/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 17387 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943 RA = 282.319, Dec = 67.0909 tmin = 809308801, tmax = 809913601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='36652032', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-01 15:14:52.990742', time_epoch_executed='1788300892.99' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1849.2+6705' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='943' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/36652032 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/36652032/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=809308801.0 && nMetStart<809913601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=809308801.0 && nMetStart<809913601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ft1_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=809308801.0 && nMetStart<809913601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ft2_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ft1_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits ra=282.319 dec=67.0909 rad=12.0 tmin=809308801.0 tmax=809913601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 7.18 user 6.67 sys 0.29 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ft2_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ft2_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.53 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 3359 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ft2_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ltcube_809308801_809913601_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ft2_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits .....................! real 18.29 user 17.73 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ft2_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ltcube_809308801_809913601_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/expmap_809308801_809913601_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ltcube_809308801_809913601_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits .....................! real 71.80 user 66.94 sys 4.07 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source FHES J2129.9+5833 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Extended source FHES J2208.4+6443 in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Added 184 point sources and 2 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1849.2+6705 @ 282.319 67.0909 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ft2_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/cmap_809308801_809913601_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=282.319 yref=67.0909 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.67 user 0.25 sys 0.11 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ft2_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/cmap_HighResolution_809308801_809913601_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=282.319 yref=67.0909 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.52 user 0.23 sys 0.15 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ft2_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/Model_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source FHES J2129.9+5833 adding source FHES J2208.4+6443 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits.....................! real 143.82 user 141.59 sys 1.06 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ft2_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/expmap_809308801_809913601_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ltcube_809308801_809913601_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/36652032/Model_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1849.2+6705' 4FGL J1849.2+6705 Spectrum: LogParabola 347 norm: 6.898e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 348 alpha: 2.257e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 349 beta: 9.598e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 350 Eb: 9.504e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ft2_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/36652032/expmap_809308801_809913601_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/36652032/ltcube_809308801_809913601_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/36652032/Model_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 33486.0122489 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 33485.895833 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .73716 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .93491E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 8.7905 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .28195 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 33.301 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 14.068 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 5.3001 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 10.927 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 9.3684 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 3.1512 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 11.315 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 1.7350 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 18.298 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' .27756E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .14061 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .26827E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'norm ' .67168E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' 4.1806 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' 1.4846 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 8.7328 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 3.7475 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .19623E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' 4.8887 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .20730E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .27002E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 19.513 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' 1.2807 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 19.145 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .91658E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' 1.2418 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' .96027 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6180E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 33485.90 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 210 CALLS 2421 TOTAL EDM= .72E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .73676 .42467 .11326E-07 .31285E-02 2 Prefactor .0000 .99938 .64456E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 8.7948 8.5090 .80914E-08 .21454E-01 4 Prefactor .21206 12.918 -.24177E-06** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 33.103 19.229 .22047E-07 -.49587E-01 6 Prefactor 14.663 27.597 -.20349E-07 .20972E-01 7 norm 5.2963 1.6290 -.18680E-07 -.33181E-02 8 norm 10.929 1.1147 .63499E-08 .51731E-02 9 norm 9.3873 2.9472 -.67935E-08 -.11648E-02 10 Prefactor 3.1167 7.5332 .17160E-07 -.84995E-02 11 Prefactor 11.081 3.5628 .14709E-07 -.78202E-02 12 Prefactor 1.7243 3.2069 -.57533E-07 -.70530E-03 13 norm 18.287 5.3931 -.16954E-07 .62442E-03 14 Prefactor .66613E-09 3.2055 .31946E-07** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .15553 46.159 .35247E-06** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .18763E-07 26.686 .48505E-06** at limit ** 17 norm .55511E-10 3.4654 .21017E-06** at limit ** 18 norm 4.1801 1.4827 -.17698E-07 -.24257E-02 19 norm 1.4824 1.8708 -.61696E-08 -.61087E-03 20 norm 8.7464 6.0863 -.55111E-07 -.16950E-03 21 Prefactor 3.6720 5.8818 -.85098E-07 -.18127E-02 22 Prefactor .14433E-08 4.0824 .84638E-07** at limit ** 23 norm 4.8928 1.0251 .58820E-08 .45426E-03 24 norm .56455E-07 116.78 .42536E-06** at limit ** 25 norm .12212E-08 6.0666 .49620E-07** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 19.297 6.5741 -.19086E-07 .12040 27 norm 1.2802 1.5400 .26892E-07 .91028E-03 28 Prefactor 19.124 3.0766 .30265E-08 .72523E-01 29 norm .55511E-10 1.1313 .11147E-06** at limit ** 30 Normalizat 1.2422 .13183 -.39548E-07 -.94490E-04 31 Prefactor .96035 .55116E-01 -.14154E-06 -.15995E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.736757 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 8.79481 Prefactor = 0.212057 Prefactor = 33.1029 Prefactor = 14.6632 norm = 5.29629 norm = 10.9286 norm = 9.38728 Prefactor = 3.11672 Prefactor = 11.0807 Prefactor = 1.72425 norm = 18.2869 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 0.155534 Prefactor = 1.87628e-08 norm = 5.55112e-11 norm = 4.18008 norm = 1.48241 norm = 8.74639 Prefactor = 3.67201 Prefactor = 1.44329e-09 norm = 4.8928 norm = 5.64548e-08 norm = 1.22125e-09 Prefactor = 19.2969 norm = 1.28021 Prefactor = 19.1244 norm = 5.55112e-11 Normalizat = 1.2422 Prefactor = 0.960349 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 33485.90 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 704 CALLS 3125 TOTAL EDM= .41E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .73676 .43142 .57741E-03 -1.5691 2 Prefactor .0000 1.0018 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 8.7948 8.6940 .33783E-03 -1.5649 4 Prefactor .21206 1.6185 .79501E-02 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 33.103 20.608 .17331E-03 -1.5593 6 Prefactor 14.663 30.343 .26679E-03 -1.5631 7 norm 5.2963 1.6326 .43633E-03 -1.5662 8 norm 10.929 1.1200 .30284E-03 -1.5642 9 norm 9.3873 2.9697 .32718E-03 -1.5647 10 Prefactor 3.1167 7.5686 .57075E-03 -1.5673 11 Prefactor 11.081 43.518 .29758E-03 -1.5641 12 Prefactor 1.7243 3.3239 .79645E-03 -1.5682 13 norm 18.287 5.4114 .23386E-03 -1.5622 14 Prefactor .66613E-09 3.2071 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .15553 2.3787 .12946E-01 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .18763E-07 26.751 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 norm .55511E-10 .49253 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 norm 4.1801 1.4824 .49267E-03 -1.5667 19 norm 1.4824 1.8961 .88013E-03 -1.5684 20 norm 8.7464 6.1076 .33895E-03 -1.5649 21 Prefactor 3.6720 5.9139 .52132E-03 -1.5670 22 Prefactor .14433E-08 4.0028 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 norm 4.8928 1.0427 .45469E-04 -1.5664 24 norm .56455E-07 114.95 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm .12212E-08 6.0665 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 19.297 12.457 .22645E-03 -1.5620 27 norm 1.2802 1.5650 .98039E-03 -1.5685 28 Prefactor 19.124 10.224 .22863E-03 -1.5621 29 norm .55511E-10 1.1328 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat 1.2422 .11924 .87466E-01 -.85309 31 Prefactor .96035 .49793E-01 .45769E-01 -.94063 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.14059e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.431423 2 6.76833e-06 3 8.694 4 1.17169 5 20.6081 6 30.3435 7 1.63258 8 1.11996 9 2.96967 10 7.56859 11 43.5197 12 3.32388 13 5.41137 14 9.2321e-05 15 1.2165 16 0.00141696 17 9.98417e-06 18 1.4824 19 1.89614 20 6.10759 21 5.91388 22 0.000152411 23 1.04271 24 0.0050954 25 0.000171928 26 12.4567 27 1.56505 28 10.2241 29 1.15778e-05 30 0.119263 31 0.0497954 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 33485.8951465 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1849.2+6705 Spectrum: LogParabola 347 norm: 5.551e-11 9.984e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 348 alpha: 2.257e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 349 beta: 9.598e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 350 Eb: 9.504e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 615 Prefactor: 9.603e-01 4.980e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 616 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 617 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 607 Normalization: 1.242e+00 1.193e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 282.319 67.091 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.70969662782e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 1.0865910644e-05 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/36652032/likelihoodResults_809308801_809913601_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 33485.8955689 delta logL = -0.000422394885391 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 33485.8951481 delta logL = -1.63099321071e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .86371E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 2.0646 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2423 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .96029 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6180E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 33485.90 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 36 CALLS 261 TOTAL EDM= .85E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.6% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 4.3953 -.49123E-07** at limit ** 2 alpha 2.1244 .83905 .10497E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2422 .11834 .19734E-05 -.96039E-05 4 Prefactor .96035 .53022E-01 -.11196E-05 .52241E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 alpha = 2.12441 Normalizat = 1.2422 Prefactor = 0.960349 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 33485.90 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 13 CALLS 274 TOTAL EDM= .85E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 .52350 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 alpha .96562 1.1914 .10497E-05 -.15081 3 Normalizat 1.2422 1.0933 .19734E-05 -.85309 4 Prefactor .96035 1.3019 -.11196E-05 -.94063 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 8.45556e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.88515e-07 2 1.03732 3 1.11452 4 1.34853 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 33485.8951465 delta logL = 7.27595761418e-12 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1849.2+6705 Spectrum: LogParabola 347 norm: 0.000e+00 6.885e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 348 alpha: 2.124e+00 1.037e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 349 beta: 9.598e-02 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 350 Eb: 9.504e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 615 Prefactor: 9.603e-01 1.349e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 616 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 617 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 607 Normalization: 1.242e+00 1.115e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 282.319 67.091 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36652032/cmap_HighResolution_809308801_809913601_4FGL_J1849.2+6705_weekly_bin943.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.09e-05', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.71e-08', time_completed='2026-09-01 15:35:19.968216', job_id='36652032', GAL2='0.96', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.24', EG='1.24', time_epoch_completed='1788302119.97', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.96', dlogl='7.28e-12', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.26' WHERE bin_id='943' AND source_name='4FGL J1849.2+6705' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 1 15:35:20 PDT 2026