/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31173366/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits.....................! real 49.83 user 47.73 sys 1.40 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31173366/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31173366/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31173366/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31173366/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31173366/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+4712' 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.421e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173366/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173366/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31173366/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31173366/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31173366/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18076.9089524 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18076.9007613 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .41633E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .82598E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 3.3064 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 11.370 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 8.5440 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 7.5866 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 3.4341 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 8.2075 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .23849E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .95953E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .82437E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .21856E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 1.3368 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .19556E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .0000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .61873E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 2.9380 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .11379E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 15.877 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 2.6996 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 1.4204 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 1.3256 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 1.1000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .71293E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' 21.170 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 1.7758 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .10980E-03 1.0000 number of points = 17462 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935 RA = 243.922, Dec = 47.2028 tmin = 804470401, tmax = 805075201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31173780', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-09 20:48:16.757008', time_epoch_executed='1783655296.76' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='935' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173780 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173780/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits ra=243.922 dec=47.2028 rad=12.0 tmin=804470401.0 tmax=805075201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 5.96 user 5.10 sys 0.28 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.94 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1666 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA"number of points = 17462 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935 RA = 243.922, Dec = 47.2028 tmin = 804470401, tmax = 805075201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31173798', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-09 20:48:15.911521', time_epoch_executed='1783655295.91' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='935' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173798 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173798/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits ra=243.922 dec=47.2028 rad=12.0 tmin=804470401.0 tmax=805075201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.98 user 4.35 sys 0.21 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.82 user 0.19 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1666 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA"number of points = 17462 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935 RA = 243.922, Dec = 47.2028 tmin = 804470401, tmax = 805075201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31173791', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-09 20:48:15.878624', time_epoch_executed='1783655295.88' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='935' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173791 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173791/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits ra=243.922 dec=47.2028 rad=12.0 tmin=804470401.0 tmax=805075201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 5.05 user 4.36 sys 0.21 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.95 user 0.22 sys 0.12 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1666 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .14311E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .15821E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' 1.0429 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.0311 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 18076.90 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 152 CALLS 3019 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 .47690 .12696E-09** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .22204E-09 1.9248 -.43814E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 3.2733 2.4303 -.41693E-07 -.21089E-02 4 Prefactor 11.379 4.4497 -.25487E-07 -.52021E-01 5 norm 8.5327 3.4645 .20939E-07 .14752E-01 6 Prefactor 7.6000 1.8930 -.27193E-07 .22089E-01 7 Prefactor 3.4249 2.6831 .13703E-07 .99280E-04 8 norm 8.1890 3.1116 .18304E-07 -.20004E-02 9 Prefactor .26024E-05 9.7457 -.19860E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .61062E-09 2.6386 -.22196E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .61651E-06 16.087 -.26437E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.0208 -.30024E-07** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 1.3335 1.8875 .49025E-07 .14076E-02 14 norm .20539E-08 2.2812 -.43396E-07** at limit ** 15 norm .0000 .32868E-01 -.35481E-08** at limit ** 16 norm .14044E-06 9.3484 .58884E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 2.9333 1.7885 -.39787E-08 .79924E-02 18 Prefactor .51625E-08 5.9764 -.21951E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 15.810 4.7339 -.43208E-09 .23156E-02 20 norm 2.8088 1.1882 .17804E-07 -.12826E-02 21 Prefactor 1.4202 .68909 .71835E-07 .13664E-01 22 Prefactor 1.3252 .68865 -.38998E-07 .22563E-03 23 Prefactor 1.0998 1.1403 .92827E-07 .49930E-02 24 Prefactor .0000 .49629 .61083E-08** at limit ** 25 Prefactor 21.169 5.8563 -.40094E-07 -.91088E-01 26 norm 1.7762 .76833 .12658E-07 .37187E-02 27 norm .26812E-07 1.9912 -.26551E-07** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .83803E-05 9.9377 .18390E-07** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .26098 .74079E-08** at limit ** 30 Normalizat 1.0432 .13191 .13241E-05 .39899E-04 31 Prefactor 1.0310 .12673 -.17039E-05 -.66706E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 3.27325 Prefactor = 11.3793 norm = 8.53273 Prefactor = 7.60001 Prefactor = 3.42493 norm = 8.18896 Prefactor = 2.60242e-06 Prefactor = 6.10623e-10 Prefactor = 6.16507e-07 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.33352 norm = 2.05391e-09 norm = 0 norm = 1.40443e-07 Prefactor = 2.93328 Prefactor = 5.16254e-09 Prefactor = 15.8102 norm = 2.80882 Prefactor = 1.4202 Prefactor = 1.32523 Prefactor = 1.09983 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 21.169 norm = 1.77622 norm = 2.68119e-08 Prefactor = 8.3803e-06 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.04321 Prefactor = 1.03097 number of points = 17462 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935 RA = 243.922, Dec = 47.2028 tmin = 804470401, tmax = 805075201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31173783', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-09 20:48:20.674056', time_epoch_executed='1783655300.67' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='935' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173783 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173783/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits ra=243.922 dec=47.2028 rad=12.0 tmin=804470401.0 tmax=805075201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 6.50 user 5.13 sys 0.23 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.28 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1666 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 18076.90 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 716 CALLS 3735 TOTAL EDM= .41E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 .47843 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .22204E-09 1.9259 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 3.2733 17.297 .55651E-03 -1.5672 4 Prefactor 11.379 9.1999 .29686E-03 -1.5640 5 norm 8.5327 8.6707 .34270E-03 -1.5650 6 Prefactor 7.6000 13.984 .36385E-03 -1.5653 7 Prefactor 3.4249 6.0758 .54557E-03 -1.5671 8 norm 8.1890 5.4496 .34971E-03 -1.5651 9 Prefactor .26024E-05 14.270 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .61062E-09 2.9917 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .61651E-06 17.130 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.0238 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 1.3335 1.9284 .94834E-03 -1.5685 14 norm .20539E-08 2.4954 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .16875E-01 .93650E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .14044E-06 4.9420 .10856E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 2.9333 8.4275 .59232E-03 -1.5674 18 Prefactor .51625E-08 5.7414 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 15.810 4.7543 .25109E-03 -1.5628 20 norm 2.8088 49.712 .61975E-03 -1.5674 21 Prefactor 1.4202 .68397 .90739E-03 -1.5684 22 Prefactor 1.3252 .67988 .95436E-03 -1.5685 23 Prefactor 1.0998 1.1646 .11330E-02 -1.5687 24 Prefactor .0000 .49536 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor 21.169 6.5199 .21740E-03 -1.5616 26 norm 1.7762 .76851 .78529E-03 -1.5681 27 norm .26812E-07 .12943 .28370E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .83803E-05 1.6213 .53994E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .14370 .18516E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat 1.0432 .11427 .41059E-01 -.91597 31 Prefactor 1.0310 .10904 .41172E-01 -.91704 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.13711e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.24775e-06 2 4.32246e-05 3 15.0491 4 9.19989 5 8.67068 6 13.9843 7 6.07578 8 5.44956 9 0.0121879 10 8.64882e-05 11 0.00649959 12 1.63764e-05 13 1.92842 14 0.000142877 15 1.94139e-07 16 0.00166623 17 8.42758 18 0.000343598 19 4.75427 20 23.6333 21 0.683967 22 0.679876 23 1.16457 24 6.85569e-06 25 6.51987 26 0.768513 27 0.00011779 28 0.00737205 29 1.8481e-06 30 0.114293 31 0.109067 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits .....................! real 18.95 user 18.10 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits .....................! real 59.68 user 55.43 sys 3.44 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 211 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1615.6+4712 @ 243.922 47.2028 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/cmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.81 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/cmap_HighResolution_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.03 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourc outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits .....................! real 17.93 user 17.09 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits .....................! real 59.63 user 55.48 sys 3.43 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 211 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1615.6+4712 @ 243.922 47.2028 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/cmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.20 user 0.20 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/cmap_HighResolution_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.88 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourc outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits .....................! real 18.80 user 17.77 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits .....................! real 69.22 user 64.10 sys 4.11 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 211 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1615.6+4712 @ 243.922 47.2028 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/cmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.80 user 0.24 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/cmap_HighResolution_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.78 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourc outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits .....................! real 19.36 user 17.99 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits .....................! real 69.64 user 62.98 sys 4.02 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 211 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1615.6+4712 @ 243.922 47.2028 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/cmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.29 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/cmap_HighResolution_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.01 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18076.8997588 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 6.106e-10 8.649e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.031e+00 1.091e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.043e+00 1.143e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.87426502989e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00218817648933 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173366/likelihoodResults_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 18076.9016196 delta logL = -0.00186083242806 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 18076.8997658 delta logL = -7.05855563865e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .21478E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.5122 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0434 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0308 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 18076.90 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 39 CALLS 238 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0818 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.6145 1.2848 .94079E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.0432 1.2131 .13191E-05 -.87092E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0310 1.2176 -.24674E-05 -.85597E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.61446 Normalizat = 1.04321 Prefactor = 1.03097 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 18076.90 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 247 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0818 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .77287 1.9458 .94079E-05 -.49736 3 Normalizat 1.0432 1.2131 .13191E-05 -.91597 4 Prefactor 1.0310 1.2176 -.24674E-05 -.91704 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.14458e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.67984e-06 2 1.3038 3 1.2478 4 1.25277 number of points = 17462 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935 RA = 243.922, Dec = 47.2028 tmin = 804470401, tmax = 805075201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31173974', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-09 20:52:19.316221', time_epoch_executed='1783655539.32' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='935' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173974 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173974/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits ra=243.922 dec=47.2028 rad=12.0 tmin=804470401.0 tmax=805075201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 6.00 user 5.27 sys 0.24 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.69 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1666 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA"shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 18076.8997588 delta logL = 1.05501385406e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.680e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.614e+00 1.304e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.031e+00 1.253e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.043e+00 1.248e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31173366/cmap_HighResolution_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.19e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.87e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 20:57:07.235956', job_id='31173366', GAL2='1.03', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.04', EG='1.04', time_epoch_completed='1783655827.24', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.03', dlogl='1.06e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='935' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 20:57:07 PDT 2026 number of points = 17462 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935 RA = 243.922, Dec = 47.2028 tmin = 804470401, tmax = 805075201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31173984', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-09 20:52:22.012595', time_epoch_executed='1783655542.01' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='935' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173984 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173984/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits ra=243.922 dec=47.2028 rad=12.0 tmin=804470401.0 tmax=805075201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 5.99 user 4.78 sys 0.27 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.15 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1666 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA"number of points = 17462 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935 RA = 243.922, Dec = 47.2028 tmin = 804470401, tmax = 805075201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31173957', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-09 20:51:36.433852', time_epoch_executed='1783655496.43' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='935' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173957 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173957/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=804470401.0 && nMetStart<805075201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits ra=243.922 dec=47.2028 rad=12.0 tmin=804470401.0 tmax=805075201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 6.61 user 5.47 sys 0.24 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.29 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1666 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits .....................! real 19.03 user 18.26 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits .....................! real 72.11 user 67.25 sys 4.09 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 211 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1615.6+4712 @ 243.922 47.2028 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/cmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.64 user 0.25 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/cmap_HighResolution_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.74 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourc outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits .....................! real 17.98 user 16.94 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits .....................! real 65.07 user 60.09 sys 4.03 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 211 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1615.6+4712 @ 243.922 47.2028 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/cmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.87 user 0.23 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/cmap_HighResolution_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.33 user 0.22 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits.....................! real 42.07 user 40.73 sys 0.59 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31173798/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+4712' 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.421e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31173798/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31173798/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31173798/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18076.9089524 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18076.9007613 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .41633E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .82598E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 3.3064 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 11.370 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 8.5440 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 7.5866 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 3.4341 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 8.2075 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .23849E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .95953E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .82437E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .21856E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 1.3368 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .19556E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .0000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .61873E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 2.9380 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .11379E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 15.877 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 2.6996 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 1.4204 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 1.3256 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 1.1000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .71293E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' 21.170 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 1.7758 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .10980E-03 1.0000 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits .....................! real 21.49 user 20.14 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits .....................! real 74.27 user 68.91 sys 4.27 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 211 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1615.6+4712 @ 243.922 47.2028 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/cmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.83 user 0.25 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/cmap_HighResolution_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.86 user 0.26 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits.....................! real 41.85 user 40.50 sys 0.55 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31173791/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+4712' 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.421e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31173791/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31173791/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31173791/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18076.9089524 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18076.9007613 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .41633E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .82598E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 3.3064 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 11.370 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 8.5440 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 7.5866 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 3.4341 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 8.2075 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .23849E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .95953E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .82437E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .21856E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 1.3368 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .19556E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .0000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .61873E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 2.9380 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .11379E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 15.877 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 2.6996 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 1.4204 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 1.3256 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 1.1000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .71293E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' 21.170 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 1.7758 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .10980E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .14311E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .15821E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' 1.0429 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.0311 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 18076.90 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 152 CALLS 3019 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 .47690 .12696E-09** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .22204E-09 1.9248 -.43814E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 3.2733 2.4303 -.41693E-07 -.21089E-02 4 Prefactor 11.379 4.4497 -.25487E-07 -.52021E-01 5 norm 8.5327 3.4645 .20939E-07 .14752E-01 6 Prefactor 7.6000 1.8930 -.27193E-07 .22089E-01 7 Prefactor 3.4249 2.6831 .13703E-07 .99280E-04 8 norm 8.1890 3.1116 .18304E-07 -.20004E-02 9 Prefactor .26024E-05 9.7457 -.19860E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .61062E-09 2.6386 -.22196E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .61651E-06 16.087 -.26437E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.0208 -.30024E-07** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 1.3335 1.8875 .49025E-07 .14076E-02 14 norm .20539E-08 2.2812 -.43396E-07** at limit ** 15 norm .0000 .32868E-01 -.35481E-08** at limit ** 16 norm .14044E-06 9.3484 .58884E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 2.9333 1.7885 -.39787E-08 .79924E-02 18 Prefactor .51625E-08 5.9764 -.21951E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 15.810 4.7339 -.43208E-09 .23156E-02 20 norm 2.8088 1.1882 .17804E-07 -.12826E-02 21 Prefactor 1.4202 .68909 .71835E-07 .13664E-01 22 Prefactor 1.3252 .68865 -.38998E-07 .22563E-03 23 Prefactor 1.0998 1.1403 .92827E-07 .49930E-02 24 Prefactor .0000 .49629 .61083E-08** at limit ** 25 Prefactor 21.169 5.8563 -.40094E-07 -.91088E-01 26 norm 1.7762 .76833 .12658E-07 .37187E-02 27 norm .26812E-07 1.9912 -.26551E-07** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .83803E-05 9.9377 .18390E-07** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .26098 .74079E-08** at limit ** 30 Normalizat 1.0432 .13191 .13241E-05 .39899E-04 31 Prefactor 1.0310 .12673 -.17039E-05 -.66706E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 3.27325 Prefactor = 11.3793 norm = 8.53273 Prefactor = 7.60001 Prefactor = 3.42493 norm = 8.18896 Prefactor = 2.60242e-06 Prefactor = 6.10623e-10 Prefactor = 6.16507e-07 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.33352 norm = 2.05391e-09 norm = 0 norm = 1.40443e-07 Prefactor = 2.93328 Prefactor = 5.16254e-09 Prefactor = 15.8102 norm = 2.80882 Prefactor = 1.4202 Prefactor = 1.32523 Prefactor = 1.09983 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 21.169 norm = 1.77622 norm = 2.68119e-08 Prefactor = 8.3803e-06 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.04321 Prefactor = 1.03097 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .14311E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .15821E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' 1.0429 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.0311 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 18076.90 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 152 CALLS 3019 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 .47690 .12696E-09** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .22204E-09 1.9248 -.43814E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 3.2733 2.4303 -.41693E-07 -.21089E-02 4 Prefactor 11.379 4.4497 -.25487E-07 -.52021E-01 5 norm 8.5327 3.4645 .20939E-07 .14752E-01 6 Prefactor 7.6000 1.8930 -.27193E-07 .22089E-01 7 Prefactor 3.4249 2.6831 .13703E-07 .99280E-04 8 norm 8.1890 3.1116 .18304E-07 -.20004E-02 9 Prefactor .26024E-05 9.7457 -.19860E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .61062E-09 2.6386 -.22196E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .61651E-06 16.087 -.26437E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.0208 -.30024E-07** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 1.3335 1.8875 .49025E-07 .14076E-02 14 norm .20539E-08 2.2812 -.43396E-07** at limit ** 15 norm .0000 .32868E-01 -.35481E-08** at limit ** 16 norm .14044E-06 9.3484 .58884E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 2.9333 1.7885 -.39787E-08 .79924E-02 18 Prefactor .51625E-08 5.9764 -.21951E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 15.810 4.7339 -.43208E-09 .23156E-02 20 norm 2.8088 1.1882 .17804E-07 -.12826E-02 21 Prefactor 1.4202 .68909 .71835E-07 .13664E-01 22 Prefactor 1.3252 .68865 -.38998E-07 .22563E-03 23 Prefactor 1.0998 1.1403 .92827E-07 .49930E-02 24 Prefactor .0000 .49629 .61083E-08** at limit ** 25 Prefactor 21.169 5.8563 -.40094E-07 -.91088E-01 26 norm 1.7762 .76833 .12658E-07 .37187E-02 27 norm .26812E-07 1.9912 -.26551E-07** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .83803E-05 9.9377 .18390E-07** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .26098 .74079E-08** at limit ** 30 Normalizat 1.0432 .13191 .13241E-05 .39899E-04 31 Prefactor 1.0310 .12673 -.17039E-05 -.66706E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 3.27325 Prefactor = 11.3793 norm = 8.53273 Prefactor = 7.60001 Prefactor = 3.42493 norm = 8.18896 Prefactor = 2.60242e-06 Prefactor = 6.10623e-10 Prefactor = 6.16507e-07 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.33352 norm = 2.05391e-09 norm = 0 norm = 1.40443e-07 Prefactor = 2.93328 Prefactor = 5.16254e-09 Prefactor = 15.8102 norm = 2.80882 Prefactor = 1.4202 Prefactor = 1.32523 Prefactor = 1.09983 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 21.169 norm = 1.77622 norm = 2.68119e-08 Prefactor = 8.3803e-06 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.04321 Prefactor = 1.03097 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits.....................! real 48.59 user 46.54 sys 1.34 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31173780/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+4712' 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.421e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31173780/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31173780/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31173780/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18076.9089524 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18076.9007613 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .41633E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .82598E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 3.3064 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 11.370 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 8.5440 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 7.5866 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 3.4341 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 8.2075 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .23849E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .95953E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .82437E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .21856E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 1.3368 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .19556E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .0000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .61873E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 2.9380 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .11379E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 15.877 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 2.6996 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 1.4204 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 1.3256 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 1.1000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .71293E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' 21.170 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 1.7758 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .10980E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .14311E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .15821E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' 1.0429 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.0311 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 18076.90 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 152 CALLS 3019 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 .47690 .12696E-09** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .22204E-09 1.9248 -.43814E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 3.2733 2.4303 -.41693E-07 -.21089E-02 4 Prefactor 11.379 4.4497 -.25487E-07 -.52021E-01 5 norm 8.5327 3.4645 .20939E-07 .14752E-01 6 Prefactor 7.6000 1.8930 -.27193E-07 .22089E-01 7 Prefactor 3.4249 2.6831 .13703E-07 .99280E-04 8 norm 8.1890 3.1116 .18304E-07 -.20004E-02 9 Prefactor .26024E-05 9.7457 -.19860E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .61062E-09 2.6386 -.22196E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .61651E-06 16.087 -.26437E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.0208 -.30024E-07** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 1.3335 1.8875 .49025E-07 .14076E-02 14 norm .20539E-08 2.2812 -.43396E-07** at limit ** 15 norm .0000 .32868E-01 -.35481E-08** at limit ** 16 norm .14044E-06 9.3484 .58884E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 2.9333 1.7885 -.39787E-08 .79924E-02 18 Prefactor .51625E-08 5.9764 -.21951E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 15.810 4.7339 -.43208E-09 .23156E-02 20 norm 2.8088 1.1882 .17804E-07 -.12826E-02 21 Prefactor 1.4202 .68909 .71835E-07 .13664E-01 22 Prefactor 1.3252 .68865 -.38998E-07 .22563E-03 23 Prefactor 1.0998 1.1403 .92827E-07 .49930E-02 24 Prefactor .0000 .49629 .61083E-08** at limit ** 25 Prefactor 21.169 5.8563 -.40094E-07 -.91088E-01 26 norm 1.7762 .76833 .12658E-07 .37187E-02 27 norm .26812E-07 1.9912 -.26551E-07** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .83803E-05 9.9377 .18390E-07** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .26098 .74079E-08** at limit ** 30 Normalizat 1.0432 .13191 .13241E-05 .39899E-04 31 Prefactor 1.0310 .12673 -.17039E-05 -.66706E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 3.27325 Prefactor = 11.3793 norm = 8.53273 Prefactor = 7.60001 Prefactor = 3.42493 norm = 8.18896 Prefactor = 2.60242e-06 Prefactor = 6.10623e-10 Prefactor = 6.16507e-07 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.33352 norm = 2.05391e-09 norm = 0 norm = 1.40443e-07 Prefactor = 2.93328 Prefactor = 5.16254e-09 Prefactor = 15.8102 norm = 2.80882 Prefactor = 1.4202 Prefactor = 1.32523 Prefactor = 1.09983 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 21.169 norm = 1.77622 norm = 2.68119e-08 Prefactor = 8.3803e-06 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.04321 Prefactor = 1.03097 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 18076.90 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 716 CALLS 3735 TOTAL EDM= .41E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 .47843 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .22204E-09 1.9259 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 3.2733 17.297 .55651E-03 -1.5672 4 Prefactor 11.379 9.1999 .29686E-03 -1.5640 5 norm 8.5327 8.6707 .34270E-03 -1.5650 6 Prefactor 7.6000 13.984 .36385E-03 -1.5653 7 Prefactor 3.4249 6.0758 .54557E-03 -1.5671 8 norm 8.1890 5.4496 .34971E-03 -1.5651 9 Prefactor .26024E-05 14.270 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .61062E-09 2.9917 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .61651E-06 17.130 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.0238 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 1.3335 1.9284 .94834E-03 -1.5685 14 norm .20539E-08 2.4954 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .16875E-01 .93650E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .14044E-06 4.9420 .10856E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 2.9333 8.4275 .59232E-03 -1.5674 18 Prefactor .51625E-08 5.7414 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 15.810 4.7543 .25109E-03 -1.5628 20 norm 2.8088 49.712 .61975E-03 -1.5674 21 Prefactor 1.4202 .68397 .90739E-03 -1.5684 22 Prefactor 1.3252 .67988 .95436E-03 -1.5685 23 Prefactor 1.0998 1.1646 .11330E-02 -1.5687 24 Prefactor .0000 .49536 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor 21.169 6.5199 .21740E-03 -1.5616 26 norm 1.7762 .76851 .78529E-03 -1.5681 27 norm .26812E-07 .12943 .28370E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .83803E-05 1.6213 .53994E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .14370 .18516E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat 1.0432 .11427 .41059E-01 -.91597 31 Prefactor 1.0310 .10904 .41172E-01 -.91704 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.13711e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.24775e-06 2 4.32246e-05 3 15.0491 4 9.19989 5 8.67068 6 13.9843 7 6.07578 8 5.44956 9 0.0121879 10 8.64882e-05 11 0.00649959 12 1.63764e-05 13 1.92842 14 0.000142877 15 1.94139e-07 16 0.00166623 17 8.42758 18 0.000343598 19 4.75427 20 23.6333 21 0.683967 22 0.679876 23 1.16457 24 6.85569e-06 25 6.51987 26 0.768513 27 0.00011779 28 0.00737205 29 1.8481e-06 30 0.114293 31 0.109067 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 18076.90 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 716 CALLS 3735 TOTAL EDM= .41E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 .47843 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .22204E-09 1.9259 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 3.2733 17.297 .55651E-03 -1.5672 4 Prefactor 11.379 9.1999 .29686E-03 -1.5640 5 norm 8.5327 8.6707 .34270E-03 -1.5650 6 Prefactor 7.6000 13.984 .36385E-03 -1.5653 7 Prefactor 3.4249 6.0758 .54557E-03 -1.5671 8 norm 8.1890 5.4496 .34971E-03 -1.5651 9 Prefactor .26024E-05 14.270 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .61062E-09 2.9917 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .61651E-06 17.130 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.0238 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 1.3335 1.9284 .94834E-03 -1.5685 14 norm .20539E-08 2.4954 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .16875E-01 .93650E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .14044E-06 4.9420 .10856E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 2.9333 8.4275 .59232E-03 -1.5674 18 Prefactor .51625E-08 5.7414 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 15.810 4.7543 .25109E-03 -1.5628 20 norm 2.8088 49.712 .61975E-03 -1.5674 21 Prefactor 1.4202 .68397 .90739E-03 -1.5684 22 Prefactor 1.3252 .67988 .95436E-03 -1.5685 23 Prefactor 1.0998 1.1646 .11330E-02 -1.5687 24 Prefactor .0000 .49536 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor 21.169 6.5199 .21740E-03 -1.5616 26 norm 1.7762 .76851 .78529E-03 -1.5681 27 norm .26812E-07 .12943 .28370E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .83803E-05 1.6213 .53994E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .14370 .18516E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat 1.0432 .11427 .41059E-01 -.91597 31 Prefactor 1.0310 .10904 .41172E-01 -.91704 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.13711e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.24775e-06 2 4.32246e-05 3 15.0491 4 9.19989 5 8.67068 6 13.9843 7 6.07578 8 5.44956 9 0.0121879 10 8.64882e-05 11 0.00649959 12 1.63764e-05 13 1.92842 14 0.000142877 15 1.94139e-07 16 0.00166623 17 8.42758 18 0.000343598 19 4.75427 20 23.6333 21 0.683967 22 0.679876 23 1.16457 24 6.85569e-06 25 6.51987 26 0.768513 27 0.00011779 28 0.00737205 29 1.8481e-06 30 0.114293 31 0.109067 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits.....................! real 49.81 user 46.31 sys 0.91 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31173783/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+4712' 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.421e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31173783/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31173783/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31173783/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18076.9089524 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18076.9007613 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .41633E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .82598E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 3.3064 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 11.370 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 8.5440 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 7.5866 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 3.4341 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 8.2075 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .23849E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .95953E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .82437E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .21856E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 1.3368 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .19556E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .0000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .61873E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 2.9380 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .11379E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 15.877 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 2.6996 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 1.4204 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 1.3256 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 1.1000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .71293E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' 21.170 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 1.7758 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .10980E-03 1.0000 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 18076.90 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 716 CALLS 3735 TOTAL EDM= .41E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 .47843 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .22204E-09 1.9259 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 3.2733 17.297 .55651E-03 -1.5672 4 Prefactor 11.379 9.1999 .29686E-03 -1.5640 5 norm 8.5327 8.6707 .34270E-03 -1.5650 6 Prefactor 7.6000 13.984 .36385E-03 -1.5653 7 Prefactor 3.4249 6.0758 .54557E-03 -1.5671 8 norm 8.1890 5.4496 .34971E-03 -1.5651 9 Prefactor .26024E-05 14.270 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .61062E-09 2.9917 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .61651E-06 17.130 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.0238 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 1.3335 1.9284 .94834E-03 -1.5685 14 norm .20539E-08 2.4954 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .16875E-01 .93650E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .14044E-06 4.9420 .10856E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 2.9333 8.4275 .59232E-03 -1.5674 18 Prefactor .51625E-08 5.7414 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 15.810 4.7543 .25109E-03 -1.5628 20 norm 2.8088 49.712 .61975E-03 -1.5674 21 Prefactor 1.4202 .68397 .90739E-03 -1.5684 22 Prefactor 1.3252 .67988 .95436E-03 -1.5685 23 Prefactor 1.0998 1.1646 .11330E-02 -1.5687 24 Prefactor .0000 .49536 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor 21.169 6.5199 .21740E-03 -1.5616 26 norm 1.7762 .76851 .78529E-03 -1.5681 27 norm .26812E-07 .12943 .28370E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .83803E-05 1.6213 .53994E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .14370 .18516E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat 1.0432 .11427 .41059E-01 -.91597 31 Prefactor 1.0310 .10904 .41172E-01 -.91704 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.13711e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.24775e-06 2 4.32246e-05 3 15.0491 4 9.19989 5 8.67068 6 13.9843 7 6.07578 8 5.44956 9 0.0121879 10 8.64882e-05 11 0.00649959 12 1.63764e-05 13 1.92842 14 0.000142877 15 1.94139e-07 16 0.00166623 17 8.42758 18 0.000343598 19 4.75427 20 23.6333 21 0.683967 22 0.679876 23 1.16457 24 6.85569e-06 25 6.51987 26 0.768513 27 0.00011779 28 0.00737205 29 1.8481e-06 30 0.114293 31 0.109067 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .14311E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .15821E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' 1.0429 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.0311 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 18076.90 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 152 CALLS 3019 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 .47690 .12696E-09** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .22204E-09 1.9248 -.43814E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 3.2733 2.4303 -.41693E-07 -.21089E-02 4 Prefactor 11.379 4.4497 -.25487E-07 -.52021E-01 5 norm 8.5327 3.4645 .20939E-07 .14752E-01 6 Prefactor 7.6000 1.8930 -.27193E-07 .22089E-01 7 Prefactor 3.4249 2.6831 .13703E-07 .99280E-04 8 norm 8.1890 3.1116 .18304E-07 -.20004E-02 9 Prefactor .26024E-05 9.7457 -.19860E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .61062E-09 2.6386 -.22196E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .61651E-06 16.087 -.26437E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.0208 -.30024E-07** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 1.3335 1.8875 .49025E-07 .14076E-02 14 norm .20539E-08 2.2812 -.43396E-07** at limit ** 15 norm .0000 .32868E-01 -.35481E-08** at limit ** 16 norm .14044E-06 9.3484 .58884E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 2.9333 1.7885 -.39787E-08 .79924E-02 18 Prefactor .51625E-08 5.9764 -.21951E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 15.810 4.7339 -.43208E-09 .23156E-02 20 norm 2.8088 1.1882 .17804E-07 -.12826E-02 21 Prefactor 1.4202 .68909 .71835E-07 .13664E-01 22 Prefactor 1.3252 .68865 -.38998E-07 .22563E-03 23 Prefactor 1.0998 1.1403 .92827E-07 .49930E-02 24 Prefactor .0000 .49629 .61083E-08** at limit ** 25 Prefactor 21.169 5.8563 -.40094E-07 -.91088E-01 26 norm 1.7762 .76833 .12658E-07 .37187E-02 27 norm .26812E-07 1.9912 -.26551E-07** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .83803E-05 9.9377 .18390E-07** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .26098 .74079E-08** at limit ** 30 Normalizat 1.0432 .13191 .13241E-05 .39899E-04 31 Prefactor 1.0310 .12673 -.17039E-05 -.66706E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 3.27325 Prefactor = 11.3793 norm = 8.53273 Prefactor = 7.60001 Prefactor = 3.42493 norm = 8.18896 Prefactor = 2.60242e-06 Prefactor = 6.10623e-10 Prefactor = 6.16507e-07 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.33352 norm = 2.05391e-09 norm = 0 norm = 1.40443e-07 Prefactor = 2.93328 Prefactor = 5.16254e-09 Prefactor = 15.8102 norm = 2.80882 Prefactor = 1.4202 Prefactor = 1.32523 Prefactor = 1.09983 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 21.169 norm = 1.77622 norm = 2.68119e-08 Prefactor = 8.3803e-06 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.04321 Prefactor = 1.03097 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18076.8997588 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 6.106e-10 8.649e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.031e+00 1.091e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.043e+00 1.143e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.87426502989e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00218817648933 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173798/likelihoodResults_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 18076.9016196 delta logL = -0.00186083242806 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 18076.8997658 delta logL = -7.05855563865e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .21478E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.5122 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0434 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0308 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 18076.90 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 39 CALLS 238 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0818 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.6145 1.2848 .94079E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.0432 1.2131 .13191E-05 -.87092E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0310 1.2176 -.24674E-05 -.85597E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.61446 Normalizat = 1.04321 Prefactor = 1.03097 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 18076.90 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 247 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0818 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .77287 1.9458 .94079E-05 -.49736 3 Normalizat 1.0432 1.2131 .13191E-05 -.91597 4 Prefactor 1.0310 1.2176 -.24674E-05 -.91704 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.14458e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.67984e-06 2 1.3038 3 1.2478 4 1.25277 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18076.8997588 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 6.106e-10 8.649e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.031e+00 1.091e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.043e+00 1.143e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.87426502989e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00218817648933 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173791/likelihoodResults_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 18076.9016196 delta logL = -0.00186083242806 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 18076.8997658 delta logL = -7.05855563865e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .21478E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.5122 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0434 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0308 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 18076.90 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 39 CALLS 238 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0818 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.6145 1.2848 .94079E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.0432 1.2131 .13191E-05 -.87092E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0310 1.2176 -.24674E-05 -.85597E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.61446 Normalizat = 1.04321 Prefactor = 1.03097 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 18076.90 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 247 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0818 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .77287 1.9458 .94079E-05 -.49736 3 Normalizat 1.0432 1.2131 .13191E-05 -.91597 4 Prefactor 1.0310 1.2176 -.24674E-05 -.91704 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.14458e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.67984e-06 2 1.3038 3 1.2478 4 1.25277 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 18076.8997588 delta logL = 1.05501385406e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.680e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.614e+00 1.304e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.031e+00 1.253e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.043e+00 1.248e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31173798/cmap_HighResolution_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.19e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.87e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 21:04:23.539529', job_id='31173798', GAL2='1.03', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.04', EG='1.04', time_epoch_completed='1783656263.54', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.03', dlogl='1.06e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='935' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 21:04:23 PDT 2026 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 18076.8997588 delta logL = 1.05501385406e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.680e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.614e+00 1.304e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.031e+00 1.253e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.043e+00 1.248e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31173791/cmap_HighResolution_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.19e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.87e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 21:04:25.544493', job_id='31173791', GAL2='1.03', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.04', EG='1.04', time_epoch_completed='1783656265.54', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.03', dlogl='1.06e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='935' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 21:04:25 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 18076.90 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 716 CALLS 3735 TOTAL EDM= .41E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 .47843 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .22204E-09 1.9259 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 3.2733 17.297 .55651E-03 -1.5672 4 Prefactor 11.379 9.1999 .29686E-03 -1.5640 5 norm 8.5327 8.6707 .34270E-03 -1.5650 6 Prefactor 7.6000 13.984 .36385E-03 -1.5653 7 Prefactor 3.4249 6.0758 .54557E-03 -1.5671 8 norm 8.1890 5.4496 .34971E-03 -1.5651 9 Prefactor .26024E-05 14.270 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .61062E-09 2.9917 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .61651E-06 17.130 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.0238 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 1.3335 1.9284 .94834E-03 -1.5685 14 norm .20539E-08 2.4954 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .16875E-01 .93650E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .14044E-06 4.9420 .10856E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 2.9333 8.4275 .59232E-03 -1.5674 18 Prefactor .51625E-08 5.7414 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 15.810 4.7543 .25109E-03 -1.5628 20 norm 2.8088 49.712 .61975E-03 -1.5674 21 Prefactor 1.4202 .68397 .90739E-03 -1.5684 22 Prefactor 1.3252 .67988 .95436E-03 -1.5685 23 Prefactor 1.0998 1.1646 .11330E-02 -1.5687 24 Prefactor .0000 .49536 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor 21.169 6.5199 .21740E-03 -1.5616 26 norm 1.7762 .76851 .78529E-03 -1.5681 27 norm .26812E-07 .12943 .28370E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .83803E-05 1.6213 .53994E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .14370 .18516E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat 1.0432 .11427 .41059E-01 -.91597 31 Prefactor 1.0310 .10904 .41172E-01 -.91704 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.13711e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.24775e-06 2 4.32246e-05 3 15.0491 4 9.19989 5 8.67068 6 13.9843 7 6.07578 8 5.44956 9 0.0121879 10 8.64882e-05 11 0.00649959 12 1.63764e-05 13 1.92842 14 0.000142877 15 1.94139e-07 16 0.00166623 17 8.42758 18 0.000343598 19 4.75427 20 23.6333 21 0.683967 22 0.679876 23 1.16457 24 6.85569e-06 25 6.51987 26 0.768513 27 0.00011779 28 0.00737205 29 1.8481e-06 30 0.114293 31 0.109067 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18076.8997588 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 6.106e-10 8.649e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.031e+00 1.091e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.043e+00 1.143e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.87426502989e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00218817648933 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173780/likelihoodResults_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 18076.9016196 delta logL = -0.00186083242806 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 18076.8997658 delta logL = -7.05855563865e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .21478E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.5122 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0434 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0308 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 18076.90 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 39 CALLS 238 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0818 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.6145 1.2848 .94079E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.0432 1.2131 .13191E-05 -.87092E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0310 1.2176 -.24674E-05 -.85597E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.61446 Normalizat = 1.04321 Prefactor = 1.03097 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 18076.90 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 247 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0818 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .77287 1.9458 .94079E-05 -.49736 3 Normalizat 1.0432 1.2131 .13191E-05 -.91597 4 Prefactor 1.0310 1.2176 -.24674E-05 -.91704 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.14458e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.67984e-06 2 1.3038 3 1.2478 4 1.25277 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 18076.8997588 delta logL = 1.05501385406e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.680e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.614e+00 1.304e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.031e+00 1.253e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.043e+00 1.248e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31173780/cmap_HighResolution_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.19e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.87e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 21:05:51.207027', job_id='31173780', GAL2='1.03', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.04', EG='1.04', time_epoch_completed='1783656351.21', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.03', dlogl='1.06e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='935' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 21:05:51 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits.....................! real 46.36 user 44.67 sys 0.93 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31173984/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+4712' 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.421e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31173984/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31173984/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31173984/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18076.9089524 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18076.9007613 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .41633E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .82598E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 3.3064 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 11.370 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 8.5440 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 7.5866 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 3.4341 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 8.2075 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .23849E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .95953E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .82437E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .21856E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 1.3368 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .19556E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .0000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .61873E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 2.9380 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .11379E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 15.877 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 2.6996 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 1.4204 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 1.3256 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 1.1000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .71293E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' 21.170 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 1.7758 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .10980E-03 1.0000 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits.....................! real 50.95 user 49.18 sys 1.17 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31173974/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+4712' 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.421e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31173974/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31173974/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31173974/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18076.9089524 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18076.9007613 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .41633E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .82598E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 3.3064 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 11.370 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 8.5440 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 7.5866 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 3.4341 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 8.2075 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .23849E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .95953E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .82437E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .21856E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 1.3368 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .19556E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .0000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .61873E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 2.9380 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .11379E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 15.877 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 2.6996 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 1.4204 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 1.3256 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 1.1000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .71293E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' 21.170 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 1.7758 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .10980E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .14311E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .15821E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' 1.0429 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.0311 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 18076.90 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 152 CALLS 3019 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 .47690 .12696E-09** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .22204E-09 1.9248 -.43814E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 3.2733 2.4303 -.41693E-07 -.21089E-02 4 Prefactor 11.379 4.4497 -.25487E-07 -.52021E-01 5 norm 8.5327 3.4645 .20939E-07 .14752E-01 6 Prefactor 7.6000 1.8930 -.27193E-07 .22089E-01 7 Prefactor 3.4249 2.6831 .13703E-07 .99280E-04 8 norm 8.1890 3.1116 .18304E-07 -.20004E-02 9 Prefactor .26024E-05 9.7457 -.19860E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .61062E-09 2.6386 -.22196E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .61651E-06 16.087 -.26437E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.0208 -.30024E-07** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 1.3335 1.8875 .49025E-07 .14076E-02 14 norm .20539E-08 2.2812 -.43396E-07** at limit ** 15 norm .0000 .32868E-01 -.35481E-08** at limit ** 16 norm .14044E-06 9.3484 .58884E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 2.9333 1.7885 -.39787E-08 .79924E-02 18 Prefactor .51625E-08 5.9764 -.21951E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 15.810 4.7339 -.43208E-09 .23156E-02 20 norm 2.8088 1.1882 .17804E-07 -.12826E-02 21 Prefactor 1.4202 .68909 .71835E-07 .13664E-01 22 Prefactor 1.3252 .68865 -.38998E-07 .22563E-03 23 Prefactor 1.0998 1.1403 .92827E-07 .49930E-02 24 Prefactor .0000 .49629 .61083E-08** at limit ** 25 Prefactor 21.169 5.8563 -.40094E-07 -.91088E-01 26 norm 1.7762 .76833 .12658E-07 .37187E-02 27 norm .26812E-07 1.9912 -.26551E-07** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .83803E-05 9.9377 .18390E-07** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .26098 .74079E-08** at limit ** 30 Normalizat 1.0432 .13191 .13241E-05 .39899E-04 31 Prefactor 1.0310 .12673 -.17039E-05 -.66706E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 3.27325 Prefactor = 11.3793 norm = 8.53273 Prefactor = 7.60001 Prefactor = 3.42493 norm = 8.18896 Prefactor = 2.60242e-06 Prefactor = 6.10623e-10 Prefactor = 6.16507e-07 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.33352 norm = 2.05391e-09 norm = 0 norm = 1.40443e-07 Prefactor = 2.93328 Prefactor = 5.16254e-09 Prefactor = 15.8102 norm = 2.80882 Prefactor = 1.4202 Prefactor = 1.32523 Prefactor = 1.09983 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 21.169 norm = 1.77622 norm = 2.68119e-08 Prefactor = 8.3803e-06 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.04321 Prefactor = 1.03097 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .14311E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .15821E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' 1.0429 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.0311 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 18076.90 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 152 CALLS 3019 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 .47690 .12696E-09** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .22204E-09 1.9248 -.43814E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 3.2733 2.4303 -.41693E-07 -.21089E-02 4 Prefactor 11.379 4.4497 -.25487E-07 -.52021E-01 5 norm 8.5327 3.4645 .20939E-07 .14752E-01 6 Prefactor 7.6000 1.8930 -.27193E-07 .22089E-01 7 Prefactor 3.4249 2.6831 .13703E-07 .99280E-04 8 norm 8.1890 3.1116 .18304E-07 -.20004E-02 9 Prefactor .26024E-05 9.7457 -.19860E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .61062E-09 2.6386 -.22196E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .61651E-06 16.087 -.26437E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.0208 -.30024E-07** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 1.3335 1.8875 .49025E-07 .14076E-02 14 norm .20539E-08 2.2812 -.43396E-07** at limit ** 15 norm .0000 .32868E-01 -.35481E-08** at limit ** 16 norm .14044E-06 9.3484 .58884E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 2.9333 1.7885 -.39787E-08 .79924E-02 18 Prefactor .51625E-08 5.9764 -.21951E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 15.810 4.7339 -.43208E-09 .23156E-02 20 norm 2.8088 1.1882 .17804E-07 -.12826E-02 21 Prefactor 1.4202 .68909 .71835E-07 .13664E-01 22 Prefactor 1.3252 .68865 -.38998E-07 .22563E-03 23 Prefactor 1.0998 1.1403 .92827E-07 .49930E-02 24 Prefactor .0000 .49629 .61083E-08** at limit ** 25 Prefactor 21.169 5.8563 -.40094E-07 -.91088E-01 26 norm 1.7762 .76833 .12658E-07 .37187E-02 27 norm .26812E-07 1.9912 -.26551E-07** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .83803E-05 9.9377 .18390E-07** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .26098 .74079E-08** at limit ** 30 Normalizat 1.0432 .13191 .13241E-05 .39899E-04 31 Prefactor 1.0310 .12673 -.17039E-05 -.66706E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 3.27325 Prefactor = 11.3793 norm = 8.53273 Prefactor = 7.60001 Prefactor = 3.42493 norm = 8.18896 Prefactor = 2.60242e-06 Prefactor = 6.10623e-10 Prefactor = 6.16507e-07 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.33352 norm = 2.05391e-09 norm = 0 norm = 1.40443e-07 Prefactor = 2.93328 Prefactor = 5.16254e-09 Prefactor = 15.8102 norm = 2.80882 Prefactor = 1.4202 Prefactor = 1.32523 Prefactor = 1.09983 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 21.169 norm = 1.77622 norm = 2.68119e-08 Prefactor = 8.3803e-06 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.04321 Prefactor = 1.03097 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18076.8997588 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 6.106e-10 8.649e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.031e+00 1.091e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.043e+00 1.143e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.87426502989e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00218817648933 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173783/likelihoodResults_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 18076.9016196 delta logL = -0.00186083242806 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 18076.8997658 delta logL = -7.05855563865e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .21478E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.5122 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0434 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0308 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 18076.90 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 39 CALLS 238 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0818 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.6145 1.2848 .94079E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.0432 1.2131 .13191E-05 -.87092E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0310 1.2176 -.24674E-05 -.85597E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.61446 Normalizat = 1.04321 Prefactor = 1.03097 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 18076.90 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 247 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0818 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .77287 1.9458 .94079E-05 -.49736 3 Normalizat 1.0432 1.2131 .13191E-05 -.91597 4 Prefactor 1.0310 1.2176 -.24674E-05 -.91704 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.14458e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.67984e-06 2 1.3038 3 1.2478 4 1.25277 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 18076.8997588 delta logL = 1.05501385406e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.680e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.614e+00 1.304e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.031e+00 1.253e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.043e+00 1.248e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31173783/cmap_HighResolution_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.19e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.87e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 21:07:12.594960', job_id='31173783', GAL2='1.03', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.04', EG='1.04', time_epoch_completed='1783656432.6', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.03', dlogl='1.06e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='935' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 21:07:12 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits.....................! real 53.13 user 50.70 sys 1.12 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31173957/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+4712' 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.421e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31173957/expmap_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31173957/ltcube_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31173957/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18076.9089524 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18076.9007613 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .41633E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .82598E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' 3.3064 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' 11.370 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 8.5440 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 7.5866 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 3.4341 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' 8.2075 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .23849E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .95953E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .82437E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .21856E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 1.3368 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' .19556E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .0000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .61873E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' 2.9380 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .11379E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 15.877 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 2.6996 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 1.4204 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' 1.3256 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 1.1000 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .71293E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' 21.170 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 1.7758 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' .10980E-03 1.0000 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 18076.90 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 716 CALLS 3735 TOTAL EDM= .41E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 .47843 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .22204E-09 1.9259 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 3.2733 17.297 .55651E-03 -1.5672 4 Prefactor 11.379 9.1999 .29686E-03 -1.5640 5 norm 8.5327 8.6707 .34270E-03 -1.5650 6 Prefactor 7.6000 13.984 .36385E-03 -1.5653 7 Prefactor 3.4249 6.0758 .54557E-03 -1.5671 8 norm 8.1890 5.4496 .34971E-03 -1.5651 9 Prefactor .26024E-05 14.270 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .61062E-09 2.9917 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .61651E-06 17.130 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.0238 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 1.3335 1.9284 .94834E-03 -1.5685 14 norm .20539E-08 2.4954 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .16875E-01 .93650E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .14044E-06 4.9420 .10856E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 2.9333 8.4275 .59232E-03 -1.5674 18 Prefactor .51625E-08 5.7414 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 15.810 4.7543 .25109E-03 -1.5628 20 norm 2.8088 49.712 .61975E-03 -1.5674 21 Prefactor 1.4202 .68397 .90739E-03 -1.5684 22 Prefactor 1.3252 .67988 .95436E-03 -1.5685 23 Prefactor 1.0998 1.1646 .11330E-02 -1.5687 24 Prefactor .0000 .49536 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor 21.169 6.5199 .21740E-03 -1.5616 26 norm 1.7762 .76851 .78529E-03 -1.5681 27 norm .26812E-07 .12943 .28370E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .83803E-05 1.6213 .53994E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .14370 .18516E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat 1.0432 .11427 .41059E-01 -.91597 31 Prefactor 1.0310 .10904 .41172E-01 -.91704 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.13711e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.24775e-06 2 4.32246e-05 3 15.0491 4 9.19989 5 8.67068 6 13.9843 7 6.07578 8 5.44956 9 0.0121879 10 8.64882e-05 11 0.00649959 12 1.63764e-05 13 1.92842 14 0.000142877 15 1.94139e-07 16 0.00166623 17 8.42758 18 0.000343598 19 4.75427 20 23.6333 21 0.683967 22 0.679876 23 1.16457 24 6.85569e-06 25 6.51987 26 0.768513 27 0.00011779 28 0.00737205 29 1.8481e-06 30 0.114293 31 0.109067 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .14311E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .15821E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' 1.0429 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' 1.0311 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 18076.90 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 152 CALLS 3019 TOTAL EDM= .13E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .0000 .47690 .12696E-09** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .22204E-09 1.9248 -.43814E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor 3.2733 2.4303 -.41693E-07 -.21089E-02 4 Prefactor 11.379 4.4497 -.25487E-07 -.52021E-01 5 norm 8.5327 3.4645 .20939E-07 .14752E-01 6 Prefactor 7.6000 1.8930 -.27193E-07 .22089E-01 7 Prefactor 3.4249 2.6831 .13703E-07 .99280E-04 8 norm 8.1890 3.1116 .18304E-07 -.20004E-02 9 Prefactor .26024E-05 9.7457 -.19860E-06** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .61062E-09 2.6386 -.22196E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .61651E-06 16.087 -.26437E-06** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.0208 -.30024E-07** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 1.3335 1.8875 .49025E-07 .14076E-02 14 norm .20539E-08 2.2812 -.43396E-07** at limit ** 15 norm .0000 .32868E-01 -.35481E-08** at limit ** 16 norm .14044E-06 9.3484 .58884E-07** at limit ** 17 Prefactor 2.9333 1.7885 -.39787E-08 .79924E-02 18 Prefactor .51625E-08 5.9764 -.21951E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 15.810 4.7339 -.43208E-09 .23156E-02 20 norm 2.8088 1.1882 .17804E-07 -.12826E-02 21 Prefactor 1.4202 .68909 .71835E-07 .13664E-01 22 Prefactor 1.3252 .68865 -.38998E-07 .22563E-03 23 Prefactor 1.0998 1.1403 .92827E-07 .49930E-02 24 Prefactor .0000 .49629 .61083E-08** at limit ** 25 Prefactor 21.169 5.8563 -.40094E-07 -.91088E-01 26 norm 1.7762 .76833 .12658E-07 .37187E-02 27 norm .26812E-07 1.9912 -.26551E-07** at limit ** 28 Prefactor .83803E-05 9.9377 .18390E-07** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .26098 .74079E-08** at limit ** 30 Normalizat 1.0432 .13191 .13241E-05 .39899E-04 31 Prefactor 1.0310 .12673 -.17039E-05 -.66706E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0 Prefactor = 2.22045e-10 Prefactor = 3.27325 Prefactor = 11.3793 norm = 8.53273 Prefactor = 7.60001 Prefactor = 3.42493 norm = 8.18896 Prefactor = 2.60242e-06 Prefactor = 6.10623e-10 Prefactor = 6.16507e-07 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 Prefactor = 1.33352 norm = 2.05391e-09 norm = 0 norm = 1.40443e-07 Prefactor = 2.93328 Prefactor = 5.16254e-09 Prefactor = 15.8102 norm = 2.80882 Prefactor = 1.4202 Prefactor = 1.32523 Prefactor = 1.09983 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 21.169 norm = 1.77622 norm = 2.68119e-08 Prefactor = 8.3803e-06 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.04321 Prefactor = 1.03097 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 18076.90 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 716 CALLS 3735 TOTAL EDM= .41E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 .47843 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .22204E-09 1.9259 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 3.2733 17.297 .55651E-03 -1.5672 4 Prefactor 11.379 9.1999 .29686E-03 -1.5640 5 norm 8.5327 8.6707 .34270E-03 -1.5650 6 Prefactor 7.6000 13.984 .36385E-03 -1.5653 7 Prefactor 3.4249 6.0758 .54557E-03 -1.5671 8 norm 8.1890 5.4496 .34971E-03 -1.5651 9 Prefactor .26024E-05 14.270 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .61062E-09 2.9917 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .61651E-06 17.130 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.0238 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 1.3335 1.9284 .94834E-03 -1.5685 14 norm .20539E-08 2.4954 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .16875E-01 .93650E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .14044E-06 4.9420 .10856E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 2.9333 8.4275 .59232E-03 -1.5674 18 Prefactor .51625E-08 5.7414 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 15.810 4.7543 .25109E-03 -1.5628 20 norm 2.8088 49.712 .61975E-03 -1.5674 21 Prefactor 1.4202 .68397 .90739E-03 -1.5684 22 Prefactor 1.3252 .67988 .95436E-03 -1.5685 23 Prefactor 1.0998 1.1646 .11330E-02 -1.5687 24 Prefactor .0000 .49536 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor 21.169 6.5199 .21740E-03 -1.5616 26 norm 1.7762 .76851 .78529E-03 -1.5681 27 norm .26812E-07 .12943 .28370E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .83803E-05 1.6213 .53994E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .14370 .18516E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat 1.0432 .11427 .41059E-01 -.91597 31 Prefactor 1.0310 .10904 .41172E-01 -.91704 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.13711e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.24775e-06 2 4.32246e-05 3 15.0491 4 9.19989 5 8.67068 6 13.9843 7 6.07578 8 5.44956 9 0.0121879 10 8.64882e-05 11 0.00649959 12 1.63764e-05 13 1.92842 14 0.000142877 15 1.94139e-07 16 0.00166623 17 8.42758 18 0.000343598 19 4.75427 20 23.6333 21 0.683967 22 0.679876 23 1.16457 24 6.85569e-06 25 6.51987 26 0.768513 27 0.00011779 28 0.00737205 29 1.8481e-06 30 0.114293 31 0.109067 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 18076.90 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 716 CALLS 3735 TOTAL EDM= .41E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .0000 .47843 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .22204E-09 1.9259 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor 3.2733 17.297 .55651E-03 -1.5672 4 Prefactor 11.379 9.1999 .29686E-03 -1.5640 5 norm 8.5327 8.6707 .34270E-03 -1.5650 6 Prefactor 7.6000 13.984 .36385E-03 -1.5653 7 Prefactor 3.4249 6.0758 .54557E-03 -1.5671 8 norm 8.1890 5.4496 .34971E-03 -1.5651 9 Prefactor .26024E-05 14.270 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .61062E-09 2.9917 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .61651E-06 17.130 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .55511E-10 1.0238 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 1.3335 1.9284 .94834E-03 -1.5685 14 norm .20539E-08 2.4954 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 15 norm .0000 .16875E-01 .93650E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .14044E-06 4.9420 .10856E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor 2.9333 8.4275 .59232E-03 -1.5674 18 Prefactor .51625E-08 5.7414 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 15.810 4.7543 .25109E-03 -1.5628 20 norm 2.8088 49.712 .61975E-03 -1.5674 21 Prefactor 1.4202 .68397 .90739E-03 -1.5684 22 Prefactor 1.3252 .67988 .95436E-03 -1.5685 23 Prefactor 1.0998 1.1646 .11330E-02 -1.5687 24 Prefactor .0000 .49536 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor 21.169 6.5199 .21740E-03 -1.5616 26 norm 1.7762 .76851 .78529E-03 -1.5681 27 norm .26812E-07 .12943 .28370E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 28 Prefactor .83803E-05 1.6213 .53994E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .14370 .18516E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat 1.0432 .11427 .41059E-01 -.91597 31 Prefactor 1.0310 .10904 .41172E-01 -.91704 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 4.13711e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.24775e-06 2 4.32246e-05 3 15.0491 4 9.19989 5 8.67068 6 13.9843 7 6.07578 8 5.44956 9 0.0121879 10 8.64882e-05 11 0.00649959 12 1.63764e-05 13 1.92842 14 0.000142877 15 1.94139e-07 16 0.00166623 17 8.42758 18 0.000343598 19 4.75427 20 23.6333 21 0.683967 22 0.679876 23 1.16457 24 6.85569e-06 25 6.51987 26 0.768513 27 0.00011779 28 0.00737205 29 1.8481e-06 30 0.114293 31 0.109067 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18076.8997588 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 6.106e-10 8.649e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.031e+00 1.091e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.043e+00 1.143e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.87426502989e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00218817648933 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173984/likelihoodResults_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 18076.9016196 delta logL = -0.00186083242806 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 18076.8997658 delta logL = -7.05855563865e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .21478E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.5122 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0434 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0308 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 18076.90 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 39 CALLS 238 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0818 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.6145 1.2848 .94079E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.0432 1.2131 .13191E-05 -.87092E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0310 1.2176 -.24674E-05 -.85597E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.61446 Normalizat = 1.04321 Prefactor = 1.03097 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 18076.90 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 247 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0818 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .77287 1.9458 .94079E-05 -.49736 3 Normalizat 1.0432 1.2131 .13191E-05 -.91597 4 Prefactor 1.0310 1.2176 -.24674E-05 -.91704 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.14458e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.67984e-06 2 1.3038 3 1.2478 4 1.25277 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 18076.8997588 delta logL = 1.05501385406e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.680e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.614e+00 1.304e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.031e+00 1.253e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.043e+00 1.248e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31173984/cmap_HighResolution_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.19e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.87e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 21:10:09.971267', job_id='31173984', GAL2='1.03', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.04', EG='1.04', time_epoch_completed='1783656609.97', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.03', dlogl='1.06e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='935' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 21:10:10 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18076.8997588 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 6.106e-10 8.649e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.031e+00 1.091e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.043e+00 1.143e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.87426502989e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00218817648933 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173974/likelihoodResults_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 18076.9016196 delta logL = -0.00186083242806 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 18076.8997658 delta logL = -7.05855563865e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .21478E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.5122 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0434 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0308 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 18076.90 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 39 CALLS 238 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0818 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.6145 1.2848 .94079E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.0432 1.2131 .13191E-05 -.87092E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0310 1.2176 -.24674E-05 -.85597E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.61446 Normalizat = 1.04321 Prefactor = 1.03097 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 18076.90 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 247 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0818 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .77287 1.9458 .94079E-05 -.49736 3 Normalizat 1.0432 1.2131 .13191E-05 -.91597 4 Prefactor 1.0310 1.2176 -.24674E-05 -.91704 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.14458e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.67984e-06 2 1.3038 3 1.2478 4 1.25277 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 18076.8997588 delta logL = 1.05501385406e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.680e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.614e+00 1.304e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.031e+00 1.253e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.043e+00 1.248e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31173974/cmap_HighResolution_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.19e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.87e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 21:10:52.461499', job_id='31173974', GAL2='1.03', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.04', EG='1.04', time_epoch_completed='1783656652.46', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.03', dlogl='1.06e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='935' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 21:10:52 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18076.8997588 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 6.106e-10 8.649e-05 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.031e+00 1.091e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.043e+00 1.143e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 2.87426502989e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00218817648933 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173957/likelihoodResults_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 18076.9016196 delta logL = -0.00186083242806 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 18076.8997658 delta logL = -7.05855563865e-06 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .21478E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 1.5122 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.0434 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.0308 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 18076.90 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 39 CALLS 238 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0818 .42118E-03** at limit ** 2 Index 2.6145 1.2848 .94079E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.0432 1.2131 .13191E-05 -.87092E-04 4 Prefactor 1.0310 1.2176 -.24674E-05 -.85597E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 2.61446 Normalizat = 1.04321 Prefactor = 1.03097 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 18076.90 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 9 CALLS 247 TOTAL EDM= .21E-11 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0818 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .77287 1.9458 .94079E-05 -.49736 3 Normalizat 1.0432 1.2131 .13191E-05 -.91597 4 Prefactor 1.0310 1.2176 -.24674E-05 -.91704 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.14458e-12 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 3.67984e-06 2 1.3038 3 1.2478 4 1.25277 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 18076.8997588 delta logL = 1.05501385406e-10 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 3.680e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.614e+00 1.304e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 1.031e+00 1.253e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.043e+00 1.248e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31173957/cmap_HighResolution_804470401_805075201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_weekly_bin935.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.19e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='2.87e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 21:11:57.853111', job_id='31173957', GAL2='1.03', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.04', EG='1.04', time_epoch_completed='1783656717.85', return_code2='101', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='1.03', dlogl='1.06e-10', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='935' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 21:11:57 PDT 2026