/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 17508 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945 RA = 243.922, Dec = 47.2028 tmin = 810518401, tmax = 811123201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='38316239', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-15 12:40:59.320131', time_epoch_executed='1789501259.32' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='945' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/38316239 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/38316239/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=810518401.0 && nMetStart<811123201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=810518401.0 && nMetStart<811123201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=810518401.0 && nMetStart<811123201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits ra=243.922 dec=47.2028 rad=12.0 tmin=810518401.0 tmax=811123201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 6.17 user 5.58 sys 0.28 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.57 user 0.22 sys 0.11 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1463 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits sctable="SC_DATA"/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/38315967/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits.....................! real 36.45 user 34.98 sys 0.78 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38315967/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38315967/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38315967/expmap_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38315967/ltcube_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38315967/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+4712' 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.421e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38315967/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38315967/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38315967/expmap_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38315967/ltcube_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38315967/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15620.2677418 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15620.0758366 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .43030 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .11425E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 10.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .76633E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .22255E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .18464E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 10.953 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .31004E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .98841E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .11094E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .25930E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 4.0144 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 2.2660 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 5.8647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .73394E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .10339E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 6.9388 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 3.9485 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 2.0198 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 29.605 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 1.3653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .28327E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 3.2510 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .25020 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .26595E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 5.2656 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .29088E-07 1.0000 number of points = 17508 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945 RA = 243.922, Dec = 47.2028 tmin = 810518401, tmax = 811123201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='38316330', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-09-15 12:42:24.811189', time_epoch_executed='1789501344.81' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='945' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/38316330 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/38316330/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=810518401.0 && nMetStart<811123201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=810518401.0 && nMetStart<811123201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=810518401.0 && nMetStart<811123201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits ra=243.922 dec=47.2028 rad=12.0 tmin=810518401.0 tmax=811123201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 6.14 user 5.56 sys 0.21 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.58 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1463 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits sctable="SC_DATA" .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .16151E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .14352E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' .93729 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.0479 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15620.08 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 198 CALLS 2442 TOTAL EDM= .94E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .43079 1.2663 .72058E-07 .18096E-02 2 Prefactor .27756E-09 2.1359 -.43732E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 10.802 6.9525 .15874E-07 -.80453E-01 4 Prefactor .47740E-07 4.5572 -.21552E-07** at limit ** 5 norm .14975E-05 35.682 .89458E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .54068E-07 3.7792 -.13711E-07** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 10.873 5.3427 .59637E-07 -.34057E-03 8 norm .94869E-07 7.9454 .29708E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .44964E-08 55.833 .10504E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .70821E-06 3.0313 .29288E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .18707E-07 26.800 -.16024E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 4.0136 3.2314 -.55244E-07 -.17463E-02 13 Prefactor 2.2657 1.6101 .26146E-07 .30489E-02 14 norm 5.9043 1.1152 -.47877E-08 -.74937E-03 15 norm .73409E-01 .50374E-01 .15620E-08** at limit ** 16 norm .55511E-09 2.7765 -.13417E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 6.9396 7.3758 .29372E-07 -.77131E-02 18 Prefactor 3.9544 2.4968 -.19274E-07 -.43598E-03 19 Prefactor 2.0352 3.0572 -.48007E-07 -.72270E-03 20 norm 29.534 1.0152 .11467E-09 -.17941E-02 21 Prefactor 1.3653 .56834 -.12913E-07 -.15227E-02 22 Prefactor .0000 .42046 -.30599E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 3.2471 1.8930 -.19619E-08 .79074E-04 24 Prefactor .24945 1.8256 .16447E-06** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .38858E-09 3.8803 .10509E-06** at limit ** 26 norm 5.2644 1.2494 -.97001E-08 -.16548E-02 27 norm .0000 .16532 .18761E-07** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .16043E-07 13.475 -.13537E-07** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .54649 -.17239E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat .93761 .13448 .27659E-05 .22323E-03 31 Prefactor 1.0477 .13086 -.18606E-05 .11451E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.430794 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 10.802 Prefactor = 4.77396e-08 norm = 1.49752e-06 Prefactor = 5.40679e-08 Prefactor = 10.873 norm = 9.48686e-08 Prefactor = 4.4964e-09 Prefactor = 7.08211e-07 Prefactor = 1.87073e-08 Prefactor = 4.01362 Prefactor = 2.26567 norm = 5.90426 norm = 0.0734089 norm = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 6.93959 Prefactor = 3.95435 Prefactor = 2.03517 norm = 29.5338 Prefactor = 1.36529 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.24714 Prefactor = 0.249454 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 5.26438 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.60427e-08 norm = 0 Normalizat = 0.937612 Prefactor = 1.04771 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316230/ltcube_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/38316230/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits .....................! real 19.47 user 18.62 sys 0.26 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316230/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316230/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/38316230/ltcube_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316230/expmap_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/38316230/ltcube_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits .....................! real 73.44 user 67.81 sys 4.28 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 211 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1615.6+4712 @ 243.922 47.2028 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316230/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316230/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316230/cmap_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.69 user 0.25 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316230/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316230/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316230/cmap_HighResolution_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.92 user 0.27 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316230/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316230/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/38316230/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourc outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ltcube_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits .....................! real 18.55 user 17.89 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ltcube_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/expmap_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ltcube_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits .....................! real 69.88 user 65.11 sys 3.93 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 211 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1615.6+4712 @ 243.922 47.2028 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/cmap_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.66 user 0.25 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/cmap_HighResolution_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.66 user 0.25 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourc ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15620.08 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 708 CALLS 3150 TOTAL EDM= .30E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .43079 1.2921 .86057E-03 -1.5695 2 Prefactor .27756E-09 2.1285 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 10.802 10.776 .30382E-03 -1.5642 4 Prefactor .47740E-07 5.0777 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm .14975E-05 5.2828 .10055E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .54068E-07 4.1160 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 10.873 5.3521 .30248E-03 -1.5642 8 norm .94869E-07 10.100 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .44964E-08 55.873 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .70821E-06 12.211 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .18707E-07 26.795 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 4.0136 3.3085 .50308E-03 -1.5668 13 Prefactor 2.2657 1.6267 .68204E-03 -1.5678 14 norm 5.9043 11.321 .41445E-03 -1.5659 15 norm .73409E-01 .54181E-01 .49823E-03 -1.5703 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .55511E-09 2.7751 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 6.9396 7.4513 .38062E-03 -1.5655 18 Prefactor 3.9544 2.5083 .50741E-03 -1.5668 19 Prefactor 2.0352 3.0772 .72791E-03 -1.5679 20 norm 29.534 23.621 .18382E-03 -1.5599 21 Prefactor 1.3653 .58878 .93354E-03 -1.5685 22 Prefactor .0000 .41060 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 3.2471 1.9035 .56146E-03 -1.5672 24 Prefactor .24945 .94121 .34033E-02 -1.5698 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .38858E-09 3.8874 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm 5.2644 1.2557 .43779E-03 -1.5662 27 norm .0000 .16195 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .16043E-07 13.021 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .12297 .22634E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat .93761 .11488 .45376E-01 -.95151 31 Prefactor 1.0477 .11122 .40037E-01 -.91156 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.01828e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.29213 2 4.77301e-05 3 10.7759 4 0.000984875 5 0.00562532 6 0.000943519 7 5.35215 8 0.00195788 9 0.00100129 10 0.00588146 11 0.00141537 12 3.30854 13 1.62666 14 11.321 15 0.054181 16 7.77172e-05 17 7.45133 18 2.50826 19 3.07725 20 23.6215 21 0.588783 22 6.17537e-07 23 1.90348 24 0.941207 25 7.65033e-05 26 1.25568 27 6.21082e-07 28 0.000913638 29 6.5729e-07 30 0.114912 31 0.11124 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/38315826/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits.....................! real 47.87 user 45.45 sys 0.95 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38315826/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38315826/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38315826/expmap_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38315826/ltcube_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38315826/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+4712' 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.421e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38315826/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38315826/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38315826/expmap_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38315826/ltcube_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38315826/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15620.2677418 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15620.0758366 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .43030 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .11425E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 10.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .76633E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .22255E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .18464E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 10.953 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .31004E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .98841E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .11094E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .25930E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 4.0144 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 2.2660 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 5.8647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .73394E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .10339E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 6.9388 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 3.9485 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 2.0198 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 29.605 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 1.3653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .28327E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 3.2510 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .25020 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .26595E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 5.2656 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .29088E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .16151E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .14352E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' .93729 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.0479 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15620.08 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 198 CALLS 2442 TOTAL EDM= .94E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .43079 1.2663 .72058E-07 .18096E-02 2 Prefactor .27756E-09 2.1359 -.43732E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 10.802 6.9525 .15874E-07 -.80453E-01 4 Prefactor .47740E-07 4.5572 -.21552E-07** at limit ** 5 norm .14975E-05 35.682 .89458E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .54068E-07 3.7792 -.13711E-07** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 10.873 5.3427 .59637E-07 -.34057E-03 8 norm .94869E-07 7.9454 .29708E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .44964E-08 55.833 .10504E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .70821E-06 3.0313 .29288E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .18707E-07 26.800 -.16024E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 4.0136 3.2314 -.55244E-07 -.17463E-02 13 Prefactor 2.2657 1.6101 .26146E-07 .30489E-02 14 norm 5.9043 1.1152 -.47877E-08 -.74937E-03 15 norm .73409E-01 .50374E-01 .15620E-08** at limit ** 16 norm .55511E-09 2.7765 -.13417E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 6.9396 7.3758 .29372E-07 -.77131E-02 18 Prefactor 3.9544 2.4968 -.19274E-07 -.43598E-03 19 Prefactor 2.0352 3.0572 -.48007E-07 -.72270E-03 20 norm 29.534 1.0152 .11467E-09 -.17941E-02 21 Prefactor 1.3653 .56834 -.12913E-07 -.15227E-02 22 Prefactor .0000 .42046 -.30599E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 3.2471 1.8930 -.19619E-08 .79074E-04 24 Prefactor .24945 1.8256 .16447E-06** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .38858E-09 3.8803 .10509E-06** at limit ** 26 norm 5.2644 1.2494 -.97001E-08 -.16548E-02 27 norm .0000 .16532 .18761E-07** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .16043E-07 13.475 -.13537E-07** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .54649 -.17239E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat .93761 .13448 .27659E-05 .22323E-03 31 Prefactor 1.0477 .13086 -.18606E-05 .11451E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.430794 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 10.802 Prefactor = 4.77396e-08 norm = 1.49752e-06 Prefactor = 5.40679e-08 Prefactor = 10.873 norm = 9.48686e-08 Prefactor = 4.4964e-09 Prefactor = 7.08211e-07 Prefactor = 1.87073e-08 Prefactor = 4.01362 Prefactor = 2.26567 norm = 5.90426 norm = 0.0734089 norm = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 6.93959 Prefactor = 3.95435 Prefactor = 2.03517 norm = 29.5338 Prefactor = 1.36529 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.24714 Prefactor = 0.249454 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 5.26438 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.60427e-08 norm = 0 Normalizat = 0.937612 Prefactor = 1.04771 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ltcube_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits .....................! real 18.22 user 17.70 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ltcube_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/expmap_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ltcube_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits .....................! real 70.46 user 65.49 sys 3.99 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 211 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1615.6+4712 @ 243.922 47.2028 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/cmap_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.87 user 0.24 sys 0.14 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/cmap_HighResolution_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.72 user 0.24 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/38316103/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits.....................! real 42.24 user 40.69 sys 1.04 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38316103/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38316103/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38316103/expmap_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38316103/ltcube_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38316103/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+4712' 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.421e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38316103/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38316103/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38316103/expmap_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38316103/ltcube_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38316103/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15620.2677418 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15620.0758366 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .43030 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .11425E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 10.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .76633E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .22255E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .18464E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 10.953 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .31004E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .98841E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .11094E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .25930E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 4.0144 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 2.2660 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 5.8647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .73394E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .10339E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 6.9388 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 3.9485 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 2.0198 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 29.605 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 1.3653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .28327E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 3.2510 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .25020 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .26595E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 5.2656 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .29088E-07 1.0000 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/38316081/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits.....................! real 43.85 user 42.49 sys 0.70 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38316081/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38316081/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38316081/expmap_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38316081/ltcube_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38316081/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+4712' 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.421e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38316081/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38316081/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38316081/expmap_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38316081/ltcube_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38316081/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15620.2677418 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15620.0758366 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .43030 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .11425E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 10.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .76633E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .22255E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .18464E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 10.953 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .31004E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .98841E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .11094E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .25930E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 4.0144 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 2.2660 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 5.8647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .73394E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .10339E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 6.9388 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 3.9485 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 2.0198 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 29.605 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 1.3653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .28327E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 3.2510 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .25020 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .26595E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 5.2656 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .29088E-07 1.0000 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15620.0751487 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 7.082e-07 5.881e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.048e+00 1.112e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 9.376e-01 1.149e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.61869423687e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00275491006182 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/38315967/likelihoodResults_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15620.1467157 delta logL = -0.071567006893 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15619.9247276 delta logL = 0.150421157809 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .11119E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 6.2621 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .91703 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0612 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 15620.08 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 55 CALLS 330 TOTAL EDM= .29E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95726 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.0855 .64395 .30010E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat .93761 1.2642 -.10987E-04 .57659E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0477 1.1726 .15546E-04 -.65836E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.08549 Normalizat = 0.937612 Prefactor = 1.04771 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 15620.08 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 339 TOTAL EDM= .29E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95726 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .65049E-01 1.1052 .30010E-05 -32.315 3 Normalizat .93761 1.2642 -.10987E-04 -.95151 4 Prefactor 1.0477 1.1726 .15546E-04 -.91156 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.9026e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.81844e-06 2 0.648639 3 1.30817 4 1.20336 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 15620.0751487 delta logL = 2.77759681921e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 5.818e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 1.085e+00 6.486e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.048e+00 1.203e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 9.376e-01 1.308e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38315967/cmap_HighResolution_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.75e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.62e-08', time_completed='2026-09-15 12:46:42.484197', job_id='38315967', GAL2='1.05', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.94', EG='0.94', time_epoch_completed='1789501602.48', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.05', dlogl='2.78e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='945' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 15 12:46:42 PDT 2026 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .16151E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .14352E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' .93729 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.0479 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15620.08 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 198 CALLS 2442 TOTAL EDM= .94E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .43079 1.2663 .72058E-07 .18096E-02 2 Prefactor .27756E-09 2.1359 -.43732E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 10.802 6.9525 .15874E-07 -.80453E-01 4 Prefactor .47740E-07 4.5572 -.21552E-07** at limit ** 5 norm .14975E-05 35.682 .89458E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .54068E-07 3.7792 -.13711E-07** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 10.873 5.3427 .59637E-07 -.34057E-03 8 norm .94869E-07 7.9454 .29708E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .44964E-08 55.833 .10504E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .70821E-06 3.0313 .29288E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .18707E-07 26.800 -.16024E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 4.0136 3.2314 -.55244E-07 -.17463E-02 13 Prefactor 2.2657 1.6101 .26146E-07 .30489E-02 14 norm 5.9043 1.1152 -.47877E-08 -.74937E-03 15 norm .73409E-01 .50374E-01 .15620E-08** at limit ** 16 norm .55511E-09 2.7765 -.13417E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 6.9396 7.3758 .29372E-07 -.77131E-02 18 Prefactor 3.9544 2.4968 -.19274E-07 -.43598E-03 19 Prefactor 2.0352 3.0572 -.48007E-07 -.72270E-03 20 norm 29.534 1.0152 .11467E-09 -.17941E-02 21 Prefactor 1.3653 .56834 -.12913E-07 -.15227E-02 22 Prefactor .0000 .42046 -.30599E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 3.2471 1.8930 -.19619E-08 .79074E-04 24 Prefactor .24945 1.8256 .16447E-06** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .38858E-09 3.8803 .10509E-06** at limit ** 26 norm 5.2644 1.2494 -.97001E-08 -.16548E-02 27 norm .0000 .16532 .18761E-07** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .16043E-07 13.475 -.13537E-07** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .54649 -.17239E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat .93761 .13448 .27659E-05 .22323E-03 31 Prefactor 1.0477 .13086 -.18606E-05 .11451E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.430794 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 10.802 Prefactor = 4.77396e-08 norm = 1.49752e-06 Prefactor = 5.40679e-08 Prefactor = 10.873 norm = 9.48686e-08 Prefactor = 4.4964e-09 Prefactor = 7.08211e-07 Prefactor = 1.87073e-08 Prefactor = 4.01362 Prefactor = 2.26567 norm = 5.90426 norm = 0.0734089 norm = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 6.93959 Prefactor = 3.95435 Prefactor = 2.03517 norm = 29.5338 Prefactor = 1.36529 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.24714 Prefactor = 0.249454 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 5.26438 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.60427e-08 norm = 0 Normalizat = 0.937612 Prefactor = 1.04771 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .16151E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .14352E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' .93729 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.0479 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15620.08 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 198 CALLS 2442 TOTAL EDM= .94E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .43079 1.2663 .72058E-07 .18096E-02 2 Prefactor .27756E-09 2.1359 -.43732E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 10.802 6.9525 .15874E-07 -.80453E-01 4 Prefactor .47740E-07 4.5572 -.21552E-07** at limit ** 5 norm .14975E-05 35.682 .89458E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .54068E-07 3.7792 -.13711E-07** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 10.873 5.3427 .59637E-07 -.34057E-03 8 norm .94869E-07 7.9454 .29708E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .44964E-08 55.833 .10504E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .70821E-06 3.0313 .29288E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .18707E-07 26.800 -.16024E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 4.0136 3.2314 -.55244E-07 -.17463E-02 13 Prefactor 2.2657 1.6101 .26146E-07 .30489E-02 14 norm 5.9043 1.1152 -.47877E-08 -.74937E-03 15 norm .73409E-01 .50374E-01 .15620E-08** at limit ** 16 norm .55511E-09 2.7765 -.13417E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 6.9396 7.3758 .29372E-07 -.77131E-02 18 Prefactor 3.9544 2.4968 -.19274E-07 -.43598E-03 19 Prefactor 2.0352 3.0572 -.48007E-07 -.72270E-03 20 norm 29.534 1.0152 .11467E-09 -.17941E-02 21 Prefactor 1.3653 .56834 -.12913E-07 -.15227E-02 22 Prefactor .0000 .42046 -.30599E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 3.2471 1.8930 -.19619E-08 .79074E-04 24 Prefactor .24945 1.8256 .16447E-06** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .38858E-09 3.8803 .10509E-06** at limit ** 26 norm 5.2644 1.2494 -.97001E-08 -.16548E-02 27 norm .0000 .16532 .18761E-07** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .16043E-07 13.475 -.13537E-07** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .54649 -.17239E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat .93761 .13448 .27659E-05 .22323E-03 31 Prefactor 1.0477 .13086 -.18606E-05 .11451E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.430794 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 10.802 Prefactor = 4.77396e-08 norm = 1.49752e-06 Prefactor = 5.40679e-08 Prefactor = 10.873 norm = 9.48686e-08 Prefactor = 4.4964e-09 Prefactor = 7.08211e-07 Prefactor = 1.87073e-08 Prefactor = 4.01362 Prefactor = 2.26567 norm = 5.90426 norm = 0.0734089 norm = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 6.93959 Prefactor = 3.95435 Prefactor = 2.03517 norm = 29.5338 Prefactor = 1.36529 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.24714 Prefactor = 0.249454 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 5.26438 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.60427e-08 norm = 0 Normalizat = 0.937612 Prefactor = 1.04771 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15620.08 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 708 CALLS 3150 TOTAL EDM= .30E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .43079 1.2921 .86057E-03 -1.5695 2 Prefactor .27756E-09 2.1285 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 10.802 10.776 .30382E-03 -1.5642 4 Prefactor .47740E-07 5.0777 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm .14975E-05 5.2828 .10055E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .54068E-07 4.1160 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 10.873 5.3521 .30248E-03 -1.5642 8 norm .94869E-07 10.100 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .44964E-08 55.873 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .70821E-06 12.211 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .18707E-07 26.795 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 4.0136 3.3085 .50308E-03 -1.5668 13 Prefactor 2.2657 1.6267 .68204E-03 -1.5678 14 norm 5.9043 11.321 .41445E-03 -1.5659 15 norm .73409E-01 .54181E-01 .49823E-03 -1.5703 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .55511E-09 2.7751 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 6.9396 7.4513 .38062E-03 -1.5655 18 Prefactor 3.9544 2.5083 .50741E-03 -1.5668 19 Prefactor 2.0352 3.0772 .72791E-03 -1.5679 20 norm 29.534 23.621 .18382E-03 -1.5599 21 Prefactor 1.3653 .58878 .93354E-03 -1.5685 22 Prefactor .0000 .41060 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 3.2471 1.9035 .56146E-03 -1.5672 24 Prefactor .24945 .94121 .34033E-02 -1.5698 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .38858E-09 3.8874 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm 5.2644 1.2557 .43779E-03 -1.5662 27 norm .0000 .16195 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .16043E-07 13.021 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .12297 .22634E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat .93761 .11488 .45376E-01 -.95151 31 Prefactor 1.0477 .11122 .40037E-01 -.91156 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.01828e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.29213 2 4.77301e-05 3 10.7759 4 0.000984875 5 0.00562532 6 0.000943519 7 5.35215 8 0.00195788 9 0.00100129 10 0.00588146 11 0.00141537 12 3.30854 13 1.62666 14 11.321 15 0.054181 16 7.77172e-05 17 7.45133 18 2.50826 19 3.07725 20 23.6215 21 0.588783 22 6.17537e-07 23 1.90348 24 0.941207 25 7.65033e-05 26 1.25568 27 6.21082e-07 28 0.000913638 29 6.5729e-07 30 0.114912 31 0.11124 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15620.08 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 708 CALLS 3150 TOTAL EDM= .30E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .43079 1.2921 .86057E-03 -1.5695 2 Prefactor .27756E-09 2.1285 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 10.802 10.776 .30382E-03 -1.5642 4 Prefactor .47740E-07 5.0777 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm .14975E-05 5.2828 .10055E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .54068E-07 4.1160 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 10.873 5.3521 .30248E-03 -1.5642 8 norm .94869E-07 10.100 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .44964E-08 55.873 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .70821E-06 12.211 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .18707E-07 26.795 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 4.0136 3.3085 .50308E-03 -1.5668 13 Prefactor 2.2657 1.6267 .68204E-03 -1.5678 14 norm 5.9043 11.321 .41445E-03 -1.5659 15 norm .73409E-01 .54181E-01 .49823E-03 -1.5703 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .55511E-09 2.7751 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 6.9396 7.4513 .38062E-03 -1.5655 18 Prefactor 3.9544 2.5083 .50741E-03 -1.5668 19 Prefactor 2.0352 3.0772 .72791E-03 -1.5679 20 norm 29.534 23.621 .18382E-03 -1.5599 21 Prefactor 1.3653 .58878 .93354E-03 -1.5685 22 Prefactor .0000 .41060 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 3.2471 1.9035 .56146E-03 -1.5672 24 Prefactor .24945 .94121 .34033E-02 -1.5698 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .38858E-09 3.8874 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm 5.2644 1.2557 .43779E-03 -1.5662 27 norm .0000 .16195 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .16043E-07 13.021 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .12297 .22634E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat .93761 .11488 .45376E-01 -.95151 31 Prefactor 1.0477 .11122 .40037E-01 -.91156 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.01828e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.29213 2 4.77301e-05 3 10.7759 4 0.000984875 5 0.00562532 6 0.000943519 7 5.35215 8 0.00195788 9 0.00100129 10 0.00588146 11 0.00141537 12 3.30854 13 1.62666 14 11.321 15 0.054181 16 7.77172e-05 17 7.45133 18 2.50826 19 3.07725 20 23.6215 21 0.588783 22 6.17537e-07 23 1.90348 24 0.941207 25 7.65033e-05 26 1.25568 27 6.21082e-07 28 0.000913638 29 6.5729e-07 30 0.114912 31 0.11124 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15620.08 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 708 CALLS 3150 TOTAL EDM= .30E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .43079 1.2921 .86057E-03 -1.5695 2 Prefactor .27756E-09 2.1285 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 10.802 10.776 .30382E-03 -1.5642 4 Prefactor .47740E-07 5.0777 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm .14975E-05 5.2828 .10055E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .54068E-07 4.1160 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 10.873 5.3521 .30248E-03 -1.5642 8 norm .94869E-07 10.100 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .44964E-08 55.873 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .70821E-06 12.211 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .18707E-07 26.795 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 4.0136 3.3085 .50308E-03 -1.5668 13 Prefactor 2.2657 1.6267 .68204E-03 -1.5678 14 norm 5.9043 11.321 .41445E-03 -1.5659 15 norm .73409E-01 .54181E-01 .49823E-03 -1.5703 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .55511E-09 2.7751 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 6.9396 7.4513 .38062E-03 -1.5655 18 Prefactor 3.9544 2.5083 .50741E-03 -1.5668 19 Prefactor 2.0352 3.0772 .72791E-03 -1.5679 20 norm 29.534 23.621 .18382E-03 -1.5599 21 Prefactor 1.3653 .58878 .93354E-03 -1.5685 22 Prefactor .0000 .41060 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 3.2471 1.9035 .56146E-03 -1.5672 24 Prefactor .24945 .94121 .34033E-02 -1.5698 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .38858E-09 3.8874 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm 5.2644 1.2557 .43779E-03 -1.5662 27 norm .0000 .16195 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .16043E-07 13.021 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .12297 .22634E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat .93761 .11488 .45376E-01 -.95151 31 Prefactor 1.0477 .11122 .40037E-01 -.91156 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.01828e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.29213 2 4.77301e-05 3 10.7759 4 0.000984875 5 0.00562532 6 0.000943519 7 5.35215 8 0.00195788 9 0.00100129 10 0.00588146 11 0.00141537 12 3.30854 13 1.62666 14 11.321 15 0.054181 16 7.77172e-05 17 7.45133 18 2.50826 19 3.07725 20 23.6215 21 0.588783 22 6.17537e-07 23 1.90348 24 0.941207 25 7.65033e-05 26 1.25568 27 6.21082e-07 28 0.000913638 29 6.5729e-07 30 0.114912 31 0.11124 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits.....................! real 42.96 user 41.48 sys 0.77 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/expmap_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ltcube_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38316239/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+4712' 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.421e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38316239/expmap_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38316239/ltcube_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38316239/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15620.2677418 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15620.0758366 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .43030 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .11425E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 10.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .76633E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .22255E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .18464E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 10.953 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .31004E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .98841E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .11094E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .25930E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 4.0144 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 2.2660 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 5.8647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .73394E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .10339E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 6.9388 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 3.9485 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 2.0198 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 29.605 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 1.3653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .28327E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 3.2510 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .25020 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .26595E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 5.2656 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .29088E-07 1.0000 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/38316230/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits.....................! real 45.32 user 43.55 sys 0.86 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38316230/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38316230/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38316230/expmap_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38316230/ltcube_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38316230/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+4712' 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.421e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38316230/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38316230/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38316230/expmap_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38316230/ltcube_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38316230/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15620.2677418 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15620.0758366 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .43030 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .11425E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 10.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .76633E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .22255E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .18464E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 10.953 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .31004E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .98841E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .11094E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .25930E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 4.0144 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 2.2660 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 5.8647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .73394E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .10339E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 6.9388 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 3.9485 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 2.0198 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 29.605 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 1.3653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .28327E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 3.2510 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .25020 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .26595E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 5.2656 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .29088E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .16151E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .14352E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' .93729 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.0479 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15620.08 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 198 CALLS 2442 TOTAL EDM= .94E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .43079 1.2663 .72058E-07 .18096E-02 2 Prefactor .27756E-09 2.1359 -.43732E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 10.802 6.9525 .15874E-07 -.80453E-01 4 Prefactor .47740E-07 4.5572 -.21552E-07** at limit ** 5 norm .14975E-05 35.682 .89458E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .54068E-07 3.7792 -.13711E-07** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 10.873 5.3427 .59637E-07 -.34057E-03 8 norm .94869E-07 7.9454 .29708E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .44964E-08 55.833 .10504E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .70821E-06 3.0313 .29288E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .18707E-07 26.800 -.16024E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 4.0136 3.2314 -.55244E-07 -.17463E-02 13 Prefactor 2.2657 1.6101 .26146E-07 .30489E-02 14 norm 5.9043 1.1152 -.47877E-08 -.74937E-03 15 norm .73409E-01 .50374E-01 .15620E-08** at limit ** 16 norm .55511E-09 2.7765 -.13417E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 6.9396 7.3758 .29372E-07 -.77131E-02 18 Prefactor 3.9544 2.4968 -.19274E-07 -.43598E-03 19 Prefactor 2.0352 3.0572 -.48007E-07 -.72270E-03 20 norm 29.534 1.0152 .11467E-09 -.17941E-02 21 Prefactor 1.3653 .56834 -.12913E-07 -.15227E-02 22 Prefactor .0000 .42046 -.30599E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 3.2471 1.8930 -.19619E-08 .79074E-04 24 Prefactor .24945 1.8256 .16447E-06** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .38858E-09 3.8803 .10509E-06** at limit ** 26 norm 5.2644 1.2494 -.97001E-08 -.16548E-02 27 norm .0000 .16532 .18761E-07** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .16043E-07 13.475 -.13537E-07** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .54649 -.17239E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat .93761 .13448 .27659E-05 .22323E-03 31 Prefactor 1.0477 .13086 -.18606E-05 .11451E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.430794 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 10.802 Prefactor = 4.77396e-08 norm = 1.49752e-06 Prefactor = 5.40679e-08 Prefactor = 10.873 norm = 9.48686e-08 Prefactor = 4.4964e-09 Prefactor = 7.08211e-07 Prefactor = 1.87073e-08 Prefactor = 4.01362 Prefactor = 2.26567 norm = 5.90426 norm = 0.0734089 norm = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 6.93959 Prefactor = 3.95435 Prefactor = 2.03517 norm = 29.5338 Prefactor = 1.36529 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.24714 Prefactor = 0.249454 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 5.26438 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.60427e-08 norm = 0 Normalizat = 0.937612 Prefactor = 1.04771 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15620.0751487 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 7.082e-07 5.881e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.048e+00 1.112e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 9.376e-01 1.149e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.61869423687e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00275491006182 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/38315826/likelihoodResults_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15620.1467157 delta logL = -0.071567006893 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15619.9247276 delta logL = 0.150421157809 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .11119E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 6.2621 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .91703 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0612 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 15620.08 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 55 CALLS 330 TOTAL EDM= .29E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95726 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.0855 .64395 .30010E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat .93761 1.2642 -.10987E-04 .57659E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0477 1.1726 .15546E-04 -.65836E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.08549 Normalizat = 0.937612 Prefactor = 1.04771 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 15620.08 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 339 TOTAL EDM= .29E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95726 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .65049E-01 1.1052 .30010E-05 -32.315 3 Normalizat .93761 1.2642 -.10987E-04 -.95151 4 Prefactor 1.0477 1.1726 .15546E-04 -.91156 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.9026e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.81844e-06 2 0.648639 3 1.30817 4 1.20336 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 15620.0751487 delta logL = 2.77759681921e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 5.818e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 1.085e+00 6.486e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.048e+00 1.203e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 9.376e-01 1.308e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38315826/cmap_HighResolution_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.75e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.62e-08', time_completed='2026-09-15 12:49:34.834702', job_id='38315826', GAL2='1.05', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.94', EG='0.94', time_epoch_completed='1789501774.83', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.05', dlogl='2.78e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='945' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 15 12:49:35 PDT 2026 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .16151E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .14352E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' .93729 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.0479 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15620.08 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 198 CALLS 2442 TOTAL EDM= .94E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .43079 1.2663 .72058E-07 .18096E-02 2 Prefactor .27756E-09 2.1359 -.43732E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 10.802 6.9525 .15874E-07 -.80453E-01 4 Prefactor .47740E-07 4.5572 -.21552E-07** at limit ** 5 norm .14975E-05 35.682 .89458E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .54068E-07 3.7792 -.13711E-07** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 10.873 5.3427 .59637E-07 -.34057E-03 8 norm .94869E-07 7.9454 .29708E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .44964E-08 55.833 .10504E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .70821E-06 3.0313 .29288E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .18707E-07 26.800 -.16024E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 4.0136 3.2314 -.55244E-07 -.17463E-02 13 Prefactor 2.2657 1.6101 .26146E-07 .30489E-02 14 norm 5.9043 1.1152 -.47877E-08 -.74937E-03 15 norm .73409E-01 .50374E-01 .15620E-08** at limit ** 16 norm .55511E-09 2.7765 -.13417E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 6.9396 7.3758 .29372E-07 -.77131E-02 18 Prefactor 3.9544 2.4968 -.19274E-07 -.43598E-03 19 Prefactor 2.0352 3.0572 -.48007E-07 -.72270E-03 20 norm 29.534 1.0152 .11467E-09 -.17941E-02 21 Prefactor 1.3653 .56834 -.12913E-07 -.15227E-02 22 Prefactor .0000 .42046 -.30599E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 3.2471 1.8930 -.19619E-08 .79074E-04 24 Prefactor .24945 1.8256 .16447E-06** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .38858E-09 3.8803 .10509E-06** at limit ** 26 norm 5.2644 1.2494 -.97001E-08 -.16548E-02 27 norm .0000 .16532 .18761E-07** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .16043E-07 13.475 -.13537E-07** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .54649 -.17239E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat .93761 .13448 .27659E-05 .22323E-03 31 Prefactor 1.0477 .13086 -.18606E-05 .11451E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.430794 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 10.802 Prefactor = 4.77396e-08 norm = 1.49752e-06 Prefactor = 5.40679e-08 Prefactor = 10.873 norm = 9.48686e-08 Prefactor = 4.4964e-09 Prefactor = 7.08211e-07 Prefactor = 1.87073e-08 Prefactor = 4.01362 Prefactor = 2.26567 norm = 5.90426 norm = 0.0734089 norm = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 6.93959 Prefactor = 3.95435 Prefactor = 2.03517 norm = 29.5338 Prefactor = 1.36529 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.24714 Prefactor = 0.249454 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 5.26438 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.60427e-08 norm = 0 Normalizat = 0.937612 Prefactor = 1.04771 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15620.0751487 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 7.082e-07 5.881e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.048e+00 1.112e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 9.376e-01 1.149e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.61869423687e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00275491006182 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/38316103/likelihoodResults_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15620.1467157 delta logL = -0.071567006893 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15619.9247276 delta logL = 0.150421157809 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .11119E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 6.2621 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .91703 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0612 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 15620.08 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 55 CALLS 330 TOTAL EDM= .29E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95726 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.0855 .64395 .30010E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat .93761 1.2642 -.10987E-04 .57659E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0477 1.1726 .15546E-04 -.65836E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.08549 Normalizat = 0.937612 Prefactor = 1.04771 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 15620.08 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 339 TOTAL EDM= .29E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95726 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .65049E-01 1.1052 .30010E-05 -32.315 3 Normalizat .93761 1.2642 -.10987E-04 -.95151 4 Prefactor 1.0477 1.1726 .15546E-04 -.91156 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.9026e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.81844e-06 2 0.648639 3 1.30817 4 1.20336 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 15620.0751487 delta logL = 2.77759681921e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 5.818e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 1.085e+00 6.486e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.048e+00 1.203e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 9.376e-01 1.308e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38316103/cmap_HighResolution_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.75e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.62e-08', time_completed='2026-09-15 12:50:03.981041', job_id='38316103', GAL2='1.05', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.94', EG='0.94', time_epoch_completed='1789501803.98', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.05', dlogl='2.78e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='945' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 15 12:50:04 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits.....................! real 42.77 user 41.37 sys 0.70 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/expmap_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ltcube_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/38316330/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+4712' 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.421e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/38316330/expmap_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/38316330/ltcube_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/38316330/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15620.2677418 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15620.0758366 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .43030 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .11425E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 10.857 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .76633E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' .22255E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .18464E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 10.953 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .31004E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .98841E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .11094E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .25930E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' 4.0144 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 2.2660 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 5.8647 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .73394E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .10339E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 6.9388 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' 3.9485 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 2.0198 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 29.605 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 1.3653 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .28327E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 3.2510 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .25020 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .26595E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 5.2656 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .29088E-07 1.0000 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15620.0751487 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 7.082e-07 5.881e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.048e+00 1.112e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 9.376e-01 1.149e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.61869423687e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00275491006182 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/38316081/likelihoodResults_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15620.1467157 delta logL = -0.071567006893 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15619.9247276 delta logL = 0.150421157809 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .11119E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 6.2621 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .91703 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0612 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 15620.08 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 55 CALLS 330 TOTAL EDM= .29E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95726 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.0855 .64395 .30010E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat .93761 1.2642 -.10987E-04 .57659E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0477 1.1726 .15546E-04 -.65836E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.08549 Normalizat = 0.937612 Prefactor = 1.04771 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 15620.08 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 339 TOTAL EDM= .29E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95726 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .65049E-01 1.1052 .30010E-05 -32.315 3 Normalizat .93761 1.2642 -.10987E-04 -.95151 4 Prefactor 1.0477 1.1726 .15546E-04 -.91156 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.9026e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.81844e-06 2 0.648639 3 1.30817 4 1.20336 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 15620.0751487 delta logL = 2.77759681921e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 5.818e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 1.085e+00 6.486e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.048e+00 1.203e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 9.376e-01 1.308e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38316081/cmap_HighResolution_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.75e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.62e-08', time_completed='2026-09-15 12:50:29.791219', job_id='38316081', GAL2='1.05', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.94', EG='0.94', time_epoch_completed='1789501829.79', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.05', dlogl='2.78e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='945' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 15 12:50:29 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15620.08 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 708 CALLS 3150 TOTAL EDM= .30E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .43079 1.2921 .86057E-03 -1.5695 2 Prefactor .27756E-09 2.1285 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 10.802 10.776 .30382E-03 -1.5642 4 Prefactor .47740E-07 5.0777 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm .14975E-05 5.2828 .10055E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .54068E-07 4.1160 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 10.873 5.3521 .30248E-03 -1.5642 8 norm .94869E-07 10.100 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .44964E-08 55.873 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .70821E-06 12.211 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .18707E-07 26.795 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 4.0136 3.3085 .50308E-03 -1.5668 13 Prefactor 2.2657 1.6267 .68204E-03 -1.5678 14 norm 5.9043 11.321 .41445E-03 -1.5659 15 norm .73409E-01 .54181E-01 .49823E-03 -1.5703 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .55511E-09 2.7751 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 6.9396 7.4513 .38062E-03 -1.5655 18 Prefactor 3.9544 2.5083 .50741E-03 -1.5668 19 Prefactor 2.0352 3.0772 .72791E-03 -1.5679 20 norm 29.534 23.621 .18382E-03 -1.5599 21 Prefactor 1.3653 .58878 .93354E-03 -1.5685 22 Prefactor .0000 .41060 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 3.2471 1.9035 .56146E-03 -1.5672 24 Prefactor .24945 .94121 .34033E-02 -1.5698 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .38858E-09 3.8874 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm 5.2644 1.2557 .43779E-03 -1.5662 27 norm .0000 .16195 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .16043E-07 13.021 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .12297 .22634E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat .93761 .11488 .45376E-01 -.95151 31 Prefactor 1.0477 .11122 .40037E-01 -.91156 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.01828e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.29213 2 4.77301e-05 3 10.7759 4 0.000984875 5 0.00562532 6 0.000943519 7 5.35215 8 0.00195788 9 0.00100129 10 0.00588146 11 0.00141537 12 3.30854 13 1.62666 14 11.321 15 0.054181 16 7.77172e-05 17 7.45133 18 2.50826 19 3.07725 20 23.6215 21 0.588783 22 6.17537e-07 23 1.90348 24 0.941207 25 7.65033e-05 26 1.25568 27 6.21082e-07 28 0.000913638 29 6.5729e-07 30 0.114912 31 0.11124 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .16151E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .14352E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' .93729 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.0479 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 15620.08 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 198 CALLS 2442 TOTAL EDM= .94E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.5% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .43079 1.2663 .72058E-07 .18096E-02 2 Prefactor .27756E-09 2.1359 -.43732E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 10.802 6.9525 .15874E-07 -.80453E-01 4 Prefactor .47740E-07 4.5572 -.21552E-07** at limit ** 5 norm .14975E-05 35.682 .89458E-07** at limit ** 6 Prefactor .54068E-07 3.7792 -.13711E-07** at limit ** 7 Prefactor 10.873 5.3427 .59637E-07 -.34057E-03 8 norm .94869E-07 7.9454 .29708E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .44964E-08 55.833 .10504E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .70821E-06 3.0313 .29288E-07** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .18707E-07 26.800 -.16024E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor 4.0136 3.2314 -.55244E-07 -.17463E-02 13 Prefactor 2.2657 1.6101 .26146E-07 .30489E-02 14 norm 5.9043 1.1152 -.47877E-08 -.74937E-03 15 norm .73409E-01 .50374E-01 .15620E-08** at limit ** 16 norm .55511E-09 2.7765 -.13417E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 6.9396 7.3758 .29372E-07 -.77131E-02 18 Prefactor 3.9544 2.4968 -.19274E-07 -.43598E-03 19 Prefactor 2.0352 3.0572 -.48007E-07 -.72270E-03 20 norm 29.534 1.0152 .11467E-09 -.17941E-02 21 Prefactor 1.3653 .56834 -.12913E-07 -.15227E-02 22 Prefactor .0000 .42046 -.30599E-07** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 3.2471 1.8930 -.19619E-08 .79074E-04 24 Prefactor .24945 1.8256 .16447E-06** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .38858E-09 3.8803 .10509E-06** at limit ** 26 norm 5.2644 1.2494 -.97001E-08 -.16548E-02 27 norm .0000 .16532 .18761E-07** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .16043E-07 13.475 -.13537E-07** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .54649 -.17239E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat .93761 .13448 .27659E-05 .22323E-03 31 Prefactor 1.0477 .13086 -.18606E-05 .11451E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.430794 Prefactor = 2.77556e-10 Prefactor = 10.802 Prefactor = 4.77396e-08 norm = 1.49752e-06 Prefactor = 5.40679e-08 Prefactor = 10.873 norm = 9.48686e-08 Prefactor = 4.4964e-09 Prefactor = 7.08211e-07 Prefactor = 1.87073e-08 Prefactor = 4.01362 Prefactor = 2.26567 norm = 5.90426 norm = 0.0734089 norm = 5.55112e-10 Prefactor = 6.93959 Prefactor = 3.95435 Prefactor = 2.03517 norm = 29.5338 Prefactor = 1.36529 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 3.24714 Prefactor = 0.249454 Prefactor = 3.88578e-10 norm = 5.26438 norm = 0 Prefactor = 1.60427e-08 norm = 0 Normalizat = 0.937612 Prefactor = 1.04771 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15620.08 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 708 CALLS 3150 TOTAL EDM= .30E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .43079 1.2921 .86057E-03 -1.5695 2 Prefactor .27756E-09 2.1285 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 10.802 10.776 .30382E-03 -1.5642 4 Prefactor .47740E-07 5.0777 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm .14975E-05 5.2828 .10055E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .54068E-07 4.1160 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 10.873 5.3521 .30248E-03 -1.5642 8 norm .94869E-07 10.100 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .44964E-08 55.873 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .70821E-06 12.211 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .18707E-07 26.795 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 4.0136 3.3085 .50308E-03 -1.5668 13 Prefactor 2.2657 1.6267 .68204E-03 -1.5678 14 norm 5.9043 11.321 .41445E-03 -1.5659 15 norm .73409E-01 .54181E-01 .49823E-03 -1.5703 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .55511E-09 2.7751 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 6.9396 7.4513 .38062E-03 -1.5655 18 Prefactor 3.9544 2.5083 .50741E-03 -1.5668 19 Prefactor 2.0352 3.0772 .72791E-03 -1.5679 20 norm 29.534 23.621 .18382E-03 -1.5599 21 Prefactor 1.3653 .58878 .93354E-03 -1.5685 22 Prefactor .0000 .41060 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 3.2471 1.9035 .56146E-03 -1.5672 24 Prefactor .24945 .94121 .34033E-02 -1.5698 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .38858E-09 3.8874 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm 5.2644 1.2557 .43779E-03 -1.5662 27 norm .0000 .16195 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .16043E-07 13.021 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .12297 .22634E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat .93761 .11488 .45376E-01 -.95151 31 Prefactor 1.0477 .11122 .40037E-01 -.91156 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.01828e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.29213 2 4.77301e-05 3 10.7759 4 0.000984875 5 0.00562532 6 0.000943519 7 5.35215 8 0.00195788 9 0.00100129 10 0.00588146 11 0.00141537 12 3.30854 13 1.62666 14 11.321 15 0.054181 16 7.77172e-05 17 7.45133 18 2.50826 19 3.07725 20 23.6215 21 0.588783 22 6.17537e-07 23 1.90348 24 0.941207 25 7.65033e-05 26 1.25568 27 6.21082e-07 28 0.000913638 29 6.5729e-07 30 0.114912 31 0.11124 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 15620.08 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 708 CALLS 3150 TOTAL EDM= .30E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .43079 1.2921 .86057E-03 -1.5695 2 Prefactor .27756E-09 2.1285 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 10.802 10.776 .30382E-03 -1.5642 4 Prefactor .47740E-07 5.0777 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm .14975E-05 5.2828 .10055E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 6 Prefactor .54068E-07 4.1160 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 Prefactor 10.873 5.3521 .30248E-03 -1.5642 8 norm .94869E-07 10.100 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .44964E-08 55.873 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .70821E-06 12.211 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .18707E-07 26.795 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor 4.0136 3.3085 .50308E-03 -1.5668 13 Prefactor 2.2657 1.6267 .68204E-03 -1.5678 14 norm 5.9043 11.321 .41445E-03 -1.5659 15 norm .73409E-01 .54181E-01 .49823E-03 -1.5703 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .55511E-09 2.7751 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 6.9396 7.4513 .38062E-03 -1.5655 18 Prefactor 3.9544 2.5083 .50741E-03 -1.5668 19 Prefactor 2.0352 3.0772 .72791E-03 -1.5679 20 norm 29.534 23.621 .18382E-03 -1.5599 21 Prefactor 1.3653 .58878 .93354E-03 -1.5685 22 Prefactor .0000 .41060 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 3.2471 1.9035 .56146E-03 -1.5672 24 Prefactor .24945 .94121 .34033E-02 -1.5698 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .38858E-09 3.8874 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm 5.2644 1.2557 .43779E-03 -1.5662 27 norm .0000 .16195 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .16043E-07 13.021 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .12297 .22634E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat .93761 .11488 .45376E-01 -.95151 31 Prefactor 1.0477 .11122 .40037E-01 -.91156 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.01828e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.29213 2 4.77301e-05 3 10.7759 4 0.000984875 5 0.00562532 6 0.000943519 7 5.35215 8 0.00195788 9 0.00100129 10 0.00588146 11 0.00141537 12 3.30854 13 1.62666 14 11.321 15 0.054181 16 7.77172e-05 17 7.45133 18 2.50826 19 3.07725 20 23.6215 21 0.588783 22 6.17537e-07 23 1.90348 24 0.941207 25 7.65033e-05 26 1.25568 27 6.21082e-07 28 0.000913638 29 6.5729e-07 30 0.114912 31 0.11124 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15620.0751487 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 7.082e-07 5.881e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.048e+00 1.112e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 9.376e-01 1.149e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.61869423687e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00275491006182 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/38316239/likelihoodResults_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15620.1467157 delta logL = -0.071567006893 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15619.9247276 delta logL = 0.150421157809 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .11119E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 6.2621 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .91703 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0612 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 15620.08 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 55 CALLS 330 TOTAL EDM= .29E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95726 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.0855 .64395 .30010E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat .93761 1.2642 -.10987E-04 .57659E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0477 1.1726 .15546E-04 -.65836E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.08549 Normalizat = 0.937612 Prefactor = 1.04771 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 15620.08 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 339 TOTAL EDM= .29E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95726 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .65049E-01 1.1052 .30010E-05 -32.315 3 Normalizat .93761 1.2642 -.10987E-04 -.95151 4 Prefactor 1.0477 1.1726 .15546E-04 -.91156 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.9026e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.81844e-06 2 0.648639 3 1.30817 4 1.20336 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 15620.0751487 delta logL = 2.77759681921e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 5.818e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 1.085e+00 6.486e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.048e+00 1.203e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 9.376e-01 1.308e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38316239/cmap_HighResolution_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.75e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.62e-08', time_completed='2026-09-15 12:52:43.843715', job_id='38316239', GAL2='1.05', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.94', EG='0.94', time_epoch_completed='1789501963.84', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.05', dlogl='2.78e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='945' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 15 12:52:44 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15620.0751487 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 7.082e-07 5.881e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.048e+00 1.112e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 9.376e-01 1.149e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.61869423687e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00275491006182 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/38316230/likelihoodResults_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15620.1467157 delta logL = -0.071567006893 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15619.9247276 delta logL = 0.150421157809 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .11119E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 6.2621 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .91703 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0612 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 15620.08 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 55 CALLS 330 TOTAL EDM= .29E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95726 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.0855 .64395 .30010E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat .93761 1.2642 -.10987E-04 .57659E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0477 1.1726 .15546E-04 -.65836E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.08549 Normalizat = 0.937612 Prefactor = 1.04771 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 15620.08 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 339 TOTAL EDM= .29E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95726 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .65049E-01 1.1052 .30010E-05 -32.315 3 Normalizat .93761 1.2642 -.10987E-04 -.95151 4 Prefactor 1.0477 1.1726 .15546E-04 -.91156 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.9026e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.81844e-06 2 0.648639 3 1.30817 4 1.20336 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 15620.0751487 delta logL = 2.77759681921e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 5.818e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 1.085e+00 6.486e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.048e+00 1.203e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 9.376e-01 1.308e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38316230/cmap_HighResolution_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.75e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.62e-08', time_completed='2026-09-15 12:53:07.002475', job_id='38316230', GAL2='1.05', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.94', EG='0.94', time_epoch_completed='1789501987.0', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.05', dlogl='2.78e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='945' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 15 12:53:07 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 15620.0751487 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 7.082e-07 5.881e-03 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.048e+00 1.112e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 9.376e-01 1.149e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.61869423687e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00275491006182 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/38316330/likelihoodResults_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15620.1467157 delta logL = -0.071567006893 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 15619.9247276 delta logL = 0.150421157809 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .11119E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 6.2621 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .91703 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0612 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 15620.08 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 55 CALLS 330 TOTAL EDM= .29E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95726 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 1.0855 .64395 .30010E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat .93761 1.2642 -.10987E-04 .57659E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0477 1.1726 .15546E-04 -.65836E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.08549 Normalizat = 0.937612 Prefactor = 1.04771 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 15620.08 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 339 TOTAL EDM= .29E-10 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 .95726 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .65049E-01 1.1052 .30010E-05 -32.315 3 Normalizat .93761 1.2642 -.10987E-04 -.95151 4 Prefactor 1.0477 1.1726 .15546E-04 -.91156 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.9026e-11 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 5.81844e-06 2 0.648639 3 1.30817 4 1.20336 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 15620.0751487 delta logL = 2.77759681921e-08 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 5.818e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 1.085e+00 6.486e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.048e+00 1.203e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 9.376e-01 1.308e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/38316330/cmap_HighResolution_810518401_811123201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin945.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.75e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.62e-08', time_completed='2026-09-15 12:54:02.499465', job_id='38316330', GAL2='1.05', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='0.94', EG='0.94', time_epoch_completed='1789502042.5', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.05', dlogl='2.78e-08', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='945' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Sep 15 12:54:02 PDT 2026