********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 22000.75 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 288 CALLS 1622 TOTAL EDM= .26E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 75.954 27.492 .11504E-03 -1.5534 2 Prefactor .0000 2.2193 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 2.9242 8.6256 .60745E-03 -1.5674 4 Prefactor 5.0972 3.5048 .44495E-03 -1.5663 5 Prefactor 1.7588 2.9608 .78990E-03 -1.5681 6 Prefactor .63094E-06 35.045 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .14089E-06 45.738 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .17046E-05 15.434 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 15.452 6.4690 .25490E-03 -1.5629 10 Prefactor 5.5667 7.1711 .42503E-03 -1.5661 11 norm .0000 .43099 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.9665 8.0882 .31720E-03 -1.5645 13 norm .16653E-09 3.9237 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .38852 35.573 .17746E-01 -1.5695 15 Prefactor 18.250 2.8576 .23419E-03 -1.5623 16 norm .17662E-05 15.437 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Normalizat .99178 .15627 .95929E-01 -.93306 18 Prefactor .98864 .57405E-01 .46118E-01 -.93109 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.6311e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 27.4918 2 1.32481e-05 3 8.62568 4 3.5048 5 2.96081 6 0.00940469 7 0.00507736 8 0.0102583 9 6.46899 10 7.17107 11 2.75637e-06 12 8.08816 13 5.43018e-05 14 7.43527 15 2.85757 16 0.0104432 17 0.156343 18 0.0574085 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172529/ltcube_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/28172529/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits .....................! real 15.77 user 14.96 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172529/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172529/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/28172529/ltcube_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172529/expmap_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/28172529/ltcube_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits .....................! real 60.49 user 55.93 sys 3.54 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 185 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1707.5+1649 @ 256.881 16.8206 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172529/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172529/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172529/cmap_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=256.881 yref=16.8206 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.15 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172529/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172529/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172529/cmap_HighResolution_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=256.881 yref=16.8206 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.69 user 0.20 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172529/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172529/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/28172529/Model_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 22000.7539642 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1707.5+1649 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 5.567e+00 7.171e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 272 Index: 2.254e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 273 Scale: 1.429e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 621 Prefactor: 9.886e-01 5.741e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 622 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 623 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 620 Normalization: 9.918e-01 1.563e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.79 Ra Dec: 256.881 16.821 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.00123385453e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00535535632136 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/28172494/likelihoodResults_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 22000.5803936 delta logL = 0.17357064832 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 22000.5760497 delta logL = 0.177914501197 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 3.0422 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.8690 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .97272 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .99251 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6240E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD TERMINATED WITHOUT CONVERGENCE. FCN= 22000.58 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=FAILED 102 CALLS 299 TOTAL EDM= .60E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 3.0407 155.34 .11629E-03 .15956E-01 2 Index 2.8704 5.9007 .81986E-02 .65216E-03 3 Normalizat .97294 .21689 .42859E-03 .24404E-05 4 Prefactor .99245 .69899E-01 .16087E-03 .19787E-05 ERR DEF= .500 START SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION. CONVERGENCE WHEN EDM .LT. .20E-04 SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 22000.58 FROM SIMPLEX STATUS=UNCHANGED 91 CALLS 390 TOTAL EDM= .93E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 3.0407 155.34 .15896E-04 .15956E-01 2 Index 2.8704 5.9007 .10580E-02 .65216E-03 3 Normalizat .97294 .21689 .57458E-04 .24404E-05 4 Prefactor .99245 .69899E-01 .26129E-04 .19787E-05 ERR DEF= .500 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 22000.58 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 33 CALLS 423 TOTAL EDM= .60E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 3.0407 8.4047 .23259E-04 -.40277E-03 2 Index 2.8704 1.5459 .16397E-02 -.48256E-05 3 Normalizat .97294 .18092 .17144E-04 .21221E-05 4 Prefactor .99245 .67329E-01 .64349E-05 -.14134E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.04068 Index = 2.87037 Normalizat = 0.972944 Prefactor = 0.992452 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 22000.58 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 446 TOTAL EDM= .71E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 3.0407 7.1134 .93034E-06 -1.5673 2 Index 2.8704 1.3153 .65588E-04 -.43999 3 Normalizat .97294 .17943 .34287E-05 -.93942 4 Prefactor .99245 .66935E-01 .12870E-05 -.92982 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.14896e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 7.11342 2 1.33453 3 0.179546 4 0.0669403 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 22000.5760462 delta logL = 0.177918046102 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1707.5+1649 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 3.041e+00 7.113e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 272 Index: 2.870e+00 1.335e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 273 Scale: 1.429e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 621 Prefactor: 9.925e-01 6.694e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 622 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 623 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 620 Normalization: 9.729e-01 1.795e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.16 Ra Dec: 256.881 16.821 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.87 +/- 1.33 Photon Flux (Free Index): 3.36e-08 +/- 4.31e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.20e-06 +/- 7.54e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/28172494/cmap_HighResolution_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.36e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='7.20e-06', dlogl='1.78e-01', photon_flux2='3.36e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-06-09 15:47:26.541167', photon_index_error2='1.33', photon_index2='2.87', ts='0.79', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.99', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.00e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.54e-06', EG='0.99', time_epoch_completed='1781045246.54', return_code='0', job_id='28172494', GAL2='0.99', EG2='0.97', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='4.31e-08', ts2='1.16', photon_index='2.25' WHERE bin_id='931' AND source_name='4FGL J1707.5+1649' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jun 9 15:47:26 PDT 2026 number of points = 17382 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931 RA = 256.881, Dec = 16.8206 tmin = 802051201, tmax = 802656001 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='28172548', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-06-09 15:46:06.229400', time_epoch_executed='1781045166.23' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1707.5+1649' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='931' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/28172548 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/28172548/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=802051201.0 && nMetStart<802656001.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=802051201.0 && nMetStart<802656001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ft1_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=802051201.0 && nMetStart<802656001.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ft1_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits ra=256.881 dec=16.8206 rad=12.0 tmin=802051201.0 tmax=802656001.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.82 user 4.02 sys 0.23 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.70 user 0.19 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 2079 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits sctable="SC_DATA"e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/28172529/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits.....................! real 53.71 user 52.09 sys 0.66 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/28172529/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/28172529/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/28172529/expmap_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/28172529/ltcube_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/28172529/Model_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1707.5+1649' 4FGL J1707.5+1649 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 2.274e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 272 Index: 2.254e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 273 Scale: 1.429e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/28172529/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/28172529/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/28172529/expmap_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/28172529/ltcube_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/28172529/Model_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 22000.8077308 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 22000.7555196 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 75.568 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .60146E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 2.8023 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 5.1005 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 1.7587 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .68070E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .74380E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .11329E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 15.408 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 5.5808 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .31830E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 9.9637 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .48422E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 2.8471 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 18.247 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .10173E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Normalizat' .99295 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 18 'Prefactor ' .98807 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6240E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 22000.75 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 144 CALLS 1334 TOTAL EDM= .12E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 9.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 75.954 5.0823 -.16577E-07 .24193 2 Prefactor .0000 2.2118 .67820E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 2.9242 8.6145 .49432E-06 .17434E-02 4 Prefactor 5.0972 3.4893 .34603E-07 .45120E-03 5 Prefactor 1.7588 2.9316 -.23560E-07 -.11081E-03 6 Prefactor .63094E-06 33.915 .71826E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .14089E-06 44.725 -.24607E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .17046E-05 7.7061 -.24878E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 15.452 6.4377 .77769E-07 .94475E-03 10 Prefactor 5.5667 7.1509 .31771E-07 .16452E-02 11 norm .0000 .42890 -.64127E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 9.9665 7.9350 -.16002E-06 .68758E-02 13 norm .16653E-09 3.9264 -.24097E-07** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .38852 1407.2 -.25576E-04 .50886E-03 15 Prefactor 18.250 2.8533 .20824E-07 .58987E-02 16 norm .17662E-05 7.6841 -.12301E-06** at limit ** 17 Normalizat .99178 .18098 -.33136E-05 .40597E-03 18 Prefactor .98864 .67651E-01 .23636E-05 .12603E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 75.9541 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.92424 Prefactor = 5.09718 Prefactor = 1.75883 Prefactor = 6.3094e-07 Prefactor = 1.40887e-07 Prefactor = 1.70458e-06 Prefactor = 15.4519 Prefactor = 5.56671 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.96648 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 0.388517 Prefactor = 18.2502 norm = 1.7662e-06 Normalizat = 0.991779 Prefactor = 0.988642 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 22000.75 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 288 CALLS 1622 TOTAL EDM= .26E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 75.954 27.492 .11504E-03 -1.5534 2 Prefactor .0000 2.2193 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 2.9242 8.6256 .60745E-03 -1.5674 4 Prefactor 5.0972 3.5048 .44495E-03 -1.5663 5 Prefactor 1.7588 2.9608 .78990E-03 -1.5681 6 Prefactor .63094E-06 35.045 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .14089E-06 45.738 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .17046E-05 15.434 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 15.452 6.4690 .25490E-03 -1.5629 10 Prefactor 5.5667 7.1711 .42503E-03 -1.5661 11 norm .0000 .43099 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.9665 8.0882 .31720E-03 -1.5645 13 norm .16653E-09 3.9237 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .38852 35.573 .17746E-01 -1.5695 15 Prefactor 18.250 2.8576 .23419E-03 -1.5623 16 norm .17662E-05 15.437 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Normalizat .99178 .15627 .95929E-01 -.93306 18 Prefactor .98864 .57405E-01 .46118E-01 -.93109 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.6311e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 27.4918 2 1.32481e-05 3 8.62568 4 3.5048 5 2.96081 6 0.00940469 7 0.00507736 8 0.0102583 9 6.46899 10 7.17107 11 2.75637e-06 12 8.08816 13 5.43018e-05 14 7.43527 15 2.85757 16 0.0104432 17 0.156343 18 0.0574085 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ltcube_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits .....................! real 15.58 user 14.95 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ltcube_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/expmap_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ltcube_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits .....................! real 60.25 user 55.60 sys 3.53 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 185 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1707.5+1649 @ 256.881 16.8206 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/cmap_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=256.881 yref=16.8206 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.69 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/cmap_HighResolution_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=256.881 yref=16.8206 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.56 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/Model_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 22000.7539642 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1707.5+1649 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 5.567e+00 7.171e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 272 Index: 2.254e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 273 Scale: 1.429e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 621 Prefactor: 9.886e-01 5.741e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 622 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 623 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 620 Normalization: 9.918e-01 1.563e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.79 Ra Dec: 256.881 16.821 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.00123385453e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00535535632136 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/28172529/likelihoodResults_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 22000.5803936 delta logL = 0.17357064832 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 22000.5760497 delta logL = 0.177914501197 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 3.0422 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.8690 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .97272 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .99251 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6240E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD TERMINATED WITHOUT CONVERGENCE. FCN= 22000.58 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=FAILED 102 CALLS 299 TOTAL EDM= .60E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 3.0407 155.34 .11629E-03 .15956E-01 2 Index 2.8704 5.9007 .81986E-02 .65216E-03 3 Normalizat .97294 .21689 .42859E-03 .24404E-05 4 Prefactor .99245 .69899E-01 .16087E-03 .19787E-05 ERR DEF= .500 START SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION. CONVERGENCE WHEN EDM .LT. .20E-04 SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 22000.58 FROM SIMPLEX STATUS=UNCHANGED 91 CALLS 390 TOTAL EDM= .93E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 3.0407 155.34 .15896E-04 .15956E-01 2 Index 2.8704 5.9007 .10580E-02 .65216E-03 3 Normalizat .97294 .21689 .57458E-04 .24404E-05 4 Prefactor .99245 .69899E-01 .26129E-04 .19787E-05 ERR DEF= .500 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 22000.58 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 33 CALLS 423 TOTAL EDM= .60E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 3.0407 8.4047 .23259E-04 -.40277E-03 2 Index 2.8704 1.5459 .16397E-02 -.48256E-05 3 Normalizat .97294 .18092 .17144E-04 .21221E-05 4 Prefactor .99245 .67329E-01 .64349E-05 -.14134E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.04068 Index = 2.87037 Normalizat = 0.972944 Prefactor = 0.992452 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 22000.58 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 446 TOTAL EDM= .71E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 3.0407 7.1134 .93034E-06 -1.5673 2 Index 2.8704 1.3153 .65588E-04 -.43999 3 Normalizat .97294 .17943 .34287E-05 -.93942 4 Prefactor .99245 .66935E-01 .12870E-05 -.92982 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.14896e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 7.11342 2 1.33453 3 0.179546 4 0.0669403 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 22000.5760462 delta logL = 0.177918046102 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1707.5+1649 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 3.041e+00 7.113e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 272 Index: 2.870e+00 1.335e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 273 Scale: 1.429e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 621 Prefactor: 9.925e-01 6.694e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 622 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 623 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 620 Normalization: 9.729e-01 1.795e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.16 Ra Dec: 256.881 16.821 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.87 +/- 1.33 Photon Flux (Free Index): 3.36e-08 +/- 4.31e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.20e-06 +/- 7.54e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/28172529/cmap_HighResolution_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.36e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='7.20e-06', dlogl='1.78e-01', photon_flux2='3.36e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-06-09 15:51:36.557634', photon_index_error2='1.33', photon_index2='2.87', ts='0.79', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.99', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.00e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.54e-06', EG='0.99', time_epoch_completed='1781045496.56', return_code='0', job_id='28172529', GAL2='0.99', EG2='0.97', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='4.31e-08', ts2='1.16', photon_index='2.25' WHERE bin_id='931' AND source_name='4FGL J1707.5+1649' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jun 9 15:51:36 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits.....................! real 53.57 user 51.99 sys 0.88 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/expmap_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ltcube_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/28172548/Model_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1707.5+1649' 4FGL J1707.5+1649 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 2.274e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 272 Index: 2.254e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 273 Scale: 1.429e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/28172548/expmap_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/28172548/ltcube_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/28172548/Model_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 22000.8077308 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 22000.7555196 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 75.568 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .60146E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 2.8023 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 5.1005 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 1.7587 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .68070E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .74380E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .11329E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 15.408 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 5.5808 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .31830E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 9.9637 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' .48422E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 2.8471 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 18.247 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .10173E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Normalizat' .99295 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 18 'Prefactor ' .98807 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6240E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 22000.75 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 144 CALLS 1334 TOTAL EDM= .12E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 9.1% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 75.954 5.0823 -.16577E-07 .24193 2 Prefactor .0000 2.2118 .67820E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 2.9242 8.6145 .49432E-06 .17434E-02 4 Prefactor 5.0972 3.4893 .34603E-07 .45120E-03 5 Prefactor 1.7588 2.9316 -.23560E-07 -.11081E-03 6 Prefactor .63094E-06 33.915 .71826E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .14089E-06 44.725 -.24607E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .17046E-05 7.7061 -.24878E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 15.452 6.4377 .77769E-07 .94475E-03 10 Prefactor 5.5667 7.1509 .31771E-07 .16452E-02 11 norm .0000 .42890 -.64127E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 9.9665 7.9350 -.16002E-06 .68758E-02 13 norm .16653E-09 3.9264 -.24097E-07** at limit ** 14 Prefactor .38852 1407.2 -.25576E-04 .50886E-03 15 Prefactor 18.250 2.8533 .20824E-07 .58987E-02 16 norm .17662E-05 7.6841 -.12301E-06** at limit ** 17 Normalizat .99178 .18098 -.33136E-05 .40597E-03 18 Prefactor .98864 .67651E-01 .23636E-05 .12603E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 75.9541 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.92424 Prefactor = 5.09718 Prefactor = 1.75883 Prefactor = 6.3094e-07 Prefactor = 1.40887e-07 Prefactor = 1.70458e-06 Prefactor = 15.4519 Prefactor = 5.56671 norm = 0 Prefactor = 9.96648 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 0.388517 Prefactor = 18.2502 norm = 1.7662e-06 Normalizat = 0.991779 Prefactor = 0.988642 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 22000.75 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 288 CALLS 1622 TOTAL EDM= .26E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 75.954 27.492 .11504E-03 -1.5534 2 Prefactor .0000 2.2193 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 2.9242 8.6256 .60745E-03 -1.5674 4 Prefactor 5.0972 3.5048 .44495E-03 -1.5663 5 Prefactor 1.7588 2.9608 .78990E-03 -1.5681 6 Prefactor .63094E-06 35.045 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .14089E-06 45.738 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .17046E-05 15.434 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 15.452 6.4690 .25490E-03 -1.5629 10 Prefactor 5.5667 7.1711 .42503E-03 -1.5661 11 norm .0000 .43099 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 9.9665 8.0882 .31720E-03 -1.5645 13 norm .16653E-09 3.9237 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Prefactor .38852 35.573 .17746E-01 -1.5695 15 Prefactor 18.250 2.8576 .23419E-03 -1.5623 16 norm .17662E-05 15.437 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Normalizat .99178 .15627 .95929E-01 -.93306 18 Prefactor .98864 .57405E-01 .46118E-01 -.93109 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.6311e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 27.4918 2 1.32481e-05 3 8.62568 4 3.5048 5 2.96081 6 0.00940469 7 0.00507736 8 0.0102583 9 6.46899 10 7.17107 11 2.75637e-06 12 8.08816 13 5.43018e-05 14 7.43527 15 2.85757 16 0.0104432 17 0.156343 18 0.0574085 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 22000.7539642 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1707.5+1649 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 5.567e+00 7.171e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 272 Index: 2.254e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 273 Scale: 1.429e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 621 Prefactor: 9.886e-01 5.741e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 622 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 623 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 620 Normalization: 9.918e-01 1.563e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.79 Ra Dec: 256.881 16.821 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.00123385453e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00535535632136 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/28172548/likelihoodResults_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 22000.5803936 delta logL = 0.17357064832 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 22000.5760497 delta logL = 0.177914501197 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 3.0422 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 2.8690 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .97272 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .99251 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6240E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MIGRAD TERMINATED WITHOUT CONVERGENCE. FCN= 22000.58 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=FAILED 102 CALLS 299 TOTAL EDM= .60E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 3.0407 155.34 .11629E-03 .15956E-01 2 Index 2.8704 5.9007 .81986E-02 .65216E-03 3 Normalizat .97294 .21689 .42859E-03 .24404E-05 4 Prefactor .99245 .69899E-01 .16087E-03 .19787E-05 ERR DEF= .500 START SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION. CONVERGENCE WHEN EDM .LT. .20E-04 SIMPLEX MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 22000.58 FROM SIMPLEX STATUS=UNCHANGED 91 CALLS 390 TOTAL EDM= .93E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 3.0407 155.34 .15896E-04 .15956E-01 2 Index 2.8704 5.9007 .10580E-02 .65216E-03 3 Normalizat .97294 .21689 .57458E-04 .24404E-05 4 Prefactor .99245 .69899E-01 .26129E-04 .19787E-05 ERR DEF= .500 MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 22000.58 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 33 CALLS 423 TOTAL EDM= .60E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 3.0407 8.4047 .23259E-04 -.40277E-03 2 Index 2.8704 1.5459 .16397E-02 -.48256E-05 3 Normalizat .97294 .18092 .17144E-04 .21221E-05 4 Prefactor .99245 .67329E-01 .64349E-05 -.14134E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.04068 Index = 2.87037 Normalizat = 0.972944 Prefactor = 0.992452 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 22000.58 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 23 CALLS 446 TOTAL EDM= .71E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 3.0407 7.1134 .93034E-06 -1.5673 2 Index 2.8704 1.3153 .65588E-04 -.43999 3 Normalizat .97294 .17943 .34287E-05 -.93942 4 Prefactor .99245 .66935E-01 .12870E-05 -.92982 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 7.14896e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 7.11342 2 1.33453 3 0.179546 4 0.0669403 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 22000.5760462 delta logL = 0.177918046102 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1707.5+1649 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 3.041e+00 7.113e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 272 Index: 2.870e+00 1.335e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 273 Scale: 1.429e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 621 Prefactor: 9.925e-01 6.694e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 622 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 623 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 620 Normalization: 9.729e-01 1.795e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 1.16 Ra Dec: 256.881 16.821 Photon Index (Free Index): 2.87 +/- 1.33 Photon Flux (Free Index): 3.36e-08 +/- 4.31e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 7.20e-06 +/- 7.54e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/28172548/cmap_HighResolution_802051201_802656001_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_weekly_bin931.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.36e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='7.20e-06', dlogl='1.78e-01', photon_flux2='3.36e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-06-09 15:54:49.177385', photon_index_error2='1.33', photon_index2='2.87', ts='0.79', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.99', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.00e-08', energy_flux_error2='7.54e-06', EG='0.99', time_epoch_completed='1781045689.18', return_code='0', job_id='28172548', GAL2='0.99', EG2='0.97', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='4.31e-08', ts2='1.16', photon_index='2.25' WHERE bin_id='931' AND source_name='4FGL J1707.5+1649' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Jun 9 15:54:49 PDT 2026