********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13379.24 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 282 CALLS 1386 TOTAL EDM= .42E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .27756E-09 18.680 .16135E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.2191 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 12.382 22.006 .29285E-03 -1.5638 4 Prefactor .23315E-08 139.26 .65346E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .0000 7.4196 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .22204E-09 .61972 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 1.6566 264.54 .42304E-03 -1.5682 8 Prefactor .0000 2.6046 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 5.1465 5.9808 .44197E-03 -1.5663 10 Prefactor 2.5267 3.7808 .64313E-03 -1.5676 11 Prefactor .66613E-09 9.4332 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 4.7331 6.9159 .46010E-03 -1.5664 13 norm .22204E-09 13.372 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 2.8676 3.8741 .59985E-03 -1.5674 15 norm 5.7823 3.1350 .41730E-03 -1.5660 16 Prefactor .66613E-09 24.991 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Normalizat 1.2389 .19495 .91951E-01 -.85409 18 Prefactor .98920 .67368E-01 .46133E-01 -.93090 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.21653e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000140967 2 3.24909e-05 3 22.0063 4 0.00114245 5 1.4761e-05 6 2.43181e-05 7 41.8697 8 5.42772e-06 9 5.98083 10 3.78084 11 0.000160025 12 6.91591 13 0.000106933 14 3.87413 15 3.135 16 0.000255494 17 0.19507 18 0.067374 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 7621 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208 RA = 273.615, Dec = 29.8943 tmin = 811641601, tmax = 811900801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='39012289', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-24 15:02:42.901597', time_epoch_executed='1790287362.9' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1814.4+2953' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2208' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39012289 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/39012289/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=811641601.0 && nMetStart<811900801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=811641601.0 && nMetStart<811900801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 48 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ft1_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=811641601.0 && nMetStart<811900801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 48 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ft2_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ft1_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits ra=273.615 dec=29.8943 rad=12.0 tmin=811641601.0 tmax=811900801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.89 user 2.43 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ft2_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ft2_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.62 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1262 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ft2_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ouDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13379.2416289 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1814.4+2953 Spectrum: PowerLaw 352 Prefactor: 6.661e-10 1.600e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 353 Index: 2.553e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 354 Scale: 1.024e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 766 Prefactor: 9.892e-01 6.737e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 767 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 768 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 765 Normalization: 1.239e+00 1.951e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 273.615 29.894 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.84343284787e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00612089619471 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39011907/likelihoodResults_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13379.2930185 delta logL = -0.0513896023112 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 13379.241629 delta logL = -7.12898327038e-08 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .26529E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.1056 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98919 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7690E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 13379.24 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 48 CALLS 216 TOTAL EDM= .25E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.5236 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.0055 1.0981 -.52038E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2389 1.0942 -.13227E-04 -.38793E-04 4 Prefactor .98920 1.3290 .54290E-05 -.46065E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.00555 Normalizat = 1.23889 Prefactor = 0.989201 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 13379.24 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 225 TOTAL EDM= .25E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.5236 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .45727E-01 1.2356 -.52038E-05 -.92545 3 Normalizat 1.2389 1.0942 -.13227E-04 -.85409 4 Prefactor .98920 1.3290 .54290E-05 -.93090 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.52865e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.8385e-07 2 1.12406 3 1.11558 4 1.37729 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 13379.2416289 delta logL = 3.45607986674e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1814.4+2953 Spectrum: PowerLaw 352 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 5.839e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 353 Index: 1.006e+00 1.124e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 354 Scale: 1.024e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 766 Prefactor: 9.892e-01 1.377e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 767 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 768 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 765 Normalization: 1.239e+00 1.116e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 273.615 29.894 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39011907/cmap_HighResolution_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.12e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.84e-08', time_completed='2026-09-24 15:03:32.837354', job_id='39011907', GAL2='0.99', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.24', EG='1.24', time_epoch_completed='1790287412.84', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.99', dlogl='3.46e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.55' WHERE bin_id='2208' AND source_name='4FGL J1814.4+2953' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Sep 24 15:03:32 PDT 2026 L_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39012126/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits.....................! real 51.79 user 49.81 sys 0.97 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39012126/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39012126/ft2_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39012126/expmap_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39012126/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39012126/Model_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1814.4+2953' 4FGL J1814.4+2953 Spectrum: PowerLaw 352 Prefactor: 2.583e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 353 Index: 2.553e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 354 Scale: 1.024e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39012126/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39012126/ft2_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39012126/expmap_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39012126/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39012126/Model_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13380.1846516 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13379.2571464 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .36292E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .11994E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 11.682 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 2.4486 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .52441E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .72226E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 5.6326 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .27262E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 5.1681 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 2.5211 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .96334E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 4.7768 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .69776E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 2.8691 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 5.7862 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .11294E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Normalizat' 1.2362 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 18 'Prefactor ' .98931 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7690E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13379.24 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 171 CALLS 1104 TOTAL EDM= .16E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .27756E-09 18.659 -.37662E-05** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1605 .15776E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 12.382 22.023 .16899E-05 .27612E-03 4 Prefactor .23315E-08 140.03 .20156E-04** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .0000 7.4711 -.59151E-07** at limit ** 6 norm .22204E-09 2.7661 -.24847E-06** at limit ** 7 norm 1.6566 257.49 .73736E-05 -.14580E-03 8 Prefactor .0000 2.6080 .57326E-06** at limit ** 9 norm 5.1465 5.9763 .19950E-05 .22947E-03 10 Prefactor 2.5267 3.7744 .75199E-06 .35352E-03 11 Prefactor .66613E-09 9.3962 -.72397E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 4.7331 6.8856 .47615E-06 -.97741E-03 13 norm .22204E-09 13.319 -.14106E-05** at limit ** 14 norm 2.8676 3.8493 .38358E-06 -.77897E-03 15 norm 5.7823 3.1248 -.12771E-06 -.30954E-02 16 Prefactor .66613E-09 25.001 -.44108E-06** at limit ** 17 Normalizat 1.2389 .22495 -.24578E-05 -.15884E-04 18 Prefactor .98920 .77905E-01 -.74059E-05 .25450E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 12.3824 Prefactor = 2.33147e-09 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.22045e-10 norm = 1.6566 Prefactor = 0 norm = 5.14646 Prefactor = 2.52672 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 4.7331 norm = 2.22045e-10 norm = 2.86762 norm = 5.7823 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 Normalizat = 1.23889 Prefactor = 0.989201 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13379.24 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 282 CALLS 1386 TOTAL EDM= .42E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .27756E-09 18.680 .16135E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.2191 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 12.382 22.006 .29285E-03 -1.5638 4 Prefactor .23315E-08 139.26 .65346E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .0000 7.4196 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .22204E-09 .61972 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 1.6566 264.54 .42304E-03 -1.5682 8 Prefactor .0000 2.6046 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 5.1465 5.9808 .44197E-03 -1.5663 10 Prefactor 2.5267 3.7808 .64313E-03 -1.5676 11 Prefactor .66613E-09 9.4332 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 4.7331 6.9159 .46010E-03 -1.5664 13 norm .22204E-09 13.372 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 2.8676 3.8741 .59985E-03 -1.5674 15 norm 5.7823 3.1350 .41730E-03 -1.5660 16 Prefactor .66613E-09 24.991 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Normalizat 1.2389 .19495 .91951E-01 -.85409 18 Prefactor .98920 .67368E-01 .46133E-01 -.93090 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.21653e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000140967 2 3.24909e-05 3 22.0063 4 0.00114245 5 1.4761e-05 6 2.43181e-05 7 41.8697 8 5.42772e-06 9 5.98083 10 3.78084 11 0.000160025 12 6.91591 13 0.000106933 14 3.87413 15 3.135 16 0.000255494 17 0.19507 18 0.067374 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ft2_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits .....................! real 9.04 user 8.37 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ft2_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/expmap_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits .....................! real 75.57 user 68.42 sys 4.16 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 225 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1814.4+2953 @ 273.615 29.8943 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ft2_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/cmap_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=273.615 yref=29.8943 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.66 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ft2_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/cmap_HighResolution_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=273.615 yref=29.8943 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.66 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ft2_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/Model_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13379.2416289 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1814.4+2953 Spectrum: PowerLaw 352 Prefactor: 6.661e-10 1.600e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 353 Index: 2.553e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 354 Scale: 1.024e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 766 Prefactor: 9.892e-01 6.737e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 767 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 768 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 765 Normalization: 1.239e+00 1.951e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 273.615 29.894 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.84343284787e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00612089619471 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39012126/likelihoodResults_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13379.2930185 delta logL = -0.0513896023112 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 13379.241629 delta logL = -7.12898327038e-08 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .26529E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.1056 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98919 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7690E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 13379.24 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 48 CALLS 216 TOTAL EDM= .25E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.5236 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.0055 1.0981 -.52038E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2389 1.0942 -.13227E-04 -.38793E-04 4 Prefactor .98920 1.3290 .54290E-05 -.46065E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.00555 Normalizat = 1.23889 Prefactor = 0.989201 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 13379.24 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 225 TOTAL EDM= .25E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.5236 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .45727E-01 1.2356 -.52038E-05 -.92545 3 Normalizat 1.2389 1.0942 -.13227E-04 -.85409 4 Prefactor .98920 1.3290 .54290E-05 -.93090 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.52865e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.8385e-07 2 1.12406 3 1.11558 4 1.37729 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 13379.2416289 delta logL = 3.45607986674e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1814.4+2953 Spectrum: PowerLaw 352 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 5.839e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 353 Index: 1.006e+00 1.124e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 354 Scale: 1.024e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 766 Prefactor: 9.892e-01 1.377e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 767 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 768 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 765 Normalization: 1.239e+00 1.116e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 273.615 29.894 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39012126/cmap_HighResolution_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.12e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.84e-08', time_completed='2026-09-24 15:06:09.460050', job_id='39012126', GAL2='0.99', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.24', EG='1.24', time_epoch_completed='1790287569.46', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.99', dlogl='3.46e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.55' WHERE bin_id='2208' AND source_name='4FGL J1814.4+2953' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Sep 24 15:06:09 PDT 2026 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits.....................! real 52.51 user 49.54 sys 1.19 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ft2_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/expmap_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/39012289/Model_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1814.4+2953' 4FGL J1814.4+2953 Spectrum: PowerLaw 352 Prefactor: 2.583e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 353 Index: 2.553e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 354 Scale: 1.024e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ft2_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/39012289/expmap_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/39012289/ltcube_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/39012289/Model_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13380.1846516 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13379.2571464 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .36292E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .11994E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 11.682 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 2.4486 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .52441E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'norm ' .72226E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 5.6326 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .27262E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 5.1681 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 2.5211 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .96334E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 4.7768 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .69776E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 2.8691 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' 5.7862 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .11294E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Normalizat' 1.2362 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 18 'Prefactor ' .98931 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7690E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13379.24 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 171 CALLS 1104 TOTAL EDM= .16E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .27756E-09 18.659 -.37662E-05** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.1605 .15776E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 12.382 22.023 .16899E-05 .27612E-03 4 Prefactor .23315E-08 140.03 .20156E-04** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .0000 7.4711 -.59151E-07** at limit ** 6 norm .22204E-09 2.7661 -.24847E-06** at limit ** 7 norm 1.6566 257.49 .73736E-05 -.14580E-03 8 Prefactor .0000 2.6080 .57326E-06** at limit ** 9 norm 5.1465 5.9763 .19950E-05 .22947E-03 10 Prefactor 2.5267 3.7744 .75199E-06 .35352E-03 11 Prefactor .66613E-09 9.3962 -.72397E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 4.7331 6.8856 .47615E-06 -.97741E-03 13 norm .22204E-09 13.319 -.14106E-05** at limit ** 14 norm 2.8676 3.8493 .38358E-06 -.77897E-03 15 norm 5.7823 3.1248 -.12771E-06 -.30954E-02 16 Prefactor .66613E-09 25.001 -.44108E-06** at limit ** 17 Normalizat 1.2389 .22495 -.24578E-05 -.15884E-04 18 Prefactor .98920 .77905E-01 -.74059E-05 .25450E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 12.3824 Prefactor = 2.33147e-09 Prefactor = 0 norm = 2.22045e-10 norm = 1.6566 Prefactor = 0 norm = 5.14646 Prefactor = 2.52672 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 Prefactor = 4.7331 norm = 2.22045e-10 norm = 2.86762 norm = 5.7823 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 Normalizat = 1.23889 Prefactor = 0.989201 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13379.24 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 282 CALLS 1386 TOTAL EDM= .42E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .27756E-09 18.680 .16135E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .55511E-10 4.2191 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 12.382 22.006 .29285E-03 -1.5638 4 Prefactor .23315E-08 139.26 .65346E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .0000 7.4196 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 norm .22204E-09 .61972 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 1.6566 264.54 .42304E-03 -1.5682 8 Prefactor .0000 2.6046 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 5.1465 5.9808 .44197E-03 -1.5663 10 Prefactor 2.5267 3.7808 .64313E-03 -1.5676 11 Prefactor .66613E-09 9.4332 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 4.7331 6.9159 .46010E-03 -1.5664 13 norm .22204E-09 13.372 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 2.8676 3.8741 .59985E-03 -1.5674 15 norm 5.7823 3.1350 .41730E-03 -1.5660 16 Prefactor .66613E-09 24.991 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Normalizat 1.2389 .19495 .91951E-01 -.85409 18 Prefactor .98920 .67368E-01 .46133E-01 -.93090 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.21653e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000140967 2 3.24909e-05 3 22.0063 4 0.00114245 5 1.4761e-05 6 2.43181e-05 7 41.8697 8 5.42772e-06 9 5.98083 10 3.78084 11 0.000160025 12 6.91591 13 0.000106933 14 3.87413 15 3.135 16 0.000255494 17 0.19507 18 0.067374 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13379.2416289 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1814.4+2953 Spectrum: PowerLaw 352 Prefactor: 6.661e-10 1.600e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 353 Index: 2.553e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 354 Scale: 1.024e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 766 Prefactor: 9.892e-01 6.737e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 767 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 768 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 765 Normalization: 1.239e+00 1.951e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 273.615 29.894 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.84343284787e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00612089619471 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/39012289/likelihoodResults_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13379.2930185 delta logL = -0.0513896023112 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 13379.241629 delta logL = -7.12898327038e-08 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .26529E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.1056 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2389 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .98919 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7690E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 13379.24 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 48 CALLS 216 TOTAL EDM= .25E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.5236 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.0055 1.0981 -.52038E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2389 1.0942 -.13227E-04 -.38793E-04 4 Prefactor .98920 1.3290 .54290E-05 -.46065E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.00555 Normalizat = 1.23889 Prefactor = 0.989201 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 13379.24 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 225 TOTAL EDM= .25E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.5236 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .45727E-01 1.2356 -.52038E-05 -.92545 3 Normalizat 1.2389 1.0942 -.13227E-04 -.85409 4 Prefactor .98920 1.3290 .54290E-05 -.93090 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.52865e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.8385e-07 2 1.12406 3 1.11558 4 1.37729 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 13379.2416289 delta logL = 3.45607986674e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1814.4+2953 Spectrum: PowerLaw 352 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 5.839e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 353 Index: 1.006e+00 1.124e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 354 Scale: 1.024e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 766 Prefactor: 9.892e-01 1.377e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 767 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 768 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 765 Normalization: 1.239e+00 1.116e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 273.615 29.894 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/39012289/cmap_HighResolution_811641601_811900801_4FGL_J1814.4+2953_daily_bin2208.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.12e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.84e-08', time_completed='2026-09-24 15:09:21.681588', job_id='39012289', GAL2='0.99', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.24', EG='1.24', time_epoch_completed='1790287761.68', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.99', dlogl='3.46e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.55' WHERE bin_id='2208' AND source_name='4FGL J1814.4+2953' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Sep 24 15:09:21 PDT 2026