+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11373.03 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 114 CALLS 857 TOTAL EDM= .27E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 5.6% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .46629E-08 72.887 .25177E-05** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 6.4151 4.8559 -.65408E-07 -.27671E-02 3 norm .16653E-09 5.9934 -.11112E-06** at limit ** 4 norm 1.9064 1.7354 -.49330E-07 .92059E-02 5 norm 16.206 6.5122 .14546E-05 .74649E-02 6 Prefactor .28866E-08 50.619 -.12582E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 1.8434 6.7597 .10100E-05 -.88874E-03 8 norm .91855 .63082 -.11720E-06 .36133E-02 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 134.79 .97372E-05** at limit ** 10 norm 6.1595 1.1226 -.13070E-06 .33783E-02 11 Prefactor .27756E-09 9.8932 -.91981E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 14.293 10.588 -.25033E-05 .42071E-02 13 Prefactor .0000 8.0719 -.23091E-05** at limit ** 14 norm 2.6307 1.1974 .12417E-06 .34287E-03 15 Normalizat 1.1984 .23616 -.34490E-04 .18155E-03 16 Prefactor .94775 .79817E-01 .19702E-04 .53506E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.66294e-09 Prefactor = 6.41508 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 1.90636 norm = 16.2055 Prefactor = 2.88658e-09 Prefactor = 1.84344 norm = 0.91855 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 6.15946 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 14.293 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.63075 Normalizat = 1.19842 Prefactor = 0.947753 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11373.03 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 233 CALLS 1090 TOTAL EDM= .60E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .46629E-08 72.611 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 6.4151 4.8720 .39600E-03 -1.5657 3 norm .16653E-09 5.9835 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 1.9064 1.7494 .75269E-03 -1.5680 5 norm 16.206 12.272 .24824E-03 -1.5627 6 Prefactor .28866E-08 50.740 .85473E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 1.8434 6.7762 .76533E-03 -1.5681 8 norm .91855 .63379 .44507E-03 -1.5689 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 133.37 .88388E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 6.1595 1.1225 .40427E-03 -1.5658 11 Prefactor .27756E-09 9.9053 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 14.293 12.445 .26563E-03 -1.5632 13 Prefactor .0000 8.0889 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 2.6307 1.1964 .62839E-03 -1.5676 15 Normalizat 1.1984 .20991 .95208E-01 -.86652 16 Prefactor .94775 .70347E-01 .45610E-01 -.94492 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.02342e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00116496 2 4.87205 3 6.29752e-05 4 1.74938 5 12.2722 6 0.00076378 7 6.77619 8 0.633788 9 0.000159187 10 1.12253 11 0.000107264 12 12.4445 13 1.45039e-05 14 1.1964 15 0.210061 16 0.0703541 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11373.03 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 233 CALLS 1090 TOTAL EDM= .60E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .46629E-08 72.611 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 6.4151 4.8720 .39600E-03 -1.5657 3 norm .16653E-09 5.9835 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 1.9064 1.7494 .75269E-03 -1.5680 5 norm 16.206 12.272 .24824E-03 -1.5627 6 Prefactor .28866E-08 50.740 .85473E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 1.8434 6.7762 .76533E-03 -1.5681 8 norm .91855 .63379 .44507E-03 -1.5689 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 133.37 .88388E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 6.1595 1.1225 .40427E-03 -1.5658 11 Prefactor .27756E-09 9.9053 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 14.293 12.445 .26563E-03 -1.5632 13 Prefactor .0000 8.0889 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 2.6307 1.1964 .62839E-03 -1.5676 15 Normalizat 1.1984 .20991 .95208E-01 -.86652 16 Prefactor .94775 .70347E-01 .45610E-01 -.94492 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.02342e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00116496 2 4.87205 3 6.29752e-05 4 1.74938 5 12.2722 6 0.00076378 7 6.77619 8 0.633788 9 0.000159187 10 1.12253 11 0.000107264 12 12.4445 13 1.45039e-05 14 1.1964 15 0.210061 16 0.0703541 WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11373.0295932 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 9.185e-01 6.338e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.478e-01 7.035e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.198e+00 2.101e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 4.29 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.17 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 3.99e-08 +/- 2.76e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.62e-05 +/- 1.12e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11371.6976916 delta logL = 1.33190167222 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11371.6884723 delta logL = 1.3411209112 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .92239 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.3072 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2164 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .94436 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11371.69 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 51 CALLS 199 TOTAL EDM= .10E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .92352 .56086 .44224E-03 -.47014E-03 2 alpha 1.3078 .35003 .41849 -.62589E-04 3 Normalizat 1.2163 .20385 .94566E-01 .28504E-04 4 Prefactor .94437 .69164E-01 .45568E-01 -.65622E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.923516 alpha = 1.30783 Normalizat = 1.21631 Prefactor = 0.944369 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11371.69 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 232 TOTAL EDM= .29E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .92352 .65441 .60609E-05 -1.5689 2 alpha 1.3078 .45405 .16628E-01 -.49709 3 Normalizat 1.2163 .22966 .41892E-03 -.86100 4 Prefactor .94437 .78137E-01 .15814E-03 -.94608 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.85671e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.654413 2 0.457346 3 0.229853 4 0.0781459 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11371.6884708 delta logL = 1.34112245302 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 9.235e-01 6.544e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 1.308e+00 4.573e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.444e-01 7.815e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.216e+00 2.299e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 6.97 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.31 +/- 0.46 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.37e-08 +/- 1.72e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.40e-05 +/- 3.90e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31914588/cmap_HighResolution_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='3.99e-08', energy_flux2='4.40e-05', photon_flux_error='2.76e-08', dlogl='1.34e+00', energy_flux='1.62e-05', photon_flux2='2.37e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-16 10:31:53.907877', photon_index_error2='0.46', photon_index2='1.31', ts='4.29', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.95', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='3.90e-05', EG='1.20', time_epoch_completed='1784223113.91', return_code='0', job_id='31914588', GAL2='0.94', EG2='1.22', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.12e-05', photon_flux_error2='1.72e-08', ts2='6.97', photon_index='2.17' WHERE bin_id='2183' AND source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 16 10:31:54 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11373.0295932 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 9.185e-01 6.338e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.478e-01 7.035e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.198e+00 2.101e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 4.29 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.17 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 3.99e-08 +/- 2.76e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.62e-05 +/- 1.12e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11371.6976916 delta logL = 1.33190167222 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11371.6884723 delta logL = 1.3411209112 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .92239 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.3072 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2164 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .94436 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11371.69 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 51 CALLS 199 TOTAL EDM= .10E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .92352 .56086 .44224E-03 -.47014E-03 2 alpha 1.3078 .35003 .41849 -.62589E-04 3 Normalizat 1.2163 .20385 .94566E-01 .28504E-04 4 Prefactor .94437 .69164E-01 .45568E-01 -.65622E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.923516 alpha = 1.30783 Normalizat = 1.21631 Prefactor = 0.944369 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11371.69 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 232 TOTAL EDM= .29E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .92352 .65441 .60609E-05 -1.5689 2 alpha 1.3078 .45405 .16628E-01 -.49709 3 Normalizat 1.2163 .22966 .41892E-03 -.86100 4 Prefactor .94437 .78137E-01 .15814E-03 -.94608 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.85671e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.654413 2 0.457346 3 0.229853 4 0.0781459 number of points = 7570 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183 RA = 329.386, Dec = 31.4552 tmin = 805161601, tmax = 805420801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31915058', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-16 10:29:28.162731', time_epoch_executed='1784222968.16' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2183' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31915058 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31915058/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=805161601.0 && nMetStart<805420801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=805161601.0 && nMetStart<805420801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ft1_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=805161601.0 && nMetStart<805420801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ft1_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits ra=329.386 dec=31.4552 rad=12.0 tmin=805161601.0 tmax=805420801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.86 user 2.14 sys 0.16 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.94 user 0.19 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1117 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits sctable="SC_DATA" oshell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11371.6884708 delta logL = 1.34112245302 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 9.235e-01 6.544e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 1.308e+00 4.573e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.444e-01 7.815e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.216e+00 2.299e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 6.97 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.31 +/- 0.46 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.37e-08 +/- 1.72e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.40e-05 +/- 3.90e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31914586/cmap_HighResolution_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='3.99e-08', energy_flux2='4.40e-05', photon_flux_error='2.76e-08', dlogl='1.34e+00', energy_flux='1.62e-05', photon_flux2='2.37e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-16 10:32:00.330362', photon_index_error2='0.46', photon_index2='1.31', ts='4.29', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.95', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='3.90e-05', EG='1.20', time_epoch_completed='1784223120.33', return_code='0', job_id='31914586', GAL2='0.94', EG2='1.22', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.12e-05', photon_flux_error2='1.72e-08', ts2='6.97', photon_index='2.17' WHERE bin_id='2183' AND source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 16 10:32:00 PDT 2026 number of points = 7570 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183 RA = 329.386, Dec = 31.4552 tmin = 805161601, tmax = 805420801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31915142', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-16 10:30:32.415376', time_epoch_executed='1784223032.42' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2183' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31915142 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31915142/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=805161601.0 && nMetStart<805420801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=805161601.0 && nMetStart<805420801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ft1_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=805161601.0 && nMetStart<805420801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ft1_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits ra=329.386 dec=31.4552 rad=12.0 tmin=805161601.0 tmax=805420801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.97 user 1.99 sys 0.21 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.83 user 0.19 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1117 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits .....................! real 11.12 user 10.14 sys 0.33 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/expmap_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits .....................! real 76.70 user 70.88 sys 4.46 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source Cygnus Loop in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CygnusLoop.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source gamma Cygni in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Cocoon in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Added 186 point sources and 3 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2157.5+3127 @ 329.386 31.4552 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/cmap_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.386 yref=31.4552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.95 user 0.25 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/cmap_HighResolution_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.386 yref=31.4552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.90 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/3191505utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits .....................! real 8.47 user 7.72 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/expmap_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits .....................! real 67.88 user 62.84 sys 4.12 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source Cygnus Loop in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CygnusLoop.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source gamma Cygni in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Cocoon in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Added 186 point sources and 3 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2157.5+3127 @ 329.386 31.4552 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/cmap_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.386 yref=31.4552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.79 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/cmap_HighResolution_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.386 yref=31.4552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.86 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/number of points = 7570 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183 RA = 329.386, Dec = 31.4552 tmin = 805161601, tmax = 805420801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31915246', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-16 10:31:46.808160', time_epoch_executed='1784223106.81' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2183' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31915246 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31915246/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=805161601.0 && nMetStart<805420801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=805161601.0 && nMetStart<805420801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ft1_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=805161601.0 && nMetStart<805420801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ft1_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits ra=329.386 dec=31.4552 rad=12.0 tmin=805161601.0 tmax=805420801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.48 user 1.76 sys 0.15 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.85 user 0.17 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1117 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits .....................! real 7.17 user 6.49 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/expmap_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits .....................! real 59.69 user 55.39 sys 3.56 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source Cygnus Loop in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CygnusLoop.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source gamma Cygni in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Cocoon in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Added 186 point sources and 3 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2157.5+3127 @ 329.386 31.4552 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/cmap_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.386 yref=31.4552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.81 user 0.21 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/cmap_HighResolution_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=329.386 yref=31.4552 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.86 user 0.20 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/8/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits.....................! real 78.41 user 76.13 sys 1.07 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/expmap_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31915058/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2157.5+3127' 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.006e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31915058/expmap_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31915058/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31915058/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11373.1761823 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11373.0359357 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .10421E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 6.4161 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .13565E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.9067 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 16.243 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .43559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 1.8537 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .91824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .40955 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 6.1596 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .73518E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 14.191 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .49155E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 2.6312 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.1986 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .94766 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11373.03 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 114 CALLS 857 TOTAL EDM= .27E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 5.6% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .46629E-08 72.887 .25177E-05** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 6.4151 4.8559 -.65408E-07 -.27671E-02 3 norm .16653E-09 5.9934 -.11112E-06** at limit ** 4 norm 1.9064 1.7354 -.49330E-07 .92059E-02 5 norm 16.206 6.5122 .14546E-05 .74649E-02 6 Prefactor .28866E-08 50.619 -.12582E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 1.8434 6.7597 .10100E-05 -.88874E-03 8 norm .91855 .63082 -.11720E-06 .36133E-02 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 134.79 .97372E-05** at limit ** 10 norm 6.1595 1.1226 -.13070E-06 .33783E-02 11 Prefactor .27756E-09 9.8932 -.91981E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 14.293 10.588 -.25033E-05 .42071E-02 13 Prefactor .0000 8.0719 -.23091E-05** at limit ** 14 norm 2.6307 1.1974 .12417E-06 .34287E-03 15 Normalizat 1.1984 .23616 -.34490E-04 .18155E-03 16 Prefactor .94775 .79817E-01 .19702E-04 .53506E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.66294e-09 Prefactor = 6.41508 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 1.90636 norm = 16.2055 Prefactor = 2.88658e-09 Prefactor = 1.84344 norm = 0.91855 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 6.15946 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 14.293 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.63075 Normalizat = 1.19842 Prefactor = 0.947753 ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits.....................! real 69.77 user 67.47 sys 1.37 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/expmap_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31915142/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2157.5+3127' 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.006e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31915142/expmap_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31915142/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31915142/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11373.1761823 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11373.0359357 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .10421E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 6.4161 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .13565E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.9067 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 16.243 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .43559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 1.8537 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .91824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .40955 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 6.1596 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .73518E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 14.191 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .49155E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 2.6312 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.1986 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .94766 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11373.03 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 233 CALLS 1090 TOTAL EDM= .60E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .46629E-08 72.611 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 6.4151 4.8720 .39600E-03 -1.5657 3 norm .16653E-09 5.9835 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 1.9064 1.7494 .75269E-03 -1.5680 5 norm 16.206 12.272 .24824E-03 -1.5627 6 Prefactor .28866E-08 50.740 .85473E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 1.8434 6.7762 .76533E-03 -1.5681 8 norm .91855 .63379 .44507E-03 -1.5689 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 133.37 .88388E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 6.1595 1.1225 .40427E-03 -1.5658 11 Prefactor .27756E-09 9.9053 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 14.293 12.445 .26563E-03 -1.5632 13 Prefactor .0000 8.0889 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 2.6307 1.1964 .62839E-03 -1.5676 15 Normalizat 1.1984 .20991 .95208E-01 -.86652 16 Prefactor .94775 .70347E-01 .45610E-01 -.94492 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.02342e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00116496 2 4.87205 3 6.29752e-05 4 1.74938 5 12.2722 6 0.00076378 7 6.77619 8 0.633788 9 0.000159187 10 1.12253 11 0.000107264 12 12.4445 13 1.45039e-05 14 1.1964 15 0.210061 16 0.0703541 +05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11373.03 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 114 CALLS 857 TOTAL EDM= .27E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 5.6% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .46629E-08 72.887 .25177E-05** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 6.4151 4.8559 -.65408E-07 -.27671E-02 3 norm .16653E-09 5.9934 -.11112E-06** at limit ** 4 norm 1.9064 1.7354 -.49330E-07 .92059E-02 5 norm 16.206 6.5122 .14546E-05 .74649E-02 6 Prefactor .28866E-08 50.619 -.12582E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 1.8434 6.7597 .10100E-05 -.88874E-03 8 norm .91855 .63082 -.11720E-06 .36133E-02 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 134.79 .97372E-05** at limit ** 10 norm 6.1595 1.1226 -.13070E-06 .33783E-02 11 Prefactor .27756E-09 9.8932 -.91981E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 14.293 10.588 -.25033E-05 .42071E-02 13 Prefactor .0000 8.0719 -.23091E-05** at limit ** 14 norm 2.6307 1.1974 .12417E-06 .34287E-03 15 Normalizat 1.1984 .23616 -.34490E-04 .18155E-03 16 Prefactor .94775 .79817E-01 .19702E-04 .53506E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.66294e-09 Prefactor = 6.41508 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 1.90636 norm = 16.2055 Prefactor = 2.88658e-09 Prefactor = 1.84344 norm = 0.91855 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 6.15946 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 14.293 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.63075 Normalizat = 1.19842 Prefactor = 0.947753 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11373.0295932 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 9.185e-01 6.338e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.478e-01 7.035e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.198e+00 2.101e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 4.29 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.17 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 3.99e-08 +/- 2.76e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.62e-05 +/- 1.12e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11371.6976916 delta logL = 1.33190167222 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11371.6884723 delta logL = 1.3411209112 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .92239 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.3072 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2164 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .94436 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11371.69 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 51 CALLS 199 TOTAL EDM= .10E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .92352 .56086 .44224E-03 -.47014E-03 2 alpha 1.3078 .35003 .41849 -.62589E-04 3 Normalizat 1.2163 .20385 .94566E-01 .28504E-04 4 Prefactor .94437 .69164E-01 .45568E-01 -.65622E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.923516 alpha = 1.30783 Normalizat = 1.21631 Prefactor = 0.944369 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11371.69 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 232 TOTAL EDM= .29E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .92352 .65441 .60609E-05 -1.5689 2 alpha 1.3078 .45405 .16628E-01 -.49709 3 Normalizat 1.2163 .22966 .41892E-03 -.86100 4 Prefactor .94437 .78137E-01 .15814E-03 -.94608 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.85671e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.654413 2 0.457346 3 0.229853 4 0.0781459 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11371.6884708 delta logL = 1.34112245302 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 9.235e-01 6.544e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 1.308e+00 4.573e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.444e-01 7.815e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.216e+00 2.299e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 6.97 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.31 +/- 0.46 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.37e-08 +/- 1.72e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.40e-05 +/- 3.90e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31915058/cmap_HighResolution_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='3.99e-08', energy_flux2='4.40e-05', photon_flux_error='2.76e-08', dlogl='1.34e+00', energy_flux='1.62e-05', photon_flux2='2.37e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-16 10:36:55.671719', photon_index_error2='0.46', photon_index2='1.31', ts='4.29', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.95', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='3.90e-05', EG='1.20', time_epoch_completed='1784223415.67', return_code='0', job_id='31915058', GAL2='0.94', EG2='1.22', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.12e-05', photon_flux_error2='1.72e-08', ts2='6.97', photon_index='2.17' WHERE bin_id='2183' AND source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 16 10:36:56 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11373.03 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 233 CALLS 1090 TOTAL EDM= .60E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .46629E-08 72.611 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 6.4151 4.8720 .39600E-03 -1.5657 3 norm .16653E-09 5.9835 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 1.9064 1.7494 .75269E-03 -1.5680 5 norm 16.206 12.272 .24824E-03 -1.5627 6 Prefactor .28866E-08 50.740 .85473E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 1.8434 6.7762 .76533E-03 -1.5681 8 norm .91855 .63379 .44507E-03 -1.5689 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 133.37 .88388E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 6.1595 1.1225 .40427E-03 -1.5658 11 Prefactor .27756E-09 9.9053 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 14.293 12.445 .26563E-03 -1.5632 13 Prefactor .0000 8.0889 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 2.6307 1.1964 .62839E-03 -1.5676 15 Normalizat 1.1984 .20991 .95208E-01 -.86652 16 Prefactor .94775 .70347E-01 .45610E-01 -.94492 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.02342e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00116496 2 4.87205 3 6.29752e-05 4 1.74938 5 12.2722 6 0.00076378 7 6.77619 8 0.633788 9 0.000159187 10 1.12253 11 0.000107264 12 12.4445 13 1.45039e-05 14 1.1964 15 0.210061 16 0.0703541 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11373.0295932 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 9.185e-01 6.338e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.478e-01 7.035e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.198e+00 2.101e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 4.29 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.17 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 3.99e-08 +/- 2.76e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.62e-05 +/- 1.12e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11371.6976916 delta logL = 1.33190167222 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11371.6884723 delta logL = 1.3411209112 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .92239 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.3072 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2164 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .94436 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11371.69 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 51 CALLS 199 TOTAL EDM= .10E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .92352 .56086 .44224E-03 -.47014E-03 2 alpha 1.3078 .35003 .41849 -.62589E-04 3 Normalizat 1.2163 .20385 .94566E-01 .28504E-04 4 Prefactor .94437 .69164E-01 .45568E-01 -.65622E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.923516 alpha = 1.30783 Normalizat = 1.21631 Prefactor = 0.944369 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11371.69 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 232 TOTAL EDM= .29E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .92352 .65441 .60609E-05 -1.5689 2 alpha 1.3078 .45405 .16628E-01 -.49709 3 Normalizat 1.2163 .22966 .41892E-03 -.86100 4 Prefactor .94437 .78137E-01 .15814E-03 -.94608 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.85671e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.654413 2 0.457346 3 0.229853 4 0.0781459 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11371.6884708 delta logL = 1.34112245302 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 9.235e-01 6.544e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 1.308e+00 4.573e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.444e-01 7.815e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.216e+00 2.299e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 6.97 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.31 +/- 0.46 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.37e-08 +/- 1.72e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.40e-05 +/- 3.90e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31915142/cmap_HighResolution_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='3.99e-08', energy_flux2='4.40e-05', photon_flux_error='2.76e-08', dlogl='1.34e+00', energy_flux='1.62e-05', photon_flux2='2.37e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-16 10:37:14.345139', photon_index_error2='0.46', photon_index2='1.31', ts='4.29', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.95', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='3.90e-05', EG='1.20', time_epoch_completed='1784223434.35', return_code='0', job_id='31915142', GAL2='0.94', EG2='1.22', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.12e-05', photon_flux_error2='1.72e-08', ts2='6.97', photon_index='2.17' WHERE bin_id='2183' AND source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 16 10:37:14 PDT 2026 ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits.....................! real 61.08 user 59.40 sys 0.87 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/expmap_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31915246/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2157.5+3127' 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 1.006e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ft2_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31915246/expmap_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31915246/ltcube_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31915246/Model_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11373.1761823 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11373.0359357 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .10421E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 6.4161 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .13565E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.9067 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 16.243 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .43559 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 1.8537 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .91824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .40955 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 6.1596 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .73518E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 14.191 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .49155E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 2.6312 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.1986 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .94766 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 11373.03 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 114 CALLS 857 TOTAL EDM= .27E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 5.6% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .46629E-08 72.887 .25177E-05** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 6.4151 4.8559 -.65408E-07 -.27671E-02 3 norm .16653E-09 5.9934 -.11112E-06** at limit ** 4 norm 1.9064 1.7354 -.49330E-07 .92059E-02 5 norm 16.206 6.5122 .14546E-05 .74649E-02 6 Prefactor .28866E-08 50.619 -.12582E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 1.8434 6.7597 .10100E-05 -.88874E-03 8 norm .91855 .63082 -.11720E-06 .36133E-02 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 134.79 .97372E-05** at limit ** 10 norm 6.1595 1.1226 -.13070E-06 .33783E-02 11 Prefactor .27756E-09 9.8932 -.91981E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 14.293 10.588 -.25033E-05 .42071E-02 13 Prefactor .0000 8.0719 -.23091E-05** at limit ** 14 norm 2.6307 1.1974 .12417E-06 .34287E-03 15 Normalizat 1.1984 .23616 -.34490E-04 .18155E-03 16 Prefactor .94775 .79817E-01 .19702E-04 .53506E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 4.66294e-09 Prefactor = 6.41508 norm = 1.66533e-10 norm = 1.90636 norm = 16.2055 Prefactor = 2.88658e-09 Prefactor = 1.84344 norm = 0.91855 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 6.15946 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 14.293 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.63075 Normalizat = 1.19842 Prefactor = 0.947753 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11373.03 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 233 CALLS 1090 TOTAL EDM= .60E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .46629E-08 72.611 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 6.4151 4.8720 .39600E-03 -1.5657 3 norm .16653E-09 5.9835 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 1.9064 1.7494 .75269E-03 -1.5680 5 norm 16.206 12.272 .24824E-03 -1.5627 6 Prefactor .28866E-08 50.740 .85473E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 1.8434 6.7762 .76533E-03 -1.5681 8 norm .91855 .63379 .44507E-03 -1.5689 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 133.37 .88388E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 norm 6.1595 1.1225 .40427E-03 -1.5658 11 Prefactor .27756E-09 9.9053 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 14.293 12.445 .26563E-03 -1.5632 13 Prefactor .0000 8.0889 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 2.6307 1.1964 .62839E-03 -1.5676 15 Normalizat 1.1984 .20991 .95208E-01 -.86652 16 Prefactor .94775 .70347E-01 .45610E-01 -.94492 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.02342e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00116496 2 4.87205 3 6.29752e-05 4 1.74938 5 12.2722 6 0.00076378 7 6.77619 8 0.633788 9 0.000159187 10 1.12253 11 0.000107264 12 12.4445 13 1.45039e-05 14 1.1964 15 0.210061 16 0.0703541 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 11373.0295932 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 9.185e-01 6.338e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 2.171e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.478e-01 7.035e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.198e+00 2.101e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 4.29 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.17 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 3.99e-08 +/- 2.76e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.62e-05 +/- 1.12e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11371.6976916 delta logL = 1.33190167222 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11371.6884723 delta logL = 1.3411209112 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .92239 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.3072 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2164 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .94436 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6630E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 11371.69 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 51 CALLS 199 TOTAL EDM= .10E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .92352 .56086 .44224E-03 -.47014E-03 2 alpha 1.3078 .35003 .41849 -.62589E-04 3 Normalizat 1.2163 .20385 .94566E-01 .28504E-04 4 Prefactor .94437 .69164E-01 .45568E-01 -.65622E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.923516 alpha = 1.30783 Normalizat = 1.21631 Prefactor = 0.944369 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 11371.69 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 232 TOTAL EDM= .29E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .92352 .65441 .60609E-05 -1.5689 2 alpha 1.3078 .45405 .16628E-01 -.49709 3 Normalizat 1.2163 .22966 .41892E-03 -.86100 4 Prefactor .94437 .78137E-01 .15814E-03 -.94608 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.85671e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.654413 2 0.457346 3 0.229853 4 0.0781459 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 11371.6884708 delta logL = 1.34112245302 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2157.5+3127 Spectrum: LogParabola 368 norm: 9.235e-01 6.544e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 369 alpha: 1.308e+00 4.573e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 370 beta: 1.366e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 371 Eb: 6.818e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 656 Prefactor: 9.444e-01 7.815e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 657 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 658 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 655 Normalization: 1.216e+00 2.299e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 6.97 Ra Dec: 329.386 31.455 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.31 +/- 0.46 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.37e-08 +/- 1.72e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 4.40e-05 +/- 3.90e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31915246/cmap_HighResolution_805161601_805420801_4FGL_J2157.5+3127_daily_bin2183.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='3.99e-08', energy_flux2='4.40e-05', photon_flux_error='2.76e-08', dlogl='1.34e+00', energy_flux='1.62e-05', photon_flux2='2.37e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-16 10:38:20.460677', photon_index_error2='0.46', photon_index2='1.31', ts='4.29', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.95', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='3.90e-05', EG='1.20', time_epoch_completed='1784223500.46', return_code='0', job_id='31915246', GAL2='0.94', EG2='1.22', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.12e-05', photon_flux_error2='1.72e-08', ts2='6.97', photon_index='2.17' WHERE bin_id='2183' AND source_name='4FGL J2157.5+3127' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 16 10:38:21 PDT 2026