/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 7691 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086 RA = 244.16, Dec = 46.5099 tmin = 780019201, tmax = 780278401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='14077428', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2025-10-20 09:27:14.005889', time_epoch_executed='1760977634.01' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1616.6+4630' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2086' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/14077428 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/14077428/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=780019201.0 && nMetStart<780278401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=780019201.0 && nMetStart<780278401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ft1_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=780019201.0 && nMetStart<780278401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ft1_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits ra=244.16 dec=46.5099 rad=12.0 tmin=780019201.0 tmax=780278401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 2.26 user 1.65 sys 0.17 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.73 user 0.20 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 938 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ltcube_780019201_780278401_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits .....................! real 8.68 user 8.03 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ltcube_780019201_780278401_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/expmap_780019201_780278401_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ltcube_780019201_780278401_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits .....................! real 67.42 user 62.77 sys 3.97 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 212 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1616.6+4630 @ 244.16 46.5099 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/cmap_780019201_780278401_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=244.16 yref=46.5099 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.46 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/cmap_HighResolution_780019201_780278401_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=244.16 yref=46.5099 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.52 user 0.21 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/Model_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits.....................! real 29.50 user 28.15 sys 1.02 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/expmap_780019201_780278401_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ltcube_780019201_780278401_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/14077428/Model_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1616.6+4630' 4FGL J1616.6+4630 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 3.213e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.600e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 8.481e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/14077428/expmap_780019201_780278401_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/14077428/ltcube_780019201_780278401_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/14077428/Model_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9968.28473337 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9965.19659317 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .10484E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .40808E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .14410E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .30531E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 37.804 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .24791E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' .75070E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 5.7840 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .12465E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .77716E-09 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .17159E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 2.3555 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .12801E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 59.241 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .13549 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .17095E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 19.162 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .11102E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 13.962 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 6.5615 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' .53110 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 4.1334 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' .16109E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .78826E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' 1.1173 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 2.3212 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' 1.7665 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' 9.8349 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .30204E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' 1.0114 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' .90452 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6800E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 9965.193 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 179 CALLS 1735 TOTAL EDM= .75E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.0% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .22204E-09 1.4628 .15855E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .13878E-08 2.0479 -.85143E-06** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .11713E-06 2.5720 -.60243E-06** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.9200 .30134E-06** at limit ** 5 norm 37.823 1.0148 -.59253E-08 -.29272E-02 6 Prefactor .55511E-10 11.696 -.67241E-06** at limit ** 7 Prefactor .38858E-08 1.9949 .15349E-05** at limit ** 8 norm 5.8257 5.2167 -.51247E-07 -.10942E-02 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 17.586 .72804E-07** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .61062E-09 2.4570 -.15915E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .96534E-07 3.1064 .20184E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 2.3914 4.2527 -.38698E-07 .17609E-02 13 Prefactor .55511E-10 .99893 -.58513E-07** at limit ** 14 norm 59.036 1.9496 .60439E-07 -.69978E-01 15 norm .13491 .11017 .86468E-09** at limit ** 16 norm .59952E-08 6.4034 .29634E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 19.294 1.1947 -.24118E-07 -.12908E-03 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 .98064 .34623E-07** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 13.954 1.8915 .26776E-06 .75367E-02 20 norm 4.3314 44.014 -.27369E-05 .26069E-02 21 Prefactor .53762 1.3484 .42329E-07 .46293E-02 22 Prefactor 4.1505 1.7018 .42467E-07 .12036E-01 23 Prefactor .38858E-09 1.8668 .35148E-07** at limit ** 24 Prefactor .49960E-09 1.6169 .20708E-06** at limit ** 25 Prefactor 1.1000 3.6070 .27972E-05 .11519E-01 26 norm 2.3212 1.3699 .29816E-07 .69527E-02 27 norm 1.7683 .72610 .34908E-07 .10616E-01 28 Prefactor 9.7773 1.9440 -.14417E-06 -.16954E-01 29 norm .0000 .59745 .29244E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat 1.0109 .17585 .16942E-05 .40745E-04 31 Prefactor .90555 .16620 -.36538E-05 -.32176E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 1.38778e-09 Prefactor = 1.17129e-07 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 37.8227 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 3.88578e-09 norm = 5.82567 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 6.10623e-10 Prefactor = 9.65339e-08 Prefactor = 2.39145 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 59.0357 norm = 0.134905 norm = 5.9952e-09 Prefactor = 19.2938 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 13.9538 norm = 4.3314 Prefactor = 0.537618 Prefactor = 4.15054 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 Prefactor = 4.996e-10 Prefactor = 1.1 norm = 2.32123 norm = 1.76832 Prefactor = 9.77732 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.01085 Prefactor = 0.905554 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 9965.193 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 686 CALLS 2421 TOTAL EDM= .14E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .22204E-09 1.4675 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .13878E-08 2.1964 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .11713E-06 5.4839 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .55511E-10 2.9336 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 37.823 16.086 .16266E-03 -1.5585 6 Prefactor .55511E-10 11.722 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor .38858E-08 2.3583 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 8 norm 5.8257 5.3090 .41738E-03 -1.5660 9 Prefactor .55511E-10 17.672 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .61062E-09 2.6072 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .96534E-07 5.3835 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 2.3914 4.3779 .66755E-03 -1.5677 13 Prefactor .55511E-10 .99559 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 59.036 21.962 .12993E-03 -1.5554 15 norm .13491 .13603 .62038E-03 -1.5701 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .59952E-08 6.5143 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 19.294 17.538 .22853E-03 -1.5620 18 Prefactor .55511E-10 .98072 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 13.954 7.0915 .26780E-03 -1.5633 20 norm 4.3314 44.838 .39154E-03 -1.5666 21 Prefactor .53762 1.5951 .75641E-03 -1.5693 22 Prefactor 4.1505 1.9122 .49556E-03 -1.5667 23 Prefactor .38858E-09 1.9356 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 24 Prefactor .49960E-09 1.6428 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor 1.1000 12.937 .11126E-02 -1.5687 26 norm 2.3212 1.3712 .67298E-03 -1.5677 27 norm 1.7683 .74788 .78777E-03 -1.5681 28 Prefactor 9.7773 6.5782 .31929E-03 -1.5645 29 norm .0000 .26859 .17077E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat 1.0109 .15313 .45208E-01 -.92668 31 Prefactor .90555 .14217 .45063E-01 -.95947 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.42075e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.77865e-05 2 0.000110511 3 0.00160287 4 1.98233e-05 5 16.0856 6 4.51267e-05 7 0.000192084 8 5.30902 9 5.22316e-05 10 8.08522e-05 11 0.00144196 12 4.37795 13 1.33048e-05 14 21.9616 15 0.136026 16 0.000395192 17 17.5379 18 1.16782e-05 19 7.09155 20 27.8721 21 1.59511 22 1.91215 23 5.55883e-05 24 5.6705e-05 25 7.54469 26 1.37123 27 0.747884 28 6.57823 29 1.61086e-06 30 0.153198 31 0.142226 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 9965.19314564 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1616.6+4630 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 9.653e-08 1.442e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.600e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 8.481e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 677 Prefactor: 9.056e-01 1.422e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 678 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 679 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 676 Normalization: 1.011e+00 1.532e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 244.160 46.510 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.7384381331e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00292573419117 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/14077428/likelihoodResults_780019201_780278401_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 9965.19326127 delta logL = -0.000115630835353 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 9965.1931487 delta logL = -3.05816320179e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .43228E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.4450 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0107 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .90570 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6800E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 9965.193 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 70 CALLS 270 TOTAL EDM= .41E-13 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .13378E-01 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.6670 6.1307 .50000 .45475E-10 3 Normalizat 1.0109 .18331E-03 .45538E-01 -.14586E-03 4 Prefactor .90555 .17774E-03 .45078E-01 -.64664E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Index = 2.667 Normalizat = 1.01086 Prefactor = 0.90555 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 9965.193 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 31 CALLS 301 TOTAL EDM= .21E-12 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .55511E-10 .67624E-01 .84235E-04 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 2.6670 8.1065 .50000 -.48544 3 Normalizat 1.0109 .41170E-03 .25298E-03 -.92668 4 Prefactor .90555 .39920E-03 .25638E-03 -.95947 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 2.06389e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.093e-06 2 11997.7 3 0.000411699 4 0.000399195 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 9965.19314563 delta logL = 8.50195647217e-09 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1616.6+4630 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 5.551e-11 3.093e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.667e+00 1.200e+04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 8.481e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 677 Prefactor: 9.055e-01 3.992e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 678 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 679 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 676 Normalization: 1.011e+00 4.117e-04 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 244.160 46.510 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/14077428/cmap_HighResolution_780019201_780278401_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_daily_bin2086.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.93e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.74e-08', time_completed='2025-10-20 09:36:33.497454', job_id='14077428', GAL2='0.91', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.01', EG='1.01', time_epoch_completed='1760978193.5', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.91', dlogl='8.50e-09', ts2='-0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.60' WHERE bin_id='2086' AND source_name='4FGL J1616.6+4630' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Oct 20 09:36:33 PDT 2025