********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13547.59 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .14E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .98422 2.4064 .88437E-05 -1.5688 2 Index 3.2146 1.5176 .75056E-02 -.36515 3 Normalizat 1.1992 .16413 .26021E-03 -.86629 4 Prefactor .93076 .14416 .25877E-03 -.95074 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.37318e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.40638 2 1.54565 3 0.164201 4 0.144218 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13547.5920275 delta logL = 0.399497595397 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1647.5+4950 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 9.842e-01 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 3.215e+00 1.546e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 364 Scale: 8.183e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 704 Prefactor: 9.308e-01 1.442e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 705 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 706 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 703 Normalization: 1.199e+00 1.642e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 2.01 Ra Dec: 251.892 49.834 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.21 +/- 1.55 Photon Flux (Free Index): 3.83e-08 +/- 3.23e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 6.97e-06 +/- 6.09e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/14091995/cmap_HighResolution_776131201_776390401_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.30e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.11e-08', energy_flux2='6.97e-06', photon_flux_error='2.26e-08', dlogl='3.99e-01', energy_flux='7.04e-06', photon_flux2='3.83e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2025-10-20 12:07:01.661197', photon_index_error2='1.55', photon_index2='3.21', ts='1.18', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.92', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.86e-08', energy_flux_error2='6.09e-06', EG='1.22', time_epoch_completed='1760987221.66', return_code='0', job_id='14091995', GAL2='0.93', EG2='1.20', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='7.55e-06', photon_flux_error2='3.23e-08', ts2='2.01', photon_index='2.39' WHERE bin_id='2071' AND source_name='4FGL J1647.5+4950' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Oct 20 12:07:01 PDT 2025 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 7661 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071 RA = 251.892, Dec = 49.8336 tmin = 776131201, tmax = 776390401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='14092430', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2025-10-20 12:07:15.760892', time_epoch_executed='1760987235.76' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1647.5+4950' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2071' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/14092430 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/14092430/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=776131201.0 && nMetStart<776390401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=776131201.0 && nMetStart<776390401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ft1_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=776131201.0 && nMetStart<776390401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ft1_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits ra=251.892 dec=49.8336 rad=12.0 tmin=776131201.0 tmax=776390401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 1.93 user 1.38 sys 0.21 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.66 user 0.18 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1281 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ltcube_776131201_776390401_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits .....................! real 8.32 user 7.63 sys 0.34 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ltcube_776131201_776390401_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/expmap_776131201_776390401_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ltcube_776131201_776390401_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits .....................! real 63.20 user 58.64 sys 3.84 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 219 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1647.5+4950 @ 251.892 49.8336 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/cmap_776131201_776390401_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=251.892 yref=49.8336 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.50 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/cmap_HighResolution_776131201_776390401_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=251.892 yref=49.8336 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.49 user 0.19 sys 0.15 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/Model_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits.....................! real 36.77 user 35.35 sys 0.87 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/expmap_776131201_776390401_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ltcube_776131201_776390401_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/14092430/Model_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1647.5+4950' 4FGL J1647.5+4950 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 2.441e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.386e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 8.183e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ft2_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/14092430/expmap_776131201_776390401_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/14092430/ltcube_776131201_776390401_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/14092430/Model_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13548.018508 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13547.9927031 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .13836E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'norm ' 3.6306 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 20.196 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 6.2600 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'Prefactor ' .22453E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 20.015 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 2.4165 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .92232E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'norm ' 10.032 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'norm ' .65595E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'norm ' 9.0782 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 1.5472 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .37813 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .39057E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'Prefactor ' .87595 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'Prefactor ' 6.9742 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 1.9379 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .16781E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 1.8341 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 2.4919 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .48272 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'norm ' .37748E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .15659 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'norm ' .27120 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'norm ' .62200E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'Prefactor ' 1.2536 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' 2.5599 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 1.8412 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' 4.4380 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Prefactor ' .14002E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 31 'Prefactor ' 9.3914 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 32 'Prefactor ' 38.429 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 33 'Prefactor ' .24758E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 34 'Normalizat' 1.2242 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 35 'Prefactor ' .91598 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 13547.99 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 202 CALLS 3705 TOTAL EDM= .32E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 4.5126 .12003E-06** at limit ** 2 norm 3.6504 3.9754 .26835E-08 -.39693E-03 3 Prefactor 20.216 2.7452 -.60898E-08 .26793E-01 4 Prefactor 6.0678 10.855 -.22230E-07 -.40079E-01 5 Prefactor .0000 3.1414 -.24807E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor 20.044 15.695 .12641E-07 -.38560E-02 7 Prefactor 2.4104 3.4518 .14385E-07 .88093E-03 8 Prefactor .0000 .69050 -.10131E-07** at limit ** 9 norm 10.072 11.750 -.20804E-07 -.33596E-01 10 norm .65607E-01 .10063 -.63328E-08** at limit ** 11 norm 9.0935 8.5637 -.36900E-08 .12846E-02 12 Prefactor 1.5488 2.6976 .67772E-07 .11642E-02 13 Prefactor .36960 11.307 .17490E-06 -.12448E-03 14 norm .55966E-06 15.194 -.14728E-06** at limit ** 15 Prefactor .87621 .90120 .18660E-08 -.11984E-02 16 Prefactor 6.9752 1.4376 -.75891E-08 -.39958E-02 17 Prefactor 1.9363 2.0542 -.21494E-07 -.91738E-03 18 Prefactor .0000 19.976 .42195E-07** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 1.8346 4.8829 -.98578E-07 -.64450E-03 20 norm 2.4924 1.2488 .55331E-08 .28731E-03 21 Prefactor .31360 2.1198 -.28666E-07 -.71720E-02 22 norm .0000 .27513 .36951E-08** at limit ** 23 Prefactor .17230 1.3948 -.18527E-07** at limit ** 24 norm .27085 .54978 .10784E-07 .19992E-03 25 norm .11824E-07 27.162 .10909E-06** at limit ** 26 Prefactor 1.2704 3.8735 -.99834E-08 -.21776E-03 27 norm 2.5591 1.3950 -.15734E-07 -.23067E-02 28 Prefactor 1.8426 1.9637 .18310E-07 .59366E-03 29 norm 4.4040 4.2476 .11627E-07 -.13376E-03 30 Prefactor .50648E-06 9.7175 -.82978E-07** at limit ** 31 Prefactor 9.3954 4.8261 .36908E-08 .22869E-03 32 Prefactor 38.935 42.405 .44081E-07 -.28893E-01 33 Prefactor .22204E-09 30.989 -.32232E-06** at limit ** 34 Normalizat 1.2245 .17116 .12226E-06 -.45369E-04 35 Prefactor .91584 .14556 -.55344E-06 -.65803E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 norm = 3.65043 Prefactor = 20.2156 Prefactor = 6.06778 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 20.0439 Prefactor = 2.41043 Prefactor = 0 norm = 10.0717 norm = 0.0656065 norm = 9.09349 Prefactor = 1.54883 Prefactor = 0.369605 norm = 5.59663e-07 Prefactor = 0.876211 Prefactor = 6.97519 Prefactor = 1.93634 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.83456 norm = 2.49241 Prefactor = 0.313599 norm = 0 Prefactor = 0.172304 norm = 0.270848 norm = 1.18239e-08 Prefactor = 1.2704 norm = 2.55913 Prefactor = 1.84255 norm = 4.40402 Prefactor = 5.06484e-07 Prefactor = 9.39537 Prefactor = 38.935 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Normalizat = 1.22454 Prefactor = 0.915835 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13547.99 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 884 CALLS 4589 TOTAL EDM= .11E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 4.4963 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 norm 3.6504 4.0098 .52997E-03 -1.5670 3 Prefactor 20.216 20.405 .22259E-03 -1.5618 4 Prefactor 6.0678 41.852 .40097E-03 -1.5659 5 Prefactor .0000 3.1186 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor 20.044 15.711 .22359E-03 -1.5618 7 Prefactor 2.4104 3.4880 .65821E-03 -1.5677 8 Prefactor .0000 .68841 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 norm 10.072 12.143 .31612E-03 -1.5644 10 norm .65607E-01 .11147 .98802E-03 -1.5703 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 norm 9.0935 8.6252 .33240E-03 -1.5648 12 Prefactor 1.5488 2.7284 .85627E-03 -1.5683 13 Prefactor .36960 2.6094 .60638E-02 -1.5696 14 norm .55966E-06 23.732 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 Prefactor .87621 .91302 .47437E-03 -1.5689 16 Prefactor 6.9752 1.4739 .37965E-03 -1.5655 17 Prefactor 1.9363 2.0780 .74557E-03 -1.5680 18 Prefactor .0000 .74447 .71073E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 1.8346 4.9347 .77020E-03 -1.5681 20 norm 2.4924 1.2525 .64723E-03 -1.5676 21 Prefactor .31360 7.7016 .10133E-01 -1.5697 22 norm .0000 .26333 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor .17230 1.7936 .90604E-02 -1.5700 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 norm .27085 .59377 .10625E-02 -1.5698 25 norm .11824E-07 27.720 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 Prefactor 1.2704 3.9267 .99764E-03 -1.5685 27 norm 2.5591 1.4225 .63781E-03 -1.5676 28 Prefactor 1.8426 1.9772 .76842E-03 -1.5681 29 norm 4.4040 4.2755 .47777E-03 -1.5666 30 Prefactor .50648E-06 22.365 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 31 Prefactor 9.3954 4.8700 .32678E-03 -1.5647 32 Prefactor 38.935 45.123 .16133E-03 -1.5583 33 Prefactor .22204E-09 30.921 .16742E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 34 Normalizat 1.2245 .14658 .58316E-01 -.85848 35 Prefactor .91584 .12209 .45208E-01 -.95590 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.13428e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 7.71646e-06 2 4.00977 3 20.4052 4 31.8717 5 1.14666e-05 6 15.7108 7 3.488 8 7.43867e-07 9 12.1435 10 0.111473 11 8.62517 12 2.72842 13 1.96414 14 0.00728888 15 0.913024 16 1.47392 17 2.07801 18 3.33087e-06 19 4.93474 20 1.25252 21 3.10819 22 2.28704e-07 23 1.11184 24 0.593771 25 0.00114422 26 3.92668 27 1.42249 28 1.9772 29 4.27551 30 0.00673122 31 4.87002 32 45.1233 33 0.000170926 34 0.146629 35 0.122126 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 13547.9915251 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1647.5+4950 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 1.936e+00 2.078e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 2.386e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 364 Scale: 8.183e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 704 Prefactor: 9.158e-01 1.221e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 705 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 706 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 703 Normalization: 1.225e+00 1.466e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 1.18 Ra Dec: 251.892 49.834 Photon Index (Fixed Index): 2.39 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Fixed Index): 2.11e-08 +/- 2.26e-08 Energy Flux (Fixed Index): 7.04e-06 +/- 7.55e-06 TS (Fixed Index): 1.18 Ra Dec: 251.892 49.834 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 6.86076020875e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00529644092982 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/14092430/likelihoodResults_776131201_776390401_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13547.599819 delta logL = 0.391706090022 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13547.5920276 delta logL = 0.399497492224 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .98458 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.2142 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1991 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .93078 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .7070E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 13547.59 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 55 CALLS 248 TOTAL EDM= .85E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .98422 11.285 .43219E-03 .18277E-01 2 Index 3.2146 2.5224 .21657 .16502E-03 3 Normalizat 1.1992 .32267E-01 .58836E-01 .19857E-04 4 Prefactor .93076 .28123E-01 .45396E-01 .27092E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.984217 Index = 3.21456 Normalizat = 1.19916 Prefactor = 0.930758 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 13547.59 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 33 CALLS 281 TOTAL EDM= .14E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .98422 2.4064 .88437E-05 -1.5688 2 Index 3.2146 1.5176 .75056E-02 -.36515 3 Normalizat 1.1992 .16413 .26021E-03 -.86629 4 Prefactor .93076 .14416 .25877E-03 -.95074 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.37318e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.40638 2 1.54565 3 0.164201 4 0.144218 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 13547.5920275 delta logL = 0.399497595397 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1647.5+4950 Spectrum: PowerLaw 362 Prefactor: 9.842e-01 2.406e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 363 Index: 3.215e+00 1.546e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 364 Scale: 8.183e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 704 Prefactor: 9.308e-01 1.442e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 705 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 706 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 703 Normalization: 1.199e+00 1.642e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 2.01 Ra Dec: 251.892 49.834 Photon Index (Free Index): 3.21 +/- 1.55 Photon Flux (Free Index): 3.83e-08 +/- 3.23e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 6.97e-06 +/- 6.09e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/14092430/cmap_HighResolution_776131201_776390401_4FGL_J1647.5+4950_daily_bin2071.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.30e-03', comment='SUCCESS', photon_flux='2.11e-08', energy_flux2='6.97e-06', photon_flux_error='2.26e-08', dlogl='3.99e-01', energy_flux='7.04e-06', photon_flux2='3.83e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2025-10-20 12:21:17.179727', photon_index_error2='1.55', photon_index2='3.21', ts='1.18', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='0.92', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='6.86e-08', energy_flux_error2='6.09e-06', EG='1.22', time_epoch_completed='1760988077.18', return_code='0', job_id='14092430', GAL2='0.93', EG2='1.20', return_code2='0', energy_flux_error='7.55e-06', photon_flux_error2='3.23e-08', ts2='2.01', photon_index='2.39' WHERE bin_id='2071' AND source_name='4FGL J1647.5+4950' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Oct 20 12:21:17 PDT 2025