number of points = 17264 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938 RA = 309.694, Dec = 51.2851 tmin = 806284801, tmax = 806889601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='33477360', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-28 17:57:33.111061', time_epoch_executed='1785286653.11' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2038.7+5117' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='938' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33477360 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33477360/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=806284801.0 && nMetStart<806889601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=806284801.0 && nMetStart<806889601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ft1_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=806284801.0 && nMetStart<806889601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ft1_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits ra=309.694 dec=51.2851 rad=12.0 tmin=806284801.0 tmax=806889601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 5.50 user 4.26 sys 0.24 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.95 user 0.19 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 13756 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. .............! real 18.26 user 17.13 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477260/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477260/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/33477260/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477260/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/33477260/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits .....................! real 68.58 user 63.40 sys 3.92 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source HB 21 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source gamma Cygni in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Cocoon in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source FHES J2129.9+5833 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Loop in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CygnusLoop.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source FHES J2208.4+6443 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source CTB 109 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source FHES J2304.0+5406 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Added 197 point sources and 8 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2038.7+5117 @ 309.694 51.2851 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477260/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477260/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477260/cmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=309.694 yref=51.2851 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.08 user 0.26 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477260/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477260/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477260/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=309.694 yref=51.2851 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hp WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 17264 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938 RA = 309.694, Dec = 51.2851 tmin = 806284801, tmax = 806889601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='33477274', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-28 17:57:15.700811', time_epoch_executed='1785286635.7' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2038.7+5117' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='938' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33477274 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33477274/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=806284801.0 && nMetStart<806889601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=806284801.0 && nMetStart<806889601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ft1_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=806284801.0 && nMetStart<806889601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ft1_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits ra=309.694 dec=51.2851 rad=12.0 tmin=806284801.0 tmax=806889601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 6.40 user 4.64 sys 0.26 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.81 user 0.27 sys 0.17 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 13756 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA"" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits .....................! real 16.27 user 15.26 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits .....................! real 60.39 user 55.77 sys 3.51 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source HB 21 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source gamma Cygni in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Cocoon in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source FHES J2129.9+5833 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Loop in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CygnusLoop.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source FHES J2208.4+6443 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source CTB 109 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source FHES J2304.0+5406 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Added 197 point sources and 8 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2038.7+5117 @ 309.694 51.2851 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/cmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=309.694 yref=51.2851 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.01 user 0.22 sys 0.11 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=309.694 yref=51.2851 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.25 user 0.25 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33475736/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33475736/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33475736/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CTB 109 adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source FHES J2129.9+5833 adding source FHES J2208.4+6443 adding source FHES J2304.0+5406 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 21 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33475736/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits.....................! real 950.03 user 943.01 sys 1.08 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33475736/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33475736/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33475736/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33475736/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33475736/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2038.7+5117' 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 1.774e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33475736/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33475736/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33475736/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33475736/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33475736/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.417129 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.396437 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 47.070 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 11.596 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.6315 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 2.3251 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 6 'norm ' 3.4363 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 12.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 3.5027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 16.731 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .24951E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Normalizat' 1.0643 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 12 'Prefactor ' .98051 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits .....................! real 20.24 user 18.32 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits .....................! real 77.12 user 71.08 sys 4.48 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source HB 21 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source gamma Cygni in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Cocoon in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source FHES J2129.9+5833 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Loop in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CygnusLoop.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source FHES J2208.4+6443 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source CTB 109 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source FHES J2304.0+5406 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Added 197 point sources and 8 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2038.7+5117 @ 309.694 51.2851 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/cmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=309.694 yref=51.2851 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.50 user 0.28 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=309.694 yref=51.2851 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hp 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 122344.4 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 68 CALLS 605 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.295 -.88599E-06 .17742E-01 2 Prefactor 15.928 8.0793 -.22422E-05 .97883E-01 3 norm 11.574 6.3048 -.17601E-05 -.91575E-01 4 norm 1.6320 1.0150 .93729E-07 -.68510E-02 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15074 .25221E-06 -.99150E-02 6 norm 3.4352 3.4827 -.47992E-06 .52305E-02 7 norm 12.768 3.4033 .10321E-06 -.12667E-01 8 norm 3.5037 2.3150 .27926E-06 -.93644E-02 9 Prefactor 16.889 6.7514 -.61066E-06 -.13948 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5933 -.23360E-06** at limit ** 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .14909 .10447E-04 -.69409E-04 12 Prefactor .98044 .14507E-01 -.34323E-08 -.71374E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 46.7055 Prefactor = 15.9284 norm = 11.5743 norm = 1.63203 Prefactor = 2.32513 norm = 3.43517 norm = 12.7681 norm = 3.50371 Prefactor = 16.8886 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.06524 Prefactor = 0.980438 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122344.4 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 161 CALLS 766 TOTAL EDM= .45E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.379 .14577E-03 -1.5571 2 Prefactor 15.928 10.633 .25151E-03 -1.5628 3 norm 11.574 7.3256 .29394E-03 -1.5640 4 norm 1.6320 1.0216 .82752E-03 -1.5682 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15126 .67245E-02 -1.5403 6 norm 3.4352 3.4875 .54539E-03 -1.5671 7 norm 12.768 3.4042 .28017E-03 -1.5636 8 norm 3.5037 2.3197 .53996E-03 -1.5671 9 Prefactor 16.889 8.5427 .24459E-03 -1.5626 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5900 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .15577 .26776 -.90876 12 Prefactor .98044 .14778E-01 .26828E-01 -.93384 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.47997e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.3792 2 10.6331 3 7.3256 4 1.02156 5 0.151259 6 3.48751 7 3.40416 8 2.31971 9 8.54273 10 1.33079e-05 11 0.155835 12 0.0147781 number of points = 17264 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938 RA = 309.694, Dec = 51.2851 tmin = 806284801, tmax = 806889601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='33477811', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-28 18:05:33.610763', time_epoch_executed='1785287133.61' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2038.7+5117' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='938' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33477811 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/33477811/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=806284801.0 && nMetStart<806889601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=806284801.0 && nMetStart<806889601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ft1_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=806284801.0 && nMetStart<806889601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ft1_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits ra=309.694 dec=51.2851 rad=12.0 tmin=806284801.0 tmax=806889601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 5.92 user 4.89 sys 0.27 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.94 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 13756 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits .....................! real 18.41 user 17.45 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits .....................! real 68.44 user 63.39 sys 3.84 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source HB 21 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source gamma Cygni in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Cocoon in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source FHES J2129.9+5833 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Loop in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CygnusLoop.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source FHES J2208.4+6443 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source CTB 109 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source FHES J2304.0+5406 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Added 197 point sources and 8 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2038.7+5117 @ 309.694 51.2851 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/cmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=309.694 yref=51.2851 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.86 user 0.23 sys 0.15 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=309.694 yref=51.2851 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.16 user 0.25 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33476491/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33476491/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33476491/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CTB 109 adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source FHES J2129.9+5833 adding source FHES J2208.4+6443 adding source FHES J2304.0+5406 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 21 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33476491/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits.....................! real 932.78 user 925.08 sys 1.59 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33476491/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33476491/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33476491/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33476491/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33476491/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2038.7+5117' 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 1.774e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33476491/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33476491/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33476491/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33476491/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33476491/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.417129 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.396437 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 47.070 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 11.596 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.6315 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 2.3251 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 6 'norm ' 3.4363 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 12.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 3.5027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 16.731 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .24951E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Normalizat' 1.0643 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 12 'Prefactor ' .98051 px_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.91 user 0.23 sys 0.15 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33476531/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33476531/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33476531/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CTB 109 adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source FHES J2129.9+5833 adding source FHES J2208.4+6443 adding source FHES J2304.0+5406 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 21 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33476531/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits.....................! real 928.88 user 921.69 sys 1.27 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33476531/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33476531/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33476531/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33476531/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33476531/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2038.7+5117' 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 1.774e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33476531/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33476531/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33476531/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33476531/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33476531/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.417129 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.396437 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 47.070 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 11.596 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.6315 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 2.3251 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 6 'norm ' 3.4363 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 12.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 3.5027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 16.731 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .24951E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Normalizat' 1.0643 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 12 'Prefactor ' .98051 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.395921 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.504e+00 2.320e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.804e-01 1.478e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.065e+00 1.558e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.35 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.66e-08 +/- 1.76e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.14e-05 +/- 7.57e-06 TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40251984644e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.75012306979e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33475736/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.289579 delta logL = 1.10634118544 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.26777 delta logL = 1.12815079282 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 3.9420 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.4135 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0707 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98064 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 122343.3 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 56 CALLS 222 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 3.9407 2.3736 .50783E-03 .12232E-01 2 alpha 1.4128 .48233 .47641 -.48262E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14890 .26724 .57139E-03 4 Prefactor .98064 .14235E-01 .26826E-01 -.22695E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 3.94074 alpha = 1.41281 Normalizat = 1.07071 Prefactor = 0.980638 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 122344.4 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 68 CALLS 605 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.295 -.88599E-06 .17742E-01 2 Prefactor 15.928 8.0793 -.22422E-05 .97883E-01 3 norm 11.574 6.3048 -.17601E-05 -.91575E-01 4 norm 1.6320 1.0150 .93729E-07 -.68510E-02 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15074 .25221E-06 -.99150E-02 6 norm 3.4352 3.4827 -.47992E-06 .52305E-02 7 norm 12.768 3.4033 .10321E-06 -.12667E-01 8 norm 3.5037 2.3150 .27926E-06 -.93644E-02 9 Prefactor 16.889 6.7514 -.61066E-06 -.13948 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5933 -.23360E-06** at limit ** 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .14909 .10447E-04 -.69409E-04 12 Prefactor .98044 .14507E-01 -.34323E-08 -.71374E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 46.7055 Prefactor = 15.9284 norm = 11.5743 norm = 1.63203 Prefactor = 2.32513 norm = 3.43517 norm = 12.7681 norm = 3.50371 Prefactor = 16.8886 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.06524 Prefactor = 0.980438 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122343.3 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 255 TOTAL EDM= .40E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 3.9407 2.4410 .20313E-04 -1.5668 2 alpha 1.4128 .53790 .71679E-01 -.44990 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14345 .11986E-02 -.90698 4 Prefactor .98064 .13936E-01 .11856E-03 -.93378 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.95658e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.44099 2 0.543158 3 0.143504 4 0.0139356 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 122344.4 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 68 CALLS 605 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.295 -.88599E-06 .17742E-01 2 Prefactor 15.928 8.0793 -.22422E-05 .97883E-01 3 norm 11.574 6.3048 -.17601E-05 -.91575E-01 4 norm 1.6320 1.0150 .93729E-07 -.68510E-02 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15074 .25221E-06 -.99150E-02 6 norm 3.4352 3.4827 -.47992E-06 .52305E-02 7 norm 12.768 3.4033 .10321E-06 -.12667E-01 8 norm 3.5037 2.3150 .27926E-06 -.93644E-02 9 Prefactor 16.889 6.7514 -.61066E-06 -.13948 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5933 -.23360E-06** at limit ** 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .14909 .10447E-04 -.69409E-04 12 Prefactor .98044 .14507E-01 -.34323E-08 -.71374E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 46.7055 Prefactor = 15.9284 norm = 11.5743 norm = 1.63203 Prefactor = 2.32513 norm = 3.43517 norm = 12.7681 norm = 3.50371 Prefactor = 16.8886 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.06524 Prefactor = 0.980438 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.267769 delta logL = 1.12815146316 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.941e+00 2.441e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 1.413e+00 5.432e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.806e-01 1.394e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.071e+00 1.435e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 6.11 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.41 +/- 0.54 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.31e-08 +/- 9.52e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.67e-05 +/- 1.12e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33475736/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.75e-05', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.66e-08', energy_flux2='1.67e-05', photon_flux_error='1.76e-08', dlogl='1.13e+00', energy_flux='1.14e-05', photon_flux2='1.31e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-28 18:19:38.343837', photon_index_error2='0.54', photon_index2='1.41', ts='3.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.12e-05', EG='1.07', time_epoch_completed='1785287978.34', return_code='0', job_id='33475736', GAL2='0.98', EG2='1.07', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='7.57e-06', photon_flux_error2='9.52e-09', ts2='6.11', photon_index='2.35' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J2038.7+5117' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 18:19:38 PDT 2026 px_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.29 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33476894/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33476894/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33476894/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CTB 109 adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source FHES J2129.9+5833 adding source FHES J2208.4+6443 adding source FHES J2304.0+5406 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 21 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33476894/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits.....................! real 820.32 user 815.09 sys 1.27 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33476894/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33476894/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33476894/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33476894/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33476894/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2038.7+5117' 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 1.774e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33476894/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33476894/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33476894/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33476894/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33476894/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.417129 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.396437 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 47.070 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 11.596 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.6315 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 2.3251 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 6 'norm ' 3.4363 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 12.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 3.5027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 16.731 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .24951E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Normalizat' 1.0643 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 12 'Prefactor ' .98051 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122344.4 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 161 CALLS 766 TOTAL EDM= .45E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.379 .14577E-03 -1.5571 2 Prefactor 15.928 10.633 .25151E-03 -1.5628 3 norm 11.574 7.3256 .29394E-03 -1.5640 4 norm 1.6320 1.0216 .82752E-03 -1.5682 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15126 .67245E-02 -1.5403 6 norm 3.4352 3.4875 .54539E-03 -1.5671 7 norm 12.768 3.4042 .28017E-03 -1.5636 8 norm 3.5037 2.3197 .53996E-03 -1.5671 9 Prefactor 16.889 8.5427 .24459E-03 -1.5626 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5900 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .15577 .26776 -.90876 12 Prefactor .98044 .14778E-01 .26828E-01 -.93384 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.47997e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.3792 2 10.6331 3 7.3256 4 1.02156 5 0.151259 6 3.48751 7 3.40416 8 2.31971 9 8.54273 10 1.33079e-05 11 0.155835 12 0.0147781 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122344.4 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 161 CALLS 766 TOTAL EDM= .45E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.379 .14577E-03 -1.5571 2 Prefactor 15.928 10.633 .25151E-03 -1.5628 3 norm 11.574 7.3256 .29394E-03 -1.5640 4 norm 1.6320 1.0216 .82752E-03 -1.5682 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15126 .67245E-02 -1.5403 6 norm 3.4352 3.4875 .54539E-03 -1.5671 7 norm 12.768 3.4042 .28017E-03 -1.5636 8 norm 3.5037 2.3197 .53996E-03 -1.5671 9 Prefactor 16.889 8.5427 .24459E-03 -1.5626 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5900 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .15577 .26776 -.90876 12 Prefactor .98044 .14778E-01 .26828E-01 -.93384 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.47997e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.3792 2 10.6331 3 7.3256 4 1.02156 5 0.151259 6 3.48751 7 3.40416 8 2.31971 9 8.54273 10 1.33079e-05 11 0.155835 12 0.0147781 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 122344.4 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 68 CALLS 605 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.295 -.88599E-06 .17742E-01 2 Prefactor 15.928 8.0793 -.22422E-05 .97883E-01 3 norm 11.574 6.3048 -.17601E-05 -.91575E-01 4 norm 1.6320 1.0150 .93729E-07 -.68510E-02 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15074 .25221E-06 -.99150E-02 6 norm 3.4352 3.4827 -.47992E-06 .52305E-02 7 norm 12.768 3.4033 .10321E-06 -.12667E-01 8 norm 3.5037 2.3150 .27926E-06 -.93644E-02 9 Prefactor 16.889 6.7514 -.61066E-06 -.13948 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5933 -.23360E-06** at limit ** 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .14909 .10447E-04 -.69409E-04 12 Prefactor .98044 .14507E-01 -.34323E-08 -.71374E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 46.7055 Prefactor = 15.9284 norm = 11.5743 norm = 1.63203 Prefactor = 2.32513 norm = 3.43517 norm = 12.7681 norm = 3.50371 Prefactor = 16.8886 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.06524 Prefactor = 0.980438 px_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.21 user 0.21 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477084/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477084/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33477084/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CTB 109 adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source FHES J2129.9+5833 adding source FHES J2208.4+6443 adding source FHES J2304.0+5406 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 21 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33477084/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits.....................! real 819.45 user 814.76 sys 1.12 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33477084/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33477084/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33477084/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33477084/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33477084/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2038.7+5117' 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 1.774e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33477084/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33477084/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33477084/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33477084/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33477084/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.417129 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.396437 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 47.070 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 11.596 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.6315 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 2.3251 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 6 'norm ' 3.4363 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 12.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 3.5027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 16.731 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .24951E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Normalizat' 1.0643 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 12 'Prefactor ' .98051 px_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.12 user 0.25 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33476949/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33476949/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33476949/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CTB 109 adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source FHES J2129.9+5833 adding source FHES J2208.4+6443 adding source FHES J2304.0+5406 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 21 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33476949/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits.....................! real 944.15 user 936.27 sys 1.46 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33476949/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33476949/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33476949/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33476949/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33476949/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2038.7+5117' 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 1.774e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33476949/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33476949/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33476949/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33476949/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33476949/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.417129 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.396437 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 47.070 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 11.596 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.6315 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 2.3251 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 6 'norm ' 3.4363 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 12.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 3.5027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 16.731 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .24951E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Normalizat' 1.0643 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 12 'Prefactor ' .98051 px_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.19 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477079/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477079/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33477079/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CTB 109 adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source FHES J2129.9+5833 adding source FHES J2208.4+6443 adding source FHES J2304.0+5406 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 21 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33477079/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits.....................! real 829.06 user 823.46 sys 1.01 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33477079/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33477079/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33477079/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33477079/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33477079/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2038.7+5117' 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 1.774e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33477079/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33477079/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33477079/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33477079/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33477079/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.417129 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.396437 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 47.070 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 11.596 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.6315 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 2.3251 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 6 'norm ' 3.4363 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 12.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 3.5027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 16.731 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .24951E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Normalizat' 1.0643 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 12 'Prefactor ' .98051 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122344.4 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 161 CALLS 766 TOTAL EDM= .45E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.379 .14577E-03 -1.5571 2 Prefactor 15.928 10.633 .25151E-03 -1.5628 3 norm 11.574 7.3256 .29394E-03 -1.5640 4 norm 1.6320 1.0216 .82752E-03 -1.5682 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15126 .67245E-02 -1.5403 6 norm 3.4352 3.4875 .54539E-03 -1.5671 7 norm 12.768 3.4042 .28017E-03 -1.5636 8 norm 3.5037 2.3197 .53996E-03 -1.5671 9 Prefactor 16.889 8.5427 .24459E-03 -1.5626 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5900 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .15577 .26776 -.90876 12 Prefactor .98044 .14778E-01 .26828E-01 -.93384 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.47997e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.3792 2 10.6331 3 7.3256 4 1.02156 5 0.151259 6 3.48751 7 3.40416 8 2.31971 9 8.54273 10 1.33079e-05 11 0.155835 12 0.0147781 px_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.33 user 0.26 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33476931/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33476931/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33476931/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CTB 109 adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source FHES J2129.9+5833 adding source FHES J2208.4+6443 adding source FHES J2304.0+5406 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 21 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33476931/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits.....................! real 988.91 user 981.41 sys 1.33 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33476931/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33476931/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33476931/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33476931/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33476931/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2038.7+5117' 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 1.774e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33476931/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33476931/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33476931/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33476931/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33476931/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.417129 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.396437 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 47.070 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 11.596 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.6315 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 2.3251 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 6 'norm ' 3.4363 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 12.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 3.5027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 16.731 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .24951E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Normalizat' 1.0643 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 12 'Prefactor ' .98051 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 122344.4 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 68 CALLS 605 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.295 -.88599E-06 .17742E-01 2 Prefactor 15.928 8.0793 -.22422E-05 .97883E-01 3 norm 11.574 6.3048 -.17601E-05 -.91575E-01 4 norm 1.6320 1.0150 .93729E-07 -.68510E-02 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15074 .25221E-06 -.99150E-02 6 norm 3.4352 3.4827 -.47992E-06 .52305E-02 7 norm 12.768 3.4033 .10321E-06 -.12667E-01 8 norm 3.5037 2.3150 .27926E-06 -.93644E-02 9 Prefactor 16.889 6.7514 -.61066E-06 -.13948 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5933 -.23360E-06** at limit ** 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .14909 .10447E-04 -.69409E-04 12 Prefactor .98044 .14507E-01 -.34323E-08 -.71374E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 46.7055 Prefactor = 15.9284 norm = 11.5743 norm = 1.63203 Prefactor = 2.32513 norm = 3.43517 norm = 12.7681 norm = 3.50371 Prefactor = 16.8886 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.06524 Prefactor = 0.980438 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 122344.4 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 68 CALLS 605 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.295 -.88599E-06 .17742E-01 2 Prefactor 15.928 8.0793 -.22422E-05 .97883E-01 3 norm 11.574 6.3048 -.17601E-05 -.91575E-01 4 norm 1.6320 1.0150 .93729E-07 -.68510E-02 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15074 .25221E-06 -.99150E-02 6 norm 3.4352 3.4827 -.47992E-06 .52305E-02 7 norm 12.768 3.4033 .10321E-06 -.12667E-01 8 norm 3.5037 2.3150 .27926E-06 -.93644E-02 9 Prefactor 16.889 6.7514 -.61066E-06 -.13948 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5933 -.23360E-06** at limit ** 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .14909 .10447E-04 -.69409E-04 12 Prefactor .98044 .14507E-01 -.34323E-08 -.71374E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 46.7055 Prefactor = 15.9284 norm = 11.5743 norm = 1.63203 Prefactor = 2.32513 norm = 3.43517 norm = 12.7681 norm = 3.50371 Prefactor = 16.8886 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.06524 Prefactor = 0.980438 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 122344.4 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 68 CALLS 605 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.295 -.88599E-06 .17742E-01 2 Prefactor 15.928 8.0793 -.22422E-05 .97883E-01 3 norm 11.574 6.3048 -.17601E-05 -.91575E-01 4 norm 1.6320 1.0150 .93729E-07 -.68510E-02 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15074 .25221E-06 -.99150E-02 6 norm 3.4352 3.4827 -.47992E-06 .52305E-02 7 norm 12.768 3.4033 .10321E-06 -.12667E-01 8 norm 3.5037 2.3150 .27926E-06 -.93644E-02 9 Prefactor 16.889 6.7514 -.61066E-06 -.13948 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5933 -.23360E-06** at limit ** 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .14909 .10447E-04 -.69409E-04 12 Prefactor .98044 .14507E-01 -.34323E-08 -.71374E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 46.7055 Prefactor = 15.9284 norm = 11.5743 norm = 1.63203 Prefactor = 2.32513 norm = 3.43517 norm = 12.7681 norm = 3.50371 Prefactor = 16.8886 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.06524 Prefactor = 0.980438 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 122344.4 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 68 CALLS 605 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.295 -.88599E-06 .17742E-01 2 Prefactor 15.928 8.0793 -.22422E-05 .97883E-01 3 norm 11.574 6.3048 -.17601E-05 -.91575E-01 4 norm 1.6320 1.0150 .93729E-07 -.68510E-02 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15074 .25221E-06 -.99150E-02 6 norm 3.4352 3.4827 -.47992E-06 .52305E-02 7 norm 12.768 3.4033 .10321E-06 -.12667E-01 8 norm 3.5037 2.3150 .27926E-06 -.93644E-02 9 Prefactor 16.889 6.7514 -.61066E-06 -.13948 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5933 -.23360E-06** at limit ** 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .14909 .10447E-04 -.69409E-04 12 Prefactor .98044 .14507E-01 -.34323E-08 -.71374E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 46.7055 Prefactor = 15.9284 norm = 11.5743 norm = 1.63203 Prefactor = 2.32513 norm = 3.43517 norm = 12.7681 norm = 3.50371 Prefactor = 16.8886 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.06524 Prefactor = 0.980438 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122344.4 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 161 CALLS 766 TOTAL EDM= .45E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.379 .14577E-03 -1.5571 2 Prefactor 15.928 10.633 .25151E-03 -1.5628 3 norm 11.574 7.3256 .29394E-03 -1.5640 4 norm 1.6320 1.0216 .82752E-03 -1.5682 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15126 .67245E-02 -1.5403 6 norm 3.4352 3.4875 .54539E-03 -1.5671 7 norm 12.768 3.4042 .28017E-03 -1.5636 8 norm 3.5037 2.3197 .53996E-03 -1.5671 9 Prefactor 16.889 8.5427 .24459E-03 -1.5626 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5900 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .15577 .26776 -.90876 12 Prefactor .98044 .14778E-01 .26828E-01 -.93384 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.47997e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.3792 2 10.6331 3 7.3256 4 1.02156 5 0.151259 6 3.48751 7 3.40416 8 2.31971 9 8.54273 10 1.33079e-05 11 0.155835 12 0.0147781 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122344.4 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 161 CALLS 766 TOTAL EDM= .45E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.379 .14577E-03 -1.5571 2 Prefactor 15.928 10.633 .25151E-03 -1.5628 3 norm 11.574 7.3256 .29394E-03 -1.5640 4 norm 1.6320 1.0216 .82752E-03 -1.5682 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15126 .67245E-02 -1.5403 6 norm 3.4352 3.4875 .54539E-03 -1.5671 7 norm 12.768 3.4042 .28017E-03 -1.5636 8 norm 3.5037 2.3197 .53996E-03 -1.5671 9 Prefactor 16.889 8.5427 .24459E-03 -1.5626 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5900 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .15577 .26776 -.90876 12 Prefactor .98044 .14778E-01 .26828E-01 -.93384 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.47997e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.3792 2 10.6331 3 7.3256 4 1.02156 5 0.151259 6 3.48751 7 3.40416 8 2.31971 9 8.54273 10 1.33079e-05 11 0.155835 12 0.0147781 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122344.4 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 161 CALLS 766 TOTAL EDM= .45E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.379 .14577E-03 -1.5571 2 Prefactor 15.928 10.633 .25151E-03 -1.5628 3 norm 11.574 7.3256 .29394E-03 -1.5640 4 norm 1.6320 1.0216 .82752E-03 -1.5682 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15126 .67245E-02 -1.5403 6 norm 3.4352 3.4875 .54539E-03 -1.5671 7 norm 12.768 3.4042 .28017E-03 -1.5636 8 norm 3.5037 2.3197 .53996E-03 -1.5671 9 Prefactor 16.889 8.5427 .24459E-03 -1.5626 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5900 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .15577 .26776 -.90876 12 Prefactor .98044 .14778E-01 .26828E-01 -.93384 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.47997e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.3792 2 10.6331 3 7.3256 4 1.02156 5 0.151259 6 3.48751 7 3.40416 8 2.31971 9 8.54273 10 1.33079e-05 11 0.155835 12 0.0147781 px_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.28 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CTB 109 adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source FHES J2129.9+5833 adding source FHES J2208.4+6443 adding source FHES J2304.0+5406 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 21 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits.....................! real 823.35 user 817.24 sys 0.98 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33477360/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2038.7+5117' 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 1.774e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33477360/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33477360/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33477360/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.417129 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.396437 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 47.070 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 11.596 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.6315 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 2.3251 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 6 'norm ' 3.4363 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 12.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 3.5027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 16.731 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .24951E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Normalizat' 1.0643 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 12 'Prefactor ' .98051 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122344.4 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 161 CALLS 766 TOTAL EDM= .45E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.379 .14577E-03 -1.5571 2 Prefactor 15.928 10.633 .25151E-03 -1.5628 3 norm 11.574 7.3256 .29394E-03 -1.5640 4 norm 1.6320 1.0216 .82752E-03 -1.5682 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15126 .67245E-02 -1.5403 6 norm 3.4352 3.4875 .54539E-03 -1.5671 7 norm 12.768 3.4042 .28017E-03 -1.5636 8 norm 3.5037 2.3197 .53996E-03 -1.5671 9 Prefactor 16.889 8.5427 .24459E-03 -1.5626 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5900 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .15577 .26776 -.90876 12 Prefactor .98044 .14778E-01 .26828E-01 -.93384 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.47997e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.3792 2 10.6331 3 7.3256 4 1.02156 5 0.151259 6 3.48751 7 3.40416 8 2.31971 9 8.54273 10 1.33079e-05 11 0.155835 12 0.0147781 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 122344.4 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 68 CALLS 605 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.295 -.88599E-06 .17742E-01 2 Prefactor 15.928 8.0793 -.22422E-05 .97883E-01 3 norm 11.574 6.3048 -.17601E-05 -.91575E-01 4 norm 1.6320 1.0150 .93729E-07 -.68510E-02 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15074 .25221E-06 -.99150E-02 6 norm 3.4352 3.4827 -.47992E-06 .52305E-02 7 norm 12.768 3.4033 .10321E-06 -.12667E-01 8 norm 3.5037 2.3150 .27926E-06 -.93644E-02 9 Prefactor 16.889 6.7514 -.61066E-06 -.13948 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5933 -.23360E-06** at limit ** 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .14909 .10447E-04 -.69409E-04 12 Prefactor .98044 .14507E-01 -.34323E-08 -.71374E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 46.7055 Prefactor = 15.9284 norm = 11.5743 norm = 1.63203 Prefactor = 2.32513 norm = 3.43517 norm = 12.7681 norm = 3.50371 Prefactor = 16.8886 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.06524 Prefactor = 0.980438 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.395921 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.504e+00 2.320e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.804e-01 1.478e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.065e+00 1.558e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.35 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.66e-08 +/- 1.76e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.14e-05 +/- 7.57e-06 TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40251984644e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.75012306979e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33476531/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.289579 delta logL = 1.10634118544 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.26777 delta logL = 1.12815079282 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 3.9420 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.4135 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0707 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98064 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 122343.3 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 56 CALLS 222 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 3.9407 2.3736 .50783E-03 .12232E-01 2 alpha 1.4128 .48233 .47641 -.48262E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14890 .26724 .57139E-03 4 Prefactor .98064 .14235E-01 .26826E-01 -.22695E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 3.94074 alpha = 1.41281 Normalizat = 1.07071 Prefactor = 0.980638 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122343.3 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 255 TOTAL EDM= .40E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 3.9407 2.4410 .20313E-04 -1.5668 2 alpha 1.4128 .53790 .71679E-01 -.44990 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14345 .11986E-02 -.90698 4 Prefactor .98064 .13936E-01 .11856E-03 -.93378 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.95658e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.44099 2 0.543158 3 0.143504 4 0.0139356 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.395921 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.504e+00 2.320e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.804e-01 1.478e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.065e+00 1.558e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.35 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.66e-08 +/- 1.76e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.14e-05 +/- 7.57e-06 TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40251984644e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.75012306979e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33476491/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.289579 delta logL = 1.10634118544 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.26777 delta logL = 1.12815079282 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 3.9420 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.4135 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0707 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98064 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 122343.3 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 56 CALLS 222 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 3.9407 2.3736 .50783E-03 .12232E-01 2 alpha 1.4128 .48233 .47641 -.48262E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14890 .26724 .57139E-03 4 Prefactor .98064 .14235E-01 .26826E-01 -.22695E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 3.94074 alpha = 1.41281 Normalizat = 1.07071 Prefactor = 0.980638 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.267769 delta logL = 1.12815146316 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.941e+00 2.441e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 1.413e+00 5.432e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.806e-01 1.394e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.071e+00 1.435e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 6.11 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.41 +/- 0.54 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.31e-08 +/- 9.52e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.67e-05 +/- 1.12e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33476531/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.75e-05', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.66e-08', energy_flux2='1.67e-05', photon_flux_error='1.76e-08', dlogl='1.13e+00', energy_flux='1.14e-05', photon_flux2='1.31e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-28 18:29:44.352176', photon_index_error2='0.54', photon_index2='1.41', ts='3.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.12e-05', EG='1.07', time_epoch_completed='1785288584.35', return_code='0', job_id='33476531', GAL2='0.98', EG2='1.07', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='7.57e-06', photon_flux_error2='9.52e-09', ts2='6.11', photon_index='2.35' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J2038.7+5117' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 18:29:44 PDT 2026 px_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.08 user 0.25 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477216/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477216/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33477216/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CTB 109 adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source FHES J2129.9+5833 adding source FHES J2208.4+6443 adding source FHES J2304.0+5406 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 21 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33477216/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits.....................! real 978.85 user 970.26 sys 1.47 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33477216/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33477216/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33477216/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33477216/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33477216/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2038.7+5117' 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 1.774e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33477216/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33477216/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33477216/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33477216/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33477216/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.417129 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.396437 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 47.070 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 11.596 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.6315 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 2.3251 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 6 'norm ' 3.4363 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 12.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 3.5027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 16.731 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .24951E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Normalizat' 1.0643 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 12 'Prefactor ' .98051 x_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.11 user 0.25 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477260/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477260/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33477260/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CTB 109 adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source FHES J2129.9+5833 adding source FHES J2208.4+6443 adding source FHES J2304.0+5406 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 21 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33477260/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits.....................! real 947.13 user 940.29 sys 1.37 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33477260/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33477260/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33477260/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33477260/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33477260/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2038.7+5117' 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 1.774e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33477260/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33477260/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33477260/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33477260/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33477260/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.417129 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.396437 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 47.070 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 11.596 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.6315 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 2.3251 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 6 'norm ' 3.4363 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 12.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 3.5027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 16.731 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .24951E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Normalizat' 1.0643 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 12 'Prefactor ' .98051 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122343.3 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 255 TOTAL EDM= .40E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 3.9407 2.4410 .20313E-04 -1.5668 2 alpha 1.4128 .53790 .71679E-01 -.44990 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14345 .11986E-02 -.90698 4 Prefactor .98064 .13936E-01 .11856E-03 -.93378 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.95658e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.44099 2 0.543158 3 0.143504 4 0.0139356 px_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.15 user 0.26 sys 0.15 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477093/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477093/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33477093/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CTB 109 adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source FHES J2129.9+5833 adding source FHES J2208.4+6443 adding source FHES J2304.0+5406 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 21 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33477093/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits.....................! real 1018.29 user 1010.98 sys 1.40 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33477093/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33477093/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33477093/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33477093/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33477093/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2038.7+5117' 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 1.774e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33477093/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33477093/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33477093/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33477093/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33477093/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.417129 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.396437 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 47.070 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 11.596 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.6315 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 2.3251 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 6 'norm ' 3.4363 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 12.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 3.5027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 16.731 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .24951E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Normalizat' 1.0643 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 12 'Prefactor ' .98051 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.267769 delta logL = 1.12815146316 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.941e+00 2.441e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 1.413e+00 5.432e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.806e-01 1.394e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.071e+00 1.435e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 6.11 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.41 +/- 0.54 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.31e-08 +/- 9.52e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.67e-05 +/- 1.12e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33476491/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.75e-05', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.66e-08', energy_flux2='1.67e-05', photon_flux_error='1.76e-08', dlogl='1.13e+00', energy_flux='1.14e-05', photon_flux2='1.31e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-28 18:30:10.211047', photon_index_error2='0.54', photon_index2='1.41', ts='3.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.12e-05', EG='1.07', time_epoch_completed='1785288610.21', return_code='0', job_id='33476491', GAL2='0.98', EG2='1.07', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='7.57e-06', photon_flux_error2='9.52e-09', ts2='6.11', photon_index='2.35' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J2038.7+5117' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 18:30:10 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122344.4 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 161 CALLS 766 TOTAL EDM= .45E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.379 .14577E-03 -1.5571 2 Prefactor 15.928 10.633 .25151E-03 -1.5628 3 norm 11.574 7.3256 .29394E-03 -1.5640 4 norm 1.6320 1.0216 .82752E-03 -1.5682 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15126 .67245E-02 -1.5403 6 norm 3.4352 3.4875 .54539E-03 -1.5671 7 norm 12.768 3.4042 .28017E-03 -1.5636 8 norm 3.5037 2.3197 .53996E-03 -1.5671 9 Prefactor 16.889 8.5427 .24459E-03 -1.5626 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5900 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .15577 .26776 -.90876 12 Prefactor .98044 .14778E-01 .26828E-01 -.93384 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.47997e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.3792 2 10.6331 3 7.3256 4 1.02156 5 0.151259 6 3.48751 7 3.40416 8 2.31971 9 8.54273 10 1.33079e-05 11 0.155835 12 0.0147781 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.395921 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.504e+00 2.320e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.804e-01 1.478e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.065e+00 1.558e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.35 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.66e-08 +/- 1.76e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.14e-05 +/- 7.57e-06 TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40251984644e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.75012306979e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33476894/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.289579 delta logL = 1.10634118544 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.26777 delta logL = 1.12815079282 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 3.9420 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.4135 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0707 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98064 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 122343.3 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 56 CALLS 222 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 3.9407 2.3736 .50783E-03 .12232E-01 2 alpha 1.4128 .48233 .47641 -.48262E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14890 .26724 .57139E-03 4 Prefactor .98064 .14235E-01 .26826E-01 -.22695E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 3.94074 alpha = 1.41281 Normalizat = 1.07071 Prefactor = 0.980638 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 122344.4 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 68 CALLS 605 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.295 -.88599E-06 .17742E-01 2 Prefactor 15.928 8.0793 -.22422E-05 .97883E-01 3 norm 11.574 6.3048 -.17601E-05 -.91575E-01 4 norm 1.6320 1.0150 .93729E-07 -.68510E-02 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15074 .25221E-06 -.99150E-02 6 norm 3.4352 3.4827 -.47992E-06 .52305E-02 7 norm 12.768 3.4033 .10321E-06 -.12667E-01 8 norm 3.5037 2.3150 .27926E-06 -.93644E-02 9 Prefactor 16.889 6.7514 -.61066E-06 -.13948 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5933 -.23360E-06** at limit ** 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .14909 .10447E-04 -.69409E-04 12 Prefactor .98044 .14507E-01 -.34323E-08 -.71374E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 46.7055 Prefactor = 15.9284 norm = 11.5743 norm = 1.63203 Prefactor = 2.32513 norm = 3.43517 norm = 12.7681 norm = 3.50371 Prefactor = 16.8886 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.06524 Prefactor = 0.980438 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 122344.4 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 68 CALLS 605 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.295 -.88599E-06 .17742E-01 2 Prefactor 15.928 8.0793 -.22422E-05 .97883E-01 3 norm 11.574 6.3048 -.17601E-05 -.91575E-01 4 norm 1.6320 1.0150 .93729E-07 -.68510E-02 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15074 .25221E-06 -.99150E-02 6 norm 3.4352 3.4827 -.47992E-06 .52305E-02 7 norm 12.768 3.4033 .10321E-06 -.12667E-01 8 norm 3.5037 2.3150 .27926E-06 -.93644E-02 9 Prefactor 16.889 6.7514 -.61066E-06 -.13948 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5933 -.23360E-06** at limit ** 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .14909 .10447E-04 -.69409E-04 12 Prefactor .98044 .14507E-01 -.34323E-08 -.71374E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 46.7055 Prefactor = 15.9284 norm = 11.5743 norm = 1.63203 Prefactor = 2.32513 norm = 3.43517 norm = 12.7681 norm = 3.50371 Prefactor = 16.8886 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.06524 Prefactor = 0.980438 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122343.3 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 255 TOTAL EDM= .40E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 3.9407 2.4410 .20313E-04 -1.5668 2 alpha 1.4128 .53790 .71679E-01 -.44990 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14345 .11986E-02 -.90698 4 Prefactor .98064 .13936E-01 .11856E-03 -.93378 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.95658e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.44099 2 0.543158 3 0.143504 4 0.0139356 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.267769 delta logL = 1.12815146316 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.941e+00 2.441e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 1.413e+00 5.432e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.806e-01 1.394e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.071e+00 1.435e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 6.11 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.41 +/- 0.54 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.31e-08 +/- 9.52e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.67e-05 +/- 1.12e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33476894/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.75e-05', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.66e-08', energy_flux2='1.67e-05', photon_flux_error='1.76e-08', dlogl='1.13e+00', energy_flux='1.14e-05', photon_flux2='1.31e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-28 18:31:28.031227', photon_index_error2='0.54', photon_index2='1.41', ts='3.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.12e-05', EG='1.07', time_epoch_completed='1785288688.03', return_code='0', job_id='33476894', GAL2='0.98', EG2='1.07', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='7.57e-06', photon_flux_error2='9.52e-09', ts2='6.11', photon_index='2.35' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J2038.7+5117' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 18:31:28 PDT 2026 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 122344.4 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 68 CALLS 605 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.295 -.88599E-06 .17742E-01 2 Prefactor 15.928 8.0793 -.22422E-05 .97883E-01 3 norm 11.574 6.3048 -.17601E-05 -.91575E-01 4 norm 1.6320 1.0150 .93729E-07 -.68510E-02 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15074 .25221E-06 -.99150E-02 6 norm 3.4352 3.4827 -.47992E-06 .52305E-02 7 norm 12.768 3.4033 .10321E-06 -.12667E-01 8 norm 3.5037 2.3150 .27926E-06 -.93644E-02 9 Prefactor 16.889 6.7514 -.61066E-06 -.13948 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5933 -.23360E-06** at limit ** 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .14909 .10447E-04 -.69409E-04 12 Prefactor .98044 .14507E-01 -.34323E-08 -.71374E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 46.7055 Prefactor = 15.9284 norm = 11.5743 norm = 1.63203 Prefactor = 2.32513 norm = 3.43517 norm = 12.7681 norm = 3.50371 Prefactor = 16.8886 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.06524 Prefactor = 0.980438 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122344.4 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 161 CALLS 766 TOTAL EDM= .45E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.379 .14577E-03 -1.5571 2 Prefactor 15.928 10.633 .25151E-03 -1.5628 3 norm 11.574 7.3256 .29394E-03 -1.5640 4 norm 1.6320 1.0216 .82752E-03 -1.5682 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15126 .67245E-02 -1.5403 6 norm 3.4352 3.4875 .54539E-03 -1.5671 7 norm 12.768 3.4042 .28017E-03 -1.5636 8 norm 3.5037 2.3197 .53996E-03 -1.5671 9 Prefactor 16.889 8.5427 .24459E-03 -1.5626 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5900 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .15577 .26776 -.90876 12 Prefactor .98044 .14778E-01 .26828E-01 -.93384 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.47997e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.3792 2 10.6331 3 7.3256 4 1.02156 5 0.151259 6 3.48751 7 3.40416 8 2.31971 9 8.54273 10 1.33079e-05 11 0.155835 12 0.0147781 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122344.4 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 161 CALLS 766 TOTAL EDM= .45E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.379 .14577E-03 -1.5571 2 Prefactor 15.928 10.633 .25151E-03 -1.5628 3 norm 11.574 7.3256 .29394E-03 -1.5640 4 norm 1.6320 1.0216 .82752E-03 -1.5682 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15126 .67245E-02 -1.5403 6 norm 3.4352 3.4875 .54539E-03 -1.5671 7 norm 12.768 3.4042 .28017E-03 -1.5636 8 norm 3.5037 2.3197 .53996E-03 -1.5671 9 Prefactor 16.889 8.5427 .24459E-03 -1.5626 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5900 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .15577 .26776 -.90876 12 Prefactor .98044 .14778E-01 .26828E-01 -.93384 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.47997e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.3792 2 10.6331 3 7.3256 4 1.02156 5 0.151259 6 3.48751 7 3.40416 8 2.31971 9 8.54273 10 1.33079e-05 11 0.155835 12 0.0147781 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.395921 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.504e+00 2.320e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.804e-01 1.478e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.065e+00 1.558e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.35 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.66e-08 +/- 1.76e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.14e-05 +/- 7.57e-06 TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40251984644e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.75012306979e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33477084/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.289579 delta logL = 1.10634118544 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.26777 delta logL = 1.12815079282 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 3.9420 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.4135 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0707 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98064 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 122343.3 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 56 CALLS 222 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 3.9407 2.3736 .50783E-03 .12232E-01 2 alpha 1.4128 .48233 .47641 -.48262E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14890 .26724 .57139E-03 4 Prefactor .98064 .14235E-01 .26826E-01 -.22695E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 3.94074 alpha = 1.41281 Normalizat = 1.07071 Prefactor = 0.980638 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122344.4 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 161 CALLS 766 TOTAL EDM= .45E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.379 .14577E-03 -1.5571 2 Prefactor 15.928 10.633 .25151E-03 -1.5628 3 norm 11.574 7.3256 .29394E-03 -1.5640 4 norm 1.6320 1.0216 .82752E-03 -1.5682 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15126 .67245E-02 -1.5403 6 norm 3.4352 3.4875 .54539E-03 -1.5671 7 norm 12.768 3.4042 .28017E-03 -1.5636 8 norm 3.5037 2.3197 .53996E-03 -1.5671 9 Prefactor 16.889 8.5427 .24459E-03 -1.5626 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5900 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .15577 .26776 -.90876 12 Prefactor .98044 .14778E-01 .26828E-01 -.93384 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.47997e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.3792 2 10.6331 3 7.3256 4 1.02156 5 0.151259 6 3.48751 7 3.40416 8 2.31971 9 8.54273 10 1.33079e-05 11 0.155835 12 0.0147781 x_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.32 user 0.22 sys 0.15 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CTB 109 adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source FHES J2129.9+5833 adding source FHES J2208.4+6443 adding source FHES J2304.0+5406 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 21 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits.....................! real 1037.99 user 1029.24 sys 1.49 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33477274/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2038.7+5117' 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 1.774e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33477274/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33477274/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33477274/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.417129 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.396437 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 47.070 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 11.596 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.6315 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 2.3251 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 6 'norm ' 3.4363 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 12.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 3.5027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 16.731 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .24951E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Normalizat' 1.0643 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 12 'Prefactor ' .98051 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122343.3 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 255 TOTAL EDM= .40E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 3.9407 2.4410 .20313E-04 -1.5668 2 alpha 1.4128 .53790 .71679E-01 -.44990 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14345 .11986E-02 -.90698 4 Prefactor .98064 .13936E-01 .11856E-03 -.93378 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.95658e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.44099 2 0.543158 3 0.143504 4 0.0139356 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.395921 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.504e+00 2.320e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.804e-01 1.478e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.065e+00 1.558e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.35 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.66e-08 +/- 1.76e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.14e-05 +/- 7.57e-06 TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40251984644e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.75012306979e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33476949/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.289579 delta logL = 1.10634118544 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.26777 delta logL = 1.12815079282 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 3.9420 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.4135 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0707 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98064 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 122343.3 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 56 CALLS 222 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 3.9407 2.3736 .50783E-03 .12232E-01 2 alpha 1.4128 .48233 .47641 -.48262E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14890 .26724 .57139E-03 4 Prefactor .98064 .14235E-01 .26826E-01 -.22695E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 3.94074 alpha = 1.41281 Normalizat = 1.07071 Prefactor = 0.980638 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.395921 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.504e+00 2.320e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.804e-01 1.478e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.065e+00 1.558e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.35 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.66e-08 +/- 1.76e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.14e-05 +/- 7.57e-06 TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40251984644e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.75012306979e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33477079/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.289579 delta logL = 1.10634118544 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.26777 delta logL = 1.12815079282 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 3.9420 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.4135 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0707 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98064 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 122343.3 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 56 CALLS 222 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 3.9407 2.3736 .50783E-03 .12232E-01 2 alpha 1.4128 .48233 .47641 -.48262E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14890 .26724 .57139E-03 4 Prefactor .98064 .14235E-01 .26826E-01 -.22695E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 3.94074 alpha = 1.41281 Normalizat = 1.07071 Prefactor = 0.980638 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.267769 delta logL = 1.12815146316 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.941e+00 2.441e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 1.413e+00 5.432e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.806e-01 1.394e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.071e+00 1.435e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 6.11 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.41 +/- 0.54 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.31e-08 +/- 9.52e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.67e-05 +/- 1.12e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33477084/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.75e-05', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.66e-08', energy_flux2='1.67e-05', photon_flux_error='1.76e-08', dlogl='1.13e+00', energy_flux='1.14e-05', photon_flux2='1.31e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-28 18:34:15.883682', photon_index_error2='0.54', photon_index2='1.41', ts='3.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.12e-05', EG='1.07', time_epoch_completed='1785288855.88', return_code='0', job_id='33477084', GAL2='0.98', EG2='1.07', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='7.57e-06', photon_flux_error2='9.52e-09', ts2='6.11', photon_index='2.35' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J2038.7+5117' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 18:34:16 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122343.3 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 255 TOTAL EDM= .40E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 3.9407 2.4410 .20313E-04 -1.5668 2 alpha 1.4128 .53790 .71679E-01 -.44990 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14345 .11986E-02 -.90698 4 Prefactor .98064 .13936E-01 .11856E-03 -.93378 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.95658e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.44099 2 0.543158 3 0.143504 4 0.0139356 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122343.3 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 255 TOTAL EDM= .40E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 3.9407 2.4410 .20313E-04 -1.5668 2 alpha 1.4128 .53790 .71679E-01 -.44990 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14345 .11986E-02 -.90698 4 Prefactor .98064 .13936E-01 .11856E-03 -.93378 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.95658e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.44099 2 0.543158 3 0.143504 4 0.0139356 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.267769 delta logL = 1.12815146316 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.941e+00 2.441e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 1.413e+00 5.432e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.806e-01 1.394e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.071e+00 1.435e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 6.11 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.41 +/- 0.54 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.31e-08 +/- 9.52e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.67e-05 +/- 1.12e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33476949/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.75e-05', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.66e-08', energy_flux2='1.67e-05', photon_flux_error='1.76e-08', dlogl='1.13e+00', energy_flux='1.14e-05', photon_flux2='1.31e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-28 18:34:38.204832', photon_index_error2='0.54', photon_index2='1.41', ts='3.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.12e-05', EG='1.07', time_epoch_completed='1785288878.2', return_code='0', job_id='33476949', GAL2='0.98', EG2='1.07', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='7.57e-06', photon_flux_error2='9.52e-09', ts2='6.11', photon_index='2.35' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J2038.7+5117' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 18:34:38 PDT 2026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.267769 delta logL = 1.12815146316 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.941e+00 2.441e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 1.413e+00 5.432e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.806e-01 1.394e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.071e+00 1.435e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 6.11 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.41 +/- 0.54 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.31e-08 +/- 9.52e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.67e-05 +/- 1.12e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33477079/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.75e-05', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.66e-08', energy_flux2='1.67e-05', photon_flux_error='1.76e-08', dlogl='1.13e+00', energy_flux='1.14e-05', photon_flux2='1.31e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-28 18:34:45.477073', photon_index_error2='0.54', photon_index2='1.41', ts='3.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.12e-05', EG='1.07', time_epoch_completed='1785288885.48', return_code='0', job_id='33477079', GAL2='0.98', EG2='1.07', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='7.57e-06', photon_flux_error2='9.52e-09', ts2='6.11', photon_index='2.35' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J2038.7+5117' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 18:34:45 PDT 2026 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 122344.4 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 68 CALLS 605 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.295 -.88599E-06 .17742E-01 2 Prefactor 15.928 8.0793 -.22422E-05 .97883E-01 3 norm 11.574 6.3048 -.17601E-05 -.91575E-01 4 norm 1.6320 1.0150 .93729E-07 -.68510E-02 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15074 .25221E-06 -.99150E-02 6 norm 3.4352 3.4827 -.47992E-06 .52305E-02 7 norm 12.768 3.4033 .10321E-06 -.12667E-01 8 norm 3.5037 2.3150 .27926E-06 -.93644E-02 9 Prefactor 16.889 6.7514 -.61066E-06 -.13948 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5933 -.23360E-06** at limit ** 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .14909 .10447E-04 -.69409E-04 12 Prefactor .98044 .14507E-01 -.34323E-08 -.71374E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 46.7055 Prefactor = 15.9284 norm = 11.5743 norm = 1.63203 Prefactor = 2.32513 norm = 3.43517 norm = 12.7681 norm = 3.50371 Prefactor = 16.8886 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.06524 Prefactor = 0.980438 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.395921 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.504e+00 2.320e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.804e-01 1.478e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.065e+00 1.558e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.35 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.66e-08 +/- 1.76e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.14e-05 +/- 7.57e-06 TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40251984644e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.75012306979e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33476931/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.289579 delta logL = 1.10634118544 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.26777 delta logL = 1.12815079282 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 3.9420 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.4135 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0707 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98064 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 122343.3 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 56 CALLS 222 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 3.9407 2.3736 .50783E-03 .12232E-01 2 alpha 1.4128 .48233 .47641 -.48262E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14890 .26724 .57139E-03 4 Prefactor .98064 .14235E-01 .26826E-01 -.22695E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 3.94074 alpha = 1.41281 Normalizat = 1.07071 Prefactor = 0.980638 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122343.3 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 255 TOTAL EDM= .40E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 3.9407 2.4410 .20313E-04 -1.5668 2 alpha 1.4128 .53790 .71679E-01 -.44990 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14345 .11986E-02 -.90698 4 Prefactor .98064 .13936E-01 .11856E-03 -.93378 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.95658e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.44099 2 0.543158 3 0.143504 4 0.0139356 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.267769 delta logL = 1.12815146316 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.941e+00 2.441e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 1.413e+00 5.432e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.806e-01 1.394e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.071e+00 1.435e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 6.11 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.41 +/- 0.54 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.31e-08 +/- 9.52e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.67e-05 +/- 1.12e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33476931/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.75e-05', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.66e-08', energy_flux2='1.67e-05', photon_flux_error='1.76e-08', dlogl='1.13e+00', energy_flux='1.14e-05', photon_flux2='1.31e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-28 18:36:37.932053', photon_index_error2='0.54', photon_index2='1.41', ts='3.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.12e-05', EG='1.07', time_epoch_completed='1785288997.93', return_code='0', job_id='33476931', GAL2='0.98', EG2='1.07', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='7.57e-06', photon_flux_error2='9.52e-09', ts2='6.11', photon_index='2.35' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J2038.7+5117' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 18:36:38 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.395921 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.504e+00 2.320e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.804e-01 1.478e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.065e+00 1.558e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.35 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.66e-08 +/- 1.76e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.14e-05 +/- 7.57e-06 TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40251984644e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.75012306979e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33477360/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.289579 delta logL = 1.10634118544 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.26777 delta logL = 1.12815079282 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 3.9420 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.4135 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0707 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98064 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 122343.3 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 56 CALLS 222 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 3.9407 2.3736 .50783E-03 .12232E-01 2 alpha 1.4128 .48233 .47641 -.48262E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14890 .26724 .57139E-03 4 Prefactor .98064 .14235E-01 .26826E-01 -.22695E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 3.94074 alpha = 1.41281 Normalizat = 1.07071 Prefactor = 0.980638 px_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.04 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source CTB 109 adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source FHES J2129.9+5833 adding source FHES J2208.4+6443 adding source FHES J2304.0+5406 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 21 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits.....................! real 971.61 user 964.06 sys 1.11 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/33477811/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2038.7+5117' 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 1.774e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ft2_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/33477811/expmap_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/33477811/ltcube_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/33477811/Model_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.417129 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.396437 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 47.070 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 15.824 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 11.596 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 1.6315 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 2.3251 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 6 'norm ' 3.4363 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 12.759 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 3.5027 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 16.731 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .24951E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Normalizat' 1.0643 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 12 'Prefactor ' .98051 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122344.4 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 161 CALLS 766 TOTAL EDM= .45E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.379 .14577E-03 -1.5571 2 Prefactor 15.928 10.633 .25151E-03 -1.5628 3 norm 11.574 7.3256 .29394E-03 -1.5640 4 norm 1.6320 1.0216 .82752E-03 -1.5682 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15126 .67245E-02 -1.5403 6 norm 3.4352 3.4875 .54539E-03 -1.5671 7 norm 12.768 3.4042 .28017E-03 -1.5636 8 norm 3.5037 2.3197 .53996E-03 -1.5671 9 Prefactor 16.889 8.5427 .24459E-03 -1.5626 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5900 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .15577 .26776 -.90876 12 Prefactor .98044 .14778E-01 .26828E-01 -.93384 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.47997e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.3792 2 10.6331 3 7.3256 4 1.02156 5 0.151259 6 3.48751 7 3.40416 8 2.31971 9 8.54273 10 1.33079e-05 11 0.155835 12 0.0147781 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122343.3 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 255 TOTAL EDM= .40E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 3.9407 2.4410 .20313E-04 -1.5668 2 alpha 1.4128 .53790 .71679E-01 -.44990 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14345 .11986E-02 -.90698 4 Prefactor .98064 .13936E-01 .11856E-03 -.93378 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.95658e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.44099 2 0.543158 3 0.143504 4 0.0139356 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.267769 delta logL = 1.12815146316 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.941e+00 2.441e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 1.413e+00 5.432e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.806e-01 1.394e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.071e+00 1.435e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 6.11 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.41 +/- 0.54 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.31e-08 +/- 9.52e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.67e-05 +/- 1.12e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33477360/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.75e-05', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.66e-08', energy_flux2='1.67e-05', photon_flux_error='1.76e-08', dlogl='1.13e+00', energy_flux='1.14e-05', photon_flux2='1.31e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-28 18:37:55.834956', photon_index_error2='0.54', photon_index2='1.41', ts='3.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.12e-05', EG='1.07', time_epoch_completed='1785289075.83', return_code='0', job_id='33477360', GAL2='0.98', EG2='1.07', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='7.57e-06', photon_flux_error2='9.52e-09', ts2='6.11', photon_index='2.35' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J2038.7+5117' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 18:37:56 PDT 2026 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 122344.4 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 68 CALLS 605 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.295 -.88599E-06 .17742E-01 2 Prefactor 15.928 8.0793 -.22422E-05 .97883E-01 3 norm 11.574 6.3048 -.17601E-05 -.91575E-01 4 norm 1.6320 1.0150 .93729E-07 -.68510E-02 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15074 .25221E-06 -.99150E-02 6 norm 3.4352 3.4827 -.47992E-06 .52305E-02 7 norm 12.768 3.4033 .10321E-06 -.12667E-01 8 norm 3.5037 2.3150 .27926E-06 -.93644E-02 9 Prefactor 16.889 6.7514 -.61066E-06 -.13948 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5933 -.23360E-06** at limit ** 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .14909 .10447E-04 -.69409E-04 12 Prefactor .98044 .14507E-01 -.34323E-08 -.71374E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 46.7055 Prefactor = 15.9284 norm = 11.5743 norm = 1.63203 Prefactor = 2.32513 norm = 3.43517 norm = 12.7681 norm = 3.50371 Prefactor = 16.8886 Prefactor = 0 Normalizat = 1.06524 Prefactor = 0.980438 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122344.4 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 161 CALLS 766 TOTAL EDM= .45E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 46.705 15.379 .14577E-03 -1.5571 2 Prefactor 15.928 10.633 .25151E-03 -1.5628 3 norm 11.574 7.3256 .29394E-03 -1.5640 4 norm 1.6320 1.0216 .82752E-03 -1.5682 5 Prefactor 2.3251 .15126 .67245E-02 -1.5403 6 norm 3.4352 3.4875 .54539E-03 -1.5671 7 norm 12.768 3.4042 .28017E-03 -1.5636 8 norm 3.5037 2.3197 .53996E-03 -1.5671 9 Prefactor 16.889 8.5427 .24459E-03 -1.5626 10 Prefactor .0000 2.5900 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Normalizat 1.0652 .15577 .26776 -.90876 12 Prefactor .98044 .14778E-01 .26828E-01 -.93384 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.47997e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 15.3792 2 10.6331 3 7.3256 4 1.02156 5 0.151259 6 3.48751 7 3.40416 8 2.31971 9 8.54273 10 1.33079e-05 11 0.155835 12 0.0147781 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.395921 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.504e+00 2.320e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.804e-01 1.478e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.065e+00 1.558e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.35 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.66e-08 +/- 1.76e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.14e-05 +/- 7.57e-06 TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40251984644e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.75012306979e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33477260/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.289579 delta logL = 1.10634118544 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.26777 delta logL = 1.12815079282 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 3.9420 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.4135 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0707 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98064 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 122343.3 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 56 CALLS 222 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 3.9407 2.3736 .50783E-03 .12232E-01 2 alpha 1.4128 .48233 .47641 -.48262E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14890 .26724 .57139E-03 4 Prefactor .98064 .14235E-01 .26826E-01 -.22695E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 3.94074 alpha = 1.41281 Normalizat = 1.07071 Prefactor = 0.980638 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.395921 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.504e+00 2.320e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.804e-01 1.478e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.065e+00 1.558e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.35 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.66e-08 +/- 1.76e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.14e-05 +/- 7.57e-06 TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40251984644e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.75012306979e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33477216/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.289579 delta logL = 1.10634118544 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.26777 delta logL = 1.12815079282 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 3.9420 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.4135 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0707 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98064 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 122343.3 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 56 CALLS 222 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 3.9407 2.3736 .50783E-03 .12232E-01 2 alpha 1.4128 .48233 .47641 -.48262E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14890 .26724 .57139E-03 4 Prefactor .98064 .14235E-01 .26826E-01 -.22695E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 3.94074 alpha = 1.41281 Normalizat = 1.07071 Prefactor = 0.980638 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122343.3 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 255 TOTAL EDM= .40E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 3.9407 2.4410 .20313E-04 -1.5668 2 alpha 1.4128 .53790 .71679E-01 -.44990 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14345 .11986E-02 -.90698 4 Prefactor .98064 .13936E-01 .11856E-03 -.93378 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.95658e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.44099 2 0.543158 3 0.143504 4 0.0139356 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.267769 delta logL = 1.12815146316 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.941e+00 2.441e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 1.413e+00 5.432e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.806e-01 1.394e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.071e+00 1.435e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 6.11 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.41 +/- 0.54 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.31e-08 +/- 9.52e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.67e-05 +/- 1.12e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33477260/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.75e-05', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.66e-08', energy_flux2='1.67e-05', photon_flux_error='1.76e-08', dlogl='1.13e+00', energy_flux='1.14e-05', photon_flux2='1.31e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-28 18:42:15.307137', photon_index_error2='0.54', photon_index2='1.41', ts='3.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.12e-05', EG='1.07', time_epoch_completed='1785289335.31', return_code='0', job_id='33477260', GAL2='0.98', EG2='1.07', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='7.57e-06', photon_flux_error2='9.52e-09', ts2='6.11', photon_index='2.35' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J2038.7+5117' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 18:42:15 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122343.3 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 255 TOTAL EDM= .40E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 3.9407 2.4410 .20313E-04 -1.5668 2 alpha 1.4128 .53790 .71679E-01 -.44990 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14345 .11986E-02 -.90698 4 Prefactor .98064 .13936E-01 .11856E-03 -.93378 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.95658e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.44099 2 0.543158 3 0.143504 4 0.0139356 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.267769 delta logL = 1.12815146316 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.941e+00 2.441e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 1.413e+00 5.432e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.806e-01 1.394e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.071e+00 1.435e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 6.11 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.41 +/- 0.54 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.31e-08 +/- 9.52e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.67e-05 +/- 1.12e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33477216/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.75e-05', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.66e-08', energy_flux2='1.67e-05', photon_flux_error='1.76e-08', dlogl='1.13e+00', energy_flux='1.14e-05', photon_flux2='1.31e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-28 18:42:33.110974', photon_index_error2='0.54', photon_index2='1.41', ts='3.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.12e-05', EG='1.07', time_epoch_completed='1785289353.11', return_code='0', job_id='33477216', GAL2='0.98', EG2='1.07', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='7.57e-06', photon_flux_error2='9.52e-09', ts2='6.11', photon_index='2.35' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J2038.7+5117' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 18:42:33 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.395921 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.504e+00 2.320e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.804e-01 1.478e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.065e+00 1.558e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.35 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.66e-08 +/- 1.76e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.14e-05 +/- 7.57e-06 TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40251984644e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.75012306979e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33477093/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.289579 delta logL = 1.10634118544 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.26777 delta logL = 1.12815079282 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 3.9420 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.4135 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0707 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98064 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 122343.3 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 56 CALLS 222 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 3.9407 2.3736 .50783E-03 .12232E-01 2 alpha 1.4128 .48233 .47641 -.48262E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14890 .26724 .57139E-03 4 Prefactor .98064 .14235E-01 .26826E-01 -.22695E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 3.94074 alpha = 1.41281 Normalizat = 1.07071 Prefactor = 0.980638 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122343.3 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 255 TOTAL EDM= .40E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 3.9407 2.4410 .20313E-04 -1.5668 2 alpha 1.4128 .53790 .71679E-01 -.44990 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14345 .11986E-02 -.90698 4 Prefactor .98064 .13936E-01 .11856E-03 -.93378 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.95658e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.44099 2 0.543158 3 0.143504 4 0.0139356 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.267769 delta logL = 1.12815146316 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.941e+00 2.441e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 1.413e+00 5.432e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.806e-01 1.394e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.071e+00 1.435e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 6.11 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.41 +/- 0.54 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.31e-08 +/- 9.52e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.67e-05 +/- 1.12e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33477093/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.75e-05', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.66e-08', energy_flux2='1.67e-05', photon_flux_error='1.76e-08', dlogl='1.13e+00', energy_flux='1.14e-05', photon_flux2='1.31e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-28 18:43:27.246127', photon_index_error2='0.54', photon_index2='1.41', ts='3.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.12e-05', EG='1.07', time_epoch_completed='1785289407.25', return_code='0', job_id='33477093', GAL2='0.98', EG2='1.07', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='7.57e-06', photon_flux_error2='9.52e-09', ts2='6.11', photon_index='2.35' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J2038.7+5117' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 18:43:27 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.395921 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.504e+00 2.320e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.804e-01 1.478e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.065e+00 1.558e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.35 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.66e-08 +/- 1.76e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.14e-05 +/- 7.57e-06 TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40251984644e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.75012306979e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33477274/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.289579 delta logL = 1.10634118544 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.26777 delta logL = 1.12815079282 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 3.9420 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.4135 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0707 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98064 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 122343.3 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 56 CALLS 222 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 3.9407 2.3736 .50783E-03 .12232E-01 2 alpha 1.4128 .48233 .47641 -.48262E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14890 .26724 .57139E-03 4 Prefactor .98064 .14235E-01 .26826E-01 -.22695E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 3.94074 alpha = 1.41281 Normalizat = 1.07071 Prefactor = 0.980638 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122343.3 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 255 TOTAL EDM= .40E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 3.9407 2.4410 .20313E-04 -1.5668 2 alpha 1.4128 .53790 .71679E-01 -.44990 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14345 .11986E-02 -.90698 4 Prefactor .98064 .13936E-01 .11856E-03 -.93378 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.95658e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.44099 2 0.543158 3 0.143504 4 0.0139356 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.267769 delta logL = 1.12815146316 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.941e+00 2.441e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 1.413e+00 5.432e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.806e-01 1.394e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.071e+00 1.435e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 6.11 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.41 +/- 0.54 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.31e-08 +/- 9.52e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.67e-05 +/- 1.12e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33477274/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.75e-05', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.66e-08', energy_flux2='1.67e-05', photon_flux_error='1.76e-08', dlogl='1.13e+00', energy_flux='1.14e-05', photon_flux2='1.31e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-28 18:46:17.509490', photon_index_error2='0.54', photon_index2='1.41', ts='3.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.12e-05', EG='1.07', time_epoch_completed='1785289577.51', return_code='0', job_id='33477274', GAL2='0.98', EG2='1.07', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='7.57e-06', photon_flux_error2='9.52e-09', ts2='6.11', photon_index='2.35' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J2038.7+5117' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 18:46:18 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 122344.395921 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.504e+00 2.320e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 2.353e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.804e-01 1.478e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.065e+00 1.558e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.35 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.66e-08 +/- 1.76e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.14e-05 +/- 7.57e-06 TS (Fixed Index): 3.85 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.40251984644e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.75012306979e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/33477811/likelihoodResults_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.289579 delta logL = 1.10634118544 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.26777 delta logL = 1.12815079282 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 3.9420 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 1.4135 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0707 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98064 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7340E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 122343.3 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 56 CALLS 222 TOTAL EDM= .13E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 3.9407 2.3736 .50783E-03 .12232E-01 2 alpha 1.4128 .48233 .47641 -.48262E-03 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14890 .26724 .57139E-03 4 Prefactor .98064 .14235E-01 .26826E-01 -.22695E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 3.94074 alpha = 1.41281 Normalizat = 1.07071 Prefactor = 0.980638 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 122343.3 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 255 TOTAL EDM= .40E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 3.9407 2.4410 .20313E-04 -1.5668 2 alpha 1.4128 .53790 .71679E-01 -.44990 3 Normalizat 1.0707 .14345 .11986E-02 -.90698 4 Prefactor .98064 .13936E-01 .11856E-03 -.93378 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.95658e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.44099 2 0.543158 3 0.143504 4 0.0139356 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 122343.267769 delta logL = 1.12815146316 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2038.7+5117 Spectrum: LogParabola 361 norm: 3.941e+00 2.441e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 362 alpha: 1.413e+00 5.432e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 363 beta: 3.077e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 364 Eb: 1.005e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 723 Prefactor: 9.806e-01 1.394e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 724 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 725 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 711 Normalization: 1.071e+00 1.435e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 6.11 Ra Dec: 309.694 51.285 Photon Index (Free Index): 1.41 +/- 0.54 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.31e-08 +/- 9.52e-09 Energy Flux (Free Index): 1.67e-05 +/- 1.12e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/33477811/cmap_HighResolution_806284801_806889601_4FGL_J2038.7+5117_weekly_bin938.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.75e-05', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.66e-08', energy_flux2='1.67e-05', photon_flux_error='1.76e-08', dlogl='1.13e+00', energy_flux='1.14e-05', photon_flux2='1.31e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-28 18:48:07.692955', photon_index_error2='0.54', photon_index2='1.41', ts='3.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.98', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.40e-08', energy_flux_error2='1.12e-05', EG='1.07', time_epoch_completed='1785289687.69', return_code='0', job_id='33477811', GAL2='0.98', EG2='1.07', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='7.57e-06', photon_flux_error2='9.52e-09', ts2='6.11', photon_index='2.35' WHERE bin_id='938' AND source_name='4FGL J2038.7+5117' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jul 28 18:48:08 PDT 2026