********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 53703.91 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 309 TOTAL EDM= .16E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 6.9414 101.32 .15201E-04 -1.5655 2 alpha 3.0797 3.9312 .97528E-02 .23403 3 Normalizat 1.7674 .36127 .12259E-02 -.70518 4 Prefactor .98736 .24283E-01 .13046E-03 -.93152 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.55143e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 53.0409 2 3.36742 3 0.361815 4 0.0242829 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9099144 delta logL = 0.3798966553 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 6.941e+00 5.304e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 3.080e+00 3.367e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 771 Prefactor: 9.874e-01 2.428e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 772 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 773 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 770 Normalization: 1.767e+00 3.618e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.99 Ra Dec: 303.892 37.176 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.08 +/- 3.37 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.96e-07 +/- 4.29e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 8.54e-05 +/- 9.93e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31797064/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.13e-07', energy_flux2='8.54e-05', photon_flux_error='9.03e-08', dlogl='3.80e-01', energy_flux='8.61e-05', photon_flux2='2.96e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-15 14:48:17.623544', photon_index_error2='3.37', photon_index2='3.08', ts='8.24', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.99', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='9.93e-05', EG='1.79', time_epoch_completed='1784152097.62', return_code='0', job_id='31797064', GAL2='0.99', EG2='1.77', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='3.65e-05', photon_flux_error2='4.29e-07', ts2='8.99', photon_index='2.71' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J2015.5+3710' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 15 14:48:18 PDT 2026 file=/lscratch/kocevski/31800871/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31800871/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 8.29 user 7.60 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31800871/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31800871/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31800871/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31800871/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31800871/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 68.44 user 63.52 sys 4.18 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source gamma Cygni in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Cocoon in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Loop in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CygnusLoop.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source HB 21 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Added 212 point sources and 4 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2015.5+3710 @ 303.892 37.176 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31800871/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31800871/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31800871/cmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=303.892 yref=37.176 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.82 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31800871/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31800871/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31800871/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=303.892 yref=37.176 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.88 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). : time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31798349/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31798349/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31798349/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 21 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31798349/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 439.94 user 435.96 sys 1.52 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31798349/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31798349/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31798349/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31798349/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31798349/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2015.5+3710' 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 7.199e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 2.705e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31798349/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31798349/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31798349/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31798349/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31798349/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.3056571 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.2934295 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .52145E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .98133E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .64209E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 9.2173 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 19.891 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10537E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 3.1073 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 13.251 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 2.0916 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'norm ' .62402E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 47.990 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .87436E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 13 'norm ' .19263 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 5.1023 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.7873 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .98853 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 53704.29 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 92 CALLS 1124 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 15.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.8356 -.60236E-06** at limit ** 2 norm .22204E-09 9.9113 -.19861E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .66613E-09 3.0886 .13787E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 9.1935 1.3705 -.38671E-06 -.17788E-01 5 norm 19.875 2.7984 -.73051E-06 -.84330E-01 6 Prefactor .16376E-07 13.923 -.14019E-05** at limit ** 7 norm 3.1051 1.6325 .74697E-07 -.38255E-02 8 norm 13.187 5.5823 .19342E-06 .98631E-02 9 Prefactor 2.0915 .22778 .74307E-07 .11070E-01 10 norm .22760E-08 19.934 .11248E-04** at limit ** 11 norm 48.021 6.4101 -.47934E-07 .17902E-01 12 Prefactor .11711E-03 12.875 -.93292E-04** at limit ** 13 norm .42744E-08 33.126 .16558E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 5.0731 5.3896 -.30813E-05 .15626E-02 15 Normalizat 1.7874 .28111 .99006E-05 .25656E-03 16 Prefactor .98855 .24896E-01 -.11231E-06 .52790E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.22045e-10 norm = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 9.19346 norm = 19.875 Prefactor = 1.63758e-08 norm = 3.10513 norm = 13.1865 Prefactor = 2.09149 norm = 2.27596e-09 norm = 48.0206 Prefactor = 0.000117113 norm = 4.27436e-09 Prefactor = 5.07309 Normalizat = 1.7874 Prefactor = 0.988546 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 53704.29 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 92 CALLS 1124 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 15.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.8356 -.60236E-06** at limit ** 2 norm .22204E-09 9.9113 -.19861E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .66613E-09 3.0886 .13787E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 9.1935 1.3705 -.38671E-06 -.17788E-01 5 norm 19.875 2.7984 -.73051E-06 -.84330E-01 6 Prefactor .16376E-07 13.923 -.14019E-05** at limit ** 7 norm 3.1051 1.6325 .74697E-07 -.38255E-02 8 norm 13.187 5.5823 .19342E-06 .98631E-02 9 Prefactor 2.0915 .22778 .74307E-07 .11070E-01 10 norm .22760E-08 19.934 .11248E-04** at limit ** 11 norm 48.021 6.4101 -.47934E-07 .17902E-01 12 Prefactor .11711E-03 12.875 -.93292E-04** at limit ** 13 norm .42744E-08 33.126 .16558E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 5.0731 5.3896 -.30813E-05 .15626E-02 15 Normalizat 1.7874 .28111 .99006E-05 .25656E-03 16 Prefactor .98855 .24896E-01 -.11231E-06 .52790E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.22045e-10 norm = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 9.19346 norm = 19.875 Prefactor = 1.63758e-08 norm = 3.10513 norm = 13.1865 Prefactor = 2.09149 norm = 2.27596e-09 norm = 48.0206 Prefactor = 0.000117113 norm = 4.27436e-09 Prefactor = 5.07309 Normalizat = 1.7874 Prefactor = 0.988546 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 53704.29 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 247 CALLS 1371 TOTAL EDM= .67E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.8406 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .22204E-09 9.9479 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .66613E-09 3.0894 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 9.1935 13.517 .32987E-03 -1.5647 5 norm 19.875 11.720 .22429E-03 -1.5619 6 Prefactor .16376E-07 13.984 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 3.1051 1.6340 .57499E-03 -1.5673 8 norm 13.187 5.5892 .27491E-03 -1.5635 9 Prefactor 2.0915 .22931 .71358E-02 -1.5419 10 norm .22760E-08 1.0942 .61058E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm 48.021 6.4133 .14436E-03 -1.5569 12 Prefactor .11711E-03 1.4234 .10424 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .42744E-08 32.932 .11908E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 5.0731 22.960 .44487E-03 -1.5663 15 Normalizat 1.7874 .28776 .27228 -.69993 16 Prefactor .98855 .24492E-01 .29520E-01 -.93112 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.7029e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.92009e-06 2 9.17061e-05 3 8.91546e-05 4 13.5173 5 11.7199 6 0.000956312 7 1.63401 8 5.5892 9 0.229315 10 9.97329e-05 11 6.41331 12 0.00987118 13 0.000751429 14 21.5851 15 0.288034 16 0.0244924 number of points = 7587 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181 RA = 303.892, Dec = 37.176 tmin = 804643201, tmax = 804902401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31801508', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-15 14:48:06.545012', time_epoch_executed='1784152086.55' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2015.5+3710' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2181' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31801508 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31801508/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<804902401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<804902401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ft1_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<804902401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ft1_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits ra=303.892 dec=37.176 rad=12.0 tmin=804643201.0 tmax=804902401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.47 user 2.73 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.73 user 0.20 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 6305 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outnumber of points = 7587 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181 RA = 303.892, Dec = 37.176 tmin = 804643201, tmax = 804902401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31801562', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-15 14:48:31.828907', time_epoch_executed='1784152111.83' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2015.5+3710' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2181' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31801562 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31801562/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<804902401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<804902401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ft1_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804643201.0 && nMetStart<804902401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ft1_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits ra=303.892 dec=37.176 rad=12.0 tmin=804643201.0 tmax=804902401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.37 user 2.67 sys 0.20 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.70 user 0.19 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 6305 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" out ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 53704.29 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 247 CALLS 1371 TOTAL EDM= .67E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.8406 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .22204E-09 9.9479 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .66613E-09 3.0894 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 9.1935 13.517 .32987E-03 -1.5647 5 norm 19.875 11.720 .22429E-03 -1.5619 6 Prefactor .16376E-07 13.984 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 3.1051 1.6340 .57499E-03 -1.5673 8 norm 13.187 5.5892 .27491E-03 -1.5635 9 Prefactor 2.0915 .22931 .71358E-02 -1.5419 10 norm .22760E-08 1.0942 .61058E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm 48.021 6.4133 .14436E-03 -1.5569 12 Prefactor .11711E-03 1.4234 .10424 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .42744E-08 32.932 .11908E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 5.0731 22.960 .44487E-03 -1.5663 15 Normalizat 1.7874 .28776 .27228 -.69993 16 Prefactor .98855 .24492E-01 .29520E-01 -.93112 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.7029e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.92009e-06 2 9.17061e-05 3 8.91546e-05 4 13.5173 5 11.7199 6 0.000956312 7 1.63401 8 5.5892 9 0.229315 10 9.97329e-05 11 6.41331 12 0.00987118 13 0.000751429 14 21.5851 15 0.288034 16 0.0244924 file=/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 8.35 user 7.54 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 69.31 user 64.44 sys 4.08 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source gamma Cygni in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Cocoon in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Loop in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CygnusLoop.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source HB 21 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Added 212 point sources and 4 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2015.5+3710 @ 303.892 37.176 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/cmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=303.892 yref=37.176 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.77 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=303.892 yref=37.176 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.77 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse responseDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.289811 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 1.319e+01 5.589e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 2.705e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 771 Prefactor: 9.885e-01 2.449e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 772 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 773 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 770 Normalization: 1.787e+00 2.880e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 8.24 Ra Dec: 303.892 37.176 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.71 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.13e-07 +/- 9.03e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 8.61e-05 +/- 3.65e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9367752 delta logL = 0.353035792999 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9099188 delta logL = 0.379892204699 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 6.9608 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 3.0787 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.7675 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98736 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 53703.91 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 62 CALLS 276 TOTAL EDM= .90E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 6.9414 23.446 .38002E-03 .14495E-01 2 alpha 3.0797 .92278 .27100 .57460E-03 3 Normalizat 1.7674 .10263 .27315 .79085E-04 4 Prefactor .98736 .79564E-02 .29523E-01 -.86284E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 6.94143 alpha = 3.07974 Normalizat = 1.7674 Prefactor = 0.987364 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 53703.91 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 309 TOTAL EDM= .16E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 6.9414 101.32 .15201E-04 -1.5655 2 alpha 3.0797 3.9312 .97528E-02 .23403 3 Normalizat 1.7674 .36127 .12259E-02 -.70518 4 Prefactor .98736 .24283E-01 .13046E-03 -.93152 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.55143e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 53.0409 2 3.36742 3 0.361815 4 0.0242829 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory file=/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 8.18 user 7.45 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits .....................! real 68.05 user 63.11 sys 4.08 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source gamma Cygni in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Cocoon in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Loop in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/CygnusLoop.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source HB 21 in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Added 212 point sources and 4 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2015.5+3710 @ 303.892 37.176 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/cmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=303.892 yref=37.176 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.79 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=303.892 yref=37.176 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.86 user 0.23 sys 0.15 Computing the diffuse responseDone. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9099144 delta logL = 0.3798966553 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 6.941e+00 5.304e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 3.080e+00 3.367e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 771 Prefactor: 9.874e-01 2.428e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 772 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 773 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 770 Normalization: 1.767e+00 3.618e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.99 Ra Dec: 303.892 37.176 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.08 +/- 3.37 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.96e-07 +/- 4.29e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 8.54e-05 +/- 9.93e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31798281/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.13e-07', energy_flux2='8.54e-05', photon_flux_error='9.03e-08', dlogl='3.80e-01', energy_flux='8.61e-05', photon_flux2='2.96e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-15 14:52:34.285381', photon_index_error2='3.37', photon_index2='3.08', ts='8.24', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.99', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='9.93e-05', EG='1.79', time_epoch_completed='1784152354.29', return_code='0', job_id='31798281', GAL2='0.99', EG2='1.77', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='3.65e-05', photon_flux_error2='4.29e-07', ts2='8.99', photon_index='2.71' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J2015.5+3710' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 15 14:52:34 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.289811 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 1.319e+01 5.589e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 2.705e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 771 Prefactor: 9.885e-01 2.449e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 772 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 773 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 770 Normalization: 1.787e+00 2.880e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 8.24 Ra Dec: 303.892 37.176 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.71 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.13e-07 +/- 9.03e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 8.61e-05 +/- 3.65e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9367752 delta logL = 0.353035792999 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9099188 delta logL = 0.379892204699 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 6.9608 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 3.0787 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.7675 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98736 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 53703.91 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 62 CALLS 276 TOTAL EDM= .90E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 6.9414 23.446 .38002E-03 .14495E-01 2 alpha 3.0797 .92278 .27100 .57460E-03 3 Normalizat 1.7674 .10263 .27315 .79085E-04 4 Prefactor .98736 .79564E-02 .29523E-01 -.86284E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 6.94143 alpha = 3.07974 Normalizat = 1.7674 Prefactor = 0.987364 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 53703.91 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 309 TOTAL EDM= .16E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 6.9414 101.32 .15201E-04 -1.5655 2 alpha 3.0797 3.9312 .97528E-02 .23403 3 Normalizat 1.7674 .36127 .12259E-02 -.70518 4 Prefactor .98736 .24283E-01 .13046E-03 -.93152 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.55143e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 53.0409 2 3.36742 3 0.361815 4 0.0242829 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9099144 delta logL = 0.3798966553 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 6.941e+00 5.304e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 3.080e+00 3.367e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 771 Prefactor: 9.874e-01 2.428e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 772 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 773 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 770 Normalization: 1.767e+00 3.618e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.99 Ra Dec: 303.892 37.176 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.08 +/- 3.37 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.96e-07 +/- 4.29e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 8.54e-05 +/- 9.93e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31798349/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.13e-07', energy_flux2='8.54e-05', photon_flux_error='9.03e-08', dlogl='3.80e-01', energy_flux='8.61e-05', photon_flux2='2.96e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-15 14:53:38.600590', photon_index_error2='3.37', photon_index2='3.08', ts='8.24', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.99', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='9.93e-05', EG='1.79', time_epoch_completed='1784152418.6', return_code='0', job_id='31798349', GAL2='0.99', EG2='1.77', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='3.65e-05', photon_flux_error2='4.29e-07', ts2='8.99', photon_index='2.71' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J2015.5+3710' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 15 14:53:38 PDT 2026 : time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799078/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799078/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31799078/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 21 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31799078/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 449.49 user 445.56 sys 1.00 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31799078/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31799078/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31799078/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31799078/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31799078/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2015.5+3710' 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 7.199e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 2.705e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31799078/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31799078/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31799078/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31799078/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31799078/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.3056571 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.2934295 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .52145E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .98133E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .64209E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 9.2173 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 19.891 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10537E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 3.1073 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 13.251 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 2.0916 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'norm ' .62402E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 47.990 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .87436E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 13 'norm ' .19263 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 5.1023 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.7873 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .98853 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 : time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799102/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799102/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31799102/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 21 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31799102/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 456.86 user 453.13 sys 1.10 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31799102/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31799102/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31799102/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31799102/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31799102/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2015.5+3710' 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 7.199e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 2.705e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31799102/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31799102/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31799102/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31799102/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31799102/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.3056571 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.2934295 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .52145E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .98133E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .64209E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 9.2173 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 19.891 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10537E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 3.1073 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 13.251 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 2.0916 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'norm ' .62402E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 47.990 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .87436E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 13 'norm ' .19263 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 5.1023 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.7873 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .98853 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 53704.29 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 92 CALLS 1124 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 15.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.8356 -.60236E-06** at limit ** 2 norm .22204E-09 9.9113 -.19861E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .66613E-09 3.0886 .13787E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 9.1935 1.3705 -.38671E-06 -.17788E-01 5 norm 19.875 2.7984 -.73051E-06 -.84330E-01 6 Prefactor .16376E-07 13.923 -.14019E-05** at limit ** 7 norm 3.1051 1.6325 .74697E-07 -.38255E-02 8 norm 13.187 5.5823 .19342E-06 .98631E-02 9 Prefactor 2.0915 .22778 .74307E-07 .11070E-01 10 norm .22760E-08 19.934 .11248E-04** at limit ** 11 norm 48.021 6.4101 -.47934E-07 .17902E-01 12 Prefactor .11711E-03 12.875 -.93292E-04** at limit ** 13 norm .42744E-08 33.126 .16558E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 5.0731 5.3896 -.30813E-05 .15626E-02 15 Normalizat 1.7874 .28111 .99006E-05 .25656E-03 16 Prefactor .98855 .24896E-01 -.11231E-06 .52790E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.22045e-10 norm = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 9.19346 norm = 19.875 Prefactor = 1.63758e-08 norm = 3.10513 norm = 13.1865 Prefactor = 2.09149 norm = 2.27596e-09 norm = 48.0206 Prefactor = 0.000117113 norm = 4.27436e-09 Prefactor = 5.07309 Normalizat = 1.7874 Prefactor = 0.988546 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 53704.29 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 92 CALLS 1124 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 15.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.8356 -.60236E-06** at limit ** 2 norm .22204E-09 9.9113 -.19861E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .66613E-09 3.0886 .13787E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 9.1935 1.3705 -.38671E-06 -.17788E-01 5 norm 19.875 2.7984 -.73051E-06 -.84330E-01 6 Prefactor .16376E-07 13.923 -.14019E-05** at limit ** 7 norm 3.1051 1.6325 .74697E-07 -.38255E-02 8 norm 13.187 5.5823 .19342E-06 .98631E-02 9 Prefactor 2.0915 .22778 .74307E-07 .11070E-01 10 norm .22760E-08 19.934 .11248E-04** at limit ** 11 norm 48.021 6.4101 -.47934E-07 .17902E-01 12 Prefactor .11711E-03 12.875 -.93292E-04** at limit ** 13 norm .42744E-08 33.126 .16558E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 5.0731 5.3896 -.30813E-05 .15626E-02 15 Normalizat 1.7874 .28111 .99006E-05 .25656E-03 16 Prefactor .98855 .24896E-01 -.11231E-06 .52790E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.22045e-10 norm = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 9.19346 norm = 19.875 Prefactor = 1.63758e-08 norm = 3.10513 norm = 13.1865 Prefactor = 2.09149 norm = 2.27596e-09 norm = 48.0206 Prefactor = 0.000117113 norm = 4.27436e-09 Prefactor = 5.07309 Normalizat = 1.7874 Prefactor = 0.988546 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 53704.29 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 247 CALLS 1371 TOTAL EDM= .67E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.8406 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .22204E-09 9.9479 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .66613E-09 3.0894 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 9.1935 13.517 .32987E-03 -1.5647 5 norm 19.875 11.720 .22429E-03 -1.5619 6 Prefactor .16376E-07 13.984 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 3.1051 1.6340 .57499E-03 -1.5673 8 norm 13.187 5.5892 .27491E-03 -1.5635 9 Prefactor 2.0915 .22931 .71358E-02 -1.5419 10 norm .22760E-08 1.0942 .61058E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm 48.021 6.4133 .14436E-03 -1.5569 12 Prefactor .11711E-03 1.4234 .10424 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .42744E-08 32.932 .11908E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 5.0731 22.960 .44487E-03 -1.5663 15 Normalizat 1.7874 .28776 .27228 -.69993 16 Prefactor .98855 .24492E-01 .29520E-01 -.93112 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.7029e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.92009e-06 2 9.17061e-05 3 8.91546e-05 4 13.5173 5 11.7199 6 0.000956312 7 1.63401 8 5.5892 9 0.229315 10 9.97329e-05 11 6.41331 12 0.00987118 13 0.000751429 14 21.5851 15 0.288034 16 0.0244924 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 53704.29 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 247 CALLS 1371 TOTAL EDM= .67E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.8406 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .22204E-09 9.9479 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .66613E-09 3.0894 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 9.1935 13.517 .32987E-03 -1.5647 5 norm 19.875 11.720 .22429E-03 -1.5619 6 Prefactor .16376E-07 13.984 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 3.1051 1.6340 .57499E-03 -1.5673 8 norm 13.187 5.5892 .27491E-03 -1.5635 9 Prefactor 2.0915 .22931 .71358E-02 -1.5419 10 norm .22760E-08 1.0942 .61058E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm 48.021 6.4133 .14436E-03 -1.5569 12 Prefactor .11711E-03 1.4234 .10424 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .42744E-08 32.932 .11908E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 5.0731 22.960 .44487E-03 -1.5663 15 Normalizat 1.7874 .28776 .27228 -.69993 16 Prefactor .98855 .24492E-01 .29520E-01 -.93112 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.7029e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.92009e-06 2 9.17061e-05 3 8.91546e-05 4 13.5173 5 11.7199 6 0.000956312 7 1.63401 8 5.5892 9 0.229315 10 9.97329e-05 11 6.41331 12 0.00987118 13 0.000751429 14 21.5851 15 0.288034 16 0.0244924 : time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799571/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799571/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31799571/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 21 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31799571/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 426.75 user 423.02 sys 1.11 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31799571/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31799571/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31799571/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31799571/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31799571/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2015.5+3710' 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 7.199e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 2.705e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31799571/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31799571/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31799571/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31799571/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31799571/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.3056571 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.2934295 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .52145E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .98133E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .64209E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 9.2173 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 19.891 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10537E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 3.1073 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 13.251 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 2.0916 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'norm ' .62402E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 47.990 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .87436E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 13 'norm ' .19263 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 5.1023 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.7873 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .98853 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 53704.29 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 92 CALLS 1124 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 15.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.8356 -.60236E-06** at limit ** 2 norm .22204E-09 9.9113 -.19861E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .66613E-09 3.0886 .13787E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 9.1935 1.3705 -.38671E-06 -.17788E-01 5 norm 19.875 2.7984 -.73051E-06 -.84330E-01 6 Prefactor .16376E-07 13.923 -.14019E-05** at limit ** 7 norm 3.1051 1.6325 .74697E-07 -.38255E-02 8 norm 13.187 5.5823 .19342E-06 .98631E-02 9 Prefactor 2.0915 .22778 .74307E-07 .11070E-01 10 norm .22760E-08 19.934 .11248E-04** at limit ** 11 norm 48.021 6.4101 -.47934E-07 .17902E-01 12 Prefactor .11711E-03 12.875 -.93292E-04** at limit ** 13 norm .42744E-08 33.126 .16558E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 5.0731 5.3896 -.30813E-05 .15626E-02 15 Normalizat 1.7874 .28111 .99006E-05 .25656E-03 16 Prefactor .98855 .24896E-01 -.11231E-06 .52790E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.22045e-10 norm = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 9.19346 norm = 19.875 Prefactor = 1.63758e-08 norm = 3.10513 norm = 13.1865 Prefactor = 2.09149 norm = 2.27596e-09 norm = 48.0206 Prefactor = 0.000117113 norm = 4.27436e-09 Prefactor = 5.07309 Normalizat = 1.7874 Prefactor = 0.988546 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.289811 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 1.319e+01 5.589e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 2.705e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 771 Prefactor: 9.885e-01 2.449e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 772 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 773 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 770 Normalization: 1.787e+00 2.880e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 8.24 Ra Dec: 303.892 37.176 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.71 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.13e-07 +/- 9.03e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 8.61e-05 +/- 3.65e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9367752 delta logL = 0.353035792999 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9099188 delta logL = 0.379892204699 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 6.9608 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 3.0787 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.7675 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98736 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 53703.91 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 62 CALLS 276 TOTAL EDM= .90E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 6.9414 23.446 .38002E-03 .14495E-01 2 alpha 3.0797 .92278 .27100 .57460E-03 3 Normalizat 1.7674 .10263 .27315 .79085E-04 4 Prefactor .98736 .79564E-02 .29523E-01 -.86284E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 6.94143 alpha = 3.07974 Normalizat = 1.7674 Prefactor = 0.987364 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.289811 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 1.319e+01 5.589e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 2.705e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 771 Prefactor: 9.885e-01 2.449e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 772 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 773 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 770 Normalization: 1.787e+00 2.880e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 8.24 Ra Dec: 303.892 37.176 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.71 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.13e-07 +/- 9.03e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 8.61e-05 +/- 3.65e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9367752 delta logL = 0.353035792999 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9099188 delta logL = 0.379892204699 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 6.9608 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 3.0787 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.7675 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98736 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 53703.91 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 62 CALLS 276 TOTAL EDM= .90E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 6.9414 23.446 .38002E-03 .14495E-01 2 alpha 3.0797 .92278 .27100 .57460E-03 3 Normalizat 1.7674 .10263 .27315 .79085E-04 4 Prefactor .98736 .79564E-02 .29523E-01 -.86284E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 6.94143 alpha = 3.07974 Normalizat = 1.7674 Prefactor = 0.987364 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 53703.91 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 309 TOTAL EDM= .16E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 6.9414 101.32 .15201E-04 -1.5655 2 alpha 3.0797 3.9312 .97528E-02 .23403 3 Normalizat 1.7674 .36127 .12259E-02 -.70518 4 Prefactor .98736 .24283E-01 .13046E-03 -.93152 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.55143e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 53.0409 2 3.36742 3 0.361815 4 0.0242829 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 53703.91 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 309 TOTAL EDM= .16E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 6.9414 101.32 .15201E-04 -1.5655 2 alpha 3.0797 3.9312 .97528E-02 .23403 3 Normalizat 1.7674 .36127 .12259E-02 -.70518 4 Prefactor .98736 .24283E-01 .13046E-03 -.93152 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.55143e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 53.0409 2 3.36742 3 0.361815 4 0.0242829 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9099144 delta logL = 0.3798966553 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 6.941e+00 5.304e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 3.080e+00 3.367e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 771 Prefactor: 9.874e-01 2.428e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 772 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 773 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 770 Normalization: 1.767e+00 3.618e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.99 Ra Dec: 303.892 37.176 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.08 +/- 3.37 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.96e-07 +/- 4.29e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 8.54e-05 +/- 9.93e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31799102/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.13e-07', energy_flux2='8.54e-05', photon_flux_error='9.03e-08', dlogl='3.80e-01', energy_flux='8.61e-05', photon_flux2='2.96e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-15 14:59:17.802575', photon_index_error2='3.37', photon_index2='3.08', ts='8.24', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.99', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='9.93e-05', EG='1.79', time_epoch_completed='1784152757.8', return_code='0', job_id='31799102', GAL2='0.99', EG2='1.77', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='3.65e-05', photon_flux_error2='4.29e-07', ts2='8.99', photon_index='2.71' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J2015.5+3710' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 15 14:59:17 PDT 2026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9099144 delta logL = 0.3798966553 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 6.941e+00 5.304e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 3.080e+00 3.367e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 771 Prefactor: 9.874e-01 2.428e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 772 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 773 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 770 Normalization: 1.767e+00 3.618e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.99 Ra Dec: 303.892 37.176 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.08 +/- 3.37 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.96e-07 +/- 4.29e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 8.54e-05 +/- 9.93e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31799078/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.13e-07', energy_flux2='8.54e-05', photon_flux_error='9.03e-08', dlogl='3.80e-01', energy_flux='8.61e-05', photon_flux2='2.96e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-15 14:59:21.620699', photon_index_error2='3.37', photon_index2='3.08', ts='8.24', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.99', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='9.93e-05', EG='1.79', time_epoch_completed='1784152761.62', return_code='0', job_id='31799078', GAL2='0.99', EG2='1.77', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='3.65e-05', photon_flux_error2='4.29e-07', ts2='8.99', photon_index='2.71' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J2015.5+3710' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 15 14:59:21 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 53704.29 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 247 CALLS 1371 TOTAL EDM= .67E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.8406 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .22204E-09 9.9479 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .66613E-09 3.0894 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 9.1935 13.517 .32987E-03 -1.5647 5 norm 19.875 11.720 .22429E-03 -1.5619 6 Prefactor .16376E-07 13.984 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 3.1051 1.6340 .57499E-03 -1.5673 8 norm 13.187 5.5892 .27491E-03 -1.5635 9 Prefactor 2.0915 .22931 .71358E-02 -1.5419 10 norm .22760E-08 1.0942 .61058E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm 48.021 6.4133 .14436E-03 -1.5569 12 Prefactor .11711E-03 1.4234 .10424 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .42744E-08 32.932 .11908E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 5.0731 22.960 .44487E-03 -1.5663 15 Normalizat 1.7874 .28776 .27228 -.69993 16 Prefactor .98855 .24492E-01 .29520E-01 -.93112 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.7029e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.92009e-06 2 9.17061e-05 3 8.91546e-05 4 13.5173 5 11.7199 6 0.000956312 7 1.63401 8 5.5892 9 0.229315 10 9.97329e-05 11 6.41331 12 0.00987118 13 0.000751429 14 21.5851 15 0.288034 16 0.0244924 : time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31800427/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31800427/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31800427/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 21 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31800427/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 447.33 user 443.78 sys 1.27 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31800427/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31800427/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31800427/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31800427/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31800427/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2015.5+3710' 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 7.199e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 2.705e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31800427/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31800427/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31800427/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31800427/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31800427/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.3056571 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.2934295 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .52145E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .98133E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .64209E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 9.2173 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 19.891 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10537E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 3.1073 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 13.251 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 2.0916 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'norm ' .62402E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 47.990 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .87436E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 13 'norm ' .19263 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 5.1023 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.7873 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .98853 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 : time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31800767/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31800767/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31800767/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 21 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31800767/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 443.41 user 439.45 sys 1.09 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31800767/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31800767/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31800767/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31800767/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31800767/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2015.5+3710' 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 7.199e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 2.705e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31800767/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31800767/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31800767/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31800767/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31800767/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.3056571 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.2934295 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .52145E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .98133E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .64209E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 9.2173 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 19.891 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10537E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 3.1073 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 13.251 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 2.0916 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'norm ' .62402E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 47.990 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .87436E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 13 'norm ' .19263 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 5.1023 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.7873 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .98853 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.289811 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 1.319e+01 5.589e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 2.705e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 771 Prefactor: 9.885e-01 2.449e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 772 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 773 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 770 Normalization: 1.787e+00 2.880e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 8.24 Ra Dec: 303.892 37.176 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.71 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.13e-07 +/- 9.03e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 8.61e-05 +/- 3.65e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9367752 delta logL = 0.353035792999 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9099188 delta logL = 0.379892204699 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 6.9608 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 3.0787 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.7675 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98736 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 53703.91 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 62 CALLS 276 TOTAL EDM= .90E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 6.9414 23.446 .38002E-03 .14495E-01 2 alpha 3.0797 .92278 .27100 .57460E-03 3 Normalizat 1.7674 .10263 .27315 .79085E-04 4 Prefactor .98736 .79564E-02 .29523E-01 -.86284E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 6.94143 alpha = 3.07974 Normalizat = 1.7674 Prefactor = 0.987364 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 53703.91 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 309 TOTAL EDM= .16E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 6.9414 101.32 .15201E-04 -1.5655 2 alpha 3.0797 3.9312 .97528E-02 .23403 3 Normalizat 1.7674 .36127 .12259E-02 -.70518 4 Prefactor .98736 .24283E-01 .13046E-03 -.93152 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.55143e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 53.0409 2 3.36742 3 0.361815 4 0.0242829 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 53704.29 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 92 CALLS 1124 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 15.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.8356 -.60236E-06** at limit ** 2 norm .22204E-09 9.9113 -.19861E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .66613E-09 3.0886 .13787E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 9.1935 1.3705 -.38671E-06 -.17788E-01 5 norm 19.875 2.7984 -.73051E-06 -.84330E-01 6 Prefactor .16376E-07 13.923 -.14019E-05** at limit ** 7 norm 3.1051 1.6325 .74697E-07 -.38255E-02 8 norm 13.187 5.5823 .19342E-06 .98631E-02 9 Prefactor 2.0915 .22778 .74307E-07 .11070E-01 10 norm .22760E-08 19.934 .11248E-04** at limit ** 11 norm 48.021 6.4101 -.47934E-07 .17902E-01 12 Prefactor .11711E-03 12.875 -.93292E-04** at limit ** 13 norm .42744E-08 33.126 .16558E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 5.0731 5.3896 -.30813E-05 .15626E-02 15 Normalizat 1.7874 .28111 .99006E-05 .25656E-03 16 Prefactor .98855 .24896E-01 -.11231E-06 .52790E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.22045e-10 norm = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 9.19346 norm = 19.875 Prefactor = 1.63758e-08 norm = 3.10513 norm = 13.1865 Prefactor = 2.09149 norm = 2.27596e-09 norm = 48.0206 Prefactor = 0.000117113 norm = 4.27436e-09 Prefactor = 5.07309 Normalizat = 1.7874 Prefactor = 0.988546 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9099144 delta logL = 0.3798966553 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 6.941e+00 5.304e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 3.080e+00 3.367e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 771 Prefactor: 9.874e-01 2.428e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 772 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 773 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 770 Normalization: 1.767e+00 3.618e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.99 Ra Dec: 303.892 37.176 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.08 +/- 3.37 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.96e-07 +/- 4.29e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 8.54e-05 +/- 9.93e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31799571/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.13e-07', energy_flux2='8.54e-05', photon_flux_error='9.03e-08', dlogl='3.80e-01', energy_flux='8.61e-05', photon_flux2='2.96e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-15 15:02:50.867231', photon_index_error2='3.37', photon_index2='3.08', ts='8.24', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.99', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='9.93e-05', EG='1.79', time_epoch_completed='1784152970.87', return_code='0', job_id='31799571', GAL2='0.99', EG2='1.77', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='3.65e-05', photon_flux_error2='4.29e-07', ts2='8.99', photon_index='2.71' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J2015.5+3710' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 15 15:02:51 PDT 2026 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 53704.29 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 92 CALLS 1124 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 15.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.8356 -.60236E-06** at limit ** 2 norm .22204E-09 9.9113 -.19861E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .66613E-09 3.0886 .13787E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 9.1935 1.3705 -.38671E-06 -.17788E-01 5 norm 19.875 2.7984 -.73051E-06 -.84330E-01 6 Prefactor .16376E-07 13.923 -.14019E-05** at limit ** 7 norm 3.1051 1.6325 .74697E-07 -.38255E-02 8 norm 13.187 5.5823 .19342E-06 .98631E-02 9 Prefactor 2.0915 .22778 .74307E-07 .11070E-01 10 norm .22760E-08 19.934 .11248E-04** at limit ** 11 norm 48.021 6.4101 -.47934E-07 .17902E-01 12 Prefactor .11711E-03 12.875 -.93292E-04** at limit ** 13 norm .42744E-08 33.126 .16558E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 5.0731 5.3896 -.30813E-05 .15626E-02 15 Normalizat 1.7874 .28111 .99006E-05 .25656E-03 16 Prefactor .98855 .24896E-01 -.11231E-06 .52790E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.22045e-10 norm = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 9.19346 norm = 19.875 Prefactor = 1.63758e-08 norm = 3.10513 norm = 13.1865 Prefactor = 2.09149 norm = 2.27596e-09 norm = 48.0206 Prefactor = 0.000117113 norm = 4.27436e-09 Prefactor = 5.07309 Normalizat = 1.7874 Prefactor = 0.988546 : time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31800871/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31800871/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31800871/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 21 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31800871/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 448.14 user 444.31 sys 1.33 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31800871/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31800871/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31800871/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31800871/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31800871/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2015.5+3710' 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 7.199e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 2.705e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31800871/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31800871/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31800871/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31800871/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31800871/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.3056571 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.2934295 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .52145E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .98133E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .64209E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 9.2173 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 19.891 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10537E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 3.1073 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 13.251 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 2.0916 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'norm ' .62402E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 47.990 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .87436E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 13 'norm ' .19263 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 5.1023 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.7873 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .98853 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 53704.29 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 247 CALLS 1371 TOTAL EDM= .67E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.8406 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .22204E-09 9.9479 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .66613E-09 3.0894 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 9.1935 13.517 .32987E-03 -1.5647 5 norm 19.875 11.720 .22429E-03 -1.5619 6 Prefactor .16376E-07 13.984 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 3.1051 1.6340 .57499E-03 -1.5673 8 norm 13.187 5.5892 .27491E-03 -1.5635 9 Prefactor 2.0915 .22931 .71358E-02 -1.5419 10 norm .22760E-08 1.0942 .61058E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm 48.021 6.4133 .14436E-03 -1.5569 12 Prefactor .11711E-03 1.4234 .10424 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .42744E-08 32.932 .11908E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 5.0731 22.960 .44487E-03 -1.5663 15 Normalizat 1.7874 .28776 .27228 -.69993 16 Prefactor .98855 .24492E-01 .29520E-01 -.93112 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.7029e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.92009e-06 2 9.17061e-05 3 8.91546e-05 4 13.5173 5 11.7199 6 0.000956312 7 1.63401 8 5.5892 9 0.229315 10 9.97329e-05 11 6.41331 12 0.00987118 13 0.000751429 14 21.5851 15 0.288034 16 0.0244924 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 53704.29 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 92 CALLS 1124 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 15.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.8356 -.60236E-06** at limit ** 2 norm .22204E-09 9.9113 -.19861E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .66613E-09 3.0886 .13787E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 9.1935 1.3705 -.38671E-06 -.17788E-01 5 norm 19.875 2.7984 -.73051E-06 -.84330E-01 6 Prefactor .16376E-07 13.923 -.14019E-05** at limit ** 7 norm 3.1051 1.6325 .74697E-07 -.38255E-02 8 norm 13.187 5.5823 .19342E-06 .98631E-02 9 Prefactor 2.0915 .22778 .74307E-07 .11070E-01 10 norm .22760E-08 19.934 .11248E-04** at limit ** 11 norm 48.021 6.4101 -.47934E-07 .17902E-01 12 Prefactor .11711E-03 12.875 -.93292E-04** at limit ** 13 norm .42744E-08 33.126 .16558E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 5.0731 5.3896 -.30813E-05 .15626E-02 15 Normalizat 1.7874 .28111 .99006E-05 .25656E-03 16 Prefactor .98855 .24896E-01 -.11231E-06 .52790E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.22045e-10 norm = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 9.19346 norm = 19.875 Prefactor = 1.63758e-08 norm = 3.10513 norm = 13.1865 Prefactor = 2.09149 norm = 2.27596e-09 norm = 48.0206 Prefactor = 0.000117113 norm = 4.27436e-09 Prefactor = 5.07309 Normalizat = 1.7874 Prefactor = 0.988546 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 53704.29 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 247 CALLS 1371 TOTAL EDM= .67E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.8406 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .22204E-09 9.9479 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .66613E-09 3.0894 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 9.1935 13.517 .32987E-03 -1.5647 5 norm 19.875 11.720 .22429E-03 -1.5619 6 Prefactor .16376E-07 13.984 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 3.1051 1.6340 .57499E-03 -1.5673 8 norm 13.187 5.5892 .27491E-03 -1.5635 9 Prefactor 2.0915 .22931 .71358E-02 -1.5419 10 norm .22760E-08 1.0942 .61058E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm 48.021 6.4133 .14436E-03 -1.5569 12 Prefactor .11711E-03 1.4234 .10424 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .42744E-08 32.932 .11908E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 5.0731 22.960 .44487E-03 -1.5663 15 Normalizat 1.7874 .28776 .27228 -.69993 16 Prefactor .98855 .24492E-01 .29520E-01 -.93112 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.7029e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.92009e-06 2 9.17061e-05 3 8.91546e-05 4 13.5173 5 11.7199 6 0.000956312 7 1.63401 8 5.5892 9 0.229315 10 9.97329e-05 11 6.41331 12 0.00987118 13 0.000751429 14 21.5851 15 0.288034 16 0.0244924 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 53704.29 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 247 CALLS 1371 TOTAL EDM= .67E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.8406 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .22204E-09 9.9479 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .66613E-09 3.0894 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 9.1935 13.517 .32987E-03 -1.5647 5 norm 19.875 11.720 .22429E-03 -1.5619 6 Prefactor .16376E-07 13.984 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 3.1051 1.6340 .57499E-03 -1.5673 8 norm 13.187 5.5892 .27491E-03 -1.5635 9 Prefactor 2.0915 .22931 .71358E-02 -1.5419 10 norm .22760E-08 1.0942 .61058E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm 48.021 6.4133 .14436E-03 -1.5569 12 Prefactor .11711E-03 1.4234 .10424 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .42744E-08 32.932 .11908E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 5.0731 22.960 .44487E-03 -1.5663 15 Normalizat 1.7874 .28776 .27228 -.69993 16 Prefactor .98855 .24492E-01 .29520E-01 -.93112 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.7029e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.92009e-06 2 9.17061e-05 3 8.91546e-05 4 13.5173 5 11.7199 6 0.000956312 7 1.63401 8 5.5892 9 0.229315 10 9.97329e-05 11 6.41331 12 0.00987118 13 0.000751429 14 21.5851 15 0.288034 16 0.0244924 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.289811 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 1.319e+01 5.589e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 2.705e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 771 Prefactor: 9.885e-01 2.449e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 772 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 773 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 770 Normalization: 1.787e+00 2.880e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 8.24 Ra Dec: 303.892 37.176 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.71 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.13e-07 +/- 9.03e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 8.61e-05 +/- 3.65e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9367752 delta logL = 0.353035792999 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9099188 delta logL = 0.379892204699 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 6.9608 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 3.0787 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.7675 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98736 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 53703.91 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 62 CALLS 276 TOTAL EDM= .90E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 6.9414 23.446 .38002E-03 .14495E-01 2 alpha 3.0797 .92278 .27100 .57460E-03 3 Normalizat 1.7674 .10263 .27315 .79085E-04 4 Prefactor .98736 .79564E-02 .29523E-01 -.86284E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 6.94143 alpha = 3.07974 Normalizat = 1.7674 Prefactor = 0.987364 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 53703.91 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 309 TOTAL EDM= .16E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 6.9414 101.32 .15201E-04 -1.5655 2 alpha 3.0797 3.9312 .97528E-02 .23403 3 Normalizat 1.7674 .36127 .12259E-02 -.70518 4 Prefactor .98736 .24283E-01 .13046E-03 -.93152 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.55143e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 53.0409 2 3.36742 3 0.361815 4 0.0242829 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9099144 delta logL = 0.3798966553 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 6.941e+00 5.304e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 3.080e+00 3.367e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 771 Prefactor: 9.874e-01 2.428e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 772 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 773 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 770 Normalization: 1.767e+00 3.618e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.99 Ra Dec: 303.892 37.176 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.08 +/- 3.37 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.96e-07 +/- 4.29e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 8.54e-05 +/- 9.93e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31800427/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.13e-07', energy_flux2='8.54e-05', photon_flux_error='9.03e-08', dlogl='3.80e-01', energy_flux='8.61e-05', photon_flux2='2.96e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-15 15:06:44.237557', photon_index_error2='3.37', photon_index2='3.08', ts='8.24', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.99', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='9.93e-05', EG='1.79', time_epoch_completed='1784153204.24', return_code='0', job_id='31800427', GAL2='0.99', EG2='1.77', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='3.65e-05', photon_flux_error2='4.29e-07', ts2='8.99', photon_index='2.71' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J2015.5+3710' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 15 15:06:44 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.289811 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 1.319e+01 5.589e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 2.705e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 771 Prefactor: 9.885e-01 2.449e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 772 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 773 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 770 Normalization: 1.787e+00 2.880e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 8.24 Ra Dec: 303.892 37.176 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.71 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.13e-07 +/- 9.03e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 8.61e-05 +/- 3.65e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9367752 delta logL = 0.353035792999 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9099188 delta logL = 0.379892204699 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 6.9608 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 3.0787 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.7675 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98736 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 53703.91 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 62 CALLS 276 TOTAL EDM= .90E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 6.9414 23.446 .38002E-03 .14495E-01 2 alpha 3.0797 .92278 .27100 .57460E-03 3 Normalizat 1.7674 .10263 .27315 .79085E-04 4 Prefactor .98736 .79564E-02 .29523E-01 -.86284E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 6.94143 alpha = 3.07974 Normalizat = 1.7674 Prefactor = 0.987364 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 53703.91 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 309 TOTAL EDM= .16E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 6.9414 101.32 .15201E-04 -1.5655 2 alpha 3.0797 3.9312 .97528E-02 .23403 3 Normalizat 1.7674 .36127 .12259E-02 -.70518 4 Prefactor .98736 .24283E-01 .13046E-03 -.93152 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.55143e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 53.0409 2 3.36742 3 0.361815 4 0.0242829 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9099144 delta logL = 0.3798966553 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 6.941e+00 5.304e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 3.080e+00 3.367e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 771 Prefactor: 9.874e-01 2.428e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 772 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 773 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 770 Normalization: 1.767e+00 3.618e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.99 Ra Dec: 303.892 37.176 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.08 +/- 3.37 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.96e-07 +/- 4.29e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 8.54e-05 +/- 9.93e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31800767/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.13e-07', energy_flux2='8.54e-05', photon_flux_error='9.03e-08', dlogl='3.80e-01', energy_flux='8.61e-05', photon_flux2='2.96e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-15 15:07:07.033669', photon_index_error2='3.37', photon_index2='3.08', ts='8.24', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.99', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='9.93e-05', EG='1.79', time_epoch_completed='1784153227.03', return_code='0', job_id='31800767', GAL2='0.99', EG2='1.77', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='3.65e-05', photon_flux_error2='4.29e-07', ts2='8.99', photon_index='2.71' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J2015.5+3710' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 15 15:07:07 PDT 2026 : time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 21 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 448.07 user 444.37 sys 1.00 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31801508/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2015.5+3710' 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 7.199e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 2.705e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31801508/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31801508/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31801508/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.3056571 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.2934295 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .52145E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .98133E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .64209E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 9.2173 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 19.891 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10537E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 3.1073 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 13.251 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 2.0916 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'norm ' .62402E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 47.990 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .87436E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 13 'norm ' .19263 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 5.1023 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.7873 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .98853 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 53704.29 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 92 CALLS 1124 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 15.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.8356 -.60236E-06** at limit ** 2 norm .22204E-09 9.9113 -.19861E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .66613E-09 3.0886 .13787E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 9.1935 1.3705 -.38671E-06 -.17788E-01 5 norm 19.875 2.7984 -.73051E-06 -.84330E-01 6 Prefactor .16376E-07 13.923 -.14019E-05** at limit ** 7 norm 3.1051 1.6325 .74697E-07 -.38255E-02 8 norm 13.187 5.5823 .19342E-06 .98631E-02 9 Prefactor 2.0915 .22778 .74307E-07 .11070E-01 10 norm .22760E-08 19.934 .11248E-04** at limit ** 11 norm 48.021 6.4101 -.47934E-07 .17902E-01 12 Prefactor .11711E-03 12.875 -.93292E-04** at limit ** 13 norm .42744E-08 33.126 .16558E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 5.0731 5.3896 -.30813E-05 .15626E-02 15 Normalizat 1.7874 .28111 .99006E-05 .25656E-03 16 Prefactor .98855 .24896E-01 -.11231E-06 .52790E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.22045e-10 norm = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 9.19346 norm = 19.875 Prefactor = 1.63758e-08 norm = 3.10513 norm = 13.1865 Prefactor = 2.09149 norm = 2.27596e-09 norm = 48.0206 Prefactor = 0.000117113 norm = 4.27436e-09 Prefactor = 5.07309 Normalizat = 1.7874 Prefactor = 0.988546 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.289811 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 1.319e+01 5.589e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 2.705e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 771 Prefactor: 9.885e-01 2.449e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 772 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 773 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 770 Normalization: 1.787e+00 2.880e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 8.24 Ra Dec: 303.892 37.176 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.71 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.13e-07 +/- 9.03e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 8.61e-05 +/- 3.65e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9367752 delta logL = 0.353035792999 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9099188 delta logL = 0.379892204699 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 6.9608 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 3.0787 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.7675 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98736 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 53703.91 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 62 CALLS 276 TOTAL EDM= .90E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 6.9414 23.446 .38002E-03 .14495E-01 2 alpha 3.0797 .92278 .27100 .57460E-03 3 Normalizat 1.7674 .10263 .27315 .79085E-04 4 Prefactor .98736 .79564E-02 .29523E-01 -.86284E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 6.94143 alpha = 3.07974 Normalizat = 1.7674 Prefactor = 0.987364 : time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source Cygnus Loop adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source HB 21 adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits.....................! real 449.17 user 444.45 sys 1.08 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31801562/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2015.5+3710' 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 7.199e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 2.705e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ft2_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31801562/expmap_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31801562/ltcube_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31801562/Model_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.3056571 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.2934295 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .52145E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .98133E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .64209E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 9.2173 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 19.891 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10537E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 3.1073 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 13.251 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 2.0916 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 10 'norm ' .62402E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 47.990 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .87436E-03 1.0000 .10000E-03 10000. 13 'norm ' .19263 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 5.1023 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Normalizat' 1.7873 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 16 'Prefactor ' .98853 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 53703.91 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 309 TOTAL EDM= .16E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 6.9414 101.32 .15201E-04 -1.5655 2 alpha 3.0797 3.9312 .97528E-02 .23403 3 Normalizat 1.7674 .36127 .12259E-02 -.70518 4 Prefactor .98736 .24283E-01 .13046E-03 -.93152 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.55143e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 53.0409 2 3.36742 3 0.361815 4 0.0242829 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9099144 delta logL = 0.3798966553 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 6.941e+00 5.304e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 3.080e+00 3.367e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 771 Prefactor: 9.874e-01 2.428e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 772 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 773 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 770 Normalization: 1.767e+00 3.618e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.99 Ra Dec: 303.892 37.176 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.08 +/- 3.37 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.96e-07 +/- 4.29e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 8.54e-05 +/- 9.93e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31800871/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.13e-07', energy_flux2='8.54e-05', photon_flux_error='9.03e-08', dlogl='3.80e-01', energy_flux='8.61e-05', photon_flux2='2.96e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-15 15:08:35.132940', photon_index_error2='3.37', photon_index2='3.08', ts='8.24', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.99', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='9.93e-05', EG='1.79', time_epoch_completed='1784153315.13', return_code='0', job_id='31800871', GAL2='0.99', EG2='1.77', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='3.65e-05', photon_flux_error2='4.29e-07', ts2='8.99', photon_index='2.71' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J2015.5+3710' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 15 15:08:35 PDT 2026 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 53704.29 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 92 CALLS 1124 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 15.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.8356 -.60236E-06** at limit ** 2 norm .22204E-09 9.9113 -.19861E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .66613E-09 3.0886 .13787E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 9.1935 1.3705 -.38671E-06 -.17788E-01 5 norm 19.875 2.7984 -.73051E-06 -.84330E-01 6 Prefactor .16376E-07 13.923 -.14019E-05** at limit ** 7 norm 3.1051 1.6325 .74697E-07 -.38255E-02 8 norm 13.187 5.5823 .19342E-06 .98631E-02 9 Prefactor 2.0915 .22778 .74307E-07 .11070E-01 10 norm .22760E-08 19.934 .11248E-04** at limit ** 11 norm 48.021 6.4101 -.47934E-07 .17902E-01 12 Prefactor .11711E-03 12.875 -.93292E-04** at limit ** 13 norm .42744E-08 33.126 .16558E-05** at limit ** 14 Prefactor 5.0731 5.3896 -.30813E-05 .15626E-02 15 Normalizat 1.7874 .28111 .99006E-05 .25656E-03 16 Prefactor .98855 .24896E-01 -.11231E-06 .52790E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.22045e-10 norm = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 9.19346 norm = 19.875 Prefactor = 1.63758e-08 norm = 3.10513 norm = 13.1865 Prefactor = 2.09149 norm = 2.27596e-09 norm = 48.0206 Prefactor = 0.000117113 norm = 4.27436e-09 Prefactor = 5.07309 Normalizat = 1.7874 Prefactor = 0.988546 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 53704.29 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 247 CALLS 1371 TOTAL EDM= .67E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.8406 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .22204E-09 9.9479 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .66613E-09 3.0894 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 9.1935 13.517 .32987E-03 -1.5647 5 norm 19.875 11.720 .22429E-03 -1.5619 6 Prefactor .16376E-07 13.984 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 3.1051 1.6340 .57499E-03 -1.5673 8 norm 13.187 5.5892 .27491E-03 -1.5635 9 Prefactor 2.0915 .22931 .71358E-02 -1.5419 10 norm .22760E-08 1.0942 .61058E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm 48.021 6.4133 .14436E-03 -1.5569 12 Prefactor .11711E-03 1.4234 .10424 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .42744E-08 32.932 .11908E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 5.0731 22.960 .44487E-03 -1.5663 15 Normalizat 1.7874 .28776 .27228 -.69993 16 Prefactor .98855 .24492E-01 .29520E-01 -.93112 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.7029e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.92009e-06 2 9.17061e-05 3 8.91546e-05 4 13.5173 5 11.7199 6 0.000956312 7 1.63401 8 5.5892 9 0.229315 10 9.97329e-05 11 6.41331 12 0.00987118 13 0.000751429 14 21.5851 15 0.288034 16 0.0244924 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 53704.29 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 247 CALLS 1371 TOTAL EDM= .67E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 3.8406 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .22204E-09 9.9479 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .66613E-09 3.0894 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 9.1935 13.517 .32987E-03 -1.5647 5 norm 19.875 11.720 .22429E-03 -1.5619 6 Prefactor .16376E-07 13.984 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 3.1051 1.6340 .57499E-03 -1.5673 8 norm 13.187 5.5892 .27491E-03 -1.5635 9 Prefactor 2.0915 .22931 .71358E-02 -1.5419 10 norm .22760E-08 1.0942 .61058E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm 48.021 6.4133 .14436E-03 -1.5569 12 Prefactor .11711E-03 1.4234 .10424 -1.5707 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 norm .42744E-08 32.932 .11908E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor 5.0731 22.960 .44487E-03 -1.5663 15 Normalizat 1.7874 .28776 .27228 -.69993 16 Prefactor .98855 .24492E-01 .29520E-01 -.93112 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.7029e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.92009e-06 2 9.17061e-05 3 8.91546e-05 4 13.5173 5 11.7199 6 0.000956312 7 1.63401 8 5.5892 9 0.229315 10 9.97329e-05 11 6.41331 12 0.00987118 13 0.000751429 14 21.5851 15 0.288034 16 0.0244924 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.289811 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 1.319e+01 5.589e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 2.705e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 771 Prefactor: 9.885e-01 2.449e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 772 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 773 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 770 Normalization: 1.787e+00 2.880e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 8.24 Ra Dec: 303.892 37.176 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.71 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.13e-07 +/- 9.03e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 8.61e-05 +/- 3.65e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9367752 delta logL = 0.353035792999 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9099188 delta logL = 0.379892204699 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 6.9608 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 3.0787 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.7675 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98736 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 53703.91 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 62 CALLS 276 TOTAL EDM= .90E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 6.9414 23.446 .38002E-03 .14495E-01 2 alpha 3.0797 .92278 .27100 .57460E-03 3 Normalizat 1.7674 .10263 .27315 .79085E-04 4 Prefactor .98736 .79564E-02 .29523E-01 -.86284E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 6.94143 alpha = 3.07974 Normalizat = 1.7674 Prefactor = 0.987364 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 53703.91 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 309 TOTAL EDM= .16E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 6.9414 101.32 .15201E-04 -1.5655 2 alpha 3.0797 3.9312 .97528E-02 .23403 3 Normalizat 1.7674 .36127 .12259E-02 -.70518 4 Prefactor .98736 .24283E-01 .13046E-03 -.93152 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.55143e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 53.0409 2 3.36742 3 0.361815 4 0.0242829 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9099144 delta logL = 0.3798966553 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 6.941e+00 5.304e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 3.080e+00 3.367e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 771 Prefactor: 9.874e-01 2.428e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 772 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 773 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 770 Normalization: 1.767e+00 3.618e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.99 Ra Dec: 303.892 37.176 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.08 +/- 3.37 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.96e-07 +/- 4.29e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 8.54e-05 +/- 9.93e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31801508/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.13e-07', energy_flux2='8.54e-05', photon_flux_error='9.03e-08', dlogl='3.80e-01', energy_flux='8.61e-05', photon_flux2='2.96e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-15 15:12:06.536582', photon_index_error2='3.37', photon_index2='3.08', ts='8.24', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.99', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='9.93e-05', EG='1.79', time_epoch_completed='1784153526.54', return_code='0', job_id='31801508', GAL2='0.99', EG2='1.77', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='3.65e-05', photon_flux_error2='4.29e-07', ts2='8.99', photon_index='2.71' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J2015.5+3710' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 15 15:12:06 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 53704.289811 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 1.319e+01 5.589e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 2.705e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 771 Prefactor: 9.885e-01 2.449e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 772 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 773 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 770 Normalization: 1.787e+00 2.880e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 8.24 Ra Dec: 303.892 37.176 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.71 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.13e-07 +/- 9.03e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 8.61e-05 +/- 3.65e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9367752 delta logL = 0.353035792999 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9099188 delta logL = 0.379892204699 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 6.9608 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 3.0787 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.7675 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98736 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7820E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 53703.91 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 62 CALLS 276 TOTAL EDM= .90E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 6.9414 23.446 .38002E-03 .14495E-01 2 alpha 3.0797 .92278 .27100 .57460E-03 3 Normalizat 1.7674 .10263 .27315 .79085E-04 4 Prefactor .98736 .79564E-02 .29523E-01 -.86284E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 6.94143 alpha = 3.07974 Normalizat = 1.7674 Prefactor = 0.987364 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 53703.91 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 309 TOTAL EDM= .16E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 6.9414 101.32 .15201E-04 -1.5655 2 alpha 3.0797 3.9312 .97528E-02 .23403 3 Normalizat 1.7674 .36127 .12259E-02 -.70518 4 Prefactor .98736 .24283E-01 .13046E-03 -.93152 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.55143e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 53.0409 2 3.36742 3 0.361815 4 0.0242829 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 53703.9099144 delta logL = 0.3798966553 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.5+3710 Spectrum: LogParabola 375 norm: 6.941e+00 5.304e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 376 alpha: 3.080e+00 3.367e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 377 beta: 1.777e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 378 Eb: 3.095e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 771 Prefactor: 9.874e-01 2.428e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 772 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 773 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 770 Normalization: 1.767e+00 3.618e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 8.99 Ra Dec: 303.892 37.176 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.08 +/- 3.37 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.96e-07 +/- 4.29e-07 Energy Flux (Free Index): 8.54e-05 +/- 9.93e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.220e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31801562/cmap_HighResolution_804643201_804902401_4FGL_J2015.5+3710_daily_bin2181.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.13e-07', energy_flux2='8.54e-05', photon_flux_error='9.03e-08', dlogl='3.80e-01', energy_flux='8.61e-05', photon_flux2='2.96e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-07-15 15:13:03.586217', photon_index_error2='3.37', photon_index2='3.08', ts='8.24', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.99', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='9.93e-05', EG='1.79', time_epoch_completed='1784153583.59', return_code='0', job_id='31801562', GAL2='0.99', EG2='1.77', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='3.65e-05', photon_flux_error2='4.29e-07', ts2='8.99', photon_index='2.71' WHERE bin_id='2181' AND source_name='4FGL J2015.5+3710' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 15 15:13:03 PDT 2026