number of points = 7433 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186 RA = 307.811, Dec = -41.3574 tmin = 805939201, tmax = 806198401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='32492549', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-20 18:40:48.569497', time_epoch_executed='1784598048.57' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2031.2-4121' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2186' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/32492549 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/32492549/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=805939201.0 && nMetStart<806198401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=805939201.0 && nMetStart<806198401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ft1_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=805939201.0 && nMetStart<806198401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ft1_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits ra=307.811 dec=-41.3574 rad=12.0 tmin=805939201.0 tmax=806198401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.73 user 1.72 sys 0.16 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.11 user 0.18 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 684 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) number of points = 7433 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186 RA = 307.811, Dec = -41.3574 tmin = 805939201, tmax = 806198401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='32492643', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-20 18:41:02.115450', time_epoch_executed='1784598062.12' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2031.2-4121' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2186' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/32492643 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/32492643/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=805939201.0 && nMetStart<806198401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=805939201.0 && nMetStart<806198401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ft1_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=805939201.0 && nMetStart<806198401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ft1_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits ra=307.811 dec=-41.3574 rad=12.0 tmin=805939201.0 tmax=806198401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.19 user 1.97 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.24 user 0.19 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 684 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits .....................! real 7.91 user 6.79 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits .....................! real 60.98 user 56.22 sys 3.53 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 167 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2031.2-4121 @ 307.811 -41.3574 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/cmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=307.811 yref=-41.3574 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.08 user 0.21 sys 0.11 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=307.811 yref=-41.3574 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.15 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/Model_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcoutfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits .....................! real 9.12 user 7.94 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits .....................! real 69.82 user 64.42 sys 4.01 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 167 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2031.2-4121 @ 307.811 -41.3574 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/cmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=307.811 yref=-41.3574 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.12 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=307.811 yref=-41.3574 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.24 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/Model_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits.....................! real 23.16 user 21.16 sys 0.89 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32492549/Model_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2031.2-4121' 4FGL J2031.2-4121 Spectrum: LogParabola 278 norm: 1.668e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 279 alpha: 2.281e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 280 beta: 5.212e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 281 Eb: 1.567e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32492549/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32492549/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32492549/Model_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7486.84309393 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7486.67184564 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 1.5975 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 32.266 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 27.009 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .29990E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .29315E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .53735E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .42106E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .15916E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .49862 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 1.7649 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .74278E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .10747E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .12964E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .29096E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .40446 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .24697E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .66019E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .19903E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Normalizat' 1.0508 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 20 'Prefactor ' 1.0879 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5590E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7486.670 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 159 CALLS 1255 TOTAL EDM= .82E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.5229 17.577 .36874E-06 -.23639E-02 2 Prefactor 33.104 6.8658 -.11701E-07 .58820E-01 3 Prefactor 27.732 12.679 .42550E-07 .12726 4 norm .41078E-08 2.3949 -.63076E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .0000 3.5072 .15901E-06** at limit ** 6 norm .0000 1.1649 -.19881E-07** at limit ** 7 norm .51403E-07 2.4063 -.51815E-07** at limit ** 8 norm .27756E-09 7.6922 -.22876E-06** at limit ** 9 norm .49794 1.5339 -.34581E-07 -.72406E-03 10 norm 1.7622 1.9138 -.56872E-07 -.24732E-02 11 norm .55511E-10 4.3955 .50207E-07** at limit ** 12 norm .53624E-07 2.5516 -.60842E-07** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .21164E-05 14.993 .38288E-07** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .10203E-06 78.387 .33896E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .40721 .89468 .73058E-07 .31318E-02 16 Prefactor .33122E-05 13.797 -.35151E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .16659E-06 11.442 -.14094E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .91094E-07 29.176 .88679E-07** at limit ** 19 Normalizat 1.0508 .27654 -.40710E-05 -.15030E-03 20 Prefactor 1.0872 .12358 .33445E-06 -.27032E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.52286 Prefactor = 33.104 Prefactor = 27.732 norm = 4.10783e-09 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 norm = 5.14033e-08 norm = 2.77556e-10 norm = 0.497938 norm = 1.76215 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 5.36238e-08 Prefactor = 2.11636e-06 Prefactor = 1.02029e-07 norm = 0.407206 Prefactor = 3.31224e-06 Prefactor = 1.66589e-07 Prefactor = 9.10938e-08 Normalizat = 1.05085 Prefactor = 1.08721 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7486.670 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 327 CALLS 1582 TOTAL EDM= .82E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.5229 18.981 .83870E-03 -1.5683 2 Prefactor 33.104 29.021 .17607E-03 -1.5593 3 Prefactor 27.732 15.564 .19245E-03 -1.5603 4 norm .41078E-08 7.1154 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .0000 3.5186 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .0000 1.1386 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .51403E-07 7.2217 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .27756E-09 7.7088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm .49794 1.5272 .78849E-03 -1.5694 10 norm 1.7622 1.9147 .78822E-03 -1.5681 11 norm .55511E-10 4.4027 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .53624E-07 7.1070 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .21164E-05 19.999 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .10203E-06 78.094 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .40721 1.0308 .27954E-02 -1.5695 16 Prefactor .33122E-05 22.260 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .16659E-06 11.699 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .91094E-07 31.287 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Normalizat 1.0508 .24059 .86218E-01 -.91346 20 Prefactor 1.0872 .10642 .38066E-01 -.89876 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.18712e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 10.7527 2 29.0213 3 15.5643 4 0.000341304 5 5.80358e-06 6 6.10679e-06 7 0.00121857 8 8.93074e-05 9 1.52718 10 1.91468 11 3.0015e-05 12 0.00123474 13 0.0130118 14 0.00564484 15 1.03082 16 0.0171734 17 0.00279187 18 0.00337662 19 0.240837 20 0.106442 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7486.67022329 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2031.2-4121 Spectrum: LogParabola 278 norm: 5.362e-08 1.235e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 279 alpha: 2.281e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 280 beta: 5.212e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 281 Eb: 1.567e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 556 Prefactor: 1.087e+00 1.064e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 557 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 558 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 555 Normalization: 1.051e+00 2.408e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 307.811 -41.357 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.99677693044e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.34890101365e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32492549/likelihoodResults_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7486.29167315 delta logL = 0.378550137015 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7486.27203257 delta logL = 0.398190720642 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .50090 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 5.0000 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .98130 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1017 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5590E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7486.272 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 72 CALLS 294 TOTAL EDM= .55E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .50128 2.0941 .78618E-03 .16842E-01 2 alpha 5.0000 4.8736 .46434 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat .98137 .25977 .88875E-01 .16216E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1017 .10729 .37521E-01 -.94701E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.501281 alpha = 5 Normalizat = 0.981368 Prefactor = 1.10171 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7486.272 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 29 CALLS 323 TOTAL EDM= .81E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .50128 .61664 .69883E-05 -1.5694 2 alpha 5.0000 .86726 .67695E-01 1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat .98137 .28542 .39356E-03 -.93657 4 Prefactor 1.1017 .12404 .16575E-03 -.89412 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.10788e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.616644 2 1.57238e-05 3 0.285869 4 0.124068 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7486.27203224 delta logL = 0.398191047798 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2031.2-4121 Spectrum: LogParabola 278 norm: 5.013e-01 6.166e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 279 alpha: 5.000e+00 1.572e-05 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 280 beta: 5.212e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 281 Eb: 1.567e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 556 Prefactor: 1.102e+00 1.241e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 557 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 558 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 555 Normalization: 9.814e-01 2.859e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 307.811 -41.357 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32492549/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.35e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.00e-08', time_completed='2026-07-20 18:46:39.227438', job_id='32492549', GAL2='1.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.98', EG='1.05', time_epoch_completed='1784598399.23', return_code2='0', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='3.98e-01', ts2='0.85', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.28' WHERE bin_id='2186' AND source_name='4FGL J2031.2-4121' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 20 18:46:39 PDT 2026 number of points = 7433 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186 RA = 307.811, Dec = -41.3574 tmin = 805939201, tmax = 806198401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='32492810', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-20 18:43:52.510915', time_epoch_executed='1784598232.51' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2031.2-4121' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2186' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/32492810 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/32492810/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=805939201.0 && nMetStart<806198401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=805939201.0 && nMetStart<806198401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ft1_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=805939201.0 && nMetStart<806198401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ft1_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits ra=307.811 dec=-41.3574 rad=12.0 tmin=805939201.0 tmax=806198401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.96 user 1.72 sys 0.19 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.20 user 0.18 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 684 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" number of points = 7433 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186 RA = 307.811, Dec = -41.3574 tmin = 805939201, tmax = 806198401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='32492824', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-20 18:43:51.862798', time_epoch_executed='1784598231.86' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2031.2-4121' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2186' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/32492824 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/32492824/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=805939201.0 && nMetStart<806198401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=805939201.0 && nMetStart<806198401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ft1_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=805939201.0 && nMetStart<806198401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ft1_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits ra=307.811 dec=-41.3574 rad=12.0 tmin=805939201.0 tmax=806198401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.92 user 1.69 sys 0.15 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.25 user 0.16 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 684 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits.....................! real 26.03 user 23.86 sys 1.03 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32492643/Model_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2031.2-4121' 4FGL J2031.2-4121 Spectrum: LogParabola 278 norm: 1.668e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 279 alpha: 2.281e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 280 beta: 5.212e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 281 Eb: 1.567e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32492643/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32492643/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32492643/Model_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7486.84309393 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7486.67184564 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 1.5975 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 32.266 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 27.009 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .29990E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .29315E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .53735E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .42106E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .15916E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .49862 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 1.7649 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .74278E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .10747E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .12964E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .29096E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .40446 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .24697E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .66019E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .19903E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Normalizat' 1.0508 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 20 'Prefactor ' 1.0879 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5590E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7486.670 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 159 CALLS 1255 TOTAL EDM= .82E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.5229 17.577 .36874E-06 -.23639E-02 2 Prefactor 33.104 6.8658 -.11701E-07 .58820E-01 3 Prefactor 27.732 12.679 .42550E-07 .12726 4 norm .41078E-08 2.3949 -.63076E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .0000 3.5072 .15901E-06** at limit ** 6 norm .0000 1.1649 -.19881E-07** at limit ** 7 norm .51403E-07 2.4063 -.51815E-07** at limit ** 8 norm .27756E-09 7.6922 -.22876E-06** at limit ** 9 norm .49794 1.5339 -.34581E-07 -.72406E-03 10 norm 1.7622 1.9138 -.56872E-07 -.24732E-02 11 norm .55511E-10 4.3955 .50207E-07** at limit ** 12 norm .53624E-07 2.5516 -.60842E-07** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .21164E-05 14.993 .38288E-07** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .10203E-06 78.387 .33896E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .40721 .89468 .73058E-07 .31318E-02 16 Prefactor .33122E-05 13.797 -.35151E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .16659E-06 11.442 -.14094E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .91094E-07 29.176 .88679E-07** at limit ** 19 Normalizat 1.0508 .27654 -.40710E-05 -.15030E-03 20 Prefactor 1.0872 .12358 .33445E-06 -.27032E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.52286 Prefactor = 33.104 Prefactor = 27.732 norm = 4.10783e-09 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 norm = 5.14033e-08 norm = 2.77556e-10 norm = 0.497938 norm = 1.76215 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 5.36238e-08 Prefactor = 2.11636e-06 Prefactor = 1.02029e-07 norm = 0.407206 Prefactor = 3.31224e-06 Prefactor = 1.66589e-07 Prefactor = 9.10938e-08 Normalizat = 1.05085 Prefactor = 1.08721 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7486.670 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 327 CALLS 1582 TOTAL EDM= .82E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.5229 18.981 .83870E-03 -1.5683 2 Prefactor 33.104 29.021 .17607E-03 -1.5593 3 Prefactor 27.732 15.564 .19245E-03 -1.5603 4 norm .41078E-08 7.1154 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .0000 3.5186 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .0000 1.1386 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .51403E-07 7.2217 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .27756E-09 7.7088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm .49794 1.5272 .78849E-03 -1.5694 10 norm 1.7622 1.9147 .78822E-03 -1.5681 11 norm .55511E-10 4.4027 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .53624E-07 7.1070 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .21164E-05 19.999 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .10203E-06 78.094 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .40721 1.0308 .27954E-02 -1.5695 16 Prefactor .33122E-05 22.260 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .16659E-06 11.699 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .91094E-07 31.287 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Normalizat 1.0508 .24059 .86218E-01 -.91346 20 Prefactor 1.0872 .10642 .38066E-01 -.89876 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.18712e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 10.7527 2 29.0213 3 15.5643 4 0.000341304 5 5.80358e-06 6 6.10679e-06 7 0.00121857 8 8.93074e-05 9 1.52718 10 1.91468 11 3.0015e-05 12 0.00123474 13 0.0130118 14 0.00564484 15 1.03082 16 0.0171734 17 0.00279187 18 0.00337662 19 0.240837 20 0.106442 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7486.67022329 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2031.2-4121 Spectrum: LogParabola 278 norm: 5.362e-08 1.235e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 279 alpha: 2.281e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 280 beta: 5.212e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 281 Eb: 1.567e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 556 Prefactor: 1.087e+00 1.064e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 557 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 558 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 555 Normalization: 1.051e+00 2.408e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 307.811 -41.357 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.99677693044e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.34890101365e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32492643/likelihoodResults_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7486.29167315 delta logL = 0.378550137015 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7486.27203257 delta logL = 0.398190720642 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .50090 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 5.0000 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .98130 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1017 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5590E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7486.272 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 72 CALLS 294 TOTAL EDM= .55E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .50128 2.0941 .78618E-03 .16842E-01 2 alpha 5.0000 4.8736 .46434 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat .98137 .25977 .88875E-01 .16216E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1017 .10729 .37521E-01 -.94701E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.501281 alpha = 5 Normalizat = 0.981368 Prefactor = 1.10171 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7486.272 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 29 CALLS 323 TOTAL EDM= .81E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .50128 .61664 .69883E-05 -1.5694 2 alpha 5.0000 .86726 .67695E-01 1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat .98137 .28542 .39356E-03 -.93657 4 Prefactor 1.1017 .12404 .16575E-03 -.89412 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.10788e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.616644 2 1.57238e-05 3 0.285869 4 0.124068 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7486.27203224 delta logL = 0.398191047798 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2031.2-4121 Spectrum: LogParabola 278 norm: 5.013e-01 6.166e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 279 alpha: 5.000e+00 1.572e-05 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 280 beta: 5.212e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 281 Eb: 1.567e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 556 Prefactor: 1.102e+00 1.241e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 557 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 558 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 555 Normalization: 9.814e-01 2.859e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 307.811 -41.357 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32492643/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.35e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.00e-08', time_completed='2026-07-20 18:47:30.467963', job_id='32492643', GAL2='1.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.98', EG='1.05', time_epoch_completed='1784598450.47', return_code2='0', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='3.98e-01', ts2='0.85', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.28' WHERE bin_id='2186' AND source_name='4FGL J2031.2-4121' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 20 18:47:31 PDT 2026 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits .....................! real 7.93 user 7.01 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits .....................! real 60.30 user 55.74 sys 3.39 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 167 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2031.2-4121 @ 307.811 -41.3574 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/cmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=307.811 yref=-41.3574 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.09 user 0.19 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=307.811 yref=-41.3574 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.22 user 0.20 sys 0.15 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/Model_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcoutfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits .....................! real 8.03 user 6.75 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits .....................! real 59.91 user 55.36 sys 3.40 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 167 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2031.2-4121 @ 307.811 -41.3574 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/cmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=307.811 yref=-41.3574 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.50 user 0.18 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=307.811 yref=-41.3574 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.25 user 0.19 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/Model_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits.....................! real 23.02 user 20.98 sys 0.95 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32492810/Model_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2031.2-4121' 4FGL J2031.2-4121 Spectrum: LogParabola 278 norm: 1.668e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 279 alpha: 2.281e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 280 beta: 5.212e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 281 Eb: 1.567e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32492810/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32492810/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32492810/Model_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7486.84309393 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7486.67184564 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 1.5975 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 32.266 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 27.009 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .29990E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .29315E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .53735E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .42106E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .15916E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .49862 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 1.7649 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .74278E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .10747E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .12964E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .29096E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .40446 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .24697E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .66019E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .19903E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Normalizat' 1.0508 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 20 'Prefactor ' 1.0879 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5590E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7486.670 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 159 CALLS 1255 TOTAL EDM= .82E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.5229 17.577 .36874E-06 -.23639E-02 2 Prefactor 33.104 6.8658 -.11701E-07 .58820E-01 3 Prefactor 27.732 12.679 .42550E-07 .12726 4 norm .41078E-08 2.3949 -.63076E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .0000 3.5072 .15901E-06** at limit ** 6 norm .0000 1.1649 -.19881E-07** at limit ** 7 norm .51403E-07 2.4063 -.51815E-07** at limit ** 8 norm .27756E-09 7.6922 -.22876E-06** at limit ** 9 norm .49794 1.5339 -.34581E-07 -.72406E-03 10 norm 1.7622 1.9138 -.56872E-07 -.24732E-02 11 norm .55511E-10 4.3955 .50207E-07** at limit ** 12 norm .53624E-07 2.5516 -.60842E-07** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .21164E-05 14.993 .38288E-07** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .10203E-06 78.387 .33896E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .40721 .89468 .73058E-07 .31318E-02 16 Prefactor .33122E-05 13.797 -.35151E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .16659E-06 11.442 -.14094E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .91094E-07 29.176 .88679E-07** at limit ** 19 Normalizat 1.0508 .27654 -.40710E-05 -.15030E-03 20 Prefactor 1.0872 .12358 .33445E-06 -.27032E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.52286 Prefactor = 33.104 Prefactor = 27.732 norm = 4.10783e-09 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 norm = 5.14033e-08 norm = 2.77556e-10 norm = 0.497938 norm = 1.76215 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 5.36238e-08 Prefactor = 2.11636e-06 Prefactor = 1.02029e-07 norm = 0.407206 Prefactor = 3.31224e-06 Prefactor = 1.66589e-07 Prefactor = 9.10938e-08 Normalizat = 1.05085 Prefactor = 1.08721 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits.....................! real 23.11 user 20.69 sys 0.95 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/32492824/Model_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2031.2-4121' 4FGL J2031.2-4121 Spectrum: LogParabola 278 norm: 1.668e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 279 alpha: 2.281e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 280 beta: 5.212e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 281 Eb: 1.567e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ft2_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/32492824/expmap_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/32492824/ltcube_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/32492824/Model_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7486.84309393 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7486.67184564 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 1.5975 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 32.266 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 27.009 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' .29990E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .29315E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .53735E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .42106E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .15916E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' .49862 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 1.7649 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .74278E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' .10747E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .12964E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .29096E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .40446 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .24697E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .66019E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .19903E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Normalizat' 1.0508 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 20 'Prefactor ' 1.0879 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5590E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7486.670 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 159 CALLS 1255 TOTAL EDM= .82E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.5229 17.577 .36874E-06 -.23639E-02 2 Prefactor 33.104 6.8658 -.11701E-07 .58820E-01 3 Prefactor 27.732 12.679 .42550E-07 .12726 4 norm .41078E-08 2.3949 -.63076E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .0000 3.5072 .15901E-06** at limit ** 6 norm .0000 1.1649 -.19881E-07** at limit ** 7 norm .51403E-07 2.4063 -.51815E-07** at limit ** 8 norm .27756E-09 7.6922 -.22876E-06** at limit ** 9 norm .49794 1.5339 -.34581E-07 -.72406E-03 10 norm 1.7622 1.9138 -.56872E-07 -.24732E-02 11 norm .55511E-10 4.3955 .50207E-07** at limit ** 12 norm .53624E-07 2.5516 -.60842E-07** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .21164E-05 14.993 .38288E-07** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .10203E-06 78.387 .33896E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .40721 .89468 .73058E-07 .31318E-02 16 Prefactor .33122E-05 13.797 -.35151E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .16659E-06 11.442 -.14094E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .91094E-07 29.176 .88679E-07** at limit ** 19 Normalizat 1.0508 .27654 -.40710E-05 -.15030E-03 20 Prefactor 1.0872 .12358 .33445E-06 -.27032E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.52286 Prefactor = 33.104 Prefactor = 27.732 norm = 4.10783e-09 Prefactor = 0 norm = 0 norm = 5.14033e-08 norm = 2.77556e-10 norm = 0.497938 norm = 1.76215 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 5.36238e-08 Prefactor = 2.11636e-06 Prefactor = 1.02029e-07 norm = 0.407206 Prefactor = 3.31224e-06 Prefactor = 1.66589e-07 Prefactor = 9.10938e-08 Normalizat = 1.05085 Prefactor = 1.08721 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7486.670 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 327 CALLS 1582 TOTAL EDM= .82E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.5229 18.981 .83870E-03 -1.5683 2 Prefactor 33.104 29.021 .17607E-03 -1.5593 3 Prefactor 27.732 15.564 .19245E-03 -1.5603 4 norm .41078E-08 7.1154 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .0000 3.5186 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .0000 1.1386 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .51403E-07 7.2217 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .27756E-09 7.7088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm .49794 1.5272 .78849E-03 -1.5694 10 norm 1.7622 1.9147 .78822E-03 -1.5681 11 norm .55511E-10 4.4027 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .53624E-07 7.1070 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .21164E-05 19.999 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .10203E-06 78.094 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .40721 1.0308 .27954E-02 -1.5695 16 Prefactor .33122E-05 22.260 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .16659E-06 11.699 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .91094E-07 31.287 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Normalizat 1.0508 .24059 .86218E-01 -.91346 20 Prefactor 1.0872 .10642 .38066E-01 -.89876 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.18712e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 10.7527 2 29.0213 3 15.5643 4 0.000341304 5 5.80358e-06 6 6.10679e-06 7 0.00121857 8 8.93074e-05 9 1.52718 10 1.91468 11 3.0015e-05 12 0.00123474 13 0.0130118 14 0.00564484 15 1.03082 16 0.0171734 17 0.00279187 18 0.00337662 19 0.240837 20 0.106442 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7486.670 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 327 CALLS 1582 TOTAL EDM= .82E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.5229 18.981 .83870E-03 -1.5683 2 Prefactor 33.104 29.021 .17607E-03 -1.5593 3 Prefactor 27.732 15.564 .19245E-03 -1.5603 4 norm .41078E-08 7.1154 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .0000 3.5186 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .0000 1.1386 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm .51403E-07 7.2217 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .27756E-09 7.7088 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm .49794 1.5272 .78849E-03 -1.5694 10 norm 1.7622 1.9147 .78822E-03 -1.5681 11 norm .55511E-10 4.4027 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm .53624E-07 7.1070 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .21164E-05 19.999 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .10203E-06 78.094 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .40721 1.0308 .27954E-02 -1.5695 16 Prefactor .33122E-05 22.260 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .16659E-06 11.699 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .91094E-07 31.287 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Normalizat 1.0508 .24059 .86218E-01 -.91346 20 Prefactor 1.0872 .10642 .38066E-01 -.89876 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.18712e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 10.7527 2 29.0213 3 15.5643 4 0.000341304 5 5.80358e-06 6 6.10679e-06 7 0.00121857 8 8.93074e-05 9 1.52718 10 1.91468 11 3.0015e-05 12 0.00123474 13 0.0130118 14 0.00564484 15 1.03082 16 0.0171734 17 0.00279187 18 0.00337662 19 0.240837 20 0.106442 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7486.67022329 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2031.2-4121 Spectrum: LogParabola 278 norm: 5.362e-08 1.235e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 279 alpha: 2.281e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 280 beta: 5.212e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 281 Eb: 1.567e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 556 Prefactor: 1.087e+00 1.064e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 557 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 558 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 555 Normalization: 1.051e+00 2.408e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 307.811 -41.357 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.99677693044e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.34890101365e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32492810/likelihoodResults_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7486.29167315 delta logL = 0.378550137015 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7486.27203257 delta logL = 0.398190720642 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .50090 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 5.0000 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .98130 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1017 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5590E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7486.272 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 72 CALLS 294 TOTAL EDM= .55E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .50128 2.0941 .78618E-03 .16842E-01 2 alpha 5.0000 4.8736 .46434 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat .98137 .25977 .88875E-01 .16216E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1017 .10729 .37521E-01 -.94701E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.501281 alpha = 5 Normalizat = 0.981368 Prefactor = 1.10171 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7486.272 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 29 CALLS 323 TOTAL EDM= .81E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .50128 .61664 .69883E-05 -1.5694 2 alpha 5.0000 .86726 .67695E-01 1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat .98137 .28542 .39356E-03 -.93657 4 Prefactor 1.1017 .12404 .16575E-03 -.89412 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.10788e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.616644 2 1.57238e-05 3 0.285869 4 0.124068 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7486.27203224 delta logL = 0.398191047798 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2031.2-4121 Spectrum: LogParabola 278 norm: 5.013e-01 6.166e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 279 alpha: 5.000e+00 1.572e-05 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 280 beta: 5.212e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 281 Eb: 1.567e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 556 Prefactor: 1.102e+00 1.241e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 557 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 558 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 555 Normalization: 9.814e-01 2.859e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 307.811 -41.357 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32492810/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.35e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.00e-08', time_completed='2026-07-20 18:49:53.178420', job_id='32492810', GAL2='1.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.98', EG='1.05', time_epoch_completed='1784598593.18', return_code2='0', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='3.98e-01', ts2='0.85', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.28' WHERE bin_id='2186' AND source_name='4FGL J2031.2-4121' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 20 18:49:53 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7486.67022329 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2031.2-4121 Spectrum: LogParabola 278 norm: 5.362e-08 1.235e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 279 alpha: 2.281e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 280 beta: 5.212e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 281 Eb: 1.567e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 556 Prefactor: 1.087e+00 1.064e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 557 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 558 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 555 Normalization: 1.051e+00 2.408e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 307.811 -41.357 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.99677693044e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 2.34890101365e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/32492824/likelihoodResults_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7486.29167315 delta logL = 0.378550137015 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7486.27203257 delta logL = 0.398190720642 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .50090 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 5.0000 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' .98130 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1017 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5590E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7486.272 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 72 CALLS 294 TOTAL EDM= .55E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .50128 2.0941 .78618E-03 .16842E-01 2 alpha 5.0000 4.8736 .46434 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat .98137 .25977 .88875E-01 .16216E-04 4 Prefactor 1.1017 .10729 .37521E-01 -.94701E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.501281 alpha = 5 Normalizat = 0.981368 Prefactor = 1.10171 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7486.272 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 29 CALLS 323 TOTAL EDM= .81E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .50128 .61664 .69883E-05 -1.5694 2 alpha 5.0000 .86726 .67695E-01 1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat .98137 .28542 .39356E-03 -.93657 4 Prefactor 1.1017 .12404 .16575E-03 -.89412 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 8.10788e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.616644 2 1.57238e-05 3 0.285869 4 0.124068 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 7486.27203224 delta logL = 0.398191047798 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2031.2-4121 Spectrum: LogParabola 278 norm: 5.013e-01 6.166e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 279 alpha: 5.000e+00 1.572e-05 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 280 beta: 5.212e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 281 Eb: 1.567e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 556 Prefactor: 1.102e+00 1.241e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 557 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 558 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 555 Normalization: 9.814e-01 2.859e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 307.811 -41.357 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/32492824/cmap_HighResolution_805939201_806198401_4FGL_J2031.2-4121_daily_bin2186.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.35e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.00e-08', time_completed='2026-07-20 18:49:59.154803', job_id='32492824', GAL2='1.10', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.98', EG='1.05', time_epoch_completed='1784598599.15', return_code2='0', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.09', dlogl='3.98e-01', ts2='0.85', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.28' WHERE bin_id='2186' AND source_name='4FGL J2031.2-4121' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 20 18:49:59 PDT 2026