/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 7416 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114 RA = 326.783, Dec = 9.5181 tmin = 787276801, tmax = 787536001 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='17378787', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2025-12-16 02:22:53.266073', time_epoch_executed='1765880573.27' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2147.1+0931' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2114' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/17378787 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/17378787/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=787276801.0 && nMetStart<787536001.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=787276801.0 && nMetStart<787536001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ft1_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=787276801.0 && nMetStart<787536001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ft2_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ft1_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits ra=326.783 dec=9.5181 rad=12.0 tmin=787276801.0 tmax=787536001.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.62 user 1.92 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ft2_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ft2_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.81 user 0.20 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 642 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ft2_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ltcube_787276801_787536001_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ft2_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits .....................! real 8.86 user 8.05 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ft2_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ltcube_787276801_787536001_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/expmap_787276801_787536001_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ltcube_787276801_787536001_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits .....................! real 71.28 user 66.55 sys 3.78 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 171 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2147.1+0931 @ 326.783 9.5181 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ft2_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/cmap_787276801_787536001_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=326.783 yref=9.5181 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.82 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ft2_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/cmap_HighResolution_787276801_787536001_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=326.783 yref=9.5181 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.88 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ft2_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/Model_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits.....................! real 27.25 user 25.71 sys 0.94 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ft2_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/expmap_787276801_787536001_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ltcube_787276801_787536001_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/17378787/Model_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2147.1+0931' 4FGL J2147.1+0931 Spectrum: LogParabola 297 norm: 2.902e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 298 alpha: 2.432e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 299 beta: 9.991e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 300 Eb: 4.060e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ft2_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/17378787/expmap_787276801_787536001_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/17378787/ltcube_787276801_787536001_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/17378787/Model_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6850.38427286 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6850.08511079 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .10728E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 29.461 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .64978E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 19.816 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 2.5864 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .46944E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .98688 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .54956E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 9.6117 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 155.96 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 3.2611 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .13492 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 2.4303 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .16508E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 7.5813 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .15888E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 20.348 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' .33029E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .47323E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 29.049 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' .10883E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 9.0895 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 1.0713 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 24 'Prefactor ' .10025E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 25 'Normalizat' .46154 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 26 'Prefactor ' 1.0468 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5570E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6850.083 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 222 CALLS 2390 TOTAL EDM= .14E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.6% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .15155E-07 189.13 .24650E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor 28.989 10.078 -.46586E-07 .44165E-01 3 Prefactor .21094E-08 12.891 -.34910E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 19.979 27.652 .24774E-06 -.15509E-01 5 norm 2.5836 4.1749 -.14774E-07 .33152E-03 6 Prefactor .0000 6.7321 -.67573E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .99909 6.4977 -.16548E-07 .36851E-02 8 Prefactor .0000 1.0084 -.13676E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 9.8579 27.897 .37425E-06 .11454E-02 10 Prefactor 160.65 120.52 .48805E-06 -.12483E-02 11 norm 3.2510 2.0836 -.15511E-06 -.81878E-04 12 Prefactor .49960E-09 88.195 -.16327E-05** at limit ** 13 norm 2.4337 2.3871 .22148E-07 .25013E-03 14 norm .27756E-08 20.854 -.15292E-08** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 7.6071 8.8563 .41341E-06 .13828E-02 16 Prefactor .55511E-10 14.277 .62924E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 20.724 14.672 -.11991E-06 .16949E-01 18 norm .0000 1.0666 -.69489E-07** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .18874E-08 30.313 -.10200E-05** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 29.033 18.876 .19307E-06 .16444E-01 21 norm .23870E-08 10.493 .65758E-06** at limit ** 22 Prefactor 9.1812 7.2219 .29118E-07 .37755E-01 23 Prefactor 1.0710 .26982 -.29175E-06 -.12251E-03 24 Prefactor .10000E-03 3.8940 .22897E-05** at limit ** 25 Normalizat .46083 .26987 -.52881E-05 -.14283E-06 26 Prefactor 1.0467 .12865 .39444E-05 .64813E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.51545e-08 Prefactor = 28.989 Prefactor = 2.10942e-09 Prefactor = 19.9792 norm = 2.58362 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0.999085 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 9.85787 Prefactor = 160.655 norm = 3.25096 Prefactor = 4.996e-10 norm = 2.43371 norm = 2.77556e-09 Prefactor = 7.60709 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 20.7237 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.88738e-09 Prefactor = 29.0327 norm = 2.38698e-09 Prefactor = 9.18122 Prefactor = 1.07103 Prefactor = 0.0001 Normalizat = 0.460831 Prefactor = 1.04673 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6850.083 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 524 CALLS 2914 TOTAL EDM= .12E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .15155E-07 14.768 .69500E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor 28.989 23.520 .18427E-03 -1.5600 3 Prefactor .21094E-08 12.931 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 19.979 43.493 .22472E-03 -1.5619 5 norm 2.5836 4.1956 .63426E-03 -1.5676 6 Prefactor .0000 6.7201 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .99909 6.8041 .43301E-03 -1.5688 8 Prefactor .0000 1.0091 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 9.8579 43.815 .32299E-03 -1.5645 10 Prefactor 160.65 120.55 .80082E-04 -1.5454 11 norm 3.2510 2.1013 .56055E-03 -1.5672 12 Prefactor .49960E-09 87.433 .13073E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm 2.4337 2.4292 .65615E-03 -1.5677 14 norm .27756E-08 20.894 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 7.6071 8.9530 .36398E-03 -1.5653 16 Prefactor .55511E-10 14.258 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 20.724 16.454 .22175E-03 -1.5617 18 norm .0000 .52172 .19212E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .18874E-08 30.313 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 29.033 20.580 .18557E-03 -1.5600 21 norm .23870E-08 10.453 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 Prefactor 9.1812 15.801 .33219E-03 -1.5647 23 Prefactor 1.0710 .28128 .46079E-02 -1.5501 24 Prefactor .10000E-03 3.8807 .90712E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Normalizat .46083 .27296 .10189 -1.1427 26 Prefactor 1.0467 .11980 .40101E-01 -.91188 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.20186e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000946066 2 23.5203 3 0.000331667 4 43.4937 5 4.19564 6 7.89568e-06 7 5.21457 8 5.24167e-07 9 41.5662 10 120.55 11 2.1013 12 0.000407436 13 2.42916 14 0.000483718 15 8.95304 16 6.58611e-05 17 16.454 18 1.4823e-07 19 0.000480273 20 20.5799 21 0.000317592 22 15.8013 23 0.281282 24 3.20909e-08 25 0.273759 26 0.119834 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6850.08281882 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2147.1+0931 Spectrum: LogParabola 297 norm: 2.434e+00 2.429e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 298 alpha: 2.432e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 299 beta: 9.991e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 300 Eb: 4.060e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 554 Prefactor: 1.047e+00 1.198e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 555 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 556 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 553 Normalization: 4.608e-01 2.738e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 1.36 Ra Dec: 326.783 9.518 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.43 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 4.67e-08 +/- 4.66e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.32e-05 +/- 1.31e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 1.36 Ra Dec: 326.783 9.518 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.40015364799e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 3.94051282643e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/17378787/likelihoodResults_787276801_787536001_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6849.93509949 delta logL = 0.147719337122 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6849.91277293 delta logL = 0.170045896637 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.0524 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 3.0846 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .42077 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0613 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5570E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 6849.913 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 52 CALLS 208 TOTAL EDM= .12E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.0506 41.436 .72124E-03 .87866E-02 2 alpha 3.0854 2.7939 .42672 .26413E-04 3 Normalizat .42067 .70890E-01 .10653 .66822E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0613 .37148E-01 .39290E-01 .19835E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.05057 alpha = 3.08544 Normalizat = 0.42067 Prefactor = 1.06132 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6849.913 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 31 CALLS 239 TOTAL EDM= .10E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.0506 3.2289 .94556E-05 -1.5679 2 alpha 3.0854 1.5543 .24809E-01 .23637 3 Normalizat .42067 .26413 .47198E-03 -1.1625 4 Prefactor 1.0613 .13159 .15476E-03 -.90712 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.01494e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.22894 2 1.68637 3 0.264916 4 0.131631 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6849.91277259 delta logL = 0.170046233459 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2147.1+0931 Spectrum: LogParabola 297 norm: 2.051e+00 3.229e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-11) 298 alpha: 3.085e+00 1.686e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 299 beta: 9.991e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 300 Eb: 4.060e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 554 Prefactor: 1.061e+00 1.316e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 555 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 556 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 553 Normalization: 4.207e-01 2.649e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.77 Ra Dec: 326.783 9.518 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.09 +/- 1.69 Photon Flux (Free Index): 6.68e-08 +/- 5.92e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.29e-05 +/- 1.26e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/17378787/cmap_HighResolution_787276801_787536001_4FGL_J2147.1+0931_daily_bin2114.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='3.94e-05', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='4.67e-08', energy_flux2='1.29e-05', photon_flux_error='4.66e-08', dlogl='1.70e-01', energy_flux='1.32e-05', photon_flux2='6.68e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2025-12-16 02:30:03.615541', photon_index_error2='1.69', photon_index2='3.09', ts='1.36', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.05', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.40e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.26e-05', EG='0.46', time_epoch_completed='1765881003.62', return_code='0', job_id='17378787', GAL2='1.06', EG2='0.42', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.31e-05', photon_flux_error2='5.92e-08', ts2='1.77', photon_index='2.43' WHERE bin_id='2114' AND source_name='4FGL J2147.1+0931' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Dec 16 02:30:04 PST 2025