********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 2600.932 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 339 TOTAL EDM= .37E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.9823 202.76 .10267E-04 -1.5680 2 Index 3.5520 6.7611 .33857E-02 -.29380 3 Normalizat 1.2213 .40200 .36010E-03 -.85947 4 Prefactor .69710 .14007 .16471E-03 -1.0364 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.72267e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 40.0981 2 5.58756 3 0.403026 4 0.140144 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 2600.93202102 delta logL = 0.226387602258 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.3-1432 Spectrum: PowerLaw 378 Prefactor: 1.982e+00 4.010e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-15) 379 Index: 3.552e+00 5.588e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 380 Scale: 5.728e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 677 Prefactor: 6.971e-01 1.401e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 678 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 679 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 676 Normalization: 1.221e+00 4.030e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 303.826 -14.542 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31798666/cmap_HighResolution_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.42e-02', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.89e-07', time_completed='2026-07-15 14:37:27.420495', job_id='31798666', GAL2='0.70', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.22', EG='1.31', time_epoch_completed='1784151447.42', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.69', dlogl='2.26e-01', ts2='0.48', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.97' WHERE bin_id='2177' AND source_name='4FGL J2015.3-1432' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 15 14:37:27 PDT 2026 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31798844/ltcube_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31798844/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits .....................! real 8.84 user 8.22 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31798844/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31798844/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31798844/ltcube_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31798844/expmap_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31798844/ltcube_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits .....................! real 68.62 user 63.85 sys 4.05 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 202 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2015.3-1432 @ 303.826 -14.5417 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31798844/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31798844/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31798844/cmap_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=303.826 yref=-14.5417 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.65 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31798844/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31798844/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31798844/cmap_HighResolution_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=303.826 yref=-14.5417 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.68 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31798844/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31798844/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31798844/Model_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcnumber of points = 7650 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. number of points = 7650 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177 RA = 303.826, Dec = -14.5417 tmin = 803606401, tmax = 803865601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31799199', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-15 14:36:59.035282', time_epoch_executed='1784151419.04' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2015.3-1432' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2177' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31799199 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31799199/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=803606401.0 && nMetStart<803865601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=803606401.0 && nMetStart<803865601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ft1_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=803606401.0 && nMetStart<803865601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ft1_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits ra=303.826 dec=-14.5417 rad=12.0 tmin=803606401.0 tmax=803865601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.30 user 1.68 sys 0.15 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.76 user 0.20 sys 0.15 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 226 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits sctable="SC_DATA" Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177 RA = 303.826, Dec = -14.5417 tmin = 803606401, tmax = 803865601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31799215', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-15 14:37:07.150946', time_epoch_executed='1784151427.15' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2015.3-1432' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2177' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31799215 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31799215/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=803606401.0 && nMetStart<803865601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=803606401.0 && nMetStart<803865601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ft1_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=803606401.0 && nMetStart<803865601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ft1_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits ra=303.826 dec=-14.5417 rad=12.0 tmin=803606401.0 tmax=803865601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 1.98 user 1.53 sys 0.20 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.70 user 0.19 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 226 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits sctable="SC_DATA" e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31798844/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits.....................! real 14.65 user 13.27 sys 0.94 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31798844/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31798844/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31798844/expmap_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31798844/ltcube_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31798844/Model_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2015.3-1432' 4FGL J2015.3-1432 Spectrum: PowerLaw 378 Prefactor: 3.604e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-15) 379 Index: 1.968e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 380 Scale: 5.728e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31798844/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31798844/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31798844/expmap_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31798844/ltcube_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31798844/Model_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 102 logL (Fixed Index) = 2601.18179503 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2601.16699836 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .28871E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .17144E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .20046E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 18.518 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .49182E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .22864E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .14253E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 9.9597 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 25.814 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' .43186E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .50710 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 16.756 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .39249E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 5.4522 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .14131E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 3.6717 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .84082 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.3092 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .69039 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6800E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 2601.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 156 CALLS 1412 TOTAL EDM= .15E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 47.760 .47221E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .37851E-05 20.204 .49116E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .10444E-05 18.951 -.11245E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 17.682 19.292 -.59351E-06 -.99590E-02 5 Prefactor .55511E-10 110.02 -.67069E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .10991E-07 76.168 .42740E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .55511E-10 15.250 .61812E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 20.272 162.70 .14898E-05 .87653E-02 9 norm 25.981 3.6348 -.19615E-07 -.22810E-01 10 norm .21682E-01 38.501 -.80023E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .35333E-03 39.198 -.17338E-05** at limit ** 12 norm 18.092 43.752 -.13530E-05 .55326E-01 13 norm .17496E-04 50.190 -.95619E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 5.4269 3.1908 .15307E-06 -.56032E-04 15 Prefactor .55511E-10 9.5036 -.28350E-06** at limit ** 16 norm 3.6752 3.8656 -.20030E-07 -.32369E-03 17 Prefactor .93665 24.928 -.21639E-06 -.12455E-01 18 Normalizat 1.3088 .47934 -.10495E-04 .82233E-05 19 Prefactor .68939 .15937 -.13913E-06 .68456E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 3.78508e-06 Prefactor = 1.04439e-06 Prefactor = 17.6816 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.09912e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 20.2721 norm = 25.9811 norm = 0.0216818 Prefactor = 0.000353327 norm = 18.0925 norm = 1.74955e-05 norm = 5.42686 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 3.67524 Prefactor = 0.936648 Normalizat = 1.30879 Prefactor = 0.689394 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 2601.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 312 CALLS 1724 TOTAL EDM= .31E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 47.865 .16511E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .37851E-05 39.073 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .10444E-05 38.896 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 17.682 19.401 .23247E-03 -1.5624 5 Prefactor .55511E-10 110.28 .15573E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .10991E-07 75.164 .16855E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .55511E-10 14.939 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 20.272 163.78 .31727E-03 -1.5618 9 norm 25.981 29.257 .19686E-03 -1.5606 10 norm .21682E-01 58.195 .64974E-02 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .35333E-03 166.22 .77999E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm 18.092 46.589 .24441E-03 -1.5623 13 norm .17496E-04 57.350 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 5.4269 3.2113 .43010E-03 -1.5661 15 Prefactor .55511E-10 9.4874 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 3.6752 3.8663 .52688E-03 -1.5670 17 Prefactor .93665 26.118 .49941E-03 -1.5689 18 Normalizat 1.3088 .42169 .79168E-01 -.83304 19 Prefactor .68939 .13881 .42273E-01 -1.0394 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.08121e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000126713 2 0.0243225 3 0.0127472 4 19.4012 5 0.000157908 6 0.00181742 7 6.75412e-05 8 115.247 9 29.2572 10 2.24659 11 0.484705 12 46.5901 13 0.0633524 14 3.21133 15 3.73359e-05 16 3.86632 17 9.8921 18 0.42281 19 0.138875 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2601.15840862 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.3-1432 Spectrum: PowerLaw 378 Prefactor: 3.533e-04 4.847e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-15) 379 Index: 1.968e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 380 Scale: 5.728e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 677 Prefactor: 6.894e-01 1.389e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 678 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 679 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 676 Normalization: 1.309e+00 4.228e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 303.826 -14.542 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.89283678169e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0141580657607 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31798844/likelihoodResults_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2601.16127777 delta logL = -0.00286914242088 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2601.15840921 delta logL = -5.8954810811e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .18103E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.0464 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3082 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .68949 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6800E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 2600.932 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 119 CALLS 308 TOTAL EDM= .74E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.9823 106.69 .42118E-03 -.25519E-02 2 Index 3.5520 3.0199 .63509E-01 -.40652E-04 3 Normalizat 1.2213 .12989 .81342E-01 -.14262E-03 4 Prefactor .69710 .44488E-01 .42261E-01 .41054E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.98235 Index = 3.55203 Normalizat = 1.2213 Prefactor = 0.697101 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 2600.932 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 339 TOTAL EDM= .37E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.9823 202.76 .10267E-04 -1.5680 2 Index 3.5520 6.7611 .33857E-02 -.29380 3 Normalizat 1.2213 .40200 .36010E-03 -.85947 4 Prefactor .69710 .14007 .16471E-03 -1.0364 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.72267e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 40.0981 2 5.58756 3 0.403026 4 0.140144 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 2600.93202102 delta logL = 0.226387602258 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.3-1432 Spectrum: PowerLaw 378 Prefactor: 1.982e+00 4.010e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-15) 379 Index: 3.552e+00 5.588e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 380 Scale: 5.728e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 677 Prefactor: 6.971e-01 1.401e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 678 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 679 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 676 Normalization: 1.221e+00 4.030e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 303.826 -14.542 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31798844/cmap_HighResolution_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.42e-02', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.89e-07', time_completed='2026-07-15 14:39:15.434924', job_id='31798844', GAL2='0.70', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.22', EG='1.31', time_epoch_completed='1784151555.43', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.69', dlogl='2.26e-01', ts2='0.48', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.97' WHERE bin_id='2177' AND source_name='4FGL J2015.3-1432' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 15 14:39:15 PDT 2026 number of points = 7650 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177 RA = 303.826, Dec = -14.5417 tmin = 803606401, tmax = 803865601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31799323', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-15 14:37:42.463366', time_epoch_executed='1784151462.46' WHERE source_name='4FGL J2015.3-1432' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2177' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31799323 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31799323/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=803606401.0 && nMetStart<803865601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=803606401.0 && nMetStart<803865601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ft1_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=803606401.0 && nMetStart<803865601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ft1_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits ra=303.826 dec=-14.5417 rad=12.0 tmin=803606401.0 tmax=803865601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.11 user 1.60 sys 0.15 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.69 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 226 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ltcube_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits .....................! real 8.66 user 8.10 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ltcube_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/expmap_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ltcube_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits .....................! real 67.13 user 62.47 sys 3.97 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 202 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2015.3-1432 @ 303.826 -14.5417 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/cmap_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=303.826 yref=-14.5417 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.65 user 0.21 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/cmap_HighResolution_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=303.826 yref=-14.5417 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.62 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/Model_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcoutfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ltcube_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits .....................! real 9.30 user 8.66 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ltcube_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/expmap_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ltcube_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits .....................! real 72.51 user 67.48 sys 4.30 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 202 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2015.3-1432 @ 303.826 -14.5417 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/cmap_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=303.826 yref=-14.5417 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.74 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/cmap_HighResolution_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=303.826 yref=-14.5417 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.72 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/Model_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcoutfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ltcube_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits .....................! real 9.01 user 8.39 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ltcube_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/expmap_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ltcube_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits .....................! real 71.18 user 66.20 sys 4.23 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 202 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J2015.3-1432 @ 303.826 -14.5417 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/cmap_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=303.826 yref=-14.5417 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.74 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/cmap_HighResolution_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=303.826 yref=-14.5417 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.85 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/Model_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits.....................! real 14.36 user 12.90 sys 1.05 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/expmap_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ltcube_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31799215/Model_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2015.3-1432' 4FGL J2015.3-1432 Spectrum: PowerLaw 378 Prefactor: 3.604e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-15) 379 Index: 1.968e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 380 Scale: 5.728e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31799215/expmap_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31799215/ltcube_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31799215/Model_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 102 logL (Fixed Index) = 2601.18179503 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2601.16699836 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .28871E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .17144E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .20046E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 18.518 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .49182E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .22864E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .14253E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 9.9597 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 25.814 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' .43186E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .50710 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 16.756 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .39249E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 5.4522 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .14131E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 3.6717 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .84082 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.3092 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .69039 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6800E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 2601.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 156 CALLS 1412 TOTAL EDM= .15E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 47.760 .47221E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .37851E-05 20.204 .49116E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .10444E-05 18.951 -.11245E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 17.682 19.292 -.59351E-06 -.99590E-02 5 Prefactor .55511E-10 110.02 -.67069E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .10991E-07 76.168 .42740E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .55511E-10 15.250 .61812E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 20.272 162.70 .14898E-05 .87653E-02 9 norm 25.981 3.6348 -.19615E-07 -.22810E-01 10 norm .21682E-01 38.501 -.80023E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .35333E-03 39.198 -.17338E-05** at limit ** 12 norm 18.092 43.752 -.13530E-05 .55326E-01 13 norm .17496E-04 50.190 -.95619E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 5.4269 3.1908 .15307E-06 -.56032E-04 15 Prefactor .55511E-10 9.5036 -.28350E-06** at limit ** 16 norm 3.6752 3.8656 -.20030E-07 -.32369E-03 17 Prefactor .93665 24.928 -.21639E-06 -.12455E-01 18 Normalizat 1.3088 .47934 -.10495E-04 .82233E-05 19 Prefactor .68939 .15937 -.13913E-06 .68456E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 3.78508e-06 Prefactor = 1.04439e-06 Prefactor = 17.6816 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.09912e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 20.2721 norm = 25.9811 norm = 0.0216818 Prefactor = 0.000353327 norm = 18.0925 norm = 1.74955e-05 norm = 5.42686 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 3.67524 Prefactor = 0.936648 Normalizat = 1.30879 Prefactor = 0.689394 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 2601.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 312 CALLS 1724 TOTAL EDM= .31E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 47.865 .16511E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .37851E-05 39.073 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .10444E-05 38.896 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 17.682 19.401 .23247E-03 -1.5624 5 Prefactor .55511E-10 110.28 .15573E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .10991E-07 75.164 .16855E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .55511E-10 14.939 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 20.272 163.78 .31727E-03 -1.5618 9 norm 25.981 29.257 .19686E-03 -1.5606 10 norm .21682E-01 58.195 .64974E-02 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .35333E-03 166.22 .77999E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm 18.092 46.589 .24441E-03 -1.5623 13 norm .17496E-04 57.350 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 5.4269 3.2113 .43010E-03 -1.5661 15 Prefactor .55511E-10 9.4874 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 3.6752 3.8663 .52688E-03 -1.5670 17 Prefactor .93665 26.118 .49941E-03 -1.5689 18 Normalizat 1.3088 .42169 .79168E-01 -.83304 19 Prefactor .68939 .13881 .42273E-01 -1.0394 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.08121e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000126713 2 0.0243225 3 0.0127472 4 19.4012 5 0.000157908 6 0.00181742 7 6.75412e-05 8 115.247 9 29.2572 10 2.24659 11 0.484705 12 46.5901 13 0.0633524 14 3.21133 15 3.73359e-05 16 3.86632 17 9.8921 18 0.42281 19 0.138875 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits.....................! real 15.41 user 14.16 sys 0.70 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/expmap_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ltcube_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31799199/Model_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2015.3-1432' 4FGL J2015.3-1432 Spectrum: PowerLaw 378 Prefactor: 3.604e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-15) 379 Index: 1.968e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 380 Scale: 5.728e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31799199/expmap_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31799199/ltcube_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31799199/Model_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 102 logL (Fixed Index) = 2601.18179503 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2601.16699836 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .28871E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .17144E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .20046E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 18.518 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .49182E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .22864E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .14253E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 9.9597 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 25.814 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' .43186E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .50710 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 16.756 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .39249E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 5.4522 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .14131E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 3.6717 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .84082 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.3092 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .69039 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6800E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 2601.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 156 CALLS 1412 TOTAL EDM= .15E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 47.760 .47221E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .37851E-05 20.204 .49116E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .10444E-05 18.951 -.11245E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 17.682 19.292 -.59351E-06 -.99590E-02 5 Prefactor .55511E-10 110.02 -.67069E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .10991E-07 76.168 .42740E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .55511E-10 15.250 .61812E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 20.272 162.70 .14898E-05 .87653E-02 9 norm 25.981 3.6348 -.19615E-07 -.22810E-01 10 norm .21682E-01 38.501 -.80023E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .35333E-03 39.198 -.17338E-05** at limit ** 12 norm 18.092 43.752 -.13530E-05 .55326E-01 13 norm .17496E-04 50.190 -.95619E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 5.4269 3.1908 .15307E-06 -.56032E-04 15 Prefactor .55511E-10 9.5036 -.28350E-06** at limit ** 16 norm 3.6752 3.8656 -.20030E-07 -.32369E-03 17 Prefactor .93665 24.928 -.21639E-06 -.12455E-01 18 Normalizat 1.3088 .47934 -.10495E-04 .82233E-05 19 Prefactor .68939 .15937 -.13913E-06 .68456E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 3.78508e-06 Prefactor = 1.04439e-06 Prefactor = 17.6816 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.09912e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 20.2721 norm = 25.9811 norm = 0.0216818 Prefactor = 0.000353327 norm = 18.0925 norm = 1.74955e-05 norm = 5.42686 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 3.67524 Prefactor = 0.936648 Normalizat = 1.30879 Prefactor = 0.689394 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 2601.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 312 CALLS 1724 TOTAL EDM= .31E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 47.865 .16511E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .37851E-05 39.073 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .10444E-05 38.896 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 17.682 19.401 .23247E-03 -1.5624 5 Prefactor .55511E-10 110.28 .15573E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .10991E-07 75.164 .16855E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .55511E-10 14.939 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 20.272 163.78 .31727E-03 -1.5618 9 norm 25.981 29.257 .19686E-03 -1.5606 10 norm .21682E-01 58.195 .64974E-02 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .35333E-03 166.22 .77999E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm 18.092 46.589 .24441E-03 -1.5623 13 norm .17496E-04 57.350 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 5.4269 3.2113 .43010E-03 -1.5661 15 Prefactor .55511E-10 9.4874 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 3.6752 3.8663 .52688E-03 -1.5670 17 Prefactor .93665 26.118 .49941E-03 -1.5689 18 Normalizat 1.3088 .42169 .79168E-01 -.83304 19 Prefactor .68939 .13881 .42273E-01 -1.0394 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.08121e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000126713 2 0.0243225 3 0.0127472 4 19.4012 5 0.000157908 6 0.00181742 7 6.75412e-05 8 115.247 9 29.2572 10 2.24659 11 0.484705 12 46.5901 13 0.0633524 14 3.21133 15 3.73359e-05 16 3.86632 17 9.8921 18 0.42281 19 0.138875 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2601.15840862 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.3-1432 Spectrum: PowerLaw 378 Prefactor: 3.533e-04 4.847e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-15) 379 Index: 1.968e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 380 Scale: 5.728e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 677 Prefactor: 6.894e-01 1.389e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 678 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 679 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 676 Normalization: 1.309e+00 4.228e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 303.826 -14.542 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.89283678169e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0141580657607 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31799215/likelihoodResults_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2601.16127777 delta logL = -0.00286914242088 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2601.15840921 delta logL = -5.8954810811e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .18103E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.0464 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3082 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .68949 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6800E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 2600.932 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 119 CALLS 308 TOTAL EDM= .74E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.9823 106.69 .42118E-03 -.25519E-02 2 Index 3.5520 3.0199 .63509E-01 -.40652E-04 3 Normalizat 1.2213 .12989 .81342E-01 -.14262E-03 4 Prefactor .69710 .44488E-01 .42261E-01 .41054E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.98235 Index = 3.55203 Normalizat = 1.2213 Prefactor = 0.697101 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 2600.932 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 339 TOTAL EDM= .37E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.9823 202.76 .10267E-04 -1.5680 2 Index 3.5520 6.7611 .33857E-02 -.29380 3 Normalizat 1.2213 .40200 .36010E-03 -.85947 4 Prefactor .69710 .14007 .16471E-03 -1.0364 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.72267e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 40.0981 2 5.58756 3 0.403026 4 0.140144 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 2600.93202102 delta logL = 0.226387602258 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.3-1432 Spectrum: PowerLaw 378 Prefactor: 1.982e+00 4.010e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-15) 379 Index: 3.552e+00 5.588e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 380 Scale: 5.728e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 677 Prefactor: 6.971e-01 1.401e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 678 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 679 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 676 Normalization: 1.221e+00 4.030e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 303.826 -14.542 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31799215/cmap_HighResolution_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.42e-02', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.89e-07', time_completed='2026-07-15 14:41:30.817530', job_id='31799215', GAL2='0.70', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.22', EG='1.31', time_epoch_completed='1784151690.82', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.69', dlogl='2.26e-01', ts2='0.48', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.97' WHERE bin_id='2177' AND source_name='4FGL J2015.3-1432' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 15 14:41:31 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2601.15840862 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.3-1432 Spectrum: PowerLaw 378 Prefactor: 3.533e-04 4.847e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-15) 379 Index: 1.968e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 380 Scale: 5.728e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 677 Prefactor: 6.894e-01 1.389e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 678 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 679 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 676 Normalization: 1.309e+00 4.228e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 303.826 -14.542 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.89283678169e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0141580657607 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31799199/likelihoodResults_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2601.16127777 delta logL = -0.00286914242088 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2601.15840921 delta logL = -5.8954810811e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .18103E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.0464 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3082 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .68949 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6800E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 2600.932 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 119 CALLS 308 TOTAL EDM= .74E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.9823 106.69 .42118E-03 -.25519E-02 2 Index 3.5520 3.0199 .63509E-01 -.40652E-04 3 Normalizat 1.2213 .12989 .81342E-01 -.14262E-03 4 Prefactor .69710 .44488E-01 .42261E-01 .41054E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.98235 Index = 3.55203 Normalizat = 1.2213 Prefactor = 0.697101 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 2600.932 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 339 TOTAL EDM= .37E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.9823 202.76 .10267E-04 -1.5680 2 Index 3.5520 6.7611 .33857E-02 -.29380 3 Normalizat 1.2213 .40200 .36010E-03 -.85947 4 Prefactor .69710 .14007 .16471E-03 -1.0364 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.72267e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 40.0981 2 5.58756 3 0.403026 4 0.140144 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 2600.93202102 delta logL = 0.226387602258 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.3-1432 Spectrum: PowerLaw 378 Prefactor: 1.982e+00 4.010e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-15) 379 Index: 3.552e+00 5.588e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 380 Scale: 5.728e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 677 Prefactor: 6.971e-01 1.401e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 678 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 679 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 676 Normalization: 1.221e+00 4.030e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 303.826 -14.542 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31799199/cmap_HighResolution_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.42e-02', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.89e-07', time_completed='2026-07-15 14:41:43.799924', job_id='31799199', GAL2='0.70', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.22', EG='1.31', time_epoch_completed='1784151703.8', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.69', dlogl='2.26e-01', ts2='0.48', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.97' WHERE bin_id='2177' AND source_name='4FGL J2015.3-1432' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 15 14:41:44 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits.....................! real 15.38 user 13.86 sys 1.01 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/expmap_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ltcube_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31799323/Model_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J2015.3-1432' 4FGL J2015.3-1432 Spectrum: PowerLaw 378 Prefactor: 3.604e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-15) 379 Index: 1.968e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 380 Scale: 5.728e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ft2_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31799323/expmap_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31799323/ltcube_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31799323/Model_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 102 logL (Fixed Index) = 2601.18179503 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2601.16699836 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .28871E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .17144E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .20046E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 18.518 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .49182E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .22864E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .14253E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 9.9597 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 25.814 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' .43186E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .50710 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 16.756 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .39249E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 5.4522 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .14131E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 3.6717 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .84082 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Normalizat' 1.3092 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 19 'Prefactor ' .69039 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6800E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 2601.158 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 156 CALLS 1412 TOTAL EDM= .15E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 47.760 .47221E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .37851E-05 20.204 .49116E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .10444E-05 18.951 -.11245E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor 17.682 19.292 -.59351E-06 -.99590E-02 5 Prefactor .55511E-10 110.02 -.67069E-06** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .10991E-07 76.168 .42740E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .55511E-10 15.250 .61812E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 20.272 162.70 .14898E-05 .87653E-02 9 norm 25.981 3.6348 -.19615E-07 -.22810E-01 10 norm .21682E-01 38.501 -.80023E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .35333E-03 39.198 -.17338E-05** at limit ** 12 norm 18.092 43.752 -.13530E-05 .55326E-01 13 norm .17496E-04 50.190 -.95619E-06** at limit ** 14 norm 5.4269 3.1908 .15307E-06 -.56032E-04 15 Prefactor .55511E-10 9.5036 -.28350E-06** at limit ** 16 norm 3.6752 3.8656 -.20030E-07 -.32369E-03 17 Prefactor .93665 24.928 -.21639E-06 -.12455E-01 18 Normalizat 1.3088 .47934 -.10495E-04 .82233E-05 19 Prefactor .68939 .15937 -.13913E-06 .68456E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 Prefactor = 3.78508e-06 Prefactor = 1.04439e-06 Prefactor = 17.6816 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.09912e-08 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 20.2721 norm = 25.9811 norm = 0.0216818 Prefactor = 0.000353327 norm = 18.0925 norm = 1.74955e-05 norm = 5.42686 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 3.67524 Prefactor = 0.936648 Normalizat = 1.30879 Prefactor = 0.689394 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 2601.158 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 312 CALLS 1724 TOTAL EDM= .31E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 47.865 .16511E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .37851E-05 39.073 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .10444E-05 38.896 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor 17.682 19.401 .23247E-03 -1.5624 5 Prefactor .55511E-10 110.28 .15573E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .10991E-07 75.164 .16855E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .55511E-10 14.939 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 20.272 163.78 .31727E-03 -1.5618 9 norm 25.981 29.257 .19686E-03 -1.5606 10 norm .21682E-01 58.195 .64974E-02 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .35333E-03 166.22 .77999E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 norm 18.092 46.589 .24441E-03 -1.5623 13 norm .17496E-04 57.350 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 5.4269 3.2113 .43010E-03 -1.5661 15 Prefactor .55511E-10 9.4874 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 3.6752 3.8663 .52688E-03 -1.5670 17 Prefactor .93665 26.118 .49941E-03 -1.5689 18 Normalizat 1.3088 .42169 .79168E-01 -.83304 19 Prefactor .68939 .13881 .42273E-01 -1.0394 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.08121e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000126713 2 0.0243225 3 0.0127472 4 19.4012 5 0.000157908 6 0.00181742 7 6.75412e-05 8 115.247 9 29.2572 10 2.24659 11 0.484705 12 46.5901 13 0.0633524 14 3.21133 15 3.73359e-05 16 3.86632 17 9.8921 18 0.42281 19 0.138875 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 2601.15840862 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.3-1432 Spectrum: PowerLaw 378 Prefactor: 3.533e-04 4.847e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-15) 379 Index: 1.968e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 380 Scale: 5.728e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 677 Prefactor: 6.894e-01 1.389e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 678 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 679 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 676 Normalization: 1.309e+00 4.228e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 303.826 -14.542 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.89283678169e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0141580657607 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31799323/likelihoodResults_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2601.16127777 delta logL = -0.00286914242088 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 2601.15840921 delta logL = -5.8954810811e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .18103E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.0464 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.3082 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .68949 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6800E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 2600.932 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 119 CALLS 308 TOTAL EDM= .74E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.9823 106.69 .42118E-03 -.25519E-02 2 Index 3.5520 3.0199 .63509E-01 -.40652E-04 3 Normalizat 1.2213 .12989 .81342E-01 -.14262E-03 4 Prefactor .69710 .44488E-01 .42261E-01 .41054E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.98235 Index = 3.55203 Normalizat = 1.2213 Prefactor = 0.697101 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 2600.932 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 339 TOTAL EDM= .37E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.9823 202.76 .10267E-04 -1.5680 2 Index 3.5520 6.7611 .33857E-02 -.29380 3 Normalizat 1.2213 .40200 .36010E-03 -.85947 4 Prefactor .69710 .14007 .16471E-03 -1.0364 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 3.72267e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 40.0981 2 5.58756 3 0.403026 4 0.140144 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 2600.93202102 delta logL = 0.226387602258 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J2015.3-1432 Spectrum: PowerLaw 378 Prefactor: 1.982e+00 4.010e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-15) 379 Index: 3.552e+00 5.588e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 380 Scale: 5.728e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 677 Prefactor: 6.971e-01 1.401e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 678 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 679 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 676 Normalization: 1.221e+00 4.030e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 303.826 -14.542 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 0.000e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31799323/cmap_HighResolution_803606401_803865601_4FGL_J2015.3-1432_daily_bin2177.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.42e-02', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.89e-07', time_completed='2026-07-15 14:42:16.766765', job_id='31799323', GAL2='0.70', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.22', EG='1.31', time_epoch_completed='1784151736.77', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.69', dlogl='2.26e-01', ts2='0.48', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='1.97' WHERE bin_id='2177' AND source_name='4FGL J2015.3-1432' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Wed Jul 15 14:42:17 PDT 2026