Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18925.4587345 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 6.430e+00 9.944e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 2.755e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 570 Prefactor: 1.102e+00 7.500e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 571 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 572 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 569 Normalization: 7.713e-01 1.499e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.48 Ra Dec: 243.913 21.506 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.04114188507e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00822187824447 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40040664/likelihoodResults_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 18924.6305451 delta logL = 0.828189334399 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 18924.5923263 delta logL = 0.866408127196 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .97191E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 9.9945 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .72616 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1229 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5730E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 18924.59 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 412 CALLS 892 TOTAL EDM= .65E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .96346E-03 .80433E-03 .73570E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 10.0000 .91694 .50000 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat .72634 .14986 .92433E-01 .23836E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1228 .75910E-01 .36776E-01 -.79055E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000963455 Index = 10 Normalizat = 0.726335 Prefactor = 1.12276 /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 18924.59 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 35 CALLS 927 TOTAL EDM= .91E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .96346E-03 .81329E-03 .34000E-05 -1.5709 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 10.0000 1.0269 .50000 -4.7126 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat .72634 .17341 .40952E-03 -2.1130 4 Prefactor 1.1228 .88321E-01 .17396E-03 -.88743 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.07676e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000813286 2 0.000640881 3 0.173542 4 0.0883323 Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 18924.5922992 delta logL = 0.866435242697 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 9.635e-04 8.133e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 1.000e+01 6.409e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 570 Prefactor: 1.123e+00 8.833e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 571 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 572 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 569 Normalization: 7.263e-01 1.735e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 2.33 Ra Dec: 243.913 21.506 Photon Index (Free Index): 10.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 5.62e-08 +/- 4.60e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 6.28e-06 +/- 5.17e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40040664/cmap_HighResolution_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='8.22e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='6.28e-06', dlogl='8.66e-01', photon_flux2='5.62e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-06 12:59:33.861751', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='10.00', ts='0.48', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.10', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.04e-07', energy_flux_error2='5.17e-06', EG='0.77', time_epoch_completed='1791316773.86', return_code='0', job_id='40040664', GAL2='1.12', EG2='0.73', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='4.60e-08', ts2='2.33', photon_index='2.76' WHERE bin_id='948' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+2130' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Oct 6 12:59:34 PDT 2026 WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18925.4587345 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 6.430e+00 9.944e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 2.755e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 570 Prefactor: 1.102e+00 7.500e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 571 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 572 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 569 Normalization: 7.713e-01 1.499e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.48 Ra Dec: 243.913 21.506 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.04114188507e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00822187824447 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40040671/likelihoodResults_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 18924.6305451 delta logL = 0.828189334399 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 18924.5923263 delta logL = 0.866408127196 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .97191E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 9.9945 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .72616 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1229 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5730E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 18924.59 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 412 CALLS 892 TOTAL EDM= .65E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .96346E-03 .80433E-03 .73570E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 10.0000 .91694 .50000 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat .72634 .14986 .92433E-01 .23836E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1228 .75910E-01 .36776E-01 -.79055E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000963455 Index = 10 Normalizat = 0.726335 Prefactor = 1.12276 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 18924.59 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 35 CALLS 927 TOTAL EDM= .91E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .96346E-03 .81329E-03 .34000E-05 -1.5709 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 10.0000 1.0269 .50000 -4.7126 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat .72634 .17341 .40952E-03 -2.1130 4 Prefactor 1.1228 .88321E-01 .17396E-03 -.88743 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.07676e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000813286 2 0.000640881 3 0.173542 4 0.0883323 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 18924.5922992 delta logL = 0.866435242697 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 9.635e-04 8.133e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 1.000e+01 6.409e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 570 Prefactor: 1.123e+00 8.833e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 571 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 572 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 569 Normalization: 7.263e-01 1.735e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 2.33 Ra Dec: 243.913 21.506 Photon Index (Free Index): 10.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 5.62e-08 +/- 4.60e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 6.28e-06 +/- 5.17e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40040671/cmap_HighResolution_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='8.22e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='6.28e-06', dlogl='8.66e-01', photon_flux2='5.62e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-06 13:00:17.535354', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='10.00', ts='0.48', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.10', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.04e-07', energy_flux_error2='5.17e-06', EG='0.77', time_epoch_completed='1791316817.54', return_code='0', job_id='40040671', GAL2='1.12', EG2='0.73', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='4.60e-08', ts2='2.33', photon_index='2.76' WHERE bin_id='948' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+2130' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Oct 6 13:00:17 PDT 2026 number of points = 17454 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948 RA = 243.913, Dec = 21.5064 tmin = 812332801, tmax = 812937601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='40040939', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-10-06 12:58:34.125400', time_epoch_executed='1791316714.13' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1615.6+2130' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='948' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40040939 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40040939/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=812332801.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=812332801.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=812332801.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits ra=243.913 dec=21.5064 rad=12.0 tmin=812332801.0 tmax=812937601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 6.20 user 5.44 sys 0.27 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.69 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1677 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATA"number of points = 17454 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948 RA = 243.913, Dec = 21.5064 tmin = 812332801, tmax = 812937601 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='40040994', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-10-06 12:59:36.599759', time_epoch_executed='1791316776.6' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1615.6+2130' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='948' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40040994 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/40040994/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=812332801.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=812332801.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=812332801.0 && nMetStart<812937601.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 108 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits ra=243.913 dec=21.5064 rad=12.0 tmin=812332801.0 tmax=812937601.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 6.55 user 5.88 sys 0.26 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.68 user 0.25 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1677 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits .....................! real 19.91 user 19.14 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits .....................! real 72.47 user 67.24 sys 4.22 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 175 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1615.6+2130 @ 243.913 21.5064 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/cmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.913 yref=21.5064 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.72 user 0.24 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/cmap_HighResolution_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.913 yref=21.5064 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.65 user 0.27 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits.....................! real 52.83 user 51.35 sys 0.78 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40040939/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+2130' 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 3.532e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 2.755e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40040939/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40040939/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40040939/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 102 logL (Fixed Index) = 18925.5062213 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18925.4587361 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .34417E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .49344E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .12672E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 7.0755 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 4.5109 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 4.1463 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 125.05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 6.4271 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 19.796 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 11.994 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .86817 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .11813E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 17.016 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' .77137 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' 1.1022 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5730E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 18925.46 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 81 CALLS 988 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .34972E-08 1.5484 -.22625E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .55511E-10 14.621 .15568E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .21871E-07 3.7715 .45313E-06** at limit ** 4 norm 7.0765 5.7402 .12792E-06 -.23540E-02 5 norm 4.5109 1.1923 .71833E-08 -.13295E-02 6 Prefactor 4.1461 5.5306 .13272E-06 -.28014E-02 7 norm 125.05 1.0731 .22845E-08 .25541E-01 8 Prefactor 6.4296 2.1217 -.45376E-07 .45920E-01 9 Prefactor 19.801 1.1599 .20690E-10 .75329E-01 10 Prefactor 11.989 2.3477 .13279E-06 -.11544 11 Prefactor .86878 5.1804 .51374E-06 .30917E-02 12 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.4028 -.45638E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 17.016 1.0119 .67806E-08 .11632E-02 14 Normalizat .77132 .16772 .74359E-05 -.67112E-04 15 Prefactor 1.1022 .86388E-01 -.45019E-05 -.14585E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.4972e-09 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 2.18714e-08 norm = 7.07648 norm = 4.51089 Prefactor = 4.1461 norm = 125.054 Prefactor = 6.42964 Prefactor = 19.8013 Prefactor = 11.9893 Prefactor = 0.868782 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 17.016 Normalizat = 0.771317 Prefactor = 1.10221 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits .....................! real 21.40 user 20.50 sys 0.26 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits .....................! real 80.37 user 74.62 sys 4.66 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 175 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1615.6+2130 @ 243.913 21.5064 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/cmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.913 yref=21.5064 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.74 user 0.27 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/cmap_HighResolution_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.913 yref=21.5064 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.67 user 0.27 sys 0.14 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding source ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 18925.46 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 220 CALLS 1208 TOTAL EDM= .39E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .34972E-08 1.5456 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .55511E-10 14.699 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .21871E-07 .57930 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 7.0765 5.8360 .37689E-03 -1.5655 5 norm 4.5109 1.1949 .47379E-03 -1.5665 6 Prefactor 4.1461 5.5518 .49476E-03 -1.5667 7 norm 125.05 17.111 .89430E-04 -1.5484 8 Prefactor 6.4296 9.9435 .39566E-03 -1.5657 9 Prefactor 19.801 21.066 .22483E-03 -1.5619 10 Prefactor 11.989 10.692 .28901E-03 -1.5639 11 Prefactor .86878 5.6102 .47986E-03 -1.5689 12 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.4220 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 17.016 17.352 .24253E-03 -1.5625 14 Normalizat .77132 .14982 .89918E-01 -1.0114 15 Prefactor 1.1022 .74990E-01 .37504E-01 -.89396 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.86625e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000146596 2 6.76347e-05 3 0.000224992 4 5.83596 5 1.19492 6 5.55183 7 17.1106 8 9.94351 9 21.0662 10 10.692 11 4.41544 12 6.66492e-05 13 17.3519 14 0.149897 15 0.0749972 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18925.4587345 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 6.430e+00 9.944e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 2.755e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 570 Prefactor: 1.102e+00 7.500e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 571 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 572 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 569 Normalization: 7.713e-01 1.499e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.48 Ra Dec: 243.913 21.506 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.04114188507e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00822187824447 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40040939/likelihoodResults_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 18924.6305451 delta logL = 0.828189334399 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 18924.5923263 delta logL = 0.866408127196 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .97191E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 9.9945 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .72616 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1229 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5730E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 18924.59 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 412 CALLS 892 TOTAL EDM= .65E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .96346E-03 .80433E-03 .73570E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 10.0000 .91694 .50000 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat .72634 .14986 .92433E-01 .23836E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1228 .75910E-01 .36776E-01 -.79055E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000963455 Index = 10 Normalizat = 0.726335 Prefactor = 1.12276 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 18924.59 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 35 CALLS 927 TOTAL EDM= .91E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .96346E-03 .81329E-03 .34000E-05 -1.5709 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 10.0000 1.0269 .50000 -4.7126 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat .72634 .17341 .40952E-03 -2.1130 4 Prefactor 1.1228 .88321E-01 .17396E-03 -.88743 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.07676e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000813286 2 0.000640881 3 0.173542 4 0.0883323 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 18924.5922992 delta logL = 0.866435242697 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 9.635e-04 8.133e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 1.000e+01 6.409e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 570 Prefactor: 1.123e+00 8.833e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 571 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 572 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 569 Normalization: 7.263e-01 1.735e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 2.33 Ra Dec: 243.913 21.506 Photon Index (Free Index): 10.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 5.62e-08 +/- 4.60e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 6.28e-06 +/- 5.17e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40040939/cmap_HighResolution_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='8.22e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='6.28e-06', dlogl='8.66e-01', photon_flux2='5.62e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-06 13:07:50.847384', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='10.00', ts='0.48', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.10', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.04e-07', energy_flux_error2='5.17e-06', EG='0.77', time_epoch_completed='1791317270.85', return_code='0', job_id='40040939', GAL2='1.12', EG2='0.73', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='4.60e-08', ts2='2.33', photon_index='2.76' WHERE bin_id='948' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+2130' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Oct 6 13:07:51 PDT 2026 GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits.....................! real 59.60 user 57.73 sys 0.74 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/40040994/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+2130' 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 3.532e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 2.755e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/40040994/expmap_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/40040994/ltcube_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/40040994/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 102 logL (Fixed Index) = 18925.5062213 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18925.4587361 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .34417E-07 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .49344E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' .12672E-04 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 7.0755 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 4.5109 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' 4.1463 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 125.05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' 6.4271 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' 19.796 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' 11.994 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' .86817 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .11813E-06 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' 17.016 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' .77137 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' 1.1022 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5730E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 18925.46 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 81 CALLS 988 TOTAL EDM= .11E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 2.3% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .34972E-08 1.5484 -.22625E-06** at limit ** 2 Prefactor .55511E-10 14.621 .15568E-05** at limit ** 3 norm .21871E-07 3.7715 .45313E-06** at limit ** 4 norm 7.0765 5.7402 .12792E-06 -.23540E-02 5 norm 4.5109 1.1923 .71833E-08 -.13295E-02 6 Prefactor 4.1461 5.5306 .13272E-06 -.28014E-02 7 norm 125.05 1.0731 .22845E-08 .25541E-01 8 Prefactor 6.4296 2.1217 -.45376E-07 .45920E-01 9 Prefactor 19.801 1.1599 .20690E-10 .75329E-01 10 Prefactor 11.989 2.3477 .13279E-06 -.11544 11 Prefactor .86878 5.1804 .51374E-06 .30917E-02 12 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.4028 -.45638E-06** at limit ** 13 Prefactor 17.016 1.0119 .67806E-08 .11632E-02 14 Normalizat .77132 .16772 .74359E-05 -.67112E-04 15 Prefactor 1.1022 .86388E-01 -.45019E-05 -.14585E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 3.4972e-09 Prefactor = 5.55112e-11 norm = 2.18714e-08 norm = 7.07648 norm = 4.51089 Prefactor = 4.1461 norm = 125.054 Prefactor = 6.42964 Prefactor = 19.8013 Prefactor = 11.9893 Prefactor = 0.868782 Prefactor = 1.66533e-10 Prefactor = 17.016 Normalizat = 0.771317 Prefactor = 1.10221 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 18925.46 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 220 CALLS 1208 TOTAL EDM= .39E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .34972E-08 1.5456 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Prefactor .55511E-10 14.699 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm .21871E-07 .57930 .42118E-02 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 4 norm 7.0765 5.8360 .37689E-03 -1.5655 5 norm 4.5109 1.1949 .47379E-03 -1.5665 6 Prefactor 4.1461 5.5518 .49476E-03 -1.5667 7 norm 125.05 17.111 .89430E-04 -1.5484 8 Prefactor 6.4296 9.9435 .39566E-03 -1.5657 9 Prefactor 19.801 21.066 .22483E-03 -1.5619 10 Prefactor 11.989 10.692 .28901E-03 -1.5639 11 Prefactor .86878 5.6102 .47986E-03 -1.5689 12 Prefactor .16653E-09 7.4220 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor 17.016 17.352 .24253E-03 -1.5625 14 Normalizat .77132 .14982 .89918E-01 -1.0114 15 Prefactor 1.1022 .74990E-01 .37504E-01 -.89396 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 3.86625e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000146596 2 6.76347e-05 3 0.000224992 4 5.83596 5 1.19492 6 5.55183 7 17.1106 8 9.94351 9 21.0662 10 10.692 11 4.41544 12 6.66492e-05 13 17.3519 14 0.149897 15 0.0749972 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 18925.4587345 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 6.430e+00 9.944e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 2.755e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 570 Prefactor: 1.102e+00 7.500e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 571 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 572 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 569 Normalization: 7.713e-01 1.499e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): 0.48 Ra Dec: 243.913 21.506 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 1.04114188507e-07 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00822187824447 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/40040994/likelihoodResults_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 18924.6305451 delta logL = 0.828189334399 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 18924.5923263 delta logL = 0.866408127196 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .97191E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 9.9945 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' .72616 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' 1.1229 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5730E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 18924.59 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 412 CALLS 892 TOTAL EDM= .65E-09 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .96346E-03 .80433E-03 .73570E-04** at limit ** 2 Index 10.0000 .91694 .50000 ** at limit ** 3 Normalizat .72634 .14986 .92433E-01 .23836E-03 4 Prefactor 1.1228 .75910E-01 .36776E-01 -.79055E-03 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.000963455 Index = 10 Normalizat = 0.726335 Prefactor = 1.12276 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 18924.59 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 35 CALLS 927 TOTAL EDM= .91E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .96346E-03 .81329E-03 .34000E-05 -1.5709 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 10.0000 1.0269 .50000 -4.7126 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 Normalizat .72634 .17341 .40952E-03 -2.1130 4 Prefactor 1.1228 .88321E-01 .17396E-03 -.88743 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 9.07676e-09 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 0.000813286 2 0.000640881 3 0.173542 4 0.0883323 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 18924.5922992 delta logL = 0.866435242697 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 9.635e-04 8.133e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 1.000e+01 6.409e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 570 Prefactor: 1.123e+00 8.833e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 571 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 572 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 569 Normalization: 7.263e-01 1.735e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): 2.33 Ra Dec: 243.913 21.506 Photon Index (Free Index): 10.00 +/- 0.00 Photon Flux (Free Index): 5.62e-08 +/- 4.60e-08 Energy Flux (Free Index): 6.28e-06 +/- 5.17e-06 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/40040994/cmap_HighResolution_812332801_812937601_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin948.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='8.22e-03', comment='SUCCESS', energy_flux2='6.28e-06', dlogl='8.66e-01', photon_flux2='5.62e-08', job_status='DONE', time_completed='2026-10-06 13:10:26.613504', photon_index_error2='0.00', photon_index2='10.00', ts='0.48', fit_tolerance='1e-08', GAL='1.10', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_flux_upper_limit='1.04e-07', energy_flux_error2='5.17e-06', EG='0.77', time_epoch_completed='1791317426.61', return_code='0', job_id='40040994', GAL2='1.12', EG2='0.73', return_code2='0', photon_flux_error2='4.60e-08', ts2='2.33', photon_index='2.76' WHERE bin_id='948' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+2130' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Tue Oct 6 13:10:26 PDT 2026