********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17524.91 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 400 CALLS 2172 TOTAL EDM= .18E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .30426E-06 14.168 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 7.1325 12.644 .37513E-03 -1.5655 3 Prefactor .17042E-07 10.914 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .33473E-07 8.1329 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .33806E-07 21.689 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .28182 1.1170 .76377E-02 -1.5697 7 Prefactor .40978 1.4407 .88263E-03 -1.5695 8 Prefactor 48.720 24.630 .14339E-03 -1.5568 9 norm 1.9110 1.4154 .75243E-03 -1.5680 10 Prefactor .33740E-06 16.986 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .89927 1.6859 .45990E-03 -1.5689 12 norm .22077E-06 7.0835 .11433E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 3.2054 2.9638 .56553E-03 -1.5672 14 Prefactor 5.8341 7.7517 .42364E-03 -1.5660 15 norm .0000 .23888 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 9.8978 9.9175 .32031E-03 -1.5645 17 Prefactor .51570E-07 9.1534 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.9353 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 1.1577 .19490 .52407E-02 -1.5493 20 Prefactor 5.8953 3.6201 .41441E-02 -1.5222 21 Normalizat 1.0090 .14501 .75561E-01 -.92730 22 Prefactor .91302 .68129E-01 .45171E-01 -.95687 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.84134e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00415236 2 12.644 3 0.000862088 4 0.00104376 5 0.00171309 6 1.11697 7 1.44067 8 24.6305 9 1.4154 10 0.0047878 11 1.68595 12 0.00250117 13 2.96378 14 7.75167 15 2.46384e-07 16 9.91755 17 0.00137403 18 2.9343e-05 19 0.194904 20 3.62018 21 0.145068 22 0.0681353 utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32676676/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/32676676/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits .....................! real 16.18 user 15.15 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32676676/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32676676/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/32676676/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32676676/expmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/32676676/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits .....................! real 60.06 user 55.48 sys 3.48 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 167 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2148.6+0652 @ 327.163 6.8791 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32676676/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32676676/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32676676/cmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=327.163 yref=6.8791 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.24 user 0.21 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32676676/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32676676/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32676676/cmap_HighResolution_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=327.163 yref=6.8791 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.24 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32676676/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32676676/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/32676676/Model_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32676738/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/32676738/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits .....................! real 20.05 user 19.03 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32676738/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32676738/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/32676738/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32676738/expmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/32676738/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits .....................! real 68.53 user 63.51 sys 3.93 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 167 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2148.6+0652 @ 327.163 6.8791 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32676738/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32676738/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32676738/cmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=327.163 yref=6.8791 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.19 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32676738/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32676738/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32676738/cmap_HighResolution_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=327.163 yref=6.8791 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.16 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32676738/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32676738/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/32676738/Model_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32676478/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits.....................! real 58.75 user 56.49 sys 1.22 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32676478/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32676478/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32676478/expmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32676478/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32676478/Model_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2148.6+0652' 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 5.891e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 2.658e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32676478/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32676478/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32676478/expmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32676478/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32676478/Model_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.9416447 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.90733 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .37524E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 7.1414 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .23018E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .51421E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .81705E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .27328 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .41065 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 48.642 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.9079 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .15821E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .89669 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .41710E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 3.2066 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 5.6167 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .11885E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 9.7728 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .20384E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .37032E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 1.1575 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 20 'Prefactor ' 5.8692 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 21 'Normalizat' 1.0097 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' .91303 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5430E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 17524.91 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 148 CALLS 1772 TOTAL EDM= .18E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 5.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .30426E-06 7.4362 -.81963E-07** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 7.1325 10.619 -.23911E-06 -.21071E-01 3 Prefactor .17042E-07 8.4051 -.43769E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .33473E-07 6.5876 .53995E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .33806E-07 21.100 .10264E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .28182 7.2943 -.43969E-06 -.16035E-03 7 Prefactor .40978 1.3971 .93456E-07 -.20547E-03 8 Prefactor 48.720 1.4043 .11003E-07 -.89269E-02 9 norm 1.9110 1.4054 -.95706E-07 -.13536E-02 10 Prefactor .33740E-06 11.253 .42869E-06** at limit ** 11 norm .89927 1.6108 .83351E-07 -.57685E-03 12 norm .22077E-06 2.3916 .14811E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 3.2054 2.9526 -.35599E-07 .20224E-03 14 Prefactor 5.8341 7.7035 .50230E-06 -.44496E-03 15 norm .0000 .24352 -.32079E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 9.8978 9.8459 -.37223E-07 -.35498E-02 17 Prefactor .51570E-07 5.0037 .45302E-07** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.9146 .19353E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 1.1577 .19514 -.10694E-06 -.46182E-03 20 Prefactor 5.8953 3.6176 .86776E-06 -.22714E-04 21 Normalizat 1.0090 .16884 -.82125E-05 -.40344E-04 22 Prefactor .91302 .81900E-01 .30520E-05 -.23933E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.04257e-07 Prefactor = 7.1325 Prefactor = 1.70419e-08 Prefactor = 3.34732e-08 Prefactor = 3.38063e-08 Prefactor = 0.281817 Prefactor = 0.409784 Prefactor = 48.7204 norm = 1.91102 Prefactor = 3.37397e-07 norm = 0.899266 norm = 2.20768e-07 Prefactor = 3.20537 Prefactor = 5.83409 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.89784 Prefactor = 5.15699e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.15774 Prefactor = 5.89533 Normalizat = 1.00898 Prefactor = 0.913025 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.9060408 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 2.208e-07 2.501e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 2.658e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 540 Prefactor: 9.130e-01 6.814e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 541 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 542 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 539 Normalization: 1.009e+00 1.451e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 327.163 6.879 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.66346901858e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 1.61981639467e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32676390/likelihoodResults_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2335401 delta logL = 0.672500698442 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2261839 delta logL = 0.679856873772 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 4.0392 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 4.3209 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .94216 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93228 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5430E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD TERMINATED WITHOUT CONVERGENCE. FCN= 17524.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=FAILED 98 CALLS 406 TOTAL EDM= .67E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 4.0453 95.017 .10030E-03 .11838E-01 2 alpha 4.3195 2.8141 .59401E-01 .23565E-03 3 Normalizat .94216 .17708 .34486E-03 -.65141E-04 4 Prefactor .93228 .83130E-01 .17282E-03 -.51838E-04 ERR DEF= .500 START SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION. CONVERGENCE WHEN EDM .LT. .20E-04 SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 17524.23 FROM SIMPLEX STATUS=UNCHANGED 84 CALLS 490 TOTAL EDM= .15E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 4.0453 95.017 .13071E-04 -1.5668 2 alpha 4.3195 2.8141 .31632E-02 .81509 3 Normalizat .94216 .17708 .88854E-04 -.94994 4 Prefactor .93228 .83130E-01 .51126E-04 -.95022 ERR DEF= .500 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 17524.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 33 CALLS 523 TOTAL EDM= .65E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 4.0453 6.9766 .20060E-04 -.60982E-03 2 alpha 4.3195 1.2183 .11880E-01 -.15005E-05 3 Normalizat .94216 .17199 .13794E-04 -.65273E-04 4 Prefactor .93228 .83308E-01 .69127E-05 -.52628E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 4.04529 alpha = 4.31946 Normalizat = 0.942158 Prefactor = 0.932276 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17524.23 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 548 TOTAL EDM= .64E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 4.0453 6.3664 .80238E-06 -1.5668 2 alpha 4.3195 1.1318 .47521E-03 .81509 3 Normalizat .94216 .17223 .27589E-05 -.94994 4 Prefactor .93228 .83369E-01 .13825E-05 -.95022 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.35993e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.36643 2 1.23613 3 0.172334 4 0.0833801 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2261832 delta logL = 0.679857572166 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 4.045e+00 6.366e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 4.319e+00 1.236e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 540 Prefactor: 9.323e-01 8.338e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 541 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 542 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 539 Normalization: 9.422e-01 1.723e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.49 Ra Dec: 327.163 6.879 Photon Index (Free Index): 4.32 +/- 1.24 Photon Flux (Free Index): 5.06e-08 +/- 4.70e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.60e-06 +/- 7.01e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32676390/cmap_HighResolution_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.62e-05', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='7.60e-06', dlogl='6.80e-01', photon_flux2='5.06e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-21 19:20:33.209377', photon_index_error2='1.24', photon_index2='4.32', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.91', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.66e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.01e-06', EG='1.01', time_epoch_completed='1784686833.21', return_code='0', job_id='32676390', GAL2='0.93', EG2='0.94', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='4.70e-08', ts2='1.49', photon_index='2.66' WHERE bin_id='937' AND source_name='4FGL J2148.6+0652' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 21 19:20:33 PDT 2026 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32676604/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits.....................! real 58.12 user 55.51 sys 1.51 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32676604/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32676604/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32676604/expmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32676604/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32676604/Model_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2148.6+0652' 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 5.891e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 2.658e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32676604/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32676604/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32676604/expmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32676604/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32676604/Model_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.9416447 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.90733 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .37524E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 7.1414 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .23018E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .51421E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .81705E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .27328 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .41065 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 48.642 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.9079 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .15821E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .89669 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .41710E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 3.2066 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 5.6167 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .11885E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 9.7728 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .20384E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .37032E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 1.1575 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 20 'Prefactor ' 5.8692 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 21 'Normalizat' 1.0097 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' .91303 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5430E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 17524.91 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 148 CALLS 1772 TOTAL EDM= .18E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 5.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .30426E-06 7.4362 -.81963E-07** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 7.1325 10.619 -.23911E-06 -.21071E-01 3 Prefactor .17042E-07 8.4051 -.43769E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .33473E-07 6.5876 .53995E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .33806E-07 21.100 .10264E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .28182 7.2943 -.43969E-06 -.16035E-03 7 Prefactor .40978 1.3971 .93456E-07 -.20547E-03 8 Prefactor 48.720 1.4043 .11003E-07 -.89269E-02 9 norm 1.9110 1.4054 -.95706E-07 -.13536E-02 10 Prefactor .33740E-06 11.253 .42869E-06** at limit ** 11 norm .89927 1.6108 .83351E-07 -.57685E-03 12 norm .22077E-06 2.3916 .14811E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 3.2054 2.9526 -.35599E-07 .20224E-03 14 Prefactor 5.8341 7.7035 .50230E-06 -.44496E-03 15 norm .0000 .24352 -.32079E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 9.8978 9.8459 -.37223E-07 -.35498E-02 17 Prefactor .51570E-07 5.0037 .45302E-07** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.9146 .19353E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 1.1577 .19514 -.10694E-06 -.46182E-03 20 Prefactor 5.8953 3.6176 .86776E-06 -.22714E-04 21 Normalizat 1.0090 .16884 -.82125E-05 -.40344E-04 22 Prefactor .91302 .81900E-01 .30520E-05 -.23933E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.04257e-07 Prefactor = 7.1325 Prefactor = 1.70419e-08 Prefactor = 3.34732e-08 Prefactor = 3.38063e-08 Prefactor = 0.281817 Prefactor = 0.409784 Prefactor = 48.7204 norm = 1.91102 Prefactor = 3.37397e-07 norm = 0.899266 norm = 2.20768e-07 Prefactor = 3.20537 Prefactor = 5.83409 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.89784 Prefactor = 5.15699e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.15774 Prefactor = 5.89533 Normalizat = 1.00898 Prefactor = 0.913025 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17524.91 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 400 CALLS 2172 TOTAL EDM= .18E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .30426E-06 14.168 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 7.1325 12.644 .37513E-03 -1.5655 3 Prefactor .17042E-07 10.914 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .33473E-07 8.1329 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .33806E-07 21.689 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .28182 1.1170 .76377E-02 -1.5697 7 Prefactor .40978 1.4407 .88263E-03 -1.5695 8 Prefactor 48.720 24.630 .14339E-03 -1.5568 9 norm 1.9110 1.4154 .75243E-03 -1.5680 10 Prefactor .33740E-06 16.986 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .89927 1.6859 .45990E-03 -1.5689 12 norm .22077E-06 7.0835 .11433E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 3.2054 2.9638 .56553E-03 -1.5672 14 Prefactor 5.8341 7.7517 .42364E-03 -1.5660 15 norm .0000 .23888 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 9.8978 9.9175 .32031E-03 -1.5645 17 Prefactor .51570E-07 9.1534 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.9353 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 1.1577 .19490 .52407E-02 -1.5493 20 Prefactor 5.8953 3.6201 .41441E-02 -1.5222 21 Normalizat 1.0090 .14501 .75561E-01 -.92730 22 Prefactor .91302 .68129E-01 .45171E-01 -.95687 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.84134e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00415236 2 12.644 3 0.000862088 4 0.00104376 5 0.00171309 6 1.11697 7 1.44067 8 24.6305 9 1.4154 10 0.0047878 11 1.68595 12 0.00250117 13 2.96378 14 7.75167 15 2.46384e-07 16 9.91755 17 0.00137403 18 2.9343e-05 19 0.194904 20 3.62018 21 0.145068 22 0.0681353 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.9060408 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 2.208e-07 2.501e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 2.658e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 540 Prefactor: 9.130e-01 6.814e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 541 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 542 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 539 Normalization: 1.009e+00 1.451e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 327.163 6.879 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.66346901858e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 1.61981639467e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32676387/likelihoodResults_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2335401 delta logL = 0.672500698442 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2261839 delta logL = 0.679856873772 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 4.0392 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 4.3209 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .94216 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93228 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5430E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD TERMINATED WITHOUT CONVERGENCE. FCN= 17524.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=FAILED 98 CALLS 406 TOTAL EDM= .67E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 4.0453 95.017 .10030E-03 .11838E-01 2 alpha 4.3195 2.8141 .59401E-01 .23565E-03 3 Normalizat .94216 .17708 .34486E-03 -.65141E-04 4 Prefactor .93228 .83130E-01 .17282E-03 -.51838E-04 ERR DEF= .500 START SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION. CONVERGENCE WHEN EDM .LT. .20E-04 SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 17524.23 FROM SIMPLEX STATUS=UNCHANGED 84 CALLS 490 TOTAL EDM= .15E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 4.0453 95.017 .13071E-04 -1.5668 2 alpha 4.3195 2.8141 .31632E-02 .81509 3 Normalizat .94216 .17708 .88854E-04 -.94994 4 Prefactor .93228 .83130E-01 .51126E-04 -.95022 ERR DEF= .500 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 17524.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 33 CALLS 523 TOTAL EDM= .65E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 4.0453 6.9766 .20060E-04 -.60982E-03 2 alpha 4.3195 1.2183 .11880E-01 -.15005E-05 3 Normalizat .94216 .17199 .13794E-04 -.65273E-04 4 Prefactor .93228 .83308E-01 .69127E-05 -.52628E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 4.04529 alpha = 4.31946 Normalizat = 0.942158 Prefactor = 0.932276 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17524.23 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 548 TOTAL EDM= .64E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 4.0453 6.3664 .80238E-06 -1.5668 2 alpha 4.3195 1.1318 .47521E-03 .81509 3 Normalizat .94216 .17223 .27589E-05 -.94994 4 Prefactor .93228 .83369E-01 .13825E-05 -.95022 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.35993e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.36643 2 1.23613 3 0.172334 4 0.0833801 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2261832 delta logL = 0.679857572166 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 4.045e+00 6.366e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 4.319e+00 1.236e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 540 Prefactor: 9.323e-01 8.338e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 541 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 542 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 539 Normalization: 9.422e-01 1.723e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.49 Ra Dec: 327.163 6.879 Photon Index (Free Index): 4.32 +/- 1.24 Photon Flux (Free Index): 5.06e-08 +/- 4.70e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.60e-06 +/- 7.01e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32676387/cmap_HighResolution_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.62e-05', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='7.60e-06', dlogl='6.80e-01', photon_flux2='5.06e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-21 19:21:03.960033', photon_index_error2='1.24', photon_index2='4.32', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.91', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.66e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.01e-06', EG='1.01', time_epoch_completed='1784686863.96', return_code='0', job_id='32676387', GAL2='0.93', EG2='0.94', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='4.70e-08', ts2='1.49', photon_index='2.66' WHERE bin_id='937' AND source_name='4FGL J2148.6+0652' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 21 19:21:04 PDT 2026 V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32676556/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits.....................! real 59.29 user 56.64 sys 1.45 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32676556/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32676556/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32676556/expmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32676556/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32676556/Model_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2148.6+0652' 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 5.891e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 2.658e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32676556/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32676556/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32676556/expmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32676556/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32676556/Model_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.9416447 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.90733 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .37524E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 7.1414 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .23018E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .51421E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .81705E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .27328 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .41065 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 48.642 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.9079 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .15821E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .89669 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .41710E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 3.2066 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 5.6167 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .11885E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 9.7728 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .20384E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .37032E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 1.1575 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 20 'Prefactor ' 5.8692 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 21 'Normalizat' 1.0097 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' .91303 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5430E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 17524.91 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 148 CALLS 1772 TOTAL EDM= .18E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 5.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .30426E-06 7.4362 -.81963E-07** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 7.1325 10.619 -.23911E-06 -.21071E-01 3 Prefactor .17042E-07 8.4051 -.43769E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .33473E-07 6.5876 .53995E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .33806E-07 21.100 .10264E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .28182 7.2943 -.43969E-06 -.16035E-03 7 Prefactor .40978 1.3971 .93456E-07 -.20547E-03 8 Prefactor 48.720 1.4043 .11003E-07 -.89269E-02 9 norm 1.9110 1.4054 -.95706E-07 -.13536E-02 10 Prefactor .33740E-06 11.253 .42869E-06** at limit ** 11 norm .89927 1.6108 .83351E-07 -.57685E-03 12 norm .22077E-06 2.3916 .14811E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 3.2054 2.9526 -.35599E-07 .20224E-03 14 Prefactor 5.8341 7.7035 .50230E-06 -.44496E-03 15 norm .0000 .24352 -.32079E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 9.8978 9.8459 -.37223E-07 -.35498E-02 17 Prefactor .51570E-07 5.0037 .45302E-07** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.9146 .19353E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 1.1577 .19514 -.10694E-06 -.46182E-03 20 Prefactor 5.8953 3.6176 .86776E-06 -.22714E-04 21 Normalizat 1.0090 .16884 -.82125E-05 -.40344E-04 22 Prefactor .91302 .81900E-01 .30520E-05 -.23933E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.04257e-07 Prefactor = 7.1325 Prefactor = 1.70419e-08 Prefactor = 3.34732e-08 Prefactor = 3.38063e-08 Prefactor = 0.281817 Prefactor = 0.409784 Prefactor = 48.7204 norm = 1.91102 Prefactor = 3.37397e-07 norm = 0.899266 norm = 2.20768e-07 Prefactor = 3.20537 Prefactor = 5.83409 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.89784 Prefactor = 5.15699e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.15774 Prefactor = 5.89533 Normalizat = 1.00898 Prefactor = 0.913025 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17524.91 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 400 CALLS 2172 TOTAL EDM= .18E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .30426E-06 14.168 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 7.1325 12.644 .37513E-03 -1.5655 3 Prefactor .17042E-07 10.914 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .33473E-07 8.1329 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .33806E-07 21.689 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .28182 1.1170 .76377E-02 -1.5697 7 Prefactor .40978 1.4407 .88263E-03 -1.5695 8 Prefactor 48.720 24.630 .14339E-03 -1.5568 9 norm 1.9110 1.4154 .75243E-03 -1.5680 10 Prefactor .33740E-06 16.986 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .89927 1.6859 .45990E-03 -1.5689 12 norm .22077E-06 7.0835 .11433E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 3.2054 2.9638 .56553E-03 -1.5672 14 Prefactor 5.8341 7.7517 .42364E-03 -1.5660 15 norm .0000 .23888 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 9.8978 9.9175 .32031E-03 -1.5645 17 Prefactor .51570E-07 9.1534 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.9353 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 1.1577 .19490 .52407E-02 -1.5493 20 Prefactor 5.8953 3.6201 .41441E-02 -1.5222 21 Normalizat 1.0090 .14501 .75561E-01 -.92730 22 Prefactor .91302 .68129E-01 .45171E-01 -.95687 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.84134e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00415236 2 12.644 3 0.000862088 4 0.00104376 5 0.00171309 6 1.11697 7 1.44067 8 24.6305 9 1.4154 10 0.0047878 11 1.68595 12 0.00250117 13 2.96378 14 7.75167 15 2.46384e-07 16 9.91755 17 0.00137403 18 2.9343e-05 19 0.194904 20 3.62018 21 0.145068 22 0.0681353 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17524.91 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 400 CALLS 2172 TOTAL EDM= .18E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .30426E-06 14.168 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 7.1325 12.644 .37513E-03 -1.5655 3 Prefactor .17042E-07 10.914 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .33473E-07 8.1329 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .33806E-07 21.689 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .28182 1.1170 .76377E-02 -1.5697 7 Prefactor .40978 1.4407 .88263E-03 -1.5695 8 Prefactor 48.720 24.630 .14339E-03 -1.5568 9 norm 1.9110 1.4154 .75243E-03 -1.5680 10 Prefactor .33740E-06 16.986 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .89927 1.6859 .45990E-03 -1.5689 12 norm .22077E-06 7.0835 .11433E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 3.2054 2.9638 .56553E-03 -1.5672 14 Prefactor 5.8341 7.7517 .42364E-03 -1.5660 15 norm .0000 .23888 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 9.8978 9.9175 .32031E-03 -1.5645 17 Prefactor .51570E-07 9.1534 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.9353 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 1.1577 .19490 .52407E-02 -1.5493 20 Prefactor 5.8953 3.6201 .41441E-02 -1.5222 21 Normalizat 1.0090 .14501 .75561E-01 -.92730 22 Prefactor .91302 .68129E-01 .45171E-01 -.95687 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.84134e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00415236 2 12.644 3 0.000862088 4 0.00104376 5 0.00171309 6 1.11697 7 1.44067 8 24.6305 9 1.4154 10 0.0047878 11 1.68595 12 0.00250117 13 2.96378 14 7.75167 15 2.46384e-07 16 9.91755 17 0.00137403 18 2.9343e-05 19 0.194904 20 3.62018 21 0.145068 22 0.0681353 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.9060408 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 2.208e-07 2.501e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 2.658e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 540 Prefactor: 9.130e-01 6.814e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 541 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 542 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 539 Normalization: 1.009e+00 1.451e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 327.163 6.879 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.66346901858e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 1.61981639467e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32676478/likelihoodResults_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2335401 delta logL = 0.672500698442 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2261839 delta logL = 0.679856873772 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 4.0392 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 4.3209 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .94216 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93228 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5430E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD TERMINATED WITHOUT CONVERGENCE. FCN= 17524.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=FAILED 98 CALLS 406 TOTAL EDM= .67E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 4.0453 95.017 .10030E-03 .11838E-01 2 alpha 4.3195 2.8141 .59401E-01 .23565E-03 3 Normalizat .94216 .17708 .34486E-03 -.65141E-04 4 Prefactor .93228 .83130E-01 .17282E-03 -.51838E-04 ERR DEF= .500 START SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION. CONVERGENCE WHEN EDM .LT. .20E-04 SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 17524.23 FROM SIMPLEX STATUS=UNCHANGED 84 CALLS 490 TOTAL EDM= .15E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 4.0453 95.017 .13071E-04 -1.5668 2 alpha 4.3195 2.8141 .31632E-02 .81509 3 Normalizat .94216 .17708 .88854E-04 -.94994 4 Prefactor .93228 .83130E-01 .51126E-04 -.95022 ERR DEF= .500 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 17524.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 33 CALLS 523 TOTAL EDM= .65E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 4.0453 6.9766 .20060E-04 -.60982E-03 2 alpha 4.3195 1.2183 .11880E-01 -.15005E-05 3 Normalizat .94216 .17199 .13794E-04 -.65273E-04 4 Prefactor .93228 .83308E-01 .69127E-05 -.52628E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 4.04529 alpha = 4.31946 Normalizat = 0.942158 Prefactor = 0.932276 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17524.23 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 548 TOTAL EDM= .64E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 4.0453 6.3664 .80238E-06 -1.5668 2 alpha 4.3195 1.1318 .47521E-03 .81509 3 Normalizat .94216 .17223 .27589E-05 -.94994 4 Prefactor .93228 .83369E-01 .13825E-05 -.95022 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.35993e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.36643 2 1.23613 3 0.172334 4 0.0833801 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2261832 delta logL = 0.679857572166 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 4.045e+00 6.366e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 4.319e+00 1.236e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 540 Prefactor: 9.323e-01 8.338e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 541 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 542 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 539 Normalization: 9.422e-01 1.723e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.49 Ra Dec: 327.163 6.879 Photon Index (Free Index): 4.32 +/- 1.24 Photon Flux (Free Index): 5.06e-08 +/- 4.70e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.60e-06 +/- 7.01e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32676478/cmap_HighResolution_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.62e-05', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='7.60e-06', dlogl='6.80e-01', photon_flux2='5.06e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-21 19:22:21.248379', photon_index_error2='1.24', photon_index2='4.32', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.91', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.66e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.01e-06', EG='1.01', time_epoch_completed='1784686941.25', return_code='0', job_id='32676478', GAL2='0.93', EG2='0.94', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='4.70e-08', ts2='1.49', photon_index='2.66' WHERE bin_id='937' AND source_name='4FGL J2148.6+0652' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 21 19:22:21 PDT 2026 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32676676/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits.....................! real 51.60 user 49.57 sys 0.92 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32676676/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32676676/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32676676/expmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32676676/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32676676/Model_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2148.6+0652' 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 5.891e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 2.658e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32676676/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32676676/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32676676/expmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32676676/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32676676/Model_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.9416447 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.90733 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .37524E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 7.1414 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .23018E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .51421E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .81705E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .27328 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .41065 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 48.642 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.9079 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .15821E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .89669 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .41710E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 3.2066 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 5.6167 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .11885E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 9.7728 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .20384E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .37032E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 1.1575 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 20 'Prefactor ' 5.8692 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 21 'Normalizat' 1.0097 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' .91303 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5430E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 17524.91 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 148 CALLS 1772 TOTAL EDM= .18E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 5.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .30426E-06 7.4362 -.81963E-07** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 7.1325 10.619 -.23911E-06 -.21071E-01 3 Prefactor .17042E-07 8.4051 -.43769E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .33473E-07 6.5876 .53995E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .33806E-07 21.100 .10264E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .28182 7.2943 -.43969E-06 -.16035E-03 7 Prefactor .40978 1.3971 .93456E-07 -.20547E-03 8 Prefactor 48.720 1.4043 .11003E-07 -.89269E-02 9 norm 1.9110 1.4054 -.95706E-07 -.13536E-02 10 Prefactor .33740E-06 11.253 .42869E-06** at limit ** 11 norm .89927 1.6108 .83351E-07 -.57685E-03 12 norm .22077E-06 2.3916 .14811E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 3.2054 2.9526 -.35599E-07 .20224E-03 14 Prefactor 5.8341 7.7035 .50230E-06 -.44496E-03 15 norm .0000 .24352 -.32079E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 9.8978 9.8459 -.37223E-07 -.35498E-02 17 Prefactor .51570E-07 5.0037 .45302E-07** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.9146 .19353E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 1.1577 .19514 -.10694E-06 -.46182E-03 20 Prefactor 5.8953 3.6176 .86776E-06 -.22714E-04 21 Normalizat 1.0090 .16884 -.82125E-05 -.40344E-04 22 Prefactor .91302 .81900E-01 .30520E-05 -.23933E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.04257e-07 Prefactor = 7.1325 Prefactor = 1.70419e-08 Prefactor = 3.34732e-08 Prefactor = 3.38063e-08 Prefactor = 0.281817 Prefactor = 0.409784 Prefactor = 48.7204 norm = 1.91102 Prefactor = 3.37397e-07 norm = 0.899266 norm = 2.20768e-07 Prefactor = 3.20537 Prefactor = 5.83409 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.89784 Prefactor = 5.15699e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.15774 Prefactor = 5.89533 Normalizat = 1.00898 Prefactor = 0.913025 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.9060408 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 2.208e-07 2.501e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 2.658e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 540 Prefactor: 9.130e-01 6.814e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 541 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 542 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 539 Normalization: 1.009e+00 1.451e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 327.163 6.879 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.66346901858e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 1.61981639467e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32676604/likelihoodResults_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2335401 delta logL = 0.672500698442 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2261839 delta logL = 0.679856873772 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 4.0392 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 4.3209 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .94216 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93228 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5430E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD TERMINATED WITHOUT CONVERGENCE. FCN= 17524.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=FAILED 98 CALLS 406 TOTAL EDM= .67E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 4.0453 95.017 .10030E-03 .11838E-01 2 alpha 4.3195 2.8141 .59401E-01 .23565E-03 3 Normalizat .94216 .17708 .34486E-03 -.65141E-04 4 Prefactor .93228 .83130E-01 .17282E-03 -.51838E-04 ERR DEF= .500 START SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION. CONVERGENCE WHEN EDM .LT. .20E-04 SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 17524.23 FROM SIMPLEX STATUS=UNCHANGED 84 CALLS 490 TOTAL EDM= .15E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 4.0453 95.017 .13071E-04 -1.5668 2 alpha 4.3195 2.8141 .31632E-02 .81509 3 Normalizat .94216 .17708 .88854E-04 -.94994 4 Prefactor .93228 .83130E-01 .51126E-04 -.95022 ERR DEF= .500 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 17524.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 33 CALLS 523 TOTAL EDM= .65E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 4.0453 6.9766 .20060E-04 -.60982E-03 2 alpha 4.3195 1.2183 .11880E-01 -.15005E-05 3 Normalizat .94216 .17199 .13794E-04 -.65273E-04 4 Prefactor .93228 .83308E-01 .69127E-05 -.52628E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 4.04529 alpha = 4.31946 Normalizat = 0.942158 Prefactor = 0.932276 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17524.23 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 548 TOTAL EDM= .64E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 4.0453 6.3664 .80238E-06 -1.5668 2 alpha 4.3195 1.1318 .47521E-03 .81509 3 Normalizat .94216 .17223 .27589E-05 -.94994 4 Prefactor .93228 .83369E-01 .13825E-05 -.95022 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.35993e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.36643 2 1.23613 3 0.172334 4 0.0833801 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2261832 delta logL = 0.679857572166 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 4.045e+00 6.366e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 4.319e+00 1.236e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 540 Prefactor: 9.323e-01 8.338e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 541 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 542 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 539 Normalization: 9.422e-01 1.723e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.49 Ra Dec: 327.163 6.879 Photon Index (Free Index): 4.32 +/- 1.24 Photon Flux (Free Index): 5.06e-08 +/- 4.70e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.60e-06 +/- 7.01e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32676604/cmap_HighResolution_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.62e-05', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='7.60e-06', dlogl='6.80e-01', photon_flux2='5.06e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-21 19:22:41.981836', photon_index_error2='1.24', photon_index2='4.32', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.91', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.66e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.01e-06', EG='1.01', time_epoch_completed='1784686961.98', return_code='0', job_id='32676604', GAL2='0.93', EG2='0.94', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='4.70e-08', ts2='1.49', photon_index='2.66' WHERE bin_id='937' AND source_name='4FGL J2148.6+0652' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 21 19:22:42 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17524.91 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 400 CALLS 2172 TOTAL EDM= .18E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .30426E-06 14.168 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 7.1325 12.644 .37513E-03 -1.5655 3 Prefactor .17042E-07 10.914 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .33473E-07 8.1329 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .33806E-07 21.689 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .28182 1.1170 .76377E-02 -1.5697 7 Prefactor .40978 1.4407 .88263E-03 -1.5695 8 Prefactor 48.720 24.630 .14339E-03 -1.5568 9 norm 1.9110 1.4154 .75243E-03 -1.5680 10 Prefactor .33740E-06 16.986 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .89927 1.6859 .45990E-03 -1.5689 12 norm .22077E-06 7.0835 .11433E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 3.2054 2.9638 .56553E-03 -1.5672 14 Prefactor 5.8341 7.7517 .42364E-03 -1.5660 15 norm .0000 .23888 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 9.8978 9.9175 .32031E-03 -1.5645 17 Prefactor .51570E-07 9.1534 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.9353 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 1.1577 .19490 .52407E-02 -1.5493 20 Prefactor 5.8953 3.6201 .41441E-02 -1.5222 21 Normalizat 1.0090 .14501 .75561E-01 -.92730 22 Prefactor .91302 .68129E-01 .45171E-01 -.95687 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.84134e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00415236 2 12.644 3 0.000862088 4 0.00104376 5 0.00171309 6 1.11697 7 1.44067 8 24.6305 9 1.4154 10 0.0047878 11 1.68595 12 0.00250117 13 2.96378 14 7.75167 15 2.46384e-07 16 9.91755 17 0.00137403 18 2.9343e-05 19 0.194904 20 3.62018 21 0.145068 22 0.0681353 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32676738/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits.....................! real 59.62 user 57.12 sys 1.29 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32676738/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32676738/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32676738/expmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32676738/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32676738/Model_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2148.6+0652' 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 5.891e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 2.658e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32676738/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32676738/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32676738/expmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32676738/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32676738/Model_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.9416447 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.90733 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .37524E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 7.1414 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .23018E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .51421E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .81705E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .27328 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .41065 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 48.642 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.9079 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .15821E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .89669 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .41710E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 3.2066 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 5.6167 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .11885E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 9.7728 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .20384E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .37032E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 1.1575 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 20 'Prefactor ' 5.8692 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 21 'Normalizat' 1.0097 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' .91303 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5430E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 17524.91 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 148 CALLS 1772 TOTAL EDM= .18E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 5.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .30426E-06 7.4362 -.81963E-07** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 7.1325 10.619 -.23911E-06 -.21071E-01 3 Prefactor .17042E-07 8.4051 -.43769E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .33473E-07 6.5876 .53995E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .33806E-07 21.100 .10264E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .28182 7.2943 -.43969E-06 -.16035E-03 7 Prefactor .40978 1.3971 .93456E-07 -.20547E-03 8 Prefactor 48.720 1.4043 .11003E-07 -.89269E-02 9 norm 1.9110 1.4054 -.95706E-07 -.13536E-02 10 Prefactor .33740E-06 11.253 .42869E-06** at limit ** 11 norm .89927 1.6108 .83351E-07 -.57685E-03 12 norm .22077E-06 2.3916 .14811E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 3.2054 2.9526 -.35599E-07 .20224E-03 14 Prefactor 5.8341 7.7035 .50230E-06 -.44496E-03 15 norm .0000 .24352 -.32079E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 9.8978 9.8459 -.37223E-07 -.35498E-02 17 Prefactor .51570E-07 5.0037 .45302E-07** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.9146 .19353E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 1.1577 .19514 -.10694E-06 -.46182E-03 20 Prefactor 5.8953 3.6176 .86776E-06 -.22714E-04 21 Normalizat 1.0090 .16884 -.82125E-05 -.40344E-04 22 Prefactor .91302 .81900E-01 .30520E-05 -.23933E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.04257e-07 Prefactor = 7.1325 Prefactor = 1.70419e-08 Prefactor = 3.34732e-08 Prefactor = 3.38063e-08 Prefactor = 0.281817 Prefactor = 0.409784 Prefactor = 48.7204 norm = 1.91102 Prefactor = 3.37397e-07 norm = 0.899266 norm = 2.20768e-07 Prefactor = 3.20537 Prefactor = 5.83409 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.89784 Prefactor = 5.15699e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.15774 Prefactor = 5.89533 Normalizat = 1.00898 Prefactor = 0.913025 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.9060408 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 2.208e-07 2.501e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 2.658e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 540 Prefactor: 9.130e-01 6.814e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 541 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 542 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 539 Normalization: 1.009e+00 1.451e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 327.163 6.879 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.66346901858e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 1.61981639467e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32676556/likelihoodResults_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2335401 delta logL = 0.672500698442 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2261839 delta logL = 0.679856873772 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 4.0392 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 4.3209 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .94216 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93228 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5430E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD TERMINATED WITHOUT CONVERGENCE. FCN= 17524.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=FAILED 98 CALLS 406 TOTAL EDM= .67E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 4.0453 95.017 .10030E-03 .11838E-01 2 alpha 4.3195 2.8141 .59401E-01 .23565E-03 3 Normalizat .94216 .17708 .34486E-03 -.65141E-04 4 Prefactor .93228 .83130E-01 .17282E-03 -.51838E-04 ERR DEF= .500 START SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION. CONVERGENCE WHEN EDM .LT. .20E-04 SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 17524.23 FROM SIMPLEX STATUS=UNCHANGED 84 CALLS 490 TOTAL EDM= .15E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 4.0453 95.017 .13071E-04 -1.5668 2 alpha 4.3195 2.8141 .31632E-02 .81509 3 Normalizat .94216 .17708 .88854E-04 -.94994 4 Prefactor .93228 .83130E-01 .51126E-04 -.95022 ERR DEF= .500 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 17524.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 33 CALLS 523 TOTAL EDM= .65E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 4.0453 6.9766 .20060E-04 -.60982E-03 2 alpha 4.3195 1.2183 .11880E-01 -.15005E-05 3 Normalizat .94216 .17199 .13794E-04 -.65273E-04 4 Prefactor .93228 .83308E-01 .69127E-05 -.52628E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 4.04529 alpha = 4.31946 Normalizat = 0.942158 Prefactor = 0.932276 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17524.23 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 548 TOTAL EDM= .64E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 4.0453 6.3664 .80238E-06 -1.5668 2 alpha 4.3195 1.1318 .47521E-03 .81509 3 Normalizat .94216 .17223 .27589E-05 -.94994 4 Prefactor .93228 .83369E-01 .13825E-05 -.95022 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.35993e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.36643 2 1.23613 3 0.172334 4 0.0833801 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2261832 delta logL = 0.679857572166 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 4.045e+00 6.366e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 4.319e+00 1.236e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 540 Prefactor: 9.323e-01 8.338e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 541 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 542 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 539 Normalization: 9.422e-01 1.723e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.49 Ra Dec: 327.163 6.879 Photon Index (Free Index): 4.32 +/- 1.24 Photon Flux (Free Index): 5.06e-08 +/- 4.70e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.60e-06 +/- 7.01e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32676556/cmap_HighResolution_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.62e-05', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='7.60e-06', dlogl='6.80e-01', photon_flux2='5.06e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-21 19:23:13.467560', photon_index_error2='1.24', photon_index2='4.32', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.91', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.66e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.01e-06', EG='1.01', time_epoch_completed='1784686993.47', return_code='0', job_id='32676556', GAL2='0.93', EG2='0.94', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='4.70e-08', ts2='1.49', photon_index='2.66' WHERE bin_id='937' AND source_name='4FGL J2148.6+0652' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 21 19:23:14 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17524.91 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 400 CALLS 2172 TOTAL EDM= .18E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .30426E-06 14.168 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 7.1325 12.644 .37513E-03 -1.5655 3 Prefactor .17042E-07 10.914 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .33473E-07 8.1329 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .33806E-07 21.689 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .28182 1.1170 .76377E-02 -1.5697 7 Prefactor .40978 1.4407 .88263E-03 -1.5695 8 Prefactor 48.720 24.630 .14339E-03 -1.5568 9 norm 1.9110 1.4154 .75243E-03 -1.5680 10 Prefactor .33740E-06 16.986 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .89927 1.6859 .45990E-03 -1.5689 12 norm .22077E-06 7.0835 .11433E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 3.2054 2.9638 .56553E-03 -1.5672 14 Prefactor 5.8341 7.7517 .42364E-03 -1.5660 15 norm .0000 .23888 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 9.8978 9.9175 .32031E-03 -1.5645 17 Prefactor .51570E-07 9.1534 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.9353 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 1.1577 .19490 .52407E-02 -1.5493 20 Prefactor 5.8953 3.6201 .41441E-02 -1.5222 21 Normalizat 1.0090 .14501 .75561E-01 -.92730 22 Prefactor .91302 .68129E-01 .45171E-01 -.95687 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.84134e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00415236 2 12.644 3 0.000862088 4 0.00104376 5 0.00171309 6 1.11697 7 1.44067 8 24.6305 9 1.4154 10 0.0047878 11 1.68595 12 0.00250117 13 2.96378 14 7.75167 15 2.46384e-07 16 9.91755 17 0.00137403 18 2.9343e-05 19 0.194904 20 3.62018 21 0.145068 22 0.0681353 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.9060408 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 2.208e-07 2.501e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 2.658e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 540 Prefactor: 9.130e-01 6.814e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 541 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 542 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 539 Normalization: 1.009e+00 1.451e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 327.163 6.879 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.66346901858e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 1.61981639467e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32676676/likelihoodResults_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2335401 delta logL = 0.672500698442 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2261839 delta logL = 0.679856873772 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 4.0392 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 4.3209 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .94216 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93228 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5430E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD TERMINATED WITHOUT CONVERGENCE. FCN= 17524.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=FAILED 98 CALLS 406 TOTAL EDM= .67E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 4.0453 95.017 .10030E-03 .11838E-01 2 alpha 4.3195 2.8141 .59401E-01 .23565E-03 3 Normalizat .94216 .17708 .34486E-03 -.65141E-04 4 Prefactor .93228 .83130E-01 .17282E-03 -.51838E-04 ERR DEF= .500 START SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION. CONVERGENCE WHEN EDM .LT. .20E-04 SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 17524.23 FROM SIMPLEX STATUS=UNCHANGED 84 CALLS 490 TOTAL EDM= .15E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 4.0453 95.017 .13071E-04 -1.5668 2 alpha 4.3195 2.8141 .31632E-02 .81509 3 Normalizat .94216 .17708 .88854E-04 -.94994 4 Prefactor .93228 .83130E-01 .51126E-04 -.95022 ERR DEF= .500 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 17524.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 33 CALLS 523 TOTAL EDM= .65E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 4.0453 6.9766 .20060E-04 -.60982E-03 2 alpha 4.3195 1.2183 .11880E-01 -.15005E-05 3 Normalizat .94216 .17199 .13794E-04 -.65273E-04 4 Prefactor .93228 .83308E-01 .69127E-05 -.52628E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 4.04529 alpha = 4.31946 Normalizat = 0.942158 Prefactor = 0.932276 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17524.23 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 548 TOTAL EDM= .64E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 4.0453 6.3664 .80238E-06 -1.5668 2 alpha 4.3195 1.1318 .47521E-03 .81509 3 Normalizat .94216 .17223 .27589E-05 -.94994 4 Prefactor .93228 .83369E-01 .13825E-05 -.95022 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.35993e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.36643 2 1.23613 3 0.172334 4 0.0833801 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2261832 delta logL = 0.679857572166 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 4.045e+00 6.366e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 4.319e+00 1.236e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 540 Prefactor: 9.323e-01 8.338e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 541 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 542 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 539 Normalization: 9.422e-01 1.723e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.49 Ra Dec: 327.163 6.879 Photon Index (Free Index): 4.32 +/- 1.24 Photon Flux (Free Index): 5.06e-08 +/- 4.70e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.60e-06 +/- 7.01e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32676676/cmap_HighResolution_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.62e-05', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='7.60e-06', dlogl='6.80e-01', photon_flux2='5.06e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-21 19:24:20.591078', photon_index_error2='1.24', photon_index2='4.32', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.91', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.66e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.01e-06', EG='1.01', time_epoch_completed='1784687060.59', return_code='0', job_id='32676676', GAL2='0.93', EG2='0.94', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='4.70e-08', ts2='1.49', photon_index='2.66' WHERE bin_id='937' AND source_name='4FGL J2148.6+0652' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 21 19:24:21 PDT 2026 number of points = 17284 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937 RA = 327.163, Dec = 6.8791 tmin = 805680001, tmax = 806284801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='32677202', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-21 19:15:07.190855', time_epoch_executed='1784686507.19' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2148.6+0652' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='937' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/32677202 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/32677202/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=805680001.0 && nMetStart<806284801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=805680001.0 && nMetStart<806284801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ft1_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=805680001.0 && nMetStart<806284801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ft1_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits ra=327.163 dec=6.8791 rad=12.0 tmin=805680001.0 tmax=806284801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.98 user 3.68 sys 0.22 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.22 user 0.20 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1593 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits sctable="SC_DATA" oDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.9060408 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 2.208e-07 2.501e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 2.658e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 540 Prefactor: 9.130e-01 6.814e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 541 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 542 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 539 Normalization: 1.009e+00 1.451e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 327.163 6.879 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.66346901858e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 1.61981639467e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32676738/likelihoodResults_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2335401 delta logL = 0.672500698442 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2261839 delta logL = 0.679856873772 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 4.0392 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 4.3209 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .94216 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93228 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5430E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD TERMINATED WITHOUT CONVERGENCE. FCN= 17524.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=FAILED 98 CALLS 406 TOTAL EDM= .67E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 4.0453 95.017 .10030E-03 .11838E-01 2 alpha 4.3195 2.8141 .59401E-01 .23565E-03 3 Normalizat .94216 .17708 .34486E-03 -.65141E-04 4 Prefactor .93228 .83130E-01 .17282E-03 -.51838E-04 ERR DEF= .500 START SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION. CONVERGENCE WHEN EDM .LT. .20E-04 SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 17524.23 FROM SIMPLEX STATUS=UNCHANGED 84 CALLS 490 TOTAL EDM= .15E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 4.0453 95.017 .13071E-04 -1.5668 2 alpha 4.3195 2.8141 .31632E-02 .81509 3 Normalizat .94216 .17708 .88854E-04 -.94994 4 Prefactor .93228 .83130E-01 .51126E-04 -.95022 ERR DEF= .500 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 17524.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 33 CALLS 523 TOTAL EDM= .65E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 4.0453 6.9766 .20060E-04 -.60982E-03 2 alpha 4.3195 1.2183 .11880E-01 -.15005E-05 3 Normalizat .94216 .17199 .13794E-04 -.65273E-04 4 Prefactor .93228 .83308E-01 .69127E-05 -.52628E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 4.04529 alpha = 4.31946 Normalizat = 0.942158 Prefactor = 0.932276 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17524.23 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 548 TOTAL EDM= .64E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 4.0453 6.3664 .80238E-06 -1.5668 2 alpha 4.3195 1.1318 .47521E-03 .81509 3 Normalizat .94216 .17223 .27589E-05 -.94994 4 Prefactor .93228 .83369E-01 .13825E-05 -.95022 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.35993e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.36643 2 1.23613 3 0.172334 4 0.0833801 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2261832 delta logL = 0.679857572166 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 4.045e+00 6.366e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 4.319e+00 1.236e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 540 Prefactor: 9.323e-01 8.338e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 541 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 542 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 539 Normalization: 9.422e-01 1.723e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.49 Ra Dec: 327.163 6.879 Photon Index (Free Index): 4.32 +/- 1.24 Photon Flux (Free Index): 5.06e-08 +/- 4.70e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.60e-06 +/- 7.01e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32676738/cmap_HighResolution_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.62e-05', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='7.60e-06', dlogl='6.80e-01', photon_flux2='5.06e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-21 19:25:03.129032', photon_index_error2='1.24', photon_index2='4.32', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.91', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.66e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.01e-06', EG='1.01', time_epoch_completed='1784687103.13', return_code='0', job_id='32676738', GAL2='0.93', EG2='0.94', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='4.70e-08', ts2='1.49', photon_index='2.66' WHERE bin_id='937' AND source_name='4FGL J2148.6+0652' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 21 19:25:03 PDT 2026 utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits .....................! real 16.20 user 15.11 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/expmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits .....................! real 60.10 user 55.51 sys 3.61 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 167 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2148.6+0652 @ 327.163 6.8791 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/cmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=327.163 yref=6.8791 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.03 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/cmap_HighResolution_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=327.163 yref=6.8791 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.04 user 0.20 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/Model_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALnumber of points = 17284 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937 RA = 327.163, Dec = 6.8791 tmin = 805680001, tmax = 806284801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='32677803', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-21 19:19:15.371467', time_epoch_executed='1784686755.37' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2148.6+0652' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='937' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/32677803 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/32677803/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=805680001.0 && nMetStart<806284801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=805680001.0 && nMetStart<806284801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ft1_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=805680001.0 && nMetStart<806284801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ft1_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits ra=327.163 dec=6.8791 rad=12.0 tmin=805680001.0 tmax=806284801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 5.04 user 3.74 sys 0.22 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.28 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1593 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits sctable="SC_DATA" onumber of points = 17284 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937 RA = 327.163, Dec = 6.8791 tmin = 805680001, tmax = 806284801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='32677884', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-21 19:20:12.788198', time_epoch_executed='1784686812.79' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2148.6+0652' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='937' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/32677884 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/32677884/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=805680001.0 && nMetStart<806284801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=805680001.0 && nMetStart<806284801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ft1_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=805680001.0 && nMetStart<806284801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ft1_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits ra=327.163 dec=6.8791 rad=12.0 tmin=805680001.0 tmax=806284801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.90 user 3.95 sys 0.22 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.88 user 0.21 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1593 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits sctable="SC_DATA" o_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits.....................! real 52.87 user 50.93 sys 0.91 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/expmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32677202/Model_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2148.6+0652' 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 5.891e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 2.658e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32677202/expmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32677202/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32677202/Model_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.9416447 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.90733 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .37524E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 7.1414 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .23018E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .51421E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .81705E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .27328 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .41065 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 48.642 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.9079 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .15821E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .89669 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .41710E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 3.2066 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 5.6167 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .11885E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 9.7728 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .20384E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .37032E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 1.1575 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 20 'Prefactor ' 5.8692 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 21 'Normalizat' 1.0097 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' .91303 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5430E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 17524.91 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 148 CALLS 1772 TOTAL EDM= .18E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 5.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .30426E-06 7.4362 -.81963E-07** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 7.1325 10.619 -.23911E-06 -.21071E-01 3 Prefactor .17042E-07 8.4051 -.43769E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .33473E-07 6.5876 .53995E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .33806E-07 21.100 .10264E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .28182 7.2943 -.43969E-06 -.16035E-03 7 Prefactor .40978 1.3971 .93456E-07 -.20547E-03 8 Prefactor 48.720 1.4043 .11003E-07 -.89269E-02 9 norm 1.9110 1.4054 -.95706E-07 -.13536E-02 10 Prefactor .33740E-06 11.253 .42869E-06** at limit ** 11 norm .89927 1.6108 .83351E-07 -.57685E-03 12 norm .22077E-06 2.3916 .14811E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 3.2054 2.9526 -.35599E-07 .20224E-03 14 Prefactor 5.8341 7.7035 .50230E-06 -.44496E-03 15 norm .0000 .24352 -.32079E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 9.8978 9.8459 -.37223E-07 -.35498E-02 17 Prefactor .51570E-07 5.0037 .45302E-07** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.9146 .19353E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 1.1577 .19514 -.10694E-06 -.46182E-03 20 Prefactor 5.8953 3.6176 .86776E-06 -.22714E-04 21 Normalizat 1.0090 .16884 -.82125E-05 -.40344E-04 22 Prefactor .91302 .81900E-01 .30520E-05 -.23933E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.04257e-07 Prefactor = 7.1325 Prefactor = 1.70419e-08 Prefactor = 3.34732e-08 Prefactor = 3.38063e-08 Prefactor = 0.281817 Prefactor = 0.409784 Prefactor = 48.7204 norm = 1.91102 Prefactor = 3.37397e-07 norm = 0.899266 norm = 2.20768e-07 Prefactor = 3.20537 Prefactor = 5.83409 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.89784 Prefactor = 5.15699e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.15774 Prefactor = 5.89533 Normalizat = 1.00898 Prefactor = 0.913025 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17524.91 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 400 CALLS 2172 TOTAL EDM= .18E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .30426E-06 14.168 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 7.1325 12.644 .37513E-03 -1.5655 3 Prefactor .17042E-07 10.914 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .33473E-07 8.1329 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .33806E-07 21.689 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .28182 1.1170 .76377E-02 -1.5697 7 Prefactor .40978 1.4407 .88263E-03 -1.5695 8 Prefactor 48.720 24.630 .14339E-03 -1.5568 9 norm 1.9110 1.4154 .75243E-03 -1.5680 10 Prefactor .33740E-06 16.986 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .89927 1.6859 .45990E-03 -1.5689 12 norm .22077E-06 7.0835 .11433E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 3.2054 2.9638 .56553E-03 -1.5672 14 Prefactor 5.8341 7.7517 .42364E-03 -1.5660 15 norm .0000 .23888 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 9.8978 9.9175 .32031E-03 -1.5645 17 Prefactor .51570E-07 9.1534 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.9353 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 1.1577 .19490 .52407E-02 -1.5493 20 Prefactor 5.8953 3.6201 .41441E-02 -1.5222 21 Normalizat 1.0090 .14501 .75561E-01 -.92730 22 Prefactor .91302 .68129E-01 .45171E-01 -.95687 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.84134e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00415236 2 12.644 3 0.000862088 4 0.00104376 5 0.00171309 6 1.11697 7 1.44067 8 24.6305 9 1.4154 10 0.0047878 11 1.68595 12 0.00250117 13 2.96378 14 7.75167 15 2.46384e-07 16 9.91755 17 0.00137403 18 2.9343e-05 19 0.194904 20 3.62018 21 0.145068 22 0.0681353 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.9060408 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 2.208e-07 2.501e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 2.658e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 540 Prefactor: 9.130e-01 6.814e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 541 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 542 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 539 Normalization: 1.009e+00 1.451e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 327.163 6.879 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.66346901858e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 1.61981639467e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32677202/likelihoodResults_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2335401 delta logL = 0.672500698442 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2261839 delta logL = 0.679856873772 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 4.0392 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 4.3209 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .94216 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93228 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5430E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD TERMINATED WITHOUT CONVERGENCE. FCN= 17524.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=FAILED 98 CALLS 406 TOTAL EDM= .67E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 4.0453 95.017 .10030E-03 .11838E-01 2 alpha 4.3195 2.8141 .59401E-01 .23565E-03 3 Normalizat .94216 .17708 .34486E-03 -.65141E-04 4 Prefactor .93228 .83130E-01 .17282E-03 -.51838E-04 ERR DEF= .500 START SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION. CONVERGENCE WHEN EDM .LT. .20E-04 SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 17524.23 FROM SIMPLEX STATUS=UNCHANGED 84 CALLS 490 TOTAL EDM= .15E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 4.0453 95.017 .13071E-04 -1.5668 2 alpha 4.3195 2.8141 .31632E-02 .81509 3 Normalizat .94216 .17708 .88854E-04 -.94994 4 Prefactor .93228 .83130E-01 .51126E-04 -.95022 ERR DEF= .500 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 17524.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 33 CALLS 523 TOTAL EDM= .65E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 4.0453 6.9766 .20060E-04 -.60982E-03 2 alpha 4.3195 1.2183 .11880E-01 -.15005E-05 3 Normalizat .94216 .17199 .13794E-04 -.65273E-04 4 Prefactor .93228 .83308E-01 .69127E-05 -.52628E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 4.04529 alpha = 4.31946 Normalizat = 0.942158 Prefactor = 0.932276 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17524.23 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 548 TOTAL EDM= .64E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 4.0453 6.3664 .80238E-06 -1.5668 2 alpha 4.3195 1.1318 .47521E-03 .81509 3 Normalizat .94216 .17223 .27589E-05 -.94994 4 Prefactor .93228 .83369E-01 .13825E-05 -.95022 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.35993e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.36643 2 1.23613 3 0.172334 4 0.0833801 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2261832 delta logL = 0.679857572166 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 4.045e+00 6.366e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 4.319e+00 1.236e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 540 Prefactor: 9.323e-01 8.338e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 541 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 542 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 539 Normalization: 9.422e-01 1.723e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.49 Ra Dec: 327.163 6.879 Photon Index (Free Index): 4.32 +/- 1.24 Photon Flux (Free Index): 5.06e-08 +/- 4.70e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.60e-06 +/- 7.01e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32677202/cmap_HighResolution_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.62e-05', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='7.60e-06', dlogl='6.80e-01', photon_flux2='5.06e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-21 19:31:13.683737', photon_index_error2='1.24', photon_index2='4.32', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.91', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.66e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.01e-06', EG='1.01', time_epoch_completed='1784687473.68', return_code='0', job_id='32677202', GAL2='0.93', EG2='0.94', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='4.70e-08', ts2='1.49', photon_index='2.66' WHERE bin_id='937' AND source_name='4FGL J2148.6+0652' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 21 19:31:14 PDT 2026 utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits .....................! real 16.37 user 15.21 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/expmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits .....................! real 60.06 user 55.48 sys 3.54 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 167 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2148.6+0652 @ 327.163 6.8791 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/cmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=327.163 yref=6.8791 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.22 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/cmap_HighResolution_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=327.163 yref=6.8791 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.13 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/Model_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALutfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits .....................! real 17.09 user 16.17 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/expmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits .....................! real 65.00 user 60.11 sys 3.77 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 167 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2148.6+0652 @ 327.163 6.8791 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/cmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=327.163 yref=6.8791 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.96 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/cmap_HighResolution_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=327.163 yref=6.8791 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.02 user 0.25 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/Model_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits.....................! real 53.26 user 51.24 sys 0.90 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/expmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32677803/Model_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2148.6+0652' 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 5.891e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 2.658e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32677803/expmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32677803/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32677803/Model_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.9416447 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.90733 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .37524E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 7.1414 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .23018E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .51421E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .81705E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .27328 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .41065 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 48.642 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.9079 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .15821E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .89669 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .41710E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 3.2066 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 5.6167 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .11885E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 9.7728 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .20384E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .37032E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 1.1575 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 20 'Prefactor ' 5.8692 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 21 'Normalizat' 1.0097 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' .91303 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5430E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 17524.91 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 148 CALLS 1772 TOTAL EDM= .18E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 5.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .30426E-06 7.4362 -.81963E-07** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 7.1325 10.619 -.23911E-06 -.21071E-01 3 Prefactor .17042E-07 8.4051 -.43769E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .33473E-07 6.5876 .53995E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .33806E-07 21.100 .10264E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .28182 7.2943 -.43969E-06 -.16035E-03 7 Prefactor .40978 1.3971 .93456E-07 -.20547E-03 8 Prefactor 48.720 1.4043 .11003E-07 -.89269E-02 9 norm 1.9110 1.4054 -.95706E-07 -.13536E-02 10 Prefactor .33740E-06 11.253 .42869E-06** at limit ** 11 norm .89927 1.6108 .83351E-07 -.57685E-03 12 norm .22077E-06 2.3916 .14811E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 3.2054 2.9526 -.35599E-07 .20224E-03 14 Prefactor 5.8341 7.7035 .50230E-06 -.44496E-03 15 norm .0000 .24352 -.32079E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 9.8978 9.8459 -.37223E-07 -.35498E-02 17 Prefactor .51570E-07 5.0037 .45302E-07** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.9146 .19353E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 1.1577 .19514 -.10694E-06 -.46182E-03 20 Prefactor 5.8953 3.6176 .86776E-06 -.22714E-04 21 Normalizat 1.0090 .16884 -.82125E-05 -.40344E-04 22 Prefactor .91302 .81900E-01 .30520E-05 -.23933E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.04257e-07 Prefactor = 7.1325 Prefactor = 1.70419e-08 Prefactor = 3.34732e-08 Prefactor = 3.38063e-08 Prefactor = 0.281817 Prefactor = 0.409784 Prefactor = 48.7204 norm = 1.91102 Prefactor = 3.37397e-07 norm = 0.899266 norm = 2.20768e-07 Prefactor = 3.20537 Prefactor = 5.83409 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.89784 Prefactor = 5.15699e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.15774 Prefactor = 5.89533 Normalizat = 1.00898 Prefactor = 0.913025 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17524.91 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 400 CALLS 2172 TOTAL EDM= .18E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .30426E-06 14.168 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 7.1325 12.644 .37513E-03 -1.5655 3 Prefactor .17042E-07 10.914 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .33473E-07 8.1329 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .33806E-07 21.689 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .28182 1.1170 .76377E-02 -1.5697 7 Prefactor .40978 1.4407 .88263E-03 -1.5695 8 Prefactor 48.720 24.630 .14339E-03 -1.5568 9 norm 1.9110 1.4154 .75243E-03 -1.5680 10 Prefactor .33740E-06 16.986 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .89927 1.6859 .45990E-03 -1.5689 12 norm .22077E-06 7.0835 .11433E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 3.2054 2.9638 .56553E-03 -1.5672 14 Prefactor 5.8341 7.7517 .42364E-03 -1.5660 15 norm .0000 .23888 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 9.8978 9.9175 .32031E-03 -1.5645 17 Prefactor .51570E-07 9.1534 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.9353 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 1.1577 .19490 .52407E-02 -1.5493 20 Prefactor 5.8953 3.6201 .41441E-02 -1.5222 21 Normalizat 1.0090 .14501 .75561E-01 -.92730 22 Prefactor .91302 .68129E-01 .45171E-01 -.95687 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.84134e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00415236 2 12.644 3 0.000862088 4 0.00104376 5 0.00171309 6 1.11697 7 1.44067 8 24.6305 9 1.4154 10 0.0047878 11 1.68595 12 0.00250117 13 2.96378 14 7.75167 15 2.46384e-07 16 9.91755 17 0.00137403 18 2.9343e-05 19 0.194904 20 3.62018 21 0.145068 22 0.0681353 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits.....................! real 58.23 user 55.81 sys 1.37 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/expmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32677884/Model_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2148.6+0652' 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 5.891e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 2.658e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32677884/expmap_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32677884/ltcube_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32677884/Model_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.9416447 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.90733 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .37524E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 7.1414 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .23018E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .51421E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .81705E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .27328 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .41065 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 48.642 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 1.9079 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .15821E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .89669 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .41710E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 3.2066 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 5.6167 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .11885E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 9.7728 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .20384E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .37032E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 1.1575 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 20 'Prefactor ' 5.8692 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 21 'Normalizat' 1.0097 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' .91303 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5430E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 17524.91 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 148 CALLS 1772 TOTAL EDM= .18E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 5.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .30426E-06 7.4362 -.81963E-07** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 7.1325 10.619 -.23911E-06 -.21071E-01 3 Prefactor .17042E-07 8.4051 -.43769E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .33473E-07 6.5876 .53995E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .33806E-07 21.100 .10264E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .28182 7.2943 -.43969E-06 -.16035E-03 7 Prefactor .40978 1.3971 .93456E-07 -.20547E-03 8 Prefactor 48.720 1.4043 .11003E-07 -.89269E-02 9 norm 1.9110 1.4054 -.95706E-07 -.13536E-02 10 Prefactor .33740E-06 11.253 .42869E-06** at limit ** 11 norm .89927 1.6108 .83351E-07 -.57685E-03 12 norm .22077E-06 2.3916 .14811E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 3.2054 2.9526 -.35599E-07 .20224E-03 14 Prefactor 5.8341 7.7035 .50230E-06 -.44496E-03 15 norm .0000 .24352 -.32079E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor 9.8978 9.8459 -.37223E-07 -.35498E-02 17 Prefactor .51570E-07 5.0037 .45302E-07** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.9146 .19353E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 1.1577 .19514 -.10694E-06 -.46182E-03 20 Prefactor 5.8953 3.6176 .86776E-06 -.22714E-04 21 Normalizat 1.0090 .16884 -.82125E-05 -.40344E-04 22 Prefactor .91302 .81900E-01 .30520E-05 -.23933E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.04257e-07 Prefactor = 7.1325 Prefactor = 1.70419e-08 Prefactor = 3.34732e-08 Prefactor = 3.38063e-08 Prefactor = 0.281817 Prefactor = 0.409784 Prefactor = 48.7204 norm = 1.91102 Prefactor = 3.37397e-07 norm = 0.899266 norm = 2.20768e-07 Prefactor = 3.20537 Prefactor = 5.83409 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.89784 Prefactor = 5.15699e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.15774 Prefactor = 5.89533 Normalizat = 1.00898 Prefactor = 0.913025 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17524.91 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 400 CALLS 2172 TOTAL EDM= .18E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .30426E-06 14.168 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 7.1325 12.644 .37513E-03 -1.5655 3 Prefactor .17042E-07 10.914 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .33473E-07 8.1329 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .33806E-07 21.689 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .28182 1.1170 .76377E-02 -1.5697 7 Prefactor .40978 1.4407 .88263E-03 -1.5695 8 Prefactor 48.720 24.630 .14339E-03 -1.5568 9 norm 1.9110 1.4154 .75243E-03 -1.5680 10 Prefactor .33740E-06 16.986 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .89927 1.6859 .45990E-03 -1.5689 12 norm .22077E-06 7.0835 .11433E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 3.2054 2.9638 .56553E-03 -1.5672 14 Prefactor 5.8341 7.7517 .42364E-03 -1.5660 15 norm .0000 .23888 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor 9.8978 9.9175 .32031E-03 -1.5645 17 Prefactor .51570E-07 9.1534 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.9353 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 1.1577 .19490 .52407E-02 -1.5493 20 Prefactor 5.8953 3.6201 .41441E-02 -1.5222 21 Normalizat 1.0090 .14501 .75561E-01 -.92730 22 Prefactor .91302 .68129E-01 .45171E-01 -.95687 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.84134e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.00415236 2 12.644 3 0.000862088 4 0.00104376 5 0.00171309 6 1.11697 7 1.44067 8 24.6305 9 1.4154 10 0.0047878 11 1.68595 12 0.00250117 13 2.96378 14 7.75167 15 2.46384e-07 16 9.91755 17 0.00137403 18 2.9343e-05 19 0.194904 20 3.62018 21 0.145068 22 0.0681353 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.9060408 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 2.208e-07 2.501e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 2.658e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 540 Prefactor: 9.130e-01 6.814e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 541 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 542 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 539 Normalization: 1.009e+00 1.451e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 327.163 6.879 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.66346901858e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 1.61981639467e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32677803/likelihoodResults_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2335401 delta logL = 0.672500698442 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2261839 delta logL = 0.679856873772 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 4.0392 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 4.3209 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .94216 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93228 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5430E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD TERMINATED WITHOUT CONVERGENCE. FCN= 17524.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=FAILED 98 CALLS 406 TOTAL EDM= .67E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 4.0453 95.017 .10030E-03 .11838E-01 2 alpha 4.3195 2.8141 .59401E-01 .23565E-03 3 Normalizat .94216 .17708 .34486E-03 -.65141E-04 4 Prefactor .93228 .83130E-01 .17282E-03 -.51838E-04 ERR DEF= .500 START SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION. CONVERGENCE WHEN EDM .LT. .20E-04 SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 17524.23 FROM SIMPLEX STATUS=UNCHANGED 84 CALLS 490 TOTAL EDM= .15E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 4.0453 95.017 .13071E-04 -1.5668 2 alpha 4.3195 2.8141 .31632E-02 .81509 3 Normalizat .94216 .17708 .88854E-04 -.94994 4 Prefactor .93228 .83130E-01 .51126E-04 -.95022 ERR DEF= .500 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 17524.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 33 CALLS 523 TOTAL EDM= .65E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 4.0453 6.9766 .20060E-04 -.60982E-03 2 alpha 4.3195 1.2183 .11880E-01 -.15005E-05 3 Normalizat .94216 .17199 .13794E-04 -.65273E-04 4 Prefactor .93228 .83308E-01 .69127E-05 -.52628E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 4.04529 alpha = 4.31946 Normalizat = 0.942158 Prefactor = 0.932276 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17524.23 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 548 TOTAL EDM= .64E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 4.0453 6.3664 .80238E-06 -1.5668 2 alpha 4.3195 1.1318 .47521E-03 .81509 3 Normalizat .94216 .17223 .27589E-05 -.94994 4 Prefactor .93228 .83369E-01 .13825E-05 -.95022 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.35993e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.36643 2 1.23613 3 0.172334 4 0.0833801 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2261832 delta logL = 0.679857572166 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 4.045e+00 6.366e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 4.319e+00 1.236e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 540 Prefactor: 9.323e-01 8.338e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 541 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 542 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 539 Normalization: 9.422e-01 1.723e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.49 Ra Dec: 327.163 6.879 Photon Index (Free Index): 4.32 +/- 1.24 Photon Flux (Free Index): 5.06e-08 +/- 4.70e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.60e-06 +/- 7.01e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32677803/cmap_HighResolution_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.62e-05', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='7.60e-06', dlogl='6.80e-01', photon_flux2='5.06e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-21 19:35:46.784009', photon_index_error2='1.24', photon_index2='4.32', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.91', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.66e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.01e-06', EG='1.01', time_epoch_completed='1784687746.78', return_code='0', job_id='32677803', GAL2='0.93', EG2='0.94', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='4.70e-08', ts2='1.49', photon_index='2.66' WHERE bin_id='937' AND source_name='4FGL J2148.6+0652' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 21 19:35:47 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 17524.9060408 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 2.208e-07 2.501e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 2.658e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 540 Prefactor: 9.130e-01 6.814e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 541 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 542 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 539 Normalization: 1.009e+00 1.451e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 327.163 6.879 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.66346901858e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 1.61981639467e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32677884/likelihoodResults_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2335401 delta logL = 0.672500698442 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2261839 delta logL = 0.679856873772 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 4.0392 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 4.3209 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .94216 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93228 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5430E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD TERMINATED WITHOUT CONVERGENCE. FCN= 17524.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=FAILED 98 CALLS 406 TOTAL EDM= .67E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 4.0453 95.017 .10030E-03 .11838E-01 2 alpha 4.3195 2.8141 .59401E-01 .23565E-03 3 Normalizat .94216 .17708 .34486E-03 -.65141E-04 4 Prefactor .93228 .83130E-01 .17282E-03 -.51838E-04 ERR DEF= .500 START SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION. CONVERGENCE WHEN EDM .LT. .20E-04 SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 17524.23 FROM SIMPLEX STATUS=UNCHANGED 84 CALLS 490 TOTAL EDM= .15E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 4.0453 95.017 .13071E-04 -1.5668 2 alpha 4.3195 2.8141 .31632E-02 .81509 3 Normalizat .94216 .17708 .88854E-04 -.94994 4 Prefactor .93228 .83130E-01 .51126E-04 -.95022 ERR DEF= .500 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 17524.23 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 33 CALLS 523 TOTAL EDM= .65E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 4.0453 6.9766 .20060E-04 -.60982E-03 2 alpha 4.3195 1.2183 .11880E-01 -.15005E-05 3 Normalizat .94216 .17199 .13794E-04 -.65273E-04 4 Prefactor .93228 .83308E-01 .69127E-05 -.52628E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 4.04529 alpha = 4.31946 Normalizat = 0.942158 Prefactor = 0.932276 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 17524.23 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 548 TOTAL EDM= .64E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 4.0453 6.3664 .80238E-06 -1.5668 2 alpha 4.3195 1.1318 .47521E-03 .81509 3 Normalizat .94216 .17223 .27589E-05 -.94994 4 Prefactor .93228 .83369E-01 .13825E-05 -.95022 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.35993e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.36643 2 1.23613 3 0.172334 4 0.0833801 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 17524.2261832 delta logL = 0.679857572166 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 4.045e+00 6.366e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 4.319e+00 1.236e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 540 Prefactor: 9.323e-01 8.338e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 541 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 542 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 539 Normalization: 9.422e-01 1.723e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.49 Ra Dec: 327.163 6.879 Photon Index (Free Index): 4.32 +/- 1.24 Photon Flux (Free Index): 5.06e-08 +/- 4.70e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.60e-06 +/- 7.01e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32677884/cmap_HighResolution_805680001_806284801_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin937.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.62e-05', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='7.60e-06', dlogl='6.80e-01', photon_flux2='5.06e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-21 19:36:41.791296', photon_index_error2='1.24', photon_index2='4.32', ts='-0.00', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.91', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.66e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.01e-06', EG='1.01', time_epoch_completed='1784687801.79', return_code='0', job_id='32677884', GAL2='0.93', EG2='0.94', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='4.70e-08', ts2='1.49', photon_index='2.66' WHERE bin_id='937' AND source_name='4FGL J2148.6+0652' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 21 19:36:42 PDT 2026