 27.2965 2 4.63534 3 4.383 4 0.913216 5 0.000228118 6 285.868 7 3.8694e-05 8 0.430437 9 6.0893e-05 10 0.720851 11 23.4477 12 17.9618 13 0.000133254 14 1.36081 15 0.203292 16 0.0597092 number of points = 7628 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191 RA = 329.386, Dec = 31.4552 tmin = 807235201, tmax = 807494401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='34218783', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-04 22:39:09.102143', time_epoch_executed='1785908349.1' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2191' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34218783 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/34218783/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=807235201.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=807235201.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ft1_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=807235201.0 && nMetStart<807494401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ft1_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits ra=329.386 dec=31.4552 rad=12.0 tmin=807235201.0 tmax=807494401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.30 user 1.51 sys 0.16 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.97 user 0.19 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1478 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ouDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15697.6365854 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.406e-01 4.304e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.374e-01 5.971e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.048e+00 2.033e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.13 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.8426896606e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.3665004443e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34218371/likelihoodResults_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15697.6352743 delta logL = 0.00131113490534 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15697.6352314 delta logL = 0.00135398714156 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .14061 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 2.2525 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0470 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93747 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 15697.64 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 90 CALLS 245 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .14056 .43693 .13511E-04** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.2537 1.5251 .67962E-01 .15192E-04 3 Normalizat 1.0470 .21293 .47353E-03 -.21127E-05 4 Prefactor .93748 .64556E-01 .14977E-03 -.18701E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.140561 alpha = 2.25373 Normalizat = 1.04696 Prefactor = 0.937484 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15697.64 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 270 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .14056 .42134 .54043E-06 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 2.2537 1.4824 .27185E-02 -.98670E-01 3 Normalizat 1.0470 .21303 .18941E-04 -.91473 4 Prefactor .93748 .64569E-01 .29954E-04 -.94843 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.31805e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.421342 2 1.58812 3 0.213205 4 0.0645741 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15697.6352311 delta logL = 0.00135432761454 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.406e-01 4.213e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.254e+00 1.588e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.375e-01 6.457e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.047e+00 2.132e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.13 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34218371/cmap_HighResolution_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.37e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.84e-08', time_completed='2026-08-04 22:42:16.218161', job_id='34218371', GAL2='0.94', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.05', EG='1.05', time_epoch_completed='1785908536.22', return_code2='0', ts='0.13', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.94', dlogl='1.35e-03', ts2='0.13', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.17' WHERE bin_id='2191' AND source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 4 22:42:16 PDT 2026 t1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218470/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34218470/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34218470/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits.....................! real 86.44 user 84.51 sys 0.94 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34218470/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34218470/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34218470/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34218470/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34218470/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2157.5+3127' 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.006e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34218470/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34218470/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34218470/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34218470/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34218470/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15697.6411062 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15697.6406788 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 27.243 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 3.5987 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 5.2792 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.3149 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .11228E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 100.58 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .11469 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .14008 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .45991E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 2.5482 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 15.099 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 15.208 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .29873E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 4.9809 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.0465 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .93731 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15697.64 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 132 CALLS 1713 TOTAL EDM= .42E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.8% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 27.307 27.270 -.63207E-06 .80823E-03 2 Prefactor 3.5417 4.6057 .41192E-06 -.23999E-02 3 norm 5.3341 4.3549 -.52066E-08 -.16691E-02 4 norm 1.3147 .92461 .26915E-07 -.46720E-03 5 norm .94369E-09 14.185 .11649E-05** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 89.129 284.89 -.79081E-06 -.64046E-05 7 Prefactor .11102E-09 22.462 -.31132E-06** at limit ** 8 norm .14061 .42412 .22344E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 18.850 -.28993E-06** at limit ** 10 norm 2.5481 .72085 .15614E-06 -.50035E-01 11 Prefactor 15.007 23.453 .16425E-06 -.95710E-03 12 Prefactor 15.141 17.993 .32944E-06 -.86326E-03 13 Prefactor .55511E-09 7.9554 .86736E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 4.9789 1.3606 .34618E-07 -.50029E-02 15 Normalizat 1.0475 .22205 .13606E-04 -.16493E-03 16 Prefactor .93741 .66401E-01 -.42960E-05 -.13398E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 27.3071 Prefactor = 3.54173 norm = 5.3341 norm = 1.31474 norm = 9.4369e-10 Prefactor = 89.1287 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 norm = 0.140611 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 2.54813 Prefactor = 15.0066 Prefactor = 15.1406 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 norm = 4.97888 Normalizat = 1.04754 Prefactor = 0.937407 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15697.64 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 249 CALLS 1962 TOTAL EDM= .15E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 27.307 27.296 .19162E-03 -1.5603 2 Prefactor 3.5417 4.6353 .53241E-03 -1.5670 3 norm 5.3341 4.3830 .43721E-03 -1.5662 4 norm 1.3147 .91322 .96033E-03 -1.5685 5 norm .94369E-09 13.724 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 89.129 285.82 .99715E-04 -1.5519 7 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.4202 .82286E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .14061 .43044 .12958E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 18.951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 2.5481 .72085 .63940E-03 -1.5676 11 Prefactor 15.007 23.448 .25749E-03 -1.5630 12 Prefactor 15.141 17.962 .25656E-03 -1.5630 13 Prefactor .55511E-09 7.9589 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 4.9789 1.3608 .45037E-03 -1.5663 15 Normalizat 1.0475 .20314 .10680 -.91454 16 Prefactor .93741 .59705E-01 .33896E-01 -.94846 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.53584e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 27.2965 2 4.63534 3 4.383 4 0.913216 5 0.000228118 6 285.868 7 3.8694e-05 8 0.430437 9 6.0893e-05 10 0.720851 11 23.4477 12 17.9618 13 0.000133254 14 1.36081 15 0.203292 16 0.0597092 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits .....................! real 9.06 user 8.05 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits .....................! real 70.10 user 64.98 sys 4.07 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source Cygnus Loop in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CygnusLoop.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source gamma Cygni in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Cocoon in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Added 186 point sources and 3 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2157.5+3127 @ 329.386 31.4552 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/cmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.386 yref=31.4552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.85 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/cmap_HighResolution_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.386 yref=31.4552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.87 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/fDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15697.6365854 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.406e-01 4.304e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.374e-01 5.971e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.048e+00 2.033e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.13 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.8426896606e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.3665004443e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34218470/likelihoodResults_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15697.6352743 delta logL = 0.00131113490534 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15697.6352314 delta logL = 0.00135398714156 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .14061 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 2.2525 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0470 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93747 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 15697.64 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 90 CALLS 245 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .14056 .43693 .13511E-04** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.2537 1.5251 .67962E-01 .15192E-04 3 Normalizat 1.0470 .21293 .47353E-03 -.21127E-05 4 Prefactor .93748 .64556E-01 .14977E-03 -.18701E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.140561 alpha = 2.25373 Normalizat = 1.04696 Prefactor = 0.937484 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15697.64 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 270 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .14056 .42134 .54043E-06 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 2.2537 1.4824 .27185E-02 -.98670E-01 3 Normalizat 1.0470 .21303 .18941E-04 -.91473 4 Prefactor .93748 .64569E-01 .29954E-04 -.94843 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.31805e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.421342 2 1.58812 3 0.213205 4 0.0645741 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15697.6352311 delta logL = 0.00135432761454 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.406e-01 4.213e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.254e+00 1.588e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.375e-01 6.457e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.047e+00 2.132e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.13 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34218470/cmap_HighResolution_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.37e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.84e-08', time_completed='2026-08-04 22:44:03.187682', job_id='34218470', GAL2='0.94', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.05', EG='1.05', time_epoch_completed='1785908643.19', return_code2='0', ts='0.13', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.94', dlogl='1.35e-03', ts2='0.13', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.17' WHERE bin_id='2191' AND source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 4 22:44:03 PDT 2026 ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits.....................! real 89.11 user 87.24 sys 0.62 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34218648/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2157.5+3127' 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.006e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34218648/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34218648/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34218648/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15697.6411062 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15697.6406788 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 27.243 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 3.5987 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 5.2792 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.3149 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .11228E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 100.58 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .11469 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .14008 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .45991E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 2.5482 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 15.099 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 15.208 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .29873E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 4.9809 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.0465 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .93731 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630Eft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits.....................! real 86.02 user 83.85 sys 0.89 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34218659/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2157.5+3127' 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.006e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34218659/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34218659/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34218659/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15697.6411062 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15697.6406788 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 27.243 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 3.5987 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 5.2792 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.3149 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .11228E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 100.58 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .11469 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .14008 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .45991E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 2.5482 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 15.099 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 15.208 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .29873E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 4.9809 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.0465 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .93731 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15697.64 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 132 CALLS 1713 TOTAL EDM= .42E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.8% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 27.307 27.270 -.63207E-06 .80823E-03 2 Prefactor 3.5417 4.6057 .41192E-06 -.23999E-02 3 norm 5.3341 4.3549 -.52066E-08 -.16691E-02 4 norm 1.3147 .92461 .26915E-07 -.46720E-03 5 norm .94369E-09 14.185 .11649E-05** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 89.129 284.89 -.79081E-06 -.64046E-05 7 Prefactor .11102E-09 22.462 -.31132E-06** at limit ** 8 norm .14061 .42412 .22344E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 18.850 -.28993E-06** at limit ** 10 norm 2.5481 .72085 .15614E-06 -.50035E-01 11 Prefactor 15.007 23.453 .16425E-06 -.95710E-03 12 Prefactor 15.141 17.993 .32944E-06 -.86326E-03 13 Prefactor .55511E-09 7.9554 .86736E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 4.9789 1.3606 .34618E-07 -.50029E-02 15 Normalizat 1.0475 .22205 .13606E-04 -.16493E-03 16 Prefactor .93741 .66401E-01 -.42960E-05 -.13398E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 27.3071 Prefactor = 3.54173 norm = 5.3341 norm = 1.31474 norm = 9.4369e-10 Prefactor = 89.1287 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 norm = 0.140611 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 2.54813 Prefactor = 15.0066 Prefactor = 15.1406 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 norm = 4.97888 Normalizat = 1.04754 Prefactor = 0.937407 +05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15697.64 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 132 CALLS 1713 TOTAL EDM= .42E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.8% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 27.307 27.270 -.63207E-06 .80823E-03 2 Prefactor 3.5417 4.6057 .41192E-06 -.23999E-02 3 norm 5.3341 4.3549 -.52066E-08 -.16691E-02 4 norm 1.3147 .92461 .26915E-07 -.46720E-03 5 norm .94369E-09 14.185 .11649E-05** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 89.129 284.89 -.79081E-06 -.64046E-05 7 Prefactor .11102E-09 22.462 -.31132E-06** at limit ** 8 norm .14061 .42412 .22344E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 18.850 -.28993E-06** at limit ** 10 norm 2.5481 .72085 .15614E-06 -.50035E-01 11 Prefactor 15.007 23.453 .16425E-06 -.95710E-03 12 Prefactor 15.141 17.993 .32944E-06 -.86326E-03 13 Prefactor .55511E-09 7.9554 .86736E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 4.9789 1.3606 .34618E-07 -.50029E-02 15 Normalizat 1.0475 .22205 .13606E-04 -.16493E-03 16 Prefactor .93741 .66401E-01 -.42960E-05 -.13398E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 27.3071 Prefactor = 3.54173 norm = 5.3341 norm = 1.31474 norm = 9.4369e-10 Prefactor = 89.1287 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 norm = 0.140611 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 2.54813 Prefactor = 15.0066 Prefactor = 15.1406 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 norm = 4.97888 Normalizat = 1.04754 Prefactor = 0.937407 t1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits.....................! real 92.45 user 90.40 sys 0.99 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34218672/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2157.5+3127' 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.006e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34218672/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34218672/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34218672/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15697.6411062 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15697.6406788 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 27.243 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 3.5987 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 5.2792 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.3149 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .11228E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 100.58 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .11469 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .14008 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .45991E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 2.5482 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 15.099 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 15.208 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .29873E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 4.9809 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.0465 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .93731 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+ ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15697.64 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 249 CALLS 1962 TOTAL EDM= .15E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 27.307 27.296 .19162E-03 -1.5603 2 Prefactor 3.5417 4.6353 .53241E-03 -1.5670 3 norm 5.3341 4.3830 .43721E-03 -1.5662 4 norm 1.3147 .91322 .96033E-03 -1.5685 5 norm .94369E-09 13.724 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 89.129 285.82 .99715E-04 -1.5519 7 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.4202 .82286E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .14061 .43044 .12958E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 18.951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 2.5481 .72085 .63940E-03 -1.5676 11 Prefactor 15.007 23.448 .25749E-03 -1.5630 12 Prefactor 15.141 17.962 .25656E-03 -1.5630 13 Prefactor .55511E-09 7.9589 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 4.9789 1.3608 .45037E-03 -1.5663 15 Normalizat 1.0475 .20314 .10680 -.91454 16 Prefactor .93741 .59705E-01 .33896E-01 -.94846 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.53584e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 27.2965 2 4.63534 3 4.383 4 0.913216 5 0.000228118 6 285.868 7 3.8694e-05 8 0.430437 9 6.0893e-05 10 0.720851 11 23.4477 12 17.9618 13 0.000133254 14 1.36081 15 0.203292 16 0.0597092 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15697.64 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 249 CALLS 1962 TOTAL EDM= .15E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 27.307 27.296 .19162E-03 -1.5603 2 Prefactor 3.5417 4.6353 .53241E-03 -1.5670 3 norm 5.3341 4.3830 .43721E-03 -1.5662 4 norm 1.3147 .91322 .96033E-03 -1.5685 5 norm .94369E-09 13.724 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 89.129 285.82 .99715E-04 -1.5519 7 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.4202 .82286E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .14061 .43044 .12958E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 18.951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 2.5481 .72085 .63940E-03 -1.5676 11 Prefactor 15.007 23.448 .25749E-03 -1.5630 12 Prefactor 15.141 17.962 .25656E-03 -1.5630 13 Prefactor .55511E-09 7.9589 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 4.9789 1.3608 .45037E-03 -1.5663 15 Normalizat 1.0475 .20314 .10680 -.91454 16 Prefactor .93741 .59705E-01 .33896E-01 -.94846 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.53584e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 27.2965 2 4.63534 3 4.383 4 0.913216 5 0.000228118 6 285.868 7 3.8694e-05 8 0.430437 9 6.0893e-05 10 0.720851 11 23.4477 12 17.9618 13 0.000133254 14 1.36081 15 0.203292 16 0.0597092 05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15697.64 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 132 CALLS 1713 TOTAL EDM= .42E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.8% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 27.307 27.270 -.63207E-06 .80823E-03 2 Prefactor 3.5417 4.6057 .41192E-06 -.23999E-02 3 norm 5.3341 4.3549 -.52066E-08 -.16691E-02 4 norm 1.3147 .92461 .26915E-07 -.46720E-03 5 norm .94369E-09 14.185 .11649E-05** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 89.129 284.89 -.79081E-06 -.64046E-05 7 Prefactor .11102E-09 22.462 -.31132E-06** at limit ** 8 norm .14061 .42412 .22344E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 18.850 -.28993E-06** at limit ** 10 norm 2.5481 .72085 .15614E-06 -.50035E-01 11 Prefactor 15.007 23.453 .16425E-06 -.95710E-03 12 Prefactor 15.141 17.993 .32944E-06 -.86326E-03 13 Prefactor .55511E-09 7.9554 .86736E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 4.9789 1.3606 .34618E-07 -.50029E-02 15 Normalizat 1.0475 .22205 .13606E-04 -.16493E-03 16 Prefactor .93741 .66401E-01 -.42960E-05 -.13398E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 27.3071 Prefactor = 3.54173 norm = 5.3341 norm = 1.31474 norm = 9.4369e-10 Prefactor = 89.1287 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 norm = 0.140611 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 2.54813 Prefactor = 15.0066 Prefactor = 15.1406 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 norm = 4.97888 Normalizat = 1.04754 Prefactor = 0.937407 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15697.64 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 249 CALLS 1962 TOTAL EDM= .15E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 27.307 27.296 .19162E-03 -1.5603 2 Prefactor 3.5417 4.6353 .53241E-03 -1.5670 3 norm 5.3341 4.3830 .43721E-03 -1.5662 4 norm 1.3147 .91322 .96033E-03 -1.5685 5 norm .94369E-09 13.724 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 89.129 285.82 .99715E-04 -1.5519 7 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.4202 .82286E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .14061 .43044 .12958E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 18.951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 2.5481 .72085 .63940E-03 -1.5676 11 Prefactor 15.007 23.448 .25749E-03 -1.5630 12 Prefactor 15.141 17.962 .25656E-03 -1.5630 13 Prefactor .55511E-09 7.9589 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 4.9789 1.3608 .45037E-03 -1.5663 15 Normalizat 1.0475 .20314 .10680 -.91454 16 Prefactor .93741 .59705E-01 .33896E-01 -.94846 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.53584e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 27.2965 2 4.63534 3 4.383 4 0.913216 5 0.000228118 6 285.868 7 3.8694e-05 8 0.430437 9 6.0893e-05 10 0.720851 11 23.4477 12 17.9618 13 0.000133254 14 1.36081 15 0.203292 16 0.0597092 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15697.6365854 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.406e-01 4.304e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.374e-01 5.971e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.048e+00 2.033e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.13 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.8426896606e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.3665004443e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34218659/likelihoodResults_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15697.6352743 delta logL = 0.00131113490534 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15697.6352314 delta logL = 0.00135398714156 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .14061 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 2.2525 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0470 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93747 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 15697.64 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 90 CALLS 245 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .14056 .43693 .13511E-04** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.2537 1.5251 .67962E-01 .15192E-04 3 Normalizat 1.0470 .21293 .47353E-03 -.21127E-05 4 Prefactor .93748 .64556E-01 .14977E-03 -.18701E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.140561 alpha = 2.25373 Normalizat = 1.04696 Prefactor = 0.937484 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15697.64 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 270 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .14056 .42134 .54043E-06 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 2.2537 1.4824 .27185E-02 -.98670E-01 3 Normalizat 1.0470 .21303 .18941E-04 -.91473 4 Prefactor .93748 .64569E-01 .29954E-04 -.94843 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.31805e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.421342 2 1.58812 3 0.213205 4 0.0645741 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15697.6352311 delta logL = 0.00135432761454 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.406e-01 4.213e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.254e+00 1.588e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.375e-01 6.457e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.047e+00 2.132e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.13 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34218659/cmap_HighResolution_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.37e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.84e-08', time_completed='2026-08-04 22:46:23.787086', job_id='34218659', GAL2='0.94', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.05', EG='1.05', time_epoch_completed='1785908783.79', return_code2='0', ts='0.13', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.94', dlogl='1.35e-03', ts2='0.13', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.17' WHERE bin_id='2191' AND source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 4 22:46:24 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15697.6365854 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.406e-01 4.304e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.374e-01 5.971e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.048e+00 2.033e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.13 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.8426896606e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.3665004443e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34218648/likelihoodResults_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15697.6352743 delta logL = 0.00131113490534 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15697.6352314 delta logL = 0.00135398714156 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .14061 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 2.2525 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0470 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93747 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 15697.64 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 90 CALLS 245 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .14056 .43693 .13511E-04** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.2537 1.5251 .67962E-01 .15192E-04 3 Normalizat 1.0470 .21293 .47353E-03 -.21127E-05 4 Prefactor .93748 .64556E-01 .14977E-03 -.18701E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.140561 alpha = 2.25373 Normalizat = 1.04696 Prefactor = 0.937484 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15697.64 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 270 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .14056 .42134 .54043E-06 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 2.2537 1.4824 .27185E-02 -.98670E-01 3 Normalizat 1.0470 .21303 .18941E-04 -.91473 4 Prefactor .93748 .64569E-01 .29954E-04 -.94843 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.31805e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.421342 2 1.58812 3 0.213205 4 0.0645741 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15697.6352311 delta logL = 0.00135432761454 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.406e-01 4.213e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.254e+00 1.588e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.375e-01 6.457e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.047e+00 2.132e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.13 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34218648/cmap_HighResolution_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.37e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.84e-08', time_completed='2026-08-04 22:46:31.004527', job_id='34218648', GAL2='0.94', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.05', EG='1.05', time_epoch_completed='1785908791.0', return_code2='0', ts='0.13', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.94', dlogl='1.35e-03', ts2='0.13', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.17' WHERE bin_id='2191' AND source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 4 22:46:31 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15697.6365854 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.406e-01 4.304e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.374e-01 5.971e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.048e+00 2.033e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.13 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.8426896606e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.3665004443e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34218672/likelihoodResults_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15697.6352743 delta logL = 0.00131113490534 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15697.6352314 delta logL = 0.00135398714156 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .14061 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 2.2525 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0470 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93747 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 15697.64 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 90 CALLS 245 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .14056 .43693 .13511E-04** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.2537 1.5251 .67962E-01 .15192E-04 3 Normalizat 1.0470 .21293 .47353E-03 -.21127E-05 4 Prefactor .93748 .64556E-01 .14977E-03 -.18701E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.140561 alpha = 2.25373 Normalizat = 1.04696 Prefactor = 0.937484 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15697.64 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 270 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .14056 .42134 .54043E-06 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 2.2537 1.4824 .27185E-02 -.98670E-01 3 Normalizat 1.0470 .21303 .18941E-04 -.91473 4 Prefactor .93748 .64569E-01 .29954E-04 -.94843 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.31805e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.421342 2 1.58812 3 0.213205 4 0.0645741 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15697.6352311 delta logL = 0.00135432761454 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.406e-01 4.213e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.254e+00 1.588e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.375e-01 6.457e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.047e+00 2.132e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.13 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34218672/cmap_HighResolution_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.37e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.84e-08', time_completed='2026-08-04 22:46:50.498407', job_id='34218672', GAL2='0.94', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.05', EG='1.05', time_epoch_completed='1785908810.5', return_code2='0', ts='0.13', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.94', dlogl='1.35e-03', ts2='0.13', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.17' WHERE bin_id='2191' AND source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 4 22:46:50 PDT 2026 t1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits.....................! real 96.33 user 94.50 sys 0.64 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/34218783/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2157.5+3127' 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.006e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/34218783/expmap_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/34218783/ltcube_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/34218783/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15697.6411062 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15697.6406788 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 27.243 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 3.5987 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 5.2792 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.3149 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .11228E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 100.58 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .11469 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .14008 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .45991E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 2.5482 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 15.099 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 15.208 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .29873E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 4.9809 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.0465 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .93731 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15697.64 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 132 CALLS 1713 TOTAL EDM= .42E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.8% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 27.307 27.270 -.63207E-06 .80823E-03 2 Prefactor 3.5417 4.6057 .41192E-06 -.23999E-02 3 norm 5.3341 4.3549 -.52066E-08 -.16691E-02 4 norm 1.3147 .92461 .26915E-07 -.46720E-03 5 norm .94369E-09 14.185 .11649E-05** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 89.129 284.89 -.79081E-06 -.64046E-05 7 Prefactor .11102E-09 22.462 -.31132E-06** at limit ** 8 norm .14061 .42412 .22344E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 18.850 -.28993E-06** at limit ** 10 norm 2.5481 .72085 .15614E-06 -.50035E-01 11 Prefactor 15.007 23.453 .16425E-06 -.95710E-03 12 Prefactor 15.141 17.993 .32944E-06 -.86326E-03 13 Prefactor .55511E-09 7.9554 .86736E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 4.9789 1.3606 .34618E-07 -.50029E-02 15 Normalizat 1.0475 .22205 .13606E-04 -.16493E-03 16 Prefactor .93741 .66401E-01 -.42960E-05 -.13398E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 27.3071 Prefactor = 3.54173 norm = 5.3341 norm = 1.31474 norm = 9.4369e-10 Prefactor = 89.1287 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 norm = 0.140611 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 2.54813 Prefactor = 15.0066 Prefactor = 15.1406 Prefactor = 5.55112e-10 norm = 4.97888 Normalizat = 1.04754 Prefactor = 0.937407 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15697.64 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 249 CALLS 1962 TOTAL EDM= .15E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 27.307 27.296 .19162E-03 -1.5603 2 Prefactor 3.5417 4.6353 .53241E-03 -1.5670 3 norm 5.3341 4.3830 .43721E-03 -1.5662 4 norm 1.3147 .91322 .96033E-03 -1.5685 5 norm .94369E-09 13.724 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 89.129 285.82 .99715E-04 -1.5519 7 Prefactor .11102E-09 4.4202 .82286E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .14061 .43044 .12958E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 18.951 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 2.5481 .72085 .63940E-03 -1.5676 11 Prefactor 15.007 23.448 .25749E-03 -1.5630 12 Prefactor 15.141 17.962 .25656E-03 -1.5630 13 Prefactor .55511E-09 7.9589 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 4.9789 1.3608 .45037E-03 -1.5663 15 Normalizat 1.0475 .20314 .10680 -.91454 16 Prefactor .93741 .59705E-01 .33896E-01 -.94846 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.53584e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 27.2965 2 4.63534 3 4.383 4 0.913216 5 0.000228118 6 285.868 7 3.8694e-05 8 0.430437 9 6.0893e-05 10 0.720851 11 23.4477 12 17.9618 13 0.000133254 14 1.36081 15 0.203292 16 0.0597092 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15697.6365854 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.406e-01 4.304e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.374e-01 5.971e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.048e+00 2.033e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.13 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.8426896606e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.3665004443e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/34218783/likelihoodResults_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15697.6352743 delta logL = 0.00131113490534 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15697.6352314 delta logL = 0.00135398714156 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .14061 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 2.2525 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0470 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93747 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 15697.64 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 90 CALLS 245 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .14056 .43693 .13511E-04** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.2537 1.5251 .67962E-01 .15192E-04 3 Normalizat 1.0470 .21293 .47353E-03 -.21127E-05 4 Prefactor .93748 .64556E-01 .14977E-03 -.18701E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.140561 alpha = 2.25373 Normalizat = 1.04696 Prefactor = 0.937484 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15697.64 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 270 TOTAL EDM= .13E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .14056 .42134 .54043E-06 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 2.2537 1.4824 .27185E-02 -.98670E-01 3 Normalizat 1.0470 .21303 .18941E-04 -.91473 4 Prefactor .93748 .64569E-01 .29954E-04 -.94843 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.31805e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.421342 2 1.58812 3 0.213205 4 0.0645741 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15697.6352311 delta logL = 0.00135432761454 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.406e-01 4.213e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.254e+00 1.588e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.375e-01 6.457e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.047e+00 2.132e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.13 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/34218783/cmap_HighResolution_807235201_807494401_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2191.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.37e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.84e-08', time_completed='2026-08-04 22:49:21.197852', job_id='34218783', GAL2='0.94', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.05', EG='1.05', time_epoch_completed='1785908961.2', return_code2='0', ts='0.13', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.94', dlogl='1.35e-03', ts2='0.13', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.17' WHERE bin_id='2191' AND source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Aug 4 22:49:21 PDT 2026