/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 17530 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933 RA = 327.163, Dec = 6.8791 tmin = 803260801, tmax = 803865601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31267006', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-10 16:34:12.387016', time_epoch_executed='1783726452.39' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2148.6+0652' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='933' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31267006 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31267006/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=803260801.0 && nMetStart<803865601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=803260801.0 && nMetStart<803865601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ft1_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=803260801.0 && nMetStart<803865601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ft1_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits ra=327.163 dec=6.8791 rad=12.0 tmin=803260801.0 tmax=803865601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.43 user 3.58 sys 0.20 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.90 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1664 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ltcube_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits .....................! real 20.37 user 19.12 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ltcube_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/expmap_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ltcube_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits .....................! real 72.33 user 67.12 sys 4.06 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 167 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2148.6+0652 @ 327.163 6.8791 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/cmap_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=327.163 yref=6.8791 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.93 user 0.25 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/cmap_HighResolution_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=327.163 yref=6.8791 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.26 user 0.24 sys 0.10 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/Model_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits.....................! real 64.20 user 62.16 sys 1.06 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/expmap_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ltcube_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31267006/Model_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2148.6+0652' 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 5.891e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 2.658e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ft2_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31267006/expmap_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31267006/ltcube_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31267006/Model_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 102 logL (Fixed Index) = 18511.6005765 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18511.4418249 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .58908E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .22718E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .33575E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 7.1871 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .24986E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .19589 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 1.1257 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 29.082 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .11054E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .23915E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .37988 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .33201 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .19952E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 13.165 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .83561E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .35725E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 14.343 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .10641E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .50873 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 20 'Prefactor ' .10063E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 21 'Normalizat' .91068 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 22 'Prefactor ' .95241 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5430E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 18511.44 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 139 CALLS 1437 TOTAL EDM= .84E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .18319E-08 4.3770 -.82114E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .41467E-07 7.6418 .32492E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .49960E-09 5.3362 -.19278E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 7.2211 1.7135 -.18110E-07 -.18911E-01 5 Prefactor .40912E-07 5.4322 -.95970E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .19221 17.710 .76057E-07** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 1.1400 1.3453 -.16186E-06 -.44073E-02 8 Prefactor 27.356 22.047 -.15330E-05 -.78200E-01 9 norm .0000 .79093 .11180E-07** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .38858E-09 26.312 .15544E-05** at limit ** 11 norm .37208 1.3679 .28849E-06 -.94759E-04 12 norm .45435 .71969 .43635E-07 .16554E-02 13 Prefactor .22009E-04 8.3458 -.25624E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 13.191 7.2483 -.96521E-06 -.12812E-01 15 norm .82863E-01 .32775 -.23880E-07** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .87708E-08 4.5294 .17974E-05** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 14.167 7.0177 -.10532E-05 -.40551E-01 18 Prefactor .32752E-08 2.7540 .41591E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .50858 .13831 -.36834E-06 .62080E-03 20 Prefactor .10000E-03 1.4115 -.25810E-06** at limit ** 21 Normalizat .91279 .16059 -.53811E-05 .28178E-03 22 Prefactor .95195 .77976E-01 .57799E-05 -.38360E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.83187e-09 Prefactor = 4.14668e-08 Prefactor = 4.996e-10 Prefactor = 7.22112 Prefactor = 4.09117e-08 Prefactor = 0.192205 Prefactor = 1.13998 Prefactor = 27.3563 norm = 0 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 0.372083 norm = 0.454345 Prefactor = 2.20089e-05 Prefactor = 13.1907 norm = 0.0828629 Prefactor = 8.77076e-09 Prefactor = 14.1668 Prefactor = 3.27516e-09 Prefactor = 0.508577 Prefactor = 0.0001 Normalizat = 0.91279 Prefactor = 0.951953 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 18511.44 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 410 CALLS 1847 TOTAL EDM= .21E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .18319E-08 5.5342 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .41467E-07 7.7312 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .49960E-09 10.794 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 7.2211 9.0570 .37393E-03 -1.5654 5 Prefactor .40912E-07 10.870 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .19221 1.0734 .89646E-02 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 1.1400 1.3901 .11034E-02 -1.5687 8 Prefactor 27.356 24.818 .18546E-03 -1.5603 9 norm .0000 .78067 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .38858E-09 25.979 .16792E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .37208 1.0496 .33059E-02 -1.5696 12 norm .45435 5.6023 .97828E-02 -1.5694 13 Prefactor .22009E-04 1.9817 .64655E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 13.191 7.3509 .27581E-03 -1.5635 15 norm .82863E-01 .24624 .22139E-02 -1.5702 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .87708E-08 5.8210 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 14.167 10.746 .26421E-03 -1.5633 18 Prefactor .32752E-08 2.7615 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .50858 .14026 .57740E-02 -1.5565 20 Prefactor .10000E-03 1.4045 .90712E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Normalizat .91279 .13969 .77314E-01 -.96012 22 Prefactor .95195 .65125E-01 .45669E-01 -.94349 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.14402e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000202721 2 0.00113232 3 0.000146576 4 9.05703 5 0.00133384 6 0.908425 7 1.39012 8 24.8177 9 6.43801e-06 10 0.00020272 11 1.04964 12 3.19084 13 0.0132084 14 7.35087 15 0.246239 16 0.000451889 17 10.7461 18 0.000191005 19 0.140264 20 9.73473e-06 21 0.139744 22 0.0651304 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18511.4386852 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 4.543e-01 3.191e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 2.658e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 540 Prefactor: 9.520e-01 6.513e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 541 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 542 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 539 Normalization: 9.128e-01 1.397e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 327.163 6.879 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 5.28032750229e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 1.2835898289e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31267006/likelihoodResults_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 18511.4294197 delta logL = 0.00926548585994 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 18511.4224156 delta logL = 0.0162695692597 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 1.2245 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 3.2910 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .90806 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .95309 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5430E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD TERMINATED WITHOUT CONVERGENCE. FCN= 18511.42 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=FAILED 100 CALLS 314 TOTAL EDM= .23E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 1.2315 61.059 .20353E-03 .99448E-02 2 alpha 3.2935 3.3027 .15313 .19634E-03 3 Normalizat .90804 .15978 .34301E-03 -.11136E-04 4 Prefactor .95307 .78688E-01 .16785E-03 -.10620E-04 ERR DEF= .500 START SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION. CONVERGENCE WHEN EDM .LT. .20E-04 SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 18511.42 FROM SIMPLEX STATUS=UNCHANGED 81 CALLS 395 TOTAL EDM= .64E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX APPROXIMATE EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 1.2315 61.059 .20825E-04 -1.5686 2 alpha 3.2935 3.3027 .40760E-02 .32300 3 Normalizat .90804 .15978 .11236E-03 -.96178 4 Prefactor .95307 .78688E-01 .46954E-04 -.94311 ERR DEF= .500 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 18511.42 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 35 CALLS 430 TOTAL EDM= .11E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 1.2315 10.917 .40707E-04 -.14411E-03 2 alpha 3.2935 3.9537 .30626E-01 -.77510E-06 3 Normalizat .90804 .15892 .13721E-04 -.11269E-04 4 Prefactor .95307 .78803E-01 .33571E-04 -.10566E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 1.23151 alpha = 3.29353 Normalizat = 0.908035 Prefactor = 0.953069 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 18511.42 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 455 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 1.2315 10.023 .16283E-05 -1.5686 2 alpha 3.2935 3.9151 .12250E-02 .32300 3 Normalizat .90804 .15899 .27441E-05 -.96178 4 Prefactor .95307 .78813E-01 .67142E-05 -.94311 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.07037e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 7.02657 2 3.02291 3 0.159075 4 0.0788229 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 18511.4224143 delta logL = 0.0162708822172 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2148.6+0652 Spectrum: LogParabola 295 norm: 1.232e+00 7.027e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 296 alpha: 3.294e+00 3.023e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 297 beta: 2.404e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 298 Eb: 4.369e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 540 Prefactor: 9.531e-01 7.882e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 541 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 542 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 539 Normalization: 9.080e-01 1.591e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 327.163 6.879 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31267006/cmap_HighResolution_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J2148.6+0652_weekly_bin933.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.28e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='5.28e-08', time_completed='2026-07-10 16:48:57.498476', job_id='31267006', GAL2='0.95', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.91', EG='0.91', time_epoch_completed='1783727337.5', return_code2='0', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.95', dlogl='1.63e-02', ts2='0.04', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.66' WHERE bin_id='933' AND source_name='4FGL J2148.6+0652' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Jul 10 16:48:57 PDT 2026