/sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/pyfits/__init__.py:22: PyFITSDeprecationWarning: PyFITS is deprecated, please use astropy.io.fits PyFITSDeprecationWarning) # noqa Likelihood Analysis Tool Support Contact: Daniel Kocevski (daniel.kocevski@nasa.gov) Importing modules... This is make3FGLxml version 01r0. The default diffuse model files and names are for pass 8 and assume you have v10r00p05 of the Fermi Science Tools or higher. This is make4FGLDR3xml version 01r09. The default diffuse model files and names are for P8R3, 4FGL DRs, and the default fermitools directory locations. WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). /sdf/group/fermi/u/kocevski/software/conda/envs/fermitools_v1.0.5/lib/python2.7/site-packages/matplotlib/cbook/deprecation.py:106: MatplotlibDeprecationWarning: The mpl_toolkits.axes_grid module was deprecated in version 2.1. Use mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1 and mpl_toolkits.axisartist provies the same functionality instead. warnings.warn(message, mplDeprecation, stacklevel=1) WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). number of points = 17538 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934 RA = 243.913, Dec = 21.5064 tmin = 803865601, tmax = 804470401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31173638', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-09 20:45:15.769942', time_epoch_executed='1783655115.77' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1615.6+2130' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='934' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173638 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173638/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=803865601.0 && nMetStart<804470401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=803865601.0 && nMetStart<804470401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 109 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=803865601.0 && nMetStart<804470401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 109 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits ra=243.913 dec=21.5064 rad=12.0 tmin=803865601.0 tmax=804470401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.50 user 2.80 sys 0.21 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.23 user 0.21 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1695 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits sctable="SC_DATA"number of points = 17538 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. number of points = 17538 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934 RA = 243.913, Dec = 21.5064 tmin = 803865601, tmax = 804470401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31173686', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-09 20:46:15.027000', time_epoch_executed='1783655175.03' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1615.6+2130' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='934' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173686 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173686/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=803865601.0 && nMetStart<804470401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=803865601.0 && nMetStart<804470401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 109 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=803865601.0 && nMetStart<804470401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 109 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits ra=243.913 dec=21.5064 rad=12.0 tmin=803865601.0 tmax=804470401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.24 user 2.54 sys 0.18 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.82 user 0.18 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1695 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits sctable="SC_DATA"Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934 RA = 243.913, Dec = 21.5064 tmin = 803865601, tmax = 804470401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31173670', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-09 20:46:15.936794', time_epoch_executed='1783655175.94' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1615.6+2130' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='934' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173670 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173670/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=803865601.0 && nMetStart<804470401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=803865601.0 && nMetStart<804470401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 109 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=803865601.0 && nMetStart<804470401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 109 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits ra=243.913 dec=21.5064 rad=12.0 tmin=803865601.0 tmax=804470401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.71 user 2.85 sys 0.23 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.85 user 0.20 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1695 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits .....................! real 18.52 user 17.71 sys 0.22 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/expmap_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits .....................! real 67.39 user 62.59 sys 3.90 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 175 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1615.6+2130 @ 243.913 21.5064 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/cmap_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.913 yref=21.5064 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.91 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/cmap_HighResolution_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.913 yref=21.5064 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.85 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcnumber of points = 17538 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits .....................! real 17.82 user 17.04 sys 0.23 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/expmap_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits .....................! real 59.52 user 55.54 sys 3.39 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 175 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1615.6+2130 @ 243.913 21.5064 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/cmap_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.913 yref=21.5064 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.90 user 0.20 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/cmap_HighResolution_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.913 yref=21.5064 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.81 user 0.20 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcDone. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934 RA = 243.913, Dec = 21.5064 tmin = 803865601, tmax = 804470401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31173776', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-09 20:48:16.770697', time_epoch_executed='1783655296.77' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1615.6+2130' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='934' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173776 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173776/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=803865601.0 && nMetStart<804470401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=803865601.0 && nMetStart<804470401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 109 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=803865601.0 && nMetStart<804470401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 109 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits ra=243.913 dec=21.5064 rad=12.0 tmin=803865601.0 tmax=804470401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.79 user 3.04 sys 0.22 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 0.87 user 0.22 sys 0.13 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1695 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits sctable="SC_DATA" outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits .....................! real 19.11 user 18.31 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/expmap_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits .....................! real 68.18 user 63.43 sys 4.01 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 175 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1615.6+2130 @ 243.913 21.5064 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/cmap_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.913 yref=21.5064 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.91 user 0.24 sys 0.12 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/cmap_HighResolution_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.913 yref=21.5064 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.85 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcnumber of points = 17538 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits.....................! real 52.64 user 50.54 sys 1.37 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/expmap_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31173638/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+2130' 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 3.532e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 2.755e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31173638/expmap_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31173638/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31173638/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 19211.7679168 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 19211.7464303 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 1.8212 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .52610E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.2476 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 4.1040 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 2.0176 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10068E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 73.213 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .18786E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .20183E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .29063 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 12.973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .31113E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .33657E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' 1.1560 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' .86440 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5730E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 19211.75 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 86 CALLS 802 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.8% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.8201 1.2506 .67046E-06 -.37492E-02 2 Prefactor .60507E-08 8.1897 -.31013E-05** at limit ** 3 norm 1.2474 1.8638 .55647E-06 -.49224E-02 4 norm 4.0774 6.5203 .15282E-05 .68615E-02 5 norm 2.0181 1.0873 -.26089E-06 .73064E-02 6 Prefactor .0000 3.5992 .29289E-05** at limit ** 7 norm 73.015 1.3820 -.18099E-06 -.60971E-01 8 Prefactor .23870E-08 49.472 -.10386E-04** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .41700E-06 4.7133 -.55011E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .84506E-01 1.3739 -.37156E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 12.988 4.6321 .64351E-06 .11641E-01 12 Prefactor .46907E-07 19.630 -.15260E-04** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .38486E-06 5.3723 -.58100E-05** at limit ** 14 Normalizat 1.1567 .14949 -.14279E-04 .13095E-02 15 Prefactor .86440 .78631E-01 .15477E-05 .18827E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.82006 Prefactor = 6.05072e-09 norm = 1.2474 norm = 4.07738 norm = 2.01812 Prefactor = 0 norm = 73.015 Prefactor = 2.38698e-09 Prefactor = 4.17e-07 Prefactor = 0.084506 Prefactor = 12.9885 Prefactor = 4.69069e-08 Prefactor = 3.84859e-07 Normalizat = 1.15666 Prefactor = 0.864395 Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934 RA = 243.913, Dec = 21.5064 tmin = 803865601, tmax = 804470401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31173811', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-09 20:49:17.365160', time_epoch_executed='1783655357.37' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1615.6+2130' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='934' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173811 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173811/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=803865601.0 && nMetStart<804470401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=803865601.0 && nMetStart<804470401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 109 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=803865601.0 && nMetStart<804470401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 109 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits ra=243.913 dec=21.5064 rad=12.0 tmin=803865601.0 tmax=804470401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 3.65 user 2.92 sys 0.24 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.11 user 0.20 sys 0.14 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1695 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 19211.75 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 222 CALLS 1024 TOTAL EDM= .12E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.8201 1.2640 .77345E-03 -1.5681 2 Prefactor .60507E-08 8.2265 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm 1.2474 1.9023 .10016E-02 -1.5686 4 norm 4.0774 6.6585 .49739E-03 -1.5668 5 norm 2.0181 1.0885 .72837E-03 -1.5680 6 Prefactor .0000 3.5912 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 73.015 19.194 .11688E-03 -1.5537 8 Prefactor .23870E-08 2.3452 .13270E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .41700E-06 9.8901 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .84506E-01 4.0386 .10344E-01 -1.5702 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 12.988 4.6728 .27785E-03 -1.5636 12 Prefactor .46907E-07 19.762 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38486E-06 10.132 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Normalizat 1.1567 .12859 .69822E-01 -.87953 15 Prefactor .86440 .65963E-01 .44550E-01 -.97397 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.21053e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.264 2 0.000446928 3 1.9023 4 6.65847 5 1.08847 6 1.2451e-05 7 19.1943 8 0.00015008 9 0.00406163 10 1.1684 11 4.67278 12 0.00192539 13 0.00394934 14 0.128625 15 0.0659695 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits.....................! real 45.59 user 44.13 sys 0.63 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/expmap_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31173686/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+2130' 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 3.532e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 2.755e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31173686/expmap_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31173686/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31173686/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 19211.7679168 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 19211.7464303 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 1.8212 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .52610E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.2476 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 4.1040 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 2.0176 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10068E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 73.213 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .18786E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .20183E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .29063 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 12.973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .31113E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .33657E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' 1.1560 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' .86440 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5730E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 19211.75 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 86 CALLS 802 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.8% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.8201 1.2506 .67046E-06 -.37492E-02 2 Prefactor .60507E-08 8.1897 -.31013E-05** at limit ** 3 norm 1.2474 1.8638 .55647E-06 -.49224E-02 4 norm 4.0774 6.5203 .15282E-05 .68615E-02 5 norm 2.0181 1.0873 -.26089E-06 .73064E-02 6 Prefactor .0000 3.5992 .29289E-05** at limit ** 7 norm 73.015 1.3820 -.18099E-06 -.60971E-01 8 Prefactor .23870E-08 49.472 -.10386E-04** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .41700E-06 4.7133 -.55011E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .84506E-01 1.3739 -.37156E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 12.988 4.6321 .64351E-06 .11641E-01 12 Prefactor .46907E-07 19.630 -.15260E-04** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .38486E-06 5.3723 -.58100E-05** at limit ** 14 Normalizat 1.1567 .14949 -.14279E-04 .13095E-02 15 Prefactor .86440 .78631E-01 .15477E-05 .18827E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.82006 Prefactor = 6.05072e-09 norm = 1.2474 norm = 4.07738 norm = 2.01812 Prefactor = 0 norm = 73.015 Prefactor = 2.38698e-09 Prefactor = 4.17e-07 Prefactor = 0.084506 Prefactor = 12.9885 Prefactor = 4.69069e-08 Prefactor = 3.84859e-07 Normalizat = 1.15666 Prefactor = 0.864395 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 19211.75 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 222 CALLS 1024 TOTAL EDM= .12E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.8201 1.2640 .77345E-03 -1.5681 2 Prefactor .60507E-08 8.2265 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm 1.2474 1.9023 .10016E-02 -1.5686 4 norm 4.0774 6.6585 .49739E-03 -1.5668 5 norm 2.0181 1.0885 .72837E-03 -1.5680 6 Prefactor .0000 3.5912 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 73.015 19.194 .11688E-03 -1.5537 8 Prefactor .23870E-08 2.3452 .13270E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .41700E-06 9.8901 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .84506E-01 4.0386 .10344E-01 -1.5702 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 12.988 4.6728 .27785E-03 -1.5636 12 Prefactor .46907E-07 19.762 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38486E-06 10.132 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Normalizat 1.1567 .12859 .69822E-01 -.87953 15 Prefactor .86440 .65963E-01 .44550E-01 -.97397 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.21053e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.264 2 0.000446928 3 1.9023 4 6.65847 5 1.08847 6 1.2451e-05 7 19.1943 8 0.00015008 9 0.00406163 10 1.1684 11 4.67278 12 0.00192539 13 0.00394934 14 0.128625 15 0.0659695 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits.....................! real 54.15 user 51.94 sys 1.33 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/expmap_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31173670/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+2130' 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 3.532e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 2.755e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31173670/expmap_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31173670/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31173670/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 19211.7679168 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 19211.7464303 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 1.8212 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .52610E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.2476 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 4.1040 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 2.0176 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10068E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 73.213 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .18786E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .20183E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .29063 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 12.973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .31113E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .33657E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' 1.1560 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' .86440 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5730E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 19211.75 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 86 CALLS 802 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.8% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.8201 1.2506 .67046E-06 -.37492E-02 2 Prefactor .60507E-08 8.1897 -.31013E-05** at limit ** 3 norm 1.2474 1.8638 .55647E-06 -.49224E-02 4 norm 4.0774 6.5203 .15282E-05 .68615E-02 5 norm 2.0181 1.0873 -.26089E-06 .73064E-02 6 Prefactor .0000 3.5992 .29289E-05** at limit ** 7 norm 73.015 1.3820 -.18099E-06 -.60971E-01 8 Prefactor .23870E-08 49.472 -.10386E-04** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .41700E-06 4.7133 -.55011E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .84506E-01 1.3739 -.37156E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 12.988 4.6321 .64351E-06 .11641E-01 12 Prefactor .46907E-07 19.630 -.15260E-04** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .38486E-06 5.3723 -.58100E-05** at limit ** 14 Normalizat 1.1567 .14949 -.14279E-04 .13095E-02 15 Prefactor .86440 .78631E-01 .15477E-05 .18827E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.82006 Prefactor = 6.05072e-09 norm = 1.2474 norm = 4.07738 norm = 2.01812 Prefactor = 0 norm = 73.015 Prefactor = 2.38698e-09 Prefactor = 4.17e-07 Prefactor = 0.084506 Prefactor = 12.9885 Prefactor = 4.69069e-08 Prefactor = 3.84859e-07 Normalizat = 1.15666 Prefactor = 0.864395 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 19211.7452669 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 2.387e-09 1.501e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 2.755e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 570 Prefactor: 8.644e-01 6.597e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 571 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 572 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 569 Normalization: 1.157e+00 1.286e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.913 21.506 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.02747913277e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00554958729676 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173638/likelihoodResults_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 19211.6211449 delta logL = 0.124122005625 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 19211.5238478 delta logL = 0.221419063138 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .22241 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 5.5856 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1274 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87299 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5730E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 19211.52 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 277 TOTAL EDM= .43E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .22284 1.2899 .20993E-02** at limit ** 2 Index 5.5861 1.5017 .43645 .14376E-03 3 Normalizat 1.1277 .12163E-01 .70607E-01 .64801E-04 4 Prefactor .87292 .64281E-02 .44660E-01 .32247E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.222843 Index = 5.58607 Normalizat = 1.12767 Prefactor = 0.872917 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 19211.52 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 35 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .41E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .22284 24.146 .83364E-04 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 5.5861 6.0170 .11276E-01 .11748 3 Normalizat 1.1277 .89199E-01 .31242E-03 -.88868 4 Prefactor .87292 .45791E-01 .18429E-03 -.97094 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 4.13747e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.63928 2 14.7242 3 0.0892112 4 0.0457934 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 19211.5238435 delta logL = 0.221423367166 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 2.228e-01 4.639e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 5.586e+00 1.472e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 570 Prefactor: 8.729e-01 4.579e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 571 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 572 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 569 Normalization: 1.128e+00 8.921e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.913 21.506 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31173638/cmap_HighResolution_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.55e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.03e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 20:55:33.970054', job_id='31173638', GAL2='0.87', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.13', EG='1.16', time_epoch_completed='1783655733.97', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.86', dlogl='2.21e-01', ts2='0.47', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.76' WHERE bin_id='934' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+2130' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 20:55:34 PDT 2026 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 19211.75 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 222 CALLS 1024 TOTAL EDM= .12E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.8201 1.2640 .77345E-03 -1.5681 2 Prefactor .60507E-08 8.2265 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm 1.2474 1.9023 .10016E-02 -1.5686 4 norm 4.0774 6.6585 .49739E-03 -1.5668 5 norm 2.0181 1.0885 .72837E-03 -1.5680 6 Prefactor .0000 3.5912 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 73.015 19.194 .11688E-03 -1.5537 8 Prefactor .23870E-08 2.3452 .13270E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .41700E-06 9.8901 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .84506E-01 4.0386 .10344E-01 -1.5702 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 12.988 4.6728 .27785E-03 -1.5636 12 Prefactor .46907E-07 19.762 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38486E-06 10.132 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Normalizat 1.1567 .12859 .69822E-01 -.87953 15 Prefactor .86440 .65963E-01 .44550E-01 -.97397 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.21053e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.264 2 0.000446928 3 1.9023 4 6.65847 5 1.08847 6 1.2451e-05 7 19.1943 8 0.00015008 9 0.00406163 10 1.1684 11 4.67278 12 0.00192539 13 0.00394934 14 0.128625 15 0.0659695 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits .....................! real 20.01 user 19.02 sys 0.26 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/expmap_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits .....................! real 71.22 user 66.29 sys 4.08 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 175 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1615.6+2130 @ 243.913 21.5064 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/cmap_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.913 yref=21.5064 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.83 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/cmap_HighResolution_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.913 yref=21.5064 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.95 user 0.24 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcnumber of points = 17538 number of fields = 31 RA_SUN column already exists. File will not be modified. Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 19211.7452669 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 2.387e-09 1.501e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 2.755e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 570 Prefactor: 8.644e-01 6.597e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 571 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 572 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 569 Normalization: 1.157e+00 1.286e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.913 21.506 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.02747913277e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00554958729676 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173686/likelihoodResults_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 19211.6211449 delta logL = 0.124122005625 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 19211.5238478 delta logL = 0.221419063138 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .22241 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 5.5856 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1274 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87299 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5730E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 19211.52 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 277 TOTAL EDM= .43E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .22284 1.2899 .20993E-02** at limit ** 2 Index 5.5861 1.5017 .43645 .14376E-03 3 Normalizat 1.1277 .12163E-01 .70607E-01 .64801E-04 4 Prefactor .87292 .64281E-02 .44660E-01 .32247E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.222843 Index = 5.58607 Normalizat = 1.12767 Prefactor = 0.872917 Done. Performing analysis on: 4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934 RA = 243.913, Dec = 21.5064 tmin = 803865601, tmax = 804470401 emin = 100.0, emax = 100000.0 irfs = P8R3_SOURCE_V2 ROI = 12 zmax = 90 Fitting strategies: Fix sources to their catalog values = True Leave variable source normalizations free = True Perform pre-fit where ALL sources are frozen to catalog values = False Perform secondary fit with a free spectral index = True Remove all catalog sources = False Remove weak (TS < 2) catalog sources = False Freeze Galactic component = False Likelihood fit parameters: Statistic: UNBINNED Optimizer: MINUIT Catalog: 4FGL Repository job = True LAT data source: Data catalog Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET job_id='31173870', job_status='RUN', time_executed='2026-07-09 20:49:31.487520', time_epoch_executed='1783655371.49' WHERE source_name='4FGL J1615.6+2130' and cadence='weekly' and bin_id='934' Database successfully updated. Done. Creating custom output directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173870 Creating custom pfile directory: /lscratch/kocevski/31173870/pfiles/ Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStop>=803865601.0 && nMetStart<804470401.0' /Data/Flight/Reprocess/P305 Issuing command: datacat find --group FT1 --filter 'nMetStart>564945418 && nMetStop>=803865601.0 && nMetStart<804470401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 109 files... Done. Merging files... Checksum keywords updated successfully. Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Retrieving the FT1 file... Issuing command: datacat find --group FT2 --filter 'nMetStop>=803865601.0 && nMetStart<804470401.0' /Data/Flight/Level1/LPA Retrieving 109 files... Done. Merging files... Merged file saved to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Selecting the photons: time -p gtselect infile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ft1_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits ra=243.913 dec=21.5064 rad=12.0 tmin=803865601.0 tmax=804470401.0 emin=100.0 emax=100000.0 zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 evclass=128 evtype="INDEF" convtype=-1 phasemin=0.0 phasemax=1.0 evtable="EVENTS" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Done. real 4.65 user 2.95 sys 0.19 Adding sun position to ft2 file: /sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Repository/bin/sunpos /lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Selecting the good time intervals: time -p gtmktime scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits sctable="SC_DATA" filter="IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2))" roicut=no evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ft1_filteredMKT_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits evtable="EVENTS" outfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits" apply_filter=yes overwrite=yes header_obstimes=yes tstart=0.0 tstop=0.0 gtifile="default" chatter=3 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtmktime version HEAD Applying GTI filter: IN_SAA!=T && LIVETIME>0 && gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nogrb.gti',(START+STOP)/2) && (angsep(RA_SUN,DEC_SUN,RA_ZENITH,DEC_ZENITH)>115 || gtifilter('/sdf/group/fermi/g/LCRepository/Likelihood/GTIs/nosolarflares.gti',(START+STOP)/2)) real 1.77 user 0.24 sys 0.18 Number of photons that the gtmktime cut: 1695 Generating the livetime cube: time -p gtltcube evfile="/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits" evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits sctable="SC_DATA" ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 19211.52 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 35 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .41E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .22284 24.146 .83364E-04 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 5.5861 6.0170 .11276E-01 .11748 3 Normalizat 1.1277 .89199E-01 .31242E-03 -.88868 4 Prefactor .87292 .45791E-01 .18429E-03 -.97094 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 4.13747e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.63928 2 14.7242 3 0.0892112 4 0.0457934 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 19211.5238435 delta logL = 0.221423367166 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 2.228e-01 4.639e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 5.586e+00 1.472e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 570 Prefactor: 8.729e-01 4.579e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 571 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 572 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 569 Normalization: 1.128e+00 8.921e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.913 21.506 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31173686/cmap_HighResolution_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.55e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.03e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 20:56:01.276300', job_id='31173686', GAL2='0.87', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.13', EG='1.16', time_epoch_completed='1783655761.28', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.86', dlogl='2.21e-01', ts2='0.47', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.76' WHERE bin_id='934' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+2130' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 20:56:01 PDT 2026 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits .....................! real 19.21 user 18.26 sys 0.25 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/expmap_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits .....................! real 68.52 user 63.79 sys 3.93 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 175 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1615.6+2130 @ 243.913 21.5064 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/cmap_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.913 yref=21.5064 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.83 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/cmap_HighResolution_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.913 yref=21.5064 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 0.79 user 0.23 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 19211.7452669 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 2.387e-09 1.501e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 2.755e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 570 Prefactor: 8.644e-01 6.597e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 571 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 572 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 569 Normalization: 1.157e+00 1.286e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.913 21.506 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.02747913277e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00554958729676 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173670/likelihoodResults_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 19211.6211449 delta logL = 0.124122005625 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 19211.5238478 delta logL = 0.221419063138 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .22241 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 5.5856 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1274 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87299 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5730E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 19211.52 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 277 TOTAL EDM= .43E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .22284 1.2899 .20993E-02** at limit ** 2 Index 5.5861 1.5017 .43645 .14376E-03 3 Normalizat 1.1277 .12163E-01 .70607E-01 .64801E-04 4 Prefactor .87292 .64281E-02 .44660E-01 .32247E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.222843 Index = 5.58607 Normalizat = 1.12767 Prefactor = 0.872917 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 19211.52 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 35 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .41E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .22284 24.146 .83364E-04 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 5.5861 6.0170 .11276E-01 .11748 3 Normalizat 1.1277 .89199E-01 .31242E-03 -.88868 4 Prefactor .87292 .45791E-01 .18429E-03 -.97094 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 4.13747e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.63928 2 14.7242 3 0.0892112 4 0.0457934 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 19211.5238435 delta logL = 0.221423367166 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 2.228e-01 4.639e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 5.586e+00 1.472e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 570 Prefactor: 8.729e-01 4.579e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 571 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 572 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 569 Normalization: 1.128e+00 8.921e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.913 21.506 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31173670/cmap_HighResolution_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.55e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.03e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 20:56:51.917616', job_id='31173670', GAL2='0.87', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.13', EG='1.16', time_epoch_completed='1783655811.92', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.86', dlogl='2.21e-01', ts2='0.47', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.76' WHERE bin_id='934' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+2130' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 20:56:52 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits.....................! real 55.15 user 52.83 sys 1.18 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/expmap_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31173776/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+2130' 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 3.532e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 2.755e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31173776/expmap_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31173776/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31173776/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 19211.7679168 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 19211.7464303 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 1.8212 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .52610E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.2476 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 4.1040 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 2.0176 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10068E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 73.213 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .18786E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .20183E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .29063 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 12.973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .31113E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .33657E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' 1.1560 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' .86440 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5730E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 19211.75 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 86 CALLS 802 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.8% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.8201 1.2506 .67046E-06 -.37492E-02 2 Prefactor .60507E-08 8.1897 -.31013E-05** at limit ** 3 norm 1.2474 1.8638 .55647E-06 -.49224E-02 4 norm 4.0774 6.5203 .15282E-05 .68615E-02 5 norm 2.0181 1.0873 -.26089E-06 .73064E-02 6 Prefactor .0000 3.5992 .29289E-05** at limit ** 7 norm 73.015 1.3820 -.18099E-06 -.60971E-01 8 Prefactor .23870E-08 49.472 -.10386E-04** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .41700E-06 4.7133 -.55011E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .84506E-01 1.3739 -.37156E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 12.988 4.6321 .64351E-06 .11641E-01 12 Prefactor .46907E-07 19.630 -.15260E-04** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .38486E-06 5.3723 -.58100E-05** at limit ** 14 Normalizat 1.1567 .14949 -.14279E-04 .13095E-02 15 Prefactor .86440 .78631E-01 .15477E-05 .18827E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.82006 Prefactor = 6.05072e-09 norm = 1.2474 norm = 4.07738 norm = 2.01812 Prefactor = 0 norm = 73.015 Prefactor = 2.38698e-09 Prefactor = 4.17e-07 Prefactor = 0.084506 Prefactor = 12.9885 Prefactor = 4.69069e-08 Prefactor = 3.84859e-07 Normalizat = 1.15666 Prefactor = 0.864395 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 19211.75 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 222 CALLS 1024 TOTAL EDM= .12E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.8201 1.2640 .77345E-03 -1.5681 2 Prefactor .60507E-08 8.2265 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm 1.2474 1.9023 .10016E-02 -1.5686 4 norm 4.0774 6.6585 .49739E-03 -1.5668 5 norm 2.0181 1.0885 .72837E-03 -1.5680 6 Prefactor .0000 3.5912 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 73.015 19.194 .11688E-03 -1.5537 8 Prefactor .23870E-08 2.3452 .13270E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .41700E-06 9.8901 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .84506E-01 4.0386 .10344E-01 -1.5702 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 12.988 4.6728 .27785E-03 -1.5636 12 Prefactor .46907E-07 19.762 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38486E-06 10.132 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Normalizat 1.1567 .12859 .69822E-01 -.87953 15 Prefactor .86440 .65963E-01 .44550E-01 -.97397 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.21053e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.264 2 0.000446928 3 1.9023 4 6.65847 5 1.08847 6 1.2451e-05 7 19.1943 8 0.00015008 9 0.00406163 10 1.1684 11 4.67278 12 0.00192539 13 0.00394934 14 0.128625 15 0.0659695 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits.....................! real 52.32 user 50.29 sys 1.29 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/expmap_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31173811/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+2130' 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 3.532e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 2.755e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31173811/expmap_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31173811/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31173811/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 19211.7679168 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 19211.7464303 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 1.8212 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .52610E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.2476 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 4.1040 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 2.0176 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10068E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 73.213 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .18786E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .20183E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .29063 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 12.973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .31113E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .33657E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' 1.1560 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' .86440 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5730E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 19211.75 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 86 CALLS 802 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.8% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.8201 1.2506 .67046E-06 -.37492E-02 2 Prefactor .60507E-08 8.1897 -.31013E-05** at limit ** 3 norm 1.2474 1.8638 .55647E-06 -.49224E-02 4 norm 4.0774 6.5203 .15282E-05 .68615E-02 5 norm 2.0181 1.0873 -.26089E-06 .73064E-02 6 Prefactor .0000 3.5992 .29289E-05** at limit ** 7 norm 73.015 1.3820 -.18099E-06 -.60971E-01 8 Prefactor .23870E-08 49.472 -.10386E-04** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .41700E-06 4.7133 -.55011E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .84506E-01 1.3739 -.37156E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 12.988 4.6321 .64351E-06 .11641E-01 12 Prefactor .46907E-07 19.630 -.15260E-04** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .38486E-06 5.3723 -.58100E-05** at limit ** 14 Normalizat 1.1567 .14949 -.14279E-04 .13095E-02 15 Prefactor .86440 .78631E-01 .15477E-05 .18827E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.82006 Prefactor = 6.05072e-09 norm = 1.2474 norm = 4.07738 norm = 2.01812 Prefactor = 0 norm = 73.015 Prefactor = 2.38698e-09 Prefactor = 4.17e-07 Prefactor = 0.084506 Prefactor = 12.9885 Prefactor = 4.69069e-08 Prefactor = 3.84859e-07 Normalizat = 1.15666 Prefactor = 0.864395 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 19211.75 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 222 CALLS 1024 TOTAL EDM= .12E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.8201 1.2640 .77345E-03 -1.5681 2 Prefactor .60507E-08 8.2265 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm 1.2474 1.9023 .10016E-02 -1.5686 4 norm 4.0774 6.6585 .49739E-03 -1.5668 5 norm 2.0181 1.0885 .72837E-03 -1.5680 6 Prefactor .0000 3.5912 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 73.015 19.194 .11688E-03 -1.5537 8 Prefactor .23870E-08 2.3452 .13270E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .41700E-06 9.8901 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .84506E-01 4.0386 .10344E-01 -1.5702 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 12.988 4.6728 .27785E-03 -1.5636 12 Prefactor .46907E-07 19.762 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38486E-06 10.132 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Normalizat 1.1567 .12859 .69822E-01 -.87953 15 Prefactor .86440 .65963E-01 .44550E-01 -.97397 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.21053e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.264 2 0.000446928 3 1.9023 4 6.65847 5 1.08847 6 1.2451e-05 7 19.1943 8 0.00015008 9 0.00406163 10 1.1684 11 4.67278 12 0.00192539 13 0.00394934 14 0.128625 15 0.0659695 outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits dcostheta=0.025 binsz=1.0 phibins=0 tmin=0.0 tmax=0.0 file_version="1" zmin=0.0 zmax=90.0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). Working on file /lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits .....................! real 22.29 user 20.94 sys 0.24 Generating the exposure map: time -p gtexpmap evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits sctable="SC_DATA" expcube=/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/expmap_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evtype="INDEF" srcrad=30.0 nlong=88 nlat=88 nenergies=10 submap=no nlongmin=0 nlongmax=0 nlatmin=0 nlatmax=0 chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). The exposure maps generated by this tool are meant to be used for *unbinned* likelihood analysis only. Do not use them for binned analyses. Computing the ExposureMap using /lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits .....................! real 77.91 user 71.04 sys 4.56 Generating the xml model: radLim = 0.001 maxRad = 12 normsOnly = True freeVariableSources = True Fixing all sources to their catalog values, except variable sources Creating file and adding sources from 4FGL Added 175 point sources and 0 extended sources Setting source of interest to: 4FGL J1615.6+2130 @ 243.913 21.5064 Creating the counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/cmap_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=160 nypix=160 binsz=0.25 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.913 yref=21.5064 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.38 user 0.29 sys 0.13 Creating the high resolution counts map: time -p gtbin evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits outfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/cmap_HighResolution_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits algorithm="CMAP" ebinalg="LOG" emin=30.0 emax=200000.0 ebinfile=NONE tbinalg="LIN" tbinfile=NONE nxpix=500 nypix=500 binsz=0.1 coordsys="CEL" xref=243.913 yref=21.5064 axisrot=0.0 rafield="RA" decfield="DEC" proj="AIT" hpx_ordering_scheme="RING" hpx_order=3 hpx_ebin=yes hpx_region="" evtable="EVENTS" sctable="SC_DATA" efield="ENERGY" tfield="TIME" chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). This is gtbin version HEAD real 1.30 user 0.25 sys 0.13 Computing the diffuse response: time -p gtdiffrsp evfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits evtable="EVENTS" scfile=/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits sctable="SC_DATA" srcmdl=/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.xml irfs="P8R3_SOURCE_V2" evclsmin=0 evclass="INDEF" evtype="INDEF" convert=yes chatter=2 clobber=yes debug=no gui=no mode="ql" WARNING: version mismatch between CFITSIO header (v3.43) and linked library (v3.41). adding source EG_v02 adding sourcDone. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 19211.7452669 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 2.387e-09 1.501e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 2.755e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 570 Prefactor: 8.644e-01 6.597e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 571 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 572 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 569 Normalization: 1.157e+00 1.286e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.913 21.506 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.02747913277e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00554958729676 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173776/likelihoodResults_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 19211.6211449 delta logL = 0.124122005625 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 19211.5238478 delta logL = 0.221419063138 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .22241 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 5.5856 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1274 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87299 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5730E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 19211.52 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 277 TOTAL EDM= .43E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .22284 1.2899 .20993E-02** at limit ** 2 Index 5.5861 1.5017 .43645 .14376E-03 3 Normalizat 1.1277 .12163E-01 .70607E-01 .64801E-04 4 Prefactor .87292 .64281E-02 .44660E-01 .32247E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.222843 Index = 5.58607 Normalizat = 1.12767 Prefactor = 0.872917 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 19211.52 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 35 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .41E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .22284 24.146 .83364E-04 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 5.5861 6.0170 .11276E-01 .11748 3 Normalizat 1.1277 .89199E-01 .31242E-03 -.88868 4 Prefactor .87292 .45791E-01 .18429E-03 -.97094 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 4.13747e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.63928 2 14.7242 3 0.0892112 4 0.0457934 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 19211.5238435 delta logL = 0.221423367166 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 2.228e-01 4.639e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 5.586e+00 1.472e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 570 Prefactor: 8.729e-01 4.579e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 571 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 572 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 569 Normalization: 1.128e+00 8.921e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.913 21.506 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31173776/cmap_HighResolution_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.55e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.03e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 20:59:07.973534', job_id='31173776', GAL2='0.87', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.13', EG='1.16', time_epoch_completed='1783655947.97', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.86', dlogl='2.21e-01', ts2='0.47', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.76' WHERE bin_id='934' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+2130' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 20:59:08 PDT 2026 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 19211.7452669 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 2.387e-09 1.501e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 2.755e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 570 Prefactor: 8.644e-01 6.597e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 571 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 572 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 569 Normalization: 1.157e+00 1.286e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.913 21.506 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.02747913277e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00554958729676 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173811/likelihoodResults_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 19211.6211449 delta logL = 0.124122005625 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 19211.5238478 delta logL = 0.221419063138 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .22241 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 5.5856 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1274 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87299 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5730E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 19211.52 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 277 TOTAL EDM= .43E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .22284 1.2899 .20993E-02** at limit ** 2 Index 5.5861 1.5017 .43645 .14376E-03 3 Normalizat 1.1277 .12163E-01 .70607E-01 .64801E-04 4 Prefactor .87292 .64281E-02 .44660E-01 .32247E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.222843 Index = 5.58607 Normalizat = 1.12767 Prefactor = 0.872917 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 19211.52 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 35 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .41E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .22284 24.146 .83364E-04 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 5.5861 6.0170 .11276E-01 .11748 3 Normalizat 1.1277 .89199E-01 .31242E-03 -.88868 4 Prefactor .87292 .45791E-01 .18429E-03 -.97094 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 4.13747e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.63928 2 14.7242 3 0.0892112 4 0.0457934 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 19211.5238435 delta logL = 0.221423367166 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 2.228e-01 4.639e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 5.586e+00 1.472e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 570 Prefactor: 8.729e-01 4.579e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 571 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 572 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 569 Normalization: 1.128e+00 8.921e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.913 21.506 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31173811/cmap_HighResolution_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.55e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.03e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 20:59:31.496543', job_id='31173811', GAL2='0.87', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.13', EG='1.16', time_epoch_completed='1783655971.5', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.86', dlogl='2.21e-01', ts2='0.47', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.76' WHERE bin_id='934' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+2130' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 20:59:31 PDT 2026 e GAL_V02 Working on... /lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits.....................! real 60.53 user 56.65 sys 0.94 Creating the likelihood object... obs = UnbinnedObs('/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits', '/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits', expMap='/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/expmap_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits', expCube='/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits', irfs='P8R3_SOURCE_V2') like = UnbinnedAnalysis(obs, '/lscratch/kocevski/31173870/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.xml', optimizer='MINUIT') Using source of interest name: '4FGL J1615.6+2130' 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 3.532e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 2.755e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed Likelihood Fit Parameters: Event file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ft1_filtered_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Spacecraft file(s): /lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ft2_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Exposure map: /lscratch/kocevski/31173870/expmap_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits Exposure cube: /lscratch/kocevski/31173870/ltcube_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.fits IRFs: P8R3_SOURCE_V2 Source model file: /lscratch/kocevski/31173870/Model_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.xml Optimizer: MINUIT Statistic: UNBINNED Performing an iterative likelihood fit... Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 19211.7679168 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 19211.7464303 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' 1.8212 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Prefactor ' .52610E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 3 'norm ' 1.2476 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 4 'norm ' 4.1040 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 5 'norm ' 2.0176 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 6 'Prefactor ' .10068E-05 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 7 'norm ' 73.213 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 8 'Prefactor ' .18786E-01 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 9 'Prefactor ' .20183E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 10 'Prefactor ' .29063 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 11 'Prefactor ' 12.973 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 12 'Prefactor ' .31113E-03 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 13 'Prefactor ' .33657E-02 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 14 'Normalizat' 1.1560 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 15 'Prefactor ' .86440 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5730E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. FCN= 19211.75 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 86 CALLS 802 TOTAL EDM= .16E-08 STRATEGY=1 ERROR MATRIX UNCERTAINTY= 1.8% EXT PARAMETER STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor 1.8201 1.2506 .67046E-06 -.37492E-02 2 Prefactor .60507E-08 8.1897 -.31013E-05** at limit ** 3 norm 1.2474 1.8638 .55647E-06 -.49224E-02 4 norm 4.0774 6.5203 .15282E-05 .68615E-02 5 norm 2.0181 1.0873 -.26089E-06 .73064E-02 6 Prefactor .0000 3.5992 .29289E-05** at limit ** 7 norm 73.015 1.3820 -.18099E-06 -.60971E-01 8 Prefactor .23870E-08 49.472 -.10386E-04** at limit ** 9 Prefactor .41700E-06 4.7133 -.55011E-05** at limit ** 10 Prefactor .84506E-01 1.3739 -.37156E-05** at limit ** 11 Prefactor 12.988 4.6321 .64351E-06 .11641E-01 12 Prefactor .46907E-07 19.630 -.15260E-04** at limit ** 13 Prefactor .38486E-06 5.3723 -.58100E-05** at limit ** 14 Normalizat 1.1567 .14949 -.14279E-04 .13095E-02 15 Prefactor .86440 .78631E-01 .15477E-05 .18827E-02 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 1.82006 Prefactor = 6.05072e-09 norm = 1.2474 norm = 4.07738 norm = 2.01812 Prefactor = 0 norm = 73.015 Prefactor = 2.38698e-09 Prefactor = 4.17e-07 Prefactor = 0.084506 Prefactor = 12.9885 Prefactor = 4.69069e-08 Prefactor = 3.84859e-07 Normalizat = 1.15666 Prefactor = 0.864395 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 19211.75 FROM HESSE STATUS=OK 222 CALLS 1024 TOTAL EDM= .12E-06 STRATEGY= 1 ERROR MATRIX ACCURATE EXT PARAMETER INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor 1.8201 1.2640 .77345E-03 -1.5681 2 Prefactor .60507E-08 8.2265 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 3 norm 1.2474 1.9023 .10016E-02 -1.5686 4 norm 4.0774 6.6585 .49739E-03 -1.5668 5 norm 2.0181 1.0885 .72837E-03 -1.5680 6 Prefactor .0000 3.5912 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 7 norm 73.015 19.194 .11688E-03 -1.5537 8 Prefactor .23870E-08 2.3452 .13270E-01 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 9 Prefactor .41700E-06 9.8901 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 10 Prefactor .84506E-01 4.0386 .10344E-01 -1.5702 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 11 Prefactor 12.988 4.6728 .27785E-03 -1.5636 12 Prefactor .46907E-07 19.762 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 13 Prefactor .38486E-06 10.132 .42118E-03 -1.5708 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 14 Normalizat 1.1567 .12859 .69822E-01 -.87953 15 Prefactor .86440 .65963E-01 .44550E-01 -.97397 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 3 estimated distance: 1.21053e-07 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 1.264 2 0.000446928 3 1.9023 4 6.65847 5 1.08847 6 1.2451e-05 7 19.1943 8 0.00015008 9 0.00406163 10 1.1684 11 4.67278 12 0.00192539 13 0.00394934 14 0.128625 15 0.0659695 Done. MINUIT Return Code (Fixed Index): 0 logL (Fixed Index) = 19211.7452669 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 2.387e-09 1.501e-04 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 2.755e+00 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) fixed 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 570 Prefactor: 8.644e-01 6.597e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 571 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 572 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 569 Normalization: 1.157e+00 1.286e-01 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Fixed Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.913 21.506 Photon Flux Upper Limit: 7.02747913277e-08 ph cm-2 s-1 Energy Flux Upper Limit: 0.00554958729676 MeV cm-2 s-1 Saving results to: /lscratch/kocevski/31173870/likelihoodResults_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.txt Performing a free index iterative likelihood fit... Freezing all point sources, except source of interest... Done. Freeing candidate source... Done. Fit tolerance = 1 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 0 logL (Free Index) = 19211.6211449 delta logL = 0.124122005625 Fit tolerance = 0.0001 Performing likelihood fit... Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 19211.5238478 delta logL = 0.221419063138 Fit tolerance = 1e-08 Performing likelihood fit... ********** ** 14 **SET NOWARN ********** PARAMETER DEFINITIONS: NO. NAME VALUE STEP SIZE LIMITS 1 'Prefactor ' .22241 1.0000 .0000 .10000E+07 2 'Index ' 5.5856 1.0000 .0000 10.000 3 'Normalizat' 1.1274 1.0000 .10000E-01 10.000 4 'Prefactor ' .87299 1.0000 .0000 10.000 ********** ** 15 **SET ERR .5000 ********** ********** ** 16 **SET GRAD 1.000 ********** ********** ** 17 **MINIMIZE .5730E+05 .2000E-04 ********** MIGRAD MINIMIZATION HAS CONVERGED. MIGRAD WILL VERIFY CONVERGENCE AND ERROR MATRIX. FCN= 19211.52 FROM MIGRAD STATUS=CONVERGED 58 CALLS 277 TOTAL EDM= .43E-08 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE STEP FIRST NO. NAME VALUE ERROR SIZE DERIVATIVE 1 Prefactor .22284 1.2899 .20993E-02** at limit ** 2 Index 5.5861 1.5017 .43645 .14376E-03 3 Normalizat 1.1277 .12163E-01 .70607E-01 .64801E-04 4 Prefactor .87292 .64281E-02 .44660E-01 .32247E-04 ERR DEF= .500 Final values: Prefactor = 0.222843 Index = 5.58607 Normalizat = 1.12767 Prefactor = 0.872917 ********** ** 18 **HESSE ********** FCN= 19211.52 FROM HESSE STATUS=NOT POSDEF 35 CALLS 312 TOTAL EDM= .41E-05 STRATEGY= 1 ERR MATRIX NOT POS-DEF EXT PARAMETER APPROXIMATE INTERNAL INTERNAL NO. NAME VALUE ERROR STEP SIZE VALUE 1 Prefactor .22284 24.146 .83364E-04 -1.5699 WARNING - - ABOVE PARAMETER IS AT LIMIT. 2 Index 5.5861 6.0170 .11276E-01 .11748 3 Normalizat 1.1277 .89199E-01 .31242E-03 -.88868 4 Prefactor .87292 .45791E-01 .18429E-03 -.97094 ERR DEF= .500 Minuit fit quality: 2 estimated distance: 4.13747e-06 Minuit parameter uncertainties: 1 4.63928 2 14.7242 3 0.0892112 4 0.0457934 shell-init: error retrieving current directory: getcwd: cannot access parent directories: No such file or directory Done. MINUIT Return Code (Free Index): 102 logL (Free Index) = 19211.5238435 delta logL = 0.221423367166 Extracting fit parameters... 4FGL J1615.6+2130 Spectrum: PowerLaw 274 Prefactor: 2.228e-01 4.639e+00 0.000e+00 1.000e+06 ( 1.000e-12) 275 Index: 5.586e+00 1.472e+01 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 (-1.000e+00) 276 Scale: 4.684e+02 0.000e+00 3.000e+01 5.000e+05 ( 1.000e+00) fixed GAL_V02 Spectrum: PowerLaw 570 Prefactor: 8.729e-01 4.579e-02 0.000e+00 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) 571 Index: 0.000e+00 0.000e+00 -1.000e+00 1.000e+00 ( 1.000e+00) fixed 572 Scale: 1.000e+02 0.000e+00 5.000e+01 2.000e+02 ( 1.000e+00) fixed EG_v02 Spectrum: FileFunction 569 Normalization: 1.128e+00 8.921e-02 1.000e-02 1.000e+01 ( 1.000e+00) TS (Free Index): -0.00 Ra Dec: 243.913 21.506 Creating a high resolution counts map... INFO: Auto-setting vmin to -1.000e-01 [aplpy.core] INFO: Auto-setting vmax to 1.110e+00 [aplpy.core] Saving /lscratch/kocevski/31173870/cmap_HighResolution_803865601_804470401_4FGL_J1615.6+2130_weekly_bin934.png Cleaning up... ** Nuclear option initiated! ** Updating database... UPDATE lightcurve_data_v2 SET energy_flux_upper_limit='5.55e-03', job_status='DONE', photon_flux_upper_limit='7.03e-08', time_completed='2026-07-09 21:02:16.633939', job_id='31173870', GAL2='0.87', fit_tolerance='1e-08', EG2='1.13', EG='1.16', time_epoch_completed='1783656136.63', return_code2='102', ts='-0.00', comment='SUCCESS', return_code='0', GAL='0.86', dlogl='2.21e-01', ts2='0.47', photon_index_error='0.00', photon_index='2.76' WHERE bin_id='934' AND source_name='4FGL J1615.6+2130' AND cadence='weekly'; Database successfully updated. Analysis Complete. Thu Jul 9 21:02:16 PDT 2026