********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6536.366 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 367 CALLS 2026 TOTAL EDM= .42E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .29365E-07 18.689 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 16.636 17.754 .24508E-03 -1.5626 3 Prefactor 13.225 32.776 .28687E-03 -1.5635 4 Prefactor .0000 1.3519 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 2.1829 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .16653E-09 11.238 .83067E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 37.494 28.133 .16455E-03 -1.5585 8 norm .0000 2.4237 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 17.179 8.6454 .24214E-03 -1.5625 10 Prefactor 14.008 10.007 .26843E-03 -1.5633 11 Prefactor 2.0168 77.742 .69468E-03 -1.5680 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 14.445 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 13.527 17.493 .27189E-03 -1.5634 14 Prefactor 8.8141 11.653 .34354E-03 -1.5649 15 Prefactor 2.8522 3.2038 .59897E-03 -1.5674 16 Prefactor .29865E-07 16.210 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .55511E-10 .98390 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 74.712 81.060 .11673E-03 -1.5535 19 norm .98528 .81877 .43165E-03 -1.5688 20 Normalizat 1.1690 .23649 .70012E-01 -.87565 21 Prefactor .91368 .13085 .45178E-01 -.95665 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.18193e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00148143 2 17.7536 3 32.7766 4 3.09647e-06 5 3.13051e-05 6 8.83807e-05 7 28.1326 8 5.57446e-06 9 8.64543 10 10.0066 11 25.0434 12 6.88836e-05 13 17.4933 14 11.6534 15 3.20381 16 0.00139217 17 1.69096e-05 18 81.0616 19 0.818768 20 0.236703 21 0.130893 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6536.36621046 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2153.8-1137 Spectrum: PowerLaw 284 Prefactor: 1.718e+01 8.645e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 285 Index: 2.552e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 286 Scale: 6.399e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 9.137e-01 1.309e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.169e+00 2.367e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 7.69 Ra Dec: 328.461 -11.631 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.55 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 1.26e-07 +/- 6.36e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 3.47e-05 +/- 1.75e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6535.92098444 delta logL = 0.445226020409 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6535.90733134 delta logL = 0.458879119063 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 12.724 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.1111 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0897 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .94463 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6535.907 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 54 CALLS 233 TOTAL EDM= .58E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 12.731 79.383 .28056E-03 .22817E-02 2 Index 3.1106 3.3082 .13353 .14609E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0897 .11711 .72075E-01 -.25036E-04 4 Prefactor .94463 .56137E-01 .45571E-01 -.69839E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 12.7312 Index = 3.11061 Normalizat = 1.08971 Prefactor = 0.94463 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6535.907 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 266 TOTAL EDM= .23E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 12.731 9.5700 .11222E-04 -1.5637 2 Index 3.1106 .66079 .50942E-02 -.38750 3 Normalizat 1.0897 .27652 .31894E-03 -.90083 4 Prefactor .94463 .15879 .20206E-03 -.94599 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.26501e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.57005 2 0.663054 3 0.276888 4 0.158872 WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6535.90733095 delta logL = 0.45887951164 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2153.8-1137 Spectrum: PowerLaw 284 Prefactor: 1.273e+01 9.570e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 285 Index: 3.111e+00 6.631e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 286 Scale: 6.399e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 9.446e-01 1.589e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.090e+00 2.769e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.87 Ra Dec: 328.461 -11.631 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.11 +/- 0.66 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.94e-07 +/- 1.02e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 3.69e-05 +/- 1.59e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31910439/cmap_HighResolution_804124801_804384001_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='1.26e-07', energy_flux2='3.69e-05', photon_flux_error='6.36e-08', dlogl='4.59e-01', energy_flux='3.47e-05', photon_flux2='1.94e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-16 09:42:30.520889', photon_index_error2='0.66', photon_index2='3.11', ts='7.69', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.91', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='1.59e-05', EG='1.17', time_epoch_completed='1784220150.52', return_code='0', job_id='31910439', GAL2='0.94', EG2='1.09', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.75e-05', photon_flux_error2='1.02e-07', ts2='8.87', photon_index='2.55' WHERE bin_id='2179' AND source_name='4FGL J2153.8-1137' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 16 09:42:30 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31910448/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits.....................! real 26.40 user 24.84 sys 1.07 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31910448/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31910448/ft2_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31910448/expmap_804124801_804384001_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31910448/ltcube_804124801_804384001_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31910448/Model_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2153.8-1137' 4FGL J2153.8-1137 Spectrum: PowerLaw 284 Prefactor: 3.202e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 285 Index: 2.552e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 286 Scale: 6.399e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31910448/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31910448/ft2_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31910448/expmap_804124801_804384001_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31910448/ltcube_804124801_804384001_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31910448/Model_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6536.48130702 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6536.3683125 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .46062E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 16.664 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 12.173 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .14593E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .18412E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .34950E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 36.942 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .13587E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 17.070 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 13.897 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 2.1929 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .84962E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 13.546 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 8.5030 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 2.8770 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .53376E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .20351E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 73.396 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .98307 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Normalizat' 1.1721 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 21 'Prefactor ' .91362 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6536.366 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 150 CALLS 1659 TOTAL EDM= .35E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .29365E-07 18.636 -.52982E-05** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 16.636 10.295 .23399E-05 -.69397E-02 3 Prefactor 13.225 30.078 -.22514E-05 .30753E-01 4 Prefactor .0000 1.3522 -.34751E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 2.2158 .23745E-05** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .16653E-09 39.636 .16861E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 37.494 12.021 .26713E-06 -.10044 8 norm .0000 2.4267 .29868E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 17.179 8.5278 .84324E-06 .36943E-02 10 Prefactor 14.008 9.9856 -.31666E-06 -.64380E-03 11 Prefactor 2.0168 7.1553 -.36594E-05 .11656E-01 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 13.960 -.52068E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 13.527 13.610 -.55205E-05 -.22913E-01 14 Prefactor 8.8141 11.490 -.10593E-05 -.18059E-02 15 Prefactor 2.8522 3.1789 -.17043E-06 .13220E-02 16 Prefactor .29865E-07 15.654 .48793E-05** at limit ** 17 norm .55511E-10 .98614 .11171E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 74.712 80.972 .76784E-05 -.38557E-02 19 norm .98528 .81693 -.53217E-07 -.43510E-02 20 Normalizat 1.1690 .27746 .25243E-04 .30286E-04 21 Prefactor .91368 .15671 -.60055E-05 .10280E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 2.93654e-08 Prefactor = 16.6361 Prefactor = 13.2253 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 37.4944 norm = 0 Prefactor = 17.1794 Prefactor = 14.008 Prefactor = 2.01678 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 13.527 Prefactor = 8.81414 Prefactor = 2.85219 Prefactor = 2.9865e-08 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 74.7121 norm = 0.985279 Normalizat = 1.16903 Prefactor = 0.913683 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6536.366 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 367 CALLS 2026 TOTAL EDM= .42E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .29365E-07 18.689 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 16.636 17.754 .24508E-03 -1.5626 3 Prefactor 13.225 32.776 .28687E-03 -1.5635 4 Prefactor .0000 1.3519 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 2.1829 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .16653E-09 11.238 .83067E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 37.494 28.133 .16455E-03 -1.5585 8 norm .0000 2.4237 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 17.179 8.6454 .24214E-03 -1.5625 10 Prefactor 14.008 10.007 .26843E-03 -1.5633 11 Prefactor 2.0168 77.742 .69468E-03 -1.5680 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 14.445 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 13.527 17.493 .27189E-03 -1.5634 14 Prefactor 8.8141 11.653 .34354E-03 -1.5649 15 Prefactor 2.8522 3.2038 .59897E-03 -1.5674 16 Prefactor .29865E-07 16.210 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .55511E-10 .98390 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 74.712 81.060 .11673E-03 -1.5535 19 norm .98528 .81877 .43165E-03 -1.5688 20 Normalizat 1.1690 .23649 .70012E-01 -.87565 21 Prefactor .91368 .13085 .45178E-01 -.95665 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.18193e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00148143 2 17.7536 3 32.7766 4 3.09647e-06 5 3.13051e-05 6 8.83807e-05 7 28.1326 8 5.57446e-06 9 8.64543 10 10.0066 11 25.0434 12 6.88836e-05 13 17.4933 14 11.6534 15 3.20381 16 0.00139217 17 1.69096e-05 18 81.0616 19 0.818768 20 0.236703 21 0.130893 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6536.36621046 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2153.8-1137 Spectrum: PowerLaw 284 Prefactor: 1.718e+01 8.645e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 285 Index: 2.552e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 286 Scale: 6.399e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 9.137e-01 1.309e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.169e+00 2.367e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 7.69 Ra Dec: 328.461 -11.631 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.55 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 1.26e-07 +/- 6.36e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 3.47e-05 +/- 1.75e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6535.92098444 delta logL = 0.445226020409 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6535.90733134 delta logL = 0.458879119063 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 12.724 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.1111 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0897 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .94463 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6535.907 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 54 CALLS 233 TOTAL EDM= .58E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 12.731 79.383 .28056E-03 .22817E-02 2 Index 3.1106 3.3082 .13353 .14609E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0897 .11711 .72075E-01 -.25036E-04 4 Prefactor .94463 .56137E-01 .45571E-01 -.69839E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 12.7312 Index = 3.11061 Normalizat = 1.08971 Prefactor = 0.94463 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6535.907 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 266 TOTAL EDM= .23E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 12.731 9.5700 .11222E-04 -1.5637 2 Index 3.1106 .66079 .50942E-02 -.38750 3 Normalizat 1.0897 .27652 .31894E-03 -.90083 4 Prefactor .94463 .15879 .20206E-03 -.94599 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.26501e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.57005 2 0.663054 3 0.276888 4 0.158872 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6535.90733095 delta logL = 0.45887951164 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2153.8-1137 Spectrum: PowerLaw 284 Prefactor: 1.273e+01 9.570e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 285 Index: 3.111e+00 6.631e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 286 Scale: 6.399e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 9.446e-01 1.589e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.090e+00 2.769e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.87 Ra Dec: 328.461 -11.631 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.11 +/- 0.66 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.94e-07 +/- 1.02e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 3.69e-05 +/- 1.59e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31910448/cmap_HighResolution_804124801_804384001_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='1.26e-07', energy_flux2='3.69e-05', photon_flux_error='6.36e-08', dlogl='4.59e-01', energy_flux='3.47e-05', photon_flux2='1.94e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-16 09:43:18.953159', photon_index_error2='0.66', photon_index2='3.11', ts='7.69', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.91', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='1.59e-05', EG='1.17', time_epoch_completed='1784220198.95', return_code='0', job_id='31910448', GAL2='0.94', EG2='1.09', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.75e-05', photon_flux_error2='1.02e-07', ts2='8.87', photon_index='2.55' WHERE bin_id='2179' AND source_name='4FGL J2153.8-1137' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 16 09:43:19 PDT 2026 number of points = 7654 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179 RA = 328.461, Dec = -11.6306 tmin = 804124801, tmax = 804384001 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31910749', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-16 09:42:30.285637', time_epoch_executed='1784220150.29' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2153.8-1137' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2179' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31910749 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31910749/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804124801.0 && nMetStart<804384001.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804124801.0 && nMetStart<804384001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ft1_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804124801.0 && nMetStart<804384001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ft2_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ft1_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits ra=328.461 dec=-11.6306 rad=12.0 tmin=804124801.0 tmax=804384001.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 1.80 user 1.42 sys 0.14 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ft2_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ft2_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.56 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 581 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ft2_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ltcube_804124801_804384001_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ft2_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits .....................! real 8.80 user 8.33 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ft2_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ltcube_804124801_804384001_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/expmap_804124801_804384001_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ltcube_804124801_804384001_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits .....................! real 72.12 user 67.19 sys 4.25 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 158 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2153.8-1137 @ 328.461 -11.6306 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ft2_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/cmap_804124801_804384001_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=328.461 yref=-11.6306 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.60 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ft2_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/cmap_HighResolution_804124801_804384001_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=328.461 yref=-11.6306 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.57 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ft2_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/Model_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits.....................! real 26.82 user 25.33 sys 1.04 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ft2_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/expmap_804124801_804384001_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ltcube_804124801_804384001_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31910749/Model_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2153.8-1137' 4FGL J2153.8-1137 Spectrum: PowerLaw 284 Prefactor: 3.202e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 285 Index: 2.552e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 286 Scale: 6.399e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ft2_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31910749/expmap_804124801_804384001_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31910749/ltcube_804124801_804384001_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31910749/Model_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6536.48130702 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6536.3683125 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .46062E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 16.664 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 12.173 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .14593E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .18412E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .34950E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 36.942 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .13587E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 17.070 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 13.897 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 2.1929 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .84962E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 13.546 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 8.5030 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 2.8770 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .53376E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .20351E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 73.396 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .98307 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Normalizat' 1.1721 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 21 'Prefactor ' .91362 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6536.366 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 150 CALLS 1659 TOTAL EDM= .35E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .29365E-07 18.636 -.52982E-05** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 16.636 10.295 .23399E-05 -.69397E-02 3 Prefactor 13.225 30.078 -.22514E-05 .30753E-01 4 Prefactor .0000 1.3522 -.34751E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 2.2158 .23745E-05** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .16653E-09 39.636 .16861E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 37.494 12.021 .26713E-06 -.10044 8 norm .0000 2.4267 .29868E-06** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 17.179 8.5278 .84324E-06 .36943E-02 10 Prefactor 14.008 9.9856 -.31666E-06 -.64380E-03 11 Prefactor 2.0168 7.1553 -.36594E-05 .11656E-01 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 13.960 -.52068E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 13.527 13.610 -.55205E-05 -.22913E-01 14 Prefactor 8.8141 11.490 -.10593E-05 -.18059E-02 15 Prefactor 2.8522 3.1789 -.17043E-06 .13220E-02 16 Prefactor .29865E-07 15.654 .48793E-05** at limit ** 17 norm .55511E-10 .98614 .11171E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor 74.712 80.972 .76784E-05 -.38557E-02 19 norm .98528 .81693 -.53217E-07 -.43510E-02 20 Normalizat 1.1690 .27746 .25243E-04 .30286E-04 21 Prefactor .91368 .15671 -.60055E-05 .10280E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 2.93654e-08 Prefactor = 16.6361 Prefactor = 13.2253 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 37.4944 norm = 0 Prefactor = 17.1794 Prefactor = 14.008 Prefactor = 2.01678 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 13.527 Prefactor = 8.81414 Prefactor = 2.85219 Prefactor = 2.9865e-08 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 74.7121 norm = 0.985279 Normalizat = 1.16903 Prefactor = 0.913683 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6536.366 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 367 CALLS 2026 TOTAL EDM= .42E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .29365E-07 18.689 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 16.636 17.754 .24508E-03 -1.5626 3 Prefactor 13.225 32.776 .28687E-03 -1.5635 4 Prefactor .0000 1.3519 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .11102E-09 2.1829 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .16653E-09 11.238 .83067E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 37.494 28.133 .16455E-03 -1.5585 8 norm .0000 2.4237 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 17.179 8.6454 .24214E-03 -1.5625 10 Prefactor 14.008 10.007 .26843E-03 -1.5633 11 Prefactor 2.0168 77.742 .69468E-03 -1.5680 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 14.445 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 13.527 17.493 .27189E-03 -1.5634 14 Prefactor 8.8141 11.653 .34354E-03 -1.5649 15 Prefactor 2.8522 3.2038 .59897E-03 -1.5674 16 Prefactor .29865E-07 16.210 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .55511E-10 .98390 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor 74.712 81.060 .11673E-03 -1.5535 19 norm .98528 .81877 .43165E-03 -1.5688 20 Normalizat 1.1690 .23649 .70012E-01 -.87565 21 Prefactor .91368 .13085 .45178E-01 -.95665 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.18193e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00148143 2 17.7536 3 32.7766 4 3.09647e-06 5 3.13051e-05 6 8.83807e-05 7 28.1326 8 5.57446e-06 9 8.64543 10 10.0066 11 25.0434 12 6.88836e-05 13 17.4933 14 11.6534 15 3.20381 16 0.00139217 17 1.69096e-05 18 81.0616 19 0.818768 20 0.236703 21 0.130893 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6536.36621046 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2153.8-1137 Spectrum: PowerLaw 284 Prefactor: 1.718e+01 8.645e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 285 Index: 2.552e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 286 Scale: 6.399e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 9.137e-01 1.309e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.169e+00 2.367e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 7.69 Ra Dec: 328.461 -11.631 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.55 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 1.26e-07 +/- 6.36e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 3.47e-05 +/- 1.75e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6535.92098444 delta logL = 0.445226020409 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6535.90733134 delta logL = 0.458879119063 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 12.724 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.1111 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0897 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .94463 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6535.907 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 54 CALLS 233 TOTAL EDM= .58E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 12.731 79.383 .28056E-03 .22817E-02 2 Index 3.1106 3.3082 .13353 .14609E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0897 .11711 .72075E-01 -.25036E-04 4 Prefactor .94463 .56137E-01 .45571E-01 -.69839E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 12.7312 Index = 3.11061 Normalizat = 1.08971 Prefactor = 0.94463 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6535.907 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 266 TOTAL EDM= .23E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 12.731 9.5700 .11222E-04 -1.5637 2 Index 3.1106 .66079 .50942E-02 -.38750 3 Normalizat 1.0897 .27652 .31894E-03 -.90083 4 Prefactor .94463 .15879 .20206E-03 -.94599 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.26501e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 9.57005 2 0.663054 3 0.276888 4 0.158872 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6535.90733095 delta logL = 0.45887951164 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2153.8-1137 Spectrum: PowerLaw 284 Prefactor: 1.273e+01 9.570e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 285 Index: 3.111e+00 6.631e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 286 Scale: 6.399e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 504 Prefactor: 9.446e-01 1.589e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 505 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 506 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 503 Normalization: 1.090e+00 2.769e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.87 Ra Dec: 328.461 -11.631 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.11 +/- 0.66 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.94e-07 +/- 1.02e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 3.69e-05 +/- 1.59e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31910749/cmap_HighResolution_804124801_804384001_4FGL_J2153.8-1137_daily_bin2179.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='1.26e-07', energy_flux2='3.69e-05', photon_flux_error='6.36e-08', dlogl='4.59e-01', energy_flux='3.47e-05', photon_flux2='1.94e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-16 09:46:54.997246', photon_index_error2='0.66', photon_index2='3.11', ts='7.69', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.91', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='1.59e-05', EG='1.17', time_epoch_completed='1784220415.0', return_code='0', job_id='31910749', GAL2='0.94', EG2='1.09', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.75e-05', photon_flux_error2='1.02e-07', ts2='8.87', photon_index='2.55' WHERE bin_id='2179' AND source_name='4FGL J2153.8-1137' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 16 09:46:55 PDT 2026