/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). 00 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .11224E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .24425E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' 1.2914 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' .60279 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6766.057 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 211 CALLS 3049 TOTAL EDM= .46E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .45383 3.8829 -.20062E-06 .20580E-03 2 Prefactor .0000 2.8838 .55770E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .14988E-08 19.259 .21021E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.1149 .21714E-07** at limit ** 5 norm 5.9757 10.582 .26017E-05 -.85630E-03 6 Prefactor 10.834 2.4967 .37719E-06 .76627E-02 7 Prefactor 8.4908 6.1875 -.35231E-06 .31001E-02 8 norm .0000 1.8359 .22571E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 53.746 30.895 .56275E-06 -.29614E-01 10 Prefactor .0000 1.4427 .16434E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .22324 5.5881 -.29081E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .63802E-05 185.40 -.35844E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .0000 1.6552 .21919E-07** at limit ** 14 norm 1.9867 15.797 -.19750E-05 -.13768E-02 15 norm .0000 .36949E-01 .16536E-07** at limit ** 16 norm .16653E-09 4.8998 .15656E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .25008E-06 287.65 -.35347E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .0000 2.4248 .11706E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 2.5947 6.1084 -.22420E-07 .15063E-02 20 norm 11.472 5.4862 -.10002E-05 .22714E-01 21 Prefactor 3.4497 1.0653 .87264E-07 -.26602E-01 22 Prefactor .0000 .32931 -.50118E-08** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 1.5882 2.2394 .46972E-07 .89149E-03 24 Prefactor .0000 .74588 .24156E-07** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .16764E-07 6.7730 -.13903E-05** at limit ** 26 norm 4.1964 1.6931 .53234E-07 .34261E-02 27 norm 1.0416 .62039 -.14137E-07 -.51585E-02 28 Prefactor .47629E-07 5.4511 .15485E-05** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .17745 .37507E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat 1.2913 .19423 -.27001E-05 -.34951E-03 31 Prefactor .60297 .18563 .10757E-04 -.17032E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.453828 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.4988e-09 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 5.97571 Prefactor = 10.8344 Prefactor = 8.49083 norm = 0 Prefactor = 53.7461 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0.223241 Prefactor = 6.38023e-06 Prefactor = 0 norm = 1.98666 norm = 0 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 2.50078e-07 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.59466 norm = 11.4724 Prefactor = 3.44971 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.58823 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.67644e-08 norm = 4.19638 norm = 1.04158 Prefactor = 4.76286e-08 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.29132 Prefactor = 0.602972 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577222/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/36577222/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits .....................! real 8.94 user 8.32 sys 0.21 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577222/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577222/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/36577222/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577222/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/36577222/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits .....................! real 75.72 user 70.03 sys 4.35 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 211 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1615.6+4712 @ 243.922 47.2028 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577222/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577222/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577222/cmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.54 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577222/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577222/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577222/cmap_HighResolution_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.59 user 0.25 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577222/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577222/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/36577222/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6766.057 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 698 CALLS 3747 TOTAL EDM= .25E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .45383 3.8113 .82341E-03 -1.5694 2 Prefactor .0000 2.9006 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .14988E-08 19.379 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.1516 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 5.9757 15.405 .41062E-03 -1.5659 6 Prefactor 10.834 14.158 .30424E-03 -1.5642 7 Prefactor 8.4908 6.1958 .34379E-03 -1.5650 8 norm .0000 1.8406 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 53.746 54.830 .13704E-03 -1.5561 10 Prefactor .0000 1.4486 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .22324 7.5678 .10955E-01 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .63802E-05 3.4991 .51778E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .0000 1.6552 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.9867 16.039 .73346E-03 -1.5680 15 norm .0000 .34171E-01 .68063E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .16653E-09 4.9228 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .25008E-06 11.641 .11819E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .0000 2.3971 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 2.5947 6.1400 .63237E-03 -1.5676 20 norm 11.472 17.976 .29555E-03 -1.5640 21 Prefactor 3.4497 1.0867 .54451E-03 -1.5671 22 Prefactor .0000 .33008 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 1.5882 2.2720 .84108E-03 -1.5683 24 Prefactor .0000 .74676 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .16764E-07 8.6840 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm 4.1964 1.6966 .49171E-03 -1.5667 27 norm 1.0416 .61659 .10930E-02 -1.5688 28 Prefactor .47629E-07 9.1049 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .17683 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat 1.2913 .16824 .32961E-01 -.83826 31 Prefactor .60297 .15975 .63567E-01 -1.0746 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.51515e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.63035 2 5.43891e-06 3 0.000338949 4 6.9905e-05 5 15.4046 6 14.1581 7 6.19578 8 1.51979e-06 9 54.8307 10 2.75122e-06 11 2.59958 12 0.00944996 13 6.26107e-07 14 11.2896 15 7.3702e-08 16 5.25396e-05 17 0.00341229 18 9.79813e-07 19 6.14006 20 17.9763 21 1.08669 22 1.96294e-06 23 2.27198 24 4.96983e-06 25 0.000763299 26 1.69658 27 0.616593 28 0.0013171 29 6.74874e-07 30 0.168315 31 0.159867 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/36577108/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits.....................! real 25.73 user 23.71 sys 1.14 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/36577108/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/36577108/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/36577108/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/36577108/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/36577108/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+4712' 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.421e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36577108/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36577108/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/36577108/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/36577108/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/36577108/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6766.07419523 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6766.05825013 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .46472 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .61234E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .11909E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .40101E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 5.9732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 10.827 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 8.4903 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .38422E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 53.258 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .35642E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .24944 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .10335E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .13280E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 1.9934 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .33307E-09 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .11827E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .19757 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .21503E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 2.6007 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 11.470 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 3.4469 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .27756E-09 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 1.5905 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .32196E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .17691E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 4.1965 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' 1.0417 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .11224E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .24425E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' 1.2914 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' .60279 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6766.057 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 211 CALLS 3049 TOTAL EDM= .46E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .45383 3.8829 -.20062E-06 .20580E-03 2 Prefactor .0000 2.8838 .55770E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .14988E-08 19.259 .21021E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.1149 .21714E-07** at limit ** 5 norm 5.9757 10.582 .26017E-05 -.85630E-03 6 Prefactor 10.834 2.4967 .37719E-06 .76627E-02 7 Prefactor 8.4908 6.1875 -.35231E-06 .31001E-02 8 norm .0000 1.8359 .22571E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 53.746 30.895 .56275E-06 -.29614E-01 10 Prefactor .0000 1.4427 .16434E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .22324 5.5881 -.29081E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .63802E-05 185.40 -.35844E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .0000 1.6552 .21919E-07** at limit ** 14 norm 1.9867 15.797 -.19750E-05 -.13768E-02 15 norm .0000 .36949E-01 .16536E-07** at limit ** 16 norm .16653E-09 4.8998 .15656E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .25008E-06 287.65 -.35347E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .0000 2.4248 .11706E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 2.5947 6.1084 -.22420E-07 .15063E-02 20 norm 11.472 5.4862 -.10002E-05 .22714E-01 21 Prefactor 3.4497 1.0653 .87264E-07 -.26602E-01 22 Prefactor .0000 .32931 -.50118E-08** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 1.5882 2.2394 .46972E-07 .89149E-03 24 Prefactor .0000 .74588 .24156E-07** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .16764E-07 6.7730 -.13903E-05** at limit ** 26 norm 4.1964 1.6931 .53234E-07 .34261E-02 27 norm 1.0416 .62039 -.14137E-07 -.51585E-02 28 Prefactor .47629E-07 5.4511 .15485E-05** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .17745 .37507E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat 1.2913 .19423 -.27001E-05 -.34951E-03 31 Prefactor .60297 .18563 .10757E-04 -.17032E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.453828 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.4988e-09 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 5.97571 Prefactor = 10.8344 Prefactor = 8.49083 norm = 0 Prefactor = 53.7461 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0.223241 Prefactor = 6.38023e-06 Prefactor = 0 norm = 1.98666 norm = 0 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 2.50078e-07 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.59466 norm = 11.4724 Prefactor = 3.44971 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.58823 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.67644e-08 norm = 4.19638 norm = 1.04158 Prefactor = 4.76286e-08 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.29132 Prefactor = 0.602972 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/36577181/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits.....................! real 22.37 user 21.10 sys 0.92 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/36577181/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/36577181/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/36577181/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/36577181/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/36577181/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+4712' 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.421e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36577181/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36577181/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/36577181/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/36577181/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/36577181/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6766.07419523 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6766.05825013 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .46472 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .61234E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .11909E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .40101E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 5.9732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 10.827 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 8.4903 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .38422E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 53.258 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .35642E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .24944 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .10335E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .13280E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 1.9934 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .33307E-09 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .11827E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .19757 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .21503E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 2.6007 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 11.470 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 3.4469 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .27756E-09 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 1.5905 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .32196E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .17691E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 4.1965 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' 1.0417 1.0000 .00_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/36577159/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits.....................! real 23.90 user 22.31 sys 1.09 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/36577159/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/36577159/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/36577159/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/36577159/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/36577159/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+4712' 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.421e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36577159/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36577159/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/36577159/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/36577159/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/36577159/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6766.07419523 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6766.05825013 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .46472 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .61234E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .11909E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .40101E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 5.9732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 10.827 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 8.4903 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .38422E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 53.258 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .35642E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .24944 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .10335E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .13280E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 1.9934 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .33307E-09 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .11827E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .19757 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .21503E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 2.6007 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 11.470 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 3.4469 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .27756E-09 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 1.5905 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .32196E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .17691E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 4.1965 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' 1.0417 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .11224E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .24425E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' 1.2914 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' .60279 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6766.057 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 211 CALLS 3049 TOTAL EDM= .46E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .45383 3.8829 -.20062E-06 .20580E-03 2 Prefactor .0000 2.8838 .55770E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .14988E-08 19.259 .21021E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.1149 .21714E-07** at limit ** 5 norm 5.9757 10.582 .26017E-05 -.85630E-03 6 Prefactor 10.834 2.4967 .37719E-06 .76627E-02 7 Prefactor 8.4908 6.1875 -.35231E-06 .31001E-02 8 norm .0000 1.8359 .22571E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 53.746 30.895 .56275E-06 -.29614E-01 10 Prefactor .0000 1.4427 .16434E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .22324 5.5881 -.29081E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .63802E-05 185.40 -.35844E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .0000 1.6552 .21919E-07** at limit ** 14 norm 1.9867 15.797 -.19750E-05 -.13768E-02 15 norm .0000 .36949E-01 .16536E-07** at limit ** 16 norm .16653E-09 4.8998 .15656E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .25008E-06 287.65 -.35347E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .0000 2.4248 .11706E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 2.5947 6.1084 -.22420E-07 .15063E-02 20 norm 11.472 5.4862 -.10002E-05 .22714E-01 21 Prefactor 3.4497 1.0653 .87264E-07 -.26602E-01 22 Prefactor .0000 .32931 -.50118E-08** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 1.5882 2.2394 .46972E-07 .89149E-03 24 Prefactor .0000 .74588 .24156E-07** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .16764E-07 6.7730 -.13903E-05** at limit ** 26 norm 4.1964 1.6931 .53234E-07 .34261E-02 27 norm 1.0416 .62039 -.14137E-07 -.51585E-02 28 Prefactor .47629E-07 5.4511 .15485E-05** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .17745 .37507E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat 1.2913 .19423 -.27001E-05 -.34951E-03 31 Prefactor .60297 .18563 .10757E-04 -.17032E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.453828 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.4988e-09 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 5.97571 Prefactor = 10.8344 Prefactor = 8.49083 norm = 0 Prefactor = 53.7461 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0.223241 Prefactor = 6.38023e-06 Prefactor = 0 norm = 1.98666 norm = 0 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 2.50078e-07 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.59466 norm = 11.4724 Prefactor = 3.44971 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.58823 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.67644e-08 norm = 4.19638 norm = 1.04158 Prefactor = 4.76286e-08 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.29132 Prefactor = 0.602972 00 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .11224E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .24425E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' 1.2914 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' .60279 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6766.057 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 211 CALLS 3049 TOTAL EDM= .46E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .45383 3.8829 -.20062E-06 .20580E-03 2 Prefactor .0000 2.8838 .55770E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .14988E-08 19.259 .21021E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.1149 .21714E-07** at limit ** 5 norm 5.9757 10.582 .26017E-05 -.85630E-03 6 Prefactor 10.834 2.4967 .37719E-06 .76627E-02 7 Prefactor 8.4908 6.1875 -.35231E-06 .31001E-02 8 norm .0000 1.8359 .22571E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 53.746 30.895 .56275E-06 -.29614E-01 10 Prefactor .0000 1.4427 .16434E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .22324 5.5881 -.29081E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .63802E-05 185.40 -.35844E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .0000 1.6552 .21919E-07** at limit ** 14 norm 1.9867 15.797 -.19750E-05 -.13768E-02 15 norm .0000 .36949E-01 .16536E-07** at limit ** 16 norm .16653E-09 4.8998 .15656E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .25008E-06 287.65 -.35347E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .0000 2.4248 .11706E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 2.5947 6.1084 -.22420E-07 .15063E-02 20 norm 11.472 5.4862 -.10002E-05 .22714E-01 21 Prefactor 3.4497 1.0653 .87264E-07 -.26602E-01 22 Prefactor .0000 .32931 -.50118E-08** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 1.5882 2.2394 .46972E-07 .89149E-03 24 Prefactor .0000 .74588 .24156E-07** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .16764E-07 6.7730 -.13903E-05** at limit ** 26 norm 4.1964 1.6931 .53234E-07 .34261E-02 27 norm 1.0416 .62039 -.14137E-07 -.51585E-02 28 Prefactor .47629E-07 5.4511 .15485E-05** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .17745 .37507E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat 1.2913 .19423 -.27001E-05 -.34951E-03 31 Prefactor .60297 .18563 .10757E-04 -.17032E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.453828 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.4988e-09 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 5.97571 Prefactor = 10.8344 Prefactor = 8.49083 norm = 0 Prefactor = 53.7461 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0.223241 Prefactor = 6.38023e-06 Prefactor = 0 norm = 1.98666 norm = 0 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 2.50078e-07 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.59466 norm = 11.4724 Prefactor = 3.44971 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.58823 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.67644e-08 norm = 4.19638 norm = 1.04158 Prefactor = 4.76286e-08 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.29132 Prefactor = 0.602972 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6766.05706869 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.751e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 6.030e-01 1.599e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.291e+00 1.683e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.41245746294e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00259790211187 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/36577106/likelihoodResults_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6766.05728375 delta logL = -0.000215054778891 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6766.05706904 delta logL = -3.47501554643e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .73830E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .93906 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2914 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .60286 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6766.057 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 24 CALLS 228 TOTAL EDM= .26E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0312 .18348E-06** at limit ** 2 Index 1.8239 1.3408 -.66845E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2913 .18839 -.33893E-05 .18577E-04 4 Prefactor .60297 .18236 .49589E-05 .61888E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.8239 Normalizat = 1.29132 Prefactor = 0.602971 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6766.057 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 11 CALLS 239 TOTAL EDM= .26E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0333 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .34290 1.8041 -.66845E-05 -.68829 3 Normalizat 1.2913 1.0812 -.33893E-05 -.83826 4 Prefactor .60297 .95087 .49589E-05 -1.0746 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.60627e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.5876e-07 2 1.75709 3 1.10105 4 0.978164 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6766.05706869 delta logL = 5.00222085975e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 6.588e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 1.824e+00 1.757e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 6.030e-01 9.782e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.291e+00 1.101e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36577106/cmap_HighResolution_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.60e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.41e-08', time_completed='2026-08-31 15:33:51.124201', job_id='36577106', GAL2='0.60', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.29', EG='1.29', time_epoch_completed='1788215631.12', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.60', dlogl='5.00e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='2200' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Aug 31 15:33:51 PDT 2026 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577028/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/36577028/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits .....................! real 33.85 user 32.54 sys 0.54 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577028/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577028/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/36577028/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577028/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/36577028/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits .....................! real 242.74 user 225.77 sys 14.01 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 211 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1615.6+4712 @ 243.922 47.2028 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577028/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577028/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577028/cmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.77 user 0.35 sys 0.16 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577028/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577028/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577028/cmap_HighResolution_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.78 user 0.35 sys 0.15 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577028/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577028/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/36577028/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sounumber of points = 7527 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200 RA = 243.922, Dec = 47.2028 tmin = 809568001, tmax = 809827201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='36577344', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-31 15:32:31.448675', time_epoch_executed='1788215551.45' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2200' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/36577344 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/36577344/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=809568001.0 && nMetStart<809827201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=809568001.0 && nMetStart<809827201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=809568001.0 && nMetStart<809827201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits ra=243.922 dec=47.2028 rad=12.0 tmin=809568001.0 tmax=809827201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.31 user 3.57 sys 0.21 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.64 user 0.22 sys 0.15 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 636 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ou ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6766.057 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 698 CALLS 3747 TOTAL EDM= .25E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .45383 3.8113 .82341E-03 -1.5694 2 Prefactor .0000 2.9006 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .14988E-08 19.379 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.1516 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 5.9757 15.405 .41062E-03 -1.5659 6 Prefactor 10.834 14.158 .30424E-03 -1.5642 7 Prefactor 8.4908 6.1958 .34379E-03 -1.5650 8 norm .0000 1.8406 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 53.746 54.830 .13704E-03 -1.5561 10 Prefactor .0000 1.4486 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .22324 7.5678 .10955E-01 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .63802E-05 3.4991 .51778E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .0000 1.6552 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.9867 16.039 .73346E-03 -1.5680 15 norm .0000 .34171E-01 .68063E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .16653E-09 4.9228 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .25008E-06 11.641 .11819E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .0000 2.3971 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 2.5947 6.1400 .63237E-03 -1.5676 20 norm 11.472 17.976 .29555E-03 -1.5640 21 Prefactor 3.4497 1.0867 .54451E-03 -1.5671 22 Prefactor .0000 .33008 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 1.5882 2.2720 .84108E-03 -1.5683 24 Prefactor .0000 .74676 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .16764E-07 8.6840 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm 4.1964 1.6966 .49171E-03 -1.5667 27 norm 1.0416 .61659 .10930E-02 -1.5688 28 Prefactor .47629E-07 9.1049 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .17683 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat 1.2913 .16824 .32961E-01 -.83826 31 Prefactor .60297 .15975 .63567E-01 -1.0746 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.51515e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.63035 2 5.43891e-06 3 0.000338949 4 6.9905e-05 5 15.4046 6 14.1581 7 6.19578 8 1.51979e-06 9 54.8307 10 2.75122e-06 11 2.59958 12 0.00944996 13 6.26107e-07 14 11.2896 15 7.3702e-08 16 5.25396e-05 17 0.00341229 18 9.79813e-07 19 6.14006 20 17.9763 21 1.08669 22 1.96294e-06 23 2.27198 24 4.96983e-06 25 0.000763299 26 1.69658 27 0.616593 28 0.0013171 29 6.74874e-07 30 0.168315 31 0.159867 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6766.057 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 698 CALLS 3747 TOTAL EDM= .25E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .45383 3.8113 .82341E-03 -1.5694 2 Prefactor .0000 2.9006 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .14988E-08 19.379 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.1516 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 5.9757 15.405 .41062E-03 -1.5659 6 Prefactor 10.834 14.158 .30424E-03 -1.5642 7 Prefactor 8.4908 6.1958 .34379E-03 -1.5650 8 norm .0000 1.8406 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 53.746 54.830 .13704E-03 -1.5561 10 Prefactor .0000 1.4486 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .22324 7.5678 .10955E-01 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .63802E-05 3.4991 .51778E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .0000 1.6552 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.9867 16.039 .73346E-03 -1.5680 15 norm .0000 .34171E-01 .68063E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .16653E-09 4.9228 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .25008E-06 11.641 .11819E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .0000 2.3971 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 2.5947 6.1400 .63237E-03 -1.5676 20 norm 11.472 17.976 .29555E-03 -1.5640 21 Prefactor 3.4497 1.0867 .54451E-03 -1.5671 22 Prefactor .0000 .33008 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 1.5882 2.2720 .84108E-03 -1.5683 24 Prefactor .0000 .74676 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .16764E-07 8.6840 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm 4.1964 1.6966 .49171E-03 -1.5667 27 norm 1.0416 .61659 .10930E-02 -1.5688 28 Prefactor .47629E-07 9.1049 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .17683 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat 1.2913 .16824 .32961E-01 -.83826 31 Prefactor .60297 .15975 .63567E-01 -1.0746 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.51515e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.63035 2 5.43891e-06 3 0.000338949 4 6.9905e-05 5 15.4046 6 14.1581 7 6.19578 8 1.51979e-06 9 54.8307 10 2.75122e-06 11 2.59958 12 0.00944996 13 6.26107e-07 14 11.2896 15 7.3702e-08 16 5.25396e-05 17 0.00341229 18 9.79813e-07 19 6.14006 20 17.9763 21 1.08669 22 1.96294e-06 23 2.27198 24 4.96983e-06 25 0.000763299 26 1.69658 27 0.616593 28 0.0013171 29 6.74874e-07 30 0.168315 31 0.159867 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6766.057 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 698 CALLS 3747 TOTAL EDM= .25E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .45383 3.8113 .82341E-03 -1.5694 2 Prefactor .0000 2.9006 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .14988E-08 19.379 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.1516 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 5.9757 15.405 .41062E-03 -1.5659 6 Prefactor 10.834 14.158 .30424E-03 -1.5642 7 Prefactor 8.4908 6.1958 .34379E-03 -1.5650 8 norm .0000 1.8406 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 53.746 54.830 .13704E-03 -1.5561 10 Prefactor .0000 1.4486 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .22324 7.5678 .10955E-01 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .63802E-05 3.4991 .51778E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .0000 1.6552 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.9867 16.039 .73346E-03 -1.5680 15 norm .0000 .34171E-01 .68063E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .16653E-09 4.9228 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .25008E-06 11.641 .11819E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .0000 2.3971 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 2.5947 6.1400 .63237E-03 -1.5676 20 norm 11.472 17.976 .29555E-03 -1.5640 21 Prefactor 3.4497 1.0867 .54451E-03 -1.5671 22 Prefactor .0000 .33008 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 1.5882 2.2720 .84108E-03 -1.5683 24 Prefactor .0000 .74676 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .16764E-07 8.6840 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm 4.1964 1.6966 .49171E-03 -1.5667 27 norm 1.0416 .61659 .10930E-02 -1.5688 28 Prefactor .47629E-07 9.1049 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .17683 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat 1.2913 .16824 .32961E-01 -.83826 31 Prefactor .60297 .15975 .63567E-01 -1.0746 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.51515e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.63035 2 5.43891e-06 3 0.000338949 4 6.9905e-05 5 15.4046 6 14.1581 7 6.19578 8 1.51979e-06 9 54.8307 10 2.75122e-06 11 2.59958 12 0.00944996 13 6.26107e-07 14 11.2896 15 7.3702e-08 16 5.25396e-05 17 0.00341229 18 9.79813e-07 19 6.14006 20 17.9763 21 1.08669 22 1.96294e-06 23 2.27198 24 4.96983e-06 25 0.000763299 26 1.69658 27 0.616593 28 0.0013171 29 6.74874e-07 30 0.168315 31 0.159867 number of points = 7527 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200 RA = 243.922, Dec = 47.2028 tmin = 809568001, tmax = 809827201 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='36577351', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-08-31 15:32:43.429439', time_epoch_executed='1788215563.43' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' and cadence='daily' and bin_id='2200' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/36577351 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/36577351/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=809568001.0 && nMetStart<809827201.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=809568001.0 && nMetStart<809827201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=809568001.0 && nMetStart<809827201.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 47 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits ra=243.922 dec=47.2028 rad=12.0 tmin=809568001.0 tmax=809827201.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.98 user 3.26 sys 0.21 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.96 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 636 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ouDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6766.05706869 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.751e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 6.030e-01 1.599e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.291e+00 1.683e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.41245746294e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00259790211187 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/36577108/likelihoodResults_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6766.05728375 delta logL = -0.000215054778891 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6766.05706904 delta logL = -3.47501554643e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .73830E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .93906 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2914 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .60286 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6766.057 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 24 CALLS 228 TOTAL EDM= .26E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0312 .18348E-06** at limit ** 2 Index 1.8239 1.3408 -.66845E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2913 .18839 -.33893E-05 .18577E-04 4 Prefactor .60297 .18236 .49589E-05 .61888E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.8239 Normalizat = 1.29132 Prefactor = 0.602971 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6766.057 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 11 CALLS 239 TOTAL EDM= .26E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0333 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .34290 1.8041 -.66845E-05 -.68829 3 Normalizat 1.2913 1.0812 -.33893E-05 -.83826 4 Prefactor .60297 .95087 .49589E-05 -1.0746 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.60627e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.5876e-07 2 1.75709 3 1.10105 4 0.978164 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6766.05706869 delta logL = 5.00222085975e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 6.588e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 1.824e+00 1.757e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 6.030e-01 9.782e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.291e+00 1.101e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36577108/cmap_HighResolution_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.60e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.41e-08', time_completed='2026-08-31 15:34:50.115899', job_id='36577108', GAL2='0.60', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.29', EG='1.29', time_epoch_completed='1788215690.12', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.60', dlogl='5.00e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='2200' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Aug 31 15:34:50 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6766.05706869 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.751e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 6.030e-01 1.599e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.291e+00 1.683e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.41245746294e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00259790211187 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/36577181/likelihoodResults_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6766.05728375 delta logL = -0.000215054778891 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6766.05706904 delta logL = -3.47501554643e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .73830E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .93906 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2914 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .60286 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6766.057 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 24 CALLS 228 TOTAL EDM= .26E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0312 .18348E-06** at limit ** 2 Index 1.8239 1.3408 -.66845E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2913 .18839 -.33893E-05 .18577E-04 4 Prefactor .60297 .18236 .49589E-05 .61888E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.8239 Normalizat = 1.29132 Prefactor = 0.602971 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6766.057 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 11 CALLS 239 TOTAL EDM= .26E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0333 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .34290 1.8041 -.66845E-05 -.68829 3 Normalizat 1.2913 1.0812 -.33893E-05 -.83826 4 Prefactor .60297 .95087 .49589E-05 -1.0746 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.60627e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.5876e-07 2 1.75709 3 1.10105 4 0.978164 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6766.05706869 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.751e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 6.030e-01 1.599e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.291e+00 1.683e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.41245746294e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00259790211187 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/36577159/likelihoodResults_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6766.05728375 delta logL = -0.000215054778891 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6766.05706904 delta logL = -3.47501554643e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .73830E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .93906 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2914 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .60286 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6766.057 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 24 CALLS 228 TOTAL EDM= .26E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0312 .18348E-06** at limit ** 2 Index 1.8239 1.3408 -.66845E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2913 .18839 -.33893E-05 .18577E-04 4 Prefactor .60297 .18236 .49589E-05 .61888E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.8239 Normalizat = 1.29132 Prefactor = 0.602971 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6766.05706869 delta logL = 5.00222085975e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 6.588e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 1.824e+00 1.757e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 6.030e-01 9.782e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.291e+00 1.101e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36577181/cmap_HighResolution_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.60e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.41e-08', time_completed='2026-08-31 15:35:02.183234', job_id='36577181', GAL2='0.60', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.29', EG='1.29', time_epoch_completed='1788215702.18', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.60', dlogl='5.00e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='2200' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Aug 31 15:35:02 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6766.057 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 11 CALLS 239 TOTAL EDM= .26E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0333 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .34290 1.8041 -.66845E-05 -.68829 3 Normalizat 1.2913 1.0812 -.33893E-05 -.83826 4 Prefactor .60297 .95087 .49589E-05 -1.0746 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.60627e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.5876e-07 2 1.75709 3 1.10105 4 0.978164 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6766.05706869 delta logL = 5.00222085975e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 6.588e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 1.824e+00 1.757e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 6.030e-01 9.782e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.291e+00 1.101e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36577159/cmap_HighResolution_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.60e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.41e-08', time_completed='2026-08-31 15:35:04.972660', job_id='36577159', GAL2='0.60', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.29', EG='1.29', time_epoch_completed='1788215704.97', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.60', dlogl='5.00e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='2200' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Aug 31 15:35:05 PDT 2026 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/36577222/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits.....................! real 25.43 user 23.71 sys 1.15 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/36577222/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/36577222/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/36577222/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/36577222/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/36577222/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+4712' 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.421e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36577222/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36577222/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/36577222/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/36577222/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/36577222/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6766.07419523 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6766.05825013 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .46472 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .61234E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .11909E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .40101E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 5.9732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 10.827 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 8.4903 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .38422E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 53.258 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .35642E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .24944 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .10335E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .13280E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 1.9934 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .33307E-09 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .11827E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .19757 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .21503E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 2.6007 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 11.470 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 3.4469 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .27756E-09 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 1.5905 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .32196E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .17691E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 4.1965 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' 1.0417 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .11224E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .24425E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' 1.2914 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' .60279 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6766.057 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 211 CALLS 3049 TOTAL EDM= .46E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .45383 3.8829 -.20062E-06 .20580E-03 2 Prefactor .0000 2.8838 .55770E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .14988E-08 19.259 .21021E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.1149 .21714E-07** at limit ** 5 norm 5.9757 10.582 .26017E-05 -.85630E-03 6 Prefactor 10.834 2.4967 .37719E-06 .76627E-02 7 Prefactor 8.4908 6.1875 -.35231E-06 .31001E-02 8 norm .0000 1.8359 .22571E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 53.746 30.895 .56275E-06 -.29614E-01 10 Prefactor .0000 1.4427 .16434E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .22324 5.5881 -.29081E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .63802E-05 185.40 -.35844E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .0000 1.6552 .21919E-07** at limit ** 14 norm 1.9867 15.797 -.19750E-05 -.13768E-02 15 norm .0000 .36949E-01 .16536E-07** at limit ** 16 norm .16653E-09 4.8998 .15656E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .25008E-06 287.65 -.35347E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .0000 2.4248 .11706E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 2.5947 6.1084 -.22420E-07 .15063E-02 20 norm 11.472 5.4862 -.10002E-05 .22714E-01 21 Prefactor 3.4497 1.0653 .87264E-07 -.26602E-01 22 Prefactor .0000 .32931 -.50118E-08** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 1.5882 2.2394 .46972E-07 .89149E-03 24 Prefactor .0000 .74588 .24156E-07** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .16764E-07 6.7730 -.13903E-05** at limit ** 26 norm 4.1964 1.6931 .53234E-07 .34261E-02 27 norm 1.0416 .62039 -.14137E-07 -.51585E-02 28 Prefactor .47629E-07 5.4511 .15485E-05** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .17745 .37507E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat 1.2913 .19423 -.27001E-05 -.34951E-03 31 Prefactor .60297 .18563 .10757E-04 -.17032E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.453828 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.4988e-09 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 5.97571 Prefactor = 10.8344 Prefactor = 8.49083 norm = 0 Prefactor = 53.7461 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0.223241 Prefactor = 6.38023e-06 Prefactor = 0 norm = 1.98666 norm = 0 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 2.50078e-07 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.59466 norm = 11.4724 Prefactor = 3.44971 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.58823 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.67644e-08 norm = 4.19638 norm = 1.04158 Prefactor = 4.76286e-08 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.29132 Prefactor = 0.602972 tfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits .....................! real 9.83 user 9.08 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits .....................! real 81.75 user 76.21 sys 4.66 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 211 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1615.6+4712 @ 243.922 47.2028 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/cmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.66 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/cmap_HighResolution_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.71 user 0.24 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GALtfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits .....................! real 9.01 user 8.41 sys 0.19 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits .....................! real 76.63 user 70.58 sys 4.45 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 211 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1615.6+4712 @ 243.922 47.2028 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/cmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.74 user 0.24 sys 0.11 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/cmap_HighResolution_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.922 yref=47.2028 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.77 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6766.057 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 698 CALLS 3747 TOTAL EDM= .25E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .45383 3.8113 .82341E-03 -1.5694 2 Prefactor .0000 2.9006 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .14988E-08 19.379 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.1516 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 5.9757 15.405 .41062E-03 -1.5659 6 Prefactor 10.834 14.158 .30424E-03 -1.5642 7 Prefactor 8.4908 6.1958 .34379E-03 -1.5650 8 norm .0000 1.8406 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 53.746 54.830 .13704E-03 -1.5561 10 Prefactor .0000 1.4486 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .22324 7.5678 .10955E-01 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .63802E-05 3.4991 .51778E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .0000 1.6552 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.9867 16.039 .73346E-03 -1.5680 15 norm .0000 .34171E-01 .68063E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .16653E-09 4.9228 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .25008E-06 11.641 .11819E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .0000 2.3971 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 2.5947 6.1400 .63237E-03 -1.5676 20 norm 11.472 17.976 .29555E-03 -1.5640 21 Prefactor 3.4497 1.0867 .54451E-03 -1.5671 22 Prefactor .0000 .33008 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 1.5882 2.2720 .84108E-03 -1.5683 24 Prefactor .0000 .74676 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .16764E-07 8.6840 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm 4.1964 1.6966 .49171E-03 -1.5667 27 norm 1.0416 .61659 .10930E-02 -1.5688 28 Prefactor .47629E-07 9.1049 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .17683 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat 1.2913 .16824 .32961E-01 -.83826 31 Prefactor .60297 .15975 .63567E-01 -1.0746 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.51515e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.63035 2 5.43891e-06 3 0.000338949 4 6.9905e-05 5 15.4046 6 14.1581 7 6.19578 8 1.51979e-06 9 54.8307 10 2.75122e-06 11 2.59958 12 0.00944996 13 6.26107e-07 14 11.2896 15 7.3702e-08 16 5.25396e-05 17 0.00341229 18 9.79813e-07 19 6.14006 20 17.9763 21 1.08669 22 1.96294e-06 23 2.27198 24 4.96983e-06 25 0.000763299 26 1.69658 27 0.616593 28 0.0013171 29 6.74874e-07 30 0.168315 31 0.159867 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6766.05706869 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.751e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 6.030e-01 1.599e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.291e+00 1.683e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.41245746294e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00259790211187 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/36577222/likelihoodResults_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6766.05728375 delta logL = -0.000215054778891 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6766.05706904 delta logL = -3.47501554643e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .73830E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .93906 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2914 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .60286 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6766.057 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 24 CALLS 228 TOTAL EDM= .26E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0312 .18348E-06** at limit ** 2 Index 1.8239 1.3408 -.66845E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2913 .18839 -.33893E-05 .18577E-04 4 Prefactor .60297 .18236 .49589E-05 .61888E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.8239 Normalizat = 1.29132 Prefactor = 0.602971 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6766.057 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 11 CALLS 239 TOTAL EDM= .26E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0333 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .34290 1.8041 -.66845E-05 -.68829 3 Normalizat 1.2913 1.0812 -.33893E-05 -.83826 4 Prefactor .60297 .95087 .49589E-05 -1.0746 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.60627e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.5876e-07 2 1.75709 3 1.10105 4 0.978164 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6766.05706869 delta logL = 5.00222085975e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 6.588e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 1.824e+00 1.757e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 6.030e-01 9.782e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.291e+00 1.101e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36577222/cmap_HighResolution_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.60e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.41e-08', time_completed='2026-08-31 15:37:17.506084', job_id='36577222', GAL2='0.60', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.29', EG='1.29', time_epoch_completed='1788215837.51', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.60', dlogl='5.00e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='2200' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Aug 31 15:37:17 PDT 2026 _V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits.....................! real 28.02 user 25.92 sys 1.39 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/36577344/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+4712' 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.421e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/36577344/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/36577344/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/36577344/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6766.07419523 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6766.05825013 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .46472 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .61234E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .11909E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .40101E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 5.9732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 10.827 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 8.4903 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .38422E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 53.258 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .35642E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .24944 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .10335E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .13280E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 1.9934 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .33307E-09 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .11827E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .19757 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .21503E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 2.6007 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 11.470 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 3.4469 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .27756E-09 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 1.5905 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .32196E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .17691E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 4.1965 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' 1.0417 1.0000 .00_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits.....................! real 26.28 user 23.92 sys 0.98 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/36577351/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+4712' 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.421e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/36577351/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/36577351/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/36577351/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6766.07419523 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6766.05825013 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .46472 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .61234E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .11909E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .40101E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 5.9732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 10.827 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 8.4903 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .38422E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 53.258 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .35642E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .24944 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .10335E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .13280E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 1.9934 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .33307E-09 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .11827E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .19757 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .21503E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 2.6007 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 11.470 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 3.4469 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .27756E-09 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 1.5905 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .32196E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .17691E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 4.1965 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' 1.0417 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .11224E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .24425E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' 1.2914 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' .60279 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6766.057 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 211 CALLS 3049 TOTAL EDM= .46E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .45383 3.8829 -.20062E-06 .20580E-03 2 Prefactor .0000 2.8838 .55770E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .14988E-08 19.259 .21021E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.1149 .21714E-07** at limit ** 5 norm 5.9757 10.582 .26017E-05 -.85630E-03 6 Prefactor 10.834 2.4967 .37719E-06 .76627E-02 7 Prefactor 8.4908 6.1875 -.35231E-06 .31001E-02 8 norm .0000 1.8359 .22571E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 53.746 30.895 .56275E-06 -.29614E-01 10 Prefactor .0000 1.4427 .16434E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .22324 5.5881 -.29081E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .63802E-05 185.40 -.35844E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .0000 1.6552 .21919E-07** at limit ** 14 norm 1.9867 15.797 -.19750E-05 -.13768E-02 15 norm .0000 .36949E-01 .16536E-07** at limit ** 16 norm .16653E-09 4.8998 .15656E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .25008E-06 287.65 -.35347E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .0000 2.4248 .11706E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 2.5947 6.1084 -.22420E-07 .15063E-02 20 norm 11.472 5.4862 -.10002E-05 .22714E-01 21 Prefactor 3.4497 1.0653 .87264E-07 -.26602E-01 22 Prefactor .0000 .32931 -.50118E-08** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 1.5882 2.2394 .46972E-07 .89149E-03 24 Prefactor .0000 .74588 .24156E-07** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .16764E-07 6.7730 -.13903E-05** at limit ** 26 norm 4.1964 1.6931 .53234E-07 .34261E-02 27 norm 1.0416 .62039 -.14137E-07 -.51585E-02 28 Prefactor .47629E-07 5.4511 .15485E-05** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .17745 .37507E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat 1.2913 .19423 -.27001E-05 -.34951E-03 31 Prefactor .60297 .18563 .10757E-04 -.17032E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.453828 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.4988e-09 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 5.97571 Prefactor = 10.8344 Prefactor = 8.49083 norm = 0 Prefactor = 53.7461 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0.223241 Prefactor = 6.38023e-06 Prefactor = 0 norm = 1.98666 norm = 0 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 2.50078e-07 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.59466 norm = 11.4724 Prefactor = 3.44971 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.58823 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.67644e-08 norm = 4.19638 norm = 1.04158 Prefactor = 4.76286e-08 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.29132 Prefactor = 0.602972 00 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .11224E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .24425E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' 1.2914 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' .60279 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6766.057 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 211 CALLS 3049 TOTAL EDM= .46E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .45383 3.8829 -.20062E-06 .20580E-03 2 Prefactor .0000 2.8838 .55770E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .14988E-08 19.259 .21021E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.1149 .21714E-07** at limit ** 5 norm 5.9757 10.582 .26017E-05 -.85630E-03 6 Prefactor 10.834 2.4967 .37719E-06 .76627E-02 7 Prefactor 8.4908 6.1875 -.35231E-06 .31001E-02 8 norm .0000 1.8359 .22571E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 53.746 30.895 .56275E-06 -.29614E-01 10 Prefactor .0000 1.4427 .16434E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .22324 5.5881 -.29081E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .63802E-05 185.40 -.35844E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .0000 1.6552 .21919E-07** at limit ** 14 norm 1.9867 15.797 -.19750E-05 -.13768E-02 15 norm .0000 .36949E-01 .16536E-07** at limit ** 16 norm .16653E-09 4.8998 .15656E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .25008E-06 287.65 -.35347E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .0000 2.4248 .11706E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 2.5947 6.1084 -.22420E-07 .15063E-02 20 norm 11.472 5.4862 -.10002E-05 .22714E-01 21 Prefactor 3.4497 1.0653 .87264E-07 -.26602E-01 22 Prefactor .0000 .32931 -.50118E-08** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 1.5882 2.2394 .46972E-07 .89149E-03 24 Prefactor .0000 .74588 .24156E-07** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .16764E-07 6.7730 -.13903E-05** at limit ** 26 norm 4.1964 1.6931 .53234E-07 .34261E-02 27 norm 1.0416 .62039 -.14137E-07 -.51585E-02 28 Prefactor .47629E-07 5.4511 .15485E-05** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .17745 .37507E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat 1.2913 .19423 -.27001E-05 -.34951E-03 31 Prefactor .60297 .18563 .10757E-04 -.17032E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.453828 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.4988e-09 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 5.97571 Prefactor = 10.8344 Prefactor = 8.49083 norm = 0 Prefactor = 53.7461 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0.223241 Prefactor = 6.38023e-06 Prefactor = 0 norm = 1.98666 norm = 0 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 2.50078e-07 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.59466 norm = 11.4724 Prefactor = 3.44971 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.58823 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.67644e-08 norm = 4.19638 norm = 1.04158 Prefactor = 4.76286e-08 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.29132 Prefactor = 0.602972 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6766.057 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 698 CALLS 3747 TOTAL EDM= .25E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .45383 3.8113 .82341E-03 -1.5694 2 Prefactor .0000 2.9006 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .14988E-08 19.379 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.1516 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 5.9757 15.405 .41062E-03 -1.5659 6 Prefactor 10.834 14.158 .30424E-03 -1.5642 7 Prefactor 8.4908 6.1958 .34379E-03 -1.5650 8 norm .0000 1.8406 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 53.746 54.830 .13704E-03 -1.5561 10 Prefactor .0000 1.4486 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .22324 7.5678 .10955E-01 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .63802E-05 3.4991 .51778E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .0000 1.6552 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.9867 16.039 .73346E-03 -1.5680 15 norm .0000 .34171E-01 .68063E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .16653E-09 4.9228 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .25008E-06 11.641 .11819E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .0000 2.3971 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 2.5947 6.1400 .63237E-03 -1.5676 20 norm 11.472 17.976 .29555E-03 -1.5640 21 Prefactor 3.4497 1.0867 .54451E-03 -1.5671 22 Prefactor .0000 .33008 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 1.5882 2.2720 .84108E-03 -1.5683 24 Prefactor .0000 .74676 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .16764E-07 8.6840 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm 4.1964 1.6966 .49171E-03 -1.5667 27 norm 1.0416 .61659 .10930E-02 -1.5688 28 Prefactor .47629E-07 9.1049 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .17683 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat 1.2913 .16824 .32961E-01 -.83826 31 Prefactor .60297 .15975 .63567E-01 -1.0746 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.51515e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.63035 2 5.43891e-06 3 0.000338949 4 6.9905e-05 5 15.4046 6 14.1581 7 6.19578 8 1.51979e-06 9 54.8307 10 2.75122e-06 11 2.59958 12 0.00944996 13 6.26107e-07 14 11.2896 15 7.3702e-08 16 5.25396e-05 17 0.00341229 18 9.79813e-07 19 6.14006 20 17.9763 21 1.08669 22 1.96294e-06 23 2.27198 24 4.96983e-06 25 0.000763299 26 1.69658 27 0.616593 28 0.0013171 29 6.74874e-07 30 0.168315 31 0.159867 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6766.057 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 698 CALLS 3747 TOTAL EDM= .25E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .45383 3.8113 .82341E-03 -1.5694 2 Prefactor .0000 2.9006 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .14988E-08 19.379 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.1516 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 5.9757 15.405 .41062E-03 -1.5659 6 Prefactor 10.834 14.158 .30424E-03 -1.5642 7 Prefactor 8.4908 6.1958 .34379E-03 -1.5650 8 norm .0000 1.8406 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 53.746 54.830 .13704E-03 -1.5561 10 Prefactor .0000 1.4486 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .22324 7.5678 .10955E-01 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .63802E-05 3.4991 .51778E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .0000 1.6552 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.9867 16.039 .73346E-03 -1.5680 15 norm .0000 .34171E-01 .68063E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .16653E-09 4.9228 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .25008E-06 11.641 .11819E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .0000 2.3971 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 2.5947 6.1400 .63237E-03 -1.5676 20 norm 11.472 17.976 .29555E-03 -1.5640 21 Prefactor 3.4497 1.0867 .54451E-03 -1.5671 22 Prefactor .0000 .33008 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 1.5882 2.2720 .84108E-03 -1.5683 24 Prefactor .0000 .74676 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .16764E-07 8.6840 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm 4.1964 1.6966 .49171E-03 -1.5667 27 norm 1.0416 .61659 .10930E-02 -1.5688 28 Prefactor .47629E-07 9.1049 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .17683 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat 1.2913 .16824 .32961E-01 -.83826 31 Prefactor .60297 .15975 .63567E-01 -1.0746 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.51515e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.63035 2 5.43891e-06 3 0.000338949 4 6.9905e-05 5 15.4046 6 14.1581 7 6.19578 8 1.51979e-06 9 54.8307 10 2.75122e-06 11 2.59958 12 0.00944996 13 6.26107e-07 14 11.2896 15 7.3702e-08 16 5.25396e-05 17 0.00341229 18 9.79813e-07 19 6.14006 20 17.9763 21 1.08669 22 1.96294e-06 23 2.27198 24 4.96983e-06 25 0.000763299 26 1.69658 27 0.616593 28 0.0013171 29 6.74874e-07 30 0.168315 31 0.159867 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6766.05706869 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.751e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 6.030e-01 1.599e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.291e+00 1.683e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.41245746294e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00259790211187 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/36577351/likelihoodResults_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6766.05728375 delta logL = -0.000215054778891 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6766.05706904 delta logL = -3.47501554643e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .73830E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .93906 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2914 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .60286 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6766.057 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 24 CALLS 228 TOTAL EDM= .26E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0312 .18348E-06** at limit ** 2 Index 1.8239 1.3408 -.66845E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2913 .18839 -.33893E-05 .18577E-04 4 Prefactor .60297 .18236 .49589E-05 .61888E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.8239 Normalizat = 1.29132 Prefactor = 0.602971 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6766.057 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 11 CALLS 239 TOTAL EDM= .26E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0333 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .34290 1.8041 -.66845E-05 -.68829 3 Normalizat 1.2913 1.0812 -.33893E-05 -.83826 4 Prefactor .60297 .95087 .49589E-05 -1.0746 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.60627e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.5876e-07 2 1.75709 3 1.10105 4 0.978164 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6766.05706869 delta logL = 5.00222085975e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 6.588e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 1.824e+00 1.757e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 6.030e-01 9.782e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.291e+00 1.101e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36577351/cmap_HighResolution_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.60e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.41e-08', time_completed='2026-08-31 15:40:50.524405', job_id='36577351', GAL2='0.60', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.29', EG='1.29', time_epoch_completed='1788216050.52', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.60', dlogl='5.00e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='2200' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Aug 31 15:40:50 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6766.05706869 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.751e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 6.030e-01 1.599e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.291e+00 1.683e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.41245746294e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00259790211187 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/36577344/likelihoodResults_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6766.05728375 delta logL = -0.000215054778891 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6766.05706904 delta logL = -3.47501554643e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .73830E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .93906 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2914 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .60286 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6766.057 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 24 CALLS 228 TOTAL EDM= .26E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0312 .18348E-06** at limit ** 2 Index 1.8239 1.3408 -.66845E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2913 .18839 -.33893E-05 .18577E-04 4 Prefactor .60297 .18236 .49589E-05 .61888E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.8239 Normalizat = 1.29132 Prefactor = 0.602971 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6766.057 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 11 CALLS 239 TOTAL EDM= .26E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0333 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .34290 1.8041 -.66845E-05 -.68829 3 Normalizat 1.2913 1.0812 -.33893E-05 -.83826 4 Prefactor .60297 .95087 .49589E-05 -1.0746 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.60627e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.5876e-07 2 1.75709 3 1.10105 4 0.978164 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6766.05706869 delta logL = 5.00222085975e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 6.588e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 1.824e+00 1.757e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 6.030e-01 9.782e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.291e+00 1.101e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36577344/cmap_HighResolution_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.60e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.41e-08', time_completed='2026-08-31 15:40:55.254296', job_id='36577344', GAL2='0.60', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.29', EG='1.29', time_epoch_completed='1788216055.25', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.60', dlogl='5.00e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='2200' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Aug 31 15:40:55 PDT 2026 rce GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/36577028/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits.....................! real 45.69 user 43.35 sys 1.56 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/36577028/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/36577028/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/36577028/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/36577028/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/36577028/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+4712' 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 1.421e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36577028/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/36577028/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/36577028/expmap_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/36577028/ltcube_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/36577028/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6766.07419523 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6766.05825013 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'norm ' .46472 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .61234E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'Prefactor ' .11909E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'Prefactor ' .40101E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 5.9732 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 10.827 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'Prefactor ' 8.4903 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'norm ' .38422E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 53.258 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .35642E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .24944 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .10335E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .13280E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'norm ' 1.9934 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 15 'norm ' .33307E-09 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 16 'norm ' .11827E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 17 'Prefactor ' .19757 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 18 'Prefactor ' .21503E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 19 'Prefactor ' 2.6007 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 20 'norm ' 11.470 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 21 'Prefactor ' 3.4469 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 22 'Prefactor ' .27756E-09 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 23 'Prefactor ' 1.5905 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 24 'Prefactor ' .32196E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 25 'Prefactor ' .17691E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 26 'norm ' 4.1965 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 27 'norm ' 1.0417 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 28 'Prefactor ' .11224E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 29 'norm ' .24425E-08 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 30 'Normalizat' 1.2914 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 31 'Prefactor ' .60279 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6766.057 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 211 CALLS 3049 TOTAL EDM= .46E-09 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 norm .45383 3.8829 -.20062E-06 .20580E-03 2 Prefactor .0000 2.8838 .55770E-07** at limit ** 3 Prefactor .14988E-08 19.259 .21021E-07** at limit ** 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.1149 .21714E-07** at limit ** 5 norm 5.9757 10.582 .26017E-05 -.85630E-03 6 Prefactor 10.834 2.4967 .37719E-06 .76627E-02 7 Prefactor 8.4908 6.1875 -.35231E-06 .31001E-02 8 norm .0000 1.8359 .22571E-07** at limit ** 9 Prefactor 53.746 30.895 .56275E-06 -.29614E-01 10 Prefactor .0000 1.4427 .16434E-06** at limit ** 11 Prefactor .22324 5.5881 -.29081E-05** at limit ** 12 Prefactor .63802E-05 185.40 -.35844E-05** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .0000 1.6552 .21919E-07** at limit ** 14 norm 1.9867 15.797 -.19750E-05 -.13768E-02 15 norm .0000 .36949E-01 .16536E-07** at limit ** 16 norm .16653E-09 4.8998 .15656E-06** at limit ** 17 Prefactor .25008E-06 287.65 -.35347E-05** at limit ** 18 Prefactor .0000 2.4248 .11706E-06** at limit ** 19 Prefactor 2.5947 6.1084 -.22420E-07 .15063E-02 20 norm 11.472 5.4862 -.10002E-05 .22714E-01 21 Prefactor 3.4497 1.0653 .87264E-07 -.26602E-01 22 Prefactor .0000 .32931 -.50118E-08** at limit ** 23 Prefactor 1.5882 2.2394 .46972E-07 .89149E-03 24 Prefactor .0000 .74588 .24156E-07** at limit ** 25 Prefactor .16764E-07 6.7730 -.13903E-05** at limit ** 26 norm 4.1964 1.6931 .53234E-07 .34261E-02 27 norm 1.0416 .62039 -.14137E-07 -.51585E-02 28 Prefactor .47629E-07 5.4511 .15485E-05** at limit ** 29 norm .0000 .17745 .37507E-07** at limit ** 30 Normalizat 1.2913 .19423 -.27001E-05 -.34951E-03 31 Prefactor .60297 .18563 .10757E-04 -.17032E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: norm = 0.453828 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.4988e-09 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 norm = 5.97571 Prefactor = 10.8344 Prefactor = 8.49083 norm = 0 Prefactor = 53.7461 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 0.223241 Prefactor = 6.38023e-06 Prefactor = 0 norm = 1.98666 norm = 0 norm = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 2.50078e-07 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 2.59466 norm = 11.4724 Prefactor = 3.44971 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.58823 Prefactor = 0 Prefactor = 1.67644e-08 norm = 4.19638 norm = 1.04158 Prefactor = 4.76286e-08 norm = 0 Normalizat = 1.29132 Prefactor = 0.602972 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 6766.057 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 698 CALLS 3747 TOTAL EDM= .25E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 norm .45383 3.8113 .82341E-03 -1.5694 2 Prefactor .0000 2.9006 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Prefactor .14988E-08 19.379 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.1516 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 5 norm 5.9757 15.405 .41062E-03 -1.5659 6 Prefactor 10.834 14.158 .30424E-03 -1.5642 7 Prefactor 8.4908 6.1958 .34379E-03 -1.5650 8 norm .0000 1.8406 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor 53.746 54.830 .13704E-03 -1.5561 10 Prefactor .0000 1.4486 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor .22324 7.5678 .10955E-01 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 12 Prefactor .63802E-05 3.4991 .51778E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .0000 1.6552 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 norm 1.9867 16.039 .73346E-03 -1.5680 15 norm .0000 .34171E-01 .68063E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 16 norm .16653E-09 4.9228 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 17 Prefactor .25008E-06 11.641 .11819E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 18 Prefactor .0000 2.3971 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 19 Prefactor 2.5947 6.1400 .63237E-03 -1.5676 20 norm 11.472 17.976 .29555E-03 -1.5640 21 Prefactor 3.4497 1.0867 .54451E-03 -1.5671 22 Prefactor .0000 .33008 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 23 Prefactor 1.5882 2.2720 .84108E-03 -1.5683 24 Prefactor .0000 .74676 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 25 Prefactor .16764E-07 8.6840 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 26 norm 4.1964 1.6966 .49171E-03 -1.5667 27 norm 1.0416 .61659 .10930E-02 -1.5688 28 Prefactor .47629E-07 9.1049 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 29 norm .0000 .17683 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 30 Normalizat 1.2913 .16824 .32961E-01 -.83826 31 Prefactor .60297 .15975 .63567E-01 -1.0746 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 2.51515e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 2.63035 2 5.43891e-06 3 0.000338949 4 6.9905e-05 5 15.4046 6 14.1581 7 6.19578 8 1.51979e-06 9 54.8307 10 2.75122e-06 11 2.59958 12 0.00944996 13 6.26107e-07 14 11.2896 15 7.3702e-08 16 5.25396e-05 17 0.00341229 18 9.79813e-07 19 6.14006 20 17.9763 21 1.08669 22 1.96294e-06 23 2.27198 24 4.96983e-06 25 0.000763299 26 1.69658 27 0.616593 28 0.0013171 29 6.74874e-07 30 0.168315 31 0.159867 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 6766.05706869 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 2.751e-06 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 2.189e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 6.030e-01 1.599e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.291e+00 1.683e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 3.41245746294e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00259790211187 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/36577028/likelihoodResults_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6766.05728375 delta logL = -0.000215054778891 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 6766.05706904 delta logL = -3.47501554643e-07 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .73830E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' .93906 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.2914 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .60286 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .6760E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 6766.057 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 24 CALLS 228 TOTAL EDM= .26E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.2% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0312 .18348E-06** at limit ** 2 Index 1.8239 1.3408 -.66845E-05 .0000 3 Normalizat 1.2913 .18839 -.33893E-05 .18577E-04 4 Prefactor .60297 .18236 .49589E-05 .61888E-05 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0 Index = 1.8239 Normalizat = 1.29132 Prefactor = 0.602971 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** MNHESS FAILS AND WILL RETURN DIAGONAL MATRIX. FCN= 6766.057 FROM HESSE STATUS=FAILED 11 CALLS 239 TOTAL EDM= .26E-12 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY=100.0% EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .0000 2.0333 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index .34290 1.8041 -.66845E-05 -.68829 3 Normalizat 1.2913 1.0812 -.33893E-05 -.83826 4 Prefactor .60297 .95087 .49589E-05 -1.0746 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 1 estimated distance: 2.60627e-13 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 6.5876e-07 2 1.75709 3 1.10105 4 0.978164 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 101 logL (Free Index) = 6766.05706869 delta logL = 5.00222085975e-11 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+4712 Spectrum: PowerLaw 300 Prefactor: 0.000e+00 6.588e-07 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-13) 301 Index: 1.824e+00 1.757e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 302 Scale: 1.761e+03 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 673 Prefactor: 6.030e-01 9.782e-01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 674 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 675 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 672 Normalization: 1.291e+00 1.101e+00 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 0.00 Ra Dec: 243.922 47.203 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/36577028/cmap_HighResolution_809568001_809827201_4FGL_J1615.6+4712_daily_bin2200.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='2.60e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='3.41e-08', time_completed='2026-08-31 15:50:45.882340', job_id='36577028', GAL2='0.60', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.29', EG='1.29', time_epoch_completed='1788216645.88', return_code2='101', ts='0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.60', dlogl='5.00e-11', ts2='0.00', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.19' WHERE bin_id='2200' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+4712' AND cadence='daily'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Mon Aug 31 15:50:46 PDT 2026