********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15790.47 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 332 TOTAL EDM= .22E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 8.3593 3.8615 .36845E-06 -1.5650 2 alpha 2.6523 .29924 .29458E-03 .60973E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2049 .22590 .20237E-04 -.86451 4 Prefactor 1.0004 .56697E-01 .56311E-05 -.92717 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.228e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.86151 2 0.29996 3 0.226084 4 0.0567008 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.47228 delta logL = 0.164691901669 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 8.359e+00 3.862e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.652e+00 3.000e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 850 Prefactor: 1.000e+00 5.670e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 851 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 852 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 849 Normalization: 1.205e+00 2.261e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 24.63 Ra Dec: 282.146 32.731 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.65 +/- 0.30 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.57e-07 +/- 8.03e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.27e-05 +/- 2.05e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27912832/cmap_HighResolution_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.31e-07', energy_flux2='7.27e-05', photon_flux_error='8.73e-08', dlogl='1.65e-01', energy_flux='7.63e-05', photon_flux2='2.57e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-06-05 14:22:56.669497', photon_index_error2='0.30', photon_index2='2.65', ts='23.68', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.00', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='2.05e-05', EG='1.23', time_epoch_completed='1780694576.67', return_code='0', job_id='27912832', GAL2='1.00', EG2='1.20', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.88e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.03e-08', ts2='24.63', photon_index='2.48' WHERE bin_id='2171' AND source_name='4FGL J1848.5+3243' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Jun 5 14:22:56 PDT 2026 WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15790.64 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 222 CALLS 1343 TOTAL EDM= .58E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .12100 .89104 .40798E-02 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .0000 13.436 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .0000 15.759 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 16.801 10.337 .24401E-03 -1.5626 5 Prefactor .47400 2.1476 .81388E-03 -1.5694 6 Prefactor .0000 111.01 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .0000 2.0919 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 15.480 26.901 .25351E-03 -1.5629 9 norm 6.0600 5.4198 .40758E-03 -1.5659 10 norm 10.103 3.8140 .31501E-03 -1.5644 11 Prefactor 2.7570 9.2807 .61664E-03 -1.5675 12 Prefactor .0000 6.2761 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 180.15 151.60 .74846E-04 -1.5440 14 Normalizat 1.2303 .20796 .11314 -.85671 15 Prefactor .99730 .52673E-01 .31907E-01 -.92820 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.78375e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.656693 2 1.7157e-07 3 9.53495e-06 4 10.3375 5 2.01788 6 6.83938e-06 7 7.26428e-07 8 26.9008 9 5.41978 10 3.81405 11 9.28075 12 5.10427e-06 13 151.604 14 0.208098 15 0.0526753 number of points = 7392 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171 RA = 282.146, Dec = 32.7309 tmin = 802051201, tmax = 802310401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='27913517', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-06-05 14:22:58.378083', time_epoch_executed='1780694578.38' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1848.5+3243' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2171' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27913517 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/27913517/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=802051201.0 && nMetStart<802310401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=802051201.0 && nMetStart<802310401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ft1_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=802051201.0 && nMetStart<802310401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ft1_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits ra=282.146 dec=32.7309 rad=12.0 tmin=802051201.0 tmax=802310401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.10 user 1.84 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.39 user 0.18 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1579 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913489/ltcube_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27913489/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits .....................! real 8.11 user 7.78 sys 0.20 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913489/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913489/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27913489/ltcube_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913489/expmap_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27913489/ltcube_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits .....................! real 63.31 user 59.24 sys 3.71 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source W 51C in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/W51C.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source gamma Cygni in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Cocoon in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Added 241 point sources and 3 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1848.5+3243 @ 282.146 32.7309 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913489/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913489/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913489/cmap_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=282.146 yref=32.7309 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.41 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913489/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913489/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913489/cmap_HighResolution_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=282.146 yref=32.7309 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.48 user 0.20 sys 0.10 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913489/ft1_filteredDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6369719 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 1.010e+01 3.814e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.484e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 850 Prefactor: 9.973e-01 5.268e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 851 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 852 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 849 Normalization: 1.230e+00 2.081e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 23.68 Ra Dec: 282.146 32.731 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.48 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.31e-07 +/- 8.73e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 7.63e-05 +/- 2.88e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.4773715 delta logL = 0.159600392184 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.47228 delta logL = 0.164691820435 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 8.3595 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 2.6524 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2049 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0004 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .8610E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 15790.47 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 94 CALLS 307 TOTAL EDM= .49E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 8.3593 4.2529 .92112E-05 .37792E-02 2 alpha 2.6523 .32976 .73644E-02 .73837E-04 3 Normalizat 1.2049 .22638 .50593E-03 -.51099E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0004 .56733E-01 .14078E-03 -.27053E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 8.35927 alpha = 2.65234 Normalizat = 1.2049 Prefactor = 1.00039 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15790.47 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 332 TOTAL EDM= .22E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 8.3593 3.8615 .36845E-06 -1.5650 2 alpha 2.6523 .29924 .29458E-03 .60973E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2049 .22590 .20237E-04 -.86451 4 Prefactor 1.0004 .56697E-01 .56311E-05 -.92717 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.228e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.86151 2 0.29996 3 0.226084 4 0.0567008 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.47228 delta logL = 0.164691901669 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 8.359e+00 3.862e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.652e+00 3.000e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 850 Prefactor: 1.000e+00 5.670e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 851 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 852 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 849 Normalization: 1.205e+00 2.261e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 24.63 Ra Dec: 282.146 32.731 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.65 +/- 0.30 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.57e-07 +/- 8.03e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.27e-05 +/- 2.05e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27912865/cmap_HighResolution_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.31e-07', energy_flux2='7.27e-05', photon_flux_error='8.73e-08', dlogl='1.65e-01', energy_flux='7.63e-05', photon_flux2='2.57e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-06-05 14:23:44.158541', photon_index_error2='0.30', photon_index2='2.65', ts='23.68', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.00', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='2.05e-05', EG='1.23', time_epoch_completed='1780694624.16', return_code='0', job_id='27912865', GAL2='1.00', EG2='1.20', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.88e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.03e-08', ts2='24.63', photon_index='2.48' WHERE bin_id='2171' AND source_name='4FGL J1848.5+3243' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Jun 5 14:23:44 PDT 2026 _4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913035/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27913035/Model_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source W 51C adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27913035/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits.....................! real 103.46 user 101.87 sys 0.86 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27913035/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27913035/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27913035/expmap_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27913035/ltcube_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27913035/Model_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1848.5+3243' 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 2.020e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.484e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27913035/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27913035/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27913035/expmap_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27913035/ltcube_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27913035/Model_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6403074 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6370418 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .12079 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .33012E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .26701E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 16.810 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .47382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .72699E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .53790E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 15.576 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 6.0612 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 10.103 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 2.7250 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .10181E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 178.55 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' 1.2303 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' .99738 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .8610E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15790.64 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 144 CALLS 1121 TOTAL EDM= .27E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 4.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .12100 3.2650 .10832E-05** at limit ** 2 norm .0000 13.407 -.48808E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .0000 16.279 -.24644E-05** at limit ** 4 norm 16.801 10.329 .35870E-06 -.53338E-04 5 Prefactor .47400 2.0981 -.53390E-06 -.11382E-03 6 Prefactor .0000 111.13 -.48631E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .0000 2.0928 .11065E-05** at limit ** 8 norm 15.480 26.890 -.24827E-06 -.15641E-03 9 norm 6.0600 5.4411 .92711E-07 -.16138E-03 10 norm 10.103 3.8366 .52028E-06 -.11369E-03 11 Prefactor 2.7570 9.2479 .12383E-06 .20804E-04 12 Prefactor .0000 6.2406 -.37446E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 180.15 151.89 -.10171E-05 -.15201E-03 14 Normalizat 1.2303 .22306 .62594E-04 -.10839E-04 15 Prefactor .99730 .56957E-01 -.29474E-04 -.26694E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.120995 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 16.8015 Prefactor = 0.474003 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 15.4799 norm = 6.05996 norm = 10.1033 Prefactor = 2.75697 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 180.155 Normalizat = 1.23031 Prefactor = 0.997299 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15790.64 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 222 CALLS 1343 TOTAL EDM= .58E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .12100 .89104 .40798E-02 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .0000 13.436 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .0000 15.759 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 16.801 10.337 .24401E-03 -1.5626 5 Prefactor .47400 2.1476 .81388E-03 -1.5694 6 Prefactor .0000 111.01 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .0000 2.0919 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 15.480 26.901 .25351E-03 -1.5629 9 norm 6.0600 5.4198 .40758E-03 -1.5659 10 norm 10.103 3.8140 .31501E-03 -1.5644 11 Prefactor 2.7570 9.2807 .61664E-03 -1.5675 12 Prefactor .0000 6.2761 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 180.15 151.60 .74846E-04 -1.5440 14 Normalizat 1.2303 .20796 .11314 -.85671 15 Prefactor .99730 .52673E-01 .31907E-01 -.92820 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.78375e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.656693 2 1.7157e-07 3 9.53495e-06 4 10.3375 5 2.01788 6 6.83938e-06 7 7.26428e-07 8 26.9008 9 5.41978 10 3.81405 11 9.28075 12 5.10427e-06 13 151.604 14 0.208098 15 0.0526753 utfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ltcube_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits .....................! real 9.56 user 9.23 sys 0.20 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ltcube_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/expmap_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ltcube_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits .....................! real 71.13 user 66.48 sys 4.05 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Extended source W 51C in ROI, make sure /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/ExtendedSources/Extended_8years/Templates/W51C.fits is the correct path to the extended template. Extended source gamma Cygni in ROI with RadialDisk spatial model. Extended source Cygnus Cocoon in ROI with RadialGaussian spatial model. Added 241 point sources and 3 extended sources If using unbinned likelihood you will need to rerun gtdiffrsp for the extended sources or rerun the makeModel function with optional argument psForce=True Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1848.5+3243 @ 282.146 32.7309 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/cmap_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=282.146 yref=32.7309 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.46 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/cmap_HighResolution_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=282.146 yref=32.7309 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.47 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ft1_filteredDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6369719 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 1.010e+01 3.814e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.484e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 850 Prefactor: 9.973e-01 5.268e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 851 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 852 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 849 Normalization: 1.230e+00 2.081e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 23.68 Ra Dec: 282.146 32.731 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.48 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.31e-07 +/- 8.73e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 7.63e-05 +/- 2.88e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.4773715 delta logL = 0.159600392184 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.47228 delta logL = 0.164691820435 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 8.3595 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 2.6524 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2049 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0004 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .8610E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 15790.47 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 94 CALLS 307 TOTAL EDM= .49E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 8.3593 4.2529 .92112E-05 .37792E-02 2 alpha 2.6523 .32976 .73644E-02 .73837E-04 3 Normalizat 1.2049 .22638 .50593E-03 -.51099E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0004 .56733E-01 .14078E-03 -.27053E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 8.35927 alpha = 2.65234 Normalizat = 1.2049 Prefactor = 1.00039 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15790.47 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 332 TOTAL EDM= .22E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 8.3593 3.8615 .36845E-06 -1.5650 2 alpha 2.6523 .29924 .29458E-03 .60973E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2049 .22590 .20237E-04 -.86451 4 Prefactor 1.0004 .56697E-01 .56311E-05 -.92717 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.228e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.86151 2 0.29996 3 0.226084 4 0.0567008 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.47228 delta logL = 0.164691901669 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 8.359e+00 3.862e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.652e+00 3.000e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 850 Prefactor: 1.000e+00 5.670e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 851 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 852 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 849 Normalization: 1.205e+00 2.261e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 24.63 Ra Dec: 282.146 32.731 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.65 +/- 0.30 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.57e-07 +/- 8.03e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.27e-05 +/- 2.05e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27913035/cmap_HighResolution_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.31e-07', energy_flux2='7.27e-05', photon_flux_error='8.73e-08', dlogl='1.65e-01', energy_flux='7.63e-05', photon_flux2='2.57e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-06-05 14:24:56.807113', photon_index_error2='0.30', photon_index2='2.65', ts='23.68', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.00', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='2.05e-05', EG='1.23', time_epoch_completed='1780694696.81', return_code='0', job_id='27913035', GAL2='1.00', EG2='1.20', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.88e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.03e-08', ts2='24.63', photon_index='2.48' WHERE bin_id='2171' AND source_name='4FGL J1848.5+3243' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Jun 5 14:24:56 PDT 2026 _4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913286/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27913286/Model_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source W 51C adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27913286/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits.....................! real 94.24 user 92.70 sys 0.91 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27913286/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27913286/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27913286/expmap_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27913286/ltcube_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27913286/Model_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1848.5+3243' 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 2.020e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.484e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27913286/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27913286/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27913286/expmap_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27913286/ltcube_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27913286/Model_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6403074 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6370418 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .12079 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .33012E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .26701E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 16.810 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .47382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .72699E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .53790E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 15.576 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 6.0612 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 10.103 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 2.7250 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .10181E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 178.55 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' 1.2303 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' .99738 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .8610E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15790.64 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 144 CALLS 1121 TOTAL EDM= .27E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 4.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .12100 3.2650 .10832E-05** at limit ** 2 norm .0000 13.407 -.48808E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .0000 16.279 -.24644E-05** at limit ** 4 norm 16.801 10.329 .35870E-06 -.53338E-04 5 Prefactor .47400 2.0981 -.53390E-06 -.11382E-03 6 Prefactor .0000 111.13 -.48631E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .0000 2.0928 .11065E-05** at limit ** 8 norm 15.480 26.890 -.24827E-06 -.15641E-03 9 norm 6.0600 5.4411 .92711E-07 -.16138E-03 10 norm 10.103 3.8366 .52028E-06 -.11369E-03 11 Prefactor 2.7570 9.2479 .12383E-06 .20804E-04 12 Prefactor .0000 6.2406 -.37446E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 180.15 151.89 -.10171E-05 -.15201E-03 14 Normalizat 1.2303 .22306 .62594E-04 -.10839E-04 15 Prefactor .99730 .56957E-01 -.29474E-04 -.26694E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.120995 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 16.8015 Prefactor = 0.474003 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 15.4799 norm = 6.05996 norm = 10.1033 Prefactor = 2.75697 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 180.155 Normalizat = 1.23031 Prefactor = 0.997299 _4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913401/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27913401/Model_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source W 51C adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27913401/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits.....................! real 92.43 user 90.83 sys 0.83 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27913401/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27913401/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27913401/expmap_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27913401/ltcube_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27913401/Model_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1848.5+3243' 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 2.020e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.484e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27913401/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27913401/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27913401/expmap_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27913401/ltcube_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27913401/Model_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6403074 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6370418 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .12079 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .33012E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .26701E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 16.810 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .47382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .72699E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .53790E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 15.576 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 6.0612 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 10.103 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 2.7250 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .10181E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 178.55 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' 1.2303 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' .99738 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .8610E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15790.64 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 144 CALLS 1121 TOTAL EDM= .27E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 4.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .12100 3.2650 .10832E-05** at limit ** 2 norm .0000 13.407 -.48808E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .0000 16.279 -.24644E-05** at limit ** 4 norm 16.801 10.329 .35870E-06 -.53338E-04 5 Prefactor .47400 2.0981 -.53390E-06 -.11382E-03 6 Prefactor .0000 111.13 -.48631E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .0000 2.0928 .11065E-05** at limit ** 8 norm 15.480 26.890 -.24827E-06 -.15641E-03 9 norm 6.0600 5.4411 .92711E-07 -.16138E-03 10 norm 10.103 3.8366 .52028E-06 -.11369E-03 11 Prefactor 2.7570 9.2479 .12383E-06 .20804E-04 12 Prefactor .0000 6.2406 -.37446E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 180.15 151.89 -.10171E-05 -.15201E-03 14 Normalizat 1.2303 .22306 .62594E-04 -.10839E-04 15 Prefactor .99730 .56957E-01 -.29474E-04 -.26694E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.120995 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 16.8015 Prefactor = 0.474003 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 15.4799 norm = 6.05996 norm = 10.1033 Prefactor = 2.75697 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 180.155 Normalizat = 1.23031 Prefactor = 0.997299 _4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913404/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27913404/Model_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source W 51C adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27913404/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits.....................! real 94.43 user 92.65 sys 1.11 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27913404/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27913404/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27913404/expmap_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27913404/ltcube_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27913404/Model_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1848.5+3243' 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 2.020e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.484e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27913404/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27913404/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27913404/expmap_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27913404/ltcube_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27913404/Model_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6403074 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6370418 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .12079 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .33012E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .26701E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 16.810 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .47382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .72699E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .53790E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 15.576 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 6.0612 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 10.103 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 2.7250 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .10181E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 178.55 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' 1.2303 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' .99738 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .8610E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15790.64 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 144 CALLS 1121 TOTAL EDM= .27E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 4.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .12100 3.2650 .10832E-05** at limit ** 2 norm .0000 13.407 -.48808E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .0000 16.279 -.24644E-05** at limit ** 4 norm 16.801 10.329 .35870E-06 -.53338E-04 5 Prefactor .47400 2.0981 -.53390E-06 -.11382E-03 6 Prefactor .0000 111.13 -.48631E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .0000 2.0928 .11065E-05** at limit ** 8 norm 15.480 26.890 -.24827E-06 -.15641E-03 9 norm 6.0600 5.4411 .92711E-07 -.16138E-03 10 norm 10.103 3.8366 .52028E-06 -.11369E-03 11 Prefactor 2.7570 9.2479 .12383E-06 .20804E-04 12 Prefactor .0000 6.2406 -.37446E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 180.15 151.89 -.10171E-05 -.15201E-03 14 Normalizat 1.2303 .22306 .62594E-04 -.10839E-04 15 Prefactor .99730 .56957E-01 -.29474E-04 -.26694E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.120995 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 16.8015 Prefactor = 0.474003 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 15.4799 norm = 6.05996 norm = 10.1033 Prefactor = 2.75697 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 180.155 Normalizat = 1.23031 Prefactor = 0.997299 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15790.64 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 222 CALLS 1343 TOTAL EDM= .58E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .12100 .89104 .40798E-02 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .0000 13.436 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .0000 15.759 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 16.801 10.337 .24401E-03 -1.5626 5 Prefactor .47400 2.1476 .81388E-03 -1.5694 6 Prefactor .0000 111.01 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .0000 2.0919 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 15.480 26.901 .25351E-03 -1.5629 9 norm 6.0600 5.4198 .40758E-03 -1.5659 10 norm 10.103 3.8140 .31501E-03 -1.5644 11 Prefactor 2.7570 9.2807 .61664E-03 -1.5675 12 Prefactor .0000 6.2761 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 180.15 151.60 .74846E-04 -1.5440 14 Normalizat 1.2303 .20796 .11314 -.85671 15 Prefactor .99730 .52673E-01 .31907E-01 -.92820 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.78375e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.656693 2 1.7157e-07 3 9.53495e-06 4 10.3375 5 2.01788 6 6.83938e-06 7 7.26428e-07 8 26.9008 9 5.41978 10 3.81405 11 9.28075 12 5.10427e-06 13 151.604 14 0.208098 15 0.0526753 _4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913370/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27913370/Model_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source W 51C adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27913370/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits.....................! real 103.24 user 101.89 sys 0.73 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27913370/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27913370/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27913370/expmap_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27913370/ltcube_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27913370/Model_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1848.5+3243' 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 2.020e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.484e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27913370/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27913370/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27913370/expmap_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27913370/ltcube_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27913370/Model_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6403074 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6370418 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .12079 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .33012E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .26701E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 16.810 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .47382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .72699E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .53790E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 15.576 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 6.0612 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 10.103 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 2.7250 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .10181E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 178.55 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' 1.2303 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' .99738 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .8610E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15790.64 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 144 CALLS 1121 TOTAL EDM= .27E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 4.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .12100 3.2650 .10832E-05** at limit ** 2 norm .0000 13.407 -.48808E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .0000 16.279 -.24644E-05** at limit ** 4 norm 16.801 10.329 .35870E-06 -.53338E-04 5 Prefactor .47400 2.0981 -.53390E-06 -.11382E-03 6 Prefactor .0000 111.13 -.48631E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .0000 2.0928 .11065E-05** at limit ** 8 norm 15.480 26.890 -.24827E-06 -.15641E-03 9 norm 6.0600 5.4411 .92711E-07 -.16138E-03 10 norm 10.103 3.8366 .52028E-06 -.11369E-03 11 Prefactor 2.7570 9.2479 .12383E-06 .20804E-04 12 Prefactor .0000 6.2406 -.37446E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 180.15 151.89 -.10171E-05 -.15201E-03 14 Normalizat 1.2303 .22306 .62594E-04 -.10839E-04 15 Prefactor .99730 .56957E-01 -.29474E-04 -.26694E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.120995 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 16.8015 Prefactor = 0.474003 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 15.4799 norm = 6.05996 norm = 10.1033 Prefactor = 2.75697 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 180.155 Normalizat = 1.23031 Prefactor = 0.997299 _4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913396/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27913396/Model_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source W 51C adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27913396/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits.....................! real 102.62 user 101.18 sys 0.84 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27913396/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27913396/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27913396/expmap_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27913396/ltcube_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27913396/Model_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1848.5+3243' 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 2.020e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.484e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27913396/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27913396/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27913396/expmap_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27913396/ltcube_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27913396/Model_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6403074 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6370418 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .12079 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .33012E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .26701E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 16.810 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .47382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .72699E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .53790E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 15.576 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 6.0612 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 10.103 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 2.7250 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .10181E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 178.55 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' 1.2303 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' .99738 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .8610E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15790.64 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 144 CALLS 1121 TOTAL EDM= .27E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 4.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .12100 3.2650 .10832E-05** at limit ** 2 norm .0000 13.407 -.48808E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .0000 16.279 -.24644E-05** at limit ** 4 norm 16.801 10.329 .35870E-06 -.53338E-04 5 Prefactor .47400 2.0981 -.53390E-06 -.11382E-03 6 Prefactor .0000 111.13 -.48631E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .0000 2.0928 .11065E-05** at limit ** 8 norm 15.480 26.890 -.24827E-06 -.15641E-03 9 norm 6.0600 5.4411 .92711E-07 -.16138E-03 10 norm 10.103 3.8366 .52028E-06 -.11369E-03 11 Prefactor 2.7570 9.2479 .12383E-06 .20804E-04 12 Prefactor .0000 6.2406 -.37446E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 180.15 151.89 -.10171E-05 -.15201E-03 14 Normalizat 1.2303 .22306 .62594E-04 -.10839E-04 15 Prefactor .99730 .56957E-01 -.29474E-04 -.26694E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.120995 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 16.8015 Prefactor = 0.474003 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 15.4799 norm = 6.05996 norm = 10.1033 Prefactor = 2.75697 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 180.155 Normalizat = 1.23031 Prefactor = 0.997299 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15790.64 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 222 CALLS 1343 TOTAL EDM= .58E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .12100 .89104 .40798E-02 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .0000 13.436 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .0000 15.759 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 16.801 10.337 .24401E-03 -1.5626 5 Prefactor .47400 2.1476 .81388E-03 -1.5694 6 Prefactor .0000 111.01 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .0000 2.0919 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 15.480 26.901 .25351E-03 -1.5629 9 norm 6.0600 5.4198 .40758E-03 -1.5659 10 norm 10.103 3.8140 .31501E-03 -1.5644 11 Prefactor 2.7570 9.2807 .61664E-03 -1.5675 12 Prefactor .0000 6.2761 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 180.15 151.60 .74846E-04 -1.5440 14 Normalizat 1.2303 .20796 .11314 -.85671 15 Prefactor .99730 .52673E-01 .31907E-01 -.92820 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.78375e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.656693 2 1.7157e-07 3 9.53495e-06 4 10.3375 5 2.01788 6 6.83938e-06 7 7.26428e-07 8 26.9008 9 5.41978 10 3.81405 11 9.28075 12 5.10427e-06 13 151.604 14 0.208098 15 0.0526753 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15790.64 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 222 CALLS 1343 TOTAL EDM= .58E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .12100 .89104 .40798E-02 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .0000 13.436 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .0000 15.759 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 16.801 10.337 .24401E-03 -1.5626 5 Prefactor .47400 2.1476 .81388E-03 -1.5694 6 Prefactor .0000 111.01 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .0000 2.0919 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 15.480 26.901 .25351E-03 -1.5629 9 norm 6.0600 5.4198 .40758E-03 -1.5659 10 norm 10.103 3.8140 .31501E-03 -1.5644 11 Prefactor 2.7570 9.2807 .61664E-03 -1.5675 12 Prefactor .0000 6.2761 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 180.15 151.60 .74846E-04 -1.5440 14 Normalizat 1.2303 .20796 .11314 -.85671 15 Prefactor .99730 .52673E-01 .31907E-01 -.92820 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.78375e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.656693 2 1.7157e-07 3 9.53495e-06 4 10.3375 5 2.01788 6 6.83938e-06 7 7.26428e-07 8 26.9008 9 5.41978 10 3.81405 11 9.28075 12 5.10427e-06 13 151.604 14 0.208098 15 0.0526753 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6369719 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 1.010e+01 3.814e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.484e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 850 Prefactor: 9.973e-01 5.268e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 851 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 852 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 849 Normalization: 1.230e+00 2.081e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 23.68 Ra Dec: 282.146 32.731 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.48 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.31e-07 +/- 8.73e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 7.63e-05 +/- 2.88e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.4773715 delta logL = 0.159600392184 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.47228 delta logL = 0.164691820435 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 8.3595 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 2.6524 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2049 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0004 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .8610E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 15790.47 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 94 CALLS 307 TOTAL EDM= .49E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 8.3593 4.2529 .92112E-05 .37792E-02 2 alpha 2.6523 .32976 .73644E-02 .73837E-04 3 Normalizat 1.2049 .22638 .50593E-03 -.51099E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0004 .56733E-01 .14078E-03 -.27053E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 8.35927 alpha = 2.65234 Normalizat = 1.2049 Prefactor = 1.00039 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15790.47 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 332 TOTAL EDM= .22E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 8.3593 3.8615 .36845E-06 -1.5650 2 alpha 2.6523 .29924 .29458E-03 .60973E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2049 .22590 .20237E-04 -.86451 4 Prefactor 1.0004 .56697E-01 .56311E-05 -.92717 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.228e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.86151 2 0.29996 3 0.226084 4 0.0567008 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.47228 delta logL = 0.164691901669 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 8.359e+00 3.862e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.652e+00 3.000e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 850 Prefactor: 1.000e+00 5.670e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 851 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 852 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 849 Normalization: 1.205e+00 2.261e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 24.63 Ra Dec: 282.146 32.731 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.65 +/- 0.30 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.57e-07 +/- 8.03e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.27e-05 +/- 2.05e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27913286/cmap_HighResolution_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.31e-07', energy_flux2='7.27e-05', photon_flux_error='8.73e-08', dlogl='1.65e-01', energy_flux='7.63e-05', photon_flux2='2.57e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-06-05 14:27:29.708317', photon_index_error2='0.30', photon_index2='2.65', ts='23.68', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.00', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='2.05e-05', EG='1.23', time_epoch_completed='1780694849.71', return_code='0', job_id='27913286', GAL2='1.00', EG2='1.20', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.88e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.03e-08', ts2='24.63', photon_index='2.48' WHERE bin_id='2171' AND source_name='4FGL J1848.5+3243' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Jun 5 14:27:29 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15790.64 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 222 CALLS 1343 TOTAL EDM= .58E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .12100 .89104 .40798E-02 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .0000 13.436 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .0000 15.759 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 16.801 10.337 .24401E-03 -1.5626 5 Prefactor .47400 2.1476 .81388E-03 -1.5694 6 Prefactor .0000 111.01 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .0000 2.0919 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 15.480 26.901 .25351E-03 -1.5629 9 norm 6.0600 5.4198 .40758E-03 -1.5659 10 norm 10.103 3.8140 .31501E-03 -1.5644 11 Prefactor 2.7570 9.2807 .61664E-03 -1.5675 12 Prefactor .0000 6.2761 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 180.15 151.60 .74846E-04 -1.5440 14 Normalizat 1.2303 .20796 .11314 -.85671 15 Prefactor .99730 .52673E-01 .31907E-01 -.92820 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.78375e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.656693 2 1.7157e-07 3 9.53495e-06 4 10.3375 5 2.01788 6 6.83938e-06 7 7.26428e-07 8 26.9008 9 5.41978 10 3.81405 11 9.28075 12 5.10427e-06 13 151.604 14 0.208098 15 0.0526753 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15790.64 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 222 CALLS 1343 TOTAL EDM= .58E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .12100 .89104 .40798E-02 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .0000 13.436 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .0000 15.759 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 16.801 10.337 .24401E-03 -1.5626 5 Prefactor .47400 2.1476 .81388E-03 -1.5694 6 Prefactor .0000 111.01 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .0000 2.0919 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 15.480 26.901 .25351E-03 -1.5629 9 norm 6.0600 5.4198 .40758E-03 -1.5659 10 norm 10.103 3.8140 .31501E-03 -1.5644 11 Prefactor 2.7570 9.2807 .61664E-03 -1.5675 12 Prefactor .0000 6.2761 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 180.15 151.60 .74846E-04 -1.5440 14 Normalizat 1.2303 .20796 .11314 -.85671 15 Prefactor .99730 .52673E-01 .31907E-01 -.92820 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.78375e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.656693 2 1.7157e-07 3 9.53495e-06 4 10.3375 5 2.01788 6 6.83938e-06 7 7.26428e-07 8 26.9008 9 5.41978 10 3.81405 11 9.28075 12 5.10427e-06 13 151.604 14 0.208098 15 0.0526753 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6369719 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 1.010e+01 3.814e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.484e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 850 Prefactor: 9.973e-01 5.268e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 851 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 852 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 849 Normalization: 1.230e+00 2.081e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 23.68 Ra Dec: 282.146 32.731 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.48 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.31e-07 +/- 8.73e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 7.63e-05 +/- 2.88e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.4773715 delta logL = 0.159600392184 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.47228 delta logL = 0.164691820435 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 8.3595 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 2.6524 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2049 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0004 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .8610E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 15790.47 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 94 CALLS 307 TOTAL EDM= .49E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 8.3593 4.2529 .92112E-05 .37792E-02 2 alpha 2.6523 .32976 .73644E-02 .73837E-04 3 Normalizat 1.2049 .22638 .50593E-03 -.51099E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0004 .56733E-01 .14078E-03 -.27053E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 8.35927 alpha = 2.65234 Normalizat = 1.2049 Prefactor = 1.00039 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6369719 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 1.010e+01 3.814e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.484e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 850 Prefactor: 9.973e-01 5.268e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 851 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 852 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 849 Normalization: 1.230e+00 2.081e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 23.68 Ra Dec: 282.146 32.731 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.48 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.31e-07 +/- 8.73e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 7.63e-05 +/- 2.88e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.4773715 delta logL = 0.159600392184 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.47228 delta logL = 0.164691820435 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 8.3595 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 2.6524 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2049 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0004 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .8610E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 15790.47 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 94 CALLS 307 TOTAL EDM= .49E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 8.3593 4.2529 .92112E-05 .37792E-02 2 alpha 2.6523 .32976 .73644E-02 .73837E-04 3 Normalizat 1.2049 .22638 .50593E-03 -.51099E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0004 .56733E-01 .14078E-03 -.27053E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 8.35927 alpha = 2.65234 Normalizat = 1.2049 Prefactor = 1.00039 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15790.47 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 332 TOTAL EDM= .22E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 8.3593 3.8615 .36845E-06 -1.5650 2 alpha 2.6523 .29924 .29458E-03 .60973E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2049 .22590 .20237E-04 -.86451 4 Prefactor 1.0004 .56697E-01 .56311E-05 -.92717 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.228e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.86151 2 0.29996 3 0.226084 4 0.0567008 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15790.47 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 332 TOTAL EDM= .22E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 8.3593 3.8615 .36845E-06 -1.5650 2 alpha 2.6523 .29924 .29458E-03 .60973E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2049 .22590 .20237E-04 -.86451 4 Prefactor 1.0004 .56697E-01 .56311E-05 -.92717 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.228e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.86151 2 0.29996 3 0.226084 4 0.0567008 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.47228 delta logL = 0.164691901669 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 8.359e+00 3.862e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.652e+00 3.000e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 850 Prefactor: 1.000e+00 5.670e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 851 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 852 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 849 Normalization: 1.205e+00 2.261e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 24.63 Ra Dec: 282.146 32.731 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.65 +/- 0.30 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.57e-07 +/- 8.03e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.27e-05 +/- 2.05e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27913401/cmap_HighResolution_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.31e-07', energy_flux2='7.27e-05', photon_flux_error='8.73e-08', dlogl='1.65e-01', energy_flux='7.63e-05', photon_flux2='2.57e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-06-05 14:27:51.351236', photon_index_error2='0.30', photon_index2='2.65', ts='23.68', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.00', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='2.05e-05', EG='1.23', time_epoch_completed='1780694871.35', return_code='0', job_id='27913401', GAL2='1.00', EG2='1.20', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.88e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.03e-08', ts2='24.63', photon_index='2.48' WHERE bin_id='2171' AND source_name='4FGL J1848.5+3243' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Jun 5 14:27:51 PDT 2026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.47228 delta logL = 0.164691901669 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 8.359e+00 3.862e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.652e+00 3.000e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 850 Prefactor: 1.000e+00 5.670e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 851 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 852 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 849 Normalization: 1.205e+00 2.261e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 24.63 Ra Dec: 282.146 32.731 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.65 +/- 0.30 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.57e-07 +/- 8.03e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.27e-05 +/- 2.05e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27913404/cmap_HighResolution_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.31e-07', energy_flux2='7.27e-05', photon_flux_error='8.73e-08', dlogl='1.65e-01', energy_flux='7.63e-05', photon_flux2='2.57e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-06-05 14:27:52.348948', photon_index_error2='0.30', photon_index2='2.65', ts='23.68', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.00', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='2.05e-05', EG='1.23', time_epoch_completed='1780694872.35', return_code='0', job_id='27913404', GAL2='1.00', EG2='1.20', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.88e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.03e-08', ts2='24.63', photon_index='2.48' WHERE bin_id='2171' AND source_name='4FGL J1848.5+3243' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Jun 5 14:27:52 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6369719 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 1.010e+01 3.814e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.484e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 850 Prefactor: 9.973e-01 5.268e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 851 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 852 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 849 Normalization: 1.230e+00 2.081e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 23.68 Ra Dec: 282.146 32.731 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.48 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.31e-07 +/- 8.73e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 7.63e-05 +/- 2.88e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.4773715 delta logL = 0.159600392184 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.47228 delta logL = 0.164691820435 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 8.3595 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 2.6524 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2049 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0004 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .8610E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 15790.47 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 94 CALLS 307 TOTAL EDM= .49E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 8.3593 4.2529 .92112E-05 .37792E-02 2 alpha 2.6523 .32976 .73644E-02 .73837E-04 3 Normalizat 1.2049 .22638 .50593E-03 -.51099E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0004 .56733E-01 .14078E-03 -.27053E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 8.35927 alpha = 2.65234 Normalizat = 1.2049 Prefactor = 1.00039 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15790.47 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 332 TOTAL EDM= .22E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 8.3593 3.8615 .36845E-06 -1.5650 2 alpha 2.6523 .29924 .29458E-03 .60973E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2049 .22590 .20237E-04 -.86451 4 Prefactor 1.0004 .56697E-01 .56311E-05 -.92717 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.228e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.86151 2 0.29996 3 0.226084 4 0.0567008 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6369719 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 1.010e+01 3.814e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.484e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 850 Prefactor: 9.973e-01 5.268e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 851 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 852 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 849 Normalization: 1.230e+00 2.081e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 23.68 Ra Dec: 282.146 32.731 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.48 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.31e-07 +/- 8.73e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 7.63e-05 +/- 2.88e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.4773715 delta logL = 0.159600392184 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.47228 delta logL = 0.164691820435 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 8.3595 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 2.6524 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2049 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0004 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .8610E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 15790.47 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 94 CALLS 307 TOTAL EDM= .49E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 8.3593 4.2529 .92112E-05 .37792E-02 2 alpha 2.6523 .32976 .73644E-02 .73837E-04 3 Normalizat 1.2049 .22638 .50593E-03 -.51099E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0004 .56733E-01 .14078E-03 -.27053E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 8.35927 alpha = 2.65234 Normalizat = 1.2049 Prefactor = 1.00039 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.47228 delta logL = 0.164691901669 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 8.359e+00 3.862e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.652e+00 3.000e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 850 Prefactor: 1.000e+00 5.670e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 851 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 852 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 849 Normalization: 1.205e+00 2.261e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 24.63 Ra Dec: 282.146 32.731 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.65 +/- 0.30 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.57e-07 +/- 8.03e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.27e-05 +/- 2.05e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27913370/cmap_HighResolution_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.31e-07', energy_flux2='7.27e-05', photon_flux_error='8.73e-08', dlogl='1.65e-01', energy_flux='7.63e-05', photon_flux2='2.57e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-06-05 14:28:20.838428', photon_index_error2='0.30', photon_index2='2.65', ts='23.68', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.00', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='2.05e-05', EG='1.23', time_epoch_completed='1780694900.84', return_code='0', job_id='27913370', GAL2='1.00', EG2='1.20', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.88e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.03e-08', ts2='24.63', photon_index='2.48' WHERE bin_id='2171' AND source_name='4FGL J1848.5+3243' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Jun 5 14:28:20 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15790.47 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 332 TOTAL EDM= .22E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 8.3593 3.8615 .36845E-06 -1.5650 2 alpha 2.6523 .29924 .29458E-03 .60973E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2049 .22590 .20237E-04 -.86451 4 Prefactor 1.0004 .56697E-01 .56311E-05 -.92717 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.228e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.86151 2 0.29996 3 0.226084 4 0.0567008 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.47228 delta logL = 0.164691901669 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 8.359e+00 3.862e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.652e+00 3.000e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 850 Prefactor: 1.000e+00 5.670e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 851 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 852 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 849 Normalization: 1.205e+00 2.261e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 24.63 Ra Dec: 282.146 32.731 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.65 +/- 0.30 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.57e-07 +/- 8.03e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.27e-05 +/- 2.05e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27913396/cmap_HighResolution_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.31e-07', energy_flux2='7.27e-05', photon_flux_error='8.73e-08', dlogl='1.65e-01', energy_flux='7.63e-05', photon_flux2='2.57e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-06-05 14:28:24.553486', photon_index_error2='0.30', photon_index2='2.65', ts='23.68', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.00', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='2.05e-05', EG='1.23', time_epoch_completed='1780694904.55', return_code='0', job_id='27913396', GAL2='1.00', EG2='1.20', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.88e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.03e-08', ts2='24.63', photon_index='2.48' WHERE bin_id='2171' AND source_name='4FGL J1848.5+3243' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Jun 5 14:28:24 PDT 2026 _4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913489/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27913489/Model_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source W 51C adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27913489/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits.....................! real 112.88 user 111.54 sys 0.68 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27913489/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27913489/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27913489/expmap_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27913489/ltcube_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27913489/Model_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1848.5+3243' 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 2.020e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.484e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27913489/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27913489/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27913489/expmap_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27913489/ltcube_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27913489/Model_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6403074 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6370418 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .12079 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .33012E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .26701E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 16.810 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .47382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .72699E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .53790E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 15.576 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 6.0612 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 10.103 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 2.7250 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .10181E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 178.55 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' 1.2303 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' .99738 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .8610E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15790.64 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 144 CALLS 1121 TOTAL EDM= .27E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 4.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .12100 3.2650 .10832E-05** at limit ** 2 norm .0000 13.407 -.48808E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .0000 16.279 -.24644E-05** at limit ** 4 norm 16.801 10.329 .35870E-06 -.53338E-04 5 Prefactor .47400 2.0981 -.53390E-06 -.11382E-03 6 Prefactor .0000 111.13 -.48631E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .0000 2.0928 .11065E-05** at limit ** 8 norm 15.480 26.890 -.24827E-06 -.15641E-03 9 norm 6.0600 5.4411 .92711E-07 -.16138E-03 10 norm 10.103 3.8366 .52028E-06 -.11369E-03 11 Prefactor 2.7570 9.2479 .12383E-06 .20804E-04 12 Prefactor .0000 6.2406 -.37446E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 180.15 151.89 -.10171E-05 -.15201E-03 14 Normalizat 1.2303 .22306 .62594E-04 -.10839E-04 15 Prefactor .99730 .56957E-01 -.29474E-04 -.26694E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.120995 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 16.8015 Prefactor = 0.474003 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 15.4799 norm = 6.05996 norm = 10.1033 Prefactor = 2.75697 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 180.155 Normalizat = 1.23031 Prefactor = 0.997299 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15790.64 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 222 CALLS 1343 TOTAL EDM= .58E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .12100 .89104 .40798E-02 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .0000 13.436 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .0000 15.759 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 16.801 10.337 .24401E-03 -1.5626 5 Prefactor .47400 2.1476 .81388E-03 -1.5694 6 Prefactor .0000 111.01 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .0000 2.0919 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 15.480 26.901 .25351E-03 -1.5629 9 norm 6.0600 5.4198 .40758E-03 -1.5659 10 norm 10.103 3.8140 .31501E-03 -1.5644 11 Prefactor 2.7570 9.2807 .61664E-03 -1.5675 12 Prefactor .0000 6.2761 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 180.15 151.60 .74846E-04 -1.5440 14 Normalizat 1.2303 .20796 .11314 -.85671 15 Prefactor .99730 .52673E-01 .31907E-01 -.92820 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.78375e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.656693 2 1.7157e-07 3 9.53495e-06 4 10.3375 5 2.01788 6 6.83938e-06 7 7.26428e-07 8 26.9008 9 5.41978 10 3.81405 11 9.28075 12 5.10427e-06 13 151.604 14 0.208098 15 0.0526753 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6369719 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 1.010e+01 3.814e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.484e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 850 Prefactor: 9.973e-01 5.268e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 851 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 852 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 849 Normalization: 1.230e+00 2.081e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 23.68 Ra Dec: 282.146 32.731 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.48 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.31e-07 +/- 8.73e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 7.63e-05 +/- 2.88e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.4773715 delta logL = 0.159600392184 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.47228 delta logL = 0.164691820435 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 8.3595 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 2.6524 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2049 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0004 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .8610E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 15790.47 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 94 CALLS 307 TOTAL EDM= .49E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 8.3593 4.2529 .92112E-05 .37792E-02 2 alpha 2.6523 .32976 .73644E-02 .73837E-04 3 Normalizat 1.2049 .22638 .50593E-03 -.51099E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0004 .56733E-01 .14078E-03 -.27053E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 8.35927 alpha = 2.65234 Normalizat = 1.2049 Prefactor = 1.00039 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15790.47 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 332 TOTAL EDM= .22E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 8.3593 3.8615 .36845E-06 -1.5650 2 alpha 2.6523 .29924 .29458E-03 .60973E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2049 .22590 .20237E-04 -.86451 4 Prefactor 1.0004 .56697E-01 .56311E-05 -.92717 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.228e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.86151 2 0.29996 3 0.226084 4 0.0567008 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.47228 delta logL = 0.164691901669 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 8.359e+00 3.862e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.652e+00 3.000e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 850 Prefactor: 1.000e+00 5.670e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 851 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 852 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 849 Normalization: 1.205e+00 2.261e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 24.63 Ra Dec: 282.146 32.731 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.65 +/- 0.30 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.57e-07 +/- 8.03e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.27e-05 +/- 2.05e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27913489/cmap_HighResolution_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.31e-07', energy_flux2='7.27e-05', photon_flux_error='8.73e-08', dlogl='1.65e-01', energy_flux='7.63e-05', photon_flux2='2.57e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-06-05 14:29:41.111873', photon_index_error2='0.30', photon_index2='2.65', ts='23.68', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.00', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='2.05e-05', EG='1.23', time_epoch_completed='1780694981.11', return_code='0', job_id='27913489', GAL2='1.00', EG2='1.20', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.88e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.03e-08', ts2='24.63', photon_index='2.48' WHERE bin_id='2171' AND source_name='4FGL J1848.5+3243' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Jun 5 14:29:41 PDT 2026 _4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/Model_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source Cygnus Cocoon adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 adding source W 51C adding source gamma Cygni Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits.....................! real 110.69 user 109.23 sys 0.79 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/expmap_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ltcube_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/27913517/Model_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1848.5+3243' 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 2.020e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.484e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ft2_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/27913517/expmap_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/27913517/ltcube_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/27913517/Model_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6403074 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6370418 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .12079 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .33012E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .26701E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 16.810 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .47382 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .72699E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .53790E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 15.576 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 6.0612 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' 10.103 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 2.7250 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .10181E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 178.55 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' 1.2303 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' .99738 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .8610E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15790.64 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 144 CALLS 1121 TOTAL EDM= .27E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 4.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .12100 3.2650 .10832E-05** at limit ** 2 norm .0000 13.407 -.48808E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .0000 16.279 -.24644E-05** at limit ** 4 norm 16.801 10.329 .35870E-06 -.53338E-04 5 Prefactor .47400 2.0981 -.53390E-06 -.11382E-03 6 Prefactor .0000 111.13 -.48631E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .0000 2.0928 .11065E-05** at limit ** 8 norm 15.480 26.890 -.24827E-06 -.15641E-03 9 norm 6.0600 5.4411 .92711E-07 -.16138E-03 10 norm 10.103 3.8366 .52028E-06 -.11369E-03 11 Prefactor 2.7570 9.2479 .12383E-06 .20804E-04 12 Prefactor .0000 6.2406 -.37446E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 180.15 151.89 -.10171E-05 -.15201E-03 14 Normalizat 1.2303 .22306 .62594E-04 -.10839E-04 15 Prefactor .99730 .56957E-01 -.29474E-04 -.26694E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.120995 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 16.8015 Prefactor = 0.474003 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0 norm = 15.4799 norm = 6.05996 norm = 10.1033 Prefactor = 2.75697 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 180.155 Normalizat = 1.23031 Prefactor = 0.997299 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15790.64 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 222 CALLS 1343 TOTAL EDM= .58E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .12100 .89104 .40798E-02 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .0000 13.436 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .0000 15.759 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 16.801 10.337 .24401E-03 -1.5626 5 Prefactor .47400 2.1476 .81388E-03 -1.5694 6 Prefactor .0000 111.01 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .0000 2.0919 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 15.480 26.901 .25351E-03 -1.5629 9 norm 6.0600 5.4198 .40758E-03 -1.5659 10 norm 10.103 3.8140 .31501E-03 -1.5644 11 Prefactor 2.7570 9.2807 .61664E-03 -1.5675 12 Prefactor .0000 6.2761 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 180.15 151.60 .74846E-04 -1.5440 14 Normalizat 1.2303 .20796 .11314 -.85671 15 Prefactor .99730 .52673E-01 .31907E-01 -.92820 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.78375e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.656693 2 1.7157e-07 3 9.53495e-06 4 10.3375 5 2.01788 6 6.83938e-06 7 7.26428e-07 8 26.9008 9 5.41978 10 3.81405 11 9.28075 12 5.10427e-06 13 151.604 14 0.208098 15 0.0526753 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15790.6369719 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 1.010e+01 3.814e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.484e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 850 Prefactor: 9.973e-01 5.268e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 851 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 852 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 849 Normalization: 1.230e+00 2.081e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 23.68 Ra Dec: 282.146 32.731 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.48 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.31e-07 +/- 8.73e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 7.63e-05 +/- 2.88e-05 Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.4773715 delta logL = 0.159600392184 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.47228 delta logL = 0.164691820435 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 8.3595 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'alpha ' 2.6524 1.0000 .0000 5.0000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2049 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0004 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .8610E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 15790.47 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 94 CALLS 307 TOTAL EDM= .49E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 8.3593 4.2529 .92112E-05 .37792E-02 2 alpha 2.6523 .32976 .73644E-02 .73837E-04 3 Normalizat 1.2049 .22638 .50593E-03 -.51099E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0004 .56733E-01 .14078E-03 -.27053E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 8.35927 alpha = 2.65234 Normalizat = 1.2049 Prefactor = 1.00039 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15790.47 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 25 CALLS 332 TOTAL EDM= .22E-10 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 8.3593 3.8615 .36845E-06 -1.5650 2 alpha 2.6523 .29924 .29458E-03 .60973E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2049 .22590 .20237E-04 -.86451 4 Prefactor 1.0004 .56697E-01 .56311E-05 -.92717 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.228e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.86151 2 0.29996 3 0.226084 4 0.0567008 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 15790.47228 delta logL = 0.164691901669 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1848.5+3243 Spectrum: LogParabola 371 norm: 8.359e+00 3.862e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 372 alpha: 2.652e+00 3.000e-01 0.000e+00 5.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) 373 beta: 1.039e-01 0.000e+00 -5.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 374 Eb: 1.215e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 850 Prefactor: 1.000e+00 5.670e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 851 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 852 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 849 Normalization: 1.205e+00 2.261e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 24.63 Ra Dec: 282.146 32.731 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.65 +/- 0.30 Photon Flux (Free Index): 2.57e-07 +/- 8.03e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.27e-05 +/- 2.05e-05 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/27913517/cmap_HighResolution_802051201_802310401_4FGL_J1848.5+3243_daily_bin2171.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.31e-07', energy_flux2='7.27e-05', photon_flux_error='8.73e-08', dlogl='1.65e-01', energy_flux='7.63e-05', photon_flux2='2.57e-07', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-06-05 14:30:57.701036', photon_index_error2='0.30', photon_index2='2.65', ts='23.68', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.00', photon_index_error='0.00', energy_flux_error2='2.05e-05', EG='1.23', time_epoch_completed='1780695057.7', return_code='0', job_id='27913517', GAL2='1.00', EG2='1.20', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='2.88e-05', photon_flux_error2='8.03e-08', ts2='24.63', photon_index='2.48' WHERE bin_id='2171' AND source_name='4FGL J1848.5+3243' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Fri Jun 5 14:30:57 PDT 2026