********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6316.318 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 333 CALLS 1492 TOTAL EDM= .33E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.1521 20.545 .37538E-03 -1.5654 2 Prefactor 8.7509 6.3577 .33870E-03 -1.5649 3 norm .0000 2.2866 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 3.5898 7.1986 .53442E-03 -1.5670 5 Prefactor 1.0930 8.3443 .11143E-02 -1.5687 6 Prefactor .32196E-08 9.4683 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .62284E-07 6.9260 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 10.238 8.4501 .31335E-03 -1.5644 9 Prefactor .36249E-07 5.8735 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .49960E-09 21.167 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm 4.6899 5.4734 .46462E-03 -1.5665 12 norm 2.6552 .58729 .59497E-03 -1.5675 13 Prefactor .61617E-08 6.5819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 6.4982 9.8618 .39560E-03 -1.5657 15 Prefactor .65503E-08 5.1652 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 2.7857 9.7589 .61060E-03 -1.5675 17 Prefactor 3.6899 7.3040 .52561E-03 -1.5670 18 norm .0000 .87513 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Normalizat .97599 .19902 .67138E-01 -.93839 20 Prefactor 1.0455 .13603 .40182E-01 -.91229 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.27699e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 20.5448 2 6.35769 3 7.12073e-06 4 7.19866 5 6.03996 6 0.000349917 7 0.00131347 8 8.45012 9 0.000922688 10 0.000209808 11 5.47338 12 0.587288 13 0.000402564 14 9.86181 15 0.000367266 16 9.75896 17 7.30399 18 8.05855e-07 19 0.199168 20 0.13608 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6316.31777946 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2150.7-2810 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 3.625e-08 9.227e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 272 Index: 2.158e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 273 Scale: 3.319e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 508 Prefactor: 1.045e+00 1.361e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 509 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 510 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 507 Normalization: 9.760e-01 1.992e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 327.698 -28.173 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.12711706924e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0038939552096 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39027861/likelihoodResults_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6316.39911227 delta logL = -0.0813328107661 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6316.31778044 delta logL = -9.781369954e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .61721E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .42399 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .97599 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0455 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5110E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6316.318 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 44 CALLS 219 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.6366 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.6726 1.6659 .19533E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .97599 1.3072 .56115E-05 -.97014E-05 4 Prefactor 1.0455 1.1965 -.33062E-05 .28526E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.67264 Normalizat = 0.975991 Prefactor = 1.04547 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6316.318 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 228 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.6366 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .80847 2.0354 .19533E-04 -.48417 3 Normalizat .97599 1.3072 .56115E-05 -.93839 4 Prefactor 1.0455 1.1965 -.33062E-05 -.91229 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 4.04546e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.09874e-06 2 1.70802 3 1.35416 4 1.22935 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6316.31777946 delta logL = 3.08409653371e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2150.7-2810 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 4.099e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 272 Index: 2.673e+00 1.708e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 273 Scale: 3.319e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 508 Prefactor: 1.045e+00 1.229e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 509 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 510 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 507 Normalization: 9.760e-01 1.354e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 327.698 -28.173 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39027861/cmap_HighResolution_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.89e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.13e-08', time_completed='2026-09-24 18:35:30.887162', job_id='39027861', GAL2='1.05', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.98', EG='0.98', time_epoch_completed='1790300130.89', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.05', dlogl='3.08e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.16' WHERE bin_id='2208' AND source_name='4FGL J2150.7-2810' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Sep 24 18:35:31 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39028016/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits.....................! real 19.96 user 18.90 sys 0.59 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39028016/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39028016/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39028016/expmap_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39028016/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39028016/Model_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2150.7-2810' 4FGL J2150.7-2810 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 1.009e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 272 Index: 2.158e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 273 Scale: 3.319e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39028016/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39028016/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39028016/expmap_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39028016/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39028016/Model_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6317.0465371 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6316.31785895 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.1319 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 8.7459 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .14257E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 3.5727 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 1.1158 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .52504E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .13336E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 10.209 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .30578E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .72221E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 4.6863 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 2.6554 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .16620E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 6.4291 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .15610E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 2.7754 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 3.6887 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .10270E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Normalizat' .97614 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 20 'Prefactor ' 1.0455 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5110E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6316.318 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 114 CALLS 1159 TOTAL EDM= .43E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.1521 1.0885 .77208E-08 -.32514E-02 2 Prefactor 8.7509 6.3292 -.43050E-07 -.11691E-02 3 norm .0000 2.2822 .44582E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 3.5898 6.9803 .11811E-07 .13120E-01 5 Prefactor 1.0930 8.2850 -.20835E-06 -.10885E-02 6 Prefactor .32196E-08 9.4314 .36966E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .62284E-07 4.4649 .12476E-06** at limit ** 8 norm 10.238 3.8333 .25628E-07 .68805E-01 9 Prefactor .36249E-07 4.4554 .24876E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .49960E-09 21.108 .64648E-06** at limit ** 11 norm 4.6899 5.4419 -.36194E-07 -.54289E-02 12 norm 2.6552 .58978 -.38803E-07 -.85456E-02 13 Prefactor .61617E-08 2.4876 .17088E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 6.4982 2.0831 .23857E-07 .98712E-02 15 Prefactor .65503E-08 5.0500 .72057E-08** at limit ** 16 norm 2.7857 2.5763 .46711E-07 .11201E-01 17 Prefactor 3.6899 1.6253 .18003E-08 -.15887E-01 18 norm .0000 .87312 -.29912E-07** at limit ** 19 Normalizat .97599 .22953 -.38515E-05 -.27160E-04 20 Prefactor 1.0455 .15674 .22638E-05 -.19880E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.15212 Prefactor = 8.75095 norm = 0 Prefactor = 3.58977 Prefactor = 1.09299 Prefactor = 3.21965e-09 Prefactor = 6.22835e-08 norm = 10.2382 Prefactor = 3.62488e-08 Prefactor = 4.996e-10 norm = 4.68992 norm = 2.65519 Prefactor = 6.16174e-09 Prefactor = 6.49823 Prefactor = 6.55032e-09 norm = 2.78568 Prefactor = 3.6899 norm = 0 Normalizat = 0.975991 Prefactor = 1.04547 number of points = 7621 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208 RA = 327.698, Dec = -28.1728 tmin = 811641601, tmax = 811900801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='39028184', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-24 18:34:17.874817', time_epoch_executed='1790300057.87' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2150.7-2810' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2208' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39028184 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39028184/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=811641601.0 && nMetStart<811900801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=811641601.0 && nMetStart<811900801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 48 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ft1_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=811641601.0 && nMetStart<811900801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 48 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ft1_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits ra=327.698 dec=-28.1728 rad=12.0 tmin=811641601.0 tmax=811900801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.77 user 2.22 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.63 user 0.20 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 593 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6316.318 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 333 CALLS 1492 TOTAL EDM= .33E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.1521 20.545 .37538E-03 -1.5654 2 Prefactor 8.7509 6.3577 .33870E-03 -1.5649 3 norm .0000 2.2866 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 3.5898 7.1986 .53442E-03 -1.5670 5 Prefactor 1.0930 8.3443 .11143E-02 -1.5687 6 Prefactor .32196E-08 9.4683 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .62284E-07 6.9260 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 10.238 8.4501 .31335E-03 -1.5644 9 Prefactor .36249E-07 5.8735 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .49960E-09 21.167 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm 4.6899 5.4734 .46462E-03 -1.5665 12 norm 2.6552 .58729 .59497E-03 -1.5675 13 Prefactor .61617E-08 6.5819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 6.4982 9.8618 .39560E-03 -1.5657 15 Prefactor .65503E-08 5.1652 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 2.7857 9.7589 .61060E-03 -1.5675 17 Prefactor 3.6899 7.3040 .52561E-03 -1.5670 18 norm .0000 .87513 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Normalizat .97599 .19902 .67138E-01 -.93839 20 Prefactor 1.0455 .13603 .40182E-01 -.91229 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.27699e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 20.5448 2 6.35769 3 7.12073e-06 4 7.19866 5 6.03996 6 0.000349917 7 0.00131347 8 8.45012 9 0.000922688 10 0.000209808 11 5.47338 12 0.587288 13 0.000402564 14 9.86181 15 0.000367266 16 9.75896 17 7.30399 18 8.05855e-07 19 0.199168 20 0.13608 number of points = 7621 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208 RA = 327.698, Dec = -28.1728 tmin = 811641601, tmax = 811900801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='39028187', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-24 18:34:22.984383', time_epoch_executed='1790300062.98' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2150.7-2810' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2208' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39028187 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39028187/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=811641601.0 && nMetStart<811900801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=811641601.0 && nMetStart<811900801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 48 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ft1_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=811641601.0 && nMetStart<811900801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 48 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ft1_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits ra=327.698 dec=-28.1728 rad=12.0 tmin=811641601.0 tmax=811900801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.80 user 2.27 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.59 user 0.18 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 593 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits sctable="SC_DATA" Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6316.31777946 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2150.7-2810 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 3.625e-08 9.227e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 272 Index: 2.158e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 273 Scale: 3.319e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 508 Prefactor: 1.045e+00 1.361e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 509 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 510 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 507 Normalization: 9.760e-01 1.992e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 327.698 -28.173 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.12711706924e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0038939552096 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39028016/likelihoodResults_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6316.39911227 delta logL = -0.0813328107661 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6316.31778044 delta logL = -9.781369954e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .61721E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .42399 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .97599 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0455 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5110E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6316.318 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 44 CALLS 219 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.6366 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.6726 1.6659 .19533E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .97599 1.3072 .56115E-05 -.97014E-05 4 Prefactor 1.0455 1.1965 -.33062E-05 .28526E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.67264 Normalizat = 0.975991 Prefactor = 1.04547 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6316.318 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 228 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.6366 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .80847 2.0354 .19533E-04 -.48417 3 Normalizat .97599 1.3072 .56115E-05 -.93839 4 Prefactor 1.0455 1.1965 -.33062E-05 -.91229 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 4.04546e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.09874e-06 2 1.70802 3 1.35416 4 1.22935 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6316.31777946 delta logL = 3.08409653371e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2150.7-2810 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 4.099e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 272 Index: 2.673e+00 1.708e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 273 Scale: 3.319e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 508 Prefactor: 1.045e+00 1.229e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 509 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 510 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 507 Normalization: 9.760e-01 1.354e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 327.698 -28.173 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39028016/cmap_HighResolution_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.89e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.13e-08', time_completed='2026-09-24 18:36:08.188818', job_id='39028016', GAL2='1.05', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.98', EG='0.98', time_epoch_completed='1790300168.19', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.05', dlogl='3.08e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.16' WHERE bin_id='2208' AND source_name='4FGL J2150.7-2810' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Sep 24 18:36:08 PDT 2026 number of points = 7621 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208 RA = 327.698, Dec = -28.1728 tmin = 811641601, tmax = 811900801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='39028230', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-24 18:35:17.750777', time_epoch_executed='1790300117.75' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2150.7-2810' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2208' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39028230 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39028230/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=811641601.0 && nMetStart<811900801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=811641601.0 && nMetStart<811900801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 48 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ft1_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=811641601.0 && nMetStart<811900801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 48 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ft1_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits ra=327.698 dec=-28.1728 rad=12.0 tmin=811641601.0 tmax=811900801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.84 user 2.38 sys 0.16 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.64 user 0.20 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 593 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits .....................! real 8.62 user 8.08 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/expmap_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits .....................! real 70.52 user 66.19 sys 3.62 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 159 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2150.7-2810 @ 327.698 -28.1728 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/cmap_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=327.698 yref=-28.1728 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.66 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/cmap_HighResolution_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=327.698 yref=-28.1728 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.66 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/Model_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcoutfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits .....................! real 8.88 user 8.30 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/expmap_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits .....................! real 71.23 user 66.55 sys 3.98 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 159 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2150.7-2810 @ 327.698 -28.1728 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/cmap_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=327.698 yref=-28.1728 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.63 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/cmap_HighResolution_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=327.698 yref=-28.1728 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.61 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/Model_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcoutfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits .....................! real 8.87 user 8.34 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/expmap_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits .....................! real 71.57 user 66.88 sys 3.92 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 159 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2150.7-2810 @ 327.698 -28.1728 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/cmap_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=327.698 yref=-28.1728 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.91 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/cmap_HighResolution_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=327.698 yref=-28.1728 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.84 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/Model_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits.....................! real 23.89 user 22.74 sys 0.66 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/expmap_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39028184/Model_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2150.7-2810' 4FGL J2150.7-2810 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 1.009e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 272 Index: 2.158e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 273 Scale: 3.319e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39028184/expmap_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39028184/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39028184/Model_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6317.0465371 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6316.31785895 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.1319 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 8.7459 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .14257E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 3.5727 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 1.1158 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .52504E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .13336E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 10.209 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .30578E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .72221E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 4.6863 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 2.6554 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .16620E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 6.4291 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .15610E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 2.7754 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 3.6887 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .10270E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Normalizat' .97614 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 20 'Prefactor ' 1.0455 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5110E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6316.318 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 114 CALLS 1159 TOTAL EDM= .43E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.1521 1.0885 .77208E-08 -.32514E-02 2 Prefactor 8.7509 6.3292 -.43050E-07 -.11691E-02 3 norm .0000 2.2822 .44582E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 3.5898 6.9803 .11811E-07 .13120E-01 5 Prefactor 1.0930 8.2850 -.20835E-06 -.10885E-02 6 Prefactor .32196E-08 9.4314 .36966E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .62284E-07 4.4649 .12476E-06** at limit ** 8 norm 10.238 3.8333 .25628E-07 .68805E-01 9 Prefactor .36249E-07 4.4554 .24876E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .49960E-09 21.108 .64648E-06** at limit ** 11 norm 4.6899 5.4419 -.36194E-07 -.54289E-02 12 norm 2.6552 .58978 -.38803E-07 -.85456E-02 13 Prefactor .61617E-08 2.4876 .17088E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 6.4982 2.0831 .23857E-07 .98712E-02 15 Prefactor .65503E-08 5.0500 .72057E-08** at limit ** 16 norm 2.7857 2.5763 .46711E-07 .11201E-01 17 Prefactor 3.6899 1.6253 .18003E-08 -.15887E-01 18 norm .0000 .87312 -.29912E-07** at limit ** 19 Normalizat .97599 .22953 -.38515E-05 -.27160E-04 20 Prefactor 1.0455 .15674 .22638E-05 -.19880E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.15212 Prefactor = 8.75095 norm = 0 Prefactor = 3.58977 Prefactor = 1.09299 Prefactor = 3.21965e-09 Prefactor = 6.22835e-08 norm = 10.2382 Prefactor = 3.62488e-08 Prefactor = 4.996e-10 norm = 4.68992 norm = 2.65519 Prefactor = 6.16174e-09 Prefactor = 6.49823 Prefactor = 6.55032e-09 norm = 2.78568 Prefactor = 3.6899 norm = 0 Normalizat = 0.975991 Prefactor = 1.04547 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits.....................! real 24.30 user 22.84 sys 0.95 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/expmap_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39028187/Model_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2150.7-2810' 4FGL J2150.7-2810 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 1.009e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 272 Index: 2.158e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 273 Scale: 3.319e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39028187/expmap_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39028187/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39028187/Model_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6317.0465371 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6316.31785895 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.1319 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 8.7459 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .14257E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 3.5727 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 1.1158 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .52504E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .13336E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 10.209 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .30578E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .72221E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 4.6863 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 2.6554 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .16620E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 6.4291 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .15610E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 2.7754 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 3.6887 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .10270E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Normalizat' .97614 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 20 'Prefactor ' 1.0455 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5110E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6316.318 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 114 CALLS 1159 TOTAL EDM= .43E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.1521 1.0885 .77208E-08 -.32514E-02 2 Prefactor 8.7509 6.3292 -.43050E-07 -.11691E-02 3 norm .0000 2.2822 .44582E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 3.5898 6.9803 .11811E-07 .13120E-01 5 Prefactor 1.0930 8.2850 -.20835E-06 -.10885E-02 6 Prefactor .32196E-08 9.4314 .36966E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .62284E-07 4.4649 .12476E-06** at limit ** 8 norm 10.238 3.8333 .25628E-07 .68805E-01 9 Prefactor .36249E-07 4.4554 .24876E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .49960E-09 21.108 .64648E-06** at limit ** 11 norm 4.6899 5.4419 -.36194E-07 -.54289E-02 12 norm 2.6552 .58978 -.38803E-07 -.85456E-02 13 Prefactor .61617E-08 2.4876 .17088E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 6.4982 2.0831 .23857E-07 .98712E-02 15 Prefactor .65503E-08 5.0500 .72057E-08** at limit ** 16 norm 2.7857 2.5763 .46711E-07 .11201E-01 17 Prefactor 3.6899 1.6253 .18003E-08 -.15887E-01 18 norm .0000 .87312 -.29912E-07** at limit ** 19 Normalizat .97599 .22953 -.38515E-05 -.27160E-04 20 Prefactor 1.0455 .15674 .22638E-05 -.19880E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.15212 Prefactor = 8.75095 norm = 0 Prefactor = 3.58977 Prefactor = 1.09299 Prefactor = 3.21965e-09 Prefactor = 6.22835e-08 norm = 10.2382 Prefactor = 3.62488e-08 Prefactor = 4.996e-10 norm = 4.68992 norm = 2.65519 Prefactor = 6.16174e-09 Prefactor = 6.49823 Prefactor = 6.55032e-09 norm = 2.78568 Prefactor = 3.6899 norm = 0 Normalizat = 0.975991 Prefactor = 1.04547 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6316.318 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 333 CALLS 1492 TOTAL EDM= .33E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.1521 20.545 .37538E-03 -1.5654 2 Prefactor 8.7509 6.3577 .33870E-03 -1.5649 3 norm .0000 2.2866 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 3.5898 7.1986 .53442E-03 -1.5670 5 Prefactor 1.0930 8.3443 .11143E-02 -1.5687 6 Prefactor .32196E-08 9.4683 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .62284E-07 6.9260 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 10.238 8.4501 .31335E-03 -1.5644 9 Prefactor .36249E-07 5.8735 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .49960E-09 21.167 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm 4.6899 5.4734 .46462E-03 -1.5665 12 norm 2.6552 .58729 .59497E-03 -1.5675 13 Prefactor .61617E-08 6.5819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 6.4982 9.8618 .39560E-03 -1.5657 15 Prefactor .65503E-08 5.1652 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 2.7857 9.7589 .61060E-03 -1.5675 17 Prefactor 3.6899 7.3040 .52561E-03 -1.5670 18 norm .0000 .87513 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Normalizat .97599 .19902 .67138E-01 -.93839 20 Prefactor 1.0455 .13603 .40182E-01 -.91229 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.27699e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 20.5448 2 6.35769 3 7.12073e-06 4 7.19866 5 6.03996 6 0.000349917 7 0.00131347 8 8.45012 9 0.000922688 10 0.000209808 11 5.47338 12 0.587288 13 0.000402564 14 9.86181 15 0.000367266 16 9.75896 17 7.30399 18 8.05855e-07 19 0.199168 20 0.13608 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6316.318 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 333 CALLS 1492 TOTAL EDM= .33E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.1521 20.545 .37538E-03 -1.5654 2 Prefactor 8.7509 6.3577 .33870E-03 -1.5649 3 norm .0000 2.2866 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 3.5898 7.1986 .53442E-03 -1.5670 5 Prefactor 1.0930 8.3443 .11143E-02 -1.5687 6 Prefactor .32196E-08 9.4683 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .62284E-07 6.9260 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 10.238 8.4501 .31335E-03 -1.5644 9 Prefactor .36249E-07 5.8735 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .49960E-09 21.167 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm 4.6899 5.4734 .46462E-03 -1.5665 12 norm 2.6552 .58729 .59497E-03 -1.5675 13 Prefactor .61617E-08 6.5819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 6.4982 9.8618 .39560E-03 -1.5657 15 Prefactor .65503E-08 5.1652 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 2.7857 9.7589 .61060E-03 -1.5675 17 Prefactor 3.6899 7.3040 .52561E-03 -1.5670 18 norm .0000 .87513 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Normalizat .97599 .19902 .67138E-01 -.93839 20 Prefactor 1.0455 .13603 .40182E-01 -.91229 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.27699e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 20.5448 2 6.35769 3 7.12073e-06 4 7.19866 5 6.03996 6 0.000349917 7 0.00131347 8 8.45012 9 0.000922688 10 0.000209808 11 5.47338 12 0.587288 13 0.000402564 14 9.86181 15 0.000367266 16 9.75896 17 7.30399 18 8.05855e-07 19 0.199168 20 0.13608 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6316.31777946 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2150.7-2810 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 3.625e-08 9.227e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 272 Index: 2.158e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 273 Scale: 3.319e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 508 Prefactor: 1.045e+00 1.361e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 509 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 510 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 507 Normalization: 9.760e-01 1.992e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 327.698 -28.173 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.12711706924e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0038939552096 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39028184/likelihoodResults_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6316.39911227 delta logL = -0.0813328107661 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6316.31778044 delta logL = -9.781369954e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .61721E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .42399 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .97599 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0455 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5110E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6316.318 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 44 CALLS 219 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.6366 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.6726 1.6659 .19533E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .97599 1.3072 .56115E-05 -.97014E-05 4 Prefactor 1.0455 1.1965 -.33062E-05 .28526E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.67264 Normalizat = 0.975991 Prefactor = 1.04547 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6316.318 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 228 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.6366 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .80847 2.0354 .19533E-04 -.48417 3 Normalizat .97599 1.3072 .56115E-05 -.93839 4 Prefactor 1.0455 1.1965 -.33062E-05 -.91229 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 4.04546e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.09874e-06 2 1.70802 3 1.35416 4 1.22935 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6316.31777946 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2150.7-2810 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 3.625e-08 9.227e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 272 Index: 2.158e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 273 Scale: 3.319e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 508 Prefactor: 1.045e+00 1.361e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 509 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 510 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 507 Normalization: 9.760e-01 1.992e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 327.698 -28.173 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.12711706924e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0038939552096 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39028187/likelihoodResults_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6316.39911227 delta logL = -0.0813328107661 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6316.31778044 delta logL = -9.781369954e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .61721E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .42399 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .97599 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0455 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5110E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6316.318 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 44 CALLS 219 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.6366 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.6726 1.6659 .19533E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .97599 1.3072 .56115E-05 -.97014E-05 4 Prefactor 1.0455 1.1965 -.33062E-05 .28526E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.67264 Normalizat = 0.975991 Prefactor = 1.04547 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6316.318 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 228 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.6366 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .80847 2.0354 .19533E-04 -.48417 3 Normalizat .97599 1.3072 .56115E-05 -.93839 4 Prefactor 1.0455 1.1965 -.33062E-05 -.91229 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 4.04546e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.09874e-06 2 1.70802 3 1.35416 4 1.22935 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6316.31777946 delta logL = 3.08409653371e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2150.7-2810 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 4.099e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 272 Index: 2.673e+00 1.708e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 273 Scale: 3.319e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 508 Prefactor: 1.045e+00 1.229e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 509 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 510 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 507 Normalization: 9.760e-01 1.354e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 327.698 -28.173 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39028184/cmap_HighResolution_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.89e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.13e-08', time_completed='2026-09-24 18:39:05.448429', job_id='39028184', GAL2='1.05', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.98', EG='0.98', time_epoch_completed='1790300345.45', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.05', dlogl='3.08e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.16' WHERE bin_id='2208' AND source_name='4FGL J2150.7-2810' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Sep 24 18:39:05 PDT 2026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6316.31777946 delta logL = 3.08409653371e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2150.7-2810 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 4.099e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 272 Index: 2.673e+00 1.708e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 273 Scale: 3.319e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 508 Prefactor: 1.045e+00 1.229e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 509 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 510 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 507 Normalization: 9.760e-01 1.354e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 327.698 -28.173 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39028187/cmap_HighResolution_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.89e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.13e-08', time_completed='2026-09-24 18:39:06.915148', job_id='39028187', GAL2='1.05', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.98', EG='0.98', time_epoch_completed='1790300346.92', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.05', dlogl='3.08e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.16' WHERE bin_id='2208' AND source_name='4FGL J2150.7-2810' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Sep 24 18:39:07 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits.....................! real 24.24 user 22.57 sys 1.11 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/expmap_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39028230/Model_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2150.7-2810' 4FGL J2150.7-2810 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 1.009e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 272 Index: 2.158e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 273 Scale: 3.319e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ft2_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39028230/expmap_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39028230/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39028230/Model_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6317.0465371 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6316.31785895 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 7.1319 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 8.7459 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .14257E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 3.5727 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 1.1158 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .52504E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .13336E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 10.209 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .30578E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .72221E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 4.6863 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 2.6554 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .16620E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 6.4291 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .15610E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 2.7754 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 3.6887 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .10270E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Normalizat' .97614 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 20 'Prefactor ' 1.0455 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5110E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6316.318 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 114 CALLS 1159 TOTAL EDM= .43E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 7.1521 1.0885 .77208E-08 -.32514E-02 2 Prefactor 8.7509 6.3292 -.43050E-07 -.11691E-02 3 norm .0000 2.2822 .44582E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 3.5898 6.9803 .11811E-07 .13120E-01 5 Prefactor 1.0930 8.2850 -.20835E-06 -.10885E-02 6 Prefactor .32196E-08 9.4314 .36966E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .62284E-07 4.4649 .12476E-06** at limit ** 8 norm 10.238 3.8333 .25628E-07 .68805E-01 9 Prefactor .36249E-07 4.4554 .24876E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .49960E-09 21.108 .64648E-06** at limit ** 11 norm 4.6899 5.4419 -.36194E-07 -.54289E-02 12 norm 2.6552 .58978 -.38803E-07 -.85456E-02 13 Prefactor .61617E-08 2.4876 .17088E-06** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 6.4982 2.0831 .23857E-07 .98712E-02 15 Prefactor .65503E-08 5.0500 .72057E-08** at limit ** 16 norm 2.7857 2.5763 .46711E-07 .11201E-01 17 Prefactor 3.6899 1.6253 .18003E-08 -.15887E-01 18 norm .0000 .87312 -.29912E-07** at limit ** 19 Normalizat .97599 .22953 -.38515E-05 -.27160E-04 20 Prefactor 1.0455 .15674 .22638E-05 -.19880E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 7.15212 Prefactor = 8.75095 norm = 0 Prefactor = 3.58977 Prefactor = 1.09299 Prefactor = 3.21965e-09 Prefactor = 6.22835e-08 norm = 10.2382 Prefactor = 3.62488e-08 Prefactor = 4.996e-10 norm = 4.68992 norm = 2.65519 Prefactor = 6.16174e-09 Prefactor = 6.49823 Prefactor = 6.55032e-09 norm = 2.78568 Prefactor = 3.6899 norm = 0 Normalizat = 0.975991 Prefactor = 1.04547 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6316.318 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 333 CALLS 1492 TOTAL EDM= .33E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 7.1521 20.545 .37538E-03 -1.5654 2 Prefactor 8.7509 6.3577 .33870E-03 -1.5649 3 norm .0000 2.2866 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 3.5898 7.1986 .53442E-03 -1.5670 5 Prefactor 1.0930 8.3443 .11143E-02 -1.5687 6 Prefactor .32196E-08 9.4683 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .62284E-07 6.9260 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 10.238 8.4501 .31335E-03 -1.5644 9 Prefactor .36249E-07 5.8735 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .49960E-09 21.167 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm 4.6899 5.4734 .46462E-03 -1.5665 12 norm 2.6552 .58729 .59497E-03 -1.5675 13 Prefactor .61617E-08 6.5819 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 6.4982 9.8618 .39560E-03 -1.5657 15 Prefactor .65503E-08 5.1652 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 2.7857 9.7589 .61060E-03 -1.5675 17 Prefactor 3.6899 7.3040 .52561E-03 -1.5670 18 norm .0000 .87513 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Normalizat .97599 .19902 .67138E-01 -.93839 20 Prefactor 1.0455 .13603 .40182E-01 -.91229 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.27699e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 20.5448 2 6.35769 3 7.12073e-06 4 7.19866 5 6.03996 6 0.000349917 7 0.00131347 8 8.45012 9 0.000922688 10 0.000209808 11 5.47338 12 0.587288 13 0.000402564 14 9.86181 15 0.000367266 16 9.75896 17 7.30399 18 8.05855e-07 19 0.199168 20 0.13608 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6316.31777946 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2150.7-2810 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 3.625e-08 9.227e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 272 Index: 2.158e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 273 Scale: 3.319e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 508 Prefactor: 1.045e+00 1.361e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 509 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 510 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 507 Normalization: 9.760e-01 1.992e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 327.698 -28.173 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.12711706924e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0038939552096 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39028230/likelihoodResults_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6316.39911227 delta logL = -0.0813328107661 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6316.31778044 delta logL = -9.781369954e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .61721E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .42399 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .97599 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0455 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5110E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6316.318 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 44 CALLS 219 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.6366 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.6726 1.6659 .19533E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat .97599 1.3072 .56115E-05 -.97014E-05 4 Prefactor 1.0455 1.1965 -.33062E-05 .28526E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.67264 Normalizat = 0.975991 Prefactor = 1.04547 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6316.318 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 228 TOTAL EDM= .40E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.6366 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .80847 2.0354 .19533E-04 -.48417 3 Normalizat .97599 1.3072 .56115E-05 -.93839 4 Prefactor 1.0455 1.1965 -.33062E-05 -.91229 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 4.04546e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.09874e-06 2 1.70802 3 1.35416 4 1.22935 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6316.31777946 delta logL = 3.08409653371e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2150.7-2810 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 4.099e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-14) 272 Index: 2.673e+00 1.708e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 273 Scale: 3.319e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 508 Prefactor: 1.045e+00 1.229e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 509 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 510 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 507 Normalization: 9.760e-01 1.354e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 327.698 -28.173 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39028230/cmap_HighResolution_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J2150.7-2810_daily_bin2208.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.89e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.13e-08', time_completed='2026-09-24 18:39:49.741311', job_id='39028230', GAL2='1.05', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.98', EG='0.98', time_epoch_completed='1790300389.74', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.05', dlogl='3.08e-09', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.16' WHERE bin_id='2208' AND source_name='4FGL J2150.7-2810' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Sep 24 18:39:50 PDT 2026