/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 74156 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205 RA = 244.16, Dec = 46.5099 tmin = 768355201, tmax = 770947201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='5893168', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2025-06-07 08:55:37.206179', time_epoch_executed='1749311737.21' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1616.6+4630' and cadence='monthly' and bin_id='205' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/5893168 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/5893168/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=768355201.0 && nMetStart<770947201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=768355201.0 && nMetStart<770947201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 459 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ft1_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=768355201.0 && nMetStart<770947201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 459 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ft1_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits ra=244.16 dec=46.5099 rad=12.0 tmin=768355201.0 tmax=770947201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 20.31 user 17.88 sys 1.03 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 2.11 user 0.40 sys 0.18 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 7625 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ltcube_768355201_770947201_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits .....................! real 97.95 user 95.01 sys 0.44 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ltcube_768355201_770947201_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/expmap_768355201_770947201_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ltcube_768355201_770947201_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits .....................! real 76.41 user 69.90 sys 3.88 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 212 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1616.6+4630 @ 244.16 46.5099 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/cmap_768355201_770947201_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=244.16 yref=46.5099 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 3.03 user 0.35 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/cmap_HighResolution_768355201_770947201_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=244.16 yref=46.5099 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 3.51 user 0.36 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/Model_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits.....................! real 211.07 user 204.54 sys 1.28 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/expmap_768355201_770947201_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ltcube_768355201_770947201_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/5893168/Model_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1616.6+4630' 4FGL J1616.6+4630 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 3.213e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.600e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 8.481e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/5893168/expmap_768355201_770947201_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/5893168/ltcube_768355201_770947201_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/5893168/Model_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 82126.4793109 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 82123.8266115 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .86129 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .97371E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .90771 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 2.3916 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 7.2982 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .28755E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .28205E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 4.4792 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .10201E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .56384E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .11536E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .44761E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .72478E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 13.301 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .15889E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .82934E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 6.1643 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 1.7084 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 3.7357 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' .22747E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .67791 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 4.3331 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 1.2256 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .31818 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' 2.1806 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 2.6421 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .19782 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .34710 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .46724E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' .96592 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' .97767 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6800E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 82123.83 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 142 CALLS 1754 TOTAL EDM= .18E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.6% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .86222 .65856 -.10818E-07 -.85240E-03 2 Prefactor .27756E-09 .97189 -.12727E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .90626 .45980 .79175E-08 -.31625E-03 4 Prefactor 2.3796 2.6617 .29771E-07 .10246E-02 5 norm 7.2969 3.2890 -.17033E-06 -.11494E-01 6 Prefactor .55511E-10 .93551 .12711E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .0000 .47981 .48297E-07** at limit ** 8 norm 4.4797 1.5802 -.20429E-07 -.18720E-02 9 Prefactor .0000 2.5542 .22635E-07** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .56369E-01 2.1859 .38266E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.7786 -.28380E-07** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 9.6006 -.17211E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .73389E-01 1.1208 .77582E-07** at limit ** 14 norm 13.298 2.4611 -.29005E-07 .37641E-01 15 norm .15876E-01 .19586E-01 .10918E-08** at limit ** 16 norm .0000 .54786 .50067E-08** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 6.1688 3.6382 -.16527E-06 -.13253E-01 18 Prefactor 1.7072 .91210 -.35344E-07 .69959E-02 19 Prefactor 3.7357 1.6170 .21359E-07 -.75193E-03 20 norm .55511E-10 2.0795 -.11297E-06** at limit ** 21 Prefactor .67782 .42519 .17343E-08 .24901E-03 22 Prefactor 4.3328 .52605 -.85021E-08 .10465E-01 23 Prefactor 1.2262 .56326 -.24557E-08 .26212E-02 24 Prefactor .31789 .54147 .55549E-07 -.15494E-02 25 Prefactor 2.1796 1.5537 -.23085E-07 .45091E-03 26 norm 2.6428 .43631 -.25243E-08 -.27288E-02 27 norm .19774 .13420 .57169E-08** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .34294 1.7810 -.85002E-07 .37790E-03 29 norm .46945E-01 .11124 -.12606E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat .96595 .58461E-01 -.36188E-06 .31477E-03 31 Prefactor .97769 .56438E-01 .58769E-06 .14267E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.862221 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 0.906262 Prefactor = 2.37956 norm = 7.29687 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 0 norm = 4.47967 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0.0563694 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 0.0733887 norm = 13.2976 norm = 0.0158762 norm = 0 Prefactor = 6.16878 Prefactor = 1.7072 Prefactor = 3.73566 norm = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 0.677816 Prefactor = 4.33281 Prefactor = 1.22617 Prefactor = 0.31789 Prefactor = 2.17959 norm = 2.6428 norm = 0.197741 Prefactor = 0.342944 norm = 0.046945 Normalizat = 0.965952 Prefactor = 0.97769 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 82123.83 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 724 CALLS 2478 TOTAL EDM= .54E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .86222 .66600 .48474E-03 -1.5689 2 Prefactor .27756E-09 1.0736 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .90626 3.1689 .45229E-03 -1.5689 4 Prefactor 2.3796 2.8122 .66196E-03 -1.5677 5 norm 7.2969 3.3354 .37104E-03 -1.5654 6 Prefactor .55511E-10 .96171 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .0000 .47895 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 4.4797 1.5839 .47551E-03 -1.5666 9 Prefactor .0000 2.5566 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .56369E-01 .21282 .67607E-02 -1.5713 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.7761 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 .27623 .52801E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .73389E-01 .18282 .55532E-02 -1.5703 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 13.298 4.4213 .27439E-03 -1.5635 15 norm .15876E-01 .18072E-01 .97134E-03 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .0000 .54776 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 6.1688 3.9232 .40411E-03 -1.5658 18 Prefactor 1.7072 .92719 .80407E-03 -1.5682 19 Prefactor 3.7357 1.6229 .52217E-03 -1.5669 20 norm .55511E-10 2.0875 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor .67782 .45443 .62520E-03 -1.5691 22 Prefactor 4.3328 .54724 .48367E-03 -1.5666 23 Prefactor 1.2262 .57695 .10169E-02 -1.5686 24 Prefactor .31789 .55214 .99653E-03 -1.5697 25 Prefactor 2.1796 1.5638 .69687E-03 -1.5678 26 norm 2.6428 .43658 .62699E-03 -1.5675 27 norm .19774 .15471 .21186E-02 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .34294 .61608 .76827E-02 -1.5696 29 norm .46945E-01 .70232E-01 .23677E-02 -1.5704 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat .96595 .49577E-01 .45739E-01 -.94180 31 Prefactor .97769 .46929E-01 .45987E-01 -.93477 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 5.39704e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.666003 2 3.39198e-05 3 3.16894 4 2.81224 5 3.3354 6 1.4441e-05 7 6.15075e-06 8 1.5839 9 1.53165e-05 10 0.21282 11 1.73847e-05 12 7.78349e-06 13 0.182824 14 4.42126 15 0.0180717 16 5.97934e-06 17 3.92319 18 0.927195 19 1.62291 20 1.69017e-05 21 0.45443 22 0.547243 23 0.576947 24 0.552142 25 1.56382 26 0.436577 27 0.154713 28 0.616078 29 0.0702324 30 0.0495798 31 0.0469305 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 82123.8265611 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1616.6+4630 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 1.738e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.600e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 8.481e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 677 Prefactor: 9.777e-01 4.693e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 678 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 679 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 676 Normalization: 9.660e-01 4.958e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 244.160 46.510 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.06585051304e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.000834143879786 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/5893168/likelihoodResults_768355201_770947201_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 82123.827705 delta logL = -0.00114389949886 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 82123.8265674 delta logL = -6.29655551165e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .97128E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.7037 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .96579 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .97788 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6800E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 82123.83 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 59 CALLS 259 TOTAL EDM= .52E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 253.55 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.9326 5.5233 .50000 .72760E-10 3 Normalizat .96595 .19523E-01 .45737E-01 -.10479E-02 4 Prefactor .97769 .19296E-01 .45990E-01 -.15877E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Index = 2.93259 Normalizat = 0.965952 Prefactor = 0.97769 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 82123.83 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 29 CALLS 288 TOTAL EDM= .29E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.5743 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.9326 6.4408 .50000 -.42628 3 Normalizat .96595 .55798E-01 .24081E-03 -.94180 4 Prefactor .97769 .55525E-01 .23709E-03 -.93477 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.93374e-10 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.18552e-05 2 5.86154 3 0.0558016 4 0.0555286 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 82123.8265611 delta logL = -1.30967237055e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1616.6+4630 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 2.186e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.933e+00 5.862e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 8.481e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 677 Prefactor: 9.777e-01 5.553e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 678 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 679 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 676 Normalization: 9.660e-01 5.580e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 244.160 46.510 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.003e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.113e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/5893168/cmap_HighResolution_768355201_770947201_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_monthly_bin205.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='8.34e-04', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.07e-08', time_completed='2025-06-07 10:24:23.780829', job_id='5893168', GAL2='0.98', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.97', EG='0.97', time_epoch_completed='1749317063.78', return_code2='0', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.98', dlogl='-1.31e-10', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.60' WHERE bin_id='205' AND source_name='4FGL J1616.6+4630' AND cadence='monthly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Sat Jun 7 10:24:24 PDT 2025