/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 17530 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933 RA = 251.892, Dec = 49.8336 tmin = 803260801, tmax = 803865601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31178920', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-09 22:34:13.561110', time_epoch_executed='1783661653.56' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1647.5+4950' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='933' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31178920 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31178920/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=803260801.0 && nMetStart<803865601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=803260801.0 && nMetStart<803865601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ft1_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=803260801.0 && nMetStart<803865601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ft1_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits ra=251.892 dec=49.8336 rad=12.0 tmin=803260801.0 tmax=803865601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.02 user 3.32 sys 0.27 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.69 user 0.20 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 2913 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ltcube_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits .....................! real 18.61 user 17.95 sys 0.20 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ltcube_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/expmap_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ltcube_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits .....................! real 67.77 user 63.23 sys 3.97 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 219 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1647.5+4950 @ 251.892 49.8336 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/cmap_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=251.892 yref=49.8336 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.63 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/cmap_HighResolution_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=251.892 yref=49.8336 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.62 user 0.23 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/Model_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcnumber of points = 17530 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933 RA = 251.892, Dec = 49.8336 tmin = 803260801, tmax = 803865601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31179031', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-09 22:37:15.378967', time_epoch_executed='1783661835.38' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1647.5+4950' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='933' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31179031 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31179031/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=803260801.0 && nMetStart<803865601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=803260801.0 && nMetStart<803865601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ft1_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=803260801.0 && nMetStart<803865601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ft1_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits ra=251.892 dec=49.8336 rad=12.0 tmin=803260801.0 tmax=803865601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.59 user 3.64 sys 0.20 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.95 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 2913 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ltcube_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits .....................! real 20.50 user 19.49 sys 0.28 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ltcube_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/expmap_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ltcube_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits .....................! real 75.36 user 68.69 sys 4.30 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 219 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1647.5+4950 @ 251.892 49.8336 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/cmap_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=251.892 yref=49.8336 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.94 user 0.23 sys 0.11 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/cmap_HighResolution_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=251.892 yref=49.8336 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.08 user 0.24 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/Model_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourc GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31178683/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits.....................! real 88.80 user 86.29 sys 1.41 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31178683/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31178683/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31178683/expmap_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31178683/ltcube_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31178683/Model_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1647.5+4950' 4FGL J1647.5+4950 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 2.441e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.386e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 8.183e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31178683/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31178683/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31178683/expmap_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31178683/ltcube_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31178683/Model_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 31324.127446 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 31323.9387494 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 5.9442 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .62461E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 10.858 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .49133E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .70937E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .74153E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .10386E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .71759E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 11.080 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' .41511E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .35329E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 2.5646 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 2.9618 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .39944E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 2.6833 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .59872 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .25778E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .86320E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 20.809 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 4.5857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 11.892 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .52234 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .41961E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .14994E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 3.3826 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .33046E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .14818E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 2.6980 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .15270E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' 3.3894 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' 5.5728 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Prefactor ' 12.897 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 33 'Prefactor ' .14791E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 34 'Normalizat' 1.1122 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 35 'Prefactor ' .96734 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 31323.94 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 197 CALLS 2951 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 5.9572 2.5174 .44162E-08 -.95845E-03 2 norm .0000 2.1764 -.16149E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 10.864 1.4134 -.15557E-06 -.13140E-01 4 Prefactor .72164E-09 15.034 -.38564E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .22204E-09 .73887 -.54885E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.0841 -.18664E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .13243E-04 .37436 .31435E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .66613E-09 5.3910 -.92452E-06** at limit ** 9 norm 11.070 1.3951 -.17679E-06 -.40709E-01 10 norm .41478E-01 .53803E-01 .23590E-07** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 1.1118 -.53263E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 2.5614 1.8195 -.44993E-07 .63155E-03 13 Prefactor 2.9516 3.1242 -.79625E-07 .11787E-02 14 norm .11269E-07 5.3147 .12395E-05** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 2.6825 .95884 .27989E-08 .16127E-01 16 Prefactor .59921 .85408 -.36805E-07 -.15564E-03 17 Prefactor .88818E-09 1.4316 .24894E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 .41629 .19606E-07** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 20.803 5.6122 -.19447E-06 .16729E-01 20 norm 4.5854 .98142 -.37751E-08 .65617E-02 21 Prefactor 11.812 7.0584 .12244E-06 .11885E-02 22 norm .52205 .34487 .73505E-08 .44446E-02 23 Prefactor .16653E-08 5.6391 .17216E-05** at limit ** 24 norm .14726E-01 1.6168 -.10852E-07** at limit ** 25 norm 3.3859 4.3748 .47556E-08 .50432E-03 26 Prefactor .11102E-09 1.0131 -.34847E-08** at limit ** 27 norm .98138E-06 1.5419 -.71765E-06** at limit ** 28 Prefactor 2.6967 1.6311 -.26605E-07 -.10977E-01 29 norm .55511E-10 .82170 .53753E-07** at limit ** 30 Prefactor 3.4092 1.1325 -.12298E-06 -.46298E-04 31 Prefactor 5.5818 2.0868 .57701E-07 .14001E-01 32 Prefactor 12.512 2.7657 -.12125E-06 .60234E-02 33 Prefactor .17319E-07 5.0712 .42127E-06** at limit ** 34 Normalizat 1.1123 .10322 .18186E-05 .95584E-03 35 Prefactor .96743 .89619E-01 -.77332E-06 .75734E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.9572 norm = 0 Prefactor = 10.8638 Prefactor = 7.21645e-10 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.32431e-05 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 norm = 11.0697 norm = 0.0414775 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.56136 Prefactor = 2.95157 norm = 1.12688e-08 Prefactor = 2.68246 Prefactor = 0.599207 Prefactor = 8.88178e-10 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 20.8029 norm = 4.58536 Prefactor = 11.8118 norm = 0.522054 Prefactor = 1.66533e-09 norm = 0.014726 norm = 3.38588 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 norm = 9.81382e-07 Prefactor = 2.69666 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 3.40923 Prefactor = 5.5818 Prefactor = 12.5121 Prefactor = 1.73195e-08 Normalizat = 1.11235 Prefactor = 0.967433 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits.....................! real 83.85 user 81.62 sys 1.42 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/expmap_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ltcube_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31178920/Model_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1647.5+4950' 4FGL J1647.5+4950 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 2.441e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.386e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 8.183e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31178920/expmap_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31178920/ltcube_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31178920/Model_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 31324.127446 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 31323.9387494 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 5.9442 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .62461E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 10.858 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .49133E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .70937E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .74153E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .10386E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .71759E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 11.080 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' .41511E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .35329E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 2.5646 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 2.9618 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .39944E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 2.6833 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .59872 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .25778E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .86320E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 20.809 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 4.5857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 11.892 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .52234 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .41961E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .14994E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 3.3826 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .33046E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .14818E-02 1.0000 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 31323.94 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 874 CALLS 3825 TOTAL EDM= .64E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 5.9572 2.5190 .41163E-03 -1.5659 2 norm .0000 2.1476 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 10.864 8.9074 .30379E-03 -1.5642 4 Prefactor .72164E-09 15.476 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .22204E-09 .74380 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.4380 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .13243E-04 .45780 .60678E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .66613E-09 .62316 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 11.070 6.2488 .30073E-03 -1.5641 10 norm .41478E-01 .60082E-01 .10214E-02 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 1.1176 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 2.5614 1.8443 .63718E-03 -1.5676 13 Prefactor 2.9516 3.1474 .58978E-03 -1.5674 14 norm .11269E-07 10.512 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 2.6825 .91094 .62177E-03 -1.5675 16 Prefactor .59921 .79718 .69343E-04 -1.5692 17 Prefactor .88818E-09 .54823 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 .41826 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 20.803 5.6890 .21928E-03 -1.5617 20 norm 4.5854 .98241 .46981E-03 -1.5665 21 Prefactor 11.812 7.0755 .29024E-03 -1.5639 22 norm .52205 .36392 .76493E-03 -1.5694 23 Prefactor .16653E-08 .87097 .57172E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm .14726E-01 .12380 .21559E-02 -1.5710 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm 3.3859 4.3833 .54990E-03 -1.5671 26 Prefactor .11102E-09 1.0155 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 norm .98138E-06 .22077 .29722E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor 2.6967 1.6388 .61994E-03 -1.5675 29 norm .55511E-10 .82412 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Prefactor 3.4092 12.224 .54932E-03 -1.5671 31 Prefactor 5.5818 2.1329 .42534E-03 -1.5661 32 Prefactor 12.512 18.502 .27866E-03 -1.5637 33 Prefactor .17319E-07 9.8306 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 34 Normalizat 1.1123 .87508E-01 .57324E-01 -.89356 35 Prefactor .96743 .75010E-01 .45858E-01 -.93823 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.44533e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.51898 2 1.06707e-06 3 8.90742 4 0.000213882 5 2.67937e-05 6 7.46495e-05 7 0.00492453 8 4.07059e-05 9 6.2488 10 0.0600817 11 1.06966e-05 12 1.84432 13 3.14737 14 0.000688958 15 0.910944 16 0.797182 17 4.35034e-05 18 8.83709e-06 19 5.68902 20 0.982408 21 7.07555 22 0.36392 23 7.66233e-05 24 0.0853945 25 4.38333 26 2.34849e-05 27 0.000930933 28 1.63876 29 1.36883e-05 30 12.2245 31 2.13289 32 18.5023 33 0.000824777 34 0.0875197 35 0.0750185 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 2.6980 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .15270E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' 3.3894 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' 5.5728 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Prefactor ' 12.897 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 33 'Prefactor ' .14791E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 34 'Normalizat' 1.1122 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 35 'Prefactor ' .96734 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 31323.94 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 197 CALLS 2951 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 5.9572 2.5174 .44162E-08 -.95845E-03 2 norm .0000 2.1764 -.16149E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 10.864 1.4134 -.15557E-06 -.13140E-01 4 Prefactor .72164E-09 15.034 -.38564E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .22204E-09 .73887 -.54885E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.0841 -.18664E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .13243E-04 .37436 .31435E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .66613E-09 5.3910 -.92452E-06** at limit ** 9 norm 11.070 1.3951 -.17679E-06 -.40709E-01 10 norm .41478E-01 .53803E-01 .23590E-07** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 1.1118 -.53263E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 2.5614 1.8195 -.44993E-07 .63155E-03 13 Prefactor 2.9516 3.1242 -.79625E-07 .11787E-02 14 norm .11269E-07 5.3147 .12395E-05** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 2.6825 .95884 .27989E-08 .16127E-01 16 Prefactor .59921 .85408 -.36805E-07 -.15564E-03 17 Prefactor .88818E-09 1.4316 .24894E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 .41629 .19606E-07** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 20.803 5.6122 -.19447E-06 .16729E-01 20 norm 4.5854 .98142 -.37751E-08 .65617E-02 21 Prefactor 11.812 7.0584 .12244E-06 .11885E-02 22 norm .52205 .34487 .73505E-08 .44446E-02 23 Prefactor .16653E-08 5.6391 .17216E-05** at limit ** 24 norm .14726E-01 1.6168 -.10852E-07** at limit ** 25 norm 3.3859 4.3748 .47556E-08 .50432E-03 26 Prefactor .11102E-09 1.0131 -.34847E-08** at limit ** 27 norm .98138E-06 1.5419 -.71765E-06** at limit ** 28 Prefactor 2.6967 1.6311 -.26605E-07 -.10977E-01 29 norm .55511E-10 .82170 .53753E-07** at limit ** 30 Prefactor 3.4092 1.1325 -.12298E-06 -.46298E-04 31 Prefactor 5.5818 2.0868 .57701E-07 .14001E-01 32 Prefactor 12.512 2.7657 -.12125E-06 .60234E-02 33 Prefactor .17319E-07 5.0712 .42127E-06** at limit ** 34 Normalizat 1.1123 .10322 .18186E-05 .95584E-03 35 Prefactor .96743 .89619E-01 -.77332E-06 .75734E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.9572 norm = 0 Prefactor = 10.8638 Prefactor = 7.21645e-10 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.32431e-05 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 norm = 11.0697 norm = 0.0414775 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.56136 Prefactor = 2.95157 norm = 1.12688e-08 Prefactor = 2.68246 Prefactor = 0.599207 Prefactor = 8.88178e-10 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 20.8029 norm = 4.58536 Prefactor = 11.8118 norm = 0.522054 Prefactor = 1.66533e-09 norm = 0.014726 norm = 3.38588 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 norm = 9.81382e-07 Prefactor = 2.69666 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 3.40923 Prefactor = 5.5818 Prefactor = 12.5121 Prefactor = 1.73195e-08 Normalizat = 1.11235 Prefactor = 0.967433 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 31323.94 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 874 CALLS 3825 TOTAL EDM= .64E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 5.9572 2.5190 .41163E-03 -1.5659 2 norm .0000 2.1476 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 10.864 8.9074 .30379E-03 -1.5642 4 Prefactor .72164E-09 15.476 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .22204E-09 .74380 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.4380 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .13243E-04 .45780 .60678E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .66613E-09 .62316 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 11.070 6.2488 .30073E-03 -1.5641 10 norm .41478E-01 .60082E-01 .10214E-02 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 1.1176 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 2.5614 1.8443 .63718E-03 -1.5676 13 Prefactor 2.9516 3.1474 .58978E-03 -1.5674 14 norm .11269E-07 10.512 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 2.6825 .91094 .62177E-03 -1.5675 16 Prefactor .59921 .79718 .69343E-04 -1.5692 17 Prefactor .88818E-09 .54823 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 .41826 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 20.803 5.6890 .21928E-03 -1.5617 20 norm 4.5854 .98241 .46981E-03 -1.5665 21 Prefactor 11.812 7.0755 .29024E-03 -1.5639 22 norm .52205 .36392 .76493E-03 -1.5694 23 Prefactor .16653E-08 .87097 .57172E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm .14726E-01 .12380 .21559E-02 -1.5710 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm 3.3859 4.3833 .54990E-03 -1.5671 26 Prefactor .11102E-09 1.0155 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 norm .98138E-06 .22077 .29722E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor 2.6967 1.6388 .61994E-03 -1.5675 29 norm .55511E-10 .82412 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Prefactor 3.4092 12.224 .54932E-03 -1.5671 31 Prefactor 5.5818 2.1329 .42534E-03 -1.5661 32 Prefactor 12.512 18.502 .27866E-03 -1.5637 33 Prefactor .17319E-07 9.8306 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 34 Normalizat 1.1123 .87508E-01 .57324E-01 -.89356 35 Prefactor .96743 .75010E-01 .45858E-01 -.93823 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.44533e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.51898 2 1.06707e-06 3 8.90742 4 0.000213882 5 2.67937e-05 6 7.46495e-05 7 0.00492453 8 4.07059e-05 9 6.2488 10 0.0600817 11 1.06966e-05 12 1.84432 13 3.14737 14 0.000688958 15 0.910944 16 0.797182 17 4.35034e-05 18 8.83709e-06 19 5.68902 20 0.982408 21 7.07555 22 0.36392 23 7.66233e-05 24 0.0853945 25 4.38333 26 2.34849e-05 27 0.000930933 28 1.63876 29 1.36883e-05 30 12.2245 31 2.13289 32 18.5023 33 0.000824777 34 0.0875197 35 0.0750185 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits.....................! real 88.56 user 85.15 sys 1.03 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/expmap_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ltcube_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31179031/Model_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1647.5+4950' 4FGL J1647.5+4950 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 2.441e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.386e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 8.183e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31179031/expmap_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31179031/ltcube_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31179031/Model_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 31324.127446 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 31323.9387494 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 5.9442 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .62461E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 10.858 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .49133E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .70937E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .74153E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .10386E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .71759E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 11.080 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' .41511E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .35329E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 2.5646 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 2.9618 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .39944E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' 2.6833 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .59872 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .25778E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .86320E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 20.809 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 4.5857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 11.892 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .52234 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .41961E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .14994E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 3.3826 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' .33046E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .14818E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 2.6980 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .15270E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' 3.3894 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' 5.5728 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Prefactor ' 12.897 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 33 'Prefactor ' .14791E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 34 'Normalizat' 1.1122 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 35 'Prefactor ' .96734 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 31323.94 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 197 CALLS 2951 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.9% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 5.9572 2.5174 .44162E-08 -.95845E-03 2 norm .0000 2.1764 -.16149E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 10.864 1.4134 -.15557E-06 -.13140E-01 4 Prefactor .72164E-09 15.034 -.38564E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor .22204E-09 .73887 -.54885E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.0841 -.18664E-05** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .13243E-04 .37436 .31435E-06** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .66613E-09 5.3910 -.92452E-06** at limit ** 9 norm 11.070 1.3951 -.17679E-06 -.40709E-01 10 norm .41478E-01 .53803E-01 .23590E-07** at limit ** 11 norm .0000 1.1118 -.53263E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 2.5614 1.8195 -.44993E-07 .63155E-03 13 Prefactor 2.9516 3.1242 -.79625E-07 .11787E-02 14 norm .11269E-07 5.3147 .12395E-05** at limit ** 15 Prefactor 2.6825 .95884 .27989E-08 .16127E-01 16 Prefactor .59921 .85408 -.36805E-07 -.15564E-03 17 Prefactor .88818E-09 1.4316 .24894E-06** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 .41629 .19606E-07** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 20.803 5.6122 -.19447E-06 .16729E-01 20 norm 4.5854 .98142 -.37751E-08 .65617E-02 21 Prefactor 11.812 7.0584 .12244E-06 .11885E-02 22 norm .52205 .34487 .73505E-08 .44446E-02 23 Prefactor .16653E-08 5.6391 .17216E-05** at limit ** 24 norm .14726E-01 1.6168 -.10852E-07** at limit ** 25 norm 3.3859 4.3748 .47556E-08 .50432E-03 26 Prefactor .11102E-09 1.0131 -.34847E-08** at limit ** 27 norm .98138E-06 1.5419 -.71765E-06** at limit ** 28 Prefactor 2.6967 1.6311 -.26605E-07 -.10977E-01 29 norm .55511E-10 .82170 .53753E-07** at limit ** 30 Prefactor 3.4092 1.1325 -.12298E-06 -.46298E-04 31 Prefactor 5.5818 2.0868 .57701E-07 .14001E-01 32 Prefactor 12.512 2.7657 -.12125E-06 .60234E-02 33 Prefactor .17319E-07 5.0712 .42127E-06** at limit ** 34 Normalizat 1.1123 .10322 .18186E-05 .95584E-03 35 Prefactor .96743 .89619E-01 -.77332E-06 .75734E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.9572 norm = 0 Prefactor = 10.8638 Prefactor = 7.21645e-10 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.32431e-05 Prefactor = 6.66134e-10 norm = 11.0697 norm = 0.0414775 norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.56136 Prefactor = 2.95157 norm = 1.12688e-08 Prefactor = 2.68246 Prefactor = 0.599207 Prefactor = 8.88178e-10 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 20.8029 norm = 4.58536 Prefactor = 11.8118 norm = 0.522054 Prefactor = 1.66533e-09 norm = 0.014726 norm = 3.38588 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 norm = 9.81382e-07 Prefactor = 2.69666 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 3.40923 Prefactor = 5.5818 Prefactor = 12.5121 Prefactor = 1.73195e-08 Normalizat = 1.11235 Prefactor = 0.967433 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 31323.9381165 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1647.5+4950 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 8.882e-10 4.350e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.386e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 8.183e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 704 Prefactor: 9.674e-01 7.502e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 705 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 706 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 703 Normalization: 1.112e+00 8.752e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 251.892 49.834 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.08226169793e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00237947640154 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31178683/likelihoodResults_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 31323.7580088 delta logL = 0.180107765522 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 31323.7478445 delta logL = 0.19027203137 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .24213 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.3971 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0983 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .97330 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 31323.75 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 311 TOTAL EDM= .70E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .24191 .67278 .29151E-02** at limit ** 2 Index 3.3968 .34203 .48386 .55079E-04 3 Normalizat 1.0985 .49183E-02 .57629E-01 .71803E-04 4 Prefactor .97317 .44262E-02 .45933E-01 .70670E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.241905 Index = 3.39681 Normalizat = 1.09854 Prefactor = 0.973173 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 31323.75 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 35 CALLS 346 TOTAL EDM= .93E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .24191 32.223 .99178E-04 -1.5698 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.3968 5.2275 .52407E-02 -.32640 3 Normalizat 1.0985 .80282E-01 .25485E-03 -.89799 4 Prefactor .97317 .72248E-01 .24087E-03 -.93629 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 9.27604e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.58389 2 12.2354 3 0.0802908 4 0.0722555 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 31323.7478416 delta logL = 0.190274935172 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1647.5+4950 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 2.419e-01 5.584e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 3.397e+00 1.224e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 364 Scale: 8.183e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 704 Prefactor: 9.732e-01 7.226e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 705 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 706 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 703 Normalization: 1.099e+00 8.029e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 251.892 49.834 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31178683/cmap_HighResolution_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.38e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.08e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 22:58:42.283796', job_id='31178683', GAL2='0.97', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.10', EG='1.11', time_epoch_completed='1783663122.28', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.97', dlogl='1.90e-01', ts2='0.40', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.39' WHERE bin_id='933' AND source_name='4FGL J1647.5+4950' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 22:58:42 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 31323.94 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 874 CALLS 3825 TOTAL EDM= .64E-07 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 5.9572 2.5190 .41163E-03 -1.5659 2 norm .0000 2.1476 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 10.864 8.9074 .30379E-03 -1.5642 4 Prefactor .72164E-09 15.476 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor .22204E-09 .74380 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.4380 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .13243E-04 .45780 .60678E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .66613E-09 .62316 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 11.070 6.2488 .30073E-03 -1.5641 10 norm .41478E-01 .60082E-01 .10214E-02 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .0000 1.1176 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 2.5614 1.8443 .63718E-03 -1.5676 13 Prefactor 2.9516 3.1474 .58978E-03 -1.5674 14 norm .11269E-07 10.512 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor 2.6825 .91094 .62177E-03 -1.5675 16 Prefactor .59921 .79718 .69343E-04 -1.5692 17 Prefactor .88818E-09 .54823 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 .41826 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 20.803 5.6890 .21928E-03 -1.5617 20 norm 4.5854 .98241 .46981E-03 -1.5665 21 Prefactor 11.812 7.0755 .29024E-03 -1.5639 22 norm .52205 .36392 .76493E-03 -1.5694 23 Prefactor .16653E-08 .87097 .57172E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm .14726E-01 .12380 .21559E-02 -1.5710 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 norm 3.3859 4.3833 .54990E-03 -1.5671 26 Prefactor .11102E-09 1.0155 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 27 norm .98138E-06 .22077 .29722E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor 2.6967 1.6388 .61994E-03 -1.5675 29 norm .55511E-10 .82412 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Prefactor 3.4092 12.224 .54932E-03 -1.5671 31 Prefactor 5.5818 2.1329 .42534E-03 -1.5661 32 Prefactor 12.512 18.502 .27866E-03 -1.5637 33 Prefactor .17319E-07 9.8306 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 34 Normalizat 1.1123 .87508E-01 .57324E-01 -.89356 35 Prefactor .96743 .75010E-01 .45858E-01 -.93823 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 6.44533e-08 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.51898 2 1.06707e-06 3 8.90742 4 0.000213882 5 2.67937e-05 6 7.46495e-05 7 0.00492453 8 4.07059e-05 9 6.2488 10 0.0600817 11 1.06966e-05 12 1.84432 13 3.14737 14 0.000688958 15 0.910944 16 0.797182 17 4.35034e-05 18 8.83709e-06 19 5.68902 20 0.982408 21 7.07555 22 0.36392 23 7.66233e-05 24 0.0853945 25 4.38333 26 2.34849e-05 27 0.000930933 28 1.63876 29 1.36883e-05 30 12.2245 31 2.13289 32 18.5023 33 0.000824777 34 0.0875197 35 0.0750185 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 31323.9381165 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1647.5+4950 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 8.882e-10 4.350e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.386e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 8.183e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 704 Prefactor: 9.674e-01 7.502e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 705 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 706 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 703 Normalization: 1.112e+00 8.752e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 251.892 49.834 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.08226169793e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00237947640154 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31178920/likelihoodResults_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 31323.7580088 delta logL = 0.180107765522 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 31323.7478445 delta logL = 0.19027203137 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .24213 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.3971 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0983 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .97330 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 31323.75 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 311 TOTAL EDM= .70E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .24191 .67278 .29151E-02** at limit ** 2 Index 3.3968 .34203 .48386 .55079E-04 3 Normalizat 1.0985 .49183E-02 .57629E-01 .71803E-04 4 Prefactor .97317 .44262E-02 .45933E-01 .70670E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.241905 Index = 3.39681 Normalizat = 1.09854 Prefactor = 0.973173 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 31323.75 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 35 CALLS 346 TOTAL EDM= .93E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .24191 32.223 .99178E-04 -1.5698 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.3968 5.2275 .52407E-02 -.32640 3 Normalizat 1.0985 .80282E-01 .25485E-03 -.89799 4 Prefactor .97317 .72248E-01 .24087E-03 -.93629 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 9.27604e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.58389 2 12.2354 3 0.0802908 4 0.0722555 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 31323.7478416 delta logL = 0.190274935172 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1647.5+4950 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 2.419e-01 5.584e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 3.397e+00 1.224e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 364 Scale: 8.183e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 704 Prefactor: 9.732e-01 7.226e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 705 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 706 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 703 Normalization: 1.099e+00 8.029e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 251.892 49.834 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31178920/cmap_HighResolution_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.38e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.08e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 23:01:10.248672', job_id='31178920', GAL2='0.97', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.10', EG='1.11', time_epoch_completed='1783663270.25', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.97', dlogl='1.90e-01', ts2='0.40', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.39' WHERE bin_id='933' AND source_name='4FGL J1647.5+4950' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 23:01:10 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 31323.9381165 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1647.5+4950 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 8.882e-10 4.350e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.386e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 8.183e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 704 Prefactor: 9.674e-01 7.502e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 705 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 706 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 703 Normalization: 1.112e+00 8.752e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 251.892 49.834 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.08226169793e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00237947640154 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31179031/likelihoodResults_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 31323.7580088 delta logL = 0.180107765522 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 31323.7478445 delta logL = 0.19027203137 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .24213 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.3971 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0983 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .97330 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 31323.75 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 311 TOTAL EDM= .70E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .24191 .67278 .29151E-02** at limit ** 2 Index 3.3968 .34203 .48386 .55079E-04 3 Normalizat 1.0985 .49183E-02 .57629E-01 .71803E-04 4 Prefactor .97317 .44262E-02 .45933E-01 .70670E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.241905 Index = 3.39681 Normalizat = 1.09854 Prefactor = 0.973173 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 31323.75 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 35 CALLS 346 TOTAL EDM= .93E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .24191 32.223 .99178E-04 -1.5698 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 3.3968 5.2275 .52407E-02 -.32640 3 Normalizat 1.0985 .80282E-01 .25485E-03 -.89799 4 Prefactor .97317 .72248E-01 .24087E-03 -.93629 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 9.27604e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.58389 2 12.2354 3 0.0802908 4 0.0722555 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 31323.7478416 delta logL = 0.190274935172 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1647.5+4950 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 2.419e-01 5.584e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 3.397e+00 1.224e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 364 Scale: 8.183e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 704 Prefactor: 9.732e-01 7.226e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 705 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 706 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 703 Normalization: 1.099e+00 8.029e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 251.892 49.834 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31179031/cmap_HighResolution_803260801_803865601_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_weekly_bin933.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.38e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.08e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 23:06:31.879827', job_id='31179031', GAL2='0.97', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.10', EG='1.11', time_epoch_completed='1783663591.88', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.97', dlogl='1.90e-01', ts2='0.40', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.39' WHERE bin_id='933' AND source_name='4FGL J1647.5+4950' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 23:06:32 PDT 2026