/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 17251 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859 RA = 303.892, Dec = 37.176 tmin = 758505601, tmax = 759110401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='62411986', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2025-01-21 01:26:21.838749', time_epoch_executed='1737451581.84' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2015.5+3710' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='859' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/62411986 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/62411986/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=758505601.0 && nMetStart<759110401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=758505601.0 && nMetStart<759110401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ft1_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=758505601.0 && nMetStart<759110401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 107 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ft1_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits ra=303.892 dec=37.176 rad=12.0 tmin=758505601.0 tmax=759110401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.70 user 3.43 sys 0.20 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.42 user 0.24 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 21141 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ltcube_758505601_759110401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits .....................! real 22.09 user 21.55 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ltcube_758505601_759110401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/expmap_758505601_759110401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ltcube_758505601_759110401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits .....................! real 78.27 user 73.51 sys 4.41 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source gamma Cygni in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Cocoon in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Loop in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CygnusLoop.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source HB 21 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Added 212 point sources and 4 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2015.5+3710 @ 303.892 37.176 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/cmap_758505601_759110401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=303.892 yref=37.176 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.44 user 0.28 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/cmap_HighResolution_758505601_759110401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=303.892 yref=37.176 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.45 user 0.28 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 21 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits.....................! real 1729.16 user 1720.50 sys 1.30 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/expmap_758505601_759110401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ltcube_758505601_759110401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/62411986/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2015.5+3710' 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 7.199e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 2.705e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/62411986/expmap_758505601_759110401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/62411986/ltcube_758505601_759110401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/62411986/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 187043.318594 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 187043.243074 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .19929E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' 6.5095 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.4993 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 8.9269 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .17747E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 9.9686 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 2.8158 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 2.5078 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 1.8716 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'norm ' 2.8391 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 5.0028 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .10096E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 13 'norm ' .34223E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .42704 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.5049 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .99022 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 187043.2 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 99 CALLS 921 TOTAL EDM= .52E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.3402 -.13063E-06** at limit ** 2 norm 6.5222 1.0293 -.68335E-08 .18403E-01 3 norm 1.4977 2.0810 -.12408E-08 .68640E-03 4 Prefactor 8.7363 7.0144 .15013E-06 .59736E-03 5 norm .0000 2.2303 .22842E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 10.099 12.205 .61879E-06 -.40575E-03 7 norm 2.8157 .92102 -.76440E-07 .39351E-02 8 norm 2.5056 2.3491 -.81646E-07 -.70365E-03 9 Prefactor 1.8718 .11041 .37549E-07 -.48114E-03 10 norm 2.8385 1.5075 -.90368E-07 .17022E-02 11 norm 4.9997 2.5120 .80739E-08 -.42970E-03 12 Prefactor .10000E-03 1.4431 .31932E-05** at limit ** 13 norm .0000 15.377 .14046E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .16653E-09 106.64 .38921E-05** at limit ** 15 Normalizat 1.5064 .15159 -.21557E-05 -.87946E-04 16 Prefactor .99018 .13198E-01 -.16857E-06 -.67250E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 norm = 6.52216 norm = 1.49767 Prefactor = 8.73633 norm = 0 Prefactor = 10.099 norm = 2.81566 norm = 2.50558 Prefactor = 1.87178 norm = 2.83845 norm = 4.9997 Prefactor = 0.0001 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Normalizat = 1.50644 Prefactor = 0.990182 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 187043.2 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 251 CALLS 1172 TOTAL EDM= .27E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 1.3352 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm 6.5222 7.9000 .39312E-03 -1.5657 3 norm 1.4977 2.0889 .87429E-03 -1.5683 4 Prefactor 8.7363 7.0460 .33523E-03 -1.5649 5 norm .0000 2.2607 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 10.099 12.216 .31713E-03 -1.5644 7 norm 2.8157 .92401 .60589E-03 -1.5674 8 norm 2.5056 2.3463 .64499E-03 -1.5676 9 Prefactor 1.8718 .11100 .74260E-02 -1.5434 10 norm 2.8385 1.5198 .60322E-03 -1.5674 11 norm 4.9997 2.5180 .44936E-03 -1.5663 12 Prefactor .10000E-03 .34112 .90712E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .0000 15.218 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .16653E-09 2.7693 .19905E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Normalizat 1.5064 .15759 .28792 -.77597 16 Prefactor .99018 .13145E-01 .28648E-01 -.93057 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.72219e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.57377e-06 2 7.90005 3 2.08889 4 7.04601 5 4.11288e-06 6 12.2159 7 0.924012 8 2.34634 9 0.111001 10 1.51979 11 2.51802 12 4.10546e-06 13 3.15251e-05 14 4.36921e-05 15 0.157643 16 0.013145 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 187043.240031 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 2.506e+00 2.346e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 2.705e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 771 Prefactor: 9.902e-01 1.315e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 772 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 773 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 770 Normalization: 1.506e+00 1.576e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 1.34 Ra Dec: 303.892 37.176 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.71 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 4.05e-08 +/- 3.79e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 1.64e-05 +/- 1.53e-05 TS (Fixed Index): 1.34 Ra Dec: 303.892 37.176 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.11364058518e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 4.49822491642e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/62411986/likelihoodResults_758505601_759110401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 187041.432262 delta logL = 1.80776920982 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 187041.413848 delta logL = 1.8261828018 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .62561E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 4.5197 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.4621 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98935 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD TERMINATED WITHOUT CONVERGENCE. FCN= 187041.4 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=FAILED 102 CALLS 329 TOTAL EDM= .81E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .62154E-01 .56695 .39000E-04** at limit ** 2 alpha 4.5222 3.9929 .44220E-01 .11217E-01 3 Normalizat 1.4621 .10171 .13077E-02 -.35470E-03 4 Prefactor .98936 .84547E-02 .12657E-03 -.33714E-02 ERR DEF= .500 START SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION. CONVERGENCE WHEN EDM .LT. .20E-04 SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 187041.4 FROM SIMPLEX STATUS=UNCHANGED 85 CALLS 414 TOTAL EDM= .11E-04 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .62154E-01 .56695 .22523E-05** at limit ** 2 alpha 4.5222 3.9929 .15735E-02 .11217E-01 3 Normalizat 1.4621 .10171 .61763E-04 -.35470E-03 4 Prefactor .98936 .84547E-02 .11699E-04 -.33714E-02 ERR DEF= .500 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 187041.4 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 38 CALLS 452 TOTAL EDM= .14E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .62152E-01 .64151 .78000E-05** at limit ** 2 alpha 4.5222 4.0898 .88440E-02 -.31551E-04 3 Normalizat 1.4621 .13824 .52308E-04 .20865E-04 4 Prefactor .98936 .11618E-01 .50630E-05 .43113E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.0621518 alpha = 4.52221 Normalizat = 1.46209 Prefactor = 0.989363 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 187041.4 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 27 CALLS 479 TOTAL EDM= .39E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .62152E-01 .21941 .31200E-06 -1.5703 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha 4.5222 1.0357 .35376E-03 .94225 3 Normalizat 1.4621 .15102 .10462E-04 -.78849 4 Prefactor .98936 .12612E-01 .10126E-05 -.93085 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.91519e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.219411 2 1.1493 3 0.151067 4 0.0126121 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 187041.413842 delta logL = 1.82618925822 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 6.215e-02 2.194e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 4.522e+00 1.149e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 771 Prefactor: 9.894e-01 1.261e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 772 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 773 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 770 Normalization: 1.462e+00 1.511e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 5.04 Ra Dec: 303.892 37.176 Photon Index (Free Index): 4.52 +/- 1.15 Photon Flux (Free Index): 1.73e-07 +/- 8.01e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 2.79e-05 +/- 1.45e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -3.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 3.330e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/62411986/cmap_HighResolution_758505601_759110401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_weekly_bin859.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='4.50e-05', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='4.05e-08', energy_flux2='2.79e-05', photon_flux_error='3.79e-08', dlogl='1.83e+00', energy_flux='1.64e-05', photon_flux2='1.73e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2025-01-21 03:00:08.907426', photon_index_error2='1.15', photon_index2='4.52', ts='1.34', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.99', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.11e-07', energy_flux_error2='1.45e-05', EG='1.51', time_epoch_completed='1737457208.91', return_code='0', job_id='62411986', GAL2='0.99', EG2='1.46', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='1.53e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.01e-08', ts2='5.04', photon_index='2.71' WHERE bin_id='859' AND source_name='4FGL J2015.5+3710' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jan 21 03:00:08 PST 2025