********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6856.490 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 292 CALLS 2139 TOTAL EDM= .41E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 53.905 73.977 .13543E-03 -1.5561 2 Prefactor .23903E-06 9.5987 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 13.558 16.880 .26906E-03 -1.5634 4 Prefactor 1.4217 10.318 .89558E-03 -1.5684 5 Prefactor 13.661 17.688 .27075E-03 -1.5634 6 Prefactor 20.622 41.241 .22127E-03 -1.5617 7 Prefactor .22204E-08 39.838 .16573E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 69.904 80.107 .12142E-03 -1.5541 9 Prefactor 2.9865 32.856 .57049E-03 -1.5673 10 Prefactor .25813E-06 9.4884 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .41172 2.0932 .64225E-02 -1.5695 12 Prefactor 6.3128 25.068 .39858E-03 -1.5658 13 norm 2.7755 11.299 .59686E-03 -1.5675 14 Prefactor 163.86 268.81 .78138E-04 -1.5452 15 Prefactor 15.269 6.6984 .25603E-03 -1.5630 16 norm .20539E-08 72.089 .14431E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Normalizat 1.5902 .27409 .75835E-01 -.75273 18 Prefactor .70122 .99466E-01 .42422E-01 -1.0348 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.10468e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 73.9779 2 0.00302962 3 16.8803 4 7.66005 5 17.6878 6 41.2413 7 0.000593543 8 80.1084 9 19.8117 10 0.00313012 11 1.85666 12 25.0681 13 11.2 14 268.832 15 6.69843 16 0.000765122 17 0.274349 18 0.0994908 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6856.48996828 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1707.5+1649 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 2.581e-07 3.130e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 272 Index: 2.254e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 273 Scale: 1.429e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 621 Prefactor: 7.012e-01 9.949e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 622 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 623 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 620 Normalization: 1.590e+00 2.743e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 256.881 16.821 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.05769765771e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0080904994105 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31570932/likelihoodResults_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6856.54098933 delta logL = -0.0510210408374 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6856.4899738 delta logL = -5.51347329747e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .24958E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.4829 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.5908 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .70116 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6240E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6856.490 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 63 CALLS 238 TOTAL EDM= .11E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .57343 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .34421 .38356 .45132E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.5902 1.0412 -.26796E-05 .98058E-05 4 Prefactor .70122 1.0509 -.25515E-06 .40158E-07 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.344214 Normalizat = 1.59024 Prefactor = 0.701217 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6856.490 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 247 TOTAL EDM= .11E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .57343 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .46697E-01 .40172 .45132E-04 -1.1976 3 Normalizat 1.5902 1.0412 -.26796E-05 -.75273 4 Prefactor .70122 1.0509 -.25515E-06 -1.0348 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.06952e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.71066e-06 2 0.386447 3 1.05593 4 1.08312 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6856.48996827 delta logL = 1.36433300213e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1707.5+1649 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 1.711e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 272 Index: 3.442e-01 3.864e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 273 Scale: 1.429e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 621 Prefactor: 7.012e-01 1.083e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 622 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 623 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 620 Normalization: 1.590e+00 1.056e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 256.881 16.821 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.500e-04 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.775e-03 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31570932/cmap_HighResolution_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='8.09e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.06e-07', time_completed='2026-07-13 15:46:35.763568', job_id='31570932', GAL2='0.70', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.59', EG='1.59', time_epoch_completed='1783982795.76', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.70', dlogl='1.36e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.25' WHERE bin_id='2176' AND source_name='4FGL J1707.5+1649' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 13 15:46:36 PDT 2026 number of points = 7643 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176 RA = 256.881, Dec = 16.8206 tmin = 803347201, tmax = 803606401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31571312', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-13 15:46:20.769307', time_epoch_executed='1783982780.77' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1707.5+1649' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2176' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31571312 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31571312/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=803347201.0 && nMetStart<803606401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=803347201.0 && nMetStart<803606401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ft1_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=803347201.0 && nMetStart<803606401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ft1_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits ra=256.881 dec=16.8206 rad=12.0 tmin=803347201.0 tmax=803606401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.00 user 1.65 sys 0.16 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.59 user 0.20 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 608 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits .....................! real 8.84 user 8.31 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits .....................! real 69.93 user 65.30 sys 4.16 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 185 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1707.5+1649 @ 256.881 16.8206 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/cmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=256.881 yref=16.8206 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.58 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/cmap_HighResolution_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=256.881 yref=16.8206 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.72 user 0.21 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/Model_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits.....................! real 24.65 user 23.14 sys 1.06 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31571312/Model_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1707.5+1649' 4FGL J1707.5+1649 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 2.274e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 272 Index: 2.254e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 273 Scale: 1.429e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ft2_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31571312/expmap_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31571312/ltcube_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31571312/Model_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6856.49646498 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6856.49157305 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 54.531 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .44655E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 13.832 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 1.4473 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 13.660 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 20.438 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .27728E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 67.834 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 3.1539 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .82011E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .37248 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 6.3345 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'norm ' 2.8961 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 163.81 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 15.272 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .82312E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Normalizat' 1.5888 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 18 'Prefactor ' .70154 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6240E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6856.490 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 126 CALLS 1847 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 53.905 21.154 -.10559E-05 -.61979E-01 2 Prefactor .23903E-06 8.8977 -.30788E-05** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 13.558 16.841 .12042E-05 -.73780E-02 4 Prefactor 1.4217 9.4856 .33798E-06 -.41294E-02 5 Prefactor 13.661 9.2327 .32533E-05 -.10737 6 Prefactor 20.622 39.283 -.10010E-04 .92993E-02 7 Prefactor .22204E-08 40.426 .54768E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor 69.904 76.661 .70091E-05 -.25090E-01 9 Prefactor 2.9865 25.377 -.21613E-04 -.28126E-01 10 Prefactor .25813E-06 8.7614 .13604E-05** at limit ** 11 norm .41172 8.2448 .14753E-05 -.25903E-02 12 Prefactor 6.3128 8.6707 -.55745E-05 .25690E-01 13 norm 2.7755 11.182 .11396E-05 -.95111E-04 14 Prefactor 163.86 2.7793 .32132E-06 -.64291E-01 15 Prefactor 15.269 6.5977 -.25638E-06 .35106E-02 16 norm .20539E-08 72.318 -.28604E-05** at limit ** 17 Normalizat 1.5902 .32566 -.20046E-04 -.87615E-04 18 Prefactor .70122 .11838 .22237E-04 -.35172E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 53.9051 Prefactor = 2.39031e-07 Prefactor = 13.5581 Prefactor = 1.42174 Prefactor = 13.6614 Prefactor = 20.622 Prefactor = 2.22045e-09 Prefactor = 69.9041 Prefactor = 2.9865 Prefactor = 2.58127e-07 norm = 0.411721 Prefactor = 6.31277 norm = 2.77549 Prefactor = 163.858 Prefactor = 15.269 norm = 2.05391e-09 Normalizat = 1.59024 Prefactor = 0.701216 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6856.490 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 292 CALLS 2139 TOTAL EDM= .41E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 53.905 73.977 .13543E-03 -1.5561 2 Prefactor .23903E-06 9.5987 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 13.558 16.880 .26906E-03 -1.5634 4 Prefactor 1.4217 10.318 .89558E-03 -1.5684 5 Prefactor 13.661 17.688 .27075E-03 -1.5634 6 Prefactor 20.622 41.241 .22127E-03 -1.5617 7 Prefactor .22204E-08 39.838 .16573E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor 69.904 80.107 .12142E-03 -1.5541 9 Prefactor 2.9865 32.856 .57049E-03 -1.5673 10 Prefactor .25813E-06 9.4884 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .41172 2.0932 .64225E-02 -1.5695 12 Prefactor 6.3128 25.068 .39858E-03 -1.5658 13 norm 2.7755 11.299 .59686E-03 -1.5675 14 Prefactor 163.86 268.81 .78138E-04 -1.5452 15 Prefactor 15.269 6.6984 .25603E-03 -1.5630 16 norm .20539E-08 72.089 .14431E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Normalizat 1.5902 .27409 .75835E-01 -.75273 18 Prefactor .70122 .99466E-01 .42422E-01 -1.0348 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.10468e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 73.9779 2 0.00302962 3 16.8803 4 7.66005 5 17.6878 6 41.2413 7 0.000593543 8 80.1084 9 19.8117 10 0.00313012 11 1.85666 12 25.0681 13 11.2 14 268.832 15 6.69843 16 0.000765122 17 0.274349 18 0.0994908 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6856.48996828 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1707.5+1649 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 2.581e-07 3.130e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 272 Index: 2.254e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 273 Scale: 1.429e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 621 Prefactor: 7.012e-01 9.949e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 622 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 623 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 620 Normalization: 1.590e+00 2.743e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 256.881 16.821 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.05769765771e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0080904994105 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31571312/likelihoodResults_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 6856.54098933 delta logL = -0.0510210408374 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6856.4899738 delta logL = -5.51347329747e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .24958E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.4829 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.5908 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .70116 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6240E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6856.490 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 63 CALLS 238 TOTAL EDM= .11E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .57343 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index .34421 .38356 .45132E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.5902 1.0412 -.26796E-05 .98058E-05 4 Prefactor .70122 1.0509 -.25515E-06 .40158E-07 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 0.344214 Normalizat = 1.59024 Prefactor = 0.701217 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6856.490 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 247 TOTAL EDM= .11E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .57343 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .46697E-01 .40172 .45132E-04 -1.1976 3 Normalizat 1.5902 1.0412 -.26796E-05 -.75273 4 Prefactor .70122 1.0509 -.25515E-06 -1.0348 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 1.06952e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.71066e-06 2 0.386447 3 1.05593 4 1.08312 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6856.48996827 delta logL = 1.36433300213e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1707.5+1649 Spectrum: PowerLaw 271 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 1.711e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 272 Index: 3.442e-01 3.864e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 273 Scale: 1.429e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 621 Prefactor: 7.012e-01 1.083e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 622 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 623 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 620 Normalization: 1.590e+00 1.056e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 256.881 16.821 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -2.500e-04 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 2.775e-03 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31571312/cmap_HighResolution_803347201_803606401_4FGL_J1707.5+1649_daily_bin2176.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='8.09e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.06e-07', time_completed='2026-07-13 15:51:52.109358', job_id='31571312', GAL2='0.70', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.59', EG='1.59', time_epoch_completed='1783983112.11', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.70', dlogl='1.36e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.25' WHERE bin_id='2176' AND source_name='4FGL J1707.5+1649' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Jul 13 15:51:52 PDT 2026