Normalizat = 1.25901 Prefactor = 0.858517 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7106.976 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 25 CALLS 365 TOTAL EDM= .61E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .50585E-01 8.9867 .12681E-05 -1.5703 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 4.7968 5.4879 .16124E-03 -.40653E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2590 .22454 .50752E-04 -.84798 4 Prefactor .85852 .19062 .10431E-04 -.97606 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.1213e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.34847 2 14.3026 3 0.224714 4 0.19077 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7106.97618275 delta logL = 0.139472528223 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1647.5+4950 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 5.059e-02 1.348e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 4.797e+00 1.430e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 364 Scale: 8.183e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 704 Prefactor: 8.585e-01 1.908e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 705 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 706 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 703 Normalization: 1.259e+00 2.247e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 251.892 49.834 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/35162015/cmap_HighResolution_808272001_808531201_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.41e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.31e-08', time_completed='2026-08-16 13:02:31.255367', job_id='35162015', GAL2='0.86', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.26', EG='1.30', time_epoch_completed='1786910551.26', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.84', dlogl='1.39e-01', ts2='0.31', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.39' WHERE bin_id='2195' AND source_name='4FGL J1647.5+4950' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Aug 16 13:02:31 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7107.11565528 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1647.5+4950 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 2.498e-09 2.548e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.386e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 8.183e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 704 Prefactor: 8.385e-01 1.626e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 705 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 706 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 703 Normalization: 1.297e+00 1.981e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 251.892 49.834 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.30766273811e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00641343577366 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/35162031/likelihoodResults_808272001_808531201_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7107.11799884 delta logL = -0.00234356299825 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7106.97618846 delta logL = 0.139466817957 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .50940E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 4.7897 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2591 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .85848 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7106.976 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 96 CALLS 340 TOTAL EDM= .25E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .50585E-01 8.4988 .31702E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 4.7968 5.6813 .40309E-02 -.11742E-03 3 Normalizat 1.2590 .13778 .25376E-03 -.37535E-03 4 Prefactor .85852 .11776 .26078E-03 -.28620E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.0505852 Index = 4.79679 Normalizat = 1.25901 Prefactor = 0.858517 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7106.976 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 25 CALLS 365 TOTAL EDM= .61E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .50585E-01 8.9867 .12681E-05 -1.5703 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 4.7968 5.4879 .16124E-03 -.40653E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2590 .22454 .50752E-04 -.84798 4 Prefactor .85852 .19062 .10431E-04 -.97606 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.1213e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.34847 2 14.3026 3 0.224714 4 0.19077 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7106.97618275 delta logL = 0.139472528223 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1647.5+4950 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 5.059e-02 1.348e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 4.797e+00 1.430e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 364 Scale: 8.183e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 704 Prefactor: 8.585e-01 1.908e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 705 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 706 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 703 Normalization: 1.259e+00 2.247e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 251.892 49.834 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/35162031/cmap_HighResolution_808272001_808531201_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.41e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.31e-08', time_completed='2026-08-16 13:02:36.267572', job_id='35162031', GAL2='0.86', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.26', EG='1.30', time_epoch_completed='1786910556.27', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.84', dlogl='1.39e-01', ts2='0.31', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.39' WHERE bin_id='2195' AND source_name='4FGL J1647.5+4950' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Aug 16 13:02:36 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7107.11565528 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1647.5+4950 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 2.498e-09 2.548e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.386e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 8.183e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 704 Prefactor: 8.385e-01 1.626e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 705 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 706 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 703 Normalization: 1.297e+00 1.981e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 251.892 49.834 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.30766273811e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00641343577366 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/35162138/likelihoodResults_808272001_808531201_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7107.11799884 delta logL = -0.00234356299825 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7106.97618846 delta logL = 0.139466817957 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .50940E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 4.7897 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2591 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .85848 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7106.976 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 96 CALLS 340 TOTAL EDM= .25E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .50585E-01 8.4988 .31702E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 4.7968 5.6813 .40309E-02 -.11742E-03 3 Normalizat 1.2590 .13778 .25376E-03 -.37535E-03 4 Prefactor .85852 .11776 .26078E-03 -.28620E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.0505852 Index = 4.79679 Normalizat = 1.25901 Prefactor = 0.858517 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7106.976 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 25 CALLS 365 TOTAL EDM= .61E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .50585E-01 8.9867 .12681E-05 -1.5703 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 4.7968 5.4879 .16124E-03 -.40653E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2590 .22454 .50752E-04 -.84798 4 Prefactor .85852 .19062 .10431E-04 -.97606 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.1213e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.34847 2 14.3026 3 0.224714 4 0.19077 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7106.97618275 delta logL = 0.139472528223 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1647.5+4950 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 5.059e-02 1.348e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 4.797e+00 1.430e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 364 Scale: 8.183e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 704 Prefactor: 8.585e-01 1.908e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 705 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 706 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 703 Normalization: 1.259e+00 2.247e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 251.892 49.834 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/35162138/cmap_HighResolution_808272001_808531201_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.41e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.31e-08', time_completed='2026-08-16 13:02:40.134655', job_id='35162138', GAL2='0.86', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.26', EG='1.30', time_epoch_completed='1786910560.13', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.84', dlogl='1.39e-01', ts2='0.31', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.39' WHERE bin_id='2195' AND source_name='4FGL J1647.5+4950' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Aug 16 13:02:40 PDT 2026 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7107.116 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 860 CALLS 4560 TOTAL EDM= .43E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 3.7097 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .0000 1.8404 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .15586E-05 19.647 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .11274E-06 41.869 .14316E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 5.4898 5.6487 .42901E-03 -1.5661 6 Prefactor .14305E-06 23.402 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .20932E-03 10.780 .54653E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .27234E-05 3.0509 .49909E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 19.740 18.162 .22537E-03 -1.5619 10 norm .0000 .83362E-01 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .27756E-09 5.5162 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 4.8865 5.6321 .45376E-03 -1.5664 13 Prefactor 4.3913 5.1695 .48024E-03 -1.5666 14 norm 57.855 49.309 .13227E-03 -1.5556 15 Prefactor .0000 1.0261 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .98112 1.1042 .43209E-03 -1.5688 17 Prefactor .24980E-08 6.4949 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .0000 .92597 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .22204E-09 3.2160 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 norm 5.0657 2.4338 .44646E-03 -1.5663 21 Prefactor 4.0142 11.979 .50431E-03 -1.5668 22 norm .53086 .83325 .75644E-03 -1.5693 23 Prefactor 7.0376 7.7579 .37823E-03 -1.5655 24 norm .38071 .79679 .91689E-03 -1.5696 25 norm 18.120 11.715 .23515E-03 -1.5623 26 Prefactor 13.768 9.3944 .26950E-03 -1.5634 27 norm .31672 1.4048 .99769E-03 -1.5697 28 Prefactor .11102E-09 1.1153 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 3.0989 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Prefactor .83655E-07 38.087 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor 10.311 5.4842 .31185E-03 -1.5644 32 Prefactor .26873E-06 23.168 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 33 Prefactor 38.144 84.331 .16202E-03 -1.5584 34 Normalizat 1.2972 .19801 .56674E-01 -.83650 35 Prefactor .83847 .16250 .44217E-01 -.98325 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.28024e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.89584e-05 2 9.49727e-06 3 0.0110674 4 0.0043455 5 5.64871 6 0.00365918 7 0.0950069 8 0.00576498 9 18.1623 10 4.19988e-07 11 7.70899e-05 12 5.63214 13 5.16951 14 49.3095 15 2.982e-06 16 1.10416 17 0.000254833 18 7.61401e-06 19 5.16985e-05 20 2.43381 21 11.9795 22 0.833248 23 7.75789 24 0.796791 25 11.7149 26 9.39443 27 1.33405 28 2.36964e-05 29 5.25828e-06 30 0.00357035 31 5.48425 32 0.00499061 33 84.3339 34 0.198127 35 0.162597 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7107.11565528 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1647.5+4950 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 2.498e-09 2.548e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.386e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 8.183e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 704 Prefactor: 8.385e-01 1.626e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 705 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 706 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 703 Normalization: 1.297e+00 1.981e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 251.892 49.834 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.30766273811e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00641343577366 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/35162159/likelihoodResults_808272001_808531201_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7107.11799884 delta logL = -0.00234356299825 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7106.97618846 delta logL = 0.139466817957 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .50940E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 4.7897 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2591 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .85848 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7106.976 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 96 CALLS 340 TOTAL EDM= .25E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .50585E-01 8.4988 .31702E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 4.7968 5.6813 .40309E-02 -.11742E-03 3 Normalizat 1.2590 .13778 .25376E-03 -.37535E-03 4 Prefactor .85852 .11776 .26078E-03 -.28620E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.0505852 Index = 4.79679 Normalizat = 1.25901 Prefactor = 0.858517 number of points = 7459 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7106.976 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 25 CALLS 365 TOTAL EDM= .61E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .50585E-01 8.9867 .12681E-05 -1.5703 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 4.7968 5.4879 .16124E-03 -.40653E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2590 .22454 .50752E-04 -.84798 4 Prefactor .85852 .19062 .10431E-04 -.97606 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.1213e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.34847 2 14.3026 3 0.224714 4 0.19077 Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195 RA = 251.892, Dec = 49.8336 tmin = 808272001, tmax = 808531201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='35162748', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-16 13:02:55.140482', time_epoch_executed='1786910575.14' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1647.5+4950' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2195' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/35162748 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/35162748/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=808272001.0 && nMetStart<808531201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=808272001.0 && nMetStart<808531201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ft1_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=808272001.0 && nMetStart<808531201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 46 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ft1_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits ra=251.892 dec=49.8336 rad=12.0 tmin=808272001.0 tmax=808531201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.82 user 2.84 sys 0.21 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.19 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 651 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits sctable="SC_DATA" oushell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7106.97618275 delta logL = 0.139472528223 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1647.5+4950 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 5.059e-02 1.348e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 4.797e+00 1.430e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 364 Scale: 8.183e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 704 Prefactor: 8.585e-01 1.908e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 705 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 706 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 703 Normalization: 1.259e+00 2.247e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 251.892 49.834 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/35162159/cmap_HighResolution_808272001_808531201_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.41e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.31e-08', time_completed='2026-08-16 13:03:51.632538', job_id='35162159', GAL2='0.86', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.26', EG='1.30', time_epoch_completed='1786910631.63', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.84', dlogl='1.39e-01', ts2='0.31', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.39' WHERE bin_id='2195' AND source_name='4FGL J1647.5+4950' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Aug 16 13:03:51 PDT 2026 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ltcube_808272001_808531201_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits .....................! real 8.85 user 7.86 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ltcube_808272001_808531201_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/expmap_808272001_808531201_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ltcube_808272001_808531201_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits .....................! real 71.89 user 66.38 sys 4.07 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 219 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1647.5+4950 @ 251.892 49.8336 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/cmap_808272001_808531201_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=251.892 yref=49.8336 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.74 user 0.21 sys 0.15 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/cmap_HighResolution_808272001_808531201_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=251.892 yref=49.8336 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.67 user 0.21 sys 0.15 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/Model_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits.....................! real 26.17 user 24.36 sys 0.99 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/expmap_808272001_808531201_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ltcube_808272001_808531201_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/35162748/Model_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1647.5+4950' 4FGL J1647.5+4950 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 2.441e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.386e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 8.183e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/35162748/expmap_808272001_808531201_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/35162748/ltcube_808272001_808531201_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/35162748/Model_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7107.13648834 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7107.11720844 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .10717E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' .29737E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .64203E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .86177E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' 5.4793 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .54428E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .20944E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .21593E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 19.702 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' .74940E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' .23337E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 4.9082 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 4.3937 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 57.164 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .17916E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' .98431 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .40474E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .30573E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' .28392E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 5.0668 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 3.9955 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .53107 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 7.0258 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .38128 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' 18.099 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 13.787 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .31732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .12814E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .34315E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' .33010E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' 10.307 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Prefactor ' .24212E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 33 'Prefactor ' 38.102 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 34 'Normalizat' 1.2972 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 35 'Prefactor ' .83858 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 7107.116 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 241 CALLS 3700 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 3.6752 -.24883E-07** at limit ** 2 norm .0000 1.8375 -.32554E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .15586E-05 14.681 .64574E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .11274E-06 2.6668 .35828E-07** at limit ** 5 Prefactor 5.4898 5.6331 -.20764E-07 -.16437E-02 6 Prefactor .14305E-06 11.282 .37318E-07** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .20932E-03 196.67 -.22497E-05** at limit ** 8 Prefactor .27234E-05 7.2836 .84877E-07** at limit ** 9 norm 19.740 17.640 -.47536E-07 -.41658E-01 10 norm .0000 .86085E-01 -.49033E-08** at limit ** 11 norm .27756E-09 5.4250 .66160E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 4.8865 5.5910 -.16106E-07 -.16795E-02 13 Prefactor 4.3913 5.1608 .91129E-08 .11825E-03 14 norm 57.855 21.423 .21622E-06 .30143 15 Prefactor .0000 1.0381 .64974E-08** at limit ** 16 Prefactor .98112 1.0623 -.80969E-08 -.16230E-02 17 Prefactor .24980E-08 6.3564 .28428E-07** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .0000 .92551 .25230E-07** at limit ** 19 Prefactor .22204E-09 3.2096 -.40773E-07** at limit ** 20 norm 5.0657 2.4228 -.15396E-07 -.37581E-02 21 Prefactor 4.0142 2.9779 -.20679E-07 -.63161E-02 22 norm .53086 .80702 -.24800E-07 -.65716E-02 23 Prefactor 7.0376 7.5732 .26670E-07 .27644E-03 24 norm .38071 .76715 .44296E-08 .94956E-03 25 norm 18.120 1.7797 -.46995E-09 .15545E-01 26 Prefactor 13.768 8.9486 -.38093E-07 .10962E-01 27 norm .31672 1.3789 .27984E-08 -.21387E-03 28 Prefactor .11102E-09 1.1116 .76184E-07** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 3.1047 -.36750E-07** at limit ** 30 Prefactor .83655E-07 37.208 -.15394E-06** at limit ** 31 Prefactor 10.311 5.4656 -.81537E-08 -.11663E-02 32 Prefactor .26873E-06 11.826 .35631E-07** at limit ** 33 Prefactor 38.144 1.4129 -.11386E-07 .18746E-01 34 Normalizat 1.2972 .22506 -.19671E-05 -.29552E-03 35 Prefactor .83847 .18988 .15262E-05 -.16329E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.55859e-06 Prefactor = 1.12743e-07 Prefactor = 5.48985 Prefactor = 1.43052e-07 Prefactor = 0.000209323 Prefactor = 2.72338e-06 norm = 19.7398 norm = 0 norm = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 4.88647 Prefactor = 4.39126 norm = 57.8549 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0.981116 Prefactor = 2.498e-09 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 norm = 5.06565 Prefactor = 4.01415 norm = 0.530855 Prefactor = 7.03763 norm = 0.380711 norm = 18.1196 Prefactor = 13.7678 norm = 0.316723 Prefactor = 1.11022e-10 norm = 0 Prefactor = 8.36553e-08 Prefactor = 10.3107 Prefactor = 2.68729e-07 Prefactor = 38.1441 Normalizat = 1.29721 Prefactor = 0.838471 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7107.116 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 860 CALLS 4560 TOTAL EDM= .43E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .11102E-09 3.7097 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm .0000 1.8404 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .15586E-05 19.647 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .11274E-06 41.869 .14316E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 Prefactor 5.4898 5.6487 .42901E-03 -1.5661 6 Prefactor .14305E-06 23.402 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .20932E-03 10.780 .54653E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 Prefactor .27234E-05 3.0509 .49909E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 19.740 18.162 .22537E-03 -1.5619 10 norm .0000 .83362E-01 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm .27756E-09 5.5162 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 4.8865 5.6321 .45376E-03 -1.5664 13 Prefactor 4.3913 5.1695 .48024E-03 -1.5666 14 norm 57.855 49.309 .13227E-03 -1.5556 15 Prefactor .0000 1.0261 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 Prefactor .98112 1.1042 .43209E-03 -1.5688 17 Prefactor .24980E-08 6.4949 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .0000 .92597 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor .22204E-09 3.2160 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 20 norm 5.0657 2.4338 .44646E-03 -1.5663 21 Prefactor 4.0142 11.979 .50431E-03 -1.5668 22 norm .53086 .83325 .75644E-03 -1.5693 23 Prefactor 7.0376 7.7579 .37823E-03 -1.5655 24 norm .38071 .79679 .91689E-03 -1.5696 25 norm 18.120 11.715 .23515E-03 -1.5623 26 Prefactor 13.768 9.3944 .26950E-03 -1.5634 27 norm .31672 1.4048 .99769E-03 -1.5697 28 Prefactor .11102E-09 1.1153 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 3.0989 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Prefactor .83655E-07 38.087 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor 10.311 5.4842 .31185E-03 -1.5644 32 Prefactor .26873E-06 23.168 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 33 Prefactor 38.144 84.331 .16202E-03 -1.5584 34 Normalizat 1.2972 .19801 .56674E-01 -.83650 35 Prefactor .83847 .16250 .44217E-01 -.98325 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.28024e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.89584e-05 2 9.49727e-06 3 0.0110674 4 0.0043455 5 5.64871 6 0.00365918 7 0.0950069 8 0.00576498 9 18.1623 10 4.19988e-07 11 7.70899e-05 12 5.63214 13 5.16951 14 49.3095 15 2.982e-06 16 1.10416 17 0.000254833 18 7.61401e-06 19 5.16985e-05 20 2.43381 21 11.9795 22 0.833248 23 7.75789 24 0.796791 25 11.7149 26 9.39443 27 1.33405 28 2.36964e-05 29 5.25828e-06 30 0.00357035 31 5.48425 32 0.00499061 33 84.3339 34 0.198127 35 0.162597 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 7107.11565528 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1647.5+4950 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 2.498e-09 2.548e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.386e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 8.183e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 704 Prefactor: 8.385e-01 1.626e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 705 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 706 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 703 Normalization: 1.297e+00 1.981e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 251.892 49.834 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 8.30766273811e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00641343577366 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/35162748/likelihoodResults_808272001_808531201_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7107.11799884 delta logL = -0.00234356299825 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7106.97618846 delta logL = 0.139466817957 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .50940E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 4.7897 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2591 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .85848 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MACHINE ACCURACY LIMITS FURTHER IMPROVEMENT. MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 7106.976 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 96 CALLS 340 TOTAL EDM= .25E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .50585E-01 8.4988 .31702E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 4.7968 5.6813 .40309E-02 -.11742E-03 3 Normalizat 1.2590 .13778 .25376E-03 -.37535E-03 4 Prefactor .85852 .11776 .26078E-03 -.28620E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.0505852 Index = 4.79679 Normalizat = 1.25901 Prefactor = 0.858517 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 7106.976 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 25 CALLS 365 TOTAL EDM= .61E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .50585E-01 8.9867 .12681E-05 -1.5703 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 4.7968 5.4879 .16124E-03 -.40653E-01 3 Normalizat 1.2590 .22454 .50752E-04 -.84798 4 Prefactor .85852 .19062 .10431E-04 -.97606 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 6.1213e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.34847 2 14.3026 3 0.224714 4 0.19077 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 7106.97618275 delta logL = 0.139472528223 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1647.5+4950 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 5.059e-02 1.348e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 4.797e+00 1.430e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 364 Scale: 8.183e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 704 Prefactor: 8.585e-01 1.908e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 705 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 706 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 703 Normalization: 1.259e+00 2.247e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 251.892 49.834 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/35162748/cmap_HighResolution_808272001_808531201_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2195.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='6.41e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='8.31e-08', time_completed='2026-08-16 13:11:04.994764', job_id='35162748', GAL2='0.86', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.26', EG='1.30', time_epoch_completed='1786911064.99', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.84', dlogl='1.39e-01', ts2='0.31', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.39' WHERE bin_id='2195' AND source_name='4FGL J1647.5+4950' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sun Aug 16 13:11:05 PDT 2026