/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 17600 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889 RA = 244.16, Dec = 46.5099 tmin = 776649601, tmax = 777254401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='14075605', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2025-10-20 08:08:20.604898', time_epoch_executed='1760972900.6' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1616.6+4630' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='889' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/14075605 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/14075605/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=776649601.0 && nMetStart<777254401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=776649601.0 && nMetStart<777254401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ft1_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=776649601.0 && nMetStart<777254401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ft1_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits ra=244.16 dec=46.5099 rad=12.0 tmin=776649601.0 tmax=777254401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 5.34 user 4.76 sys 0.37 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.67 user 0.21 sys 0.15 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1669 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ltcube_776649601_777254401_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits .....................! real 18.62 user 17.95 sys 0.33 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ltcube_776649601_777254401_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/expmap_776649601_777254401_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ltcube_776649601_777254401_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits .....................! real 67.77 user 63.25 sys 3.97 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 212 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1616.6+4630 @ 244.16 46.5099 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/cmap_776649601_777254401_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=244.16 yref=46.5099 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.79 user 0.21 sys 0.16 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/cmap_HighResolution_776649601_777254401_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=244.16 yref=46.5099 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.86 user 0.23 sys 0.15 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/Model_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits.....................! real 48.18 user 46.76 sys 0.68 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/expmap_776649601_777254401_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ltcube_776649601_777254401_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/14075605/Model_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1616.6+4630' 4FGL J1616.6+4630 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 3.213e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.600e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 8.481e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ft2_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/14075605/expmap_776649601_777254401_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/14075605/ltcube_776649601_777254401_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/14075605/Model_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 102 logL (Fixed Index) = 18222.8074351 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18220.9708076 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' 2.3788 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .13353E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 5.1560 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .42730E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 38.931 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 4.7304 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 5.7317 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .74535E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 26.624 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .38858E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .33307E-09 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .11817 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 1.3335 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .14191E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .33038E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' 3.8691 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 15.985 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .60285E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 3.8081 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' .27201E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 1.8273 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 5.4055 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 4.1634 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' 2.2872 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .10125E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 2.8209 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .15672E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .15576E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .12507E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' 1.1854 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' .85218 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6800E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 18220.97 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 211 CALLS 1885 TOTAL EDM= .17E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= .6% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm 2.3805 1.6079 .24904E-07 .14680E-02 2 Prefactor .16653E-09 1.4743 .79097E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 5.2099 1.8128 -.16181E-08 -.74494E-02 4 Prefactor .33862E-08 11.475 -.23134E-06** at limit ** 5 norm 38.999 1.0586 -.30368E-08 .21286E-01 6 Prefactor 4.7526 1.6647 -.12548E-07 -.23591E-01 7 Prefactor 5.7309 3.8313 .54635E-07 .24809E-03 8 norm .33862E-08 2.1053 -.68318E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 26.189 32.938 -.27819E-06 .87732E-02 10 Prefactor .16653E-09 1.0117 .14030E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .16570E-06 3.2954 -.14895E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .31707 11.457 .18644E-06 .34394E-03 13 Prefactor 1.3406 1.8918 -.13249E-06 -.25873E-02 14 norm .44797E-07 7.4252 -.27649E-06** at limit ** 15 norm .11546E-07 .19040 .42879E-07** at limit ** 16 norm 3.8697 4.0845 -.11800E-06 -.30095E-02 17 Prefactor 16.072 6.3062 .43777E-08 .16269 18 Prefactor .0000 1.5983 .18418E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 3.8268 3.8124 -.70485E-08 .47803E-04 20 norm .20761E-07 .84287 -.20749E-07** at limit ** 21 Prefactor 1.8262 1.1886 -.80251E-07 -.94458E-02 22 Prefactor 5.4074 1.3893 .11044E-07 -.70562E-02 23 Prefactor 4.1605 1.8997 .10705E-08 -.51498E-03 24 Prefactor 2.2933 1.8828 .12209E-06 .38890E-02 25 Prefactor .23825E-06 3.4992 -.10170E-06** at limit ** 26 norm 2.8210 1.0287 .57962E-07 .32570E-02 27 norm .15831E-01 3.0145 -.13407E-06** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .82712E-08 2.0774 .29755E-07** at limit ** 29 norm .12645E-01 1.9419 -.14807E-06** at limit ** 30 Normalizat 1.1838 .13741 .10731E-05 .17992E-04 31 Prefactor .85275 .12555 -.16140E-05 -.29048E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 2.38055 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 5.20986 Prefactor = 3.38618e-09 norm = 38.9992 Prefactor = 4.75262 Prefactor = 5.73086 norm = 3.38618e-09 Prefactor = 26.1887 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 1.65701e-07 Prefactor = 0.317066 Prefactor = 1.34056 norm = 4.47975e-08 norm = 1.15463e-08 norm = 3.86972 Prefactor = 16.0725 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.8268 norm = 2.07612e-08 Prefactor = 1.82616 Prefactor = 5.4074 Prefactor = 4.16046 Prefactor = 2.29325 Prefactor = 2.38254e-07 norm = 2.821 norm = 0.0158313 Prefactor = 8.27116e-09 norm = 0.0126445 Normalizat = 1.1838 Prefactor = 0.852748 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 18220.97 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 716 CALLS 2601 TOTAL EDM= .34E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm 2.3805 1.6160 .66392E-03 -1.5677 2 Prefactor .16653E-09 1.4823 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 5.2099 7.2532 .44250E-03 -1.5662 4 Prefactor .33862E-08 11.447 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 38.999 13.742 .16029E-03 -1.5583 6 Prefactor 4.7526 12.036 .46240E-03 -1.5664 7 Prefactor 5.7309 3.8445 .41931E-03 -1.5660 8 norm .33862E-08 2.1719 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 26.189 33.152 .19384E-03 -1.5606 10 Prefactor .16653E-09 1.0471 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .16570E-06 3.9040 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .31707 1.1974 .91007E-02 -1.5697 13 Prefactor 1.3406 1.9324 .95010E-03 -1.5685 14 norm .44797E-07 7.5756 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .11546E-07 .24737E-01 .13411E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm 3.8697 4.0837 .51276E-03 -1.5669 17 Prefactor 16.072 11.321 .25024E-03 -1.5628 18 Prefactor .0000 1.6016 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 3.8268 3.8209 .51700E-03 -1.5669 20 norm .20761E-07 10.633 .16602E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 21 Prefactor 1.8262 1.2210 .77191E-03 -1.5681 22 Prefactor 5.4074 1.3924 .43198E-03 -1.5661 23 Prefactor 4.1605 1.9204 .49372E-03 -1.5667 24 Prefactor 2.2933 1.9216 .67852E-03 -1.5678 25 Prefactor .23825E-06 4.2343 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm 2.8210 1.0327 .60531E-04 -1.5674 27 norm .15831E-01 .25352 .21915E-02 -1.5705 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .82712E-08 2.1247 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .12645E-01 .12616 .27734E-02 -1.5710 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat 1.1838 .11479 .55218E-01 -.87105 31 Prefactor .85275 .10477 .44393E-01 -.97812 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.44804e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.61602 2 3.0754e-05 3 7.25325 4 0.000393626 5 13.7415 6 12.0359 7 3.84455 8 0.000171587 9 33.1526 10 2.48512e-05 11 0.00160871 12 1.19738 13 1.93239 14 0.00116516 15 3.37746e-05 16 4.08366 17 11.3215 18 5.79323e-06 19 3.82094 20 0.000939835 21 1.22102 22 1.39243 23 1.92039 24 1.9216 25 0.00200877 26 1.03267 27 0.126706 28 0.000265431 29 0.0798816 30 0.114817 31 0.104798 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18220.96912 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1616.6+4630 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.657e-07 1.609e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.600e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 8.481e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 677 Prefactor: 8.527e-01 1.048e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 678 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 679 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 676 Normalization: 1.184e+00 1.148e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 244.160 46.510 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.91978065649e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.0022850457312 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/14075605/likelihoodResults_776649601_777254401_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 18220.9736886 delta logL = -0.00456855840093 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 18220.96912 delta logL = -6.93762558512e-09 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .49794E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 3.0895 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1838 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .85277 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6800E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 18220.97 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 47 CALLS 225 TOTAL EDM= .63E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.9590 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.4586 .76716 -.23726E-04 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.1838 1.1122 .40763E-06 .51918E-04 4 Prefactor .85275 1.1997 .98822E-06 .10153E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.45864 Normalizat = 1.1838 Prefactor = 0.852748 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 18220.97 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 234 TOTAL EDM= .63E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.9590 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .18618 1.3571 -.23726E-04 -.78705 3 Normalizat 1.1838 1.1122 .40763E-06 -.87105 4 Prefactor .85275 1.1997 .98822E-06 -.97812 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 6.31433e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.60699e-05 2 0.773335 3 1.13562 4 1.24005 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 18220.96912 delta logL = 2.12130544242e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1616.6+4630 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 1.607e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 1.459e+00 7.733e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 8.481e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 677 Prefactor: 8.527e-01 1.240e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 678 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 679 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 676 Normalization: 1.184e+00 1.136e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 244.160 46.510 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/14075605/cmap_HighResolution_776649601_777254401_4FGL_J1616.6+4630_weekly_bin889.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.29e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.92e-08', time_completed='2025-10-20 08:21:02.978459', job_id='14075605', GAL2='0.85', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.18', EG='1.18', time_epoch_completed='1760973662.98', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.85', dlogl='2.12e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.60' WHERE bin_id='889' AND source_name='4FGL J1616.6+4630' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Oct 20 08:21:03 PDT 2025