/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179065/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31179065/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits .....................! real 19.03 user 18.43 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179065/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179065/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31179065/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179065/expmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31179065/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits .....................! real 71.01 user 66.23 sys 4.13 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 213 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1648.2+4232 @ 252.072 42.5498 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179065/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179065/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179065/cmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=252.072 yref=42.5498 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.67 user 0.25 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179065/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179065/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179065/cmap_HighResolution_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=252.072 yref=42.5498 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.86 user 0.25 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179065/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179065/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31179065/Model_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcnumber of points = 17485 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932 RA = 252.072, Dec = 42.5498 tmin = 802656001, tmax = 803260801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31179188', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-09 22:42:36.296187', time_epoch_executed='1783662156.3' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1648.2+4232' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='932' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31179188 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31179188/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=802656001.0 && nMetStart<803260801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=802656001.0 && nMetStart<803260801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ft1_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=802656001.0 && nMetStart<803260801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ft1_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits ra=252.072 dec=42.5498 rad=12.0 tmin=802656001.0 tmax=803260801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 5.56 user 4.26 sys 0.21 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.97 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 2690 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits sctable="SC_DATA" number of points = 17485 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932 RA = 252.072, Dec = 42.5498 tmin = 802656001, tmax = 803260801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31179296', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-09 22:44:36.994672', time_epoch_executed='1783662276.99' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1648.2+4232' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='932' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31179296 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31179296/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=802656001.0 && nMetStart<803260801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=802656001.0 && nMetStart<803260801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ft1_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=802656001.0 && nMetStart<803260801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ft1_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits ra=252.072 dec=42.5498 rad=12.0 tmin=802656001.0 tmax=803260801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 6.31 user 5.47 sys 0.26 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.77 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 2690 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits sctable="SC_DATA"outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits .....................! real 19.77 user 18.69 sys 0.26 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/expmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits .....................! real 73.44 user 68.05 sys 4.12 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 213 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1648.2+4232 @ 252.072 42.5498 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/cmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=252.072 yref=42.5498 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.87 user 0.25 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/cmap_HighResolution_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=252.072 yref=42.5498 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.03 user 0.25 sys 0.12 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/Model_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcenumber of points = 17485 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932 RA = 252.072, Dec = 42.5498 tmin = 802656001, tmax = 803260801 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31179312', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-09 22:45:48.421736', time_epoch_executed='1783662348.42' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1648.2+4232' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='932' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31179312 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31179312/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=802656001.0 && nMetStart<803260801.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=802656001.0 && nMetStart<803260801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ft1_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=802656001.0 && nMetStart<803260801.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ft1_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits ra=252.072 dec=42.5498 rad=12.0 tmin=802656001.0 tmax=803260801.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.94 user 4.01 sys 0.22 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.32 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 2690 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits .....................! real 22.40 user 21.41 sys 0.29 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/expmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits .....................! real 82.18 user 75.35 sys 4.72 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 213 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1648.2+4232 @ 252.072 42.5498 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/cmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=252.072 yref=42.5498 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.24 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/cmap_HighResolution_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=252.072 yref=42.5498 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.10 user 0.26 sys 0.11 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/Model_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31179065/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits.....................! real 75.85 user 74.33 sys 0.72 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31179065/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31179065/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31179065/expmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31179065/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31179065/Model_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1648.2+4232' 4FGL J1648.2+4232 Spectrum: PowerLaw 355 Prefactor: 1.067e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 356 Index: 2.425e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 357 Scale: 8.460e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31179065/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31179065/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31179065/expmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31179065/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31179065/Model_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 28838.7032195 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 28838.6597174 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.7528 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 1.2273 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .81725 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 9.4004 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .40779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 2.2216 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .85547E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .35442E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 5.4291 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 4.9633 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 2.6575 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 10.272 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 1.4576 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 2.7478 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 3.7145 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .70499E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 25.379 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' 3.2811 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .11685 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 2.8353 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' .40895E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 1.2704 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' 1.4490 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 6.3536 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 9.0823 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 13.163 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' 4.8625 1.0000 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits .....................! real 19.42 user 18.50 sys 0.26 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/expmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits .....................! real 68.32 user 63.40 sys 3.84 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 213 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1648.2+4232 @ 252.072 42.5498 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/cmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=252.072 yref=42.5498 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.02 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/cmap_HighResolution_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=252.072 yref=42.5498 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.91 user 0.25 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/Model_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourc .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 37.871 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'Prefactor ' .53228E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' .90580 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.0440 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6900E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 28838.66 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 150 CALLS 2367 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.5471 9.3255 -.23325E-06 -.12674 2 Prefactor 1.2275 1.0617 .17132E-07 .11631E-02 3 Prefactor .82093 1.6842 .21206E-06 .66143E-02 4 Prefactor 9.3590 8.1011 -.84069E-07 -.49221E-01 5 Prefactor .41619 1.1029 .77331E-07 .10126E-01 6 Prefactor 2.2217 1.4158 .12256E-08 -.24275E-03 7 norm .0000 1.7303 .17931E-07** at limit ** 8 norm .35527E-01 .42754E-01 -.12195E-07** at limit ** 9 norm 5.4321 4.5947 -.28735E-07 .11879E-02 10 Prefactor 4.8825 7.3197 .94024E-07 .12925E-01 11 Prefactor 2.6540 1.6362 .16165E-07 .11999E-02 12 norm 10.292 1.2480 .23419E-08 -.26218E-01 13 Prefactor 1.4580 .87156 .81652E-08 .86520E-03 14 Prefactor 2.7479 .89668 .36403E-08 .12629E-02 15 Prefactor 3.7184 1.5791 -.64193E-08 -.25982E-02 16 Prefactor .0000 .47428 -.41728E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 25.366 5.8117 -.27739E-07 .37712E-01 18 norm 3.2810 .86859 -.94332E-09 -.10065E-02 19 norm .11736 .26082 .15599E-08** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 2.8216 2.9038 -.75324E-08 .17542E-03 21 norm .0000 .13923 -.55639E-08** at limit ** 22 norm 1.2795 3.1047 .13670E-06 .15316E-02 23 norm 1.4491 .71284 -.18791E-10 -.48256E-03 24 Prefactor 6.3515 2.0380 -.70793E-08 -.36561E-03 25 norm 9.0836 2.9280 -.46805E-07 .13227E-02 26 Prefactor 13.668 24.397 .63900E-06 -.67481E-01 27 norm 4.8630 3.3069 -.30108E-07 -.79162E-02 28 Prefactor 37.748 4.4932 -.56731E-07 -.10979 29 Prefactor .11102E-08 20.279 -.67434E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat .90614 .11504 -.78139E-06 -.90339E-04 31 Prefactor 1.0437 .94265E-01 .14333E-06 -.78628E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.54709 Prefactor = 1.22754 Prefactor = 0.820933 Prefactor = 9.35904 Prefactor = 0.416186 Prefactor = 2.22166 norm = 0 norm = 0.0355268 norm = 5.43212 Prefactor = 4.88253 Prefactor = 2.65403 norm = 10.2919 Prefactor = 1.45804 Prefactor = 2.74791 Prefactor = 3.71836 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 25.3664 norm = 3.28095 norm = 0.117364 Prefactor = 2.82163 norm = 0 norm = 1.27954 norm = 1.4491 Prefactor = 6.35147 norm = 9.08363 Prefactor = 13.6677 norm = 4.86296 Prefactor = 37.7483 Prefactor = 1.11022e-09 Normalizat = 0.90614 Prefactor = 1.04367 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 28838.66 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 718 CALLS 3085 TOTAL EDM= .16E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.5471 23.115 .32063E-03 -1.5646 2 Prefactor 1.2275 1.0806 .10157E-02 -1.5686 3 Prefactor .82093 1.7718 .51658E-03 -1.5690 4 Prefactor 9.3590 8.2365 .32662E-03 -1.5647 5 Prefactor .41619 1.2308 .51684E-02 -1.5695 6 Prefactor 2.2217 1.4356 .68961E-03 -1.5678 7 norm .0000 1.7341 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .35527E-01 .49427E-01 .80785E-03 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 5.4321 4.6143 .43103E-03 -1.5661 10 Prefactor 4.8825 7.6949 .45118E-03 -1.5664 11 Prefactor 2.6540 1.6513 .62503E-03 -1.5675 12 norm 10.292 16.279 .31239E-03 -1.5644 13 Prefactor 1.4580 .87678 .89123E-03 -1.5684 14 Prefactor 2.7479 .86675 .61388E-03 -1.5675 15 Prefactor 3.7184 1.6103 .52372E-03 -1.5669 16 Prefactor .0000 .47039 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 25.366 5.8180 .19854E-03 -1.5607 18 norm 3.2810 .87134 .55875E-03 -1.5672 19 norm .11736 .20874 .27211E-02 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 2.8216 2.9705 .60366E-03 -1.5674 21 norm .0000 .13392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 1.2795 3.1354 .98677E-03 -1.5685 23 norm 1.4491 .72446 .89486E-03 -1.5684 24 Prefactor 6.3515 2.0631 .39797E-03 -1.5658 25 norm 9.0836 2.9537 .33233E-03 -1.5648 26 Prefactor 13.668 27.288 .27582E-03 -1.5634 27 norm 4.8630 3.6416 .45594E-03 -1.5664 28 Prefactor 37.748 23.046 .16252E-03 -1.5585 29 Prefactor .11102E-08 1.7632 .73075E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat .90614 .10089 .44976E-01 -.96245 31 Prefactor 1.0437 .80877E-01 .40275E-01 -.91288 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.61613e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 23.1153 2 1.0806 3 1.7718 4 8.23653 5 1.23077 6 1.43564 7 3.94763e-07 8 0.0494265 9 4.61432 10 7.6949 11 1.65132 12 16.2792 13 0.876782 14 0.866752 15 1.61027 16 2.71935e-06 17 5.81798 18 0.871343 19 0.208739 20 2.97049 21 1.92985e-07 22 3.1354 23 0.724464 24 2.0631 25 2.95372 26 27.2881 27 3.64162 28 23.0456 29 8.87297e-05 30 0.100908 31 0.0808865 GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits.....................! real 79.47 user 77.13 sys 1.43 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/expmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31179188/Model_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1648.2+4232' 4FGL J1648.2+4232 Spectrum: PowerLaw 355 Prefactor: 1.067e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 356 Index: 2.425e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 357 Scale: 8.460e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31179188/expmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31179188/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31179188/Model_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 28838.7032195 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 28838.6597174 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.7528 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 1.2273 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .81725 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 9.4004 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .40779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 2.2216 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .85547E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .35442E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 5.4291 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 4.9633 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 2.6575 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 10.272 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 1.4576 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 2.7478 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 3.7145 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .70499E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 25.379 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' 3.2811 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .11685 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 2.8353 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' .40895E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 1.2704 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' 1.4490 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 6.3536 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 9.0823 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 13.163 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' 4.8625 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 37.871 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'Prefactor ' .53228E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' .90580 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.0440 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6900E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 28838.66 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 150 CALLS 2367 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.5471 9.3255 -.23325E-06 -.12674 2 Prefactor 1.2275 1.0617 .17132E-07 .11631E-02 3 Prefactor .82093 1.6842 .21206E-06 .66143E-02 4 Prefactor 9.3590 8.1011 -.84069E-07 -.49221E-01 5 Prefactor .41619 1.1029 .77331E-07 .10126E-01 6 Prefactor 2.2217 1.4158 .12256E-08 -.24275E-03 7 norm .0000 1.7303 .17931E-07** at limit ** 8 norm .35527E-01 .42754E-01 -.12195E-07** at limit ** 9 norm 5.4321 4.5947 -.28735E-07 .11879E-02 10 Prefactor 4.8825 7.3197 .94024E-07 .12925E-01 11 Prefactor 2.6540 1.6362 .16165E-07 .11999E-02 12 norm 10.292 1.2480 .23419E-08 -.26218E-01 13 Prefactor 1.4580 .87156 .81652E-08 .86520E-03 14 Prefactor 2.7479 .89668 .36403E-08 .12629E-02 15 Prefactor 3.7184 1.5791 -.64193E-08 -.25982E-02 16 Prefactor .0000 .47428 -.41728E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 25.366 5.8117 -.27739E-07 .37712E-01 18 norm 3.2810 .86859 -.94332E-09 -.10065E-02 19 norm .11736 .26082 .15599E-08** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 2.8216 2.9038 -.75324E-08 .17542E-03 21 norm .0000 .13923 -.55639E-08** at limit ** 22 norm 1.2795 3.1047 .13670E-06 .15316E-02 23 norm 1.4491 .71284 -.18791E-10 -.48256E-03 24 Prefactor 6.3515 2.0380 -.70793E-08 -.36561E-03 25 norm 9.0836 2.9280 -.46805E-07 .13227E-02 26 Prefactor 13.668 24.397 .63900E-06 -.67481E-01 27 norm 4.8630 3.3069 -.30108E-07 -.79162E-02 28 Prefactor 37.748 4.4932 -.56731E-07 -.10979 29 Prefactor .11102E-08 20.279 -.67434E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat .90614 .11504 -.78139E-06 -.90339E-04 31 Prefactor 1.0437 .94265E-01 .14333E-06 -.78628E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.54709 Prefactor = 1.22754 Prefactor = 0.820933 Prefactor = 9.35904 Prefactor = 0.416186 Prefactor = 2.22166 norm = 0 norm = 0.0355268 norm = 5.43212 Prefactor = 4.88253 Prefactor = 2.65403 norm = 10.2919 Prefactor = 1.45804 Prefactor = 2.74791 Prefactor = 3.71836 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 25.3664 norm = 3.28095 norm = 0.117364 Prefactor = 2.82163 norm = 0 norm = 1.27954 norm = 1.4491 Prefactor = 6.35147 norm = 9.08363 Prefactor = 13.6677 norm = 4.86296 Prefactor = 37.7483 Prefactor = 1.11022e-09 Normalizat = 0.90614 Prefactor = 1.04367 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 28838.6592207 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1648.2+4232 Spectrum: PowerLaw 355 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.719e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 356 Index: 2.425e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 357 Scale: 8.460e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 687 Prefactor: 1.044e+00 8.089e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 688 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 689 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 686 Normalization: 9.061e-01 1.009e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 252.072 42.550 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.17480711507e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00168336859447 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31179065/likelihoodResults_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 28838.6626114 delta logL = -0.003390769205 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 28838.659221 delta logL = -3.39561665896e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .11102E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.1354 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .90607 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0437 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6900E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 28838.66 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 42 CALLS 214 TOTAL EDM= .71E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .50713 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.9000 .84898 .35555E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat .90614 1.2412 -.70405E-05 -.10811E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0437 1.1988 .55578E-05 -.71408E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.90001 Normalizat = 0.90614 Prefactor = 1.04367 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 28838.66 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 223 TOTAL EDM= .71E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .50713 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .37937 1.5941 .35555E-05 -.66874 3 Normalizat .90614 1.2412 -.70405E-05 -.96245 4 Prefactor 1.0437 1.1988 .55578E-05 -.91288 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 7.14951e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.31558e-06 2 0.855746 3 1.28402 4 1.2319 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 28838.6592207 delta logL = -3.63797880709e-12 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1648.2+4232 Spectrum: PowerLaw 355 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.316e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 356 Index: 1.900e+00 8.557e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 357 Scale: 8.460e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 687 Prefactor: 1.044e+00 1.232e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 688 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 689 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 686 Normalization: 9.061e-01 1.284e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 252.072 42.550 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31179065/cmap_HighResolution_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.68e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.17e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 23:00:58.569632', job_id='31179065', GAL2='1.04', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.91', EG='0.91', time_epoch_completed='1783663258.57', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.04', dlogl='-3.64e-12', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.43' WHERE bin_id='932' AND source_name='4FGL J1648.2+4232' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 23:00:58 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits.....................! real 87.10 user 83.49 sys 1.03 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/expmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31179296/Model_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1648.2+4232' 4FGL J1648.2+4232 Spectrum: PowerLaw 355 Prefactor: 1.067e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 356 Index: 2.425e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 357 Scale: 8.460e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31179296/expmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31179296/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31179296/Model_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 28838.7032195 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 28838.6597174 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.7528 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 1.2273 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .81725 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 9.4004 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .40779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 2.2216 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .85547E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .35442E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 5.4291 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 4.9633 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 2.6575 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 10.272 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 1.4576 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 2.7478 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 3.7145 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .70499E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 25.379 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' 3.2811 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .11685 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 2.8353 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' .40895E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 1.2704 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' 1.4490 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 6.3536 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 9.0823 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 13.163 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' 4.8625 1.0000 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 28838.66 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 718 CALLS 3085 TOTAL EDM= .16E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.5471 23.115 .32063E-03 -1.5646 2 Prefactor 1.2275 1.0806 .10157E-02 -1.5686 3 Prefactor .82093 1.7718 .51658E-03 -1.5690 4 Prefactor 9.3590 8.2365 .32662E-03 -1.5647 5 Prefactor .41619 1.2308 .51684E-02 -1.5695 6 Prefactor 2.2217 1.4356 .68961E-03 -1.5678 7 norm .0000 1.7341 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .35527E-01 .49427E-01 .80785E-03 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 5.4321 4.6143 .43103E-03 -1.5661 10 Prefactor 4.8825 7.6949 .45118E-03 -1.5664 11 Prefactor 2.6540 1.6513 .62503E-03 -1.5675 12 norm 10.292 16.279 .31239E-03 -1.5644 13 Prefactor 1.4580 .87678 .89123E-03 -1.5684 14 Prefactor 2.7479 .86675 .61388E-03 -1.5675 15 Prefactor 3.7184 1.6103 .52372E-03 -1.5669 16 Prefactor .0000 .47039 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 25.366 5.8180 .19854E-03 -1.5607 18 norm 3.2810 .87134 .55875E-03 -1.5672 19 norm .11736 .20874 .27211E-02 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 2.8216 2.9705 .60366E-03 -1.5674 21 norm .0000 .13392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 1.2795 3.1354 .98677E-03 -1.5685 23 norm 1.4491 .72446 .89486E-03 -1.5684 24 Prefactor 6.3515 2.0631 .39797E-03 -1.5658 25 norm 9.0836 2.9537 .33233E-03 -1.5648 26 Prefactor 13.668 27.288 .27582E-03 -1.5634 27 norm 4.8630 3.6416 .45594E-03 -1.5664 28 Prefactor 37.748 23.046 .16252E-03 -1.5585 29 Prefactor .11102E-08 1.7632 .73075E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat .90614 .10089 .44976E-01 -.96245 31 Prefactor 1.0437 .80877E-01 .40275E-01 -.91288 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.61613e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 23.1153 2 1.0806 3 1.7718 4 8.23653 5 1.23077 6 1.43564 7 3.94763e-07 8 0.0494265 9 4.61432 10 7.6949 11 1.65132 12 16.2792 13 0.876782 14 0.866752 15 1.61027 16 2.71935e-06 17 5.81798 18 0.871343 19 0.208739 20 2.97049 21 1.92985e-07 22 3.1354 23 0.724464 24 2.0631 25 2.95372 26 27.2881 27 3.64162 28 23.0456 29 8.87297e-05 30 0.100908 31 0.0808865 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits.....................! real 73.59 user 71.78 sys 1.00 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/expmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31179312/Model_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1648.2+4232' 4FGL J1648.2+4232 Spectrum: PowerLaw 355 Prefactor: 1.067e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 356 Index: 2.425e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 357 Scale: 8.460e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ft2_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31179312/expmap_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31179312/ltcube_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31179312/Model_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 28838.7032195 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 28838.6597174 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 9.7528 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' 1.2273 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .81725 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 9.4004 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .40779 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 2.2216 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' .85547E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .35442E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 5.4291 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 4.9633 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 2.6575 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'norm ' 10.272 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 1.4576 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Prefactor ' 2.7478 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 3.7145 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .70499E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 25.379 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'norm ' 3.2811 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'norm ' .11685 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'Prefactor ' 2.8353 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'norm ' .40895E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' 1.2704 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'norm ' 1.4490 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 6.3536 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 9.0823 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 13.163 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' 4.8625 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 37.871 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'Prefactor ' .53228E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' .90580 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.0440 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6900E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 28838.66 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 150 CALLS 2367 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.5471 9.3255 -.23325E-06 -.12674 2 Prefactor 1.2275 1.0617 .17132E-07 .11631E-02 3 Prefactor .82093 1.6842 .21206E-06 .66143E-02 4 Prefactor 9.3590 8.1011 -.84069E-07 -.49221E-01 5 Prefactor .41619 1.1029 .77331E-07 .10126E-01 6 Prefactor 2.2217 1.4158 .12256E-08 -.24275E-03 7 norm .0000 1.7303 .17931E-07** at limit ** 8 norm .35527E-01 .42754E-01 -.12195E-07** at limit ** 9 norm 5.4321 4.5947 -.28735E-07 .11879E-02 10 Prefactor 4.8825 7.3197 .94024E-07 .12925E-01 11 Prefactor 2.6540 1.6362 .16165E-07 .11999E-02 12 norm 10.292 1.2480 .23419E-08 -.26218E-01 13 Prefactor 1.4580 .87156 .81652E-08 .86520E-03 14 Prefactor 2.7479 .89668 .36403E-08 .12629E-02 15 Prefactor 3.7184 1.5791 -.64193E-08 -.25982E-02 16 Prefactor .0000 .47428 -.41728E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 25.366 5.8117 -.27739E-07 .37712E-01 18 norm 3.2810 .86859 -.94332E-09 -.10065E-02 19 norm .11736 .26082 .15599E-08** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 2.8216 2.9038 -.75324E-08 .17542E-03 21 norm .0000 .13923 -.55639E-08** at limit ** 22 norm 1.2795 3.1047 .13670E-06 .15316E-02 23 norm 1.4491 .71284 -.18791E-10 -.48256E-03 24 Prefactor 6.3515 2.0380 -.70793E-08 -.36561E-03 25 norm 9.0836 2.9280 -.46805E-07 .13227E-02 26 Prefactor 13.668 24.397 .63900E-06 -.67481E-01 27 norm 4.8630 3.3069 -.30108E-07 -.79162E-02 28 Prefactor 37.748 4.4932 -.56731E-07 -.10979 29 Prefactor .11102E-08 20.279 -.67434E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat .90614 .11504 -.78139E-06 -.90339E-04 31 Prefactor 1.0437 .94265E-01 .14333E-06 -.78628E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.54709 Prefactor = 1.22754 Prefactor = 0.820933 Prefactor = 9.35904 Prefactor = 0.416186 Prefactor = 2.22166 norm = 0 norm = 0.0355268 norm = 5.43212 Prefactor = 4.88253 Prefactor = 2.65403 norm = 10.2919 Prefactor = 1.45804 Prefactor = 2.74791 Prefactor = 3.71836 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 25.3664 norm = 3.28095 norm = 0.117364 Prefactor = 2.82163 norm = 0 norm = 1.27954 norm = 1.4491 Prefactor = 6.35147 norm = 9.08363 Prefactor = 13.6677 norm = 4.86296 Prefactor = 37.7483 Prefactor = 1.11022e-09 Normalizat = 0.90614 Prefactor = 1.04367 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 37.871 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'Prefactor ' .53228E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' .90580 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.0440 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6900E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 28838.66 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 150 CALLS 2367 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .4% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 9.5471 9.3255 -.23325E-06 -.12674 2 Prefactor 1.2275 1.0617 .17132E-07 .11631E-02 3 Prefactor .82093 1.6842 .21206E-06 .66143E-02 4 Prefactor 9.3590 8.1011 -.84069E-07 -.49221E-01 5 Prefactor .41619 1.1029 .77331E-07 .10126E-01 6 Prefactor 2.2217 1.4158 .12256E-08 -.24275E-03 7 norm .0000 1.7303 .17931E-07** at limit ** 8 norm .35527E-01 .42754E-01 -.12195E-07** at limit ** 9 norm 5.4321 4.5947 -.28735E-07 .11879E-02 10 Prefactor 4.8825 7.3197 .94024E-07 .12925E-01 11 Prefactor 2.6540 1.6362 .16165E-07 .11999E-02 12 norm 10.292 1.2480 .23419E-08 -.26218E-01 13 Prefactor 1.4580 .87156 .81652E-08 .86520E-03 14 Prefactor 2.7479 .89668 .36403E-08 .12629E-02 15 Prefactor 3.7184 1.5791 -.64193E-08 -.25982E-02 16 Prefactor .0000 .47428 -.41728E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 25.366 5.8117 -.27739E-07 .37712E-01 18 norm 3.2810 .86859 -.94332E-09 -.10065E-02 19 norm .11736 .26082 .15599E-08** at limit ** 20 Prefactor 2.8216 2.9038 -.75324E-08 .17542E-03 21 norm .0000 .13923 -.55639E-08** at limit ** 22 norm 1.2795 3.1047 .13670E-06 .15316E-02 23 norm 1.4491 .71284 -.18791E-10 -.48256E-03 24 Prefactor 6.3515 2.0380 -.70793E-08 -.36561E-03 25 norm 9.0836 2.9280 -.46805E-07 .13227E-02 26 Prefactor 13.668 24.397 .63900E-06 -.67481E-01 27 norm 4.8630 3.3069 -.30108E-07 -.79162E-02 28 Prefactor 37.748 4.4932 -.56731E-07 -.10979 29 Prefactor .11102E-08 20.279 -.67434E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat .90614 .11504 -.78139E-06 -.90339E-04 31 Prefactor 1.0437 .94265E-01 .14333E-06 -.78628E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 9.54709 Prefactor = 1.22754 Prefactor = 0.820933 Prefactor = 9.35904 Prefactor = 0.416186 Prefactor = 2.22166 norm = 0 norm = 0.0355268 norm = 5.43212 Prefactor = 4.88253 Prefactor = 2.65403 norm = 10.2919 Prefactor = 1.45804 Prefactor = 2.74791 Prefactor = 3.71836 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 25.3664 norm = 3.28095 norm = 0.117364 Prefactor = 2.82163 norm = 0 norm = 1.27954 norm = 1.4491 Prefactor = 6.35147 norm = 9.08363 Prefactor = 13.6677 norm = 4.86296 Prefactor = 37.7483 Prefactor = 1.11022e-09 Normalizat = 0.90614 Prefactor = 1.04367 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 28838.66 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 718 CALLS 3085 TOTAL EDM= .16E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.5471 23.115 .32063E-03 -1.5646 2 Prefactor 1.2275 1.0806 .10157E-02 -1.5686 3 Prefactor .82093 1.7718 .51658E-03 -1.5690 4 Prefactor 9.3590 8.2365 .32662E-03 -1.5647 5 Prefactor .41619 1.2308 .51684E-02 -1.5695 6 Prefactor 2.2217 1.4356 .68961E-03 -1.5678 7 norm .0000 1.7341 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .35527E-01 .49427E-01 .80785E-03 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 5.4321 4.6143 .43103E-03 -1.5661 10 Prefactor 4.8825 7.6949 .45118E-03 -1.5664 11 Prefactor 2.6540 1.6513 .62503E-03 -1.5675 12 norm 10.292 16.279 .31239E-03 -1.5644 13 Prefactor 1.4580 .87678 .89123E-03 -1.5684 14 Prefactor 2.7479 .86675 .61388E-03 -1.5675 15 Prefactor 3.7184 1.6103 .52372E-03 -1.5669 16 Prefactor .0000 .47039 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 25.366 5.8180 .19854E-03 -1.5607 18 norm 3.2810 .87134 .55875E-03 -1.5672 19 norm .11736 .20874 .27211E-02 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 2.8216 2.9705 .60366E-03 -1.5674 21 norm .0000 .13392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 1.2795 3.1354 .98677E-03 -1.5685 23 norm 1.4491 .72446 .89486E-03 -1.5684 24 Prefactor 6.3515 2.0631 .39797E-03 -1.5658 25 norm 9.0836 2.9537 .33233E-03 -1.5648 26 Prefactor 13.668 27.288 .27582E-03 -1.5634 27 norm 4.8630 3.6416 .45594E-03 -1.5664 28 Prefactor 37.748 23.046 .16252E-03 -1.5585 29 Prefactor .11102E-08 1.7632 .73075E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat .90614 .10089 .44976E-01 -.96245 31 Prefactor 1.0437 .80877E-01 .40275E-01 -.91288 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.61613e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 23.1153 2 1.0806 3 1.7718 4 8.23653 5 1.23077 6 1.43564 7 3.94763e-07 8 0.0494265 9 4.61432 10 7.6949 11 1.65132 12 16.2792 13 0.876782 14 0.866752 15 1.61027 16 2.71935e-06 17 5.81798 18 0.871343 19 0.208739 20 2.97049 21 1.92985e-07 22 3.1354 23 0.724464 24 2.0631 25 2.95372 26 27.2881 27 3.64162 28 23.0456 29 8.87297e-05 30 0.100908 31 0.0808865 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 28838.66 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 718 CALLS 3085 TOTAL EDM= .16E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 9.5471 23.115 .32063E-03 -1.5646 2 Prefactor 1.2275 1.0806 .10157E-02 -1.5686 3 Prefactor .82093 1.7718 .51658E-03 -1.5690 4 Prefactor 9.3590 8.2365 .32662E-03 -1.5647 5 Prefactor .41619 1.2308 .51684E-02 -1.5695 6 Prefactor 2.2217 1.4356 .68961E-03 -1.5678 7 norm .0000 1.7341 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm .35527E-01 .49427E-01 .80785E-03 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 5.4321 4.6143 .43103E-03 -1.5661 10 Prefactor 4.8825 7.6949 .45118E-03 -1.5664 11 Prefactor 2.6540 1.6513 .62503E-03 -1.5675 12 norm 10.292 16.279 .31239E-03 -1.5644 13 Prefactor 1.4580 .87678 .89123E-03 -1.5684 14 Prefactor 2.7479 .86675 .61388E-03 -1.5675 15 Prefactor 3.7184 1.6103 .52372E-03 -1.5669 16 Prefactor .0000 .47039 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 25.366 5.8180 .19854E-03 -1.5607 18 norm 3.2810 .87134 .55875E-03 -1.5672 19 norm .11736 .20874 .27211E-02 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 Prefactor 2.8216 2.9705 .60366E-03 -1.5674 21 norm .0000 .13392 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 22 norm 1.2795 3.1354 .98677E-03 -1.5685 23 norm 1.4491 .72446 .89486E-03 -1.5684 24 Prefactor 6.3515 2.0631 .39797E-03 -1.5658 25 norm 9.0836 2.9537 .33233E-03 -1.5648 26 Prefactor 13.668 27.288 .27582E-03 -1.5634 27 norm 4.8630 3.6416 .45594E-03 -1.5664 28 Prefactor 37.748 23.046 .16252E-03 -1.5585 29 Prefactor .11102E-08 1.7632 .73075E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat .90614 .10089 .44976E-01 -.96245 31 Prefactor 1.0437 .80877E-01 .40275E-01 -.91288 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.61613e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 23.1153 2 1.0806 3 1.7718 4 8.23653 5 1.23077 6 1.43564 7 3.94763e-07 8 0.0494265 9 4.61432 10 7.6949 11 1.65132 12 16.2792 13 0.876782 14 0.866752 15 1.61027 16 2.71935e-06 17 5.81798 18 0.871343 19 0.208739 20 2.97049 21 1.92985e-07 22 3.1354 23 0.724464 24 2.0631 25 2.95372 26 27.2881 27 3.64162 28 23.0456 29 8.87297e-05 30 0.100908 31 0.0808865 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 28838.6592207 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1648.2+4232 Spectrum: PowerLaw 355 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.719e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 356 Index: 2.425e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 357 Scale: 8.460e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 687 Prefactor: 1.044e+00 8.089e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 688 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 689 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 686 Normalization: 9.061e-01 1.009e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 252.072 42.550 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.17480711507e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00168336859447 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31179188/likelihoodResults_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 28838.6626114 delta logL = -0.003390769205 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 28838.659221 delta logL = -3.39561665896e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .11102E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.1354 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .90607 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0437 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6900E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 28838.66 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 42 CALLS 214 TOTAL EDM= .71E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .50713 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.9000 .84898 .35555E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat .90614 1.2412 -.70405E-05 -.10811E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0437 1.1988 .55578E-05 -.71408E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.90001 Normalizat = 0.90614 Prefactor = 1.04367 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 28838.66 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 223 TOTAL EDM= .71E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .50713 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .37937 1.5941 .35555E-05 -.66874 3 Normalizat .90614 1.2412 -.70405E-05 -.96245 4 Prefactor 1.0437 1.1988 .55578E-05 -.91288 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 7.14951e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.31558e-06 2 0.855746 3 1.28402 4 1.2319 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 28838.6592207 delta logL = -3.63797880709e-12 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1648.2+4232 Spectrum: PowerLaw 355 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.316e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 356 Index: 1.900e+00 8.557e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 357 Scale: 8.460e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 687 Prefactor: 1.044e+00 1.232e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 688 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 689 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 686 Normalization: 9.061e-01 1.284e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 252.072 42.550 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31179188/cmap_HighResolution_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.68e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.17e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 23:06:19.248993', job_id='31179188', GAL2='1.04', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.91', EG='0.91', time_epoch_completed='1783663579.25', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.04', dlogl='-3.64e-12', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.43' WHERE bin_id='932' AND source_name='4FGL J1648.2+4232' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 23:06:19 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 28838.6592207 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1648.2+4232 Spectrum: PowerLaw 355 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.719e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 356 Index: 2.425e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 357 Scale: 8.460e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 687 Prefactor: 1.044e+00 8.089e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 688 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 689 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 686 Normalization: 9.061e-01 1.009e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 252.072 42.550 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.17480711507e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00168336859447 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31179312/likelihoodResults_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 28838.6626114 delta logL = -0.003390769205 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 28838.659221 delta logL = -3.39561665896e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .11102E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.1354 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .90607 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0437 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6900E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 28838.66 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 42 CALLS 214 TOTAL EDM= .71E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .50713 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.9000 .84898 .35555E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat .90614 1.2412 -.70405E-05 -.10811E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0437 1.1988 .55578E-05 -.71408E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.90001 Normalizat = 0.90614 Prefactor = 1.04367 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 28838.66 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 223 TOTAL EDM= .71E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .50713 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .37937 1.5941 .35555E-05 -.66874 3 Normalizat .90614 1.2412 -.70405E-05 -.96245 4 Prefactor 1.0437 1.1988 .55578E-05 -.91288 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 7.14951e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.31558e-06 2 0.855746 3 1.28402 4 1.2319 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 28838.6592207 delta logL = -3.63797880709e-12 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1648.2+4232 Spectrum: PowerLaw 355 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.316e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 356 Index: 1.900e+00 8.557e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 357 Scale: 8.460e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 687 Prefactor: 1.044e+00 1.232e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 688 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 689 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 686 Normalization: 9.061e-01 1.284e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 252.072 42.550 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31179312/cmap_HighResolution_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.68e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.17e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 23:09:27.413532', job_id='31179312', GAL2='1.04', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.91', EG='0.91', time_epoch_completed='1783663767.41', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.04', dlogl='-3.64e-12', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.43' WHERE bin_id='932' AND source_name='4FGL J1648.2+4232' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 23:09:27 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 28838.6592207 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1648.2+4232 Spectrum: PowerLaw 355 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.719e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 356 Index: 2.425e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 357 Scale: 8.460e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 687 Prefactor: 1.044e+00 8.089e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 688 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 689 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 686 Normalization: 9.061e-01 1.009e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 252.072 42.550 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.17480711507e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00168336859447 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31179296/likelihoodResults_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 28838.6626114 delta logL = -0.003390769205 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 28838.659221 delta logL = -3.39561665896e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .11102E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.1354 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .90607 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0437 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6900E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 28838.66 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 42 CALLS 214 TOTAL EDM= .71E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .50713 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.9000 .84898 .35555E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat .90614 1.2412 -.70405E-05 -.10811E-03 4 Prefactor 1.0437 1.1988 .55578E-05 -.71408E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.90001 Normalizat = 0.90614 Prefactor = 1.04367 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 28838.66 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 223 TOTAL EDM= .71E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .50713 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .37937 1.5941 .35555E-05 -.66874 3 Normalizat .90614 1.2412 -.70405E-05 -.96245 4 Prefactor 1.0437 1.1988 .55578E-05 -.91288 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 7.14951e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.31558e-06 2 0.855746 3 1.28402 4 1.2319 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 28838.6592207 delta logL = -3.63797880709e-12 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1648.2+4232 Spectrum: PowerLaw 355 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.316e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 356 Index: 1.900e+00 8.557e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 357 Scale: 8.460e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 687 Prefactor: 1.044e+00 1.232e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 688 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 689 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 686 Normalization: 9.061e-01 1.284e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 252.072 42.550 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31179296/cmap_HighResolution_802656001_803260801_4FGL_J1648.2+4232_weekly_bin932.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='1.68e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.17e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 23:09:43.948761', job_id='31179296', GAL2='1.04', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.91', EG='0.91', time_epoch_completed='1783663783.95', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.04', dlogl='-3.64e-12', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.43' WHERE bin_id='932' AND source_name='4FGL J1648.2+4232' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 23:09:44 PDT 2026